Hi Folks,
Here's our look at the Rushing Matchups for this week.
PLEASE NOTE: This does NOT replace the Cheatsheet ranking. The Cheatsheet rankings
are the final say on where we see a player for that week. The Matchup Breakdowns
are simply one more tool in the box when it comes to helping choose your lineup.
Also note, just because a player has a "bad" matchup, it does NOT mean
he's not a starter in your league. If Priest Holmes is playing the toughest rush
defense in the league, that just means he's got a tough matchup that week. He's
also your starter. In the same way, if the worst RB on your roster has a "great"
matchup, that doesn't necessarily mean you start him, it just means he'll likely
fare better this week than he normally would.
Also note that the matchups reflect how we think the team will do. There are
a couple of "Good Matchups" that feature teams like the Lions and
49'ers who have more than one RB carrying the load. So make sure to understand
that even though the 49'ers have a "Good Matchup" for rushing the
ball, you have to factor in the fact that they'll likely spread the ball between
Hearst and Barlow.
Bottom line, the cheatsheets are the final word.
Let's jump to it.
Joe
*******************
Joe Bryant
Owner www.footballguys.com
Buffalo's Travis Henry vs. The Jacksonville Defense (Great
Matchup)
Travis Henry and the Bills got off on the right foot this season, with a 31-0
shellacking of divisional rival New England. Henry had a big day on the ground,
with 28/86/2 TD's and 3 receptions for 37 yards. The 3.1 ypc average is not
as high as one would like to see, but otherwise he had a stellar opener. Maybe
he was serious about that 2,000 yards this season talk. As a team, the Bills
went 33/104/2, so the OL needs to get a better burst off the ball in the weeks
to come.
Jacksonville flummoxed the Panthers in the first half on Sunday, only to see
Jake Delhomme lead the team back from a 17-point deficit to win 24-23. They
weren't too effective at containing Stephen Davis, who put up 22/111/0 rushing
(a 5.0 per carry average) and 1/11/0 receiving on the day. Last year, the Jags
were 25th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game, averaging 129.4 per
contest, so their lack-luster performance in this phase of the game continues
into 2003. LB Akinola Ayodele led the Jaguars in their losing effort, with 8
tackles, 2 assists, 1 sack, 1 interception and 1 pass defensed - that was the
very best defensive effort by a LB in fantasy football this past week.
Jacksonville's defense is banged up heading into this game - LB T.J. Slaughter
missed last week due to an injured ankle (probable), as did reserve DL Brandon
Green (quadriceps - questionable) and reserve DB James Trapp (ankle - probable).
After the game, backup DE Paul Spicer had a protective boot on his sore left
ankle - Spicer is expected to play this Sunday, though. Buffalo's unit came
through their game unscathed.
The forecast for ALLTEL stadium calls for a high of 90F with a low of 73F,
and a 30% chance for rain.
Buffalo is on a roll, while the Jaguars are coming off a heart-breaker, with
a defensive team that is banged up and none-too-good vs. the run. The advantage
flows to the visiting Bills in this matchup.
Denver's Clinton Portis vs. The San Diego Defense (Great
Matchup)
Clinton Portis exploded in the opening game vs. Cincinnati for 120 yards rushing
and 2 TD's on 24 carries (a 5.0 average) and added 5 snags for 39 yards. He
was the engine that propelled the Denver offense week 1, as Jake Plummer looked
pretty ugly going 12/25 for 115 yards 0 TD's and 3 interceptions. Portis is
one of the premier double-threat fantasy backs in the NFL for 2003.
San Diego's defense folded in the onslaught of Kansas City's Priest Holmes,
who slammed them for 18/85/2 TD's rushing and 7/98/0 receiving last Sunday.
Last year, the Charger's averaged 108.7 rushing yards allowed per game (11th
in the league), but on Sunday they surrendered 32/131/2 TD's to the Chiefs as
a team. Kwamie Lassiter and Donnie Edwards led the Chargers with 9 and 8 solo
tackles respectively - anytime a safety leads your team in tackles, the opposition
is having good luck moving the ball well past the line of scrimmage.
Both units come into this game healthy and ready to play some football.
The forecast for Qualcomm stadium in San Diego calls for a high of 84F with
a low of 65F, and a 10% chance for rain. Basically, there should be perfect
football weather by the Bay.
Portis is one of the elite backs in the NFL, and San Diego's rush defense looks
ragged at the moment. A big edge flows to Denver in this matchup. Just start
Portis and don't worry about it.
Minnesota's Moe Williams / Daunte Culpepper vs. The Chicago
Defense (Great Matchup)
Moe Williams did a solid job for the Vikings, rushing 20 times for 88 yards
and 0 scores on Sunday. As a team, the Vikings put up 36/154/0 in the game (Daunte
Culpepper grabbed 50 yards on 9 carries from the Packers). Onterrio Smith was
Missing In Action, with 0 touches.
But enough about Williams and the Vikings. Let's look at how bad the Bears
defense is - in 2002, they were 26th in the NFL, allowing 129.8 rushing yards
per game, on average. This year, they stumbled out of the blocks and gave up
42/162/2 TD's to the Hearst/Barlow tandem in San Francisco on the way to a 49-7
defeat. LB Warrick Holdman had 12 total tackles (11 solo, 1 assist); fellow
LB Brian Urlacher had 11 total tackles (6 solo, 5 assists), so their IDP statistics
are stellar - but the Bears give up points in bunches!
Minnesota's starting unit is ready to go, and the Bears are healthy, if not
good.
The game will be played in the Metrodome, so weather is not a factor in the
matchup
The Bears' offense can't get anything going, so the defense is on the field
forever. Give the Vikings a ton of opportunities, and their offense will burn
you six ways from Sunday. A huge edge flows to the Vikings' unit in this matchup.
Oakland's Charlie Garner vs. The Cincinnati Defense (Great
Matchup)
Against a very stout Tennessee defensive front, Charlie Garner managed only
7/22/0 rushing, but gouged the Titans for 8/112/1 receiving. In the Oakland
offense, a short pass to Garner is considered almost the same thing as a hand-off
- that's what makes Garner so lethal. The knee that bothered him in pre-season
is healed enough that coach Callahan left #2 RB Tyrone Wheatley inactive for
the game last week and activated rookie Justin Fargas instead - Garner is good
to go.
Cincinnati's defensive front, on the other hand, was torched by Clinton Portis
for 120 yards on 24 carries with 2 TD's (a 5.0 ypc average). In all, they gave
up 40/184/2 on the day to the Broncos. Clinton Portis added 5/39 receiving in
the rout. No surprise here, the Bengals were 22nd in the NFL last season defending
the run, allowing an average of 125.2 yards per game. DE Oliver Gibson led the
Bengals' effort with 5 solo tackles and 1 assist.
