Passing Matchups

Hi Folks,

Here's our look at the Passing Matchups for this week.

PLEASE NOTE: This does NOT replace the Cheatsheet ranking. The Cheatsheet rankings are the final say on where we see a player for that week. The Matchup Breakdowns are simply one more tool in the box when it comes to helping choose your lineup.

Also note, just because a player has a "bad" matchup, it does NOT mean he's not a starter in your league. If Peyton Manning is playing the toughest pass defense in the league, that just means he's got a tough matchup that week. He's also your starter unless you're loaded at QB. In the same way, if the worst QB on your roster has a "great" matchup that week, it doesn't necessarily mean he's your starter. It means we think he'll fare better than normal that week.

Bottom line is that the cheatsheets are the final say.

Let's jump to it.

Joe

Carolina's Passing Attack vs. The Arizona Defense (Great Matchup)

Jake Delhomme didn't get the job done against the Falcons last week, with 13/25 for 153 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions en route to a 20-14 loss. He has amassed 40/78 for 544 yards, 4 TDs and 3 interceptions in the last 3 weeks, and overwhelmingly targets Steve Smith (31 targets during that span) and Muhsin Muhammad (23 targets). Smith has converted 16/219/1 (17th among fantasy WR in FP per game) in those 3 games, while Muhammad has totaled 11/190/1.

Arizona has been utterly abysmal in this phase of the game lately, 20/29 for 267 yards, 4 TD' s and 0 interceptions was what the 49'ers did to them last week. Kordell Stewart looked like Steve Young against the Cardinals, with 22/37 for 284 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions. They give up lots of scores, generate few turnovers (tied for second-fewest interceptions with 9 this season) and are generally flat and lethargic. This shows in their 29th ranking in pass D (229.7 passing yards allowed per game, on average) and their second-worst 25 passing TDs allowed.

Carolina comes into this game in good health, while Arizona lists S Justin Lucas as out (ankle), CB Renaldo Hill as questionable (ankle), and CB's David Barrett (shoulder) and Emmanuel McDaniel (illness) as probable. S Adrian Wilson is also probable despite an unspecified complaint.

The forecast for Sun Devil Stadium calls for a high of 67F with a low of 45F, and a 10% chance of precipitation. Sounds like a great day to play football.

Matchups don't get much better than this - advantage, Carolina. Remember, though, the Panthers are a run-oriented squad - but they should have good results when they want to throw the ball. Check the cheatsheets for where we rank Delhomme. We're just saying this is a great matchup for him.

As a side note, the Cardinals had distributed 23,287 tickets for Sunday's game as of Tuesday. That doesn't add up to much of a home-field advantage.

Atlanta's Passing Attack vs. The Indianapolis Defense (Good Matchup)

Michael Vick put the team on his back and carried them to victory last week, but he didn't satisfy his coaches with his passing game en route: "Five of Vick's carries were called plays, the rest scrambles. Some should've been passes, but he often failed to wait for receivers to run their routes. The Panthers' aggressive game plan contributed to Vick's racing pulse. He rushed through his [reads]," quarterbacks coach Mike Johnson said the day after Vick completed 16 of 33 passes for 179 yards and an interception in his first start since breaking his right fibula Aug. 16. "His footwork wasn't clean. I think it was more adrenaline than anything else." (Atlanta Journal-Constitution article by Matt Winkeljohn, 12/9/03) Clearly, the Falcons want to see Vick settle down and throw the ball more consistently, and to rely on his legs less. Given how poorly the team did without him this season, their anxiety is understandable. Alge Crumpler (9 for 5/57/0) and Peerless Price (10 for 4/57/0) were Vick's top two targets in his first full game back - Finneran was #3 with 6 looks (3/47/0).

Atlanta may be in turmoil when they take the field without head coach Dan Reeves, who was let go by the organization on Wednesday. Defensive coordinator Wade Phillips replaces Reeves as interim head coach.

Indianapolis' secondary has struggled through a variety of injuries in recent weeks, and they have been pretty soft while doing so: 26/35 for 236 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions is what Tom Brady did to them two weeks ago, and the limping Steve McNair hit them for 22/38 yielding 235 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions last week. The Colts are currently ranked 10th in the NFL averaging 187.5 passing yards per game allowed, with 17 scores given away to date. As you can see, they are playing significantly worse than their average recently.

S Cory Bird (shoulder, doubtful), S Idrees Bashir (shoulder, questionable), CB Nick Harper (back, questionable), and CB Walt Harris (knee, probable) are on the initial Colts' injury report. WR Peerless Price (knee) and Vick (ankle) are listed as questionable this week. WR Jimmy Farris (ankle) is listed as probable.

This game is being played in the RCA Dome, so weather won't be a factor.

Atlanta didn't do much in this phase last week as Vick shook off the rust, but against the struggling Colts secondary he should find a few opportunities to make good things happen.

Baltimore's Passing Game vs. The Oakland Defense (Good Matchup)

Marcus Robinson is on a huge tear, with 13/246/6 receiving over the last 3 weeks, coming out of literally nowhere to lead all fantasy WR's during that span. He is very much in synch with quarterback (and former South Carolina Gamecock teammate) Anthony Wright. The two of them are making it very hard for Coach Billick to put Kyle Boller back under center once Boller is healthy again. Wright is the 6th best fantasy QB in the past 3 weeks, with 42/81 for 641 yards, 7 TDs and 3 interceptions (including 8/19 for 145 yards, 1 TD (to Robinson) and 2 interceptions last week vs. Cincinnati).

Oakland isn't very good this season, and their pass D is no exception to that statement. Tommy Maddox hit 19/26 for 266 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception against them last week, while Jake Plummer only needed 11/20 for 105 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception two weeks ago (the Broncos rushed for 193 yards and 2 scores in that game). The Raiders are a mediocre 21st in the league this season averaging 212.2 passing yards allowed per game, and have allowed 15 passing scores to date.

Boller is officially listed as questionable with his injured leg. The Raiders list S Eric Johnson as probable despite his injured knee.

The forecast for Network Associate's Coliseum calls for a high of 58F with a low of 49F, and a 40% chance of precipitation. If the rain comes down hard around game time, footing and ball handling will probably become issues at some point in the game.

Baltimore has found a passing game, and the Raiders don't have a lot of answers in this phase - advantage, Baltimore. However, realize that the Raiders are pathetic at rush defense, so Wright probably won't have to throw a ton to win this game. (Jamal Lewis left, Jamal Lewis right, Jamal Lewis up the middle).

