Passing Matchups

Plummer practiced on Tuesday and is expected to start on Sunday, despite soreness in his healing left foot and in his throwing shoulder (slightly separated). The team is glad to see him back after Danny Kanell gave it the old-college try but failed to win any games with Plummer on the sidelines. Plummer is the 10th ranked fantasy QB this year in FP per game, so he was quite good before breaking the foot. 80/131 for 904 yards, 8 TDs and 3 interceptions in 5 games is good in our book.

Rod Smith (72 targets this season), Shannon Sharpe (62 targets) and Ashley Lelie (55 targets) are the 1-2-3 combination that are getting their numbers called this season - that shouldn't change with Plummer back under center. He had a great, if brief, game against the Chargers week 2, with 9/13 for 94 yards and 3 scores with 0 interceptions before leaving due to his shoulder injury.

San Diego continues to bleed points in this phase: 32/44 for 370 yards, 4 TDs and 1 interception to Daunte Culpepper last week, after playing credibly against the Bears, allowing 21/30 for 224 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception to Chris Chandler week 9. The Chargers have allowed 19 passing scores to date (worst in the league), and average 234.1 passing yards given away per game (26th). They are very bad.

Ed McCaffrey continues to be nagged by his quadriceps (questionable), while Plummer's foot and shoulder are sore and tender (probable). Reserve DB Vernon Fox missed last week for the Chargers due to his sore groin (probable).

The forecast for the Mile High Stadium calls for a high of 53F and a low of 36F with a 10% chance for precipitation. Good football weather is coming to the high plains this weekend.

San Diego is horrible at pass defense, and Denver has great talent - advantage, Denver.

Oakland's Passing Game vs. The Minnesota Defense (Great Matchup)

Oakland's Rich Gannon has not thrown a pass in practice yet, so it looks like the Silver and Black will have to go with Rick Mirer again this weekend. Mirer hit for 18/25 yielding 186 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions last week vs. the Jets, and was 9 of 11 on third down throws - and he avoided the mistakes that turn into interceptions last week, most importantly. Still, fantasy owners are hard pressed to find much to get excited about when Jerry Rice leads the team in receiving with 4/41/0.

Minnesota is getting blown up in a big way recently, surrendering 18/28 for 194 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception to Favre and company two weeks ago, and then following up that performance by allowing 21/29 for 248 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions to Doug Flutie and friends last week (the Vikes also scored 4 rushing TDs). They are ranked 30th in the NFL averaging 238.3 passing yards allowed per game, and have coughed up 13 scores so far. They are tied for 10th in the NFL with 21 sacks, and have 18 interceptions this season, so not everything is going wrong - just most everything.

Gannon is listed as out on the initial injury report. Minnesota says S Jack Brewer is out (shoulder).

The forecast for Network Associates Coliseum calls for a high of 62F and a low of 47F with a 10% chance for precipitation. A great day to play a football game is on tap.

Minnesota is stone cold and sinking fast, while Mirer is finding a modest passing game to suit his limited talents - this is one of the best matchups he'll see in his time under center.

Arizona's Passing Game vs. The Cleveland Defense (Good Matchup)

Jeff Blake had a great game last week, with 23/43 for 307 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions vs. the Steelers - but his team lost. No surprises in the list of top targets - Anquan Boldin saw the most passes (12 for 8/118/1), Bryant Johnson was next (9 for 3/76/1) followed by Freddie Jones and Marcel Shipp with 8 targets each (4/66/0 and 6/40/0, respectively). Blake is pretty hot over his last 3 games (and is protecting the ball well) with 55/95 for 570 yards, 4 TDs with 0 interceptions, and 12/72/1 rushing in addition - good enough for 7th among all fantasy signal callers over that span.

Cleveland was spanked to the tune of 29/42 for 368 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions by KC last week, and allowed 20/33 for 259 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions to Tom Brady in week 8. That's pretty soft play, folks. This season, the Browns are the 5th ranked pass D in the land, allowing an average of 181.8 passing yards per game, and only 7 TDs all year - they have really slipped in their last few games. Cleveland is also 23rd in the NFL with only 16 sacks this season - not much pass rush is being brought to bear right now.

Cleveland lists reserve DB Lewis Sanders (groin, questionable), CB Daylon McCutcheon (knee, questionable), and CB Roosevelt Williams (shoulder, probable). Meanwhile Arizona is still waiting on reserve WR Jason McAddley to get his hamstring healthy.

The forecast for Cleveland Browns' Stadium calls for a high of 49F and a low of 41F with a 30% chance for precipitation. If the rains come down hard, footing and ball handling may become issues on Sunday.

Cleveland is stone cold, while Arizona has been playing well in this phase - advantage, Arizona.

Carolina's Passing Game vs. The Washington Defense (Good Matchup)

Jake Delhomme is proving that he can throw the ball well when he needs to, hitting on 20/32 for 277 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions in the big win over Tampa last week. His favorite target remains Steve Smith (11 for 9/72/1), but crafty vet Ricky Proehl continues to sneak up on opposing DB's (5 targets for 3/133/1 including a 66 yard sprint into the end-zone - there's some life left in those legs). Don't expect Delhomme to do that every week, but he can energize his WRs in spots - especially Smith, who sees a lot of balls every week.

Washington allowed 19/29 for 241 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception to Matt Hasselbeck last week, while limiting Dallas to 17/33 for 196 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions the week before. They are solidly in the bottom half of the NFL this season, though, with an average of 210.3 passing yards allowed per game, and 15 passing scores surrendered so far (tied for 3rd worst in the NFL). Their 14 sacks tie them for 26th in the NFL - not a lot of pressure is coming to bear on opposing QB's from the pass-rushers. Last week, DB Ifeanyi Ohalete collected 11 solo tackles and 1 pass defensed - he was the 5th best fantasy DB in the land.

Washington's secondary is nicked up: CB Rashad Bauman (ankle, questionable), S Andre Lott (ankle, questionable), CB Champ Bailey (wrist/shoulder, probable) and CB Fred Smoot (chest, probable) are all on the initial injury report.

The forecast for Ericsson Stadium calls for a high of 61F and a low of 42F with a 10% chance for precipitation. Great football weather, in other words.

Carolina throws the ball effectively when they need to - if Stephen Davis can play this week, they may not need to throw a bunch, though. However, if DeShaun Foster is the starter, they may sling it around a good bit. When they do throw, the Panthers should enjoy good success against the bottom-tier Redskins.

