Passing Matchups

Note: Due to the Thanksgiving Holiday, the Matchups this week were written using injury information from Footballguys' Monday Injury report, because the official initial injury report from the NFL was not available yet. As always, Footballguys will make the official injury reports available as soon as they are released, and continue to update our readers with breaking news throughout the Holiday week.

Hi Folks,

Here's our look at the Passing Matchups for this week.

PLEASE NOTE: This does NOT replace the Cheatsheet ranking. The Cheatsheet rankings are the final say on where we see a player for that week. The Matchup Breakdowns are simply one more tool in the box when it comes to helping choose your lineup.

Also note, just because a player has a "bad" matchup, it does NOT mean he's not a starter in your league. If Peyton Manning is playing the toughest pass defense in the league, that just means he's got a tough matchup that week. He's also your starter unless you're loaded at QB. In the same way, if the worst QB on your roster has a "great" matchup that week, it doesn't necessarily mean he's your starter. It means we think he'll fare better than normal that week.
Bottom line is that the cheatsheets are the final say.

Let's jump to it.

Joe

Week 13 Passing Matchups

By Mark Wimer with Joe Bryant

Cincinnati's Passing Game vs. The Pittsburgh Defense (Great Matchup)

Jon Kitna proved that he can win a big game two weeks ago against the Chiefs (19/32 for 233 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions), and built upon the momentum thereby gained to toss 24/38 for 243 yards, 4 TDs and 0 interceptions against the Chargers last week. Chad Johnson caught 10 balls for 107 yards and 3 TDs, while Kelley Washington hauled in the other score (5/61/1). Peter Warrick had a quiet week for once, with 2/14/0 receiving and 3/17/0 rushing.

Jon Kitna and company managed 16/24 for 157 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception the last time these two teams met. Chad Johnson led all receivers with 4/77/0, but Peter Warrick scored the TD (4/21/1).

Pittsburgh has been very generous with passing scores this season, allowing 16 to date while averaging a less-than-impressive 201.3 passing yards allowed per game. Two weeks ago, Tim Rattay and the 49'ers threw for 21/27 for 254 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions against this unit. Last week, Kelly Holcomb and company managed to accumulate 25/44 for 234 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions. The Steelers just aren't reliably effective in this phase during 2003.

Pittsburgh escaped Browns stadium with no new injuries of note, and Cincinnati's unit expects to get TE Reggie Kelly back this week from his foot injury. Injuries aren't a big factor in this matchup.

The forecast for Heinz Field calls for a high of 58 F and a low of 43F with a 30 % chance for precipitation. If the rain comes down hard around game-time, the field could get sloppy and slow, and ball handling would become an issue.

Kitna and company are in a groove right now, while the Steelers tend to bleed in this phase of the game. Advantage, Bengals.

Houston's Passing Game vs. The Atlanta Defense (Great Matchup)

Tony Banks was limited by the Patriot's secondary to 10/25 for 93 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception in the Texans' OT loss. He has been pretty quiet lately, with 24/35 for 361 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception in 2 games during weeks 9-11. Andre Johnson was the top receiver for the Texans last week, with 4/37/1 (TE Billy Miller snagged the other TD, 1/16/1). This offense may get slightly more explosive if David Carr makes it back from his sore shoulder this week - he's more consistent than the streaky Banks. Stay tuned this week to monitor their status.

Atlanta is pathetic in this phase of the game, allowing a league-worst 251.1 passing yards per game to the opposition, with 17 TDs surrendered to date. Last week, they couldn't stop backup Billy Volek (9/15 for 117 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions) who came in to relieve the injured Steve McNair (9/11 for 95 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions). Two weeks ago, it was Aaron Brooks' turn to attack the Falcons - but he had worse results, with 21/38 for 228 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions (a lot of Brooks' receivers were hurt in that game, though).

Atlanta continues to have injury woes, with reserve DB Kevin McCadam missing the game last week due to a hamstring injury, while starting CB Juran Bolden (foot) and S's Bryan Scott (knee) and Gerald McBurrows (shoulder) got injured in the game - Scott will have arthroscopic surgery to correct torn cartilage in his knee and will miss at least this week's game. Houston is in good health, excepting Carr's injured shoulder.

The forecast for Reliant Stadium calls for a high of 77 F and a low of 58F with a 10% chance for precipitation. That's close to perfect football weather.

Anytime you play the 2003 Atlanta Falcons, it's a good day to be an opposing QB or WR.

Kansas City's Passing Game vs. The San Diego Defense (Great Matchup)

Trent Green enjoyed a solid outing against the Chargers back in week 1, notching 21/32 for 282 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception. In the past two weeks, he's been pretty hot, as well - 28/42 for 313 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions vs. the Bengals 2 weeks ago, and 23/33 for 244 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions against the Raiders last week. The TE's have been snagging his TD passes lately (2 for Jason Dunn in the last two weeks, 1 for Tony Gonzalez).

The Chargers are simply horrible in this phase of the game. They have allowed a league-worst 26 passing TDs to date, and rank 29th in yards allowed per game (234.8). Jon Kitna ripped them for 24/38 for 243 yards, 4 TDs and 0 interceptions last week. Jake Plummer blasted them for 23/34 for 253 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception the week before. It's easy to score TDs against this pathetic secondary.

San Diego's FS Jerry Wilson has a bruised hip, but isn't expected to miss the game.

The forecast for Qualcomm Stadium calls for a high of 65 F and a low of 46F with a 30% chance for precipitation. If the rain comes down hard around game time, the field could get slick and slow, and ball handling may become an issue.

Green and company should have a great day against the doormat Chargers.

New York Jets' Passing Game vs. The Tennessee Defense (Great Matchup)

The Chad Pennington/Santana Moss Express was slowed down by the Jaguars last week, to the tune of 25/39 for 236 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception (Moss had 2/13/1 on the day). Slowed down, but not stopped. Moss has been a fantasy football tsunami in recent weeks, blowing over opposing DB's like a hurricane through Florida (19/334/5 in weeks 9-11), and Pennington racked up 56/86 for 769 yards, 9 TDs and 2 interceptions during that same span. They have been pretty awesome, folks.