Cincinnati's Passing Attack vs. The San Francisco Defense (Good Matchup)

That "thud" you heard last Sunday was the Bengals falling on their collective face against the Baltimore Ravens - and their QB earned a large share of the blame - Kitna managed a shaky 23/31 for 214 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions passing, and fumbled the ball 3 times in the face of intense pressure from the Ravens. In this copy-cat league, he can expect a steady diet of the same from the 49'ers on Sunday. Peter Warrick was his overwhelming favorite last week, with 14 targets yielding 11/90/1. Chad Johnson was very quiet with 2/15/0 - he needs to get more involved in the passing game if Cincinnati is to better their performance. Kitna was cruising in his previous two games, with 65/101 for 728 yards, 8 TDs and 2 interceptions over the last 3 games - this trio knows how to get the job done, usually.

San Francisco shut down Arizona's starter Jeff Blake last week (8/20 for 59 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception) before loosening up (with a huge lead) to give up 11/20 for 120 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions to backup Josh McCown. 14/25 for 177 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception was what Anthony Wright managed two weeks ago against the Niner's secondary. The 49'ers have given up a hefty 20 TDs this season (and average 196.9 passing yards allowed per game, 13th in the NFL) in this phase of the game.

CB Mike Rumph is probable to play despite a sore foot. Offensive left tackle Levi Jones was injured in Sunday's game and the Bengals were unable to adequately replace him during the game. That was one reason Kitna struggled. Jones is questionable (knee) for this week. Other than Jones, the Bengals have a healthy squad coming into the game.

The forecast for Paul Brown Stadium calls for a high of 39F with a low of 34F, and a 40% chance of precipitation. If the precipitation comes down hard around game time, field conditions will be slick and ball handling is likely to become an issue in this game.

Cincinnati had been high octane until they ran into the Ravens, while the 49'ers are usually a very giving bunch. Look for Kitna to get back on track at home - advantage, Cincinnati. But keep an eye on Levi Jones' status.

Denver's Passing Game vs. The Cleveland Defense (Good Matchup)

Denver didn't need to throw a whole lot, with the running game generating 270 yards and 5 TDs, but that didn't stop Jake Plummer from slapping down 20/29 for 238 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions in the rout of K.C. Plummer has been on and off in recent weeks (due largely to the tremendous success of Clinton Portis and the running game) - he has notched 50/84 for 519 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception in the past 3 weeks. Rod Smith (24 targets), Shannon Sharpe (14 targets), Clinton Portis (10 targets) and Ashley Lelie (10 targets) have been his main receivers during that 3 week span.

Cleveland allowed 22/36 for 223 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception to the Rams last week, and 26/36 for 328 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception to the Seahawks two weeks ago - this is not a top-performing unit at the moment. The Browns did well in this phase until recently, ranking 5th in the land allowing 181.2 passing yards per game, with 12 passing scores allowed to date. A big loss as far as their pass rush occurred this week, with DE Courtney Brown being lost to IR.

Cleveland lists CB's Daylon McCutcheon (ankle) and Anthony Henry (knee) as probable to play, while Denver says TE's Jeb Putzier (shoulder) and Shannon Sharpe (rib) are probable, as is WR Rod Smith (illness).

The forecast for Mile High Stadium calls for a high of 43F with a low of 29F, and a 10% chance of precipitation. It should be a nice afternoon to play football on the high plains.

Denver has a dangerous but seldom-needed aerial assault, while the Browns are reeling in this phase of the game in recent weeks. It sounds like a good matchup is in store for Plummer and company this week.

Green Bay's Passing Attack vs. The San Diego Defense (Good Matchup)

Brett Favre threw 22/33 for 210 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception against the Chicago Bears last week - it wasn't spectacular, but he played a solid game. That phrase "solid game" pretty much describes his pace in recent weeks, with 55/85 for 644 yards, 5 TDs and 7 interceptions in the past 3 games. He has thrown the most to Driver (18 targets), Ferguson (15), Walker (14) and Walls (11) - Walker leads the team with 8/209/3 (8th best fantasy WR in that span), while Ferguson has amassed 11/135/1, Driver has 9/82/0, and Walls has snagged 8/85/0.

San Diego's secondary is not very good. 17/30 for 155 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions was what Trent Green put up on them two weeks ago, while Joey Harrington threw for 26/47 for 208 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions to his skeleton-crew WR corps last week. The Chargers have allowed 29 passing scores this season (dead last in the NFL), and average 225.9 passing yards surrendered per game (27th in the NFL).

Favre is listed as probable despite his broken thumb. CB Sammy Davis (knee) is probable to go for the Chargers.

The forecast for Qualcomm Stadium calls for a high of 65F with a low of 46F, and a 30% chance of precipitation. If the rain comes down hard at game-time, the field may get sloppy and slow and ball handling will be more of an issue.

Any week you can pass against the Chargers, you are likely to have a good week. Favre has not been anything special in the stat department lately, but you have to like this matchup.

Indianapolis' Passing Attack vs. The Atlanta Defense (Good Matchup)

Peyton Manning made the throws he had to last week against the Titans, but wasn't much of a fantasy force in the process (0 TDs), tossing 22/34 for 228 yards. The slow day dropped Manning to #13 in FP per game over the past 3 weeks (77/124 for 735 yards, 4 TDs and 1 interception). Marvin Harrison is the 14th ranked fantasy WR over the past 3 weeks, with 23/259/1 during that span. Marcus Pollard is 4th among TE's with 6/66/1 in 2 games, in the absence of the injured Dallas Clark.

OK, here's a question for you - how did the Atlanta defense suddenly get so much better in the past two weeks?: "In allowing a season-low 231 yards of offense Sunday (one week after allowing 236 yards at Houston), the Falcons buckled down against the run. Panthers running back Stephen Davis was averaging 114 rushing yards a game, but he was held to 81 as the Falcons for the first time all season held a team below 100 rushing yards (Carolina had 90 on 33 carries). Defenders tackled well, and the offense helped, too.

The Falcons entered the game last in the NFL in average time of possession at 26 minutes, 51 seconds. But by keeping drives alive -- Atlanta got at least one first down on 10 of 13 drives, knelt down on another, and lost a fumble on another -- the offense helped the defense.

Atlanta held the ball for 32:52 to Carolina's 27:08 in regulation. "It's easy to play defense like that," defensive tackle Ed Jasper said. "It's more difficult when they have 10 more minutes time of possession than you." (Atlanta Journal Constitution article by Matt Winkeljohn, 12/9/03) For whatever reason, a defense that has given away 38 TDs this season (18 passing, 20 rushing) is suddenly looking pretty stout. Trouble in the form of injury has struck again, however: Juran Bolden, the starting CB, injured his spinal column with a vicious hit last week, and it looks like Ray Buchanan (benched for ineffective play a few weeks back) will be forced back into the starting lineup.