Kansas City's Passing Game vs. The Cincinnati Defense (Good Matchup)

Trent Green and company rolled over Cleveland last week, to the tune of 29/42 for 368 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions. Tony Gonzalez (9 for 7/70/1), Priest Holmes (9 for 7/66/0) and Eddie Kennison (12 for 7/115/1) all snagged 7 catches on the way to a 41-20 victory. Johnnie Morton had 5 for 3/49/1 to account for the 3rd TD. Green has been on a tear in his last two outings, with 49/77 for 641 yards, 5 TDs and 0 interceptions - he's the 2nd best fantasy QB in FP per game in the past 3 weeks.

Cincinnati has been allowing a lot of TDs lately: 18/28 for 166 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions by Jeff Blake two games ago, and 11/25 for 146 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception by David Carr last week. They have given away 13 scores this season, and currently rank 16th allowing an average of 198.7 passing yards per game.

KC enjoys relatively good health on their squad, listing Dante Hall as probable (shoulder) with Johnnie Morton as questionable (groin). Cincinnati has been without backup DB Artrell Hawkins recently (knee, questionable). Starting CB Jeff Burris is out (head), while S Marquand Manuel (hamstring) is probable.

The forecast for Paul Brown Stadium calls for a high of 54F and a low of 42F with a 10% chance for precipitation. Nice football weather, if the forecast holds up.

KC is on a roll, and the Bengals (down starting CB Jeff Burris) are mediocre-to-poor in this phase of the game, depending on the week. Advantage, KC.

Minnesota's Passing Game vs. The Oakland Defense (Good Matchup)

32/44 for 370 yards, 4 TDs and 1 interception is what Culpepper threw for in the loss to San Diego last week - Culpepper did his part, but the rush D let him down in a big way (the Chargers scored 4 rushing TDs in their blowout victory). Randy Moss had 17 passes thrown his way (11/120/1), while Moe Williams made out with 12 targets for 11/126/2. TE Jim Kleinsasser saw 6 balls (5/61/0). Culpepper has hit 71/109 for 813 yards, 8 TDs and 3 interceptions the past 3 weeks, with 15/106/1 rushing to boot - #1 fantasy QB in the land during that span.

Oakland has been mediocre in this phase all year, allowing an average of 198.1 passing yards per game (15th in the league) with 11 passing score surrendered. 18/27 for 269 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions were allowed to Chad Pennington last week; 13/21 for 117 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception to Joey Harrington in the previous game. They have bounced around their season average in recent weeks, without dominating anybody (both games ended in a loss for Oakland). The Raiders are tied for 28th in the league with only 11 sacks in 2003.

Both squads come into this game in relatively good health. S Rod Woodson is questionable due to a knee/quadriceps injury.

The forecast for Network Associates Coliseum calls for a high of 62F and a low of 47F with a 10% chance for precipitation. A great day to play a football game is on tap.

Minnesota is explosive, Oakland is blah, vanilla, average - advantage, Minnesota.

New Orleans' Passing Game vs. The Atlanta Defense (Good Matchup)

In the big win over Tampa Bay (week 9), Aaron Brooks put up 13/29 for 142 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception. Joe Horn and the emerging "Beer Man" Michael Lewis were most targeted (9 and 7 times, respectively) - with Lewis snagging 3/69/1 and Horn grabbing 4/39/0. Brooks hasn't been a fantasy force in recent weeks, with 33/62 for 329 yards, 3 TDs and 2 interceptions (3/18/0 rushing in that span) - 19th in FP per game among QB's in the last 3 weeks. Back in week 7, Aaron Brooks and Joe Horn torched the Falcons for 23/30 for 352 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions and 8/133/1, respectively.

The Atlanta secondary seems to be responding to the recent shake-up, limiting Kerry Collins to 27/44 for 211 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions last week, while allowing 21/33 for 312 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions to Donovan McNabb. They have been struggling all year long, allowing an average of 262.9 passing yards per game (worst in the NFL) and giving away 14 passing scores - but only 1 in recent games. They look like they are finally righting their ship. Two Falcon DB's made the top ten on the IDP board last week - Bryan Scott was 4th with 4 solo tackles, 3 assists, 1 interception, 1 fumble recovery and 1 pass defensed, while Tod McBride was 7th with 5 solo tackles, 1 interception and 4 passes defensed.

New Orleans continues to wait for Donte Stallworth to get healthy (quadriceps, probable), while Joe Horn nurses his knee injury (questionable). Atlanta lists S Kevin McAdam (hamstring, doubtful), and DB's Kevin Mathis (hamstring, questionable) and Gerald McBurrows (knee, questionable) along with S Cory Hall (calf, questionable) on their injury report.

This game is being played in the Superdome, so weather isn't an issue.

Atlanta has been pretty bad all year long, and the Saints can be explosive. We think that Brooks and company have a good shot at a productive day in this one, at home. If some of the remaining DB's don't get healthier as the week goes along, the Falcons will be very thin in the secondary on Sunday.

Philadelphia's Passing Game vs. The New York Giants' Defense (Good Matchup)

Donovan McNabb was horrible the last time he faced the Giants, in week 7, tossing 9/23 for 64 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception. Last week, McNabb threw for 15/38 yielding 198 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions in poor conditions at Green Bay. James Thrash and Chad Lewis saw the most balls (9 and 6 respectively) followed by Todd Pinkston who was targeted 5 times. 2/55/0, 2/33/0, and 3/26/1 is what each guy converted his chances into on the score-board. The Eagle's wide-outs have yet to be game-breakers in 2003, but at least the ball is getting to them lately.

The Giants gave up 9/23 for 65 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions to Kurt Kittner last week (While Warrick Dunn and company trampled the rush D), and 27/45 for 281 yards, 4 TDs and 2 interceptions to Chad Pennington the week before. For the season, the Giants are 14th in the league, allowing an average of 196.9 passing yards per game, with 10 TDs allowed to date. They are pretty mediocre.

Starting CB William Peterson ended up his season on IR; and new starting CB Ralph Brown separated his right shoulder in the game last week (out). S Johnnie Harris is questionable (hamstring) while CB Kato Serwanga is probable (ankle). The Eagles list Todd Pinkston as questionable with a toe injury.

The forecast for Lincoln Financial Field calls for a high of 54F and a low of 38F with a 10% chance for precipitation. Fine football weather, in other words.

