Hi Folks,
Here's our look at the Passing Matchups for this week.
PLEASE NOTE: This does NOT replace the Cheatsheet ranking. The Cheatsheet rankings
are the final say on where we see a player for that week. The Matchup Breakdowns
are simply one more tool in the box when it comes to helping choose your lineup.
Also note, just because a player has a "bad" matchup, it does NOT mean
he's not a starter in your league. If Steve McNair is playing the toughest pass
defense in the league, that just means he's got a tough matchup that week. He's
also your starter unless you're loaded at QB. In the same way, if the worst QB
on your roster has a "great" matchup that week, it doesn't necessarily
mean he's your starter. It means we think he'll fare better than normal that week.
Bottom line is that the cheatsheets are the final say.
Let's jump to it.
Joe
Cincinnati's Passing Game vs. The San Diego Defense (Great
Matchup)
Jon Kitna was very solid in the victory over KC last week: 19/32 for 233 yards,
2 TDs and 0 interceptions helped make Chad Johnson's prediction a reality. He
has thrown 58/96 for 633 yards, 4 TDs and 3 interceptions in the last 3 weeks
(17th best fantasy QB during that span). Peter Warrick has 15/208/2 during that
span (7th best fantasy WR in the past 3 weeks) and Chad Johnson accounts for
20/238/0 of Kitna's output. These three are becoming a potent combination.
San Diego gave 23/34 for 253 yards 3 TDs and 1 interception to Jake Plummer
last week, and 32/44 for 370 yards, 4 TDs and 1 interception was what Daunte
Culpepper did to them two weeks ago. Adjectives fail to describe how horrible
this pass D is, so we'll let the numbers tell the tale: the Chargers average
235.4 passing yards allowed per game (31st in the NFL), and have given up a
league-worst 22 passing TDs in 2003. Quentin Jammer was a top IDP DB last week,
with 7 solo tackles, 1 assist, 1 interception and 2 passes defensed (6th best
fantasy DB).
T.J. Houshmandzadeh and his eternally pulled hamstring are probable to play
this week, while TE Reggie Kelly is still doubtful due to his foot injury. TE
Matt Schoebel is probable to play through his hamstring pull. San Diego lists
S Kwamie Lassiter (knee, out).
The forecast for Qualcomm Stadium calls for a high of 61F and a low of 44F
with a 20% chance of precipitation. It should be great football weather if the
forecast holds up.
The Chargers have an open road to 6-5 in front of them, thanks to the anemic
Charger defense.
St. Louis' Passing Game vs. The Arizona Defense (Great Matchup)
One week after his horrible game vs. Baltimore, Marc Bulger bounced back with
a 29/46 for 240 yards, 2 TD and 2 interceptions performance against Chicago
(rallying his team in the second half) to secure a 23-21 victory. It was a tough
game though and he was in danger of being pulled for Kurt Warner at one point.
Bulger did rally for the second half though. He threw at his WR's all night
long - both Bruce and Holt saw 15 passes - and they responded with 9/54/0 and
9/124/1, respectively. Nobody else on the team caught more than 3 balls for
27 yards (Dane Looker, the #3 WR). Back in week 4, Bulger helped blow out the
Cards 37-13 with his 28/42 for 272 yards, 2 TD and 1 interception performance
(Holt was at the top of the class that week, too, with 12/133/1).
Cleveland blew up the Cardinals' secondary for 29/35 for 392 yards, 3 TDs and
0 interceptions, and two weeks ago Tommy Maddox and company bombed them for
12/24 yielding 159 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions - this secondary is giving
away TDs at a break-neck pace. In fact, they are next to last in the league
with 18 TDs allowed this season, and have generated only 5 interceptions (tied
for worst in the league). They allow an average of 215.6 passing yards per game
(23rd in the league).
Both teams come into the game in relatively good health, although St. Louis
lists Torry Holt as probable with a sore ankle, and the Cards say S Adrian Wilson
is probable to play despite his injured hand.
The forecast for Sun Devil Stadium calls for a high of 58F and a low of 39F
with a 20% chance of precipitation. It should be a pleasantly cool day to play
a game of football in the desert, something you can't usually say about this
venue.
Bulger's a little shaky but the Rams are explosive, and the Cardinals implode
regularly - a huge edge flows to the visitors in this matchup.
Cleveland's Passing Game vs. The Pittsburgh Defense (Good
Matchup)
Kelly Holcomb is finally feeling healed up from his early-season injuries,
and it showed in the game on Sunday (25/39 for 392 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions).
Guess the surprise release of Kevin Johnson didn't hurt team morale too much,
did it? In fact, Holcomb has snuck into the top 10 among fantasy signal callers
over his last two games, with 48/62 for 541 yards, 4 TDs and 1 interception.
In the first game without KJ in the lineup, Andre Davis, Dennis Northcutt and
Quincy Morgan all saw 7 passes come their way: Davis had 7/117/1, Northcutt
caught 6/56/1, and Morgan snagged 5 for 116/1 - they were all viable fantasy
starts last week. Back in week 5, Tim Couch was under center, so recent history
isn't much of a guide to this matchup.
Pittsburgh allowed 21/27 for 254 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions to Tim Rattay
on Monday night, and 23/43 for 307 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions to Jeff
Blake two weeks ago - the Steelers are bleeding points in bunches lately. The
Steelers rank 12th in the NFL in average yards allowed in this phase (200.1),
but have given away a whopping 16 scoring passes this season - they just aren't
playing very well. In addition, the Steelers are near the bottom of the league
with only 7 interceptions.
Pittsburgh lists CB DeWayne Washington (knee, questionable) and S Mike Logan
(foot, probable).
The forecast for Cleveland Browns Stadium calls for a high of 57F and a low
of 47F with a 20% chance of rain - great football weather, if the forecast holds
up.
Cleveland seems to have hit their stride, while the Steelers are handing 6
points to the opposition on a regular basis - advantage, Cleveland.
Denver's Passing Game vs. The Chicago Defense (Good Matchup)
Was a team ever happier to get their starting QB back than the Broncos? Jake
Plummer was great last week, with 23/34 for 253 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception
in the rout of San Diego last week. Shannon Sharpe owners were in heaven as
they watched the TE haul in all 3 scores (7/101 yards) while Rod Smith caught
10 balls for 84 yards and Ashley Lelie pitched in with 2/57/0. The Broncos have
an explosive dimension again with Plummer under center.
Chicago collapsed in the second half last week, allowing 29/46 for 240 yards,
2 TDs and 2 interceptions to Marc Bulger last week, when all was said and done.
In week ten, 24/39 for 238 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions were ceded to Harrington
and company. This season, the Bears are the 10th ranked pass D in the NFL, allowing
an average of 190.4 yards per game (with 13 scores surrendered), but they've
been softer than usual in recent weeks. Chicago's DB's were awesome for their
fantasy owners last week - Jerry Azumah led the class with 8 solo tackles, 1
sack, 1 interception and 2 passes defensed, while Charles Tillman was second
with 9 solo tackles, 2 assists, 1 interception and 2 passes defensed.
Reserve DB Todd McMillon missed the game last week due to his injured hand
(questionable), while S Mike Green is doubtful (groin). Denver is in good shape
on their unit, with Plummer listed as probable. Ed McCaffrey is questionable
(thigh).
The forecast for Mile High Stadium calls for a high of 29F and a low of 18F
with a 30% chance of precipitation. It could be very windy, cold and snowy at
game time, making footing and ball handling issues in this game.