Cincinnati's starting WLB Brian Simmons injured his ribs in the game on Sunday,
and did not return to action - he's probable for Sunday, though. Oakland's offensive
line is banged up: Backup OL Langston Walker missed last week with a bum knee,
as did backup RT Chad Slaughter (foot injury). Starting RT Lincoln Kennedy hurt
his right leg in the game on Sunday, and the injury is being evaluated as the
week progresses - he's not on the Wednesday injury report. Neither are Walker
or Slaughter, so things are improving here this week. FB Chris Hetherington
is still having trouble with his hamstring (questionable).
The weather in Oakland is expected to range from a high of 75F with a low of
59F, and a 10% chance for rain. It should be a perfect day to play some football.
As things stand now, the Oakland Raiders have a commanding edge in this matchup.
We're a little worried as the Raiders didn't shake out the preseason cobwebs.
Could this be an offense that's still reeling from the Super Bowl loss? Could
be, but we like Garner's chances a lot here in this one.
Seattle's Shaun Alexander vs. The Arizona Defense (Great
Matchup)
Shaun Alexander had a great start to his season on Sunday, with a 24/108/1
TD rushing performance to which he added 2/16/1 TD receiving to lead the Seahawks
in a 27-10 rout of the Saints. Alexander looked strong and ran with confidence
and decisiveness in the game - Matt Hasselbeck looked good, too. The team seems
poised to continue on as they finished 2002, as one of the hottest teams in
the NFC.
Arizona began another long season vs. Detroit on Sunday, losing a shootout
24-42. Detroit was without starting RB James Stewart, so they threw a RBBC at
Arizona that managed to produce 66 yards rushing on 23 carries. Last season,
of course, the Cardinals were near the bottom of the NFL in rushing yards allowed
per game (30th, allowing 134.1 on average). LB Raynoch Thompson led the losing
defense with 5 solo tackles.
Two Cardinals suffered concussions in the loss: starting LDE Fred Wakefield
and starting OLB Levar Woods. Neither player was expected to miss the game this
week as of this writing. Backup DT Marcus Bell has a sore knee (questionable).
Seattle's starting team is healthy and ready to go.
The forecast for Sun Devil Stadium calls for a high of 99F with a low of 76F,
and a 10% chance for rain. The heat could be a factor although Alexander played
his college ball in Alabama where it's plenty warm too so it's not like he'll
be shocked.
Shaun Alexander and his team-mates are forming an elite NFL offense, while
the Cardinals are a bottom-feeding defense. Advantage, Seattle.
Baltimore's Jamal Lewis vs. The Cleveland Defense (Good
Matchup)
Jamal Lewis had a decent day vs. the Steelers last week, slapping down 15/69/1
rushing and 2/4 receiving in the losing cause. The game got away from the Ravens
last week (it was 27-0 when Lewis punched in his lone TD), so the relatively
low number of carries that Lewis saw was due in part to the team playing from
so far behind.
Cleveland lost a squeaker to the Colts, 6-9, but they didn't do much in the
way of shutting down Edgerrin James, who amassed 15/67 (4.5 yards per carry)
rushing and 5/29 receiving on the day. Last season, the Browns were 27th in
the league, averaging 129.9 rushing yards per game allowed, so they have no
where to go but up. Linebacker Ben Taylor led the effort with 11 total tackles
(6 solo and 5 assists).
Baltimore's reserve OL Casey Rabach missed the game with an injured knee -
he is probable this week, though. Cleveland's front 7 are healthy coming into
the matchup, with DE Courtney Brown showing up as probable on the injury report
with his sore foot.
The forecast for M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore calls for a high of 81F
with a low of 66F, and a 10% chance for rain. It should be a great day for a
football game.
Jamal Lewis is a top back on a run-oriented team that faces a suspect Cleveland
defense at home. Advantage, Baltimore.
Detroit's Olandis Gary/Shawn Bryson/Cory Schlesinger vs.
The Green Bay Defense (Good Matchup)
Faced with the loss of starter James Stewart for the season, Coach Mariucci's
promised RBBC attacked the Arizona defense last week with modest success. Olandis
Gary carried the ball 12 times for 44 yards. Shawn Bryson only managed 8 yards
on 5 carries, but rang up 3 receptions for 41 yards. Schlesinger was frustrated
in his single rush attempt for -1 yards, but caught 3 balls for 30 yards and
1 TD. Overall, the team went 23 for 66, averaging 2.9 yards per carry. As of
this writing, it looks like the RBBC will continue into week 2 - which back
will be most worthy of a fantasy start is clearly open to question. If we had
to choose, we like Gary as Coach Mariucci talked that Gary would be limited
early on as he became more familiar with the offense. You have to think another
week of practice will help there.
Green Bay, meanwhile, was humiliated in their home opener by their arch-rivals
the Vikings. Minnesota rang up the Packers for 154 yards rushing on 36 carries
(a 4.7 yards per carry average). Their top back was Moe Williams, who put up
22/80 vs. the defensive front. Green Bay was mediocre against the rush last
year, too, allowing an average of 124.9 yards per game (21st in the NFL).
Detroit missed a reserve OL last week (Matt Joyce, leg injury) but their starting
front stayed healthy through game one. Green Bay's defensive front 7 managed
to make it through week one without significant new injuries.
The forecast for Lambeau field calls for a high of 67F and a low of 48F, with
a 30% chance of precipitation.
With Olandis Gary still working to absorb the offense, and other threats clouding
the picture, no clear cut fantasy starter is apparent for Detroit in week 2
although we're leaning toward Gary. However, the team should have a good chance
for success against the soft Packer defensive front.
Houston's Stacey Mack vs. The New Orleans Defense (Good
Matchup)
Stacey Mack and the Texans stunned the NFL last week by defeating the Miami
Dolphins in Miami. Mack nearly broke 100 yards of combined offense (27/89/0
rushing and 1/6/0 receiving), a respectable performance vs. a normally dominant
Miami defense. Better yet, the Houston OL gave up 0 sacks, which allowed QB
David Carr to generate a bona-fide pass attack. If the improved protection continues,
Carr should be able to help create running room for Mack by threatening defenses
downfield.
New Orleans dropped a disappointing opener to Seattle 10-27, and looked soft
doing so. They allowed Shaun Alexander to rush for 108 yards on 24 carries with
1 TD, and he added another score on 2/16/1 receiving work. It was a lack-luster
performance, much like their 19th ranked rushing yards allowed average from
2002 (124.4 per game). Safety Jay Bellamy led the team in tackles with 8 (7
solo, 1 assist), symbolic of the Saint's lack of stopping power at the line
of scrimmage.