McNabb and the Eagles are slowly getting their game back, and the Giants are reeling from the loss to Atlanta and the carpet-bombing Pennington put on them 2 weeks ago - and they have lost yet another CB for this week. Advantage, Philadelphia.

San Francisco's Passing Game vs. The Pittsburgh Defense (Good Matchup)

Tim Rattay was brilliant in his first start of the season, with 19/29 for 236 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception. His favorite targets were Terrell Owens (5 for2/17/1) Kevan Barlow (5 for 3/31/0) Fred Beasley (5 for 3/46/0) and Tai Streets (4 for 3/26/1), while rookie WR Brandon Lloyd snagged the other TD on 2/35/1 worth of work. Rattay looked comfortable and poised under center last week.

Pittsburgh is not hard to score on: 23/43 for 307 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions were surrendered to Jeff Blake last week; while 18/31 for 215 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions were allowed to Matt Hasselbeck the week before. The Steelers have given away 14 passing TDs this season, and rank 12th in the league allowing 194.1 passing yards on average. They do have 23 sacks this season (7th in the NFL), so at least they get to opposing passers fairly regularly. Last week, Deshea Townsend was the 6th best fantasy DB in the land, with 7 tackles, 1 sack, 1 forced fumble and 2 passes defensed.

This week, San Francisco lists Terrell Owens as probable with his sore groin - Owens skipped practice to have the injury MRI'ed on Wednesday. Tai Streets (quadriceps) and Cedrick Wilson (hamstring) are both probable too, while Garcia is listed as questionable (ankle). WR Arnaz Battle (toe) is questionable.

The forecast for 3Com Park calls for a high of 66F and a low of 51F with a 10% chance for precipitation. That's great football weather, if the forecast holds up.

Pittsburgh is mediocre-to-bad at pass defense from week to week, while Rattay is on fire but unproven - this is still a good matchup for the 49ers.

Seattle's Passing Game vs. The Detroit Defense (Good Matchup)

Matt Hasselbeck put up 19/29 for 241 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception vs. Washington last week. His top 3 targets were all wide receivers, with Darrel Jackson and Koren Robinson seeing 8 passes, and Bobby Engram getting a shot at 6. Robinson led the way with 5/88/0, Engram had 6/65/1 and Jackson converted 4/41/0. In his last 3 outings, Hasselbeck has thrown for 63/103 yielding 803 yards, 5 TDs and 4 interceptions - 6th among all fantasy QB's in FP per game during that span.

Detroit held Chandler and friends to 16/28 for 149 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception last week, and limited the Raiders to 21/39 for 190 yards, 0 TDs and 3 interceptions two weeks ago - they actually won both games. However, neither of those teams is a top-shelf attack in 2003. Detroit is usually around the 209.8 passing yards allowed mark (21st in the NFL) and they have given away 15 passing scores - the strong performances were against weak teams.

Starting CB Dre' Bly is still hobbled by his injury (hamstring, questionable), and DB Jimmy Wyrick (chest, questionable) missed the game last week, while reserve DB Rod Babers injured his shoulder in the game (out - IR). S Bracy Walker has a sore finger (probable). Seattle is in good health this week.

The forecast for Seahawks Stadium calls for a high of 51F and a low of 43F with a 50% chance for precipitation. If the rain falls hard around game-time, footing and ball-handling could become issues in slick conditions.

Seattle has a very talented roster, while the Lions are injury-depleted and fairly soft. Advantage, Seattle.

Tampa Bay's Passing Game vs. The Green Bay Defense (Good Matchup)

Brad Johnson threw for 24/43 yielding 275 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception in the waning moments of the game last week, and almost pulled out a "W" in Carolina. Almost. It was a fine fantasy outing for Keenan McCardell (9/118/1) and Keyshawn Johnson (5/80/1) owners - both guys made good things happen when their team needed it. Brad Johnson has racked up 64/115 for 759 yards, 5 TDs and 3 interceptions over the past 3 weeks, good for 8th among all fantasy QB's in FP per week during that span.

Green Bay contained Donovan McNabb last week, holding him to 15/31 for 198 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions in slippery conditions. Daunte Culpepper touched them for 21/34 for 202 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions the week before. Green Bay is pretty soft vs. the pass in 2003, ranking 28th while allowing an average of 235 passing yards per game, with 13 TDs surrendered to date. They are 25th in the NFL with only 15 sacks, so most guys have time to survey the field when they play the Pack.

Green Bay comes into this one healthy (Darren Sharper is probable with a sore knee), while the Bucs are down backup WR Joe Jurevicius due to his knee injury (questionable), and TE Ken Dilger has an elbow injury (questionable), while WR Karl Williams is probable despite a sore ankle.

The forecast for Raymond James Stadium calls for a high of 82F and a low of 67F with a 10% chance for precipitation. Downright balmy weather, which should be good for both teams.

Look for Johnson to enjoy a good day against the suspect Packer secondary.

Tennessee's Passing Game vs. The Jacksonville Defense (Good Matchup)

Steve McNair threw for 17/23 yielding 201 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions vs. Miami last week. He has hit 38/50 for 388 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception in his past 2 outings, putting him at #17 among all fantasy QB's in FP per game over the last 3 weeks. Last week, he tossed 8 balls to Derrick Mason (6/98/0), 5 to Tyrone Calico (3/53/1) and 3 to Justin McCareins (3/26/1). Last time these teams hooked up, in week 8, McNair had a solid but unspectacular day with 21/27 for 187 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception. Calico caught the TD (3/27/1), while Bennett led in yardage that day (4/48/0).

Jacksonville allowed 28/45 for 347 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions to Peyton Manning last week; while holding the Ravens to 10/23 for 156 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception 2 games ago. The Jags are the 24th ranked secondary in the NFL this season, surrendering an average of 222.6 passing yards per game, and have given up 15 passing scores this season (tied for 3rd worst in the NFL). They are 28th in the NFL with only 11 sacks - the Jaguars just aren't very good in this phase of the game.

Starting CB Jason Craft (knee, questionable) missed the game last week, while CB Deke Cooper is probable despite a sore groin. Tennessee will go without Drew Bennett (calf, out).

The forecast for the Coliseum calls for a high of 58F and a low of 45F with a 20% chance for precipitation. That should make for a fine afternoon.

Tennessee has proven they can be very dangerous, and the Jags just aren't able to cope with good QB's very well. Advantage, Tennessee.

