Jason Wood - Offseason Report

I. Dynasty Rankings
II. Draft Info
III. Free Agency
IV. Franchise & Transition Information
V. Coaching Changes
VI. Situations to Watch (Cap Casualties and Positional Battles)

I. Dynasty Rankings

Dynasty leagues are becoming increasingly popular, as veteran fantasy footballers look to layer in another dimension to the strategy of the game. With recognition that dynasty leagues vary widely in terms of rules and format (i.e., how many keepers, positional limits, cost in terms of draft picks, etc…), we have put together rankings to help you in your decisions, particularly if you need to designate keepers during the offseason. Below we list positional keeper lists as well as a Top 75 Master List. A word about the Master List, we set the number at 75 because that covers league up to 14 teams that designate as many as five keepers per team (14 x 5 = 70); we felt that covered the lion's share of most keeper needs.

Dynasty Rankings: Top 30 RB Keepers

LaDainian Tomlinson (SD)
Clinton Portis (DEN)
Deuce McAllister (NO)
Jamal Lewis (BAL)
Ahman Green (GB)
Shaun Alexander (SEA)
Kevan Barlow (SF)
Priest Holmes (KC)
Edgerrin James (IND)
Ricky Williams (MIA)
Domanick Davis (HOU)
Fred Taylor (JAC)
Travis Henry (BUF)
Rudi Johnson (CIN)
Steven Jackson (Rookie)
Marshall Faulk (STL)
Michael Bennett (MIN)
Brian Westbrook (PHI)
Stephen Davis (CAR)
DeShaun Foster (CAR)
Kevin Jones (Rookie)
Tiki Barber (NYG)
T.J. Duckett (ATL)
Chris Brown (TEN)
Onterrio Smith (MIN)
Lee Suggs (CLE)
Corey Dillon (CIN)
Willis McGahee (BUF)
Anthony Thomas (CHI)
Chris Perry (Rookie)

Dynasty Rankings: Top 25 QB Keepers

Daunte Culpepper (MIN)
Peyton Manning (IND)
Donovan McNabb (PHI)
Michael Vick (ATL)
Matt Hasselbeck (SEA)
Chad Pennington (NYJ)
Tom Brady (NE)
Steve McNair (TEN)
Aaron Brooks (NO)
Patrick Ramsey (WAS)
Jake Plummer (DEN)
David Carr (HOU)
Trent Green (KC)
Byron Leftwich (JAC)
Brett Favre (GB)
Jeff Garcia (SF)
Jake Delhomme (CAR)
Carson Palmer (CIN)
Rex Grossman (CHI)
Brad Johnson (TB)
Kurt Warner (STL)
Marc Bulger (STL)
Jon Kitna (CIN)
Eli Manning (Rookie)
Ben Roethlisberger (Rookie)
Joey Harrington (DET)
Kerry Collins (NYG)
Tim Rattay (SF)
Rich Gannon (OAK)
Kyle Boller (BAL)

Dynasty Rankings: Top 40 WR Keepers

Randy Moss (MIN)
Torry Holt (STL)
Chad Johnson (CIN)
Marvin Harrison (IND)
Hines Ward (PIT)
Terrell Owens (SF)
Anquan Boldin (ARI)
Laveranues Coles (WAS)
Santana Moss (NYJ)
Chris Chambers (MIA)
Andre Johnson (HOU)
Darrell Jackson (SEA)
Jerry Porter (OAK)
Charlie Rogers (DET)
Joe Horn (NO)
Koren Robinson (SEA)
Steve Smith (CAR)
Derrick Mason (TEN)
Larry Fitzgerald (Rookie)
Amani Toomer (NYG)
Plaxico Burress (PIT)
Eric Moulds (BUF)
Peerless Price (ATL)
Javon Walker (GB)
David Boston (SD)
Rod Gardner (WAS)
Reggie Wayne (IND)
Brandon Lloyd (SF)
Antonio Bryant (DAL)
Marty Booker (CHI)
Keyshawn Johnson (TB)
Tai Streets (SF)
Keenan McCardell (TB)
Roy Williams (Rookie)
Rod Smith (DEN)
Jimmy Smith (JAC)
Robert Ferguson (GB)
Ashley Lelie (DEN)
Josh Reed (BUF)
Donte Stallworth (NO)

Dynasty Rankings: Top 10 TE Keepers

Tony Gonzalez (KC)
Todd Heap (BAL)
Jeremy Shockey (NYG)
Alge Crumpler (ATL)
Randy McMichael (MIA)
Boo Williams (NO)
Kellen Winslow Jr. (Rookie)
Daniel Graham (NE)
Erron Kinney (TEN)
Bubba Franks (GB)

Dynasty Top 75 Master List

LaDainian Tomlinson (SD)
Clinton Portis (DEN)
Deuce McAllister (NO)
Jamal Lewis (BAL)
Ahman Green (GB)
Shaun Alexander (SEA)
Daunte Culpepper (MIN)
Randy Moss (MIN)
Peyton Manning (IND)
Kevan Barlow (SF)
Priest Holmes (KC)
Edgerrin James (IND)
Ricky Williams (MIA)
Domanick Davis (HOU)
Donovan McNabb (PHI)
Michael Vick (ATL)
Torry Holt (STL)
Fred Taylor (JAC)
Chad Johnson (CIN)
Marvin Harrison (IND)
Travis Henry (BUF)
Matt Hasselbeck (SEA)
Rudi Johnson (CIN)
Steven Jackson (Rookie)
Marshall Faulk (STL)
Hines Ward (PIT)
Terrell Owens (SF)
Michael Bennett (MIN)
Brian Westbrook (PHI)
Anquan Boldin (ARI)
Stephen Davis (CAR)
DeShaun Foster (CAR)
Chad Pennington (NYJ)
Tom Brady (NE)
Laveranues Coles (WAS)
Kevin Jones (Rookie)
Santana Moss (NYJ)
Steve McNair (TEN)
Tiki Barber (NYG)
T.J. Duckett (ATL)
Chris Brown (TEN)
Onterrio Smith (MIN)
Lee Suggs (CLE)
Aaron Brooks (NO)
Patrick Ramsey (WAS)
Chris Chambers (MIA)
Andre Johnson (HOU)
Darrell Jackson (SEA)
Corey Dillon (CIN)
Willis McGahee (BUF)
Anthony Thomas (CHI)
Jerry Porter (OAK)
Charlie Rogers (DET)
Joe Horn (NO)
Koren Robinson (SEA)
Steve Smith (CAR)
Derrick Mason (TEN)
Jake Plummer (DEN)
Larry Fitzgerald (Rookie)
David Carr (HOU)
Trent Green (KC)
Byron Leftwich (JAC)
Amani Toomer (NYG)
Plaxico Burress (PIT)
Eric Moulds (BUF)
Peerless Price (ATL)
Javon Walker (GB)
Brett Favre (GB)
Jeff Garcia (SF)
David Boston (SD)
Rod Gardner (WAS)
Tony Gonzalez (KC)
Todd Heap (BAL)
Jeremy Shockey (NYG)
Chris Perry (Rookie)

II. Draft Information

Whether you're in a dynasty league or a simple redraft league, the NFL draft plays a major role in shaping the outcome of the upcoming NFL season. Every year there are a handful of rookies who make an immediate impact in fantasy circles, and 2004 promises to be no different. While we're just getting started on the draft evaluation process (the combine has yet to occur), it's never too early to start thinking about the college players who have a chance to make their mark next season. Obviously we can't make hard and fast pronouncements until after the NFL draft, because that will shape what kind of playing time each player ultimately receives as a rookie. But we can give you an idea of the guys teams will likely draft high and count on for immediate contribution. This is by no means an exhaustive list, but it's a decent starting point heading into the Combine.