The game is being played in a dome, so weather is not a factor in this matchup.
New Orleans' problems begin (but do not end) with injuries - starting DE Darren
Howard is out 2-3 months due to a broken/dislocated right wrist. Backup DT Henry
Ford missed the game due to an ankle injury, and may not be available again
(doubtful). Reserve LB Cie Grant has an injured knee and is out. DE Charles
Grant is probable to go despite his sore calf. Houston's reconstituted OL survived
the first game intact, with no significant new injuries to report.
Mack and the Texans have their offense actually moving the ball, while New
Orleans is struggling to hold people back at the line of scrimmage. It sounds
like Mack and company could be in for another decent day vs.
the depleted Saints.
Jacksonville's Fred Taylor vs. The Buffalo Defense (Good
Matchup)
Fred Taylor played well against an extremely talented Panthers' defensive front,
amassing 22/71/0 rushing and 5/51/0 receiving in the Jaguars' opening loss at
Carolina. That wasn't a super fantasy outing, but it was very strong in such
a hostile environment.
The Buffalo Bills opened by thrashing the New England Patriots 31-0, and one
of the keys to their destruction of New England were the new personnel added
over the off- and pre-season. S Lawyer Milloy, a late addition to the team,
was all over the field and new LB Takeo Spikes (late of Cincinnati) threw down
4 tackles, 2 assists, 2 interceptions and 3 passes defensed in the rout. Last
year, the Bills were 29th in the league allowing an average of 132.6 rushing
yards per game; last Sunday they allowed 105 to the Patriots (although they
did average 5.0 yards per carry as a team, the Patriots failed to punch in a
single score).
Both units came through their initial game of the season relatively healthy,
with no new injuries to report. Backup RB Fuamatu Ma'afala is listed as probable
on the Jacksonville injury report.
The forecast for ALLTEL stadium calls for a high of 90F with a low of 73F,
and a 30% chance for rain.
Fred Taylor has phenomenal talent and will exploit any weakness shown to him
along the defensive front. Considering the high yards per carry surrendered
by the Bills week 1, we think he has a good chance for a productive day against
this improving but still suspect Bills' defensive front.
Kansas City's Priest Holmes vs. The Pittsburgh Defense (Good
Matchup)
Priest Holmes put any concerns about his hip to their final rest last week,
with a dominating 18/85/2 TD rushing performance (4.7 yards per carry) and an
additional 7/98/0 in the passing phase of the game. He is the premier double-threat
running back in fantasy football at this stage of the season, bar none.
Pittsburgh, on the other hand, handily defeated the Ravens week 1 34-15, but
they allowed 15/69/1 TD to Jamal Lewis (a 4.6 yards per carry average), and
gave up 23/88 to the Ravens as a team. Last year, the Steelers were the top
defense in the league, allowing only 85.9 yards per game on average - so their
play wasn't atypically bad week 1, but neither was it dominating in the rushing
phase. LB James Farrior was a monster in this game, with 13 total tackles (6
solo, 7 assists).
Pittsburgh will continue to play without LB Joey Porter, who is recovering
from a gunshot wound. Kansas City's OL and backfield are healthy as of this
writing.
The forecast calls for temperatures of 72F for a high and 51F for a low, with
a 10% chance of precipitation on Sunday. Sounds like perfect football weather
at Arrowhead Stadium.
Two top units meet in this matchup - home-field advantage in Arrowhead stadium
tilts the tables slightly in Holmes' and the Chief's favor, as the crowd is
brutal on opposing defenses in KC. But why are you even reading this - start
Holmes and thank your lucky stars you have him on the roster.
Miami's Ricky Williams vs. The New York Jets Defense (Good
Matchup)
During the surprise loss in the home opener, Houston's defense held Miami under
100 yards rushing (22/86/0, with Ricky Williams getting 17/69/0 of that total).
Williams did add 5/60/1 in the receiving phase of the game, so the Texans did
not stuff Williams - but they did contain him. Heading into week 2, the status
of OT Mark Dixon is still doubtful (ankle injury), and the Dolphins OL is not
at its' best with Dixon on the sidelines.
The Jets were run over by the Redskins in week 1, allowing a whopping 160 yards
rushing to the Washington club on 34 carries (a 4.7 ypc average). Last season,
the Jets averaged 123.3 rushing yards allowed per game, 18th in the NFL, so
160 yards in one game was very poor for the unit. LB Sam Cowart led the defenders
with 8 solo tackles.
Aside from Dixon, Miami's starting unit enjoys decent health coming into this
divisional showdown, as does the Jets' defensive front. C Tim Ruddy (knee) and
Williams (ankle) are probable to play on Sunday.
The forecast for the Meadowlands calls for a high of 80F with a low of 62F,
and a 30% chance for rain.
Miami has one of the best rushers in the league in the person of Ricky Williams,
and he should remind us of that against a stumbling Jets' unit. Advantage, Williams
and the Dolphins.
New Orleans' Deuce McAllister vs. The Houston Defense (Good
Matchup)
Deuce McAllister put in a strong showing in the losing effort week 1, with
22/99/0 rushing (a very respectable 4.5 ypc average) and 8/35/0 receiving. Unfortunately,
he didn't find pay-dirt or hit the bonus league plateau of 100 yards, but he
did fine for owners in yardage leagues. Heading into week 2, he remains healthy
and ready for action.
Houston's defense held Miami under 100 yards rushing last week (22/86/0, with
Ricky Williams getting 17/69/0 of that total). Williams had a long run called
back for holding though so it wasn't quite as bad as it looked. Williams did
add 5/60/1 in the receiving phase of the game, so the Texans did not stuff Williams
- but they did contain him. Last year, Houston was a lowly 28th in the league
in yards allowed per game, at 130.6 on average. Week one's performance was a
significant improvement here, obviously.. Linebacker Jamie Sharper led the way,
with 9 total tackles (4 solo and 5 assists) and the defense as a whole generated
16 assists (they are swarming to the ball).
New Orleans' starting lineup is set, but reserve OL P.J. Alexander is having
trouble with his shoulder and missed last week's game. Houston was without starting
DE Gary Walker last week, as he struggles to return from a shoulder injury (questionable),
and reserve LB Antwan Peek sprained his right knee on Sunday - he's out indefinitely
with a sprained LCL, and will not play on Sunday (doubtful). ILB Troy Evans
has a groin injury (questionable).
The game is being played in a dome, so weather is not a factor in this matchup.
Deuce McAllister and the Saints are very proficient at rushing the ball, while
the Texans have historically struggled in this phase. One week does not a trend
make, and with the Saints in their own house, we have to give the nod to McAllister
in this matchup.