Washington's Passing Game vs. The Carolina Defense (Good Matchup)

18/33 for 242 yards, 3 TDs and 2 interceptions is what the Redskins generated last week, with Ramsey pitching for 17/32 for 232 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions on the day. WR Rod Gardner threw a TD to Trung Canidate - both he and Laveranues Coles saw 11 targets last week, for 8/81/1 and 5/125/1, respectively. The Redskins enjoyed a win over the Seattle Seahawks as a result. Ramsey has compiled 33/62 for 379 yards, 4 TDs and 2 interceptions in the last 2 games, so he is starting to get back on track in the passing game. Best of all, he wasn't sacked at all last week (for the first time in forever).

Carolina allowed 13/19 for 154 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions to the Texans 2 games ago, and 24/43 for 275 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception to Brad Johnson and the Buccaneers last week. They didn't dominate the Bucs, but it was good enough to give their team a "W". This season, the Panthers are pretty mediocre at pass defense, with an average of 223.2 passing yards allowed per game (25th in the league), 12 passing scores allowed, and a paltry 6 interceptions despite 22 sacks (8th in the NFL).

Carolina is pretty healthy coming into the game, while Washington is healthy as well.

The forecast for Ericsson Stadium calls for a high of 61F and a low of 42F with a 10% chance for precipitation. Great football weather, in other words.

Ramsey and his team-mates are finding a rhythm, and the Panthers are pretty soft in pass defense. The only mismatch here is that the Redskins have allowed 29 sacks (first in the league) and the Panthers are good at generating sacks - Washington will have to protect Ramsey in this game. And you can bet the Panthers will blitz more than Seattle did. However, we think his WR are good enough to get open early and often - advantage, just barely to Washington.

Cleveland's Passing Game vs. The Arizona Defense (Neutral Matchup)

19/27 for 149 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception was what Kelly Holcomb managed last week.

In a somewhat surprising move this week, the Browns let their leading wide receiver go - Kevin Johnson was dumped with a team-best 41/381 yards to his credit in 2003. ``It's a complete shock to me,'' Johnson told The Associated Press in an exclusive interview in his home. ``I had a great 4 1/2 years in Cleveland, but I never thought it would end this way. I'm still trying to figure this out.''

Browns fans, too, are left wondering why Davis would release Johnson--the team's most consistent receiver--at this point in the season and after signing him to a four-year, $13.35 million contract extension with a $3.5 million signing bonus before last season.

Johnson said Davis called him into his office on Tuesday to inform him that he was no longer in the team's future plans.
``I'm really disappointed in the way it ended, simply because of all that I've done for him (Davis),'' Johnson said. ``I never questioned him and I never talked bad about him to anyone or about anything. It doesn't make sense.'' (11/11/03 AP article by Joe Milicia)

While it's true that the Browns have a lot of WR talent on their roster, letting their top WR go while the unit is struggling seems like a dubious move. Holcomb's top targets last week were Andre Davis and Dennis Northcutt, with 6 targets each - Quincy Morgan saw 4 balls come his way. None of them went over 40 yards receiving, and none of them caught the lone TD (that went to FB R.J. Bowers).

Two weeks ago Cincinnati managed 21/38 for 218 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions vs. the Cardinals, while 12/29 for 159 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions were allowed to Tommy Maddox last week. The Cards are the 13th ranked pass D in terms of yards allowed per game (196), but tied for 3rd-worst with 15 passing scores surrendered. They are 30th in the league with 9 sacks, and have generated only 5 interceptions all year. Not too good, huh?

Arizona lists S Adrian Wilson (hand, probable). Cleveland lists TE Steve Heiden as out on IR due to an ankle injury.

The Browns aren't too hot, and neither are the Cardinals. Sounds like an ugly but neutral matchup to us.

Detroit's Passing Game vs. The Seattle Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Kevin Johnson, late of Cleveland, was courted by Detroit this week - reports indicate that the Lions put in a claim for him on the waiver wire after his surprise release by Butch Davis and company. Alas for the Lions, the Jaguars got to Johnson first. Since Charles Rogers injured his collarbone, the receiving corps has been less-than-impressive in Detroit. Last week, in the field-goal extravaganza against Chicago, the Lions' Joey Harrington threw for 24/38 yielding 238 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions. Scotty Anderson was targeted most among the WR last week, with 8 balls for 5/77/0, and TE Casey Fitzsimmons got into the act with 8 for 5/33/0. Harrington remains in the bottom tier of fantasy signal callers (26th) thanks to his lack of scoring - 60/99 for 535 yards, 2 TDs and 3 interceptions in the last 3 games.

Seattle hasn't been too good in this phase lately, surrendering 18/33 for 242 yards, 3 TDs and 2 interceptions to the Redskins; while allowing 21/35 for 226 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions to Tommy Maddox and the Steelers in week 9. They are ranked 18th in the league with a 200.9 passing yards allowed per game average, and have given up 10 passing TDs (4 in the last 2 games) this season.

Charles Rogers and Eddie Drummond remain sidelined for the Lions, and WR Shawn Jefferson was put on IR with a knee injury. Seattle lists S Damien Robinson as doubtful with a shoulder injury, and S Ken Hamlin has a sore foot (probable).

Two mediocre-to-poor units face off in this neutral matchup.

Green Bay's Passing Game vs. The Tampa Bay Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Brett Favre had an off night last week: 14/22 for 109 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception in poor conditions at Lambeau Field. Donald Driver (6 for 2/18/0),. Ahman Green (4 for 3/32/0) and Javon Walker (4 for 2/9/0) were his top 3 targets, while Bubba Franks only saw one ball come his way. The ball was slick due to the rain, and with Favre's bad thumb he lost the handle on the football several times. Happily for owners of Green Bay players, the forecast for this Sunday calls for only a 10% chance of precipitation.

Tampa has been generous with the points in recent weeks, giving away 20/32 for 277 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions to Jake Delhomme and company last week, while allowing 13/30 for 142 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception to the Saints in week 9. They still rank 7th in the NFL allowing only 185.1 passing yards per contest, and had been stingy with TDs earlier in the season, only giving up 8 to date - almost half in the last 2 games. Their 21 sacks tie them for 10th in the NFL, and they have grabbed 16 interceptions this year, so some facets of their D remain intact. Tim Wansley was the #1 fantasy DB last week, with 9 solo tackles, 2 interceptions and 2 passes defense in the losing effort.

