Hi Folks,
Here's our look at the Passing Matchups for this week.
PLEASE NOTE: This does NOT replace the Cheatsheet ranking. The Cheatsheet rankings
are the final say on where we see a player for that week. The Matchup Breakdowns
are simply one more tool in the box when it comes to helping choose your lineup.
Also note, just because a player has a "bad" matchup, it does NOT mean
he's not a starter in your league. If Jeff Garcia is playing the toughest pass
defense in the league, that just means he's got a tough matchup that week. He's
also your starter unless you're loaded at QB. In the same way, if the worst QB
on your roster has a "great" matchup that week, it doesn't necessarily
mean he's your starter. It means we think he'll fare better than normal that week.
Bottom line is that the cheatsheets are the final say.
Let's jump to it.
Joe
*******************
Joe Bryant
Owner www.footballguys.com
Carolina's Passing Game vs. The Atlanta Defense (Great Matchup)
Carolina beat the Buccaneers going into their bye week - but they did it because
of Stephen Davis' legs, not Jake Delhomme's arm. In fact, Delhomme was 9/23
for 96 yards with 0 TD and 2 Int. on the day - he was roughed up by the Buccaneers.
For the season, Peete's/Delhomme's favorite targets so far are Muhsin Muhammad
(16 targets for 7 receptions and 119 yards with 2 TDs) and Steve Smith (15 targets
for 7 receptions and 71 yards with 1 TD). Nobody else has snagged more than
4/28 (Kris Mangum, the TE), although Ricky Proehl has 3/28/1 TD.
Atlanta's secondary is battered, bruised and beaten-down. Last week, they gave
up 192 yards and 2 TDs to Brad Johnson, with 0 interceptions. For the season,
they rank 29th in the league with 249.3 passing yards per game allowed, with
5 passing TDs surrendered so far.
A big part of Atlanta's problem is injuries - they saw reserve DB Gerald McBurrows
injure his neck last week (probable); reserve DB Travaris Robinson injured his
ankle (not listed); backup DB Kevin McAdam missed the game due to his hamstring
injury (probable this week), and backup DB Tod McBride missed the game because
of a thumb problem (probable). LB's Sam Rogers (knee - questionable) and Chris
Draft (foot - not listed) also missed time last week. Carolina is coming into
this game off a bye, so they should be healthy.
The forecast for Ericsson Stadium calls for a high of 75 F and a low of 55F,
with a 10% chance of precipitation. A beautiful day to play football is in the
making.
Carolina is not a powerhouse in this phase of the game, but they will find
ample opportunity to make good things happen when they do throw the ball against
the beaten up and down-trodden Falcons.
Denver's Passing Game vs. The Detroit Defense (Great Matchup)
Jake Plummer has certainly bounced back from his opening day fiasco, and looked
very sharp while dismantling the Raiders (without his #1 WR Rod Smith, who was
ejected from the game). Plummer threw for 14/21 for 192 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception,
and rushed for 5/48/1 TD in the course of the Monday night victory. Ashley Lelie
sparkled as his go-to guy, with 3 targets yielding 3 receptions for a whopping
108 yards and 1 score. TE Shannon Sharpe is also benefiting from Plummer's improved
play, and has been targeted 17 times this season, for 8 receptions yielding
131 yards and 2 TDs (the most TDs among all Bronco receivers). This season,
Plummer is the 12th ranked fantasy QB with 35/59 for 406 yards, 5 TDs and 3
interceptions with 9/57/1 TD rushing.
Detroit's pass defense is very soft, ranking 30th in the NFL allowing an average
of 252.7 yards per game, with 6 passing scores surrendered in 3 games. Minnesota
thumped them for 15/32 yielding 289 yards, 1 TD and 1 Int. last week. Dre' Bly
is practically the only bright spot on the pass defense, with 3 Int. in 3 games.
A big part of the problem Detroit is having stems from injuries. They have
lost CB's #2-#4 so far this season (most recently, LCB Andre Goodman dislocated
his shoulder (IR), and joins Chris Cash and Chris Watson on the sidelines),
leaving Dre' Bly as the only top-notch corner on the team. Denver's receiving
corps is in good health at this point in the season, and Plummer's shoulder
looks good (probable to play).
The forecast for Mile High Stadium predicts a high of 74 F and a low of 48F,
with a 10% chance of precipitation. It would be hard to find a better day for
a football game, really.
Denver is looking very dangerous in this phase of the game, and the Lions can't
seem to stop anybody. The Broncos have a decisive edge in this phase of the
game.
Arizona's Passing Game vs. The St. Louis Defense (Good Matchup)
Every year, teams bring in young receivers and hope that they can adapt to
the pro game quickly. And most of the time, a first-year receiver in the NFL
struggles to adapt. That is not the case with the Cardinal's new go-to receiver,
Anquan Boldin (and his side-kick, Bryant Johnson). Through 3 games, Boldin has
seen 38 targets for 23 receptions that resulted in 378 yards and 2 scores. Johnson
has been thrown to 25 times, and has snagged 14 balls for 180 yards (no scores,
yet).
One of those games was against the anemic Lions, but the other two were vs.
Seattle and Green Bay - so Boldin and Johnson have got the job done against
some quality defenders, so far in 2003. Jeff Blake has found some quality targets
to throw to - he is the 9th ranked fantasy QB through 3 weeks, with 55 completions
on 99 attempts for 691 yards, with 4 TDs and 4 Int. (and has added 7/19/1 rushing,
as well). In fact, Boldin set a new rookie mark last week for most receptions
and yards over the first 3 games of an inaugural season. TE Freddie Jones is
very much in the mix, too, with 12 receptions out of 22 targets for 122 yards
and 1 TD.
St. Louis' defense, meanwhile, has been struggling to contain the oppositions'
passing attack. Their young corners, Travis Fisher and Jerametrius Butler, melted
down against the Seahawk's last week - they played way off of Koren Robinson
and Darrell Jackson and Seattle burned the Rams in the later part of the game
- both scored in the fourth quarter. Over the first three weeks, the Rams are
the 19th ranked pass defense in the NFL, allowing 216.3 yards per game on average,
and have given up 4 passing TDs so far. SS Adam Archuleta remains a linchpin
in the secondary, and led the team with 6 solo tackles and 3 assists last week,
but there is only so much he can do to help out Fisher and Butler.
Jeff Blake is probable to play despite his sore heel. Arizona's WR stable is
still plagued by injuries - there is little-to-no depth behind Boldin and Johnson
because former starters Larry Foster (ankle - probable) and Brian Gilmore (knee
- probable) have missed consecutive weeks, and reserves Kevin Kasper (back -
doubtful) and Jason McAddley (hamstring - out) are also hurt. St. Louis continues
to wait on S Jason Sehorn to get back on the field (out), while starting RCB
Travis Fisher (shoulder - questionable) and reserve DB Kevin Garrett (wrist
- questionable) are also on the injury report.