New York Giant's Tiki Barber vs. The Dallas Defense (Good
Matchup)
Tiki Barber began 2003 with a bang, trampling the hapless Rams for 146 yards
on only 24 carries (a 6.1 yards per carry average), while adding 2/19 through
the air. He had several long runs - the longest being 22 yards - and only missed
out on a TD because the Giants had KR/PR/RB Brian Mitchell plunge in a 1 yard
gimme.
Dallas had a decent outing vs. Warrick Dunn and the Falcons, holding Dunn to
13/41/0 rushing (but they did allow him to gain 2/20/1 TD receiving). Overall,
the Falcons only managed 30/98/1 TD vs. the Cowboys - a better showing for the
Cowboys than their 2002 ranking as 15th-best run defense in the NFL would indicate,
when they allowed 113.6 yards per game on average. LB Dexter Coakley led the
Cowboys with 8 total tackles (4 solo, 4 assists).
The Giant's starting LT Luke Petitgout had to leave the game with back spasms,
but the team expects him back this week. FB Jim Finn has a sore quadriceps,
but is probable to play. Dallas is probably without reserve DL Willie Blades,
whose bad knee is keeping him out of action (questionable).
The weather at Giant's Stadium is expected to range from a high of 80F with
a low of 61F, and a 10% chance for rain on Monday night.
The Dallas defense is no slouch in this phase, but the Giants have a potent
offense and the advantage of a home crowd. The edge lies with the Giants in
this matchup.
Philadelphia's Duce Staley / Correll Buckhalter vs. The
New England Defense (Good Matchup)
Duce Staley didn't start vs. Tampa Bay, but he did see the lions' share of
the playing time. However, the team's backs were held to 10/19, including 7/14/0
for Staley, so he hardly bowled anyone over with his performance. Staley did
add 7/46/0 receiving, and caught the most balls on the team during the miserable
17-0 drubbing that the Buccaneers handed out. Buckhalter had 1 carry for 0 yards,
so he was mostly standing on the sidelines.
New England's defense was shredded by Travis Henry for 28/86/2 TD's rushing
and 3 receptions for 37 yards in the course of their 31-0 loss to Buffalo. Last
year, the Patriots were 31st in the league, allowing an average of 137.4 yards
per game on the ground. They were a little better than that on Sunday, allowing
104 yards rushing to the Bills (but gave up those 2 TD's). Safety Rodney Harrison
led the Patriots with 11 tackles (6 solo and 5 assists), symbolic of the teams'
problems stopping the Bill's attack.
New England just lost LB Ted Johnson for the season when he underwent surgery
Wednesday for a broken left foot, suffered in the 31-0 loss to Buffalo. He was
part of the rotation at ILB. Philadelphia's starting unit is just fine health-wise.
The weather at Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday is expected to range from
a high of 80F with a low of 65F, and a 10% chance for rain. It should be perfect
football weather, in other words.
The Eagles should have a much easier time facing the Patriots' soft run defense
than they did battling Tampa's top notch defensive front. Advantage, Eagles.
San Francisco's Garrison Hearst / Kevan Barlow vs. The St.
Louis Defense (Good Matchup)
The 49'ers humiliated the Chicago Bears week one, cramming the ball down the
defenses' throat for 162 yards rushing on 42 carries. Kevan Barlow led the team
in carries with 15/62 yards, but Garrison Hearst led the team in average yards
per carry at 5.1, going 11/56/1 TD on a day when the team scored 49 points.
Hearst added 3/41/1 receiving, while Barlow caught only 1 ball for 3 yards.
They are the strongest tandem in the pro game right now.
St. Louis, meanwhile, embarrassed themselves in the opener vs. the NYG, allowing
Tiki Barber to tear them up for 24/146/0 (a sky-high 6.1 ypc average) - he added
2/19 through the air to round out a big yardage-league day. Last year the Rams
were made of stouter stuff, averaging only 113.5 rushing yards allowed per game
- 14th in the league. They gave up 27/149/1 to the Giants last week. Things
were bad enough that safety Adam Archuleta led the Rams with 8 total tackles
(7 solo, 1 assist) - a sure sign that the defensive front isn't getting the
job done.
The Rams don't even have the excuse of injuries to fall back on - their starting
front seven are healthy heading into week 2. However, backup DT Jimmy Kennedy
could miss this week after having minor surgery to clear up an elbow infection
(questionable) and DT Ryan Pickett has a tweaked ankle (questionable). The 49'ers,
meanwhile, missed starting OT Scott Gragg last week due to a high ankle sprain,
and may have to do without him this week, too (questionable). Derrick Deese
is also questionable due to an ankle problem.
This game is being played in a dome, so weather isn't a factor.
The 49'ers new offensive scheme looks potent, and the Rams look inept in general
right now. Expect Hearst and Barlow to combine for another big day, although
which one will punch in the touchdowns on any given Sunday is impossible to
know.
Washington's Trung Canidate / Ladell Betts vs. The Atlanta
Defense (Good Matchup)
Trung Canidate may be the "official" starter for the Redskins, but
in week 1 he was outscored in fantasy points by Ladell Betts (10/46 yards rushing
vs. 17/88 yards rushing, respectively - and Betts added 4 yards on a reception,
while Canidate had none). From where we sit, this looks like a running back
by committee, for now at least. It will be hard for either guy to break through
to "bonus" points (at 100 yards rushing, 150 and etc) in the current
paradigm. As a team, the Redskins put up 160 yards rushing on 34 carries for
a 4.7 yards per carry average against a decent Jets' defense. That says that
the backs are finding holes to run through on a regular basis.
Atlanta, meanwhile, was slashed for 149 yards rushing on only 24 carries by
the Dallas Cowboys (a big chunk of that came on Aveion Cason's 63 yard TD scamper).
That is equivalent to a 6.2 yard per carry average - dropping the big play out
of the statistics yields 86 yards on 23 carries, a 3.7 yards per carry average
for the rest of the team. Last year, the Falcons were 23rd in the league, allowing
127.9 yards per game on average - not a very stout run defense.
A big concern for the Falcons is developing in the linebackers' corps. Starter
Sam Rogers is questionable with knee problems, and one of his backups, Will
Overstreet, re-injured his surgically repaired left shoulder on Sunday and is
doubtful to play. The two players represent the WLB position on the depth chart,
so someone else will have to move over and play out of position if Overstreet
can't get his shoulder up to speed. Since LB Keith Newman is still serving a
suspension, the above means that the team has only 6 LB's to man 4 spots in
Wade Phillip's defensive scheme. Washington is enjoying good health among it's
OL and RB's, with no significant injuries to report at the present time.
This game is being played in the Georgia Dome, so weather is not a factor.