Key Rookie Quarterbacks

Eli Manning (6'4", 218 pounds, Mississippi) - the likely top pick, prototypical size and mechanics, and world-class pedigree.

Ben Roethlisberger (6'6", 240 pounds, Miami (OH)) - Big Ben is extremely accurate, with a rocket arm and surprising mobility for his size. He too will be a very early pick and has a chance to start as a rookie.

Phillip Rivers (6'4", 228 pounds, NC State) - Rivers put himself solidly into the first round with a masterful week at the Senior Bowl. Rivers has one of the quickest releases in football, and great touch on the short and intermediate passing game.

J. P. Losman (6'3", 220 pounds, Tulane) - Losman is as athletic as they come with a rocket arm and great mobility. He's inconsistent at times though, particularly on the short passing game, and has an ego and demeanor that some scouts find off putting. Losman is too talented to last beyond the 2nd round of the draft though.

Matt Schaub (6'5", 245 pounds, Virginia) - Schaub worked hard the last two seasons on his footwork, and he's always possessed the size and arm strength. He has a good chance to be drafted in the second round and to be groomed as a starter by some team in the next few years.

Key Rookie Running Backs

Steven Jackson (6'2", 230 pounds, Oregon State) - Jackson will be one of the first two RBs off the board, and most likely will be the top RB selected. Jackson possesses excellent lateral movement to go with the size to pound the ball up the middle. And unlike some of his other RB prospects, Jackson is a polished receiver; he could make an immediate fantasy impact in 2004.

Kevin Jones (5'11", 211 pounds, Virginia Tech) - Kevin Jones made the most of his senior year, finally showcasing his abilities full time after Lee Suggs graduated. Jones is a prototypical back with excellent speed and a capable blocker. He'll need to work on his receiving skills and is a bit upright in his running style, but should be in line to compete for a starting job in 2004.

Chris Perry (6'1", 225 pounds, Michigan) - Perry is everything a team should look for in a RB, he's got good size, was amazingly productive against top tier competition, and has shown the versatility to go inside and outside. Perry lacks game breaking speed, which may push him into the late first, early 2nd round, but he's talented enough to make a fantasy impact if drafted into the right situation.

Greg Jones (6'1", 245 pounds, Florida State) - Jones is an enigma, possessing terrific size and playing at a marquee school, yet he never truly dominated. Coming off a knee injury in 2003, Jones needed to demonstrate his health and by and large accomplished that. Jones is an excellent blocker, and showed good North/South running power at the Senior Bowl. He's quite lacking as a receiver, but fits the mold of a productive NFL power back.

Julius Jones (5'10", 205 pounds, Notre Dame) - Jones sat out 2002 due to academic issues but returned in 2003 with a vengeance. Jones acquitted himself well at the Senior Bowl, showing polish in all facets of the game and probably earned himself a first day draft slot. Some teams may view him in the 3rd down, change of pace mold, but he could be much more over time.

Tatum Bell (5'11", 205 pounds, Oklahoma State) - Bell is one of the fast risers up the rankings after an impressive Senior bowl where he showed breakaway speed, solid receiving ability and better blocking prowess than expected. The one knock on Bell is his propensity to fumble the ball, which will keep him from being an early pick, but still a first day possibility.

Quincy Wilson (5'9", 215 pounds, West Virginia) - Wilson was highly productive for the Moutaineers and will be a first day selection.

Cedric Cobbs (6'0", 225 pounds, Arkansas) - Cobbs was inconsistent with the Razorbacks, but has the size and inside running ability to be a factor in the NFL, He'll have to have strong workouts to move up the rankings, but the talent is unquestionable.

Michael Turner (5'11", 220 pounds, Northern Illinois) - Turner was an early season commodity that saw his play level off as the season progressed. Unfortunately no player hurt himself more at the Senior Bowl than Turner, who showed very poor blocking abilities and the lack of natural receiving instincts.

Key Rookie Wide Receivers

Larry Fitzgerald (6'3", 225 pounds, Pittsburgh) - Fitzgerald is the top rated player on many draft boards, and will almost certainly be a top 5 overall pick. Fitzgerald is already a world-class route runner, with excellent body control, clutch hands, and has shown the ability to beat press and man coverage with equal ease. Fitzgerald has the opportunity to be an impact fantasy receiver in his first year, a rarity.

Roy Williams (6'4", 213 pounds, Texas) - Williams has off the charts measurables including exceptional speed, and will most likely be a top 10 overall pick. Williams has everything an NFL personnel man looks for in a WR1.

Reggie Williams (6'3", 218 pounds, Washington) - Williams was consistently productive against high-level competition, and has the size and route running discipline to warrant a top 15 selection. His speed is a question mark, but barring a disappointment in workouts, he'll go in the first half of Round 1.

Michael Clayton (6'3", 195 pounds, LSU) - Clayton was an integral part of LSU's national championship team. Clayton is polished and a leaper who can come up with the ball in traffic. His frame is a bit skinny, but that shouldn't preclude Clayton from being a first round selection.

Michael Jenkins (6'4", 215 pounds, Ohio State) - Ohio State has produced some game breaking NFL receivers (i.e., Cris Carter, Joey Galloway, Terry Glenn) and Jenkins could be next in the line. Jenkins had a fantastic week of practice at the Senior Bowl, and he caught everything thrown his way. A definite late first, early second round selection.

Lee Evans (5'11", 195 pounds, Wisconsin) - Evans came back from a knee injury this year to reestablish himself as a premier NFL prospect. He excelled in a run happy offense, and will be in the mix in the early second round, most likely.

Rashaun Woods (6'2", 192 pounds, Oklahoma State) - Woods caught seven touchdown passes in a game this year, that's right, one game. He's a gifted receiver who will be off the board in the first two rounds. Speed is the question mark for Woods, and the ability to beat press coverage.

Devery Henderson (6'0", 195 pounds, LSU) - Henderson really helped himself at the Senior Bowl, showing more consistency catching the ball than expected. Henderson has world-class speed, and if he can maintain his improved consistency in individual workouts, he'll be a first day selection.

James Newson (6'0", 208 pounds, Oregon State) - Newson lacks breakaway speed, but displayed impressive hands and body control in his career, as well as the Senior Bowl practices. He'll be off the board in the second or third round, for sure.

Ernest Wilford (6'4", 220 pounds, Virginia Tech) - In the Jerry Porter mold, Wilford is a fast receiver with prototypical size who was somewhat limited by his college's run first offensive attack. Wilford lacks polish, but has shown enough ability to warrant and first day selection.

Keary Colbert (6'0", 205 pounds, USC) - Colbert was the ying to Mike Williams' yang this year at USC. Projects as a WR2, more of a possession receiver, but his route running and soft hands make him a first day selection, most likely in the 3rd round.

Key Rookie Tight Ends

Kellen Winslow Jr. (6'4", 248 pounds, Miami) - Winslow will be one a top ten selection in this draft. He's a polished receiver, but unlike other pass catching TEs, Winslow is also a devastating blocker. Arguably the top TE prospect to come out in many years, he will have every opportunity to be a playmaker as a rookie.

Ben Troupe (6'4", 260 pounds, Florida) - Troupe emerged as the Gators top receiving threat this year, but like Winslow, Troupe is also a capable blocker and will figure into the middle of the first round.

Ben Watson (6'3", 255 pounds, Georgia) - Watson figures to be off the board on the first day, he has the ability to be a solid multidimensional NFL tight end, but must show consistency and the ability to remain healthy.

Ben Hartsock (6'4", 258 pounds, Ohio State) - Hartsock is a very good blocker, with enough receiving abilitiy to warrant attention in the 3rd or 4th round of the draft.