Denver is finding their rhythm again, while Chicago is fading down the stretch
- advantage, Broncos.
Detroit's Passing Game vs. The Minnesota Defense (Good Matchup)
26/48 for 285 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions is what Harrington managed vs.
Seattle - but yet another of his top WRs went down to injury - this time, Scotty
Anderson goes onto the IR with a knee injury. That leaves Az-Zahir Hakim and
Bill Schroeder as the only healthy, veteran wide receivers on the team. Not
a comforting thought, considering that Hakim has seen 63 targets this season
and only grabbed 22 passes for receptions (Schroeder has 39 targets for 27 catches,
and has out gained Hakim 20/239/1 vs. 23/184/1). The receiver cupboard is almost
bare in Detroit. At least Harrington will have plenty of time to survey the
field - his OL has allowed the fewest sacks in the NFL this season, with only
7 surrendered. In the two teams' first meeting in week 3, Harrington was 24/42
for 235 yards, 0 TDs and 3 interceptions - a lot of water (and injured receivers)
is under the bridge since then, though.
Minnesota laid down to the tune of 21/29 for 248 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions
vs. Doug Flutie 2 weeks ago, and then allowed 9/13 for 195 yards, 0 TDs and
0 interceptions to Rick Mirer last week. The Vikings are 29th in the NFL at
this point in the season, allowing an average of 232.9 passing yards per contest
(with 13 TDs surrendered to date) - they are second in the league with 18 interceptions,
and have generated 24 sacks - but most of those successes came earlier in the
season, as you can see from recent weeks. Brian Williams was the 10th ranked
fantasy DB last week, with 5 solo tackles, 1 sack, 1 forced fumble, 1 fumble
recovery and 1 pass defensed.
The Lions list WR Charles Rogers as out (collarbone), while WR/KR Eddie Drummond
is doubtful (ankle/knee). Minnesota reports no injuries of note.
This game is being played in the Metrodome, so weather isn't a factor.
Detroit is struggling in this phase of the game due to a lack of personnel,
while the Vikings are just plain struggling - this is an ugly matchup but for
the Lions, it won't get much better than this.
Kansas City Passing Game vs. The Oakland Defense (Good Matchup)
Trent Green did his part against Cincinnati last week, with 28/42 for 313 yards,
2 TDs and 0 interceptions. He's been on fire over the last 2 games, with 57/84
for 681 yards, 5 TDs and 0 interceptions - good for 2nd among all fantasy QB's
in FP per game during the last 3 weeks. Gonzales has been bonkers among fantasy
TE's during this run, with 14/156/2 receiving in the same span. Eddie Kennison
is the 5th ranked fantasy WR, putting up 13/197/1 - the Chiefs are hitting on
all cylinders right now. In week 7, Green tossed 11/22 for 206 yards, 0 TDs
and 1 interception against these Raiders.
Oakland's pass D has allowed 27/49 for 396 yards, 1 TD with 3 interceptions
to the Vikings last week, and 18/27 for 269 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions
to Chad Pennington two weeks ago - they aren't shutting anybody down in recent
weeks. Not surprisingly, they are in the bottom half of the league in this phase
of the game, allowing an average of 215.6 passing yards per game (23rd in the
NFL) and they have surrendered 12 TDs to date in 2003. Phillip Buchanon was
the 4th best IDP DB last week, with 5 solo tackles, 2 interceptions, 1 forced
fumble and 2 passes defensed.
Rod Woodson continues to struggle with a sore knee (questionable). K.C. is
in good health on their side of the ball, with WR Marc Boerigter (thigh, questionable),
WR Dante Hall is probable (shoulder).
The forecast for Arrowhead Stadium calls for a high of 53F and a low of 27F
with a 50% chance of precipitation. The precipitation could range from rain
to sleet to snow, and if it's truly nasty in Kansas City the wind might howl
through Arrowhead stadium, making the temperature feel even colder than it is
due to wind chill. In those conditions, footing and ball handling could easily
become major issues in this game.
Kansas City can be explosive when they need to, and the Raiders are pretty
soft in this phase - advantage, KC.
Minnesota's Passing Game vs. The Detroit Defense (Good Matchup)
Last week vs. Oakland Daunte Culpepper threw 27/49 for 396 yards, 1 TD and
3 interceptions with 7/42/1 rushing (2 fumbles lost, though). He was trying
to bring his club back from a 21-3 deficit in the 3rd quarter, which is why
he was throwing the ball around so much. Over the past 3 games, Culpepper is
the top fantasy QB in the land with 80/127 for 968 yards, 7 TDs and 4 interceptions
(with 17/100/2 rushing). TE Jim Kleinsasser is seeing a lot of balls in recent
weeks, and has racked up 14/141/1 receiving as he and Culpepper find a comfort
zone. Randy Moss is firmly in the top ten among fantasy WR's with 21/232/2 over
the past 3 games. Back in week 3, Culpepper was knocked out of the game partway
through and Gus Frerotte came on in relief - together, they engineered 15/32
for 289 yards, 1 TD (to Kelly Campbell) and 1 interception. Of course, Kelly
Campbell was huge last week, with 4/115/1 - he may be in for another good week
this week.
Detroit's D has been just OK in this phase lately: Week 11 vs. Seattle they
allowed 21/29 for 207 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions; while in week 10 16/28
for 149 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception was the extent of Chris Chandler's production.
The Lions haven't always been tough to score on, as they have allowed 16 passing
scores in 2003 (near the bottom of the league), and average 209.5 passing yards
allowed per game (17th in the NFL).
Campbell played through a groin strain last week (not listed). Detroit played
without reserve DB Jimmy Wyrick (chest, not listed) last week. CB Dre' Bly is
probable to play despite a sore leg.
This game is being played in the Metrodome, so weather isn't a factor.
Minnesota has a lot of weapons to deploy, while the Lions are hanging in there
in recent weeks despite their injury-depleted secondary. Despite their good
effort in recent weeks, the Lions just don't have the horses to run with Minnesota
this year. Advantage, Vikings.
New York Jets' Passing Game vs. The Jacksonville Defense
(Good Matchup)
Chad Pennington last week: 11/14 for 219 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions vs.
the injury-depleted Indianapolis secondary. He has absolutely been on fire in
recent weeks, with 56/86 for 769 yards, 9 TDs vs. only 2 interceptions. Santana
Moss is a fantasy monster, catching 19/334/5 in the last 3 games, to lead all
fantasy receivers during that span. Curtis Conway has even appeared on the radar
screen in recent weeks, with Wayne Chrebet on IR, 9/120/1 (43rd among all fantasy
WR in the last 3 games).
Jacksonville allowed 13/25 for 166 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception to Steve
McNair last week, and 28/45 for 347 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions to the
Colt's Manning two weeks ago. They rank as the 22nd pass D in the NFL this season,
allowing an average of 215.3 passing yards per contest, and have coughed up
16 passing scores this year (3rd worst in the NFL to date).
The Jets are in good health coming into the game, listing WR Santana Moss as
probable despite sore ribs. Meanwhile the Jaguars starting CB Jason Craft is
nursing a bum knee (questionable).
The forecast for Giants' Stadium calls for a high of 58F and a low of 48F with
a 30% chance of rain. At this time of year, rain would probably mean windy conditions
and a slick field - footing and ball-handling could become issues in this game
if the rain comes down hard around game-time. If the wind really kicks up, passing
will be more challenging in the swirling gusts.