The Tennessee secondary let Doug Johnson make a game of it last week - 19/32 for 276 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception. Two weeks ago, Byron Leftwich was held to 15/31 for 151 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions. Johnson's performance is more typical of the usual game against the Titans' secondary, which has allowed an average of 235.2 passing yards per game (30th in the NFL) and 14 passing TDs to date.

Aside from Wayne Chrebet (IR), the Jets are in good health. Tennessee has been doing without DB Andre Woolfolk (ankle), and CB Samari Rolle suffered a mild concussion last week, but he is expected to play as usual.

The forecast for Giant's Stadium calls for a high of 54 F and a low of 35F with a 30% chance for precipitation. As this game is being played on Monday night, the precipitation could easily be sleet or snow - with another game on this same field on Sunday, and wet conditions, footing is likely to be an issue if there's damp or slick conditions. Ball handling is always an issue in the event of cold/damp weather.

The Jets are hot, and the Titans are soft. Advantage, New York.

Atlanta's Passing Game vs. The Houston Defense (Good Matchup)

Doug Johnson is back under center in Atlanta, and played a solid game last week vs. Tennessee, flinging 13/32 for 276 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception in the losing effort. Warrick Dunn (9/129/1) and Peerless Price (5/87/1) were the main beneficiaries of his renaissance game. This week, Johnson will have to do without the injured Dunn, so Price and TE Alge Crumpler will have to find ways to get open without a pass-catching threat coming out of the backfield.

Houston's pass D has been soft all season, ranking 31st in the NFL allowing an average of 240 yards per game, with 18 passing scores surrendered to date (second worse in the NFL). Last week, Tom Brady touched them for 29/47 for 368 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions. Two weeks ago, it was Drew Bledsoe throwing for 15/26 for 184 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions. The Texans are 27th in the NFL with only 16 sacks, and have a mediocre 11 interceptions to date.

Atlanta's reserve WR LaTarence Dunbar continues to struggle with a sore hamstring.

The forecast for Reliant Stadium calls for a high of 77 F and a low of 58F with a 10% chance for precipitation. That's close to perfect football weather.

This is a good matchup for Johnson and the Falcons.

Chicago's Passing Game vs. The Arizona Defense (Good Matchup)

Chris Chandler is still in the mix in Chicago - for now. The shoulder injury he suffered against Denver is still under evaluation, but coach Jauron commented on Monday "nobody feels like it's a real significant injury. Nobody used the word separation with me". Jauron has indicated that if he's healthy, Chandler will start. He was 8/18 for 89 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions before getting knocked out of the game last week. Two weeks ago against St. Louis, Chandler put up 16/32 for 153 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions. Those are roughly the numbers that Chandler is routinely notching this season - steady and modest though they may be, Chandler seems to be the coaching staff's choice while the Bears are still mathematically eligible for the playoffs.

Arizona has been rocked in this phase of the game lately, allowing 28/44 for 329 yards, 1 TD (but generated 4 interceptions) to Marc Bulger last week; two weeks ago, Kelly Holcomb tore them up for 29/35 for 392 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions. The 4 interceptions that Arizona managed last week brought their season total to 9 (not too good), and they have generated only 13 sacks to date. Arizona is 27th in the NFL averaging 223.1 passing yards allowed per game, with 19 scores surrendered to date.

Besides Chandler's sore shoulder, there are no injuries of note to report.

The forecast for Soldier Field calls for a high of 53 F and a low of 35F with a 40% chance for precipitation. The precipitation could be rain, sleet or snow at this time of year - and wind is always an issue in Chicago at this time of year. If the field gets really wet, footing and ball handling will be issues in this game.

Chandler and company should enjoy modest success against the soft Arizona secondary.

Cleveland's Passing Game vs. The Seattle Defense (Good Matchup)

Kelly Holcomb came back down to Earth against the Steelers, with 25/44 for 234 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions - this, one week after soaring for 29/35 for 392 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions against the hapless Cardinals. Anyway, last week his favorite targets among the receivers were Quincy Morgan (7 targets for 1/16/0) and Andre Davis (9 for 3/48/0), but neither made much happen with their looks. RB Jamel White led the team with 9 targets for 7/57/0/

Seattle was lit up by former 3rd-stringer Anthony Wright last week, to the tune of 20/37 for 319 yards, 4 TDs and 0 interceptions. Two weeks ago, it was Joey Harrington and the low-octane Lions that victimized the Seattle secondary for 26/48 for 285 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions - even sub-par aerial assaults are feasting on the Seahawks right now. RCB Marcus Trufant, in particular, looked really bad vs. the Ravens. The Seahawks sport the league's 20th ranked pass D, allowing 214.5 passing yards per game, with 16 scores surrendered - they are playing even worse than those numbers indicate in recent games.

Neither team has injuries of note to report.

The forecast for Seahawks Stadium calls for a high of 46 F and a low of 38F with a 40% chance for precipitation. If the rain comes down hard around game time, the field could get slick and sloppy, and ball handling may become an issue.

Cleveland has been up and down in this phase recently, while the Seahawks have been plain old down. Advantage, Cleveland.

Denver's Passing Game vs. The Oakland Defense (Good Matchup)

Jake Plummer was under whelming in the loss to Chicago last week (19/35 for 176 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions), one week after rocking the Chargers for 23/34 for 253 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception in his first game back from injury two weeks ago. Last week, Ashley Lelie was horrible (1/2/0) on 5 targets, while Rod Smith hauled in 9/86/1 out of 12 opportunities.

The last time these teams met, Jake Plummer was great with 14/21 for 197 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions back in week 3.