Chris Cooley (6'3", 250 pounds, Utah State) - Cooley is more of a pass catching H-back type than a premier blocking tight end, and must be used in that manner in the NFL. His receiving abilities warrant attention from fantasy owners though.

Key Rookie Offensive Linemen

Robert Gallery (6'7", 320 pounds, Iowa) - Iowa is the premier left tackle prospect in the draft and will be one of the first five players taken. Gallery grades out as an elite prospect, in the mould of Tony Bosselli or Jonathan Ogden.

Shawn Andrews (6'5", 360 pounds, Arkansas) - Andrews also carries an elite grade, but is a natural right tackle, which is less demand. Andrews will still come off the board by the middle of the first round and will help improve some team's fantasy prospects next year.

Vernon Carey (6'4", 355 pounds, Miami) - Carey is the top guard prospect in the draft; he played tackle and guard at Miami. Could be a huge help to the interior of someone's line right away.

Jake Grove (6'3", 297 pounds, Virginia Tech) - While centers don't normally command much attention in the early going, Grove is an elite center prospect. He's very likely to be a first round selection.

Jacob Rogers (6'6", 310 pounds, USC) - A solid first day tackle prospect, who battled injuries during his collegiate career but was effective when it counted.

Max Starks (6'7", 345 pounds, Florida) - Starks plays a little soft for his size, but is too talented to last past the second round given the scarcity of his position.

Travelle Wharton (6'4", 315 pounds, South Carolina) - Wharton was injured this season, but could reestablish himself as an elite prospect with solid workouts prior to the draft.

Key Rookie Defensive End Prospects

Kenechi Udeze (6'3", 279 pounds, USC)
Dan Cody (6'5", 265 pounds, Oklahoma)
Will Smith (6'3", 263 pounds, Ohio State)
Darrion Scott (6'3", 270 pounds, Ohio State)
Isaac Hilton (6'3", 247 pounds, Hampton)
Roderick Green (6'3", 240 pounds, Central Missouri State)

Key Rookie Defensive Tackle Prospects

Tommy Harris (6'3", 280 pounds, Oklahoma)
Vince Wilfork (6'1", 360 pounds, Miami)
Randy Starks (6'4", 310 pounds, Maryland)
Dwan Edwards (6'3", 310 pounds, Oregon State)
Marcus Tubbs (6'4", 325 pounds, Texas)
Darnell Dockett (6'3", 280 pounds, Florida State)
Rodney Leslie (6'3", 295 pounds, UCLA)
Isaac Sopoaga (6'3", 320 pounds, Hawaii)
Chad Lavalais (6'2", 295 pounds, LSU)

Key Rookie Linebacker Prospects

Jonathan Vilma (6'1", 231 pounds, Miami)
D.J. Williams (6'2", 252 pounds, Miami)
Daryl Smith (6'3", 235 pounds, Georgia Tech)
Karlos Dansby (6'4", 235 pounds, Auburn)
Michael Boulware (6'2", 240 pounds, Florida State)
Courtney Watson (6'1", 244 pounds, Notre Dame)
Domorrio Williams (6'1", 225 pounds, Nebraska)
Teddy Lehman (6'1", 244 pounds, Oklahoma)

Key Rookie Defensive Back Prospects

Sean Taylor (6'2", 225 pounds, Miami)
Chris Gamble (6'2", 185 pounds, Ohio State)
Will Poole (5'11", 188 pounds, USC)
Dunta Robinson (5'11", 185 pounds, South Carolina)
Ricardo Culclough (5'11", 189 pounds, Tusculum)
DeAngelo Hall (5'11", 196 pounds, Virginia Tech)
Derrick Strait (5'9", 188 pounds, Oklahoma)
Nathan Vasher (5'10", 181 pounds, Texas)

III. Free Agency Overview

As usual, the majority of free agents will resign with their existing teams, and many of the key players will be franchised or transitioned. However, as is always the case, there are a handful of significant players to move each offseason. The following is a list of designated free agents, both unrestricted and restricted (noted by RFA).

Quarterbacks

Key Quarterbacks

1. Peyton Manning (IND)
2. Marc Bulger (STL-RFA)
3. Billy Volek (TEN)
4. A.J. Feeley (PHI-RFA)
5. Anthony Wright (BAL)
6. Mike McMahon (DET-RFA)

Manning is staying in Indianapolis; the Colts have already made that clear. Beyond Manning, Bulger is the most intriguing fantasy name, but Bulger will likely remain a Ram and battle for the starting job again this year with Kurt Warner. Billy Volek is worth mentioning, as some view him as this year's Jake Delhomme, someone who could sign with a team and emerge as a solid starter. Feeley, Wright and McMahon are also likely to remain with their teams, but bear watching given their age and modest levels of success when given an opportunity to play.

Other QBs

Todd Bouman (NO)
Scott Covington (STL)
Ty Detmer (DET)
Jason Garrett (NYG)
Damon Huard (NE)
Doug Johnson (ATL)
Shaun King (TB)
Rick Mirer (OAK)
Jesse Palmer (NYG-RFA)
Doug Pederson (GB)
Jonathan Quinn (KC)
Chris Redman (BAL)
Sage Rosenfels (MIA-RFA)

Running Backs

Key Running Backs

1. Kevan Barlow (SF-RFA)
2. Rudi Johnson (CIN-RFA)
3. Duce Staley (PHI)
4. Thomas Jones (TB)
5. Correll Buckhalter (PHI-RFA)
6. Kevin Faulk (NE)
7. Stacey Mack (HOU)
8. Troy Hambrick (DAL-RFA)
9. Dominic Rhodes (IND-RFA)
10. Derrick Blaylock (KC-RFA)

Barlow is the only bona fide fantasy stud of this list, and you can be sure the 49ers will tender Barlow with the highest designation, meaning a team will need to give the 49ers first and third round picks for Barlow's services. In any event, Barlow has shown himself to be a fantasy stud and is someone to watch in 2004. Rudi Johnson also played extremely well for Cincinnati and would seem the logical full time RB next season, assuming Corey Dillon is waived or traded. Of the remaining backs on this list, Duce Staley and Kevin Faulk will probably have some fantasy value, particularly in leagues that reward points for receptions.

Other RBs

John Avery (MIN-RFA)
Obafemi Ayanbadejo (BAL)
Brandon Bennett (CIN)
Shawn Bryson (DET)
Ki-Jana Carter (NO)
Aveion Cason (DAL-RFA)
Doug Chapman (MIN)
Mike Cloud (NE)
Greg Comella (HOU)
Jameel Cook (TB-RFA)
Philip Crosby (BUF-RFA)
Reuben Droughns (DEN)
Heath Evans (SEA-RFA)
Sam Gash (BUF)
Nick Goings (CAR-RFA)
Chris Hetherington (OAK)
Travis Jervey (ATL)
Bryan Johnson (WAS-RFA)
Leon Johnson (SD)
Dan Kreider (PIT)
Fred McAfee (NO-RFA)
Travis Minor (MIA-RFA)
Sammy Morris (BUF)
Moran Norris (HOU-RFA)
Patrick Pass (NE)
Stanley Pritchett (CHI)
Alan Ricard (BAL-RFA)
Rod "He Hate Me" Smart (CAR-RFA)
Terrelle Smith (NO-RFA)
Aaron Stecker (TB)

Wide Receivers

Key Wide Receivers

1. Terrell Owens (SF)
2. Darrell Jackson (SEA)
3. Steve Smith (CAR-RFA)
4. Tai Streets (SF)
5. Dennis Northcutt (CLE)
6. Justin McCareins (TEN-RFA)
7. Marcus Robinson (BAL)

This is a fairly strong year for free agent receivers, with Terrell Owens being the marquee name. Owens has burned his bridges in San Francisco, and all signs point to SF letting Owens move on. There will be plenty of bidders for TO's services, and he's talented enough that he'll produce no matter where he lands. Darrell Jackson will also be in the market for WR1 money, whether Seattle keeps him or not, he's too talented to not be some team's opening day WR1. Steve Smith evolved from deep threat and special teams ace to a complete receiver this year. Being a restricted free agent, it's tough to imagine the Panthers letting him go, but we said that last year about Laveranues Coles and Washington found a way to sign him from the Jets. Northcutt, Robinson and McCareins probably return to their respective teams, but bear watching as starters next year.