Pennington is on top of his game right now, and the Jaguars are vulnerable
to most attacks - the Jets should enjoy a good game against this Jacksonville
club in week 12.
Philadelphia's Passing Game vs. The New Orleans Defense
(Good Matchup)
Donovan McNabb finally looked like the QB we expect him to be last week: 24/30
for 314 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions was his book vs. the Giants last week.
James Thrash saw 8 targets (6/48/0), Brian Westbrook had the ball come his way
6 times (5/60/2) - Freddie Mitchell had 5 balls (4/60/0) and Todd Pinkston got
4 looks (2/22/0). McNabb is in the top 5 among fantasy QB's these past 3 weeks,
with 60/94 for 824 yards, 4 TDs and 0 interceptions (11/48/1 rushing). Freddie
Mitchell leads the team in FP per game, with 9/126/1 over that span, while Thrash
has 10/172/0. The slumbering Eagles' aerial assault has finally awakened.
Last week, the Saints dismantled Kurt Kittner and the Falcons, allowing a mere
8/27 80 0 2. In their previous game, Brad Johnson rocked the Saints for 27/46
for 323 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions - they have bounced from one extreme
to the other in their most recent contests. This year, the Saints are the 5th
ranked pass D in yards allowed (178 per contest), but have coughed up 14 TDs.
They are near the bottom of the league with only 7 interceptions - not a lot
of turnovers are being generated by this unit.
Starting CB Dale Carter (quadriceps, questionable) missed the game last week
for New Orleans. S Jay Bellamy is probable despite a sore back. Philadelphia
enjoys good health on their unit right now, listing WR Freddie Mitchell (concussion)
and Todd Pinkston (toe) as probable, while TE L. J. Smith (knee) is questionable.
The forecast for Lincoln Financial Field calls for a high of 63F and a low
of 48F with a 20% chance of rain. It sounds like a great day for a football
game is on tap.
McNabb and company are starting to click (just in time for a playoff run),
while the Saints are pretty vanilla in this phase of the game, and they may
be without one of their starting cornerbacks. Advantage, Philadelphia.
Tampa Bay's Passing Game vs. The New York Giants' Defense
(Good Matchup)
An abundance of attitude isn't always a good thing - just ask Keyshawn Johnson,
who will sit the rest of 2003 out, thanks to his very public clashes with coach
Gruden. "Keyshawn has made it very clear to us that he has no intention
of wanting to remain as a Buccaneer beyond the 2003 season, and this approach
and his actions are having a negative affect on our football team," said
Buccaneers general manager Rich McKay. "Like every team in the NFL, we
are focused on winning football games. From a players' perspective, from a coaches'
perspective, from an organizational perspective, this situation has become a
distraction. This was an organizational decision in the best interest of winning.
In talking with Jerome Stanley (Keyshawn Johnson's agent) and Keyshawn, we agreed
that it will not be necessary for him to be present at our facility for the
remainder of the year." (The St. Petersburg Times, 11/19/03).
Johnson's reaction to CBS Sportsline upon hearing the news of his imminent
benching on Tuesday: "I'm not even in town right now," he said. "I'm
traveling. For what? What are they doing that for? What have I done? I didn't
do anything. I haven't done anything, like I've always done, but play with passion
when I step in between those white lines." (Jay Glazer, 11/18/03).
Obviously, Keenan McCardell owners are grinning from ear to ear, and Joe Jurevicius
becomes a hot commodity due to this move - Jurevicius' return from injury gave
coach Gruden the latitude he needed to make this move. Even before the benching,
McCardell was leading the team with 87 targets (to Keyshawn Johnson's 77) -
Michael Pittman was 3rd with 74. Brad Johnson put up 17/28 for 149 yards, 1
TD and 2 interceptions in the last game vs. Green Bay (Keyshawn Johnson caught
his last pass of 2003 and went 3/34/0 on the day). McCardell has 19/248/3 in
the last 3 games, to rank as the 4th best fantasy WR during that span. Brad
Johnson has put up 68/117 for 757 yards, 5 TDs and 5 interceptions (10th best
fantasy QB during the last 3 weeks).
The Giants have been playing pretty poorly in this phase lately, letting Donovan
McNabb light them up for 24/30 for 314 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions last
week. Journeyman Kurt Kittner managed 9/23 for 65 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions
in the Atlanta victory two weeks ago - the Giants just haven't shut down the
opposition lately. The Giants have been mediocre all year, averaging 208.6 passing
yards per game allowed (15th in the NFL), with 12 passing scores surrendered.
One area where the Giants excel is in quarterback sacks - they have 28 this
year, 2nd in the NFL.
The Giants lost starting SS Shaun Williams to his knee injury this week (IR),
and starting CB Frank Walker suffered a concussion last week (probable). Reserve
DB Johnnie Harris has a bad hamstring (questionable), and CB Ralph Brown missed
the game last week with a shoulder injury (out). Obviously, the Giants' secondary
has been hit hard by injuries (CB William Peterson is already on IR due to his
back injuries, remember). McCardell has a sore hamstring (probable).
The forecast for Raymond James Stadium calls for a high of 80F, with a low
of 63F and a 40% chance for precipitation. The game is on Monday night, so the
temperature will be closer to the low end of the scale, and if the rain comes
down hard around game time, the field could get sloppy and slow and the ball
would get slick - miscues become more common in such conditions.
Tampa Bay can light up the night when everything is clicking (and eliminated
a "locker room distraction" this week), while the Giants are reeling
from injuries and haven't been at the top of their game for some time. Advantage,
Tampa.
Tennessee's Passing Game vs. The Atlanta Defense (Good Matchup)
Steve McNair went back to more conservative play in the Titans' system. Last
week, he hit 13/25 for 166 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception vs. Jacksonville.
His favorite targets were Tyrone Calico (7 for 2/22/0), Justin McCareins (6
for 3/25/1) and Derrick Mason (5 for 5/98/0). In his last 2 games, McNair has
thrown 30/48 for 367 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception - "Air" McNair
was fun while he lasted, but has gone back to wherever the Titans hide him in
recent weeks. McCareins and Mason are #20 and 21 on the fantasy WR board on
the strength of 6/78/2 for the former and 11/196/0 for the latter in the past
2 games.
Atlanta held the Saints to 21/37 for 228 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions (thanks
to Aaron Brooks and his injury-depleted receiving corps) last week, and disappointed
Kerry Collins to the tune of 27/44 for 211 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions
two weeks ago. This unit is playing much better in recent weeks than their season
average would indicate - Atlanta is dead last in the league averaging 255.9
passing yards allowed per game, with 14 scores given away earlier in the season.
The Falcons definitely get in the face of opposing QB's, with 27 sacks (4th
in the NFL this season), although that hasn't translated into a lot of interceptions
(8).
DB's Juran Bolden (ankle/foot, questionable) and Kevin McCadam (hamstring,
doubtful), and CB Kevin Mathis (thigh, questionable) are nursing injuries right
now, while the Tennessee Titans list WR Drew Bennett as out with his bad calf
muscle.
This game is being played in the Georgia Dome, so weather is not a factor.
The Titans pass when they need to, and have good talent at the WR position.
The Falcons have been pathetic at pass defense for much of the season, but have
clamped down on the opposition in recent weeks. This looks like a good matchup
to us.
Baltimore's Passing Game vs. The Seattle Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Anthony Wright's first start of 2003: 14/25 for 112 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions.