Washington's rushing attack as a unit is looking fairly strong, while the Falcons'
are facing some problems with their defensive front. The advantage has to go
to the visitors in this phase of the game. However, because of their RBBC approach,
don't expect earth-shattering numbers from either Canidate or Betts on Sunday.
Arizona's Emmitt Smith vs. The Seattle Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Emmitt Smith had some spring in his step opening day, and averaged 4.9 yards
per carry on his 13 attempts (64 yards), while adding 2/9/0 in the receiving
department. It wasn't a barn-burner of an opening game, but at least he looked
fluid and strong hitting holes in the opener. Jeff Blake combined with rookie
Anquan Boldin and Freddie Jones to blast Detroit for 363 yards, 3 TD and 1 interception
- so there is life in the passing game after all. That's good news for Smith
and his understudy Marcel Shipp.
Seattle comes into the 2003 season sporting a rush defense that averaged an
embarrassing 152.6 yards per game allowed on average in 2002 - dead last in
the league. However, this year's edition has a healthy John Randle in the middle,
Anthony Simmons is healthy again after an injury plagued 2002 campaign (and
led the team last week with 11 total tackles - 10 solo, 1 assist), and Randall
Godfrey has been added to the mix. The result: the defensive front held Deuce
McAllister to 99 yards on 22 attempts, and held the Saints entire roster (including
Aaron Brooks) to 25/103/0 TD's - a definite improvement over 2002.
Arizona's starting G Leonard Davis injured his ankle during the game on Sunday,
and may miss this game (questionable). Seattle's LB corps is thin, due to the
lingering injuries that Isaiah Kacyvenski (ankle - questionable) and Orlando
Huff (knee - not on injury report) are struggling to rehabilitate.
The forecast for Sun Devil Stadium calls for a high of 99F with a low of 76F,
and a 10% chance for rain.
Seattle has an improving defense that looked good against New Orleans, while
Arizona has an improving offense that looked pretty good against Detroit. This
one looks like a neutral matchup to us, with neither team clearly dominant over
the other.
Green Bay's Ahman Green vs. The Detroit Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Ahman Green was his usual double-threat self against the Vikings last week,
putting up 15/53/2 rushing and 7/62/0 receiving. Najeh Davenport saw spot duty
with 3 carries for 8 yards. However, during the course of the game, both starting
wide receivers, Donald Driver and Robert Ferguson went down to injury and may
not be back this week, as did backup WR Karsten Bailey. With a decimated receiving
corps (TE Wesley Walls did not play due to an injured hamstring that is still
a problem), the Packers may have trouble generating much passing offense week
2. That could spell problems for Green and company if the Lions stack the line
and dare Favre to beat them with 2nd-team receivers.
Detroit was very generous last week to the Cardinals, who averaged 4.8 yards
per carry on 20 attempts for 95 yards. Starter Emmitt Smith accounted for 13/64
- a 4.9 yards per carry average. Last season, the Lions were mediocre in this
phase, allowing 122.9 yards per game (17th in the NFL).
Detroit has some depth problems in the front 7, with DL Cory Redding struggling
to get on the field due to an injured knee (questionable), and LB James Davis
also questionable to play due to a rib injury. Also, DL Luther Eliss has a torn
pectoral muscle and is out. Green Bay's OL has been bothered by a variety of
dings during pre-season, but emerged from week 1 intact.
The forecast for Lambeau field calls for a high of 67F and a low of 48F, with
a 30% chance of precipitation.
Given the problems at WR, what would normally be a good matchup for Green becomes
more of an even contest. Although you could make the argument they'll lean on
Green even more. With pros and cons on both side of the fence, neither side
has a clear-cut advantage in this matchup.
New York Jets' Curtis Martin vs. The Miami Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Curtis Martin and the Jets were unimpressive in the opener vs. Washington,
with Martin scraping up only 15/48 rushing and 2/-7 receiving, with 0 scores.
Given that the team was planning on leaning on the rushing game while new signal
caller Vinny Testaverde gets comfortable in his role as starter again, those
are very disappointing numbers. Even more distressing was coach Herm Edwards'
move to pull Martin at the goalline and insert Jordan. As a team, the Jets were
22/57, so the big guys up front are obviously just not making much running room
for the backs to exploit (LaMont Jordan was 6/0 on the day).
Miami, meanwhile, was busy getting shocked in the home opener vs. the Texans.
Stacey Mack nearly broke 100 yards of combined offense (27/89/0 rushing and
1/6/0 receiving), a respectable performance vs. a normally dominant Miami defense.
Worse yet, the Miami D generated 0 sacks vs. a line that gave up the most sacks
in NFL history a season ago. Last year, Miami averaged only 97.1 rushing yards
per game allowed, 5th in the NFL - but that statistic is headed south in a hurry
if the defense doesn't start playing better right away. Zach Thomas was a big
presence even in the losing effort, with 10 total tackles (4 solo, 6 assists).
Miami's starting DE Adewale Ogunleye injured his left knee in the loss, but
the injury appears to be minor at this time (probable). DT Larry Chester's feet
ache (probable), as does Zach Thomas' ribs (probable). The Jets' OL is healthy
right now, just not playing very well.
The forecast for the Meadowlands calls for a high of 80F with a low of 62F,
and a 30% chance for rain.
Two slow-starting units clash in this game, with neither looking dominant over
the other heading into the matchup.
Pittsburgh's Amos Zereoue vs. The Kansas City Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Amos Zereoue and his team-mates came out of a tough pre-season to dominate
the Baltimore Ravens 34-15. As a team, they put up 33/98/1 TD rushing against
the intimidating Ravens' front seven, with starter Zereoue managing 15/56/1
in the featured role. Backup Jerome Bettis put up 4/14 but injured his groin
during the game, and did not return to action. Zereoue enters week 2 as the
man in the Pittsburgh backfield. Tommy Maddox and the receivers put on quite
an aerial show week 1 (Maddox 21/29 for 260 yards and 3 scores), but Zereoue
only caught 1 ball for -1 yards in the passing game.
Kansas City looked much better than last year's defense, which was 24th in
the league with 129.2 yards per game allowed on average. Against LaDainian Tomlinson
(one of the league's premier rushers), the Chiefs held Tomlinson to 13/34/0
and the Chargers as a team to 18/64/0. Newly imported veterans LB Shawn Barber
(4 solo tackles and 2 assists) and DE Vonnie Holliday (5 solo tackles, 3 sacks)
led the assault on the Chargers, and showed why the Chiefs may be among the
most-improved defenses in the early portion of 2003.
Barber suffered a hip pointer during the opener, but the injury is considered
minor and should not keep him off the field. Reserve DL Eddie Freeman was out
last week with an injured elbow and is out this week. Pittsburgh's starting
unit made it through week 1 without any significant new injuries, although C
Jeff Hartings' knee is going to slow him all season long (cartilage loss causes
swelling and pain in the joint - he's probable to play). Bettis is questionable
due to the groin injury.