This game is being played in a dome, so weather is not a factor.
As long as the Cardinal's dynamic duo can stay on the field, the team has a
potent aerial assault to deploy vs. the Rams. The Rams, meanwhile, are learning
as they go, and seem farther behind on the learning curve than the Cardinals'
youngsters. Advantage, Arizona.
Atlanta's Passing Game vs. The Carolina Defense (Good Matchup)
Atlanta's passing game is in disarray. With Brian Finneran out, defenses have
been blanketing Peerless Price, and Quentin McCord just hasn't shaken loose
to make the opposition pay for all the attention given to Price. The most effective
receiver to date has been TE Alge Crumpler (17 targets for 12 receptions and
179 yards with 2 TDs, vs. Price's 26 targets for 10 receptions and 103 yards).
In fact, Crumpler has a reception of 18 or more yards in 6 of the past 7 games
and leads all NFL TE's with 179 yards receiving this season. Warrick Dunn has
been some help (16 targets, 12 receptions for 75 yards and 1 score), but the
Falcons' attack is hardly "explosive". Doug Johnson currently ranks
18th among all fantasy QB's with 45/82 for 520 yards, 4 TDs and 6 interceptions
with 7/1/1 rushing. Last week, he was shut down by the Buccaneers (13/19 for
95 yards, 0 TDs and 3 interceptions).
Carolina has been generous with the pass yardage so far in 2003, allowing 296.5
yards per game on average, with 3 passing scores surrendered (2 in week 1, to
Mark Brunell and the Jags). Two weeks ago, in their OT victory, Brad Johnson
threw for 339 yards, with 1 TD and 1 interception.
Carolina is coming off their bye, so they should be fresh. Atlanta is down
Finneran and Vick, with reserve WR LaTarence Dunbar likely to finally get in
the game despite his injured groin (probable). TE Brian Kozlowski is probable
to play despite his sore calf.
The forecast for Ericsson Stadium calls for a high of 75 F and a low of 55F,
with a 10% chance of precipitation. A beautiful day to play football is in the
making.
Carolina is surprisingly soft against the pass in the early going, so the Falcons
may have an opportunity to right their passing offense on Sunday. Advantage,
Falcons.
Baltimore's Passing Game vs. The Kansas City Defense (Good
Matchup)
Baltimore is easing rookie Kyle Boller into the saddle, giving the opposition
a heavy dose of Jamal Lewis early and often, and limiting Boller to high-percentage
type throws. He only attempted one pass in the fourth quarter after the game
was well in hand. There is good news for Todd Heap owners - Heap finally got
back in the mix last week, with 9 targets and 5 receptions for 50 yards with
1 TD. Otherwise, the game was all about Jamal Lewis rushing the ball - Boller
finished with 12/21 for 98 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception.
Kansas City's defense is much improved from last year's edition, but the pass
defense is their weak link right now, ranking 24th in the NFL allowing an average
of 232.3 passing yards per game, with 5 passing TDs surrendered so far in 2003.
However, they certainly frustrated David Carr last week, only allowing him 167
yards, 1 TD and causing 2 Int. (RCB Dexter McCleon grabbed one of them, and
S Shaunard Harts ran the other back for a 39 yard TD).
Kansas City is still waiting on former starting CB William Bartee to get back
on the field (ankle - questionable), and reserve DB Julian Battle is fighting
a neck/back injury (probable). Starting S Greg Wesley's back is flaring up (questionable).
Baltimore's unit is in good shape in this phase of the game, although starting
LG Edwin Mulitalo may not be able to go ().
The forecast for M&T Bank Stadium calls for a high of 71 F and a low of
56F, with a 30% chance of precipitation. If the rain comes down hard, the field
could get sloppy and slow.
Baltimore is not throwing the ball a whole lot - when they choose to do so,
they should have good results against the suspect Chief's secondary.
Buffalo's Passing Game vs. The Philadelphia Defense (Good
Matchup)
Buffalo suffered through a terrible game against the suddenly-reawakened Dolphins
secondary last week - they simply couldn't get anything going. Nobody caught
more than 34 yards worth of passes all day - Shaw, Moulds and Reed combined
for 8/91/0. Bledsoe threw for 10/25 for 98 yards, 0 TDs and 2 Int. Ouch. This,
from the guy who has 46/78 for 642 yards, with 3 TDs and 3 Int. so far in 2003.
It was an entirely forgettable day.
Philadelphia, meanwhile, staggers out of their bye week at 0-2, including a
31-10 loss to the Patriots, a team the Bills spanked 31-0 week 1. Their pass
defense has allowed 242.5 yards per game so far, and 5 passing TDs - the loss
of S Brian Dawkins and CB Bobby Taylor has been hard for them to overcome (not
to mention a battered DL that isn't generating a pass rush).
The Eagles list S Brian Dawkins as out with his foot injury, while CB Bobby
Taylor is doubtful due to his foot problem. Buffalo comes into this one essentially
intact among the WR's and TE's, but RB Travis Henry has badly bruised ribs and
may not be able to play on Sunday - the lack of a credible rushing attack (#3
man Joe Burns would fill in, as Sammy Morris is still recuperating from hernia
surgery performed on Monday, and reserve RB Phil Crosby cracked a bone in his
leg) would make defending the pass easier.
The forecast for Ralph Wilson Stadium calls for a high of 64 F and a low of
47F, with a 30% chance of precipitation. If the rains come, the field could
get sloppy and slow.
The Bills have a strong passing game, but may be one-dimensional come Sunday.
The Eagles are struggling to cover the pass, so this is a good matchup for Bledsoe
and the Bills - as long as they can come up with some sort of running game.
Green Bay's Passing Game vs. The Chicago Defense (Good Matchup)
Brett Favre has been up and down this season, and watched his team fall to
the Arizona Cardinals last week - partly due to a late interception that Favre
tossed to Dexter Jackson. Another problem lately is a relative dearth of long
passes - three went for longer than 20 yards last week - a 22-yard pass to William
Henderson, a 34-yard completion to Javon Walker, and a 23-yard completion to
Tony Fisher - on the day, the Packers averaged 10.7 yards per reception. Favre
was off-target (short) much of the day, and ended up with 23/33 for 245 yards,
1 TD and 1 interception. Donald Driver was limited in his return (2/12/0), and
no receiver passed the 50 yard mark on the day. For the season, Favre is the
21st ranked fantasy QB, with 63/102 for 625 yards, 4 TDs and 6 Int. In his career
vs. the Bears, Favre has thrown a TD in 22 consecutive games, and is 445 of
707 for 5,299 yards with 44 TDs and 21 Int. That's a good omen for the Packers'
chances this week.
