Power Rankings
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Posted 9/16 by Michael Brown
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These rankings are based on a very complex formula in which I weigh equal parts
1) a team's record, 2) how good I think they are, and 3) the mood I'm in at
the time of writing. So I acknowledge it isn't terribly scientific. But it's
based on who I personally think are the best teams from top to bottom and who
would win if placed in a single-game neutral setting heads up against each other.
The best part about it is that, unlike point spread picks, I can't be wrong
with these! I will go out on a limb and clue you in on my predictions for the
upcoming season at the end of this, so you can get a sense of where I might
be coming from if I have a seemingly 'worse' team ahead of one that is seemingly
'good'. It'll clarify why, among other things, I have the 0-1 Colts as the 2nd
best team in football despite the great performance of others.
Rank
Team
W/L
(Last week's ranking)
- New England Patriots 1-0 (-)
Until they lose, they are clearly the class of the NFL.
- Indianapolis Colts 0-1 (-)
Go ahead, laugh at me for having an 0-1 team at #2. But they HAD that game.
- Minnesota Vikings 1-0 (-)
Has a team ever looked more unstoppable offensively in the season opener?
- Green Bay Packers 1-0 (-)
Crush the defending NFC champs, and then add MORE talent (McKenzie is back).
- Philadelphia Eagles 1-0 (-)
Ok, well they were pretty close to Minnesota. Keep in mind, though, it WAS
the Giants.
- Seattle Seahawks 1-0 (-)
I want them to show me just a little bit more, and then I'll be a true believer.
- Baltimore Ravens 0-1 (-)
I know an offensive lineman can't be MVP, but how much does Ogden mean to
them?
- Denver Broncos 1-0 (-)
Tatum Bell, did you hear that? It was your opportunity
I think it's back
in July somewhere.
- Kansas City Chiefs 0-1 (-)
Their defensive deficiencies will do them in against good teams, but they'll
beat up on others.
- Dallas Cowboys 0-1 (-)
Quality of Week 1 opponent earns Dallas a pass. But a loss to Cleveland
- New York Jets 1-0 (-)
Jets fans would never admit this publicly, but this is a FUN team to watch!
- Washington Redskins 1-0 (-)
Admittedly, I was concerned about how Portis would do in that system. Well
that was dumb.
- Saint Louis Rams 1-0 (-)
They statistically dominated the game, as usual. And barely won despite that,
as usual.
- Jacksonville Jaguars 1-0 (-)
Still love the defense, but they better get Leftwich going - soon.
- Buffalo Bills 0-1 (-)
If Drew Bledsoe wasn't their QB, and if Travis Henry wasn't so injury-prone,
and if
- Cincinnati Bengals 0-1 (-)
Carson Palmer is as good as he looked. Unfortunately, the D is as bad as it
looked.
- Tennessee Titans 1-0 (-)
As they say, all good things come to an end. The end is near for this bunch.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0-1 (-)
Safe to say I was unimpressed Week 1. NFC South winner could be an 8-8 team.
- Atlanta Falcons 1-0 (-)
The rankings don't go low enough to reflect where they'd be without Vick.
- Pittsburgh Steelers 1-0 (-)
Pass defense looks MUCH better. Oh wait
- Carolina Panthers 0-1 (-)
I'm not off the bandwagon; I was never on it. Preseason rank of Davis as RB
21 proof.
- Cleveland Browns 1-0 (-)
It was impressive, but until they beat another quality opponent I call it
a fluke.
- New Orleans 0-1 (-)
Is it me or is this the most static franchise in NFL history?
- Oakland Raiders 0-1 (-)
Didn't see much in the run game, or ability to stop the run. They'll want
to fix that.
- San Diego Chargers 1-0 (-)
If Tomlinson ends his career without a ring, it'll be an absolute shame.
- San Francisco 49ers 0-1 (-)
Not as bad as everyone says
still doesn't mean they're all that good.
- Miami Dolphins 0-1 (-)
Some think they're even lower, but take a look at the only teams they're ahead
of. Ouch.
- Houston Texans 0-1 (-)
Lose at home to the Chargers, and this is what you get.
- Detroit Lions 1-0 (-)
Only ranked higher than Chicago because they beat them. Loss of Rogers kills
them though.
- Chicago Bears 0-1 (-)
Bears offense = Thomas Jones. Good for fantasy, bad for real life.
- New York Giants 0-1 (-)
It doesn't get much worse than only being better than the Cardinals.
- Arizona Cardinals 0-1 (-)
And I'm picking these guys to cover against the Pats? Riiight, that makes
sense.
SEASON PREDICTIONS
- AFC East
1.New England Patriots
2.New York Jets
3.Buffalo Bills
4.Miami Dolphins
- AFC North
1.Baltimore Ravens
2.Cincinnati Bengals
3.Pittsburgh Steelers
4.Cleveland Browns
- AFC South
1.Indianapolis Colts
2.Jacksonville Jaguars
3.Tennessee Titans
4.Houston Texans
- AFC West
1.Denver Broncos (I swear, I picked this before last week)
2.Kansas City Chiefs
3.Oakland Raiders
4.San Diego Chargers
- AFC Playoffs
1.Indianapolis
2.New England
3.Baltimore
4.Denver
WC1.New York Jets
WC2.Jacksonville
AFC Champ - Indianapolis Colts
- NFC East
1.Dallas Cowboys
2.Philadelphia Eagles
3.Washington Redskins
4.New York Giants
- NFC North
1.Minnesota Vikings
2.Green Bay Packers
3.Detroit Lions
4.Chicago Bears
- NFC South
1.Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2.Atlanta Falcons
3.Carolina Panthers
4.New Orleans Saints
- NFC West
1.Seattle Seahawks
2.St. Louis Rams
3.San Francisco 49ers
4.Arizona Cardinals
- NFC Playoffs
1.Minnesota
2.Seattle
3.Tampa Bay
4.Dallas
WC1.Green Bay
WC2.Philadelphia
NFC Champ - Minnesota Vikings
SUPER BOWL - Indianapolis Colts over Minnesota Vikings
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