Bolden is listed as doubtful on the initial injury report. Dallas Clark remains out (ankle), while backup WR's Brandon Stokley (shoulder), Troy Walters (broken nose) and Terence Wilkins (broken nose) are all probable to play.

This game is being played in the RCA Dome, so weather won't be a factor.

Manning and company can be explosive, and they will go after the weakness in Atlanta's secondary. Atlanta has been hot lately, but looks outclassed by the Colts, especially with Bolden on the sidelines.

Kansas City's Passing Attack vs. The Detroit Defense (Good Matchup)

Trent Green tossed 17/30 for 155 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions in the blowout loss to the Broncos last week, but couldn't overcome the Big Game by Clinton Portis (22/218/5). Dante Hall saw 15 passes, while Tony Gonzalez and Johnnie Morton were next-most targeted with 7. Hall put up 11/124/0 receiving, while Gonzalez had 6/73/0 and Morton 4/38/0. Eddie Kennison caught 3/83/1 on the day. Green has been pretty decent in recent weeks, with 74/110 for 796 yards, 4 TDs and 2 interceptions during the last 3 weeks.

Detroit buckled against the Flutie Magic last week, allowing 17/25 for 244 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception in the losing effort. Two weeks ago, Brett Favre (despite his bad thumb) tossed 23/37 for 296 yards, 2 TDs and 3 interceptions against the Lions - they have been pretty mediocre against the pass, recently. This season, the team has coughed up 20 scoring passes, and allows 214.8 passing yards per game, on average - they have been worse than usual, lately.

S Corey Harris went on IR this week with a torn hamstring, and CB's Dre' Bly and Otis Smith are both nursing leg injuries (probable). KC lists Eddie Kennison as probable to play through his sore thigh. (No word on whether he'll be able to pull his foot out of his mouth though…)

The forecast for Arrowhead Stadium calls for a high of 36F with a low of 21F, and a 20% chance of precipitation. The gusty winds of the Plains make it feel a lot colder than the thermometer says most days at this time of year, though. The swirling winds inside the stadium can make passing a risky proposition, as well.

Detroit took another hit to their secondary this week, and were none-to-good in the first place. Advantage, Kansas City.

New Orleans' Passing Attack vs. The New York Giants' Defense (Good Matchup)

Aaron Brooks dropped the ball (4 times, with 3 fumbles lost) against the Buccaneers, and only managed one TD pass on 20/30 for 238 yards worth of work (no interceptions last week, just costly fumbles). Boo Williams continues to be a fantasy force at TE - he snagged 4/59/1 last week and leads all TE's with 16/212/3 over the past 3 games. He is Brooks' number second target in that time span (23 passes), behind Joe Horn (33 passes for 15/204/0). Brooks is the 10h ranked fantasy QB in that span, with 58/99 for 646 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions and 11/22/2 rushing.

19/29 for 252 yards, 2 TD' s and 0 interceptions was what Drew Bledsoe hit the Giants with 2 weeks ago, while the hated Redskins tossed 13/19 for 154 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions against the Giants last week. The Giants' secondary is absolutely riddled by injury, with both starting CB's on IR, and it shows - they are the 20th ranked secondary in the NFL, giving up 210.8 passing yards per game on average, and have coughed up 17 scores to date.

Among those still standing in the Giant's secondary, no-one is on the injury list this week. TE Zach Hilton (knee) and WR Donte Stallworth (ankle) remain questionable for the Saints.

This game is being played in the Superdome, so weather isn't a factor.

Brooks has had his struggles but this looks like a good matchup against the struggling Giants.

San Diego's Passing Attack vs. The Green Bay Defense (Good Matchup)

Doug Flutie has actually been a bright spot for this club lately, with 17/25 for 244 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception last week in a rare win (albeit over Detroit, but you take 'em where you can get 'em). He has hit 48/92 for 667 yards, 6 TDs and 3 interceptions in his last 3 games, with 17/97/0 rushing - that's the 5th best fantasy QB in the land over 3 weeks, folks. David Boston (18/290/3) and LaDainian Tomlinson (18/214/2) have accounted for the lions' share of the scores. Although you can't discount the fact that lots of folks feel they need to look to the future and that Drew Brees deserves another look. Watch this one closely.

Green Bay's pass D has been adequate the last few weeks, snatching 3 interceptions from Kordell Stewart last week (17/40 for 256 yards with 1 TD), and they denied Joey Harrington the end-zone two weeks ago (21/32 for 183 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception). They are the 23rd ranked pass D in the land (212.9 passing yards allowed on average), with 16 scores given away to date - but they are playing fairly tough in recent weeks, as detailed above. DB Mike McKenzie was and IDP point machine last week, with 5 solo tackles, 2 interceptions, and 5 passes defensed (3rd best IDP DB last week).

Two backup DB's are hurt for the Pack: Bhawoh Jue (groin, questionable) and Michael Hawthorne (hip, probable). WR David Boston (neck, questionable), and TE's Stephen Alexander (groin, questionable), Justin Peelle (concussion, questionable) and Josh Norman (wrist, probable) make the initial Chargers' list.

Flutie has been effective, while Green Bay is merely adequate. At home, we give the nod to the Chargers.

San Francisco's Passing Attack vs. The Cincinnati Defense (Good Matchup)

Jeff Garcia utterly humiliated the Cardinals last week, and silenced a growing chorus of criticism in so doing - he exploded for 19/28 for 252 yards, 4 TDs and 0 interceptions and added 5/32/2 rushing on the way to a 50-14 blowout victory. It was a record-setting fantasy performance for franchises lucky enough to have started him despite Garcia's pathetic showing two weeks ago (14/29 for 112 yards, 0 TDs and 4 interceptions). To say that Garcia has been inconsistent since returning from injury would be understating the case a bit. Anyway, Terrell Owens owners were happy last week (7/92/2).

Cincinnati was eaten up by Jamal Lewis last week, so Anthony Wright didn't need to throw much (8/19 for 145 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions). Two weeks ago, Tommy Maddox and company threw for 29/44 for 335 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception against the Bengals. This Cincinnati group has been sub-par for most of the season allowing an average of 209.8 passing yards per game (19th in the NFL), and they have surrendered 19 passing scores to date.

Terrell Owens (groin) and Tai Streets (quadriceps) are probable to play this week, as is Cincinnati's CB Artrell Hawkins (knee).