The Bears are mediocre in this phase of the game, allowing an average of 213.5
passing yards per game (17th in the NFL), and they have coughed up 4 passing
scores in 2 games so far. They went into the bye week on a loss, allowing 214
yards and 2 scores (with 0 Int.) to Daunte Culpepper week 2.
Chicago is coming off a bye, but none-the-less S Cameron Worrell (knee - doubtful)
and S Bobby Gray (knee - questionable) are on the injury report. Green Bay's
Donald Driver is still recovering from his neck injury, but is expected to play.
Robert Ferguson aggravated his injured knee last week, but should be in the
game on Sunday. TE Wesley Walls is probable to play despite his chronically
sore hamstring.
The weather at the new Soldier field is expected to range from a high of 59
F to a low of 52F on Monday, with a 30% chance of precipitation. This is the
Windy City we're talking about, so it could be cold and miserable if the game
is played in a driving rain. If the wind really kicks up, the passing game will
be limited.
Favre and the Packers are usually a strong team, and the Bears are only mediocre
at pass defense. We give the edge to the visitors - Advantage, Green Bay.
Houston's Passing Game vs. The Jacksonville Defense (Good
Matchup)
David Carr suffered through a rough outing vs. the Chiefs' pass rush, and ended
the day watching Tony Banks from the sidelines with 17/27 for 167, with 1 TD
and 2 Int. The favorite target was Andre Johnson, who caught 7 out of 13 balls
for 105 yards and 2 scores. Jabar Gaffney was thrown to 8 times and came down
with 5/42/0. Interestingly, last year's security blanket Billy Miller was ignored
by Carr, and didn't see any balls until Banks got into the game (he finished
with 2 catches on 2 chances for 8 yards). Carr is the 15th ranked fantasy QB
in 2003, with 51/94 for 646 yards, with 2 TDs and 4 Int. (6/26/1 rushing, in
addition). One very good sign for Carr and company: In 2 games vs. the Jaguars,
Carr has completed 33 of 48 passes (68.8 pct.) for 412 yards with 2 TDs vs.
1 Int.
Jacksonville was dissected by a surgical Peyton Manning last week for 21/33
for 216 yards, with 2 TDs and 1 Int. They clamped down on Marvin Harrison, but
got beat by Dallas Clark and Reggie Wayne. For the season, the Jags are 21st
in the NFL allowing 221.3 passing yards per game on average, and have coughed
up a league-leading 7 passing scores in 3 weeks. That's not going to get the
job done.
Houston's Carr injured a calf during the game, but is expected to start as
usual this Sunday. Jacksonville played without starting SLB Keith Mitchell last
week (neck -- questionable), and is down reserve DB Kiwaukee Thomas (groin -
doubtful). DB James Trapp aggravated his ankle injury last week and is to play
(probable).
The weather forecast for Reliant Stadium calls for a high of 82 F and a low
of 64F, with a 10% chance of precipitation - it should be a great day to play
football.
Houston has some weapons they can bring to bear, and the Jags sport a vulnerable
secondary. This looks like a good opportunity for the Texans' squad to get back
on track.
Indianapolis' Passing Game vs. The New Orleans Defense (Good
Matchup)
Peyton Manning and the Colts' aerial attack finally showed signs of life last
week, when Manning threw for 21/33 yielding 216 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions.
The Jaguars tried to take Marvin Harrison (4/31/0) out of the equation with
double coverage, so Manning and Reggie Wayne made them pay (10/141/2 TDs), with
some help from TE Dallas Clark (4/16/0). Edgerrin James also pitched in 3/28/0.
All in all, it was a very successful outing for Manning and company.
New Orleans' defense is reeling from their latest drubbing, at the dislocated-hand
and gimpy knees of Steve McNair - 22/33 for 252 yards, 2 TDs and 0 Int. For
the season, the Saints rank 13th in the NFL, allowing an average of 194 passing
yards per game, with 4 passing TDs given up in 2003. RCB Ashley Ambrose led
the Saints in the losing cause, with 9 solo tackles.
Indianapolis will probably be without backup WR Brandon Stokley, still hobbled
by his sore hamstring (doubtful). New Orleans is without CB Dale Carter (right
eye socket), S Mel Mitchell (ACL), LB Sedrick Hodge (broken knee cap) and backup
LB Cie Grant (knee).
This game is being played in a dome, so weather is not a factor.
New Orleans' defense is battered and back on its heels, while the Colts' attack
is gaining momentum. Look for Manning and company to have a successful outing
vs. the Saints on Sunday.
Kansas City's Passing Game vs. The Baltimore Defense (Good
Matchup)
Kansas City pummeled the Texans last week, 42-14, but Trent Green struggled
a bit, going 16/28 for 262 yards, with 1 TD and 2 Int. Tony Gonzalez came back
onto the radar screen, with 3/52/0, while Eddie Kennison seems to be emerging
as the #1 WR in the attack, with 4/44/1. For the season, Green is the 20th ranked
fantasy QB, with 52/81 for 669 yards, 3 TDs and 5 interceptions, with 9/14/0
rushing. With Priest Holmes punching in rushing TDs right, left and center,
the passing game is definitely second-fiddle in KC.
Baltimore's defense bent for Drew Brees (270 yards), but they did not surrender
a passing TD and intercepted him 3 times (S's Ed Reed and Gary Baxter both came
up with one, as did LB Terrell Suggs). For the season, the Ravens are the 15th
ranked pass D in the NFL, allowing an average of 207.7 yards per game, with
4 passing TDs surrendered so far.
Baltimore played last week without starting CB Chris McAlister (disciplinary
reasons) and reserve DB Gerome Sapp (knee - questionable). Starting SS Ed Reed
injured his left thigh (bruise - probable), but is expected to play as usual.
McAlister is also expected to start, but faces a fine for breaking team rules
(and coach Billick indicated a suspension could be in the works if he violates
rules a third time this year). KC's backup QB Todd Collins is questionable to
play (back), while TE Tony Gonzalez is probable to play through his aching foot.
The forecast for M&T Bank Stadium calls for a high of 71 F and a low of
56F, with a 30% chance of precipitation. If the rain comes down hard, the field
could get sloppy and slow.
Green and the Chiefs bring a wide array of weapons to the table, but only use
them sparingly. When they do decide to pass, they should have good luck vs.
the Ravens' secondary.