Oakland is poor in this phase of the game, ranking 26th in the NFL allowing an average of 218.0 passing yards allowed per game (with 13 scores surrendered to date). 27/49 for 396 yards, 1 TD and 3 interceptions was what Daunted Culpepper did to the Raiders two weeks ago, while Trent Green touched them for 23/33 for 244 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions last week.

Oakland's starting S Derrick Gibson is likely out due to his neck injury. TE Shannon Sharpe has rib injuries that may be broken ribs - he's being evaluated further and may not play this week.

The forecast for Network Associate's Coliseum calls for a high of 61 F and a low of 43F with a 10% chance for precipitation. That's just about ideal football weather.

Both teams have injury concerns - but Denver has more ability to make things happen than the Raiders have talent to stop the Broncos. Advantage, Denver.

Philadelphia's Passing Game vs. The Carolina Defense (Good Matchup)

Donovan McNabb is finally back to top form - he followed up his 24/30 for 314 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions performance of two weeks ago with 16/25 for 259 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions against the Saints last week. He hit 10 guys with passes last week, and no-one saw more than 5 looks - Todd Pinkston led the team with 1/48/0. Currently, McNabb is the 4th best fantasy QB in the land (in FP per game over the last 3 weeks), connecting for 55/86 for 771 yards, 4 TDs and 0 interceptions.

Carolina is pretty soft in this phase of the game, averaging 217.3 yards allowed per game (25th in the NFL) in 2003 with 16 scores given away. Two weeks ago, gave up 16/35 for 150 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception to Patrick Ramsey and company. They followed up that performance with 29/44 for 254 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception to Quincy Carter and friends in Dallas last week. The Panthers are giving away a lot of passing TDs recently.

Both teams enjoy relatively good health right now.

The forecast for Ericsson Stadium calls for a high of 59 F and a low of 47F with a 10 % chance for precipitation. Just about perfect football weather, in other words.

McNabb is returning to top form in recent weeks, while the Panther's best games are pretty average in this phase of the game. Advantage, Philadelphia.

Pittsburgh's Passing Game vs. The Cincinnati Defense (Good Matchup)

During the weeks 9-11, Tommy Maddox cut way down on interceptions, throwing for 58/103 for 718 yards, 5 TDs and 1 interception - good for 11th in FP per game among fantasy QB's. Last week, against the Browns, he hit 9/24 for only 73 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions. Neither Ward or Burress got over 20 yards receiving, and TE Mark Bruener was the lucky recipient of the TD pass - 1/1/1. It was enough to win the game in the real NFL, but likely cost Pittsburgh owners a lot of matches in fantasy football - what a power-outage!

Maddox and company put up 21/34 for 240 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception against the Bengals back in week 3. Plaxico Burress had the most catches (5/56/0), but Hines Ward caught the score (4/48/1).

Two weeks ago, the Bengals held off Trent Green and the Chiefs, but surrendered 28/42 for 313 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions in the course of the game. Last week, against San Diego, the box-score read 15/33 for 210 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions for Doug Flutie. The Bengals have been mediocre in this phase of the game all season, averaging 209 passing yards allowed per game (16th in the NFL currently) with 17 TDs surrendered to date.

Maddox and company are in good shape, while the Bengals continue to wait on starting CB Jeff Burris to get back into the lineup - he may not make it back this season.

Pittsburgh's talented unit struggled last week - but Cincinnati is merely adequate at pass defense. Pittsburgh turns home-field advantage into the edge in this one.

Baltimore's Passing Game vs. The San Francisco Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Suddenly, the Ravens have a passing attack that opposing defenses have to pay attention to - 20/37 for 319 yards, 4 TDs and 0 interceptions was the line for Anthony Wright last week. Marcus Robinson came from out of nowhere to light up the scoreboard (7/131/4) - his best game this season prior to last week's game was 1/14/0 in week 1 vs. Pittsburgh. Todd Heap was thrown at 7 times, but he only converted 1/22/0. Travis Taylor turned 8 chances into 3/57/0.

The 49ers allowed 10/15 for 138 yards, 2 TDs with 3 interceptions to Brett Favre last week; one week after Tommy Maddox and company hit them for 25/44 for 327 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception. This year, the 49'ers are the 14th ranked pass D in the league, allowing an average of 204 yards per contest, with 16 passing TDs surrendered to date.

Just as he was starting to mature into a decent NFL CB, Mike Rumph suffered a right ankle injury (questionable for the next game). Reserve DB Ronnie Heard (knee) missed the game last week. Baltimore is in good health.

The forecast for M&T Bank Stadium calls for a high of 53 F and a low of 44F with a 10% chance for precipitation. It should be a great day to play football.

It's too soon to say that Wrights' great game is the signal of good things to come, but it was encouraging - on the other side of the coin, San Francisco plays decent pass defense. This looks like an even matchup before the fact.

Buffalo's Passing Game vs. The New York Giant's Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Drew Bledsoe has been pathetic in recent weeks, with 15/26 for 184 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions two weeks ago against Houston, and 15/28 for 135 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception in the game against the Colts last week. None of his receivers caught more than 4 balls, and none of them got over 40 yards in receptions. In his past 3 games, Bledsoe has 47/88 for 423 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception. Fantasy points are almost impossible to come by on this unit right now, and no improvement appears to be in sight.

Donovan McNabb bombed the Giants for 24/30 yielding 310 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions two weeks ago, and the Giants allowed Brad Johnson to toss 22/32 for 269 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception on Monday night. They are the 19th ranked pass D in the land this season, allowing an average of 213.7 yards per game with 13 TDs surrendered to date. They are not playing up to that already-modest average in recent weeks.

Injuries have decimated the Giant's secondary, but they managed to avoid any new ones on Monday night. Buffalo's Eric Moulds continues to limp along at less than 100% with his groin and hamstring injuries.

The forecast for Giants' Stadium calls for a high of 48 F and a low of 40F with a 10% chance for precipitation. That's good football weather.