Todd Heap was far-and-away his most thrown to target (9), with 6 balls going
to Marcus Robinson and 5 to Chester Taylor. Heap led the team with 8/64/0 -
nobody else managed more than 30 yards receiving last week. Needless to say,
this is not an exciting offense for fantasy owners at this point in 2003.
Seattle has been very giving in this phase of the game lately, allowing 26/48
for 285 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions to the Lions last week. Two weeks ago,
it was 18/33 for 242 yards, 3 TDs and 2 interceptions to the Redskins. They
currently rank 14th in the NFL allowing an average of 208.4 passing yards per
game, with 12 passing scores given away to date. The Seahawks have 17 sacks
(25th in the NFL) and 13 interceptions this year.
WR Frank Sanders missed the Ravens game last week (ankle, questionable). WR
Marcus Robinson (ankle, questionable) and TE John Jones (leg, doubtful) are
also listed. Reserve DB Damien Robinson (left shoulder, questionable) missed
the action last week for the Seahawks, and S Ken Hamlin has a sore knee (probable).
The forecast for M&T Bank Stadium calls for a high of 66F and a low of
55F with a 20% chance of rain. It should be a fine day to play some football.
Seattle is not playing well in this phase lately, but neither are the Ravens.
It looks like an even matchup to us.
Buffalo's Passing Game vs. The Indianapolis Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Last week, Drew Bledsoe threw for 15/26 for 184 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions
vs. Houston. He has been in the doldrums as far as scoring in recent weeks (32/60
for 288 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions in 2 games, 32nd in FP per game among
fantasy QB's over the last 3 weeks), and may have to play this game without
RB Travis Henry. Eric Moulds estimates that he is only 80% recovered from his
groin injury, and was held out of last week's game by the coaching staff. In
his absence, Josh Reed saw 10 passes come his way (6/59/0) while Bobby Shaw
snagged all 5 of his chances for 92 yards. The dearth of TDs is depressing everyone's
fantasy value, though.
Indianapolis barely survived Chad Pennington, allowing 11/14 for 219 yards,
3 TDs and 0 interceptions vs. the New York Jets last week; and allowed 12/24
for 179 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception vs. the Jaguars two weeks ago. They are
the 9th ranked pass D in the land so far, allowing an average of 185.9 passing
yards per game, with 13 passing scores allowed to date. However, as you will
see below, injuries have hit this unit hard, and they are really thin in the
defensive backfield right now.
Moulds is listed as questionable this week. Indianapolis' DB's Idrees Bashir
(shoulder, out), S Cory Bird (abdomen, out), S Jason Doering (ankle, questionable),
CB Walt Harris (knee/shoulder/toe, probable) and CB Donald Strickland (shoulder,
probable) are on the initial injury report.
The forecast for Ralph Wilson Stadium calls for a high of 54F and a low of
43F with a 30% chance of rain. If the rain comes down hard around game time,
the field may get slick and ball handling will become a bigger issue.
Both of these units is depleted by injuries, and neither has been playing particularly
well lately. This is an ugly but even matchup.
Dallas' Passing Game vs. The Carolina Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Quincy Carter has been regressing in recent weeks - last week, he tossed 20/36
for 210 yards, 0 TDs and 3 interceptions vs. New England. Over the last 3 weeks,
he has 52/101 for 522 yards, 2 TDs and 5 interceptions in 3 games - he's stone
cold, basically. The "best" Dallas receiver in that span is Terry
Glenn, with 8/100/1 - 35th on the WR board during that time. Nothing exciting
is happening on this unit, fantasy owners.
Washington's attack last week managed to put up 16/35 for 150 yards, 2 TDs
and 1 interception against the Panthers, while 2 weeks ago Brad Johnson hit
them for 24/43 for 275 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception - the Panthers have been
bleeding a lot of TDs in this phase recently. They are currently 20th in the
NFL with 213.6 yards per game allowed on average, and have surrendered 14 passing
scores in 2003. They do have 25 sacks this season (tied for 7th in the NFL),
but have only forced 7 interceptions to date. This is a mediocre unit, at best.
Both teams come into this one in good health.
The forecast for Texas Stadium calls for a high of 65F and a low of 36F with
a 20% chance of rain - it will be a great day for a football game if the weather
holds.
Two sub-par units stumble into this game - neither has a clear advantage over
the other.
Green Bay's Passing Game vs. The San Francisco Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Brett Favre has been under whelming in his last starts - he threw 13/28 for
92 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception in the game vs. Tampa last week. He has only
45/78 for 395 yards in his last 3 games (with 5 TDs and 3 interceptions) - 200+
yard games are rare as with Favre lately. Donald Driver and Robert Ferguson
each saw 7 targets last week, with Javon Walker getting 4 balls thrown his way.
Ferguson caught 4/46/0, Driver only snagged 2/12/0, and Walker managed 1/6/0
- there is not any excitement for their fantasy owners here, folks.
San Francisco has given away a lot of real-estate lately - 26/42 for 378 yards,
1 TD and 2 interceptions two weeks ago to the Rams, with 25/44 for 327 yards,
1 TD and 1 interception allowed to Tommy Maddox and the Steelers last week.
The opposition is moving the ball up and down the field against the 49ers with
ease, but only scoring occasionally in recent weeks. The 49ers rank as the 19th
pass D in the NFL right now, giving up 210.8 passing yards per game on average
(with 14 passing TDs allowed to date). Ahmed Plummer was the 8th best IDP DB
last week, with 9 solo tackles and 3 passes defensed.
The Packers list Favre as probable with his thumb, as is Bubba Franks (quadriceps).
San Francisco comes into this one with S Ronnie Heard (knee, doubtful), CB Jason
Webster (hamstring, questionable), and S Zack Bronson (neck, probable) on the
initial injury report.
The forecast for Lambeau Field calls for a high of 52F and a low of 30F with
a 30% chance of precipitation. If it is sleeting or snowing at game time, the
winds could be swirling and it will be cold and slick on the field, causing
footing and ball-handling miscues for both teams. Brett Favre did not do well
in these conditions vs. the Eagles two weeks ago - it made the football hard
for him to grip an throw with his broken thumb.
The weather will play a big part in this game - poor conditions really make
it hard on Favre right now. Green Bay owners would be well served to watch the
forecast as game day approaches. Right now, we call this a neutral matchup,
but it could easily be a bad game for the Packers if it rains or snows a bunch
around game time.
Indianapolis' Passing Game vs. The Buffalo Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Peyton Manning managed a paltry 1 TD in the course of throwing for 27/36 yielding
401 yards and 0 interceptions last week. It was a measly 4th among all fantasy
QB's in FP per game last week - not too shabby with your starting TE and your
#1 WR standing on the sidelines, huh? Reggie Wayne (11 targets for 9/141/0)
and TE Dallas Clark (8 targets for 5/100/0) were plan A and plan B last week
in the absence of Harrison and Pollard. Troy Walters hauled in 4/88/1 and Edgerrin
James had 6/33/0. It was an impressive performance all the way around. In the
past 3 games, Manning has 78/118 for 1014 yards, with 4 TDs and 3 interceptions
(7th best fantasy QB in FP per game).
Buffalo gave up 13/20 for 219 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception vs. the Texans'
duo last week, and 15/33 for 116 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions to Q. Carter
and friends the prior game. The Bills are the 2nd ranked pass D in the NFL this
season, averaging only 166.9 passing yards allowed per game, with 10 passing
scores surrendered to date. They have bounced around their average in the past
two weeks, but are playing essentially solid pass D none-the-less.