Tampa lists S Jermaine Phillips (forearm, questionable) while Green Bay says Favre is probable despite the thumb injury.

The forecast for Raymond James Stadium calls for a high of 82F and a low of 67F with a 10% chance for precipitation. Downright balmy weather, which should favor the home team.

Green Bay had an off week last week, but they should bounce back to a more respectable performance against the reeling Buccaneer secondary. We call it a neutral matchup.

Indianapolis' Passing Game vs. The New York Jets' Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Peyton Manning adapted well to the lack of Marvin Harrison on the field last week, hitting 28/45 for 347 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions vs. Jacksonville. Harrison's hamstring pull is graded as not too serious - none-the-less, his availability for this game won't be known until later in the week. Marcus Pollard (8 targets for 3/92/1) led the team last week, with Troy Walters (7 for 5/73/0) and Reggie Wayne (12 for 6/46/0) both heavily involved in Harrison's absence. Over the last three weeks, Manning has been hot, 73/112 for 882 yards, 6 TDs and 3 interceptions in 3 games (3rd among all fantasy QB's in FP per game).

The Jets allowed 18/25 for 186 yards 1 TD and 0 interceptions to 3rd-stringer Rick Mirer last week, and coughed up 24/40 for 303 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions to Kerry Collins 2 weeks ago. They are the 3rd ranked pass D in passing yards allowed per game (172.6 on average), and have only surrendered 7 passing scores all season - almost half of them over the past 2 weeks. They are tied for 2nd with 27 sacks this season, but have only 5 interceptions all year long. The Jets are good, but not great, in this phase, especially lately.

Part of the Jets' problem are lingering injuries - CB Donnie Abraham (shoulder, questionable), FS Jon McGraw (shoulder, questionable) and pass-rushing DE John Abraham (groin, out) all missed last week due to their injuries. CB Ray Mickens is probable despite a sore neck. Indianapolis lists Harrison as doubtful, and WR Brandon Stokley as questionable (head).

This game is being played in the RCA dome - weather is not a factor.

Manning is clicking with the guys he has on the field lately, and the Jets have proven vulnerable in recent games. What's more, the Indianapolis line has allowed only 8 sacks all year, so they should neutralize most of that aspect of the Jets' scheme. This isn't a great matchup for Manning, but he'll have his chances to make good things happen - especially if Harrison is available. We grade it a neutral matchup at mid-week, but would upgrade it to good if Harrison can play Sunday.

New England's Passing Game vs. The Dallas Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Tom Brady went into the bye week red-hot, with a stellar performance - 20/35 for 350 yards, 3 TDs with 1 interception vs. Denver in week 9. He has 40/68 for 609 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception in his last two games - good for 4th among all fantasy QB's in FP per game over the past 3 weeks. Troy Brown and Deion Branch are his favorite targets, with 49 and 51 this season, respectively - next is Kevin Faulk with 35 and Christian Fauria with 30.

Drew Bledsoe managed 17/34 for 104 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions vs. the Cowboys last week, and the Redskins hit for 18/33 for 167 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions two weeks ago. They are tops in the league, allowing an average of 149.4 passing yards per game, and have surrendered a middling 10 passing scores this year.

New England comes in off a bye week, so they should be well-rested and fresh. Troy Brown is questionable with a sore leg, and Brady is probable despite his sore arm. Dallas' unit is in great health for this stage of the season.

The forecast for Gillette Stadium calls for a high of 46F and a low of 34F with a 20% chance for precipitation. As this is a night game, cold conditions will make for frozen fingers and a hard football - ball handling may be an issue at points.

Brady is capable of big games, but the Cowboys are very tough to pass on - in Gillette Stadium, we call it a neutral matchup.

New York Jets' Passing Game vs. The Indianapolis Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Chad Pennington hit 18/27 for 269 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions vs. Oakland last week. Curtis Conway (9 for 4/54/0) and Santana Moss (7 for 6/146/1) led the team in targets - Jerald Sowell, the FB, grabbed all 4 balls that came his way for 52 yards and the other TD. Over the last 3 games, Pennington is 10th among all fantasy QB's in FP per game, with 59/96 for 704 yards, 6 TDs and 3 interceptions - he's coming into this game hot.

Indianapolis has been solid to mediocre in their recent outings: 12/22 for 179 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions allowed to Byron Leftwich last week, with 18/29 for 231 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions to Brian Griese two weeks ago. The Colts are the 8th best pass D in the league this season, averaging 185.2 passing yards per game allowed, and have surrendered 10 passing scores so far in 2003. The lack of interceptions recently is troublesome, though.

Idrees Bashir continues to be sidelined (shoulder, out), as is CB Joseph Jefferson (pelvis, out). S Cory Bird (abdomen/shoulder), CB Jason Doering (ankle) and CB Nicholas Harper (ankle) are questionable. CB Walt Harris (knees/toe) and CB Donald Strickland (shoulder) are probable. The Jets are going without Wayne Chrebet recently (head, out).

This game is being played in the RCA dome - weather is not a factor.

Pennington is hot, but the Colts are playing pretty solid D, too. Home field helps level the playing field in this one - we call it a neutral matchup.

Pittsburgh's Passing Game vs. The San Francisco Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Tommy Maddox threw 12/24 for 159 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions in the victory over the Cardinals. The good news is that no interceptions were returned for TDs. It was good enough to put the Steelers into the "W" column for the 3rd time this year. Hines Ward had 11 passes come his way (6/64/2), while Plaxico Burress had 6 (1/6/0) and Chris Doering saw 2 (2/62/1). Burress in particular has been in a funk lately, with only 7/87/0 in his last 3 games - meanwhile, Maddox has tossed 45/87 for 544 yards, 6 TDs and 3 interceptions (with Hines Ward gobbling up 19/220/5).

San Francisco has fought hard against opposing QBs lately, with 26/42 for 378 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions allowed to Marc Bulger in week 9, but 14/25 for 97 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception given up to Arizona in week 8 (the Cards ran an awful lot in that game, 44/221/1, so they really didn't need to pass very much). This year, the 49ers are smack dab in the middle of the league, allowing an average of 200.3 passing yards per game (17th) and 13 passing scores so far. They are tied for second with 27 sacks, and have generated 13 interceptions as well - they get after opposing passers week in and week out.