Bledsoe has been horrible recently, while the Giants are stumbling and injury-depleted. This has the look of an ugly but even matchup to us.

Carolina's Passing Game vs. The Philadelphia Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Jake Delhomme is putting up some solid numbers in the past few weeks (the coaches are coming to believe in his passing arm more and more). Last week, against Dallas' top-ranked unit, he hit 9/24 for 175 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception - in his last 3 games, Delhomme has hit 49/86 for 769 yards, 3 TDs and 5 interceptions (3/8/1 rushing in addition). Muhsin Muhammad has been thrown to 27 times in that span, Steve Smith has seen 25 balls, and Ricky Proehl is 3rd with 10 chances in 3 games.

Philadelphia is not stalwart, but neither are they a push-over in this phase of the game, allowing an average of 213.5 passing yards per game with 13 scores given up this season. They contained Kerry Collins to 25/44 for 268 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception two weeks ago, and limited Aaron Brooks and his injury-plagued group of receivers to 24/39 for 287 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions last week. Not great, but not terrible, either.

The Panthers are in good shape in this phase of the game, while Philadelphia continues to wait on CB Bobby Taylor (he may not make it back this season, it looks like) and FS Brian Dawkins (foot).

The forecast for Ericsson Stadium calls for a high of 59 F and a low of 47F with a 10 % chance for precipitation. Just about perfect football weather, in other words.

Carolina features a steady but unspectacular attack, while the Eagles have a respectable but not awesome pass defense. Sounds like an even matchup to us.

Green Bay's Passing Game vs. The Detroit Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Brett Favre continues to be limited, partly due to his thumb injury and partly due to the phenomenal results the rushing game is garnering in recent weeks. Anyway, last week he tossed 10/15 for 138 yards, 2 TDs and 3 interceptions. Javon Walker turned 2 targets into 1 huge, 66 yard TD. Robert Ferguson caught both balls that came his way, 2/21/1. Over the last 3 weeks, Favre is the 31st ranked fantasy QB, with a mere 37/65 for 339 yards, 4 TDs and 5 interceptions. Not numbers to make a fantasy owner jump up and down in excitement over, are they?

The last time these two teams met, Brett Favre had a relatively quiet day (the team rushed for 200 yards in week 3) - he hit 15/28 for 132 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception.

Two weeks ago, Detroit gave up 21/29 for 201 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions to the Seahawks, while last week Daunte Culpepper and company barely managed 20/30 for 196 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception. The Lions are playing tough D in this phase, despite their injury problems, and rank as the 15th NFL pass D this season, averaging 207.4 passing yards allowed per game, with 16 passing scores given away to date. They have been right around those numbers in recent weeks, as you can see.

Green Bay is in reasonably good health, excepting Favre's broken thumb. Detroit has more trouble in their secondary - CB Dre' Bly left last weeks' game with a leg injury.

This game is being played in a dome, so weather isn't an issue.

The Packers are playing conservatively in this phase, while the Lions are pretty effective at pass defense right now. It sounds like an even game is in store for Favre and company on Thanksgiving.

Indianapolis' Passing Game vs. The New England Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Peyton Manning has been hot recently, ranking as the 7th best fantasy QB during weeks 9-11 with 78/118 for 1014 yards, 4 TDs and 3 interceptions. Last week against the tough Buffalo secondary he added 26/42 for 229 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions. Marvin Harrison caught 6/47/0 in his return to the field, and rookie Aaron Moorehead continued to build on his opportunity in the lineup with 5/71/0 on 6 chances. Reggie Wayne saw 9 passes but only converted 4/39/0.

New England allowed 20/36 for 210 yards, 0 TDs and 3 interceptions to the Cowboys in their 12-0 victory two weeks ago, and limited Houston's Tony Banks to 10/25 for 93 yards, with 2 TDs and 1 interception last week. The 2 TDs were a surprise, as the Patriots are usually very hard to score on this year (6 passing scores surrendered all year). The Patriots average 202.4 passing yards allowed per game this year - 13th in the NFL.

Marcus Pollard is still fighting through a knee injury, WR Troy Walters (hamstring) and Brandon Stokley (head) have been sidelined due to injury. New England is in better shape, with no injuries of note in the secondary right now.

This game is being played in the RCA Dome, so weather won't be a factor.

Dallas Clark, Reggie Wayne and Marvin Harrison are sufficient weapons for any QB to deploy, but the Patriots make it tough to score for everyone they play this season. We call this an even matchup.

Minnesota's Passing Game vs. The St. Louis Defense (Neutral Matchup)

During weeks 9-11, Daunte Culpepper was the hottest fantasy QB around, with 80/127 for 968 yards, 7 TDs and 4 interceptions (with 17/100/2 rushing) - last week, though, he stumbled as Randy Moss was hobbled with a sore ankle - Culpepper finished the day 20/36 for 196 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception. With Moss limping and D'Wayne Bates sidelined due to injury, Culpepper was limited in effectiveness. Moss saw 14 passes, Moe Williams had 8 come his way - nobody else got more than 3 chances at a pass last week.

St. Louis ranks among the top ten among pass defenses this season, allowing an average of 181.9 passing yards per game with 15 scores surrendered to date. Last week, Arizona managed to pitch 15/28 for 192 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions against this unit. Two weeks ago, it was the Bears lumbering for 16/32 for 153 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions. The Rams are keeping most QB's contained, as recent history shows us.

Minnesota came out of the game in Detroit with Moss limping, and D'Wayne Bates missed the game due to his injured hamstring. St. Louis saw FS Aeneas Williams go down with a bruised thigh and CB Travis Fisher sprained his wrist. In addition, backup DB's Rich Coady (groin) and James Whitley (foot) missed the game on Sunday.

This game is to be played in the Edward Jones Dome, so weather is not a factor in the matchup.