The forecast calls for temperatures of 72F for a high and 51F for a low, with
a 10% chance of precipitation on Sunday. Sounds like perfect football weather
at Arrowhead Stadium.
The Chiefs look like a rushing defense on the rise, but the Steelers have a
potent attack of their own. Kansas City will find the Pittsburgh passing game
much more powerful than they did San Diego's last week. Arrowhead stadium gives
the Chiefs a big home-field boost, but this still looks like an even matchup
to us, with no clear advantage flowing to either unit.
Atlanta's Warrick Dunn vs. The Washington Defense (Tough
Matchup)
Warrick Dunn did not have a great day rushing against the tough Cowboys' defensive
front, but he did amass 41 yards on 13 carries and 2 receptions for 20 yards
and a TD, so he was decent from a fantasy standpoint. The big news that came
out of game one was the vastly reduced touches for T.J. Duckett, who looks like
a man without a role in the offense right now. Justin Griffith, the FB, and
Duckett each had 5 carries, while Griffith had 2 receptions and Duckett caught
0. This looks like Dunn's team right now, with the other backs doing spot duty
at best.
Washington, meanwhile, put a vice on the Jets' backs last week, allowing only
57 yards rushing on 22 carries (a 2.2 yards per carry average). Curtis Martin
was 15/48 (3.2 average) with 0 rushing scores, and 2/-7 with 0 receiving scores.
That's some stout defense by any yardstick. Last year, the Redskins were 12th
in the league allowing only 109.6 yards per game on average, so they have been
tough in this phase in the recent past, as well.
Atlanta's starting LG Travis Claridge injured his left shoulder last Sunday,
but the problem is considered minor and he should see action as usual on Sunday.
Washington made it through their opener with no significant injuries to report.
This game will be played in the Georgia Dome, so weather isn't a factor.
Dunn and company had a tough time running against the Cowboys, while the Redskins
smothered the Jets last week. While one game does not a trend make, it looks
like the Redskins should be a tough challenge for the
Falcons on Sunday.
Cincinnati's Corey Dillon vs. The Oakland Defense (Tough
Matchup)
Corey Dillon had a miserable first game of the year, working against the Broncos'
formidable defense headlined by LB's Ian Gold and Al Wilson. Dillon was stifled
all afternoon and ended up with 14/34/0 rushing and 2/7/0 receiving. His team
went as he did, down to a 30-10 defeat.
Oakland, on the other hand, played strong run defense against the Titans, limiting
Eddie George to 20/42/0 rushing and 2/23/0 receiving. They were the 3rd ranked
rushing defense in 2002, allowing only 90.8 yards per game on average, so it
was no surprise to see George and the Titans struggle. Linebacker Eric Barton
led the way for the Raiders with 8 solo tackles and 4 assists during the game.
Reserve RB Rudi Johnson is struggling with an injured thigh and probably won't
be able to play. Backup RG Victor Leyva is also out (chest). Oakland will probably
go without backup DL Sam Williams, who is hobbled by an injured knee (doubtful).
OLB Bill Romanowski shows up on the injury report as questionable with a concussion.
The weather in Oakland is expected to range from a high of 75F with a low of
59F, and a 10% chance for rain. It should be a perfect day to play some football.
The Bengals have a hard time running on top-notch defenses - and Oakland is
top-notch. Advantage, Oakland.
Cleveland's William Green vs. The Baltimore Defense (Tough
Matchup)
William Green and the Browns failed to put up a touchdown opening week vs.
the Colt's defense, but the Colts did allow him a 4.1 ypc average on 21/86 work
in the opener. Cleveland struggled to run the ball well in the pre-season, so
that 4.1 ypc average represents a solid improvement for week 1.
Baltimore, meanwhile, was getting shredded by the Steelers 34-15. As a team,
they managed 33/98/1 TD rushing against the intimidating Ravens' front seven,
with starter Zereoue producing 15/56/1 in the featured role. Last year, the
Ravens were 13th in the league allowing 110.1 rushing yards per game on average
- but that was without star LB Ray Lewis. This year, they expect to do better
now that he is back in the lineup. Safety Ed Reed had 10 total tackles in the
loss, while LB Ed Hartwell also had 10 total and Lewis put up 9. The Steelers
broached the line of scrimmage with a lot of success last week.
Both units came out of their openers with no significant new injuries to report.
The forecast for M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore calls for a high of 81F
with a low of 66F, and a 10% chance for rain. It should be a great day for a
football game.
Baltimore had a rough opening game, but they were fairly stout vs. the rush
in that loss. Cleveland didn't get much of anything going last week, and need
to find some answers - but they will have hard time doing that in Baltimore
vs. the Ravens' defense. Advantage, Ravens.
Dallas' Troy Hambrick/Aveion Cason vs. The New York Giants
Defense (Tough Matchup)
Troy Hambrick and the Dallas running back corps did some good things vs. Atlanta
last weekend. Hambrick led the team in carries, with 14/53/0 (a 3.8 ypc average)
and he had 3 catches for 16 yards. Aveion Cason had a huge 63 yard scoring run
and ended the day 2/77/1 rushing, with 2/29 receiving, so he popped some big
plays in the change-of-pace role. Overall, the Cowboys produced 24/149/1 (a
6.2 yards per carry average). Not too shabby.
The Giants absolutely crushed the Rams by dominating the line of scrimmage.
When the dust had settled, Kurt Warner had been sacked 6 times, lost 3 fumbles,
had suffered a concussion and Marshall Faulk had "racked up" a paltry
28 yards on 9 carries. S Omar Stoutmire played hard all day, and led the team
with 9 solo tackles and 1 assist, while Michael Barrow led the sack-fest with
2 sacks for -15 yards, with 5 solo tackles and 3 assists. Last year, this unit
16th in the NFL, allowing 114.4 yards per game on average. This edition of the
Giant's D looks better than that in the early going.
OG Larry Allen continues to battle a pulled left hamstring, and may not be
very effective if he can play at all for the Cowboys (questionable). Backup
LB Nick Greisen is also battling a pulled hamstring, but is probable to play
this week.
The weather at Giant's Stadium is expected to range from a high of 80F with
a low of 61F, and a 10% chance for rain on Monday night.
Dallas will have a hard time moving the ball against their traditional rivals
on Monday Night Football, with the crowd at full volume to welcome back Bill
Parcells, now sporting the hated Silver-and-Blue.