New York Jets' Passing Game vs. The Dallas Defense (Good
Matchup)
Vinny Testaverde is doing the best that he can given A). little support from
the running game and B). receivers who are dropping/screwing up sure TD passes
on a regular basis. Last week, it was Curtis Conway who dropped a TD in the
end-zone, while Wayne Chrebet nullified a nice long TD down the sidelines by
stepping out-of-bounds while running his route. Despite the miscues, Testaverde
still managed a decent day vs. the Patriots (25/43 for 264 with 1 TD and 1 Int.),
but rumblings in NY indicate that unless the Jets start winning, he'll be benched
in favor of getting rookie Brooks Bollinger playing time. Those rumors will
subside if the Jets start winning, but the pressure is mounting on Testaverde
and company
Dallas headed into the bye week with a soft secondary, which is ranked 26th
in the NFL while allowing an average of 238 yards per game, with 5 passing TDs
surrendered in 2 games. Ouch. Kerry Collins was 21/51 for 265 yards with 3 TDs
and 2 Int. in the course of the OT game week 2.
Dallas comes into the game off the bye week, with only CB Derrick Ross listed
as questionable due to his knee injury. The Jets' current starters are generally
healthy, too.
The forecast for New York calls for a high of 74 F and a low of 56F, with a
30% chance of precipitation. If the rain comes down hard, the field could get
slick and mucky, affecting offensive production generally.
The Cowboys are soft, and the Jets are emphasizing the passing game. Sounds
like a recipe for success for Vinny Testaverde and the Jets.
Pittsburgh's Passing Game vs. The Tennessee Defense (Good
Matchup)
Tommy Maddox (6th among fantasy QB's through 3 weeks, with 70/110 836 5 4 1/-1/0),
Hines Ward (3rd among WR's with 22/285/3) and Plaxico Burress (11th among WR's
with18/287/1) are a very potent trio of high performers. Last week, the Steelers
racked up 21/34 for 240 yards with 1 TD and 1 Int. in a hard-fought divisional
contest with Cincinnati (Ward was 4/48/1 while Burress was 5/56/0). They are
very much in sync and look very sharp in general so far in 2003.
Tennessee's pass defense is mediocre in 2003 so far, ranking 11th in the NFL
allowing 191.7 yards per game on average, with 4 passing TDs surrendered to
date. Last week, against New Orleans, they executed a brilliant game plan that
smothered Joe Horn and Donte Stallworth (although Jerome Pathon got loose for
4/89/1 TD with a long of 38 yards), leading to a commanding 27-12 victory. The
coverage was excellent all day long, as Horn finished with 1/5/0 and Stallworth
only managed 2/20/0. FS Lance Shulters and SS Tank Williams both had 4 solo
tackles and 1 assist to lead their unit in the victory.
Both units come into the game relatively injury-free - injuries aren't an issue
in this matchup.
The weather forecast for Heinz Field calls for a high of 63 F and a low of
49F, with a 20% chance of precipitation - sounds like an excellent day for a
football game to us.
Maddox and the Steelers are on top of their game, while the Titans are coming
off an excellent performance vs. New Orleans. At Heinz field, the Steelers'
unit will enjoy a slight edge in this matchup, but it's a narrow gap that separates
these two teams at present.
St. Louis' Passing Game vs. The Arizona Defense (Good Matchup)
Mark Bulger lost a start last week - he played well through 3 quarters, but
then the wheels came off of the Rams' game and Bulger could not rally the troops
in the face of the Seahawks' comeback. Bulger's main targets (unsurprisingly)
are Isaac Bruce (7 targets for 5 receptions yielding 69 yards and 1 TD) and
Torry Holt (9 for 5 yielding 68 yards) Dane Looker has stepped into the #3 role,
and was thrown to 6 times, but he only made 3 grabs for 25 yards. Over his two
games, Bulger has amassed 46/70 for 462 yards, 3 TDs and 2 Int. with 3/2/1 TD
rushing on top. Remember, Marshall Faulk is out for 4-6 weeks, so a major cog
in the Ram's short passing game is missing right now.
Arizona's secondary played very well last week vs. the Packers - they kept
them contained, allowing short passes but no big gainers - ex-Buccaneer FS Dexter
Jackson made a crucial interception of a Favre pass to quash the Packer's attempt
at a late surge. Green Bay only managed 245 yards and 1 TD in the game - it
was a solid effort across the board. For the season, the Cards are right in
the middle of the NFL pack, ranking 16th while allowing an average of 211 passing
yards per game. However, they gave up a lot of scoring tosses in week 1 and
2, and now total 7 passing TDs allowed in 2003.
Both units in this matchup enjoy relatively good health at this point in the
season - injuries aren't a factor in this one.
This game is being played in a dome, so weather is not a factor.
With Marshall Faulk sidelined, the Rams lose an element of their attack - but
they still field an impressive roster of pass-receivers. The Cardinal's secondary
stiffened last week, but they remain suspect due to the 7 passing TDs surrendered
so far in 2003. St. Louis looks like they are in a good position to enjoy a
productive game at home on Sunday.
Washington's Passing Game vs. The New England Defense (Good
Matchup)
If you are one of the guys who drafted Patrick Ramsey this season, pat yourself
on the back. Ramsey is the top fantasy quarterback this season, with 65/107
for 889 yards, 5 TDs and 2 Int. to his credit. Ramsey leads the NFL with 8.31
yards per passing attempt. He also has 5/46/0 rushing - about the only blemish
on his season so far are the 3 lost fumbles that he has given up. Laveranues
Coles has topped 100 yards 3 weeks in a row (13 targets with 7 receptions for
105 yards last week) while Rod Gardner (8 for 3/25/1) and Darnerien McCants
(7 for 4/67/1) are proving to be an excellent pair of complimentary wideouts
that help keep the opposing defenses honest with Coles. The Redskins' passing
game is hot.
New England's pass defense was shredded by the venerable Vinny Testaverde last
week, to the tune of 25/43 for 265 yards, 1 TD and 1 Int. - and he doesn't have
a credible running game to help out, while Ramsey does. The Patriots are 18th
in the league so far this season, allowing 215.7 passing yards per contest,
and have surrendered 2 passing scores so far. SS Rodney Harrison and LCB Ty
Law led the secondary with 5 total tackles each last week, but there was not
a single sack of slow-poke Testaverde all day.
Reserve WR Taylor Jacobs is still trying to recover from his abdomen injury
(probable). Starting TE Zeron Flemister is questionable due to his ankle injury.
New England's Ty Law tweaked his ankle last week (questionable), but returned
to play, while backup DB Je'Rod Cherry missed the game with a leg injury (questionable).