Culpepper is cooling off at the moment, while the Rams are no slouches when it comes to pass defense. With home-field advantage to help the Rams out, we think this looks like a pretty even matchup if Moss is good to go. If the ankle is still a problem later in the week, this becomes a tough matchup for Culpepper and company.

New England's Passing Game vs. The Indianapolis Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Tom Brady and the Patriots have been winning games, and last week, they did it due to Brady's arm - he has 44/81 for 580 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions over his last 2 games - that there wasn't more fireworks is largely due to the fact that starters Troy Brown and David Patten, along with backup David Givens, are out with injuries right now (Patten's on IR). Last week, vs. the Texans, he tossed 29/47 for 368 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions - Kevin Faulk (10 for 8/108/0), Deion Branch (10 for 5/52/0), Bethel Johnson (8 for 5/65/1) and Daniel Graham (8 for 4/53/1) were his top targets last week - but Brady hit 9 different receivers in the course of the game.

Two weeks ago, Chad Pennington and the Jets lit up the wounded Colts' secondary for 11/14 for 219 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions. Last week, it was Drew Bledsoe slinging the ball for 15/28 for 135 yards, 0 TD' s and 1 interception. The Colts' secondary is in the top-10 in average passing yards allowed per game (179.7, 6th in the NFL), but has suffered from a rash of injuries lately and has surrendered 13 passing scores to date - 1/4 of them in the last two games.

Indianapolis will probably be without S's Idrees Bashir (shoulder) and Cory Bird (abdomen) this week. New England is waiting to see if Brown and Givens can play.

This game is being played in the RCA Dome, so weather won't be a factor.

New England has a rash of injuries at WR right now, and Indianapolis has the same problem in its' secondary - New England keeps finding ways to move the ball, though, despite it all. Home-field advantage helps level the playing field - we call this a neutral matchup.

New Orleans' Passing Game vs. The Washington Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Aaron Brooks and his depleted receiving corps did OK against the Eagles last week - 24/39 for 287 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions is respectable when your #2 WR and starting TE are down-and-out due to injury. TE Boo Williams filled in for Ernie Conwell admirably, with 9/110/1, while Joe Horn managed 4/76/0 and Jerome Pathon grabbed 5/35/0. Brooks is the 17th ranked fantasy QB in FP per game over the past 3 weeks, with 45/76 for 515 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions in 2 games.

Washington limited the Dolphins' QB's last week (13/23 for 192 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions), and intercepted Jake Delhomme twice two weeks ago as well (20/30 for 317 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions) - they are playing pretty decent pass D right now. That hasn't always been true in 2003, with a 216.6 passing yards allowed per game average (24th in the NFL) and 16 scores coughed up to date. The Redskins' secondary is improving their play in recent weeks (but the team is still losing games).

Reserve DB Andre Lott missed the game on Sunday (ankle). New Orleans did without starting WR Donte Stallworth (ankle), and backup WR/KR Michael Lewis sprained his left ankle and did not return to action on Sunday.

The forecast for FedEx Field calls for a high of 54 F and a low of 42F with a 10% chance for precipitation. A nice, cool day to play football is on tap.

The Saints have injury issues, while Washington continues to work hard despite a disappointing season. This looks like a neutral matchup from where we stand.

San Diego's Passing Game vs. The Kansas City Defense (Neutral Matchup)

One week after getting squashed like a bug by the Broncos (9/25 for 70 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT), Doug Flutie and David Boston bounced back (15/33 for 210 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions for Flutie, 9/139/2 receiving for Boston) to post good fantasy numbers. However, Reche Caldwell did a horrible job, turning 7 chances into 0 catches last week.

Flutie was on the bench back in week 1, when these teams met last, so recent history doesn't tell us much about this matchup.

The Chiefs have been unimpressive in this phase of the game all year long, allowing an average of 210.4 passing yards per game (17th in the NFL), with 12 passing scores surrendered to date. They've stuck pretty close to their season average in recent weeks, with 19/31 for 219 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions given up to Mirer last week, and 19/32 for 233 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions vs. Jon Kitna two weeks ago. The Chiefs have 19 interceptions this near, near the top of the league, so the lack of interceptions in the last two games is atypical for this group.

KC's starting CB Eric Warfield has an elbow contusion - he's expected to play as usual. Backup WR's Tim Dwight (lung, expected to be out) and Kassim Osgood (abdominal strain, expected to play) are injured for the Chargers.

Flutie and Boston can make some good things happen - but they need someone else to make a few plays, or it will be a long day vs. K.C. We call it a neutral matchup, since there appears to be a lack of play-makers willing to turn it up a notch in San Diego right now.

San Francisco's Passing Game vs. The Baltimore Defense (Neutral Matchup)

14/30 for 142 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception was the total that Tim Rattay managed to put together vs. Green Bay last week. The game was lost, 20-10, and that fact coupled with Jeff Garcia's improving ankle may lead to Rattay heading back to the bench this week. Garcia was pretty ho-hum in his last few starts before succumbing to injury (44/80 for 574 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interceptions in his most recent 3 games). Terrell Owens has 13/204/2 in his last two games - he hasn't missed Garcia a bit.

Baltimore was torn to shreds by Matt Hasselbeck and company last week, in the surprise shoot-out game - 23/41 for 333 yards, 5 TDs and 0 interceptions was the line on Hasselbeck last week. 1/3 of the passing scores that the Ravens have allowed all season were given up to Seattle last week (the team averages 182 passing yards allowed per game, with 16 scores surrendered to date). Two weeks ago, Brian Griese managed 13/26 for 132 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception - much more in line with the way the Ravens usually play in this phase of the game. This season, the Ravens are the 8th ranked pass D in the NFL allowing an average of 182 yards per game (with 16 passing scores surrendered to date).

Owens and Tai Streets continue to battle through injuries to play each week, while reserve WR Arnaz Battle (toe) continues to miss games regularly. Baltimore's unit is good to go.

