Dynasty Watch - Week 6
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Posted 10/14 by Mike Anderson and Will Grant, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
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The purpose of this column is to spotlight deeper roster moves that could pay
off big over the course of the season. Unless stated in a player's write up,
we're not looking for one-week wonders here, but shark moves that could really
strengthen your team down the road.
Dynasty Watch focuses on low risk, huge payoff roster moves that you
might be able make before the guys in your league think about it. This aim of
this column is to make you look like a genius to the other owners in your league.
When news breaks, and the other owners are scrambling to make a waiver wire
move, we want them to be upset time and time again that the player is already
on your squad.
J.P. Losman: QB Buffalo Bills
6'2" 217 lbs - Tulane
23 years old. 1st round Pick in 2004 (22nd Overall, QB4)
Career Stats |
Comp
|
Att
|
Yards
|
TDs
|
INTs
|
'04 Preseason - Pass |
9
|
11
|
78
|
0
|
0
|
'04 Preseason - Rush |
n/a
|
7
|
80
|
0
|
n/a
|
College - Pass |
570
|
987
|
6754
|
60
|
27
|
College - Rush |
n/a
|
237
|
241
|
10
|
n/a
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What has he done so far
Losman had a pretty solid training camp before he broke his leg during the second
week of the preseason. He has been sidelined ever since, but returned to practice
this week.
In college, he started 27 games for Tulane and finished in the school all time
top 10 in 18 different categories. Buffalo traded their 2004 2nd round and 2005
first round pick to move up and draft him this year.
Current Situation
Losman is still ranked #3 on the Buffalo depth chart behind Drew Bledsoe and
Shane Matthews as he works back into his playing form from his broken leg. He's
still a few weeks away from being 'game ready', but he's recovering much faster
than many people expected.
Drew Bledsoe is the consensus starter in Buffalo, but that may not last. The
Bills have begun the season 0-4, and are 4 games behind the Jets and New England
already. They are 31st in the NFL in total points scored and total offensive
yards. They rank 29th in passing yards and 31st in attempts and completions.
Spotlight ETA
Buffalo's next 5 opponents are Miami, Baltimore, Arizona, NY Jets, and New England.
If their offense can't get untracked, they could easily end up 2-7 or worse.
If that happens, their playoff chances will be gone by week 11 or 12.
Bledsoe's contract balloons up from $2.25 million this year to $3.30 million
in 2005 and $4.35 million in 2006. Given those figures, and Buffalo's offensive
output to this point, it's hard to see Bledsoe staying in a Buffalo uniform
beyond the end of the season.
By week 12, Losman should be ready to take the field. With the playoffs out
of reach, and Bledsoe all but finished as a Bill, there is a better than average
chance that Losman will see the field before the end of the season.
Dynasty Upside
Unless Bledsoe can turn this team around quickly; it's hard to see him staying
with the Bills for 2005. By that point if Losman doesn't have the starting role,
it will be his for the taking.
The Bills have a lot of young talent on their offense, including 1st rounders:
RB Willis McGahee and WR Lee Evans, and 2nd rounder Josh Reed. WR#1 Eric Moulds
is also a former 1st round pick and a standout WR for the Bills for his entire
career. Given these weapons, Losman could put up solid stats if he's given time
to make good decisions.
As a fantasy QB, Losman has the added bonus of solid rushing ability. While
he won't put up McNabb/Vick rushing yards and TDs, Losman is good for a couple
rushing TDs a year.
Final Thoughts
Now that Losman is back at practice, he's going to start creeping back into
the fantasy radar screen. As he regains his health, he should be able to pass
Matthews and become the Bills #2 QB this year. At this point, you should consider
picking up Losman as a dynasty backup QB.
If the Bills are eliminated from the playoffs, and their offense continues
to rank in the bottom 5% of the league, the pressure will be on to put Losman
in the game and let him play. He'll take a few lumps this year under center,
but should begin the 2005 year as the Buffalo starter.
Courtney Anderson: TE Oakland Raiders
6'7" 270 lbs - San Jose State
23 years old. 7th round Pick in 2004 (245th overall)
Stats |
Rec
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Yards
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TDs
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2004 Season |
8
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96
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1
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What has he done so far
Huge Physical Specimen, with long arms and big hands. Anderson has good
quickness and playing speed, and can stretch the seam. He can create mismatches
from the slot, and should have good redzone production. Anderson was an All-Conference
WR for the 3 years he attended Costa College before enrolling in San Jose State.
He is a former WR with skills.
Current Situation
Anderson is officially ranked 4th on the depth chart behind Doug Jolley, Roland
Williams, and Teyo Johnson. However, he is bigger and strong than all three
of them. With just one start, and 4 games under his belt, Anderson is leading
all Raider TEs in receiving with 96 yards and a TD.
Spotlight ETA
Anderson put himself on the map this last weekend once he got into the game
in the second half. WR Ronald Curry was the only Raider to receive more targets
than Anderson in the second half, and only Curry had more receptions on the
game. With the TE position basically up for grabs at the moment, Anderson has
shown that he has the skills to wrestle it down, and become the permanent starter
at TE for the Raiders.
Most telling is this quote from Head Coach Norv Turner after the Houston game
two weeks ago when Anderson led all TEs in receiving: "Courtney Anderson
has improved every week as a blocker," said head coach Norv Turner. "He
probably had his best game blocking. He catches a couple balls, he's growing
as a football player."
If Anderson can continue do what it takes as a blocker in the passing game,
he will stay on the field.
Dynasty Upside
Anderson has a fantastic upside to dynasty owners. Head Coach Norv Turner
made a star out of TE Randy McMichael of the Dolphins. Quarterback Kerry Collins
is used to throwing to All-Pro TE Jeremy Shockey and is comfortable at looking
for the TE deep in the seam (a strength of Anderson's).
Remember that Anderson has only played TE for a few games in 2002, 10 games
in 2003, and then this season with the Raiders. Prior to that, he was an All-Conference
WR with WR skills. He has the speed to get into the seam and at 6'7 the size
to be dominating in the redzone That size creates mismatches with any defender
on the field, allowing Collins to put the ball up with only Anderson bringing
it down.
Final Thoughts
Under Turner, the Raider's TE is going to be a force. Quarterback Kerry Collins
is used to involving a TE with size, hands, and speed in the offense. Anderson
has great size, good game steed, and the receiving skills of a WR. If you have
the room on your roster, grab Anderson and look to strike lightening. If you
don't have the room to take Anderson on right now, keep him in the forefront
of your mind. There's going to be a star TE for the Raiders, and Anderson is
in the catbird's seat.
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