Other WRs

Scotty Anderson (DET-RFA)
Alex Bannister (SEA-RFA)
Reggie Barlow (TB)
Drew Bennett (TEN-RFA)
Eddie Berlin (TEN-RFA)
Chris Cole (DEN)
Ron Dixon (NYG)
Chris Doering (PIT)
Dameane Douglas (KC)
Kevin Dyson (CAR)
Antonio Freeman (GB)
Bryan Gilmore (ARI-RFA)
T.J. Houshmandzadeh (CIN-RFA)
Pat Johnson (WAS)
Kevin Kasper (ARI-RFA)
Andre King (CLE-RFA)
Shawn Jefferson (DET)
Darnerian McCants (WAS-RFA)
Scotty Montgomery (OAK)
J.J. Stokes (JAC)
Dedric Ward (BAL)
Dez White (CHI)
Alvis Whitted (OAK)
Randal Williams (DAL-RFA)
Cedrick Wilson (SF-RFA)

Tight Ends

Key Tight Ends

1. Erron Kinney (TEN)
2. Brandon Manumaleuna (STL-RFA)
3. Jim Kleinsasser (MIN)

This is not a marquee crop of free agent tight ends, as you can see. Erron Kinney gets top billing because of the pending retirement of Frank Wycheck. Look for the Titans to retain Kinney in what will be his breakout fantasy season. Manumaleuna and Kleinsasser are both franchise tight ends, which have limited fantasy roles, but are invaluable to their teams' offensive production.

Other TEs

Fred Baxter (NE)
Sean Brewer (ATL-RFA)
Steve Bush (ARI)
Mark Campbell (BUF)
Cam Cleeland (STL)
Joe Dean Davenport (IND-RFA)
Jason Dunn (KC)
Patrick Hape (DEN)
Jabari Holloway (HOU-RFA)
Brian Jennings (SF)
Eric Johnson (SF-RFA)
John Jones (BAL)
Brian Kozlowski (ATL)
Mike Leach (DEN)
Kris Mangum (CAR)
David Martin (GB-RFA)
Shad Meier (TEN-RFA)
Rodrick Monroe (CLE)
Walter Rasby (NO)
Marcellus Rivers (NYG-RFA)
O.J. Santiago (OAK)
Brad St. Louis (CIN)
Tony Stewart (CIN-RFA)
Wesley Walls (GB)
Jed Weaver (SF)
James Whalen (DAL-RFA)
Jermaine Wiggins (CAR)
Todd Yoder (TB)

Offensive Line

Key Offensive Linemen

1. Walter Jones (OT-SEA)
2. Orlando Pace (OT-STL)
3. Chad Clifton (OT-GB)
4. John Tait (OT-KC)
5. Mike Gandy (OT-CHI-RFA)
6. L.J. Shelton (OT-ARI)
7. Chris Bober (C-NYG)
8. Jerry Fontenot (C-NO)
9. Todd Wade (OT-MIA)
10. Mike Flynn (C-BAL)
11. Chris Villarrial (OG-CHI)

Other Linemen

Bennie Anderson (OG-BAL-RFA)
Brad Badger (OG-OAK)
Eric Beverly (OG-DET)
Rich Braham (C-CIN)
Ray Brown (OG-DET)
Blake Brockermeyer (OT-DEN)
Orlando Brown (OT-BAL)
Cosey Coleman (OG-TB)
Rick DeMulling (OG-IND)
Ryan Diem (OT-IND-RFA)
Gerry DiNapoli (C-DAL)
Chris Dishman (OG-ARI)
Kevin Donnalley (OG-CAR)
Spencer Folau (OT-NO)
Lennie Friedman (OG-WAS)
Kelvin Garmon (OG-SD)
Roberto Garza (OG-ATL)
Mike Goff (OG-CIN)
Brock Gutierrez (C-SF)
Jeno James (OG-CAR)
Lewis Kelly (OG-MIN)
Corbin Lacina (OG-CHI)
Matt Lehr (C-DAL-RFA)
Everett Lindsay (OG-MIN)
David Loverne (OG-STL)
Kareem McKenzie (OT-NYJ-RFA)
Damian McIntosh (OT-SD)
Jamie Nails (OG-MIA)
Matt O'Dwyer (OG-CIN)
Shaun O'Hara (OG-CLE)
Chucky Okobi (C-PIT)
Casey Rabach (OG-BAL-RFA)
Greg Randall (OT-HOU)
Brent Smith (OG-NYJ)
John St. Clair (OT-STL)
Barry Stokes (OG-CLE)
Marques Sullivan (OT-BUF-RFA)
Adam Timmerman (OG-STL)
Bobbie Williams (OG-PHI)
Cory Withrow (C-MIN)
Floyd "Pork Chop" Womack (OT-SEA-RFA)

Defensive Players of Note

Rather than list every free agent defender, we will instead list the preeminent players on the market for informational purposes and for those IDP fans amongst us.

Key Defensive Linemen

Chidi Ahanotu (DE-SF)
Ebenezer Ekuban (DE-DAL)
Kelly Gregg (DT-BAL)
Jevon Kearse (DE-TEN)
Adewale Ogunleye (DE-MIA-RFA)
Warren Sapp (DT-TB)
Dana Stubblefield (DT-OAK)
Adalius Thomas (DE-BAL)
Keith Traylor (DT-CHI)
Keith Washington (DE-NYG)
Ted Washington (DT-BUF)
Grant Wistrom (DE-STL)
Key Linebackers
Carlos Emmons (LB-PHI)
Randall Godfrey (LB-SEA)
Ian Gold (LB-DEN)
Barrett Green (LB-DET)
Morlon Greenwood (LB-MIA)
Ed Hartwell (LB-BAL)
Dhani Jones (LB-NYG)
Isaiah Kacyvenski (LB-SEA)
Zeke Moreno (LB-SD)
Julian Peterson (LB-SF)
T.J. Slaughter (LB-JAC)
Al Wilson (LB-DEN)
Key Defensive Backs
Champ Bailey (CB-WAS)
David Barrett (CB-ARI)
Rogers Beckett (S-CIN)
Juran Bolden (CB-ATL)
Ralph Brown (CB-NYG)
Fernando Bryant (CB-JAC)
Terrell Buckley (CB-MIA)
Donovan Darius (S-JAC)
Antuan Edwards (S-GB)
Mario Edwards (CB-DAL)
Deon Grant (S-CAR)
Mike Green (S-CHI)
Victor Green (S-NO)
Nick Harper (CB-IND-RFA)
Reggie Howard (CB-CAR)
Mike Logan (S-PIT)
Chris McAlister (CB-BAL)
Will Peterson (CB-NYG-RFA)
Ahmed Plummer (CB-SF)
Otis Smith (CB-DET)
Shawn Springs (CB-SEA)
Bobby Taylor (CB-PHI)
Troy Vincent (CB-PHI)
Jason Webster (CB-SF)
Greg Wesley (S-KC)
Antoine Winfield (CB-BUF)
Charles Woodson (CB-OAK)

IV. Franchise and Transition Information

Every year teams exercise their right to designate free agents as either a franchise or transition players. Both designations allow teams to maintain some leverage in keeping their key free agents. Over the years, teams have made liberal use of the tags, extending the tag to kickers (e.g., Todd Sauerbrun) and tight ends (e.g., Jim Kleinsasser), but most of the time you'll see teams use the tag designations on marquee players at higher profile positions.