The forecast for M&T Bank Stadium calls for a high of 53 F and a low of 44F with a 10% chance for precipitation. It should be a great day to play football.

The 49ers have the capacity for explosive outings, while the Ravens usually smother their opponents - but they showed vulnerability to Seattle last week. This looks like a neutral matchup to us.

Seattle's Passing Game vs. The Cleveland Defense (Neutral Matchup)

In a wild shootout with the Ravens last week, Matt Hasselbeck was a fantasy-football icon with 23/41 for 233 yards, 5 TDs and 0 interceptions (2 TDs each to Darrell Jackson and Bobby Engram, with 1 going to Koren Robinson). Jackson caught 7/146/2 to really blow the lid off of many fantasy matchups last week. In his past 3 games, Hasselbeck has 63/98 for 781 yards, 7 TDs and 1 interception to his credit - the 2nd best fantasy QB in FP per game during that span. He has also rushed for a score (7/42/1). Hasselbeck is a hot property.

Two weeks ago, the Browns embarrassed Jeff Blake and the Arizona Cardinals (13/32 for 152 yards, 0 TDs and 3 interceptions); last week, they held Tommy Maddox to 9/24 for 73 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions. They have been tough to throw on all year long, ranking second in the NFL allowing a mere 167.2 passing yards per game, with only 8 passing TDs surrendered (in contrast, the league's worst secondary, San Diego, has allowed 26 passing scores). They are playing up to, and even surpassing, their already-excellent season numbers in recent weeks.

Both teams enjoy decent health in this phase, with no new injuries of note last week.

Seattle is explosive, while Cleveland does the wet-blanket routine really well in 2003. We call it even before the fact.

Tampa Bay's Passing Game vs. The Jacksonville Defense (Neutral Matchup)

People call the NFL the Not For Long league on occasion - Keyshawn Johnson has become a NFL'er this season - did the Buccaneers miss him? It didn't look like it, as Brad Johnson hooked up with Charles Lee (Johnson's replacement), Keenan McCardell and Joe Jurevicius 17 times for 217 of his 269 passing yards (and his passing TD went to Lee). Brad Johnson had 22/32 for 269 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception when it was all said and done, and the team had a "W" in the W-L column. Johnson has thrown for 63/103 for 693 yards, with 4 TDs 4 interceptions in his last 4 games (18th in FP per game among QB's during that span).

Jacksonville limited Chad Pennington, Santana Moss and company to 25/39 for 236 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception (Moss had 2/13/1 on the day) last week, and contained Steve McNair to 13/25 for 166 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception the week before - this unit is playing really well recently. Much better, in fact, than their season average (215.8 passing yards per game) and season total of 17 passing scores allowed would indicate.

Both teams enjoy good health currently.

The forecast for ALLTEL Stadium calls for a high of 74 F and a low of 56F with a 10% chance for precipitation. Sounds like great football weather to us.

Jacksonville is playing well lately, but the Buccaneers bring a lot to the table as well - this looks like an even matchup to us.

Washington's Passing Game vs. The New Orleans' Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Tim Hasselbeck played like a seasoned NFL veteran in relief of Patrick Ramsey last week, coolly tossing 15/30 for 150 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception in the close loss to Miami. His favorite targets was Laveranues Coles (10 targets for 4/62/1). The other receivers saw 4 targets, at best. The status of Patrick Ramsey right now is that the team hopes he can play on Sunday, but nothing is set in stone. His sore foot is going to require a surgery in the off-season - and as of Tuesday it is unclear how much he'll be able to practice this week. He also suffered a concussion during the Miami game last week. Stay tuned for developments as the week unfolds.

New Orleans has been up and down in this phase of the game recently, allowing 16/25 for 259 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions to Donovan McNabb and company last week, but crushing journeyman Kurt Kittner to the tune of 8/27 for 80 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions two weeks ago. The Saints are currently the 9th ranked pass D in the NFL, allowing 184.3 passing yards per game, with 15 passing scores surrendered to date. In addition, the Saints have 24 sacks in 2003 (tied for 13th in the NFL), while Washington is in the cellar with 34 sacks allowed.

New Orleans' may be without CB Dale Carter this weekend - he aggravated his quadriceps injury in the game last week.

The forecast for FedEx Field calls for a high of 54 F and a low of 42F with a 10% chance for precipitation. A nice, cool day to play football is on tap.

The Saints are a decent pass D at this point in the season, while the Redskins have loads of talent but problems protecting their passer. If Ramsey can go, call it a neutral matchup. If Hasselbeck is tested again, this looks like a tough game for Washington.

Arizona's Passing Game vs. The Chicago Defense (Tough Matchup)

Jeff Blake woke from his Cleveland nightmare (9/21 for 121 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception two weeks ago) to throw 15/28 for 192 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions vs. St. Louis last week. Anquan Boldin was a fantasy stud in the game, with 6/123/2 - during weeks 9-11 he had 18/255/2 receiving (6th best fantasy receiver in that span) - the rookie is on fire, folks. Aside from Boldin, who has seen 31 passes in 3 weeks, TE Freddie Jones gets the next-most chances (19 targets in 3 weeks) from Blake - he has 9/84/0 in that span.

Chicago shocked the Broncos last week (19/36 for 176 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions), and contained the Rams two weeks ago (29/46 for 240 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions) - they have played very well in this phase of the game lately. Chicago is the 10th ranked pass D in the NFL at this point in the season, averaging 188.1 passing yards allowed per game, with 14 scores surrendered to date.

Starting S Mike Green (groin) and backup DB Todd McMillon (hand) missed the game last week for the Bears. WR Jason McAddley continues to struggle with the hamstring injury that has cost him 12 of 12 possible regular season games.

Arizona has a modest attack centered around Anquan Boldin. Chicago sports a good secondary that should be able to key on the obvious preference that Blake has for Boldin - this looks like a tough matchup for the Cardinals.