San Francisco is on the rise in this phase of the game, and the Bengals just had a big fall last week - they haven't been too good all season long, either. Advantage, San Francisco.

St. Louis' Passing Attack vs. The Seattle Defense (Good Matchup)

Seattle needs this game to keep their faint conference championship hopes alive (they did defeat the Rams at home the first time around), and they are in a dog-fight with the Cowboys for a wild-card slot, as well. St. Louis, meanwhile, has clinched a play-off berth, and a win over Seattle would put them in the driver's seat in the NFC West.

Marc Bulger continued to steady his performance Monday night against the Browns, tossing a measured 22/36 for 223 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception in the victory. He still seems a little shaky though at times. The Rams have re-discovered their rushing game now that Marshall Faulk is back, so Bulger doesn't have to try and win games with his arm week in and week out - that's good news for the real-life NFL team, but limits his fantasy value for franchises starting Bulger. 65/100 for 774 yards, 3 TDs and 6 interceptions (4 in one game) during the last 3 weeks puts Bulger at #12 among all fantasy QB's in FP per game in that span. Marshall Faulk (9 for 6/43/0), Isaac Bruce (6 for 3/31/1) and Torry Holt (8 for 4/31/0) were his main targets last week. The last time these teams met, in week 3, Bulger hit 21/34 for 226 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions.

Daunte Culpepper threw 21/33 for 274 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions last week against the Seahawks, while Kelly Holcomb had worse luck two weeks ago, with 22/31 for 186 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception. The Seahawks sport the league's 26th ranked secondary this season (215.3 passing yards allowed per game), and have coughed up 19 TDs - they are in the lower echelon of NFL pass defenses this year.

Seattle lists S Reggie Tongue (hamstring, questionable) on their injury report. #3 WR Dane Looker is questionable with a knee injury for the Rams.

This game is being played in the Edward Jones Dome, so weather is not an issue. Probably more important is that Seattle's been just terrible on the road.

The Rams are always dangerous, while Seattle hasn't been too good in this phase lately (or all year long) - advantage, St. Louis.

Buffalo's Passing Attack vs. The Tennessee Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Coming off a short week of practice due to post-concussion difficulties, Drew Bledsoe had a very limited outing vs. the Jets last week (9/15 for 72 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception). Eric Moulds and Josh Reed had the lions' share of what little there was to go around (4 targets for 4/30/1 to Reed, 4 for 2/11/0 to Moulds). Bledsoe hasn't been a quality start for a while, now - 43/72 for 459 yards, 3 TDs and 2 interceptions won't get any fantasy owners excited (23rd among fantasy QB's during that span).

Tennessee gave up 18/23 for 231 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions to Chad Pennington two weeks ago, and 22/34 for 228 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions to Peyton Manning last week. They have the 32nd ranked secondary in the NFL, allowing an average of 233.2 passing yards per game, and have allowed 16 passing scores to date. Gaining yards against the Titans in this phase of the game is fairly easy, and scoring isn't too difficult, most weeks. Lance Shulters was a top IDP DB last week, with 6 solo tackles, 4 assists, 1 sack and 2 passes defensed (4th DB in the NFL last week).

CB Andre Woolfolk continues to miss time for the Titans (ankle, out). CB Samari Rolle has a leg injury (questionable). Just because it is so incredible to see "doubtful" used by the Titans, we'll mention that LB Jordan Kramer (ankle) is doubtful. The Bills list DE Keith McKenzie as questionable.

The forecast for the Coliseum calls for a high of 50F with a low of 36F, and a 40% chance of precipitation. That could mean rain, sleet or snow coming down around game time - field conditions may be slick, and ball handling could be an issue if the skies open up.

Tennessee is pretty soft in this phase, while Buffalo has been very limited in recent weeks. Sounds even to us.

Detroit's Passing Attack vs. The Kansas City Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Detroit actually mustered a passing score last week, with 26/46 for 208 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions - against the most scored upon secondary in the game, 'tis true - but at least they weren't blanked. Joey Harrington just isn't worth a look in almost all leagues (68/119 for 558 yards, 2 TDs and 5 interceptions in his last 3 games, 27th among all fantasy QB's in that span.) Az-Zahir Hakim ranks 40th in FP per game, with 13/126/1 in the past 3 weeks, but has struggled to get on the field due to a back injury, making him a very risky proposition at best.

Kansas City was blasted for 508 yards of offense last week, and gave away 20/29 for 238 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions to Jake Plummer in this phase of the game. Two weeks ago, Doug Flutie lit them up for 16/34 for 213 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions - the Chiefs' Achilles' heel (their D) has tumbled them out of the top seed in the AFC at the moment, and gave hope to the Broncos, to boot. Not good. They are ranked 22nd in the NFL allowing an average of 212.5 passing yards per game, and have given away 15 passing scores to date.

Detroit lists Hakim as probable to play this week, while WR/KR Eddie Drummond is questionable (ankle/knee). KC's going to battle without S Lyle West (foot, out).

Detroit has an anemic passing attack, while KC is soft in this phase of the game, especially recently. Sounds like an ugly but even matchup to us.

Minnesota's Passing Attack vs. The Chicago Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Daunte Culpepper has been throwing the ball a lot in recent weeks, with 74/110 for 800 yards, 4 TDs and 2 interceptions to his credit in the last 3 games (16/118/0 rushing in that span). His prolific passing puts him at #4 among all fantasy QB's in FP per game during that 3 week span. Last week, he tossed 21/33 for 274 yards, 3 TD' s and 0 interceptions against the hapless Seahawks, so he comes into this one red-hot. If Culpepper is hot, you know Randy Moss is, too - 23/349/3 in the last 3 weeks, to be exact. TE Jim Kleinsasser hasn't scored lately, but has 13/102/0 to his credit. Last time these teams met, in week 2, Culpepper threw 20/26 for 214 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions - Jim Kleinsasser caught both scores, while Moss was contained to 4/27/0.

Chicago has been playing solidly in this phase of the game in recent weeks, with 22/33 for 210 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception against Brett Favre last week - they allowed 20/32 for 163 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions in the Arizona game two weeks ago. The Bears sport the league's 8th ranked secondary, averaging only 186.9 passing yards allowed per game, and they have given away 15 scores to date.

TE Jim Kleinsasser is probable to play despite his sore biceps. Chicago comes into this game with no new injuries of note on their unit.

The forecast for Soldier Field calls for a high of 38F with a low of 28F, and a 30% chance of precipitation. Chicago can be windy this time of year, making the temperature seem even colder - if the precipitation falls thickly around game time, the field will get slick and sloppy, creating footing and ball-handling issues.