San Francisco lists S Ronnie Heard (head, out), S Zack Bronson (neck, questionable), CB Jason Webster (knee, questionable). TE Jay Riemersma is probable to play through his knee pain.

The forecast for 3Com Park calls for a high of 66F and a low of 51F with a 10% chance for precipitation. That's great football weather, if the forecast holds up.

Maddox and the Steelers can be an explosive bunch, while the 49ers play an aggressive style of defense that can be hit for both yards and scores - if Maddox can survive the pass-rush (Pittsburgh is 6th-worse in the league allowing 25 sacks so far in 2003). It looks like a neutral matchup from where we sit.

Atlanta's Passing Game vs. The New Orleans Defense (Tough Matchup)

9/23 for 65 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions was what Kurt Kittner managed last week, on a day when the team rushed for 37/216/3 - he wasn't asked to pass a whole lot in the first place. However, from the fantasy perspective, Kittner is a non-entity. That means that his receivers are struggling to make a fantasy impact - Peerless Price is the "best" one of the lot, with 9/121/0 in the last 2 games (39th among all fantasy wideouts in FP per game right now). TE Alge Crumpler has fallen off the face of the planet, currently 35th in FP per game with 3/31/0 in 2 games. There just aren't any bright spots on the Falcons' passing squad right now. Kittner was 9/29 for 115 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception in the blowout loss to the Saints in week 7 (nobody caught enough passes to go over 40 yards in that game - Brian Finneran caught the TD).

New Orleans gave up 27/46 for 321 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions to Brad Johnson week 9; while allowing 12/27 for 148 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions to Jake Delhomme in week 8. It's fair to say they've been up and down in recent weeks. This season, the Saints are the 10th best secondary in yardage allowed (189.3 per game on average), but have coughed up 14 scores, towards the bottom of the NFL heap.

Atlanta continues to wait for Michael Vick to heal (doubtful), while Kurt Kittner came out of the victory last week with a pulled groin and strained abdominal muscles (questionable). CB Dale Carter is questionable due to a thigh injury.

This game is being played in the Superdome, so weather isn't an issue.

Kittner is just not an explosive player, while the Saints are half-decent at pass defense. In the Superdome, we give the nod to the home-team and the 12th-man.

Baltimore's Passing Game vs. The Miami Defense (Tough Matchup)

Chris Redman's stats: 7/12 for 58 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions (plus fumbles) vs. St. Louis. Coach Billick was so under-whelmed by Redman last week that he announced Anthony Wright is the new starter for the Ravens, to be backed up by Redman. The team brought in Ray Lucas to be 3rd string (for now), but it appears that coach Billick wants a more mobile player than Redman under center - how long before Lucas is #2 is open to speculation. Guess he really doesn't believe in Redman the least little bit, huh? The book on Wright: 70/151 for a 46.4 completion percentage, yielding 766 yards, 5 TDs and 8 interceptions in 8 games for Dallas between 2000 and 2001 (he added 29/93/0 rushing in those games). Wright was 3rd string until this week, so he hasn't had a ton of reps in practice all year. Todd Heap and Travis Taylor owners, go ahead and start grumbling now.

Miami's unit has been pretty generous in their recent losses, allowing 23/37 for 266 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception to Peyton Manning; and 19/26 for 223 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions to Steve McNair and company over their last 2 games. They had been denying people the end-zone up until those games, and had 13 interceptions in the weeks prior - but their essential weakness, in passing yards allowed per game (234.3, 27th in the NFL) and the loss of CB Patrick Surtain, has opened the door to scoring in recent weeks.

Surtain hopes to be back (ankle, questionable) while S Trent Gamble is out (knee). S Shawn Wooden is probable to play (knee). Baltimore lists TE John Jones (leg, doubtful), WR Frank Sanders (ankle, doubtful), WR Marcus Robinson (leg, probable) and WR Travis Taylor (chest, probable).

The forecast for Pro Player Stadium calls for a high of 84F and a low of 70F with a 20% chance for precipitation. It should be a beautiful day for a football game.

Anytime you haven't started a game in two years, you're bound to have some rust on your throwing arm. Look for the Ravens to rely heavily on Jamal Lewis and the OL as Miami clamps down on Anthony Wright and company.

Buffalo's Passing Game vs. The Houston Defense (Tough Matchup)

In the loss to the Cowboys, the wheels really came off the Bills' passing offense, which managed a mere 17/34 for 104 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions. Drew Bledsoe had a very bad outing, but at least they didn't throw 5 interceptions as they did in the blowout loss to the Chiefs the prior game. Eric Moulds saw the astronomical sum of 17 passes (Josh Reed was second with 8), but only managed 5/32/0 - Reed had 4/30/0. It was a poor performance all the way around. How bad has it been lately for the Bills? Drew Bledsoe has scored less FP in his last 2 games under center than Drew Brees did in the 2 games that led to his benching (40/68 for 257 yards, 0 TDs and 3 interceptions is Bledsoe's sum).

Houston has been steady in pass defense lately, holding Cincinnati to 18/26 for 182 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception in week 10, while Carolina managed 13/23 for 193 yards, 1 interception and 1 TD in week 9. Those are way better numbers than their season average indicates - the Texans are 29th in the NFL allowing an average of 238.1 yards per game and next to last in TDs allowed with 16 so far. They have got their secondary heading in the right direction, at least.

Houston is good to go, health-wise. The Bills are healthy, just not playing well.

The forecast for Ralph Wilson Stadium calls for a high of 47F and a low of 38F with a 10% chance for precipitation. Outstanding football weather, in other words.

Houston has stiffened up their secondary lately, and the Bills are really struggling. We give the nod to the Texans in this one.

Chicago's Passing Game vs. The St. Louis Defense (Tough Matchup)

Chris Chandler looked very bad against the limping, injury depleted Lions' secondary last week, throwing 16/28 for 149 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception in the 12-10 loss. Desmond Clark (7 for 4/39/1), Marty Booker (7 for 4/36/0) and Dez White (6 for 2/18/0) were his favorite targets in the game - Justin Gage was quiet with 3 for 1/16/0. Chandler has been mediocre at best in his time under center (57/89 for 580 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions in his last 3 games - 23rd among fantasy QB's in FP per game). His OL isn't helping, with 27 sacks allowed in 2003 (3rd most in the NFL).