Indianapolis' Edgerrin James vs. The Tennessee Defense (Tough
Matchup)
Edgerrin James and the Colt's offense started 2003 with a whimper instead of
a bang, failing to score any touchdowns in the season opener at Cleveland. The
good news is, James averaged 4.5 yards per carry (15/67) and had 5 receptions
for 29 yards - it looks like he is his old self again (no one else carried the
ball for Indy week 1). Now the Colts just need to let him see more carries.
Tennessee throttled the Raiders in the rushing phase of the game, allowing
only 10/34/0 - however, Charlie Garner burned them for 8/112/1 TD receiving.
Last season, the Titans were 2nd in the league in rushing yards allowed per
game, at 89 per contest. They plan to continue that hard-nosed play in 2003.
While James is healthy, his backups are not - both James Mungro and Dominic
Rhodes (questionable) missed last week's game, and only Mungro (probable) seems
likely for week 2. Tennessee was without backup LB Rocky Calmus last week, and
it seems likely he'll struggle to get back due to a severe hamstring pull.
This game is being played in a dome, so weather is not a factor.
Anytime you face the Titan's defensive front, you are in for a tough day at
the races. If Indianapolis struggles as much in the passing phase this week
as they did last week, it will be a long day for James. We're not saying don't
play James, we just see a tough matchup here.
New England's Kevin Faulk / Antowain Smith vs. The Philadelphia
Defense (Tough Matchup)
In an intriguing matchup, two teams that got blanked by rival teams get to
take out their frustrations on each other in this cross-conference matchup.
Kevin Faulk did his part in the losing effort last week with 10 rushes for 62
yards (he added 4/25 in the receiving phase as well), while FB Larry Centers
was #2 on the squad with 5/36 on the ground. Antowain Smith was an uninspired
6/7 on his attempts, and looks to be firmly ensconced in coach Belichick's doghouse.
Philadelphia's D played a good game, especially in the rushing phase where
the Buccaneers were held to 90 yards on 31 attempts (2.9 per rush average) with
0 scores. Last year, the Eagles were ranked 9th in the league allowing only
103.8 rushing yards per game on average, so the team is continuing it's tough-nosed
play in this phase. Linebacker Carlos Emmons led the way with 9 total tackles
(8 solo, 1 assist).
Philadelphia's DE Derrick Burgess is out for the season, as is rookie DE Jamaal
Green. In addition, DE Jerome McDougle probably won't be back from his injured
hip and ankle yet this Sunday (out). DE Brandon Whiting suffered a hamstring
pull (doubtful to play), and had an MRI on Tuesday. Starting CB Bobby Taylor
injured his foot Monday Night, as did S Brian Dawkins (who plays a lot in run-support
roles) - Dawkins may have a Lis Franc fracture, which would sideline him for
a long while. Basically, the Eagles D is banged up in a big way. New England's
starting C Damien Woody has an upper-body injury that required x-rays after
the loss to Buffalo, and a leg problem too (probable to play).
The weather at Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday is expected to range from
a high of 80F with a low of 65F, and a 10% chance for rain. It should be perfect
football weather, in other words.
The Eagles are banged up, but they still held Tampa Bay to a 2.9 yard per carry
average. New England's rushing attack is mediocre at best, and will find running
room hard to find vs. the Eagles' unit. If the Eagles were healthier, this would
be a bad matchup - as it is, it is a tough one for the Patriots.
Tampa Bay's Michael Pittman/Thomas Jones vs. The Carolina
Defense (Tough Matchup)
The Buccaneers are employing a three-headed monster in the backfield this season,
with Michael Pittman and Thomas Jones essentially splitting time and Mike Alstott
providing change-of-pace duty and also splitting out into the passing patterns
from time to time.
In the regular season debut, Pittman put up 8/35/0; Jones had 10/30/0; and
Alstott contributed 12/23/0 rushing. Alstott caught 5/36/0, Jones 2/10/0, and
Pittman had 4/6/0. Talk about dividing the pie up 3 ways. Don't look for this
to change anytime soon, as Pittman faces the possibility of jail time before
the end of regular season on his probation violation in Arizona so they'll want
to be prepared.
Carolina has one of the finest front fours in all of pro football, and very
good line-backers behind the big guys up front. However, the loss of LB Mark
Fields for the season hurt the units' depth, and now Mike Caldwell, one of the
guys the Panthers brought in to help replace Fields, has been lost for a month
(at least) to a knee injury. That means there are only 5 healthy linebackers
to man the 3 LB positions in the lineup. Last week, the team did a good job
containing Fred Taylor, holding him to 22/71/0 rushing and 5/51/0 receiving.
Last year, the Panthers were 7th in the league allowing only 103.3 yards per
game on the ground on average. They aim to do even better in 2003.
Tampa's unit comes into the game healthy, and the Panthers are fine aside from
the loss of Caldwell.
The forecast for Raymond James Stadium in Tampa calls for a high of 89F with
a low of 73F, and a 30% chance for rain.
Tampa Bay's RBBC faces a stiff challenge in the Panther's defense, and it doesn't
look like any one of the 3 backs has good prospects for a decent fantasy performance
this week.
Tennessee's Eddie George vs. The Indianapolis Defense (Tough
Matchup)
The ever-sinking yards-per-carry average of Eddie George continued into week
1 of the regular season, when George put up 20/42/0 against the Oakland Raiders.
That's a 2.1 yards-per-carry average, folks. He did snag 2 balls for 23 yards,
but that wasn't enough to make this effort into a strong fantasy outing. His
backup, Robert Holcombe, fared little better in his 6 attempts, gaining only
15 yards (a 2.5 yards per carry average). Those numbers tell you that there
just isn't much running room being generated by the offensive line "surge"
off the ball.
Indianapolis won a close call vs. Cleveland, but it wasn't the defensive front's
fault - they did a decent job allowing 98 yards on 26 carries (a 3.8 ypc average),
and held Cleveland's backs out of the end-zone. Starter William Green was 21/86.
Last season, the Colts were 20th in the league, allowing 124.5 rushing yards
per game, so the opener was better than was usual last year.
Two of Indianapolis' DE's were injured last week - Brad Scioli hurt a shoulder,
and Dwight Freeney hurt his left shin; neither injury should keep the players
out of action this week. The Tennessee offense got through week 1 without injuries
of note, although G Zach Piller shows up on the injury report with a chest injury
(questionable).
This game is being played in a dome, so weather is not a factor.
George just hasn't had much spark, either in pre-season or week 1, while Indianapolis
has the look of an improving defense at this point in the season. At home, the
Colts unit has the edge in this matchup.
