Clayton Gray's Ultimate Strength of Schedule
Posted 7/17 by Clayton Gray - Exclusive to Footballguys.com
Welcome to the most complete and comprehensive Strength of Schedule (SOS) Footballguys.com
has ever featured. Here are the advantages we offer over the competition:
- Positional Breakdown
If you are drafting a WR, it's much more relavent to see SOS data for WRs
rather than passing stats or (shudder) won/loss records.
- Fantasy Points Driven
Fantasy football is all about scoring Fantasy Points. Our SOS is based on
Fantasy Points Allowed rather than the more common won/loss data. If a defense
generally allows opposing TEs to score a ton of Fantasy Points, then you obviously
want your TE starting against that defense.
- Based In Part On 2003 Expectations
With free agency in the NFL, team strengths can change a good deal in a single
off-season. When we create our SOS numbers, we begin with the 2002
data. We then make adjustments based on the perceived advantages and/or disadvantages
of changes (if any) in coaching staff and player personnel for each team.
- Comparison of 2003 Schedule to 2002 Schedule
On the surface, a team with an easy schedule at RB should see better RB stats
this year. Good schedule = bigger numbers than the year before, right?
It seems logical. However, sometimes it's not enough to say that a team has
an easy schedule. What if they had an equally easy schedule the season before?
Equal schedule = similar numbers as the year before.
- Presentation of Data
Most SOS charts offer a simple ranking that covers the entire season. Footballguys.com
offers the following presentation of SOS data:
- Number of Difficult and Easy Games
You can easily tell how many games each team will play against a tough
defense and against a weak defense.
- First Six Weeks
There are few things better than starting the season strong. This makes
it easy to find a team that faces an easy opening schedule.
- Bye Weeks
The bye weeks can sometimes be difficult to cover. This number shows you
where to find a player with weaker opponents during this period of the
- Breakdown of Fantasy Football Regular Season and Playoffs
It can be advantageous to stack your roster with players facing weak teams
during your fantasy playoffs. Of course you'll need a good regular season
to actually get to your post-season. Our SOS offers several options
for the fantasy regular season and playoffs.
- Weekly Values for Each NFL Team
Sometimes it's just not enough to know a player faces a great schedule.
What if you play your brother-in-law week one (or whenever) and just have
to win that game? Our Schedule Breakdown table, finding teams with a favorable
opponent that week is simple.