Tender offers for 2004 (What a team must commit to a player if designated)

If a team chooses to designate one of its free agents as either a franchise or transition player, it must guarantee the player a one-year tender offer. Franchise players must be given a 1-year contract worth the average of the top five players at the position OR 120% of the player's salary for the prior year, whichever is greater. In return, the designating team retains right of first refusal. Should the franchised player sign with another team, the original team receives two first round picks as compensation. Transition players get the average of the top ten players at the position, or 120% of the prior year salary. Transition players don't provide the team with draft compensation if they're signed elsewhere, but the original team maintains the right of first refusal to match any offer.

Here are the amounts teams must guarantee players this year (if designated)

Position

Franchise Tender

Transistion Tender

QB

$9.96 million

$8.17 million

RB

$5.17 million

$4.49 million

WR

$7.23 million

$6.42 million

TE

$2.61 million

$2.10 million

OL

$7.02 million

$6.01 million

DE

$6.5 million

$5.8 million

DT

$5.61 million

$4.56 million

LB

$5.83 million

$5.06 million

S

$4.11 million

$3.58 million

CB

$6.8 million

$5.7 million

PK/P

$1.61 million

$1.45 million

Potential Franchise and Transition Candidates

Peyton Manning (QB), Indianapolis - the reigning NFL co-MVP is an unrestricted free agent and is likely about to become the league's highest paid player. Given deals signed by Donovan McNabb and Daunte Culpepper last season, Manning is probably looking at a $100 million contract with at least a $15 to $20 million signing bonus. The Colts have made it clear that they will resign Manning at any cost, and will franchise him if a deal isn't completed by the start of free agency.

Darrell Jackson (WR), Seattle - Jackson is going to want to test the market, and he's likely to get WR1 money from some team. But Seattle won't let him go easily and could tag him, if for no other reason than to try to get compensation via trade for his services.

Terrell Owens (WR), San Francisco - Owens probably won't be franchised, because the 49ers are likely saving that for LB Julian Peterson, but a transition tag is possible.

Jim Kleinsasser (TE), Minnesota - Kleinsasser was franchised in 2003, and has yet to sign a long-term deal. The Vikings rely on him to help propel one of the best rushing attacks in the NFC.

Walter Jones (OT), Seattle - Jones has been franchised for each of the last two seasons, and will be tagged again if the Seahawks cannot come to terms on a long-term deal. Jones is an irreplaceable member of the team's line.

Orlando Pace (OT), St. Louis - Pace was franchised in 2003, and will be again. His agent had been discussing signing bonuses in the $30 million range, which is absurd, but he warrants a very sizable long-term deal.

Chad Clifton (OT), Green Bay - Clifton may end up a cap casualty according to some reports, but the team could decide to tag him to protect their investment. Solid offensive tackles don't grow on trees.

John Tait (OT), Kansas City - Kansas City will do everything in its power to retain Tait, a key part of one of the league's best offensive lines. Whether a tag is necessary is unknown, and the Chiefs also have Greg Wesley to consider for designation.

L.J. Shelton (OT), Arizona - Shelton is too talented to let another team benefit from his development in Arizona; he'll be tagged unless they come to terms prior to the designation window.

Chris Bober (C), New York Giants - Bober played right tackle much of the 2003 season but is a natural center. He will surely attract much interest in the open market if not re-signed. Given the Giants woeful line issues, and the fact that they let their linemen walk each of the last two years, look for them to tag Bober to maintain some consistency this season under first year coach Tom Coughlin.

Jevon Kearse (DE), Tennessee - The Freak will be tagged, he's too valuable a pass rusher to let get away. His injury history may give the team pause; enough to put the transition tag on him rather than the franchise designation, but don't bet on Kearse leaving the Titans anytime soon.

Carlos Emmons (LB), Philadelphia - Emmons was the team's defensive MVP and the only linebacker deemed a priority this offseason. Look for him to be offered a long-term deal, and possibly tagged if terms cannot be worked out in time.

Julian Peterson (LB), San Francisco - Arguably the best young linebacker in football, Peterson is the key to SF's defense and will be franchised if the team cannot sign him to a deal beforehand.

Champ Bailey (CB), Washington - Bailey turned down a $55 million deal this past offseason, but there's no way Danny Boy Snyder lets the best cover corner in football walk, he'll be tagged.

Fernando Bryant (CB), Jacksonville - Bryant is the focal point of the Jaguars offseason free agent plans; he'll be retained.

Chris McAllister (CB), Baltimore - McAllister was tagged last season, and managed to elevate his game in 2003. He's one of the top three, if not the best, cover corner in the game and will be tagged on route to a lucrative long-term deal.

Antoine Winfield (CB), Buffalo - Winfield was a key component to the league's 2nd ranked defense, and the team won't let him get away easily.

Charles Woodson (CB), Oakland - Woodson's play suffered due to injury and a downturn in his supporting personnel, but he's still one of the elite young corners in football. The Raiders may opt to let him walk given the team's massive rebuilding needs, but tagging might make sense in an effort to trade Woodson.

Salary Cap Status

The salary cap is projected at $78.1 million for 2004. The following is a list of the current cap status of each NFL team. As you know, many of these figures will be greatly altered by veteran cuts and restructurings, but it helps as a starting point to understand just what kind of turnover and upheaval teams may be facing this offseason. (Source: ESPN.com)

Arizona Cardinals - $17.1 million under
Atlanta Falcons - $4.37 million under
Baltimore Ravens - $24.02 million under
Buffalo Bills - $7.5 million under
Carolina Panthers - $13 million under
Chicago Bears - $9 million under
Cincinnati Bengals - $9 million under
Cleveland Browns - $1.3 million under
Dallas Cowboys - $18.7 million under
Denver Broncos - $2.3 million over
Detroit Lions - $14.6 million under
Green Bay Packers - $3.4 million under
Houston Texans - $12.1 million under
Indianapolis Colts - $1.8 million under
Jacksonville Jaguars - $10.4 million under
Kansas City Chiefs - $8.3 million
Miami Dolphins - $9.48 million over
Minnesota Vikings - $20.2 million under
New England Patriots - $399,000 over
New Orleans Saints - $22.6 million under
New York Giants - $2.7 million under
New York Jets - $3.5 million under
Oakland Raiders - $1.36 million under
Philadelphia Eagles - $22.8 million under
Pittsburgh Steelers - $2.67 million over
St. Louis Rams - $17.6 million under
San Diego Chargers - $6.1 million under
San Francisco 49ers - $793,000 under
Seattle Seahawks - $11.6 million under
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - $1.4 million over
Tennessee Titans - $16.4 million over
Washington Redskins - $8.6 million under

V. Staffing Changes, 2004 Offseason

One of the most important occurrences every offseason is the coaching carousel. While some hires (e.g., Joe Gibbs) get tons of press, many of the changes, particularly at the coordinator level, go under the radar of the typical fantasy footballer. That's a mistake, because a coach's ability and as importantly, his philosophy, play a HUGE role in the performance of the team's players. Remember, Stephen Davis didn't forget how to run the ball two seasons ago in Washington, he simply didn't fit into Steve Spurrier's style of play, whereas he was handpicked to fill the power back, between-the-tackles RB the Panthers were so desperate for in 2003. Below is a complete list of all the coaching changes at the head coach and coordinator level, with some cursory background information.