The weather forecast for FedEx Field calls for a high of 72 F and a low of
52F, with a 30% chance of precipitation - if the rains do come, the game would
be slower than normal on a wet field.
If the Patriots can't generate a better pass rush this week, Ramsey will eat
them alive. As things stand, this looks like an attractive matchup for the red-hot
Redskins.
Dallas' Passing Game vs. The New York Jets' Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Dallas' Quincy Carter has been doing some good things with the football recently,
and his wide receivers are racking up a lot of yards so far in 2003. Over the
first two games of the year, Carter put up 40/72 for 589 yards, with 1 TD and
2 Int., with 8/28/1 rushing. Terry Glenn and Joey Galloway have both been targeted
18 times, with 11 receptions each (Glenn for 145 yards, Galloway for 230 and
1 score) while Antonio Bryant has seen 11 balls come his way for 7 receptions
and 169 yards (24.1 ypc average) - that's a potent 1-2-3 combination at WR.
The Jets have been decent at defending the pass, ranking 8th in the league
with 167.7 yards per game allowed, and only 2 passing TDs surrendered (but,
they have averaged 164.7 rushing yards allowed per game, so the low passing
totals may be more a function of their lame rush defense than an overpowering
secondary). Last week, Tom Brady played a poor game against this squad, with
only 181 yards passing and 0 TDs - so the Jets are on a mini-roll, despite losing
LCB Donnie Abraham to a broken shoulder.
Aside from Abrahams' injury, the Jets' secondary is in good health. The Dallas
squad is coming off a bye week, so they should be in fine fettle on Sunday.
The forecast for New York calls for a high of 74 F and a low of 56F, with a
30% chance of precipitation. If the rain comes down hard, the field could get
slick and mucky, affecting offensive production generally.
Dallas is enjoying modest success in this phase of the game, while the Jets
are doing a decent job at defending against the pass. Neither looks like it
is in a position to dominate the other.
Jacksonville's Passing Game vs. The Houston Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Jacksonville is suffering from a power-outage among their WR stable, with only
Matthew Hatchette generating much of anything in the opposing secondary (4/45/1
last week). J.J. Stokes grabs a few balls each week, but hasn't made anything
happen with them when he does (3/25/0 last week). Kyle Brady snagged 2/19/0
- otherwise, no other pass receivers caught more than one pass (Fred Taylor
had 3/11/0 out of the backfield).
Mark Brunell was an ineffective 12/23 for 90 yards, with 0 TDs and 0 Int. before
giving way to Byron Leftwich (4/5 for 32 yards, 1 TD and 0 Int.). Leftwich and
Hatchette looked in synch, so Hatchette could be someone to grab if Leftwich
takes over full-time. As Jacksonville is 0-3 and spiraling the bowl, look for
Leftwich to start getting more time under center if Brunell can't spark the
offense. This is the last week of Jimmy Smith's suspension - so help is on the
horizon, at least. In a move to bolster the WR corps, the Jags have also signed
FA Troy Edwards, late of St. Louis.
Houston's defense got shattered by the Chiefs last week, allowing 16/28 for
262 and 1 score to Trent Green en route to a 42-14 drubbing. However, the Texans
did intercept Green twice - RCB Marcus Coleman came up with one, FS Matt Stevens
snagged the other - Stevens led the team in attempting to stem the tide with
9 solo tackles, 2 assists and his interception (returned for 12 yards). For
the year, the Texans are 20th in the NFL allowing an average of 218.3 passing
yards per game, and have given away 6 passing scores so far.
Brunell had five stitches put in the elbow of his throwing arm this week, but
says he intends to start as usual (questionable on the injury report). However,
if Wednesday's and Thursday's practices are any indication, Leftwich will get
the start, as he worked with the first team while Brunell watched. How long
Brunell will stay under center even if he does start is known only to HC Del
Rio. Reserve WR Micah Ross continues to miss time with a bum ankle (questionable).
The Texans' secondary is in good shape, currently.
The weather forecast for Reliant Stadium calls for a high of 82 F and a low
of 64F, with a 10% chance of precipitation - it should be a great day to play
football.
Two mediocre units clash in this game, and neither looks dominant over the
other.
Minnesota's Passing Game vs. The San Francisco Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Minnesota may have a problem - starting QB Daunte Culpepper suffered 3 transverse
process fractures (cracked vertebrae) in the game last week, and is questionable
to play this week - although he insists that he is determined to go (former
coach Dennis Green commented that Culpepper is one of the fastest healers he's
ever seen - so don't count him out). The questions are: Even if he does start
the game, can he be effective throwing the ball with a bad back? How long can
he stay in the game, if the injury flares up?
Fortunately for the Vikings, they have a serviceable passer backing up Culpepper
- Gus Frerotte threw two 72 yard completions in relief of Culpepper last week
- one to Randy Moss, and one to Kelly Campbell (the second went for a touchdown).
Frerotte also overthrew players in the red-zone and was badly off-target a few
times, but ended the day with a very respectable 8/19 for 184 yards, with 1
TD and 1 Int. For his career, Frerotte is 1131/2075 (54.5 completion percentage)
for 14,407 yards with 70 TDs and 64 interceptions. The guy has been around the
block more than once, and knows how to handle a NFL-caliber defense.
San Francisco's secondary did a fine job for 3 quarters last week, and then
collapsed at the end of the game to Kelly Holcomb and Andre Davis, who scored
a second 4th quarter TD at the buzzer to defeat the 49ers (5 49er defenders
surrounded Davis in the end-zone on the play, he simply out-leaped them all).
Holcomb paid the price as the 49ers pressured him all day long, sacking him
3 times and fracturing his right leg in the course of the game - but it wasn't
enough to preserve the victory. San Francisco is tied with the New York Giants
for the lead in sacks this year, with 13 as a team, so far. CB Ahmed Plummer
led the team with 7 solo tackles in the losing effort. For the season, the 49ers
are 5th in the NFL allowing only 154 passing yards per game on average, but
they have allowed 5 passing TDs in the early going.
Besides Culpepper's back, Randy Moss has also had trouble with back spasms
this week (questionable). D'Wayne Bates' foot is still sore (questionable),
so the Vikings may be thin at WR on Sunday. San Francisco is still without LCB
Jason Webster, reserve DB Rashad Holman is struggling with a groin injury, and
reserve DB/KR Jimmy Williams suffered a concussion last week.
This game is being played in a dome, so weather is not a factor.
The Vikings bring an explosive passing game to the table, and the 49ers have
proven susceptible to the passing game at times this season, due to breakdowns
in coverage - but are really pressuring opposing QB's and doing a lot of sacking.