Baltimore's inept squad managed 17/33 for 170 yards, 0 TDs and 3 interceptions vs. the Rams last week, but the 49ers came on strong with 19/29 for 236 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception against them two games back. The Rams have limited most opponents this season, averaging only 184.8 passing yards per game allowed (6th in the NFL), but have coughed up 12 passing scores to date. Two Ram DB's were in the top 10 among fantasy DB's last week - Adam Archuleta was 3rd with 5 solo tackles, 1 sack, 1 forced fumble, 1 fumble recovery and 2 passes defensed. Jerametrius Butler had 2 solo tackles, 2 assists, 2 interceptions and 3 passes defensed to take the 8th spot.

Reserve DB James Whitley (foot, probable) missed the game last week for the Rams, while CB Kevin Garrett (hamstring) is probable to play. Chicago is reasonably healthy at this point in the season, listing Marty Booker as questionable due to his sore back. TE Dustin Lyman is out due to an abdominal injury.

The forecast for Soldier Field calls for a high of 51F and a low of 43F with a 10% chance for precipitation. Nice football weather, if the forecast holds up.

Chicago is not explosive, and the Rams are basically solid. Sounds like a tough matchup for Chandler to us.

Cincinnati's Passing Game vs. The Kansas City Defense (Tough Matchup)

Adequate: the word to describe Jon Kitna's real-world and fantasy performances in the past few weeks. He threw 18/26 for 182 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception last week vs. the Texans. Chad Johnson was plan A and B, with 10 targets for 9/89/0 (Brandon Bennett caught the TD on a short 6 yard flare), while Peter Warrick made the most of his 3 chances with 2/39/0. Kitna has been consistently mediocre in the past 3 games, with 58/95 for 640 yards, 4 TDs and 3 interceptions (13th among all fantasy QB's in FP per game for the period).

Kansas City has been clamping down in this phase in recent weeks, limiting the Browns and Kelly Holcomb to 19/27 for 149 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception. In week 8, Bledsoe and Van Pelt were rocked to the tune of 25/38 for 165 yards, 0 TDs and 5 interceptions. They have 24 sacks (6th best in the NFL), and 19 interceptions (tops in the NFL), while averaging 208.8 passing yards allowed per game (20th in the NFL) with only 9 passing scores surrendered to date. This is a solid, all-around pass D.

T. J. Houshmandzadeh is questionable with his severe hamstring injury, and TE Reggie Kelly is likely done for the season due to his foot injury. KC's secondary is in good shape.

The forecast for Paul Brown Stadium calls for a high of 54F and a low of 42F with a 10% chance for precipitation. Nice football weather, if the forecast holds up.

An adequate passing attack meets as solid D in this matchup - home field advantage helps even the scales, but we still call it a tough matchup for Kitna and company.

Jacksonville's Passing Game vs. The Tennessee Defense (Tough Matchup)

Kevin Johnson, late of Cleveland, landed in Jacksonville this week -the Jaguars have claimed him from the waiver wire after his surprise release by Butch Davis and company. He's experienced (and cheap, since Cleveland already paid him a $3.5 million signing bonus up front before last season), but isn't expected to make a major contribution in his first game. Last week, Byron Leftwich helped surprise the Indianapolis Colts with 12/22 for 179 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions.

However, in the game week 8, he had a miserable outing vs. these same Titans, 15/27 for 158 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions in a game that got so out of hand he ended up watching David Garrard mop up after the game was out of reach. Leftwich has been mediocre in his last 3 games, with 49/84 for 545 yards, 3 TDs and 4 interceptions (3/6/1 rushing). Jimmy Smith has seen 12/219/2 during that span as the #1 target on the team, Troy Edwards has 11/139/0 in that same span.

Tennessee frustrated Miami's Brian Griese in week 10 to the tune of 15/27 for 131 yards, 0 TDs and 3 interceptions, and their destruction of Leftwich in week 8 is detailed above. This season, the Titans rank as the 31st pass D in terms of yardage allowed per game (242.8 per game), and they have given up 12 scores so far. However, they are tied for 4th with 25 sacks, and have generated a healthy 10 interceptions to date - they are playing much tougher than their season average indicates right now.

Mark Brunell continues to be sidelined by his elbow injury, while Tennessee lists reserve DB's Donnie Nickey (foot, probable) and Andre Woolfolk (ankle, out), along with S Scott McGarrahan (ankle, questionable) on their injury report.

The forecast for the Coliseum calls for a high of 58F and a low of 45F with a 20% chance for precipitation. That should make for a fine afternoon.

In their own house, the Titans should rough up Leftwich again this week. Advantage, Tennessee.

New York Giants' Passing Game vs. The Philadelphia Defense (Tough Matchup)

The last time Kerry Collins and company played the Eagles, in week 7, Collins was steady with 22/36 for 174 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions. He spread the ball around to 7 receivers in that game (Shockey caught the TD). Last week, Collins threw 24/40 for 202 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions in the loss to Atlanta. He lost Shockey's services for at least three weeks with a knee injury, and backup TE Marcellus Rivers was held overnight for observation due to a hit in the throat. If Rivers is out this week, a former strength of the unit has become a weakness. Amani Toomer and Tiki Barber each had 12 passes come their way last week: Toomer caught 4/33/0, while Barber snagged 10/38/0. Ike Hilliard turned 6 chances into 2/18/0 and came up limping due to ankle/knee injuries after the game.

Philadelphia held the Packers to 14/22 for 109 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception in slick conditions last week, and limited Kittner and the Falcons to 16/28 for 164 yards, 0 TD and 1 interception the game before that. They are playing pretty well, and figure to get FS Brian Dawkins back in the lineup this week. Michael Lewis was a busy DB last week, with 9 solo tackles, 1 assist, 1 sack, 1 forced fumble and 1 fumble recovery (2nd among fantasy DB's last week).

Besides Dawkins (foot, questionable), the Eagles list CB Bobby Taylor (foot, questionable) and S Clinton Hart (hip, probable) .The Giants say Marcellus Rivers is probable to play, while Hilliard is listed as questionable, along with WT Tim Carter (concussion, probable).

The forecast for Lincoln Financial Field calls for a high of 54F and a low of 38F with a 10% chance for precipitation. Fine football weather, in other words.

The Giant's offense is headed into hostile territory, lacking one of their primary weapons. Philadelphia is finally getting healthy. Advantage, Philadelphia.