Besides Harrison (hamstring, questionable) and Pollard (knee, questionable),
the Colts list Troy Edwards (hamstring, doubtful). WR Brandon Stokley is questionable
due to his head injury. Buffalo is basically healthy on their side of the ball,
with S Izell Reese questionable due to a concussion.
The forecast for Ralph Wilson Stadium calls for a high of 54F and a low of
43F with a 30% chance of rain. If the rain comes down hard around game time,
the field may get slick and ball handling will become a bigger issue.
Indianapolis and Peyton Manning are red-hot, while the Bills are a steady and
solid unit in their own right. This looks like a neutral matchup on the Bill's
home turf.
Miami's Passing Game vs. The Washington Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Miami barely escaped the Ravens last week, and a lot of their struggles were
due to Brian Griese (13/32 for 126 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception), who never
got in sync with his receivers on Sunday (Chris Chambers had 4/34/0 in the game
to lead the team in receptions). Over the past 3 weeks, Griese's numbers speak
for themselves: 46/88 for 488 yards, 1 TD and 4 interceptions. Not too good,
folks. In an interesting move, the Dolphins took Oronde Gadsden back into the
WR fold today, even after their acrimonious parting earlier this season.
Washington allowed the Carolina Panthers to rack up 20/30 for 317 yards, 0
TDs and 2 interceptions last week. Two weeks ago, it was Matt Hasselbeck throwing
19/29 for 241 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception against the Redskins' secondary.
The Redskins are the 25th ranked secondary in the NFL this season, allowing
an average of 221 yards per contest (with 15 passing scores allowed). They have
only 14 sacks (27th in the NFL), but have 13 interceptions so far. Last week,
Champ Bailey was the 9th best IDP DB in the land, with 7 solo tackles, 2 assists,
1 fumble recovery and 1 pass defensed.
Washington lists CB Fred Smoot (chest, probable) on the injury report, along
with backup DB's Rashad Bauman (ankle, questionable) and Andre Lott (ankle,
questionable). Miami says that Fiedler is questionable to play.
The forecast for Pro Player Stadium calls for a high of 84F and a low of 66F
with a 20% chance of precipitation. A nice cool evening game is on tap in Miami
this weekend.
Miami is having a lot of trouble in this phase of the game - but so are the
Redskins. We call it an even matchup.
New England's Passing Game vs. The Houston Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Tom Brady put up 15/34 for 212 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions vs. Dallas
last week - pretty good against the leagues' top pass D. In the absence of Troy
Brown, Deion Branch (9 targets), Kevin Faulk (7 targets) and Daniel Graham (6)
saw the most balls come their way. Branch (2/69/0) and David Givens (6/67/0)
led the team - Brady threw two excellent long passes (one of 46 to Branch, one
of 57 to Givens) to set up FG's in the face of Cowboy blitzes. Over the past
3 games, Brady is the 9th ranked fantasy QB in FP per game, with 35/69 for 562
yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception in his past 2 games.
Houston held Buffalo to 15/26 for 184 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions last
week. 18/26 for 182 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception were the totals for Kitna
and the Bengals 2 weeks ago. Houston is the 28th ranked pass D in the land this
year, allowing an average of 229.6 passing yards per game, with 16 TDs allowed
so far (3rd-worst in the NFL). They are playing better than their season numbers
indicate in recent weeks.
Troy Brown is listed as questionable for New England, as is David Givens (leg).
Tom Brady is probable to go despite pain in his throwing arm. Houston's secondary
is in good shape, if CB Marcus Coleman can abide by team rules and not get suspended
again this week, although CB Aaron Glenn has a sore groin (probable).
The forecast for Reliant Stadium calls for a high of 76F and a low of 44F with
a 40% chance of rain. If the weather is really nasty with lots of rain, expect
the retractable roof to be closed, which will limit the amount of influence
the climate will have on this game.
Brady is playing well in recent weeks, while the Houston defense is improving
as the year goes along. This looks like a neutral matchup on the Texans' home
turf.
Oakland's Passing Game vs. The Kansas City Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Last week, Rick Mirer tossed 9/13 for 195 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions
in the win over Minnesota. Surprisingly, Mirer is taking good care of the football
in his starts, with 42/66 for 506 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions in his last
3 games - he isn't tossing nearly as many interceptions this season as he had
in years past. Still, he's not a fantasy star (29th among all fantasy QB's in
FP per game) - but he's better than we expected him to be. The wide receivers
saw 8 passes come their way collectively last week - Joey Porter caught 2 for
49 yards, while Brown and Rice each snagged but one (for 25 and 20 yards, respectively).
The team is focusing on the running game to take pressure off Mirer, which is
putting the Raiders wide receivers six feet under in terms of fantasy production.
Don't expect things to change anytime soon, as the team has finally notched
a "W". Mirer was a 3rd stringer the last time these teams met in week
7, so recent history isn't much help evaluating this matchup.
Kansas City was obliging to Jon Kitna last week - 19/32 for 233 yards, 2 TDs
and 0 interceptions was what he slapped on the Chiefs. Two weeks ago, the Browns
managed 19/27 for 149 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception under Holcomb's leadership.
This season, the Chiefs are the 18th ranked pass D in the land, allowing 210.1
yards per game on average, with 11 passing scores allowed to date. They have
been right around that neighborhood in the last 2 games. The Chiefs do put a
lot of pressure on opposing QB's, with 26 sacks (tied for 5th in the NFL) and
19 interceptions (1st in the NFL).
Both teams come into this one with their current starting rosters fairly healthy.
Kansas City lists Jerome Woods (back, questionable).
The forecast for Arrowhead Stadium calls for a high of 53F and a low of 27F
with a 50% chance of precipitation. The precipitation could range from rain
to sleet to snow, and if it's truly nasty in Kansas City the wind might howl
through Arrowhead stadium, making the temperature feel even colder than it is
due to wind chill. In those conditions, footing and ball handling could easily
become major issues in this game.
Oakland is employing a very cautious passing game, but they should enjoy modest
success when they pass against the Chiefs - as long as Mirer can avoid making
bad decisions with the ball (and the interceptions that go along with those
bad decisions).
San Diego's Passing Game vs. The Cincinnati Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
One week after surprising the Vikings, Doug Flutie and company fell flat on
their face against the Denver Broncos, with 9/25 for 70 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception
passing in the embarrassing 37-8 trouncing. Rookie Kassim Osgood caught the
lone TD pass, but he shouldn't be on your roster unless you play in a dynasty
league - he is mostly used on special teams. The Chargers were just horrible
last week - nothing else needs to be said.
Cincinnati has been generous in recent weeks - 28/42 for 313 yards, 2 TDs and
0 interceptions allowed to Trent Green last week, with 11/25 for 146 yards,
2 TDs and 1 interception given up to David Carr two weeks ago. The Bengals are
the league's 15th ranked pass D allowing an average of 205.9 passing yards per
game, and they have allowed 15 passing TDs this season. With 4 scores coughed
up in the last 2 games, it's fair to say they are pretty soft right now.
CB Jeff Burris missed last week with a head injury/concussion, and is out this
week. The Chargers list Tim Dwight as out thanks to his partially collapsed
lung - he was in the hospital until Wednesday due to the injury.