With Culpepper gimpy and Moss questionable, this looks like an even matchup
to us - if Culpepper and/or Moss can't go, it becomes a tough game for the Vikings.
Oakland's Passing Game vs. The San Diego Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Oakland's passing attack is in disarray. Jerry Rice and Tim Brown aren't getting
open often enough, and Rich Gannon has stunk up the joint. 51/95 for 516 yards,
2 TDs and (miraculously) 0 interceptions is nowhere near the production we've
come to expect from the Silver and Black. The running game is almost as bad,
so it's fair to say that the Raiders appear to be teetering on the brink of
going over a cliff and into a crevasse of oblivion.
San Diego retooled their secondary in the offseason, but have little to show
for it. Last week, they padded their stats against the rookie Kyle Boller, but
still lost 24-10 - for the season, they are currently 9th in the NFL allowing
180.3 passing yards per game (but the 98 yard effort from Boller makes that
stat look better than it deserves to be), but they have also surrendered 5 passing
TDs so far. The Chargers managed only 1 sack and 1 interception facing a rookie
QB in his third career start - hardly a dominant performance.
Oakland desperately misses WR Jerry Porter (still out due to hernia surgery),
while San Diego's starting RCB Sammy Davis suffered a concussion last week vs.
Baltimore and may not be able to play this week (not listed on the injury report
- good news there).
The forecast for Network Associates Stadium calls for a high of 73 F and a
low of 55F, with a 10% chance of precipitation. It should be a beautiful day
for football.
San Diego can't shut down anybody, and Oakland can't seem to get anything going
on offense. Two struggling units meet in this game, with neither enjoying a
clear edge.
San Diego's Passing Game vs. The Oakland Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
The good news is that Drew Brees threw for 270 yards last week against a stout
Ravens' defense. The bad news is that he didn't connect for a TD all day; he
threw 3 interceptions; and he lost starting RT Vaughn Parker off the OL for
the season (torn ACL and MCL in his left knee). David Boston showed up to snag
6 balls for 91 yards (15.2 ypc average), but Tim Dwight may be lost for some
time with an injured knee (questionable). Emerging WR Eric Parker had a quiet
game last week, with 4/40/0. For the season, Brees is the 22nd ranked fantasy
QB with 66/119 for 654 yards, 3 TDs but 6 Int. and has added 4/20/0 rushing,
so far.
The Chargers will once again be without WR David Boston who was suspended for
one game for a disciplinary matter.
Oakland's pass defense is very soft, averaging 246 passing yards allowed per
game, and has coughed up 5 passing TDs so far this season. Jake Plummer and
the Broncos tore the Raiders up for 14/21 for 197 yards, 2 TDs and 0 Int. -
without their #1 WR Rod Smith, who was ejected for accidentally punching an
official (he was trying to clock a Raider and missed). Venerable safety Rod
Woodson tried to stem the tide (8 solo tackles, 1 assist), but it wasn't enough.
Besides Tim Dwight, the Chargers OL may be missing more than just Parker - RG
Soloman Page has a bad ankle (questionable), and LT Damion McIntosh injured
his chest (not listed). Oakland comes into the game listing starting S Rod Woodson
(knee - questionable) and backup S Anthony Dorsett (ankle - questionable).
The forecast for Network Associates Stadium calls for a high of 73 F and a
low of 55F, with a 10% chance of precipitation. It should be a beautiful day
for football.
Brees and company could have a chance to make good things happen this week
- if their reserve OL Bob Hallen, Phil Bogle and rookie Courtney Van Buren can
fill in for the injured starters adequately. Without Boston though, this looks
like a neutral matchup.
San Francisco's Passing Game vs. The Minnesota Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Jeff Garcia played pretty well for a guy coming off a concussion (21/35 for
198 with 0 TD and 1 Int., adding 5/40/0 rushing) - he also suffered a groin
strain in the game - but he couldn't guide his club into the end-zone, and it
cost the 49ers in the end. Terrell Owens led the charge with 8/90/0, and was
targeted 13 times in the game. #2 man Tai Streets saw the ball come his way
9 times, but only managed 3 receptions for 44 yards - not what his fantasy owners
wanted to see, at all. Over the first 3 weeks of the season, Garcia is the 4th
ranked fantasy QB with 59/105 for 649 yards, 4 TDs and 3 Int. (14/90/1 rushing
in addition).
Minnesota is 3-0, and part of their success is due to their bend-but-don't-break
secondary, which ranks a pedestrian 14th in pass yardage allowed per game (198.3
yards on average), but has allowed only 2 passing TDs in the first 3 games.
Last week, the Vikings frustrated Detroit's Joey Harrington to the tune of 24/42
for 235 yards with 0 TDs and 3 Int. - Corey Chavous, Brian Russell and Denard
Walker all intercepted Harrington once. The Vikings' secondary is getting the
job done in 2003 - in fact, the Viking's defense leads the NFL with 8 interceptions
so far in 2003.
Garcia is expected to practice and start as usual (probable), despite his groin
injury. The OL is banged up - starting LG Eric Heitmann is doubtful with an
ankle injury; starting LT Derrick Deese is questionable with a sore ankle; starting
RT Scott Gragg (ankle), starting C Jeremy Newberry (ankle) and starting RG Ron
Stone (ankle) are all probable to play. Minnesota's secondary is fairly well
off, with reserve DB Jack Brewer nursing a chest injury (questionable).
This game is being played in a dome, so weather is not a factor.
San Francisco has a top passing attack, while the Vikings are playing solid
pass defense (and the Vikes are the home-team). This looks like a neutral matchup,
with neither team clearly dominant over the other.
Tennessee's Passing Game vs. The Pittsburgh Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Tennessee's Steve McNair is once again proving to be a very tough guy, playing
through a knee injury that continues to swell and be painful week after week,
and is throwing with a dislocated ring finger on his throwing hand (he will
have it in a splint this week, reportedly). Through all that adversity, he still
led his squad to a victory over the New Orleans Saints, spreading the ball out
among his WR's and 2 TE's (Shad Meier caught 4/53/0 out of 5 targets last week,
and TE Erron Kinney brought in 3 catches for 32 yards out of 3 chances). #2
wideout Drew Bennett led the charge last week, seeing 12 balls for 8 receptions,
105 yards and 1 TD. McNair was 22/33 for 252 yards, 2 TDs and 0 Int., with 4/7/0
rushing - that was the 5th best fantasy performance on Sunday. For the season,
McNair is 10th among fantasy signal-callers with 62/95 for 659 yards, 5 TDs
and 1 Int., with 6/26/0 rushing.