Head Coaching Changes

Arizona Cardinals
Head Coach - Dennis Green; Minnesota Vikings head coach for ten seasons (1992-2001), 49ers assistant under Bill Walsh, Stanford University head coach.

Offensive Coordinator - Alex Wood; served as Denny Green's QB coach in Minnesota and was the WR coach this year in Cincy, notable given the success of Chad Johnson and Peter Warrick.

Defensive Coordinator - Clancy Pendergast; Pendergast has been an NFL assistant for nine seasons, most recently (2003) as the linebackers coach in Cleveland. Most of his career was spent with the Cowboys, having served as the secondary coach from 2001-2002.

FANTASY IMPACT: Green has always put together productive fantasy offenses, and he's worked wonders with a revolving door of QBs. Don't forget he also drafted and groomed Daunte Culpepper into one of the top fantasy signal callers in the league. While his coordinators are relative unknowns, Alex Wood's work with Minnesota's QBs (Cunningham, Culpepper) and his work last season with Peter Warrick and Chad Johnson, both breakout fantasy receivers, makes for an intriguing situation in Arizona. Unfortunately for Cardinals fans, Green has never put much emphasis on defense, and Clancy Pendergast isn't going to be confused for a defensive guru anytime soon. Given how poor the defensive roster is entering this offseason, it wouldn't be out of line to assume Green will have the Cards a much better fantasy team long before they're a better NFL team.
Atlanta Falcons

Head Coach - Jim Mora, Jr.; Mora spent the last seven years as a San Francisco assistant coach, serving as defensive coordinator from 1999-2003. Mora also served as the secondary coach in New Orleans (1992-1996) and San Diego (1989-1992).

Offensive Coordinator - Greg Knapp; spent the last nine years with San Francisco, and was the team's offensive coordinator for the last three seasons. He also served as the team's quarterbacks' coach for the three years prior.

Defensive Coordinator - Ed Donatell; was hired less than a week after he was unceremoniously fired from the same position in Green Bay, following a haunting playoff loss in Philadelphia (4th and 26). Donatell served as the Packers DC for four seasons. Prior to that he oversaw the defensive backs in Denver, serving in that capacity during the team's Super Bowl wins.

FANTASY IMPACT: Mora is a defensive coach, and one of his biggest jobs will be cleaning up one of the league's worst defenses, starting in the secondary. Obviously Knapp's job is simple; create schemes that allow Mike Vick to produce. Knapp was known for offensive balance in SF and he's preaching the same here in ATL. Knapp is well versed in the "west coast offense" but has already promised to tailor the short passing game to suit Vick's ability to make plays out of the pocket. Also, don't be surprised if Dunn and Duckett continue to share the load next season, Knapp liberally used both Garrison Hearst and Kevan Barlow while in SF. It's also worth noting that Alex Gibbs, the guru of the Broncos offensive line, has signed on to coach the line for the Falcons.

Buffalo Bills
Head Coach - Mike Mularkey; just 42 years old, becomes one of the youngest head coaches in the league after spending the last three years as the Pittsburgh Steelers offensive coordinator.

Offensive Coordinator - Tom Clements; Clements joins Mularkey in Buffalo after serving under him as the quarterbacks' coach in Pittsburgh. Clements is widely credited with putting together systems to get the most out of Kordell Stewart and Tommy Maddox, players thought to be limited in their abilities.

Defensive Coordinator - Jerry Gray; in somewhat of a coup, Jerry Gray remains with the team as defensive coordinator, the same position he held the last three seasons under Gregg Williams.

FANTASY IMPACT: The Bills decided to bring in an offensive head coach in an effort to reinvigorate an offense that was horribly unproductive in most facets. The team also brought in Jim McNally as offensive line coach, who worked miracles in New York. Look for Mularkey and company to rebuild the offensive line to allow more protection for Drew Bledsoe, who can still make plays in the pocket, if protected. The team is also sure to strike a better balance between running and passing, making more liberal use of Travis Henry and, if healthy, Willis McGahee. The 2nd ranked defense in the NFL will stay the same, with Jerry Gray remaining as the team's defensive coordinator.
Chicago Bears
Head Coach - Lovie Smith; Smith spent the last three seasons as the defensive coordinator under Mike Martz in St. Louis. Smith was the Tampa Bay Bucs linebackers' coach for five seasons prior to taking the Rams job.

Offensive Coordinator - Terry Shea; Terry Shea has learned from two of the best offensive minds in league history: Bill Walsh and Dick Vermeil. Most recently Shea served as QB coach in Kansas City, but has also had positions with Walsh at Stanford and as the head coach for Rutgers University.

Defensive Coordinator - Ron Rivera; Rivera gets his first coordinator job in the town where he made a name as a player. Rivera is a local Chicago favorite, who cut his teeth as the Eagles linebackers coach under Andy Reid.

FANTASY IMPACT: This all comes down to Shea. Lovie is a defensive guy, and he handpicked Shea to run this offense. Is he up to the task? We just don't know, but he is about as well schooled in the passing game as you could ask for, and that bodes well conceptually for Rex Grossman's development. Defensively you can bet on one thing, the team will make the linebackers the focal point of the scheme. Lovie prefers to run a cover 2, whereas Rivera has experience using aggressive zone blitz schemes; how much of each system is implemented probably comes down to evaluating the defensive talent on the roster.
New York Giants
Head Coach - Tom Coughlin; Coughlin takes over for Jim Fassel in New York in an unmistakable move to add toughness and discipline to the veteran team. Coughlin had a long stint as the Jacksonville Jaguars head coach, and aside from being a noted disciplinarian has a long history as an offensive coach, including serving under Bill Parcells for three seasons in New York.

Offensive Coordinator - UNFILLED as of 1/30/04. Coughlin is believed to prefer John Hufnagel, the Patriots QB coach, but is precluded from hiring him until after the Super Bowl.

Defensive Coordinator - Tim Lewis; Tim Lewis joins the Giants staff after being let go by Bill Cowher in Pittsburgh. Lewis served as the Steelers defensive coordinator for the last few years, and is best known for his blitzing style, using linebackers to pressure the QB.

FANTASY IMPACT: Tom Coughlin had a very potent offense while manning the helm in Jacksonville. He's got a veteran team with talent, and his discipline probably won't wear thin for a few years. Don't be surprised to see the NY offense produce a lot of fantasy points collectively. How the balance shakes out remains to be seen. On the defensive front, the Giants are sure to blitz quite a bit more under Lewis, known for using aggressive blitz schemes, particularly with his linebackers.
Oakland Raiders
Head Coach - Norv Turner; Norv Turner apparently wanted so desperately to be an NFL head coach again that he took a job most coordinators had the foresight to turn down. Turner accepted a five-year deal to coach the Raiders and will bring with him years of experience running the offenses in Dallas, San Diego, Miami and Washington (where he was also the head coach).

Offensive Coordinator - Jimmy Raye; Jimmy Raye, a Jets assistant the last two seasons, has been an offensive coordinator three times previously, and has coached for ten teams in his career. Raye is a fellow proponent of the vertical passing game set up by power running, similar to Turner's modus operandi.

Defensive Coordinator - UNFILLED as of 1/30/04. Turner has yet to name a defensive coordinator, although Dave McGinnis is considered a leading candidate. Whether the media is mentioning McGinnis simply because he's the most recognizable defensive coach still on the market, or the Raiders have actually expressed interest remains to be seen.