The forecast for Qualcomm Stadium calls for a high of 61F and a low of 44F
with a 20% chance of precipitation. It should be great football weather if the
forecast holds up.
The Bengals are soft, while the Chargers stumble into this game reeling - its
an ugly but even matchup in our book.
San Francisco's Passing Game vs. The Green Bay Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
The controversy may rage among the fans, but head coach Erickson has made it
clear that Jeff Garcia is his starter when healthy. But Tim Rattay will get
the nod on Sunday - after all, the guy has thrown for 40/56 for 490 yards, 5
TDs and only 1 interception in his 2 starts - why rush Garcia back? Terrell
Owens has been smoking with Rattay pitching the ball (10/172/2), and Brandon
Lloyd snags one here and there (5/50/1). TE Jed Weaver saw 4 chances and converted
4/28/0 in a support role last week.
Green Bay held Brad Johnson and company to 17/28 for 149 yards, 1 TD and 2
interceptions (after the game, coach Gruden decided to de-activate Keyshawn
Johnson for the rest of the season - benching Johnson permanently). Donovan
McNabb managed to hit 15/31 for 198 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions against
the Pack weeks ago. The Packer secondary has been pretty decent in recent games
- better than their 224.6 passing yards per game average would indicate (27th
in the NFL). They have given away 14 passing scores so far in 2003, but haven't
caved much lately.
Garcia is listed as questionable this week, while WR's Owens (groin), Battle
(toe), Wilson (knee) and Streets (quadriceps) are all probable to play. Green
Bay comes into this one with CB Derek Combs (ankle, questionable), and CB Al
Harris (ankle, probable) on the initial injury report.
The forecast for Lambeau Field calls for a high of 52F and a low of 30F with
a 30% chance of precipitation. If it is sleeting or snowing at game time, the
winds could be swirling and it will be cold and slick on the field, causing
footing and ball-handling miscues for both teams.
Rattay and company are pretty hot, but the weather and the Packers secondary
may conspire to cool them off on Sunday - this looks like a 50-50 shot for Rattay
and company to us.
Arizona's Passing Game vs. The St. Louis Defense (Tough
Matchup)
Jeff Blake was pathetic last week, hitting 9/21 for 121 yards, 0 TDs and 1
interception against the Browns. This, after a great 23/43 for 307 yards, 2
TDs and 0 interception performance against the Steelers the week before. His
only consolation is that backup Josh McCown was even worse, 4/11 for 31 yards,
0 TDs and 2 interceptions - there is no QB controversy in Arizona. Anquan Boldin
managed to salvage 4/86/0 out of the wreckage, so at least 1 Cardinal was worth
something fantasy-wise last week. In week 4 Jeff Blake had a rough game against
the Rams, 10/17 for 88 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions. Anquan Boldin led the
team in receiving with 7/86/0.
The Rams allowed Chris Chandler to toss 16/32 for 153 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions
last week, and crushed the hapless Ravens' QB's to the tune of 17/33 for 170
yards, 1 TD and 3 interceptions two weeks ago - they are generating a lot of
turnovers in this phase of the game right now. The Rams rank as the 8th pass
D in the NFL, with an average of 180.9 passing yards allowed per game (13 scores
allowed to date). They are 11th in the league with 23 sacks, and have 14 interceptions
total this season.
Backup S Rich Coady (groin, doubtful) and reserve DB James Whitley (foot, questionable)
missed the game last week. Arizona is still waiting on reserve WR Jason McAddley
- he just began light running this week, and won't be in for a few more weeks
(if at all this season).
The forecast for Sun Devil Stadium calls for a high of 58F and a low of 39F
with a 20% chance of precipitation. It should be a pleasantly cool day to play
a game of football in the desert, something you can't usually say about this
venue.
The Cardinals are cold right now, and didn't have much luck with the Rams the
first time around - this looks like a tough matchup for them.
Atlanta's Passing Game vs. The Tennessee Defense (Tough
Matchup)
It looks like Kurt Kittner is headed back to the bench, as the Falcons continue
to mark time until Michael Vick can get back on the field. But even that hasn't
gone very smoothly of late: In practice with the practice squad on Wednesday,
Vick's injured leg was stepped on by another player, causing swelling and discomfort.
He will not return to the starting lineup this week.
The decision has been made, and Doug Johnson returns to the starting lineup
this week. 102/178 for 1244 yards, 6 TDs and 10 interceptions are what Johnson
has tossed this year. His best game this year was week 5 against Minnesota,
when he threw 28/40 for 352 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions.
Tennessee allowed only 15/31for 151 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions to Byron
Leftwich last week, and held the Dolphins to 19/33 for 181 yards, 1 TD and 3
interceptions two weeks ago. They played substantially worse earlier in the
season, as the team ranks as the 30th pass D in the NFL this season, allowing
an average of 232.9 passing yards per game, with 12 scores given away to date.
They are tied for 5th in the NFL with 26 sacks, and have forced 12 interceptions
this season.
Sack specialist Jevon Kearse injured his ankle last week (questionable), and
reserve DB's Andre Woolfolk (ankle, out) and Donnie Nickey (foot, questionable)
missed the game last week. The Falcons list WR LaTarence Dunbar (hamstring,
doubtful), Michael Vick (leg, doubtful).
This game is being played in the Georgia Dome, so weather is not a factor.
The Falcons' attack is in disarray, while the Titans are getting stronger as
the playoffs approach. Advantage, Tennessee.
Carolina's Passing Game vs. The Dallas Defense (Tough Matchup)
Last week, Jake Delhomme was busy vs. Washington: he threw 20/30 for 317 yards,
0 TDs and 2 interceptions in the victory. With 53/85 for 787 yards, 3 TDs and
5 interceptions in his last 3 games, Delhomme has been throwing the ball a lot
more in recent weeks than he had in the first half of the season. He is the
12th ranked fantasy QB in FP per game during the past 3 weeks, in fact. Steve
Smith is 11th among fantasy WR with 18/210/2 during that span, and Muhsin Muhammad
has 15/265/0 during that time frame (23rd among fantasy WR).
Dallas allowed 15/34 for 212 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions to Tom Brady
last week, and held Buffalo to 17/34 for 104 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions
two games ago. The Cowboys are the top-ranked pass D in the land, with an average
of only 154.8 passing yards allowed per game, with 10 scores given away earlier
in 2003. If anything, they are playing even tougher than those numbers indicate
in the last few games - this is a top secondary, folks.
Both teams come into the game in good health.
The forecast for Texas Stadium calls for a high of 65F and a low of 36F with
a 20% chance of rain - it will be a great day for a football game if the weather
holds.
Carolina has been opening things up in recent weeks, but don't look for a 300+
yard game against the ultra-tough Cowboys.
Chicago's Passing Game vs. The Denver Defense (Tough Matchup)
Chris Chandler managed 16/32 for 153 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions vs. St.
Louis last week - he's pretty much been right around those numbers week in and
week out, with 53/90 for 526 yards, 2 TDs and 4 interceptions in his last 3
games - he is not likely to score you a bunch of fantasy points on any given
Sunday at this stage in his career. Last week, Dez White saw 9 passes (4/39/1),
while Marty Booker (5/60/0) and Desmond Clark (4/44/0) each had 8 targets. There
aren't a lot of fantasy points to spread around in Chicago this season.