Dallas' Passing Game vs. The Miami Defense (Tough Matchup)

Quincy Carter has not been a top fantasy QB most weeks in 2003, with 64/112 for 580 yards, 3 TDs and 4 interceptions in his last 3 games. 29/44 for 254 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception is what he did to the Panthers last week, by far his best outing in recent memory. Terry Glenn (10 for 5/74/0), Dan Campbell (7 for 3/22/0), Joey Galloway (6 for 3/50/1) and Antonio Bryant (6 for 2/17/0) were his top 4 targets last week - Galloway looked sharper than he had for weeks.

In a squeaker over Anthony Wright and the Ravens two weeks ago, the Dolphins held the former 3rd-stringer to 14/25 for 112 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions. Last week, Washington's backup Tim Hasselbeck, in his first-ever extended NFL play, threw for 15/30 for 150 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception against the Dolphins. Miami's secondary hasn't been challenged too much in recent weeks, but they didn't look dominating against Washington, either. This season, the Dolphins are the league's 22nd ranked pass D in yards allowed (215.1 yards per game on average), but have only given up 8 passing scores.

Dallas is in great health for this point in the season, while Miami is healthy, as well.

The forecast for Texas Stadium calls for a high of 64 F and a low of 37F with a 10% chance for precipitation. It sounds like ideal football weather is coming to central Texas.

Miami is tough to score on, but fairly lax between the 20's. Look for Dallas to gain yardage in chunks, but they may struggle to score. We call it a tough matchup.

Detroit's Passing Game vs. The Green Bay Defense (Tough Matchup)

Back in week 2, while he still had Charles Rogers, Scotty Anderson and Shawn Jefferson to throw at (all 3 are out or on IR nowadays), Joey Harrington managed 26/55 for 241 yards, 0 TDs and 3 interceptions vs. the Packer secondary. Things have gotten a lot worse since then as far as WR's are concerned, and last week against the Vikings we saw how little the Lions have left to bring to the table (Harrington hit for 21/41 for 167 yards, 1 TD and 4 interceptions). Az-Zahir Hakim managed to haul in 7 of the 12 balls thrown to him for 61 yards and a score; TE Mikhail Ricks snagged all 5 for 46 yards, while Bill Schroeder converted 3 of 9 targets for 44 yards. Harrington has 71/127 for 690 yards, 3 TDs and 6 interceptions in his last 3 games, (23rd among all QB's in FP per game), so he's far from hot.

Green Bay was pretty stout vs. the Buccaneers two weeks ago, allowing 17/28 for 149 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions to Brad Johnson. Last week, San Francisco's Tim Rattay hit them for 14/30 for 142 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception - the Packers are making it tough on opposing passers lately, much tougher than they did earlier in the season - they currently rank as the 21st pass D in the NFL, averaging 215 yards per game allowed, with 15 passing scores surrendered to date. Obviously, the Pack is playing much better in this phase during recent games.

Aside from all the injured WR's, the Lions have decent health among their remaining players. Eddie Drummond and Charles Rogers continue to be sidelined by their injuries, but are not on IR (yet). Green Bay's starting S Darren Sharper bruised his ribs on Sunday and may miss the Thanksgiving game.

This game is being played in a dome, so weather isn't an issue.

The receiver cupboard is bare in Detroit, and the remaining players don't have the juice to get much done in this phase. Advantage, Green Bay.

Miami's Passing Game vs. The Dallas Defense (Tough Matchup)

Jay Fiedler came back into the lineup after half-time, and sparked the Dolphins to a 24-23 comeback victory over the Redskins - his knee looked stable in it's new brace, and Chris Chambers and Randy McMichael awoke from their long slumber to make some nice plays in the second half. 5/10 for 59 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions isn't much of a fantasy outing, but Fiedler looks like he can get back in synch with Chambers and McMichael pretty quickly.

Two weeks ago, Dallas allowed 15/34 212 yards, 0 TD' s and 0 interceptions to Tom Brady. Last week, it was Jake Delhomme's turn - he put up 9/24 for 175 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception against the top-ranked Dallas secondary (156.1 yards per game allowed, on average, with 11 passing scores surrendered this year).

Miami is in good shape health-wise, as is Dallas. Injuries aren't a big factor in this matchup.

The forecast for Texas Stadium calls for a high of 64 F and a low of 37F with a 10% chance for precipitation. It sounds like ideal football weather is coming to central Texas.

Anytime you face the Cowboy's secondary, it's tough. At their house, after several weeks of down-time on Fiedler's part, will make for a tough row to hoe this week. Advantage, Dallas.

New York Giants' Passing Game vs. The Buffalo Defense (Tough Matchup)

The Giants have been up and down in this phase recently: two weeks ago Kerry Collins threw for 25/44 for 268 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception in the loss to Philadelphia, while last week he tossed 18/34 for 160 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions vs. the Keyshawn Johnson-free Buccaneers. Collins has 1 TD and 5 interceptions in his past 3 games (68/118 for 630 yards) - he's in a major slump. He'd appreciate it if Amani Toomer would catch the odd pass here and there - Toomer dropped 2 sure TDs in the game vs. Tampa. Nothing is going right for Collins and the Giants right now.

Buffalo has been tough in this phase of the game all year, with 13/20 for 219 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception allowed to the Houston Texans two weeks ago, and 26/42 for 229 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions allowed to Indianapolis last week. This season, they are 4th in the NFL allowing an average of only 172 passing yards per game, with 10 TDs given up to date.

New York's Ike Hilliard continues to battle ankle and knee injuries, while Tim Carter missed the game last week due to after-effects of his second concussion of 2003. Buffalo is pretty healthy, though S Izell Reese missed the game last week with a head injury.

The forecast for Giants' Stadium calls for a high of 48 F and a low of 40F with a 10% chance for precipitation. That's good football weather.

Buffalo is tough to throw on, and the Giants have one hobbled starting WR, and are missing the services of a healthy Jeremy Shockey. This looks like a tough matchup for the Giants.