Pittsburgh, meanwhile, is 2-1, largely on the strength of their tough pass
defense, currently 2nd in the NFL with 130.7 passing yards per game allowed,
on average, and only 3 passing scores surrendered in 3 games. Last week, Jon
Kitna was limited to 16/24 for 154 with 1 TD and 1 Int. LB Jason Gildon came
up with the interception, while CB Chad Scott led the secondary with 4 solo
tackles and 1 assist.
Besides McNair's injuries, the Titans are waiting on starting TE Frank Wycheck
to recover from a concussion - expect both to be listed as questionable on the
Titan's worthless injury report. Pittsburgh's reserve DB Chidi Iwuoma suffered
a concussion last week in the victory vs. Cincinnati - he's probable to play,
as is S Chris Hope (groin).
The weather forecast for Heinz Field calls for a high of 63 F and a low of
49F, with a 20% chance of precipitation - sounds like an excellent day for a
football game to us.
The Titans always play the Steelers very tough, and McNair is doing a great
job being patient and careful with the ball. However, the Steelers' secondary
isn't chopped liver, so we'll call this a neutral matchup before the fact.
Chicago's Passing Game vs. The Green Bay Defense (Tough
Matchup)
Over the course of two games, Kordell Stewart has thrown 27/55 for 232 yards,
with 2 TDs and 3 interceptions. (he's rushed for 12/46/0). Those numbers put
him at 31st among fantasy QB's, behind the rookie Kyle Boller and just ahead
of Kurt Warner (who has only one game to his credit in 2003). WR Dez White leads
the team with 6/95/0, while Marty Booker has 8/58/0. What else can we say? Bring
back Cade McNown, maybe?
Green Bay has not been too effective at defending the pass this season, with
a ranking of 23rd in the NFL so far this year, allowing 231 passing yards per
game and 4 scoring tosses, so far. Last week, Jeff Blake and his two rookie
starting WR's lit them up for 273 yards, 1 TD and 1 Int. FS Darren Sharper led
the secondary with 8 solo tackles and 1 assist, but it wasn't enough to prevent
the Cardinals from upsetting the Packers.
Chicago is coming off a bye week, so they should be in good health. Green Bay's
defense is also in good health in this phase of the game, although S Antuan
Edwards has a sore chest (probable).
The weather at the new Soldier field is expected to range from a high of 59
F to a low of 52F on Monday, with a 30% chance of precipitation. This is the
Windy City we're talking about, so it could be cold and miserable if the game
is played in a driving rain. If the wind really kicks up, the passing game will
be limited.
Green Bay may not be too stout in this phase of the game, but Chicago is downright
pathetic - Advantage, Green Bay.
Cincinnati's Passing Game vs. The Cleveland Defense (Tough
Matchup)
Cincinnati's Jon Kitna isn't playing atrocious football, but he keeps making
key errors at critical times during the Bengal's games. To be fair, Corey Dillon's
injury problems have forced the Bengals to rely on Kitna's arm far more than
usual, but Kitna continues to go through stretches of time when he looks indecisive
and plays inconsistently as a result. For the year, Kitna is the 14th ranked
fantasy QB, with 61/102 for 724 yards, with 3 TDs but 5 Int. (5/19/0 rushing).
16/24 for 157 with 1 TD and 1 Int. were his numbers last week, facing the tough
Pittsburgh secondary. Chad Johnson (32 targets with 18 completions for 303 yards
and 1 TD) and Peter Warrick (30 targets for 16 receptions with 161 yards and
2 TDs) are Kitna's clear favorites in the passing game. Chad Johnson is aiming
for his 3rd consecutive game vs. the Browns with a TD reception (he was 4/103/1
with a 72 yard TD last time around).
Cleveland's defense held off the 49ers all day long last week, surrendering
4 FG's but 0 TDs, creating the conditions for the Browns' come-from-behind victory.
They limited Garcia and company to 190 passing yards, and forced Garcia to fumble
once (DE Courtney Brown) and intercepted him once (RCB Anthony Henry). For the
season, the Browns are 3rd in the NFL at pass defense, allowing only 148 passing
yards per game on average, and they have given up 0 passing scores - that's
some stout play in the secondary, especially last week.
Reserve WR T.J. Houshmandzadeh is out indefinitely due to a bad hamstring.
TE Matt Schobel is doubtful with a bad hamstring. Cleveland's reserve DB Michael
Lehan has also struggled with a bad hamstring recently (questionable).
The forecast for Cleveland calls for a high of 60 F and a low of 53F, with a
30% chance of precipitation. If it does rain hard, the field could get sloppy
and slow.
Cincinnati has an erratic attack that shows flashes of great play mixed in
with some poor decisions. The Browns are a top secondary in the early going
- they have the edge at home on Sunday.
Detroit's Passing Game vs. The Denver Defense (Tough Matchup)
Detroit's Joey Harrington is on a downswing at this stage of the season, having
just endured a 24/42 for 235 yards, 0 TD and 3 interception outing vs. the Vikings.
For the season, he ranks as the 13th fantasy QB, with 67/127 for 671 yards,
4 TDs and 6 Int., so this past game was definitely his worst yet in 2003. Charles
Rogers (30 targets for 14 receptions with 130 yards and 2 TDs) is his go-to
guy; Bill Schroeder (22 targets for 11 receptions with 132 yards and 1 TD) was
#2 in the absence of Az-Zahir Hakim. However, it looks like Hakim will dial
down Schroeder's role (Hakim saw 9 balls for 3 receptions worth 16 yards last
week, while Schroeder saw 6 balls for 4/54/0).
Denver's pass defense is pretty stout in 2003, averaging 193.7 passing yards
allowed per game (12th in the NFL), but only surrendering 2 passing TDs so far
this year. Last week, they humiliated Rich Gannon, holding him to 14/29 for
149 and 0 TDs with 0 Int. FS Sam Brandon led the way with 5 solo tackles and
1 assist.
Harrington's dislocated index finger isn't bothering him much and shouldn't
keep him out this week (probable).The same can't be said for reserve WR/KR Eddie
Drummond (out), and both WR Shawn Jefferson (ribs) and starting WR Bill Schroeder
(knee) are questionable. Denver's secondary looks like it is in good shape heading
into the matchup, with S Kenoy Kennedy (ankle - questionable) and CB Willie
Middlebrooks (neck - probable) the only walking wounded.
The forecast for Mile High Stadium predicts a high of 74 F and a low of 48F,
with a 10% chance of precipitation. It would be hard to find a better day for
a football game, really.
The Lions are going through growing pains with their second year quarterback
and rookie WR, while the experienced Broncos look like they are poised to make
a playoff run in 2003. Advantage, Broncos.