San Diego's Passing Game vs. The Denver Defense (Tough Matchup)

Flutie magic strikes again: 21/29 for 248 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions with 6/18/2 rushing - Flutie was a fantasy gold-mine last week. David Boston (11 for 7/82/1) and LaDainian Tomlinson (8 for 6/45/0) saw the most passes by far, but TE Antonio Gates made the most of his 4 chances, with 3/55/1. Flutie looked very impressive in the big win over the Vikings. In week 2, Brees was under center so recent history doesn't tell us much about this matchup.

Denver was tough on Baltimore in week 8, allowing only 15/27 for 137 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions; but Tom Brady handed them their heads on a platter week 9 throwing 20/35 for 350 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception in the Patriot's victory. Denver is 11th in the NFL allowing an average of 191.7 passing yards per contest, with 12 TDs surrendered - they are mediocre in this phase of the game.

TE Stephen Alexander is questionable with his groin injury, while Denver is good to go.

The forecast for the Mile High Stadium calls for a high of 53F and a low of 36F with a 10% chance for precipitation. Good football weather is coming to the high plains this weekend.

Denver is tough at home, but they gave up a ton to Brady heading into the bye, and that game was at Mile High, too. We think that Flutie magic will help level the playing field, but it's still a tall mountain to climb.

St. Louis Passing Game vs. The Chicago Defense (Tough Matchup)

Marc Bulger had perhaps the worst game of his professional career last week, with a miserable 13/26 for 110 yards, with 0 TDs and 2 interceptions outing. Torry Holt (3/38/0) and Dane Looker (3/38/0) tied as most productive receivers in the ugly win. In his last 3 games, Bulger has tossed 61/105 for 863 yards, but only 2 TDs vs. 4 interceptions - he is out of synch right now.

Chicago has been stingy with points lately, limiting Joey Harrington to 24/36 for 238 yards, 0 TD and 0 interceptions last week, and throttling the Chargers to the tune of 15/26 for 119 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception the week before. They currently rank 9th in the league allowing an average of 188.4 passing yards per game, with 11 scores allowed thus far this season. One thing the Bears do not do well is rush the passer, ranking 32nd in the NFL with only 7 sacks so far.

Chicago's reserve DB's Todd McMillon (hand, out) and Cameron Worrell (ankle, probable) missed the game last week. S Mike Green (groin, questionable) and CB Jerry Azumah (knee, probable) are also listed. St. Louis is in good health on this unit, with Torry Holt probable despite a sore knee.

The forecast for Soldier Field calls for a high of 51F and a low of 43F with a 10% chance for precipitation. Nice football weather, if the forecast holds up.

The Rams don't look good right now, and the Bears are actually one of the better pass defenses in the league. Advantage, Chicago.

Dallas' Passing Game vs. The New England Defense (Bad Matchup)

Quincy Carter: 15/32 for 116 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions vs. the Bills' secondary last week. Over the last 3 weeks, he and his vaunted trio of compadres at WR have managed 47/90 for 452 yards, 2 TDs and 4 interceptions in 3 games. Bryant and Galloway have been particularly disappointing, with 8/73/0 and 5/70/0, respectively, in that span (#84 and 85 on the WR board). Glenn has been mediocre, with 10/118/1 (27th). There's just not a lot to cheer about from the fantasy perspective here.

New England has been tough on their opponents recently: vs. Denver's Danny Kanell they allowed 16/35 for 163 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception; vs. Cleveland's duo they grudgingly gave up 22/36 for 155 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception. Those games represent a significant improvement over their season average of 215.4 passing yards allowed per game, and the Patriots lead the league by far with only 4 passing scores surrendered all year. The Patriots are tied for 10th in the league with 21 sacks, and have 13 interceptions this year. They are red-hot and tough as nails right now.

Dallas is in good health, as is the Patriot's secondary, who only lists Je'Rod Cherry (knee) and CB Ty Law (ankle) as questionable.

Dallas sputtering pass offense + a top pass defense + cold weather = a bad matchup for Carter and company.

Houston's Passing Game vs. The Buffalo Defense (Bad Matchup)

David Carr vs. Cincinnati last week: 11/25 for 146 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception. Not bad, not great. Corey Bradford (7), Andre Johnson (7) and Jabar Gaffney (5) saw the most balls last week, converting them into 1/73/1, 3/30/0 and 2/8/1, respectively. Clearly, they all need to do better with the opportunities that come their way. Carr has been injured recently, with Tony Banks filling in, so he's just now getting his timing back.

Buffalo allowed only 15/33 for 116 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions to the Cowboys last week, but was rocked for 21/37 for 275 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions in the blowout loss to the Chiefs in week 8. Usually, the Bills are very tough, though, with an average of 162 yards allowed per game through the air (2nd in the NFL) and they have only given up 9 passing scores all year. The Chief's loss was an aberration in an otherwise solid season.

Houston says they are healthy in this phase, as is Buffalo.

The forecast for Ralph Wilson Stadium calls for a high of 47F and a low of 38F with a 10% chance for precipitation. Outstanding football weather, in other words.

Houston sports a mediocre attack on their good days, and the Bills are some of the best in the NFL at Pass defense. This is a bad matchup for Carr and company.

Miami's Passing Game vs. The Baltimore Defense (Bad Matchup)

Coach Wannstedt's Griese experiment yielded 15/27 for 131 yards, 0 TDs and 3 interceptions vs. Tennessee last week, and 18/29 for 231 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions vs. Indianapolis in week 9 - both games were losses. Ricky Williams can't find any room to run, and the lack of aerial power is grounding Chris Chambers (2/30/0 vs. Tennessee) and Randy McMichael (3/17/0 vs. Tennessee) in recent weeks. Giese will get another shot this week.

Baltimore was brutal Week 10 vs. Marc Bulger - 13/26 for 110 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions. In week 9, Byron Leftwich had better luck, 22/34 for 208 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception. However, the Ravens are very tough in terms of yards allowed this year, averaging only 175.9 (4th in the NFL). They are in the middle of the pack as far as TDs allowed, giving away 11 so far. They are 4th in the league with 25 sacks, and near the top with 13 interceptions - this is a mean pass D, folks.

The early injury report says that Fiedler is questionable to play. Baltimore enjoys good health on their unit, currently.

The forecast for Pro Player Stadium calls for a high of 84F and a low of 70F with a 20% chance for precipitation. It should be a beautiful day for a football game.

Baltimore is really tough, and the Dolphins are sputtering badly right now. Advantage, Baltimore.