Chicago plays solid pass D, and managed to neutralize Randy Moss last time around. Minnesota is pretty hot, though, and the Chicago offense may have trouble getting much time of possession with a rookie QB making his first start this week. The rookie QB will make things tough on his solid D - this looks even from where we sit.

New York Jets' Passing Attack vs. The Pittsburgh Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Chad Pennington had a quiet game against the Bill's great secondary last week (15/29 for 155 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception). He had been rolling a few weeks ago, but has definitely cooled off - 58/91 for 622 yards, 3 TDs and 4 interceptions in the last 3 games. Santana Moss (11 targets for 5/61/0 last week) and Curtis Conway (6 for 3/51/0) are his mainstays in this phase of the game, as usual.

Pittsburgh has been way up and way down in this phase of the game recently, allowing only 10/25 for 68 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions to Rick Mirer last week. However, they collapsed against Jon Kitna two weeks ago to the tune of 18/32 for 271 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions - the team ranks 12th in the league, surrendering an average of 193.8 yards per game, and have given away 19 scores to date.

Several Steeler defenders are dinged up - all are probable to play, though - S Brent Alexander has a sore ankle, CB Chidi Iwuoma had a groin injury, and CB Deshea Townsend has an injured shoulder. The Jets enjoy good health among their current roster.

The forecast for Giants Stadium calls for a high of 39F with a low of 31F, and a 20% chance of precipitation. A crisp day for a football game is on tap in the Big Apple.

The Jets have cooled off, while the Steelers run hot and cold - this looks like a neutral matchup to us.

Philadelphia's Passing Attack vs. The Miami Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Donovan McNabb blasted the vaunted Cowboy's secondary last week for 19/35 for 248 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions. He is back to top fantasy form, throwing 53/86 for 689 yards, 5 TDs and 1 interception with 11/80/0 rushing in the past 3 weeks (7th best fantasy QB in that span). Todd Pinkston (16 targets for 3/86/0), James Thrash (15 for 9/80/1) and Brian Westbrook (14 for 12/127/1) have been his most-targeted receivers during the resurgence - 5 different players have caught 1 TD in the past 3 games.

Miami yielded only 163 yards to Tom Brady in miserable conditions last week, and two weeks ago they intercepted Quincy Carter 3 times as he struggled to amass 24/40 for 288 yards and 2 TDs on Thanksgiving day. They've been intercepting a lot of passes all year, with 20 to their credit to date (tied for 3rd best in the NFL). The team is the 24th ranked secondary in terms of yards allowed ( 213.8 per game), but leads the league with only 10 passing scores given up.

WR James Thrash is probable to play despite a sore thumb. S Shawn Wooden has a sore ankle but is probable to play for the Dolphins.

The forecast for Pro-Player Stadium calls for a high of 81F with a low of 58F, and a 40% chance of precipitation. The field in Miami could get slick and sloppy if the rains come down hard around game time.

Philadelphia is coming back to the fore-front of the league, but Miami at home is always a stern test. This is an even matchup between top units.

Seattle's Passing Attack vs. The St. Louis Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Matt Hasselbeck passed for 17/34 for 218 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions vs. Minnesota last week - even a game with no TDs was not enough to knock him off the top of the fantasy QB board (FP per game) - he has tossed 66/110 for 879 yards, 8 TDs and 3 interceptions in the past 3 games (with 3/26/0 rushing) - he definitely cooled off last week, though. Koren Robinson had 10 balls come his way last week (4/32/0), while Darrell Jackson saw 8 (5/76/0). Bobby Engram made the most of his 4 chances, catching all 4 for 93 yards to lead the team. Hasselbeck had good luck against the Rams back in week 3, throwing 22/39 for 256 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception. Robinson and Jackson both snagged TDs in that game.

St. Louis allowed 16/26 for 178 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions to the Cleveland duo last week, while Daunte Culpepper threw for 33/47 for 330 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception (in a desperate attempt to catch up to the run-away Rams - the final score was 48-17 in favor of St. Louis) against them 2 weeks ago. The Rams are the 7th ranked pass D in the land, allowing 188.5 passing yards per game, but have given away 18 TDs this year. Aeneas Williams was a one-man wrecking crew vs. Cleveland, with 2 huge interceptions (1 returned for a score) and topped last week's IDP DB's board with 8 solo tackles, 2 assists, 1 sack, 2 interceptions and 2 passes defensed.

WR's Bobby Engram (concussion) and Darrell Jackson (foot) are probable to play for the Seahawks, while Ram's CB Travis Fisher has a sore knee (probable).

This game is being played in the Edward Jones Dome, so weather is not an issue.

The Rams limit yardage but have been liable to give up TDs in bunches at points earlier this season, while Seattle has the potential to be explosive. This looks like a neutral matchup between two solid units.

Tampa Bay's Passing Attack vs. The Houston Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Tampa's Brad Johnson had a solid game against the Saints, with 20/34 for 213 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception to his credit. He has been up and down lately, with a disappointing 21/38 for 156 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception performance two weeks ago. In his past 3 games, Johnson has thrown for 63/104 yielding 638 yards, 3 TDs and 3 interceptions (21st among all fantasy QB's in FP per game during that span). Charles Lee (9 for 5/52/0), Keenan McCardell (8 for 6/85/0) and Michael Pittman (7 for 3/29/0) were his top targets last week.

Houston coughed up 18/29 for 194 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions to Byron Leftwich and company last week. Two weeks ago, the Falcons managed 20/39 for 176 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception against this unit. They are playing much better than their 30th ranking (230.5 passing yards allowed on average) would indicate in recent weeks (19 TDs surrendered to date).

TE Ken Dilger has a hip pointer (questionable), while the Texans have lost CB Aaron Glenn, probably for the season (groin injury).

The forecast for Raymond James Stadium calls for a high of 78F with a low of 59F, and a 30% chance of precipitation. If the rain comes down hard around game time, footing and ball-handling could become issues during the match.

Tampa Bay utilizes an efficient attack, while the Texans have their best CB sidelined due to injury - although they're playing better lately. We see it fairly even.

Tennessee's Passing Attack vs. The Buffalo Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Steve McNair continues to battle through an assortment of leg and ankle injuries - he threw for 22/38 for 235 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions last week, despite having two bad legs. The guy is a warrior. Derrick Mason (11 targets for 6/64/1), Erron Kinney (6 for 4/41/0) and Justin McCareins (6 for 4/76/0) were his main receivers last week. Robert Holcombe snagged the other passing TD (1/1/1). Through all the adversity, McNair is still a top ten fantasy QB (9th in FP per game) with 52/84 for 602 yards, 6 TDs and 2 interceptions to his credit in the last 3 weeks.