San Diego's LaDainian Tomlinson vs. The Denver Defense (Tough
Matchup)
It was a disappointing beginning to LaDainian Tomlinson's 2003 campaign. 13/34/0
rushing and 5/27/0 receiving was not exactly what his owners had in mind when
they used the first or second selection on draft day to acquire Tomlinson. The
loss of G Toniu Fonoti to the IR is part of the problem, but Tomlinson played
behind a motley line last season with no problems worth mentioning.
Denver, meanwhile, has a new DC in Larry Coyer, and a new system that emphasizes
star LB's Ian Gold and Al Wilson (who had 7/1 and 5/2 solo tackles/assists last
week to lead the team). Corey Dillon was stuffed for 14/34/0 rushing and 2/7/0
receiving by the Denver team Sunday. Last year, the Denver Defense was 4th in
the league with 93.1 yards per game allowed on average, but they faded badly
down the stretch. They are starting out 2003 very well, however.
Denver will be without DT Daryl Gardener as he continues to rehabilitate his
broken hand/wrist. San Diego's unit made it through week 1 without injuries
of note to their rushing attack.
The forecast for Qualcomm stadium in San Diego calls for a high of 84F with
a low of 65F, and a 10% chance for rain.
Tomlinson and his compatriots are struggling, and Denver's D is starting out
of the blocks strong. The home field advantage helps out, but not enough to
level the playing field. The advantage goes to the hot Broncos in this matchup
although don't be surprised to see Tomlinson get back to his old form. You know
he's too good to sit unless you have great depth at RB. We're just saying we're
a little nervous about his matchup as Denver looked strong defending Corey Dillon.
You do have to remember though that Dillon's one of the most up and down players
in the league so we may be reading more into that than necessary.
St. Louis' Marshall Faulk vs. The San Francisco Defense
(Tough Matchup)
Marshall Faulk got to carry the ball 9 times last week. The Rams threw 55 passes,
but rushed the ball only 13 times as a team. Until Mike Martz starts calling
Faulk's number more, pickings will be mighty slim for the Rams' star. After
the game, Martz acknowledged he should have made sure Faulk got more carries
(but he's said that before and then done nothing about it in following weeks).
9/28/0 rushing and 9/27/0 receiving (Faulk's numbers last week) sank quite a
few fantasy football owners' hopes.
The San Francisco defense, meanwhile, dominated the Bears' rushers (QB Kordell
Stewart led the team with 6/21/0), holding the team to 20/55/0 on the day. Last
season, the 49'ers were 7th in the league, allowing only 103.3 rushing yards
per game on average - so the week 1 performance was more skill than luck if
history is a guide. LB Julian Peterson led the way for the unit, with 5 solo
tackles and 2 assists on the day.
St. Louis' C Dave Wohlabaugh is playing with a huge soft cast on his left hand,
which limits his hand techniques on the inside of the Rams' OL. Backup OL David
Loverne is out for up to a month after elbow surgery on the 8th. The 49'ers
front seven is in good health heading into the matchup, although DE John Engelberger
has a sore Achilles (probable). Backup LB Brandon Moore is questionable with
a bum ankle.
This game is being played in a dome, so weather isn't a factor.
The news that Marc Bulger will start week 2 is reason to hope that the Rams
might play a more balanced attack week 2. Still, given Martz and company's bizarre
play-calling, and the strength of the 49'ers defenders, you have to like the
49'ers in this matchup. Faulk is probably too good to sit unless you're just
loaded at RB, but we're nervous about this matchup for him.
Carolina's Stephen Davis vs. The Tampa Bay Defense (Bad
Matchup)
Stephen Davis whacked Jacksonville's defense around last week, with 22/111/0
(a 5.0 per-carry average) and 1 reception for 11 yards. He has a new starting
quarterback in the lineup, Jake Delhomme, who led the team back from a 17 point
deficit to a last-second victory. The Carolina OL is one of the best units in
the nation.
However, the Tampa Bay defense is the hardest-hitting defense on the block,
and led the league last season in total yardage allowed per game at 252.8, and
ranked 5th vs. the run at 97.1 yards per game allowed. They continued their
dominant play on Monday Night Football vs. Philadelphia, squashing the Eagles
17-0 while allowing only 10/19/0 to the Eagle's backs: Donovan McNabb went 5/55
and James Thrash had an early 47 yard reverse that inflate the teams' rushing
statistics in this game.
Carolina's reserve OL Matt Willig missed last week's game and may not be ready
for Sunday. Tampa's defensive front is healthy and nasty, although DE Greg Spires
shows up with a sore groin on the injury report (probable).
The forecast for Raymond James Stadium in Tampa calls for a high of 89F with
a low of 73F, and a 30% chance for rain.
Stephen Davis and the Panthers have the look of a top rushing unit in the early
going. Now they will have to prove their merit against a tough Tampa defense
in the Buccaneer's house. We like Davis a lot this year but honestly, I don't
want any part of that Tampa Defense. If you've got another decent RB, I'd strongly
consider him here over Davis. Great players rise up to the occasion but seriously,
the Buccaneers looked incredible Monday and I think anyone playing them has
a bad matchup until we see something different.
Chicago's Anthony Thomas / Adrian Peterson / Kordell Stewart
vs. The Minnesota Defense (Bad Matchup)
The only thing you can say about the 2003 Chicago Bears rushing attack is that
it looks like more of the same from 2002. And that's a bad thing. Kordell Stewart
led the team vs. San Francisco with 6/21/0 rushing, Anthony Thomas was next
with 6/15/0, and Adrian Peterson contributed 5/12/0. As a team, they managed
to gain 55 yards on 20 carries (a 2.8 ypc average) with 0 scores. In the course
of the game, they lost starting RG Chris Villarial for 4-6 weeks with a sprained
left MCL. Starting LG Rex Turner is already on IR, and Chicago is trying to
get newly-acquired Corbin Lacina up to speed so that he can help out. OL Terrance
Metcalf has an injured finger but is probable to play this week. Things look
dire for the Chicago running game as of today.
Minnesota's rush defense, on the other side of the coin, is looking pretty
good. They held the Packers to 19/62 yards rushing on Sunday, a 3.3 ypc average
(although Ahman Green did punch in 2 TD's on them). Last season, the Vikings
were 10th in the league vs. the rush, allowing only 104.1 yards per game on
average, so they are maintaining a high level of play entering 2003. Chris Claiborne,
a new addition to the LB mix this season, led the team in tackles on Sunday
with 9 total tackles (8 solo, 1 assist) and 1 sack.
Minnesota did suffer a key loss in the defensive backfield, when starting SS
Corey Chavous went down with a sprained right MCL. The Bears offensive line,
as discussed above, is a mess.
The game will be played in the Metrodome, so weather is not a factor in the
matchup.
Chicago's attack is in a shambles, in both phases of the game. Don't expect
quality fantasy scoring from any of the Bears' backs.
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