FANTASY IMPACT: It's looking like a difficult time to be a Raiders fan. Not only did the team lose Bruce Allen, considered one of the better executives in the league, it also suffered an embarrassing coaching search, which culminated in Turner. While Turner has certainly manned some successful offenses in his NFL tenure, he's not exactly known for putting fantastic teams on the field either. When you consider that Turner's hallmark has been smash mouth running attacks, one has to wonder how the Raiders current personnel fit with that, if at all. Combine that with many question marks in terms of age and ability of the returning players, and the Raiders are as big a fantasy question mark as it gets for 2004.
Washington Redskins
Head Coach - Joe Gibbs; what needs to be said about the man who brought three Super Bowl titles to D.C. before retiring to form a Nascar team? Gibbs returns unexpectedly and has also taken control of football operations, perhaps the only man alive that owner Dan Snyder would've allocated so much power.

Offensive Coordinator - Joe Bugel and Ernie Zampese?; Gibbs has yet to officially name an offensive coordinator, and he may instead opt to call the plays himself as he did in his past tenure. However, the closest things to an OC on staff are noted vets Joe Bugel and Ernie Zampese. Officially, Bugel will serve as assistant head coach and offensive line coach, while Zampese has no official title but will assist in play calling duties.

Defensive Coordinator - Gregg Williams; Williams quickly joined Gibbs' staff after being fired as the Bills head coach. Williams was considered one of the most in demand defensive coordinator possibilities, having crafted strong defenses in his years with Tennessee (formerly Houston) prior to becoming a head coach.

FANTASY IMPACT: Coaching football is a lot like riding a bike; once you learn you don't ever really forget. While Gibbs will have to learn to deal with issues like the salary cap and free agency this time around, he still ultimately will win or lose by whether he can get the most out of his team. Until someone proves otherwise, we're giving Gibbs the benefit of the doubt and expect big fantasy production from this team. The Redskins are not lacking in talent offensively, with two solid tackles, a talented young QB and two very good young receivers. You can count on Gibbs & Company putting an emphasis on protecting Patrick Ramsey, which means he'll have plenty of time to find Coles and Gardner on the outside. Defensively, Williams was the hottest commodity this offseason and should put together a solid scheme emphasizing the talented linebacker corps and playing plenty of man coverage with Bailey (if he re-signs) and Smoot on the outside.

Other Coaching Changes of Note

Cleveland Browns Offensive Coordinator - Terry Robiskie has been promoted to offensive coordinator after serving as receivers coach in 2003. Robiskie has many years of experience, serving in the OC capacity in Oakland under Art Shell and also serving as a coach/interim head coach in Washington during the Norv Turner era.

Detroit Lions Defensive Coordinator - Dick Jauron, the Bears recently fired head coach, has joined the Lions as their new defensive coordinator. Jauron replaces Kurt Schottenheimer (Marty's son).

Green Bay Packers Defensive Coordinator - Bob Slowik, the Packers promoted secondary coach Bob Slowik to defensive coordinator. Slowik replaces Ed Donatell, fired as a scapegoat for allowing Philadelphia to complete the 4th and 26th which helped the Eagles beat the Packers in the divisional playoffs. Slowik has been an NFL defensive coordinator twice before, with the Bears and the Browns.

Kansas City Chiefs Defensive Coordinator - Gunther Cunningham, long time Chiefs assistant coach and former head coach, has returned home to serve as Dick Vermeil's defensive coordinator. Most recently Cunnigham was coaching the linebackers in Tennessee.

Miami Dolphins Offensive Coordinator - Upon Norv Turner's acceptance of the Raiders HC job, Miami immediately promoted Joel Collier, its RB coach of the past 6 seasons, to the position of OC.

Minnesota Vikings Defensive Coordinator - Ted Cottrell has accepted Mike Tice's offer to replace George O'Leary as the Vikes' Defensive Coordinator.
New York Jets Defensive Coordinator -Donnie Henderson was named the Jets new defensive coordinator. Henderson served as the Ravens secondary coach for the last five seasons.

Pittsburgh Steelers Offensive Coordinator - TE coach Ken Whisenhunt was promoted to offensive coordinator and Russ Grimm, the team's offensive line coach, was given the title of assistant head coach.

Pittsburgh Steelers Defensive Coordinator - Dick LeBeau, the man credited with creating the zone blitz, is returning to the Steelers for his second stint as the team's defensive coordinator. LeBeau served on the Bills staff last year after a go as the Bengals head coach prior to Marvin Lewis.

St. Louis Rams Defensive Coordinator - Larry Marmie, long time coaching associate of Mike Martz, has been hired to replace Lovie Smith. Marmie most recently held the defensive coordinator job in Arizona.

San Diego Chargers Defensive Coordinator - Wade Phillips, most recently defensive coordinator for the Falcons, has accepted the same position under Marty Schottenheimer in San Diego. Phillips has served as head coach of the Bills, and held numerous coordinator positions throughout the years.

San Francisco 49ers Offensive Coordinator - Ted Tollner has accepted a promotion to offensive coordinator of the 49ers. Tollner served as the team's QB coach under Greg Knapp, who is now in Atlanta.

San Francisco 49ers Defensive Coordinator - SF hired Willy Robinson as its new defensive coordinator. Robinson had spent the last four years as the Steelers secondary coach, and is a long time associate of head coach Dennis Erickson dating back to the University of Miami days.

VI. Situations to Watch: Cap Casualties and Positional Battles

Fantasy production is defined primarily by two factors: Ability and Opportunity. A player can possess Hall of Fame ability, but if they're stuck behind someone on the depth charts, so be it. Steve Young had to sit behind Joe Montana, but could've started for most NFL teams at the time. In today's NFL, with salary cap constraints and free agency, teams must make difficult decisions, choosing to let go productive players for the betterment of the team, or for purely financial reasons. While it's extremely difficult to predict many of these occurrences, here are some key situations to watch, which will play a role in next year's fantasy outcome.

Bills' RB Situation - Travis Henry is under contract through 2005, but with Willis McGahee back from injury, Henry is likely to demand a new contract or demand a trade. If McGahee shows no ill effects from his knee injury, the Bills could trade Henry, a very productive back, but probably not until next offseason. Look for possible RBBC, a killer to fantasy owners the world over.

Dolphins' QB Situation - Both Brian Griese and Jay Fiedler are due sizable roster bonuses and salaries in 2004. With Wannstedt in a "win now" mode and Dan Marino the new head of football operations, don't be surprised to see the Dolphins go in another direction in 2004. The most likely scenario involves drafting a QB early and using a veteran, perhaps Fiedler, as a stopgap.

Ty Law's Future with the Pats - Ty Law is one of the best corners in the game, but he's due $5.7 million next year in salary and the Patriots may look to jettison him unless he's willing to rework his deal.

Jets' Receiver Situation - The Jets are in dire need of another playmaker at the receiver position, preferably a large target to compliment the speedy but small Santana Moss. Will the Jets pursue Terrell Owens, who would thrive in the big market? Stay tuned.

Ravens' Receiving Corps - The Ravens need to revamp the offense and seem committed to developing Kyle Boller. The team has lots of cap room and few needs defensively, so look for them to be major players in the market for receivers.

Carson Palmer or Jon Kitna? - Kitna made many fantasy owners happy this year, but Marvin Lewis has opened up the competition for 2004. Palmer wasn't drafted first overall to sit on the bench, but the question remains can he win the job and, if he does, will it be beneficial to Chad Johnson and Peter Warrick?

Corey Dillon's Future - The Bengals must decide what to do with Dillon, who seems to have burned his bridges with coaches and teammates. Plenty of teams would be interested in his services (e.g., Dallas, New England) and he'll probably be a starter somewhere next year.

Is Lee Suggs the answer? - In Cleveland, Lee Suggs came on very late in the year and hinted at possible fantasy greatness. Will the team commit to Suggs in 2004 or is William Green, a Butch Davis favorite, still in the mix despite his tempestuous 2003 season?