Kerry Collins hit the Bills for 17/35 for 233 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions two weeks ago, while last week the other New York team put up 15/29 for 155 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception against the Bills. Buffalo has been very stout in this phase of the game all year long, with an average of 170.5 passing yards allowed per game (2nd in the NFL) and only 11 TDs given up to date (tied for 2nd-least in the NFL).

WR Drew Bennett (calf) and McNair (ankle/calf) are listed as questionable, while Buffalo's D is in good health at this stage of the season. As usual, you'll need to keep an eye on McNair all week.

Two top units clash in this game - neither looks like it will dominate the other.

Washington's Passing Attack vs. The Dallas Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Tim Hasselbeck was very respectable in his first NFL start, hitting 13/19 for 154 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions. He was good enough that Patrick Ramsey has elected to have his foot surgery now (rather than after the season) to get a head start on rehabilitating the injury. Not surprisingly, Rod Gardner and Laveranues Coles were his favorite targets last week (7 for 4/44/1 for Gardner, and 6 for 4/55/0 for Coles last week). Darnerien McCants snagged a score, too (2/28/1). Nobody among the receivers really got going against the Cowboys last time around, with Patrick Johnson leading the club (3/55/0). Coles and Taylor Jacobs did score in week 9 (4/27/1 and 1/19/1, respectively).

Dallas has suddenly crumbled in this phase of the game, coughing up 6 TDs in the last two weeks (19/35 for 248 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions for Donovan McNabb last week, and 16/20 for 239 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions by Jay Fiedler two weeks ago). They are still the #1 ranked secondary in terms of average passing yards allowed (168.6), but have been plain old awful in the last two games.

Washington lists WR Taylor Jacobs (foot) as questionable this week, but otherwise both current squads are in good health.

The forecast for Fed Ex Field calls for a high of 42F with a low of 35F, and a 30% chance of precipitation. If the precipitation falls thickly during the game, footing and ball-handling could become big issues in the cold conditions.

Washington has a good looking (if green) QB throwing the ball around, and the Cowboys have shown weakness in the past couple of games. At home, Hasselbeck has a decent shot at a respectable game against the reeling Cowboys but with such a short track record for him, we're calling this even.

Arizona's Passing Attack vs. The Carolina Defense (Tough Matchup)

Arizona decided that, given Jeff Blake's skid and their non-existent playoff hopes, it is time to see what Josh McCown can do with a whole 4 quarters. "Coach Dave McGinnis figures Carolina, just happy to not see Michael Vick behind center again, will take plenty of shots at unproven quarterback Josh McCown in his first start Sunday for the Cardinals. The pressure won't all be reserved for McCown either, as McGinnis predicted a heavy dose of run and pass blitzes from the fading Panthers." (Arizona Republic article by Kent Somers and Paul Coro, 12/10/03) McCown actually outplayed Blake last week, with 11/20 for 120 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions in relief of Blake (8/20 for 59 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception). Not surprisingly, Anquan Boldin was at the head of the class with 9/123/1 receiving on the day. Nobody else snagged more than 3 balls or broke 20 yards receiving.

Carolina actually put the clamps on Michael Vick in the passing phase last week, limiting him to 16/33 for 179 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception (he ran for 141 yards and a score, though). Donovan McNabb was pretty quiet against them, too, with 18/26 for 182 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception - the Panthers are pretty soft in the rushing phase at the moment, so neither guy needed to throw a whole bunch, actually. The team averages 208.1 passing yards allowed per game, with 17 passing scores surrendered to date - they are a mediocre bunch, at best. DB Deon Grant was an IDP icon last week, with 8 solo tackles, 1 sack, 1 interception and 2 passes defensed.

TE Freddie Jones has a sore knee (probable). The Panthers list CB's Terry Cousin (calf) and CB Reggie Howard (ankle) as questionable.

The forecast for Sun Devil Stadium calls for a high of 67F with a low of 45F, and a 10% chance of precipitation. Sounds like a great day to play football.

First-time NFL starters usually have a tough time - McCown should be expected to have the usual growing pains. The Panthers are overly tough in defending the pass, but we'll still call this a tough matchup.

As a side note, the Cardinals had distributed 23,287 tickets for Sunday's game as of Tuesday. That doesn't add up to much of a home-field advantage.

Cleveland's Passing Game vs. The Denver Defense (Tough Matchup)

Tim Couch is back under center in Cleveland as the Butch Davis "quarterback juggle" continues in Cleveland. Couch's best game this season was back in week 4, when he threw 23/36 for 280 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception. He had 2 TDs the next week against Pittsburgh, but went south since then (he hasn't had a multiple TD game since week 5). He was 6/9 for 98 yards, with 1 TD and 0 interceptions in relief of Kelly Holcomb last week. Quincy Morgan caught the TD that Couch threw, and was the only Brown receiver to snag more than 3 balls in the game (4/64/1).

Denver allowed 34/47 for 397 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions to Trent Green last week (they were protecting a huge lead for most of the second half, though). Two weeks ago they were tougher on Rick Mirer, who mustered 13/30 for 153 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions. The Broncos are the league's 6th ranked pass D this season, allowing an average of 185.8 passing yards per game, and have allowed 14 passing scores to date. They are the league's worst pass-interceptors, though, with only 7 all year long.

CB Scott Turner has a sore knee on the Bronco's unit (questionable). Cleveland is in good health among their current roster.

The forecast for Mile High Stadium calls for a high of 43F with a low of 29F, and a 10% chance of precipitation. It should be a nice afternoon to play football on the high plains.

Couch and the Browns have a sub-par rushing game in support of them, and are facing one of the better secondaries in the game. It looks like a long day is in store for the Browns in the hostile environs of Mile High Stadium.

Dallas' Passing Attack vs. The Washington Defense (Tough Matchup)

Quincy Carter has regressed significantly in recent weeks - he failed to hit Joey Galloway, Antonio Bryant or Terry Glenn with a pass last week. FB Richie Anderson led the team in receiving with 7/40/0. 15/24 for 93 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions isn't going to power fantasy franchises to the "promised land" during fantasy playoffs, folks. Carter is the 15th ranked fantasy QB over the last 3 weeks, with 68/108 for 635 yards, 5 TDs and 6 interceptions (11/47/0 rushing), but he looked really bad against the Eagles last week. Carter hit 17/33 for 196 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions last time around the block (week 9) - Terry Glenn led the team with 6/73/1 that day.