Denver was great last week, crushing the Chargers to the tune of 9/25 for 70
yards, 1 TD and 1 interception, after being carpet-bombed for 20/35 for 350
yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception by Tom Brady in the prior game. The Broncos
are ranked as the 7th best pass D in the NFL, allowing only 178.1 yards per
game on average - they have given away 13 passing scores to date. They Broncos
have 23 sacks this season, but have only generated 7 interceptions - they need
more turnovers. In recent weeks, this problem spot has been moving in the right
direction, though.
Chicago lists TE Dustin Lyman as out (shoulder). Denver is in good shape.
The forecast for Mile High Stadium calls for a high of 29F and a low of 18F
with a 30% chance of precipitation. It could be very windy, cold and snowy at
game time, making footing and ball handling issues in this game.
The Bears mount an anemic attack, while the Broncos are hot after the San Diego
win and tend to be stingy in this phase from week to week. Advantage, Denver.
Jacksonville's Passing Game vs. The New York Jets Defense
(Tough Matchup)
Last week, Byron Leftwich had a rough game vs. Tennessee, putting up 15/31
for 151 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions on the day. He hasn't been lighting
up fantasy scoreboards in the past 3 weeks, with only 49/87 for 538 yards, 2
TDs and 3 interceptions in his past 3 games (23rd among all fantasy QB's in
FP per game during that span). The top Jaguar receiver during those weeks is
Jimmy Smith, with 10/164/1 (32nd among all fantasy WR). There just isn't much
in the way of fireworks from this team right now.
Manning threw for 27/36 for 401 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions vs. the Jets
last week, while Rick Mirer had 18/25 for 186 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions
against them 2 weeks ago. The lack of interceptions is no surprise, as the Jets
have only managed 5 all year, despite ranking 2nd in the league with 28 sacks.
However, they are the 11th ranked pass D in terms of yards allowed (194.6) per
game, and have allowed the 3rd-fewest passing TDs this year (8). In recent weeks,
they have been less-than-stellar, however.
The Jets will probably be playing CB Donnie Abraham (shoulder, probable). Meanwhile,
FS Jon McGraw (shoulder, IR), and backup SS David Young (hamstring, out) will
sit this one out. Jacksonville's receiving corps is in good shape, although
backup QB Mark Brunell continues to have trouble with his throwing-arm elbow
(questionable).
The forecast for Giants' Stadium calls for a high of 58F and a low of 48F with
a 30% chance of rain. At this time of year, rain would probably mean windy conditions
and a slick field - footing and ball-handling could become issues in this game
if the rain comes down hard around game-time. If the wind really kicks up, passing
will be more challenging in the swirling gusts.
Jacksonville is far from explosive in this phase, while the Jets are generally
very tough. We'll see if last weeks effort against Indy was a fluke. Sounds
like a tough matchup for Jacksonville owners to us.
New Orleans' Passing Game vs. The Philadelphia Defense (Tough
Matchup)
The major story here is the rash of injuries sweeping the Saints' receiving
corps - TE Ernie Conwell is done for the season with a broken leg; Joe Horn
was very limited last week after re-injuring his left knee; and fellow starter
Donte Stallworth re-injured the hamstring that had kept him sidelined for several
weeks, and twisted an ankle. Last week, without Horn or Stallworth's services
for most of the game, Aaron Brooks managed 21/37 for 228 yards, 0 TDs and 2
interceptions. Boo Williams will step in for Conwell this week (45/434/6 TDs
in a 3 year career with NO). Stallworth should be OK to play, while Horn will
be evaluated as the week progresses. Over the past 3 weeks, Brooks has been
pretty quiet, ranking 25th in FP per game, with 34/66 for 370 yards, 1 TD and
3 interceptions (9/52/0 rushing). With Horn and Stallworth limited, McAllister
and Jerome Pathon saw the most targets last week, with 10 each.
Philadelphia has been mediocre in this phase lately, allowing 25/44 for 268
yards, 1 TD and 1 interception to Kerry Collins last week, while holding Brett
Favre to 14/22 for 109 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception in poor conditions at
Lambeau field the week before. They are the 13th ranked pass D in the land,
allowing an average of 207.9 yards per game, and have coughed up 11 passing
scores so far in 2003. They have bounced around that average in recent weeks
- this unit is middle-of-the-road in 2003. Troy Vincent was far from mediocre
for his IDP owners last week, though, with 7 solo tackles, 1 interception and
3 passes defensed (3rd best DB last week).
Philadelphia continues to wait on CB Bobby Taylor (foot, out). S Brian Dawkins
is questionable due to his sore foot. New Orleans lists Horn and Stallworth
as questionable.
The forecast for Lincoln Financial Field calls for a high of 63F and a low
of 48F with a 20% chance of rain. It sounds like a great day for a football
game is on tap.
New Orleans has many injury challenges before them this week, while the Eagles
are lurking in their home-field with their middling defense - the Philly fans
swing this one to the home-team: advantage, Eagles.
New York Giants' Passing Game vs. The Tampa Bay Defense
(Tough Matchup)
Kerry Collins was adequate against the Eagles last week, with 25/44 for 268
yards, 1 TD and 1 interception. He has been mediocre over the past three games,
tossing 74/124 for 773 yards, with 3 TDs and 3 interceptions to date (18th among
all fantasy QB's in FP per game). Amani Toomer is the leading Giant receiver
over that three game span, with 16/217/1 receiving (22nd among all fantasy WR).
Ike Hilliard has 9/91/1 in that span. Tiki Barber snagged the TD last week with
3/20/1.
The Buccaneers are in the midst of a 3 game slide, and part of the blame lies
on their passing D: two weeks ago, Jake Delhomme surprised them for 20/32 for
277 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions in the Carolina victory. The Buccaneers
followed that up by allowing Brett Favre to hook up for 13/28 for 92 yards,
1 TD and 1 interception - much better, but still not good enough to lead the
team to a win. The Buccaneers have been stout in this phase for most of the
season, with an average of 175.8 passing yards allowed per game (4th in the
NFL), and they have allowed 9 passing scores to date. They are a mediocre 17th
in the league with 21 sacks, but have generated 17 interceptions this season
(3rd most in the NFL to date).
Hilliard is pretty beat up at this time (questionable), while backup Tim Carter
had his second concussion of the season last week (doubtful). Jeremy Shockey
remains sidelined due to his knee injury. The Buccaneers have been going without
DB Jermaine Phillips (fractured forearm, probable).
The forecast for Raymond James Stadium calls for a high of 80F, with a low
of 63F and a 40% chance for precipitation. The game is on Monday night, so the
temperature will be closer to the low end of the scale, and if the rain comes
down hard around game time, the field could get sloppy and slow and the ball
would get slick - miscues become more common in such conditions.
The Buccaneers will try to return to the dominant D they used to be, but they
have injury issues coming into this game. New York is fighting for its slim
playoff hopes after dropping 2 straight - this looks like a tough matchup between
to wounded and reeling units.
Pittsburgh's Passing Game vs. The Cleveland Defense (Tough
Matchup)
Tommy Maddox put up 25/44 for 327 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception vs. the 49ers
last week. Plaxico Burress was the #1 target last week (Hines Ward badly bit
his tongue and was out for part of the game) - Burress managed to convert 14
chances into 6/92/0. Three other players caught 4 passes - Chris Doering (4/61/0),
Antwaan Randle-El (4/61/1) and Hines Ward (4/44/0). Maddox is the 11th best
fantasy QB over the last 3 weeks, with 58/103 for 5 TDs and only 1 interception.