Grooming a new RB in Pittsburgh - The Bettis/Zereoue experiment failed, and now the Steelers must move forward. All signs point to Bettis returning in 2004, to serve as a mentor for a new RB, likely selected early in the NFL draft. Zero probably has seen his last days as a Steeler.

Is Domanick Davis the man in Houston? - Many people, us included, assume Davis will be the feature back in Houston next season. Davis has proven to be a well rounded fantasy player and ranks highly in early 2004 draft lists. But the Texans have Tony Hollings as well, could the team use RBBC next year and foil many owners' plans?

Will Manning be franchised? - Manning is due to become the highest paid player in the NFL, but the team must franchise him to protect themselves if a contract isn't agreed to in the next few weeks. Manning would count almost $15 million against the cap if he signed a one year franchise tender, the Colts must get a friendlier long term deal in place.

Where will Mark Brunell land? - Mark Brunell has played his final game as a Jaguar, the team will release him this offseason. Brunell wants to start for a playoff contender, which narrows down the possibilities. Will a team such as the Cowboys or Dolphins give him a chance?

Does Chris Brown supplant Eddie George in 2004? - Eddie George must restructure his contact to remain a Titan, and he appears willing to do so. That said, do the Titans commit to the young Brown, and will George be happy as a mentor with a minimal workload?

Who will catch the ball in Denver? - Shannon Sharpe is leaning toward retirement, Ed McCaffrey is probably a cap casualty, Rod Smith is nearing the end of his productive years and Ashley Lelie didn't endear himself to coaches in 2003. The Broncos must address their WR needs, and probably go about doing so through a combination of the draft and free agency.

Can Gunther Cunningham right the Chiefs ship defensively? - Gunther Cunningham returns home to head up the Chiefs defense. The team only needs the defense to play mediocre, that's enough to make them a Super Bowl contender. Can he do accomplish that task with the current roster?

What else can go wrong in Oakland? - Will Rich Gannon be brought back at 38 to run the team? Will Tim Brown and/or Jerry Rice retire? Will Charlie Garner be shown the door for cap purposes? There is no team in the NFL with as many question marks offensively heading into 2004, and uncertainty is not something that puts a smile on fantasy owners' faces.

Does Brees get another shot? - The Chargers have the top pick in the NFL draft, again. With Eli Manning atop the board, will the Chargers pull the trigger on a franchise QB or can Brees salvage another chance? If the Chargers don't take a QB, do they trade down or perhaps go with Larry Fitzgerald?

Will Parcells be content to stand pat? - The look on Parcells' face late in the season and in the playoffs tells you that he's not going to start the 2004 season with Quincy Carter and Troy Hambrick as his main offensive weapons. Hambrick is definitely gone, and Carter more than likely will be replace too.

Will Tiki remain the workhorse in New York? - Tom Coughlin is a disciplinarian and has will not tolerate fumbling, regardless of how talented Barber remains. Will Coughlin look to resurrect Ron Dayne, or perhaps bring in Stacey Mack, a former favorite; to share the crucial goal line carries?

Will the Eagles finally get McNabb playmakers? - McNabb has tried remaining the good solider, but he finally admitted the need for some firepower in the passing game. Will the team use its considerable cap room to bring in someone like Terrell Owens, Tai Streets or Darrell Jackson? If they do, McNabb becomes an even more attractive fantasy prospect.

What will Gibbs' offense look like? - Joe Gibbs will probably use a similar style of offense to what worked in his last tenure. And that's good news for Patrick Ramsey owners, because Gibbs will protect Ramsey in the pocket, something Spurrier refused to do. There is quite a bit of talent on the Redskins roster already, look for Gibbs to add a tight end and running back to finish off the unit, and look for fantasy production across the board from that group.

Are the Bears finally going to take some chances offensively? - There wasn't a more conservative play caller in the league last year than John Shoop, who has been replaced by Terry Shea, who promises a balanced attack in the fashion of Dick Vermeil's Chiefs and Rams teams. If Shea is successful, that bodes well for Rex Grossman and whomever the team taps as the starting RB, be it A-Train or someone new.

Does Mooch get Harrington over the hump in 2004? - Joey Harrington must improve in 2004, or the team has to start thinking about going in another direction at the position. 2004 should see a full year of Charles Rogers at WR, and Detroit will likely bring a rookie RB into the fold as well. This could be a sleeper offense, but the pieces must be put into place.

Which receiver will come out of nowhere in Green Bay? - Does Javon Walker emerge as a 1,000-yard receiver? Will Robert Ferguson be the next in a long line of Packers' leading pass catchers? Or will someone new emerge; the way Donald Driver did in 2002? With Favre back for another season, we know there will be passes to catch and touchdowns to score.

Minnesota's RB Situation - Michael Bennett is a game breaker when healthy. Onterrio Smith didn't do much in 2003, but when he finally got the chance he looked every bit the part of a franchise back. Moe Williams remains a guy who can make plays when called upon. Does Minnesota commit to one of these guys in 2004, or do we fantasy owners have a dreaded RBBC on our hands?

Does the "West Coast Offense" suit Vick & Company? - Greg Knapp knows quarterbacks, having worked with Steve Young, Elvis Grbac and most recently Jeff Garcia. Will he be able to craft an offensive attack that meets the unique talents (and deficiencies) of Mike Vick? If Vick stays healthy, we could see dramatic improvements in the production of Peerless Price and Brian Finneran, as well.

Is DeShaun Foster the RB of the future, or today? - A healthy DeShaun Foster may be as good, or better than, Stephan Davis. Will the team use RBBC next year or remain committed to Davis, who John Fox claimed would get 350+ carries in 2003.

Aaron Brooks, can he win back the coaches and fans? - Fantasy owners had few complaints about Aaron Brooks. He led the league in TD-to-Int ratio and was a solid fantasy option. However, he once again came up short as a team leader and needs to take major steps in that department or face benching.

Where will Keyshawn sign? - Keyshawn Johnson is going to be cut by the Bucs and will have offers from a number of teams. Where will he sign, and will he be a productive fantasy player in 2004?

Who will Dennis Green build his offense around? - It's hard to imagine Dennis Green standing pat with McCown as his QB in 2004, but if he feels the need to draft Larry Fitzgerald, he may be willing to live with a mediocre QB for a year. But more likely Green will take one of the top rated QBs, either Roethlisberger or Manning, depending on what happens with the first pick.

So it's back to Kurt Warner? - Kurt Warner is going to be a Ram next year, mark that down. It's prohibitive against the cap to cut Warner, and Martz believes that two QBs are a necessity, not a luxury. However, Bulger's uneven play last year has opened the door for Warner, who is expected to compete for, and most likely win, the starting job again in 2004. Déjà vu?

Does Garcia get to run the ship? - We're assuming Terrell Owens flies the coop, but will Jeff Garcia remain the 49ers QB? Even though Dennis Erickson says he wants Garcia back, the team has a huge cap number and must work on resigning key free agents including Julian Peterson, Ahmed Plummer, Kevan Barlow (RFA), and possibly Tai Streets.

Has Holmgren had enough of Jackson and Robinson? - It's difficult to find a tandem of receivers with as much talent as DJax and Koren Robinson, but they are also undisciplined and prone to drops, which is a recurrent problem bound to frustrate Holmgren and Matt Hasselbeck. With Jackson a free agent, does Holmgren let him walk and bring in someone who would have a maturing influence on Koren? Stay tuned.

We hope you enjoyed this overview; it should give you plenty of things to think about, watch for, and react to this offseason. And before you know it, it will be time to dust off those VBD spreadsheets, crank open the debate threads at the Footballguys message boards, and get ready for Draft Day 2004!

Cheers!