Washington's pass D has been pretty stout in recent weeks: the Giants managed 12/25 for 145 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception last week (Kerry Collins left the game with an ankle injury, and Jesse Palmer struggled in relief) - two weeks ago, Aaron Brooks generated a meager 14/30 for 121 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions against this squad. The Redskins are definitely playing better than their season average of 200.3 passing yards allowed per game would suggest, and scoring on them is not as easy as it once was (17 scores given up to date).

S Andre Lott is questionable to play for the Redskins, but otherwise both units are in relatively good health.

Carter didn't do much against this team last time around, in his own stadium - since then, the Redskins have been playing tougher and he's been playing worse - advantage, Washington.

Houston's Passing Attack vs. The Tampa Bay Defense (Tough Matchup)

Houston had no passing attack to speak of last week, as first-time NFL starter Dave Ragone struggled to 11/23 for 71 yards, 0 TD' s and 1 interception against Jacksonville. Happily for the Texans, regular starter David Carr seems to be recovering from his bad case of the flu this week, and figures to start the game. How long the injured shoulder (on his throwing arm) will hold up is another matter, entirely. Anyway, nobody on this unit has generated much in the way of fantasy points in recent weeks: Andre Johnson is 57th on the WR board with 6/78/1 in the last 3 games. Billy Miller cracks the top ten at TE (6th) with 9/85/1 in the past 3 games.

Tampa Bay, even in the throes of their disappointing 2003 season, is no joke in the passing phase of the game. The Buccaneers have generated 31 sacks and 19 interceptions to date in 2003 - while ranking 3rd in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (176.2), with only 12 passing scores allowed to date. However, in the game against New Orleans last week, Aaron Brooks managed 20/30 for 238 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions (3 lost fumbles, though); and Byron Leftwich hit them for 20/34 for 224 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions two weeks ago. The Buccaneers haven't been generating their usual level of interceptions in recent weeks, and 33% of the TDs they have allowed were scored in the past 2 games.

S's David Gibson (ankle) and John Lynch (shoulder) are probable to play this week. The Texans list Carr as questionable, and RB Domanick Davis (a favorite target of Carr's) as probable (quadriceps).

The Texans with health issues at quarterback just don't have the horses to run with the Buccaneers - this is a bad matchup for them, and a chance for the Tampa secondary to get back on track.

Miami's Passing Attack vs. The Philadelphia Defense (Tough Matchup)

Jay Fiedler had a miserable day in miserable conditions at Gillette Stadium last week, with 13/31 for 111 yards, 0 TD' s and 2 interceptions. It wasn't pretty, and his team was shut out 12-0. With 34/61 for 409 yards, 3 TDs and 2 interceptions in his past 3 games, Fiedler hasn't been someone to brag on for several weeks in fantasy circles. Chris Chambers has snagged all those TDs, though, and is the 10th best fantasy WR over the past 3 weeks, with 12/176/3 - what a season he might have had if Fiedler hadn't gone down to injury…

Philadelphia smothered Quincy Carter last week, 15/24 for 93 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions, and did not allow him to connect with Joey Galloway, Antonio Bryant or Terry Glenn all day long. It was a dominant performance. Jake Delhomme faired better two weeks ago, 18/29 for 216 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions, but his team still lost. The Eagles have Bobby Taylor and Brian Dawkins back in the lineup now, and that fact makes them a much better unit than their season average of 201.8 passing yards allowed per game would indicate (17th ranked in the NFL).

Dawkins (foot), Taylor (foot) and S Clinton Hart (hip) are all probable to play Monday night. Fiedler aggravated his sprained knee last week and is listed as questionable on the initial injury report.

The Dolphins deploy a mediocre assault on their best days, while the Eagle's unit is on the rise and looked flat-out nasty last week against the Cowboys. Advantage, Philadelphia.

New England's Passing Attack vs. The Jacksonville Defense (Tough Matchup)

Tom Brady continues to do what it takes to win games: last week, it was 16/31 for 163 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions in an "Ice-Bowl" type game. The team won, but many fantasy owners with Patriots suffered due to the lack of production on Brady and the receivers' part. When he threw, WR Deion Branch and TE Daniel Graham were his favorite targets, with 8 passes each - Branch turned his into 6/93/0, while Graham had 6/24/0. Brady is the 14th ranked fantasy QB in FP per game over the past 3 weeks, with 71/113 for 767 yards, 4 TDs and 4 interceptions.

Jacksonville has been stout in this phase in recent weeks, with a 11/23 for 71 yard, 0 TD and 1 interception drubbing of NFL newbie Dave Ragone last week - they also held veteran-and-Super-Bowl-winner Brad Johnson to 21/38 for 156 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception two weeks ago - the Jags' secondary is pretty hot at the moment. They have been playing way better than their season average of 197.8 passing yards allowed per game would indicate.

WR Troy Brown is questionable to play due to his leg injury - Jacksonville's unit reports no injuries of note this week.

The forecast for Gillette Stadium calls for a high of 37F with a low of 31F, and a 30% chance of precipitation. The wind causes the temperature to feel a lot lower, and footing is obviously an issue when a bunch of snowfall accumulates -- it's hard to put up big numbers in those conditions, whether you are a ball-carrier or a quarterback. There was 362 yards of total offense, combined, shared between Miami and New England in last week's game, for example.

Brady throws the ball efficiently - the Jags have been throttling their opponents recently. This looks like a tough matchup (in potentially poor conditions) to us - but pay attention to the forecast as game time approaches.

New York Giants' Passing Attack vs. The New Orleans' Defense (Tough Matchup)

Kerry Collins is out for the Giants, thanks to a high ankle sprain. That means that Jesse Palmer steps under center as the starter this week. The book on Palmer before last week: 5/8 for 39 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions in his 2 ¾ years as a pro. In relief of Collins he tossed 7/11 for 83 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions. Palmer came out of the University of Florida, so he is used to big games and big crowds, anyway.

New Orleans engaged in a defensive struggle with the Buccaneers last week (all the scoring happened in the first half), allowing 20/34 for 213 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception to Brad Johnson. Two weeks ago, Tim Hasselbeck hit 22/42 for 231 yards, with 0 TDs and 1 interception against the Saints. They are ranked 11th in the NFL allowing an average of 189.6 passing yards per game this season, and have allowed 17 passing scores to date. They have been worse than usual, lately.

To make matters worse for the Giants, WR Ike Hilliard (knee), WR Tim Carter (concussion), and TE's Marcellus Rivers (knee) and Jeremy Shockey (knee) are all doubtful for this game, as is Collins. New Orleans' secondary is in good shape.