Cleveland's Passing Game vs. The Cincinnati Defense (Tough
Matchup)
Cleveland's passing game may be in a state of flux come Sunday - Kelly Holcomb
has a fractured right leg, and Tim Couch looks to start. Holcomb engineered
a great come-from-behind victory last week vs. San Francisco, hooking up for
2 4th quarter TDs with Andre Davis. Unfortunately, just as the Browns find a
rhythm, they'll have to switch to former starter Tim Couch.
The Cincinnati pass defense is pretty stout in 2003, allowing only 150 passing
yards per game on average, so far, and just 1 passing TD to date. Last week,
they contained Tommy Maddox and the Steelers, allowing a healthy 240 yards passing,
but only 1 TD (with 1 Int.) LCB Jeff Burris was huge on Sunday, with 11 solo
tackles on the day.
Besides Holcombe's leg, the Browns are waiting to see if Dennis Northcutt can
come back from a chest injury. Both are listed as questionable on the injury
report. Cincinnati's reserve DB Reggie Myles hurt his left shoulder last week,
but is not on this week's injury report.
The forecast for Cleveland calls for a high of 60 F and a low of 53F, with
a 30% chance of precipitation. If it does rain hard, the field could get sloppy
and slow.
Whoever starts for the Browns, whether it's the limping Holcombe or the recently-benched
Couch, will find the going tough against the improving Bengals' D.
New England's Passing Game vs. The Washington Defense (Tough
Matchup)
New England was fortunate to escape the Jets last week with a 23-16 victory,
and part of the problem was a sputtering passing game. Starter David Patten
left the game with a right leg injury, and Troy Brown never got it going (1/16/0).
The teams' top two receivers were the TE's Christian Fauria (3/49/0) and Daniel
Graham (2/37/0), while only 1 WR caught more than 1 pass (Deion Branch, 2/25/0).
Tom Brady ended the day 15/25/181 with 0 TDs and 0 Int., with 3/-1/1 TD rushing.
That's not too good, folks.
Washington's pass defense has been limiting the amount of yardage they surrender
- ranking 10th in the NFL right now with 185 passing yards per game on average
- but have coughed up 5 passing TDs in the first three weeks, including Kerry
Collins' 24/39 for 276 yards, 3 TDs and 0 Int. performance last week. Last week,
they had no answers for Amani Toomer, Ike Hilliard and Jeremy Shockey in the
first half. Second-half blitzes slowed down Collins and company until the OT
period, though.
Besides Patten's injury, the Patriots have problems with Tom Brady's right
elbow (throwing arm) - it was painful and swollen after the game, and if it
flares up again this week, seems likely to limit his throwing motion, velocity
and range - that's a bad thing in the NFL (Brady is probable to play on the
injury report). Washington's unit is in good health coming into the game, with
only LCB Champ Bailey nursing a sore wrist and shoulder (probable to play).
The weather forecast for FedEx Field calls for a high of 72 F and a low of 52F,
with a 30% chance of precipitation - if the rains do come, the game would be
slower than normal on a wet field.
Brady and the Patriots are struggling - the Redskins are looking to bounce
back from a poor performance against the Giants. Tom Brady's injured throwing
arm looks worrisome, and his receivers aren't getting the job done recently
- we give the Redskins the nod in this matchup.
New Orleans' Passing Game vs. The Indianapolis Defense (Tough
Matchup)
The Saints' passing attack was shut down by the Titans last week. Joe Horn
caught one ball for 5 yards, while Donte Stallworth managed 2/20/0. Aaron Brooks
ended the day 15/23 for 185 yards, with 1 TD and 0 interceptions. The only bright
spot for the Saints was that Jerome Pathon elevated his game, snagging 4/89/1
- but it was not much consolation. For the season, Brooks is the 11th ranked
fantasy QB in the land, with 62/97 for 648 yards, 4 TDs and 1 interception,
with 9/21/0 rushing.
Indianapolis sports one of the leagues' better pass D's, ranking 7th while
allowing only 159.7 passing yards per game on average - the Colts have surrendered
only 2 passing scores this year. In addition, LCB Walt Harris is tied for first
in the NFL with 3 Int. so far in 2003. Mark Brunell was 12/23 for 90 yards against
the Colts (backup Byron Leftwich added 4/5 for 32 yards, 1 TD and 0 Int. late
in the game). The Jags just couldn't seem to get open until late in the game
last week - the Colts played excellent pass coverage.
The Colts are probably going to be without reserve DB Donald Strickland (groin
- doubtful), and are definitely without reserve DB Joseph Jefferson (pelvis
- out). S's Cory Bird (hamstring) and Jason Doering (finger) are probable, as
is starting CB Walt Harris (knee). The Saints come into this game with a full
complement of receivers, although Horn's knee is still a little sore.
This game is being played in a dome, so weather is not a factor.
Look for the Saints to struggle again against a very tough Colts' secondary.
Philadelphia's Passing Game vs. The Buffalo Defense (Bad
Matchup)
Philadelphia just isn't the team that they were in 2002. Nobody can explain
why Donovan McNabb is struggling so horribly, but the statistics paint a bleak
picture: 37/82 for 334 yards, 0 TDs, 3 Int. with 11/108/0 rushing in addition.
The Eagles' top receiver this season is James Thrash, with 11/126/0 - Duce Staley
is next with 10/62/0. Those are some ugly numbers, so far.
Buffalo's revamped defense was humbled by Miami last week, 17-7, but it wasn't
the secondary's fault - the Dolphins only managed 154 yards passing last week,
with 1 TD and 2 Int. (both picked by RCB Nate Clements - he is tied for the
most interceptions in the NFL this season with 3, so far). Clements, Winfield
and company threw a wet blanket over the Miami receivers, none of whom gained
more than 60 yards (although Chris Chambers did pull in the teams' lone TD).
For the season, the Bills are 6th in the league allowing only 157.7 passing
yards per game, and they have given up 2 passing TDs in 3 games - plus, they
are 2nd in the AFC with 6 interceptions as a team. That's some stout D.
Philadelphia is coming off a bye week, so they should be rested and recuperated.
Todd Pinkston is probable to play through his sore shoulder. Buffalo's secondary
is in fine health, as well.
The forecast for Ralph Wilson Stadium calls for a high of 64 F and a low of
47F, with a 30% chance of precipitation. If the rains come, the field could
get sloppy and slow.
Buffalo is playing great pass defense, and the Eagles have yet to find rhythm
on offense. This is not a good week to expect McNabb and company to suddenly
get their groove back, as the Bills are a very tough pass defense.
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