Back in week 5, Maddox had a horrid game, throwing 11/24 for 136 yards, 0 TDs
and 2 interceptions against the Browns.
Cleveland shut down Jeff Blake and Arizona last week, 13/32 for 152 yards,
0 TDs and 3 interceptions, just one week after being humiliated for 29/42 yielding
368 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions by Trent Green and KC 2 weeks ago. The
Browns are usually very tough, with an average of 178 passing yards per game
allowed (5th in the NFL), and they have only surrendered 7 scores in this phase
all year - the K.C. game was atypical of their usual performance.
Pittsburgh's TE Jay Riemersma continues to struggle to play (sternum, doubtful).
WR's Plaxico Burress (shoulder), TE Jerame Tuman (shoulder) and Antwaan Randle
El (toe) are probable to play. Cleveland lists reserve DB Roosevelt Williams
(shoulder, probable). CB Michael Lehan (shoulder) and CB Lewis Sanders (groin)
as probable on the initial injury report.
The forecast for Cleveland Browns Stadium calls for a high of 57F and a low
of 47F with a 20% chance of rain - great football weather, if the forecast holds
up.
The Steelers are finding their passing game again in recent weeks, while the
Browns have been up and down. In this divisional rivalry, don't expect anything
to be easy for the Steelers in the Browns' house - it's a tough road for Maddox
and company this Sunday.
Seattle's Passing Game vs. The Baltimore Defense (Tough
Matchup)
Matt Hasselbeck put up 21/28 for 207 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions vs. the
Lions last week, en route to a 35-14 victory. Shaun Alexander (7 targets), Itula
Mili (6), and WR's Bobby Engram (5) and Darrell Jackson (5) were his favored
targets last week. Engram snagged the TD (3/59/1) while Jackson (4/56/0) and
Mili (4/29/0) led the team in receptions. Hasselbeck has been relatively quiet
fantasy-wise in the last 3 weeks, with 58/88 for 663 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception
(13th in FP per game during that span).
In the game last week vs. Miami the Ravens gave up only 13/32 for 126 yards,
0 TDs and 1 interception; the numbers were 13/26 for 110 yards, 0 TDs and 2
interceptions vs. Marc Bulger and company the week before. This unit has been
playing outstanding football lately, despite the lack of offensive production
that has cost the Ravens both games. The Ravens are 7th in the league with 25
sacks and also have generated 14 interceptions this season. They are 3rd in
the league allowing only 170.9 passing yards per game, with 11 passing scores
given away earlier this season. Ed Reed was a IDP monster last week with 6 solo
tackles, 3 assists, 1 interception and 2 passes defensed (7th best DB last week).
Both teams enjoy good health coming into this game.
The forecast for M&T Bank Stadium calls for a high of 66F and a low of
55F with a 20% chance of rain. It should be a fine day to play some football.
Seattle has a good-to-great passing game from week to week, while the Ravens
have become red-hot in recent weeks - this looks like a tough challenge for
the visitors. Advantage, Baltimore.
Washington's Passing Game vs. The Miami Defense (Tough Matchup)
Uh-oh, Redskins' owners: "Washington Redskins quarterback Patrick Ramsey
has been playing all season with a broken bone in his right foot, an old fracture
that's hampering his mobility. ``It's flared up pretty bad recently,'' said
Ramsey, who has had difficulty planting the foot when throwing. ``It's just
something I'm trying to fight through.''
Coach Steve Spurrier revealed the injury Monday, a day after Ramsey had one
of his worst games of the season in a 20-17 loss at Carolina. Ramsey said the
foot started hurting during training camp. An X-ray disclosed an old fracture.
Ramsey has no idea when or how it happened. ``It never hurt me last season.
It never hurt me in college,'' Ramsey said. ``But at some point, I apparently
fractured my foot. I know that sounds odd.'' (AP Article by Joseph White, 11/18/03)
As of Wednesday, the Redskins were preparing backup Tim Hasselbeck to take
the reins in case Ramsey is unable to play on Sunday - Hasselbeck has the following
statistics in his NFL career: 2/3 for 20 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions, with
1 rush for -1 yards. Coach Spurrier says he expects Ramsey to start, but Ramsey
doesn't sound so sure, saying this about practicing on Wednesday "I don't
know yet. If I can, I will." (Washington Post, 11/19/03). Ramsey watched
practice on Wednesday from the sidelines.
Miami squashed the Ravens' third stringer last week - Anthony Wright threw
for 14/25 for 112 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions. Two weeks ago, it was a
different story as Steve McNair and company tossed 19/26 for 223 yards, 2 TDs
and 0 interceptions in a 31-7 rout of the Dolphins. The Dolphins are the 26th
ranked pass D this year, allowing an average of 221.1 passing yards per game,
but they have only given up 7 scores (2nd-best in the NFL this season). They
have 24 sacks (9th in the NFL) and 16 interceptions - the Dolphins keep pressure
on the competition and force mistakes.
Besides Ramsey (questionable), the Redskins list Laveranues Coles (toe, probable).
Miami's unit lists CB Patrick Surtain (ankle, questionable). S Shawn Wooden
(hamstring, probable) is also listed.
The forecast for Pro Player Stadium calls for a high of 84F and a low of 66F
with a 20% chance of precipitation. A nice cool evening game is on tap in Miami
this weekend.
Miami is always tough on opposing passers - this is a tough matchup for the
Redskins with Ramsey under center (if he can go), and a bad one if Tim Hasselbeck
makes his first career start against the Dolphins.
Houston's Passing Game vs. The New England Defense (Bad
Matchup)
David Carr is out for this game: "There will be no such mystery this time
around. Texans coach Dom Capers took care of that Monday when he named Tony
Banks as his starting quarterback for Sunday's game against New England after
an MRI exam on Carr's right shoulder revealed a sprained AC joint." (Houston
Chronicle article by Carlton Thompson, 11/18/03). Last week, Tony Banks threw
for 11/16 for 207 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception in relief of Carr, and he has
passed for 43/63 for 500 yards, 3 TDs and 2 interceptions during action this
season. Andre Johnson saw 7 balls come his way last week, while Jabar Gaffney
and Domanick Davis had 4 passes - Johnson came up huge with 4/122/1, while Gaffney
and Davis both grabbed 3 of their 4 chances (for 40 and 33 yards total, respectively).
New England limited Quincy Carter and company to 20/36 for 210 yards, 0 TDs
and 3 interceptions last week, and kept Danny Kanell and the Broncos to 16/35
for 163 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception in their game 3 weeks back. In fact,
the Patriots lead the NFL with only 4 passing scores surrendered all year long,
while ranking 21st in allowing 214.6 passing yards per game. They have 16 interceptions
as a team, 4th-best in the NFL, and 22 sacks (tied for 14th in the league).
Ty Law was a top IDP DB last week, with 2 solo tackles, 2 assists, 2 interceptions
and 4 passes defensed (5th best DB last week).
Houston's reserve WR/KR J.J. Moses (hamstring, probable) missed the game last
week. New England is in good shape on this squad.
The forecast for Reliant Stadium calls for a high of 76F and a low of 44F with
a 40% chance of rain. If the weather is really nasty with lots of rain, expect
the retractable roof to be closed, which will limit the amount of influence
the climate will have on this game.
Tony Banks has been a capable quarterback in his chances, but the Patriots
are one of the toughest units in the NFL, especially when it comes to scoring.
Don't expect much from Banks and company this weekend, and you won't be disappointed.
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