Oakland's Passing Game vs. The Denver Defense (Tough Matchup)

Rick Mirer stepped into a very tough situation with a sinking team and he has played very well. He hit 19/31 for 219 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions last week, and put up 9/13 for 195 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions two weeks ago. His problem up till now, has always been throwing a ton of interceptions - something he has not done in Oakland this season. Tim Brown and Jerry Porter both saw 9 passes from Mirer last week, while Rice saw 6 - Rice ended up with the TD (2/51/1), while Porter and Brown both snagged 7 catches (for 89 and 50 yards, respectively).

The last time these teams met, Mirer was the 3rd stringer, so recent history is no guide in this matchup.

Denver is 4th in the NFL in terms of passing yards allowed per game this season (172.0 on average), with 13 passing TDs surrendered to date. 15/33 for 126 yards, 0 TD' s and 0 interceptions was what the Bears managed last week. 9/25 for 70 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception was Doug Flutie's box score two weeks ago - the Broncos are "on" in this phase right now, folks.

Neither squad has major injury concerns in this phase of the game, though LB Al Wilson is struggling with a pinched nerve in his neck in recent weeks.

The forecast for Network Associate's Coliseum calls for a high of 61 F and a low of 43F with a 10% chance for precipitation. That's just about ideal football weather.

Denver sports a very solid pass D, while Oakland employs a conservative approach with Mirer under center. Advantage, Denver.

St. Louis' Passing Game vs. The Minnesota Defense (Tough Matchup)

Marc Bulger has struggled mightily at points in the recent past - last week against the Cardinals, he tossed 4 interceptions (one of which was returned for a TD) en route to completing 28/44 for 329 yards and 1 TD. Holt, Bruce and Faulk accounted for the lion's share of receptions - 9/145/0 for Holt, 7/99/1 for Bruce, and 5/33/0 for Faulk. With 3 TDs and 8 interceptions in his last 3 games (70/116 for 679 yards), it's fair to say that Bulger is in a major slump right now.

Two weeks ago, the Vikings were trampled by Oakland in the rushing phase, and they gave up a bunch of long passes to Rick Mirer when he bothered to throw the ball (9/13 for 195 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions). Last week, Joey Harrington and his skeleton crew of receivers managed 21/41 for 167 yards, 1 TD and 4 interceptions. The Vikings have been creating turnovers in this phase all year, and lead the NFL with 22 interceptions. Even worse for Marc Bulger, the Vikings have 24 sacks this season (St. Louis has allowed 33 sacks only 1 less than the league-worst Redskins).

St. Louis walked out of Arizona with minimal injuries: Minnesota is also basically healthy in this phase of the game.

This game is to be played in the Edward Jones Dome, so weather is not a factor in the matchup.

St. Louis is giving up a ton of sacks, and Bulger is throwing a lot of interceptions recently. Minnesota gets good pressure on the opposing QB, and has generated a lot of turnovers in this phase of the game - sounds like a tough matchup for Bulger.

Tennessee's Passing Game vs. The New York Jets Defense (Tough Matchup)

Steve McNair has an injured calf, and Billy Volek might get his first NFL start on Monday Night Football. No pressure. McNair is a tough guy so this will likely go down to the wire. 9/15 for 117 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions was what Volek managed against the 32nd-ranked Falcons' secondary last week - credible for a guy coming off the bench, but not stellar. Derrick Mason and Frank Wycheck each saw 6 passes, and Justin McCareins had 5 come his way - Wycheck snagged 2 TDs (5/39/2), and McCareins caught the other (4/72/1). Mason also caught 4 balls (4/47/0). Volek has seen one other period of significant play this season, in week 2 - 6/9 for 61 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception vs. Indianapolis.

The Jets allowed 27/36 for 401 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions to Peyton Manning two weeks ago, and 17/33 for 172 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception vs. Byron Leftwich last week. They are the 11th ranked pass D in the NFL right now, allowing an average of 192.5 passing yards per contest, with 8 passing scores given up. Manning's game was an aberration, not a trend, as far as this unit is concerned.

Besides McNair's injury, the Titans will probably be without WR Drew Bennett (calf). The Jets are in good health among their remaining starters, with no new injuries to report although reserve DB David Young (hamstring) missed the game last week.

The Jets are a tough pass D, and Volek is an NFL novice - this would be a tough matchup for him if McNair can't go. McNair would upgrade our ranking to neutral.

Jacksonville's Passing Game vs. The Tampa Bay Defense (Bad Matchup)

17/33 for 172 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception was what Byron Leftwich managed last week vs. the New York Jets. Word out of Jacksonville is that coach Del Rio is toying with the idea of giving David Garrard the keys to the car this week: "To be quite honest, I am giving some thought to David Garrard, but I'm not ready to announce one way or the other how that's going to go." (Orlando Sentinel, 11/25/03 article by Jerry Norton). Leftwich has been underwhelming in his past 3 games, with 44/86 for 502 yards, 1 TD and 3 interceptions. The book on Garrard: 32/58 for 317 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions with 25/139/2 rushing. Most of his career attempts came in duty during weeks 16 and 17 of 2002 after the Jags were eliminated from contention. That's not much experience, but he can't be worst than Leftwich has been, from the fantasy perspective.

Tampa Bay's pass D frustrated Kerry Collins last week (18/34 for 160 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions), and mostly held Brett Favre in check two weeks ago (13/28 for 92 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception). They are the 3rd ranked secondary in the NFL allowing only 171.9 passing yards per game on average, with 9 scores surrendered to date in 2003.

Both teams are relatively healthy, although backup QB Mark Brunell is still having trouble with the elbow on his throwing arm.

The forecast for ALLTEL Stadium calls for a high of 74 F and a low of 56F with a 10% chance for precipitation. Sounds like great football weather to us.

Whichever youngster gets the start in Jacksonville faces a very tough matchup on Sunday night.