This game is being played in the Superdome, so weather isn't a factor.

New York's passing unit is almost out of healthy players this week, and will have a neophyte QB under center in front of a hostile crowd. That sounds bad to us. Advantage, New Orleans

Pittsburgh's Passing Attack vs. The New York Jets' Defense (Tough Matchup)

Tommy Maddox has been steady (but not explosive) in his last few games, as the Steelers have transitioned back to emphasizing the power running game - he's notched 56/94 for 652 yards, 3 TDs and 2 interceptions in his last 3 games (18th among fantasy QB's in FP per game). Last week, against Oakland, he threw 19/28 for 266 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception - not great, but not terrible, either. Hines Ward owners have watched their guy slip out of the top ten, to #16 in FP per game, with 18/229/1 in 3 contests, while Plaxico Burress is down at #32 with 13/166/1 during the past 3 weeks.

The New York Jets played well against Drew Bledsoe last week (Travis Henry tore them up, though) - 9/15 for 72 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception was Bledsoe's meager total last week. Steve McNair amassed 21/32 for 272 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions against these guys two weeks ago. The Jets are 9th in the league averaging only 187 yards allowed per game in this phase, and tied for second in passing scores allowed (11 to date).

The Jets' secondary reports no new injuries of note, while the Steelers also look good to go in this phase of the game.

The forecast for Giants Stadium calls for a high of 39F with a low of 31F, and a 20% chance of precipitation. A crisp day for a football game is on tap in the Big Apple.

A good offense faces a great defense at home - we call this one a tough matchup for Maddox and company. Also understand that the Jets run defense will play a part here as teams may choose to keep the ball on the ground.

Chicago's Passing Attack vs. The Minnesota Defense (Bad Matchup)

Now that Chicago is out of the playoffs for sure, it looks like coach Jauron and company will make "only" the 23rd change at QB in their tenure running the ship in Chicago, and give Rex Grossman his NFL baptism this week. Hopefully, this rookie will work out better than Cade McNown did (he was the 3rd different QB tried out by Jauron, way back in 1999). However, don't get excited about his prospects in this first NFL start vs. the ball-hawking Vikings (25 interceptions this season, #1 in the NFL). Until we see what kind of stuff this kid has at the pro level, and find out whether he is properly prepared to start, it might be prudent to look elsewhere for your starting lineup. Jauron's track record with his last rookie QB speaks for itself - we're skeptics until Grossman proves something to us. Back in week 2, Dez White had the best yardage total (3/67/0) among the wide receivers, and David Terrell caught a rare (for him) TD pass.

Minnesota shut down the Seahawk's attack last week, allowing 17/34 for 218 yards, with 0 TDs and 2 interceptions. Two weeks ago, Marc Bulger tossed 15/20 for 222 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception during the Ram's blowout win. The Vikings have been coughing up 200+ yard games with regularity this season (they average 227.2 passing yards allowed per game, 28th in the NFL) with 15 passing scores surrendered to date.

Minnesota lists CB Rushen Jones (ankle) as probable to play, while the Bears list backup QB Chris Chandler (shoulder) as questionable. TE Dustin Lyman remains out due to an abdominal injury.

The forecast for Soldier Field calls for a high of 38F with a low of 28F, and a 30% chance of precipitation. Chicago is generally windy this time of year, making the temperature seem even colder - if the precipitation falls thickly around game time, the field will get slick and sloppy, creating footing and ball-handling issues.

Don't expect much from a rookie in his first NFL start. Advantage, Minnesota.

Jacksonville's Passing Attack vs. The New England Defense (Bad Matchup)

Byron Leftwich had a half-decent game last week vs. Houston, with 18/29 for 184 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions. He has hooked up with Jimmy Smith a lot in recent weeks, making Smith the 9th best fantasy WR in FP per game over the last 3 weeks (19/257/2 in that span) - but Smith's point bonanza hasn't elevated Leftwich into the ranks of the fantasy elite (22nd in FP per game among QB's during that span, with 55/96 for 590 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception). Smith is the only quality fantasy starter on the aerial unit at the moment. He saw 10 chances last week, converted to 3/58/1 at the end of the game.

New England is very hard to score on in this phase of the game (tied for first in the league with a mere 10 passing scores allowed in 2003), and was tough at home last week: Jay Fiedler threw 13/31 for 111 yards, 0 TD' s and 2 interceptions last week in poor weather conditions - Peyton Manning lit them up for 29/48 for 278 yards, 4 TDs and 1 interception in the comfort of the RCA dome two weeks ago, though. This game is at Gillette Stadium - no climate control at all. The Patriots are the league's 14th ranked pass D in terms of yards allowed (197.2 per game, on average). Last week, Rodney Harrison was the 5th best IDP DB in the land, with 8 solo tackles, 3 assists, 1 sack and 1 forced fumble.

Jacksonville is in good health on their unit, while the Patriots say that S Chris Akins (leg) is questionable to play.

The Patriots play very tough pass defense, and the Jaguars are under-achievers in this phase of the game in 2003. Not to mention Bill Belichick is a young quarterback's worst nightmare. This looks like a bad matchup to us - pay attention to the forecast as game time approaches, too.

Oakland's Passing Game vs. The Baltimore Defense (Bad Matchup)

Rick Mirer's old problems resurfaced last week, as he threw 10/25 for 68 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions during a rough outing against the Pittsburgh Steelers. There just hasn't been much in the way of fantasy points to spread among the receivers since the scaled-down "Mirer-fied" offense has been put into place - he has thrown for 42/86 yielding 440 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions in 3 weeks, folks. Look elsewhere for your starting WR's, if possible.

Baltimore's passing D has been ferocious of late, with 23/31 for 214 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions on Jon Kitna last week, and 17/36 for 158 yards, 0 TDs and 4 interceptions inflicted on the 49'ers two weeks ago. They are the league's 4th ranked pass D at this point in the season, averaging 179.1 passing yards allowed per game, and have 37 sacks (#1 in the league) and 20 interceptions to date (tied for second).

To compound problems for the Raiders, half the starting OL is banged up - C Barret Robbins' arthritic knee is flaring up (questionable) and Mo Collins has knee woes, too (questionable), while T Lincoln Kennedy is shaking off a concussion (probable). Just what you need when facing the top-sacking team in the league (Oakland has allowed 33 this season, by the way). CB's Lamont Brightful and Cornell Brown are both questionable to play for the Ravens thanks to knee problems of their own.

This looks like an absolutely dreadful, horrible, worse-as-it-could-get matchup for poor Rick Mirer.