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Dynasty Watch - Week 6

The purpose of this column is to spotlight deeper roster moves that could pay off big over the course of the season. Unless stated in a player's write up, we're not looking for one-week wonders here, but shark moves that could really strengthen your team down the road.

Dynasty Watch focuses on low risk, huge payoff roster moves that you might be able make before the guys in your league think about it. This aim of this column is to make you look like a genius to the other owners in your league. When news breaks, and the other owners are scrambling to make a waiver wire move, we want them to be upset time and time again that the player is already on your squad.

J.P. Losman: QB Buffalo Bills
6'2" 217 lbs - Tulane
23 years old. 1st round Pick in 2004 (22nd Overall, QB4)

Career Stats
Comp
Att
Yards
TDs
INTs
'04 Preseason - Pass
9
11
78
0
0
'04 Preseason - Rush
n/a
7
80
0
n/a
College - Pass
570
987
6754
60
27
College - Rush
n/a
237
241
10
n/a

What has he done so far
Losman had a pretty solid training camp before he broke his leg during the second week of the preseason. He has been sidelined ever since, but returned to practice this week.

In college, he started 27 games for Tulane and finished in the school all time top 10 in 18 different categories. Buffalo traded their 2004 2nd round and 2005 first round pick to move up and draft him this year.

Current Situation
Losman is still ranked #3 on the Buffalo depth chart behind Drew Bledsoe and Shane Matthews as he works back into his playing form from his broken leg. He's still a few weeks away from being 'game ready', but he's recovering much faster than many people expected.

Drew Bledsoe is the consensus starter in Buffalo, but that may not last. The Bills have begun the season 0-4, and are 4 games behind the Jets and New England already. They are 31st in the NFL in total points scored and total offensive yards. They rank 29th in passing yards and 31st in attempts and completions.

Spotlight ETA
Buffalo's next 5 opponents are Miami, Baltimore, Arizona, NY Jets, and New England. If their offense can't get untracked, they could easily end up 2-7 or worse. If that happens, their playoff chances will be gone by week 11 or 12.

Bledsoe's contract balloons up from $2.25 million this year to $3.30 million in 2005 and $4.35 million in 2006. Given those figures, and Buffalo's offensive output to this point, it's hard to see Bledsoe staying in a Buffalo uniform beyond the end of the season.

By week 12, Losman should be ready to take the field. With the playoffs out of reach, and Bledsoe all but finished as a Bill, there is a better than average chance that Losman will see the field before the end of the season.

Dynasty Upside
Unless Bledsoe can turn this team around quickly; it's hard to see him staying with the Bills for 2005. By that point if Losman doesn't have the starting role, it will be his for the taking.

The Bills have a lot of young talent on their offense, including 1st rounders: RB Willis McGahee and WR Lee Evans, and 2nd rounder Josh Reed. WR#1 Eric Moulds is also a former 1st round pick and a standout WR for the Bills for his entire career. Given these weapons, Losman could put up solid stats if he's given time to make good decisions.

As a fantasy QB, Losman has the added bonus of solid rushing ability. While he won't put up McNabb/Vick rushing yards and TDs, Losman is good for a couple rushing TDs a year.

Final Thoughts
Now that Losman is back at practice, he's going to start creeping back into the fantasy radar screen. As he regains his health, he should be able to pass Matthews and become the Bills #2 QB this year. At this point, you should consider picking up Losman as a dynasty backup QB.

If the Bills are eliminated from the playoffs, and their offense continues to rank in the bottom 5% of the league, the pressure will be on to put Losman in the game and let him play. He'll take a few lumps this year under center, but should begin the 2005 year as the Buffalo starter.

Courtney Anderson: TE Oakland Raiders
6'7" 270 lbs - San Jose State
23 years old. 7th round Pick in 2004 (245th overall)

Stats
Rec
Yards
TDs
2004 Season
8
96
1

What has he done so far
Huge Physical Specimen, with long arms and big hands. Anderson has good quickness and playing speed, and can stretch the seam. He can create mismatches from the slot, and should have good redzone production. Anderson was an All-Conference WR for the 3 years he attended Costa College before enrolling in San Jose State. He is a former WR with skills.

Current Situation
Anderson is officially ranked 4th on the depth chart behind Doug Jolley, Roland Williams, and Teyo Johnson. However, he is bigger and strong than all three of them. With just one start, and 4 games under his belt, Anderson is leading all Raider TEs in receiving with 96 yards and a TD.

Spotlight ETA
Anderson put himself on the map this last weekend once he got into the game in the second half. WR Ronald Curry was the only Raider to receive more targets than Anderson in the second half, and only Curry had more receptions on the game. With the TE position basically up for grabs at the moment, Anderson has shown that he has the skills to wrestle it down, and become the permanent starter at TE for the Raiders.

Most telling is this quote from Head Coach Norv Turner after the Houston game two weeks ago when Anderson led all TEs in receiving: "Courtney Anderson has improved every week as a blocker," said head coach Norv Turner. "He probably had his best game blocking. He catches a couple balls, he's growing as a football player."

If Anderson can continue do what it takes as a blocker in the passing game, he will stay on the field.

Dynasty Upside
Anderson has a fantastic upside to dynasty owners. Head Coach Norv Turner made a star out of TE Randy McMichael of the Dolphins. Quarterback Kerry Collins is used to throwing to All-Pro TE Jeremy Shockey and is comfortable at looking for the TE deep in the seam (a strength of Anderson's).

Remember that Anderson has only played TE for a few games in 2002, 10 games in 2003, and then this season with the Raiders. Prior to that, he was an All-Conference WR with WR skills. He has the speed to get into the seam and at 6'7 the size to be dominating in the redzone That size creates mismatches with any defender on the field, allowing Collins to put the ball up with only Anderson bringing it down.

Final Thoughts
Under Turner, the Raider's TE is going to be a force. Quarterback Kerry Collins is used to involving a TE with size, hands, and speed in the offense. Anderson has great size, good game steed, and the receiving skills of a WR. If you have the room on your roster, grab Anderson and look to strike lightening. If you don't have the room to take Anderson on right now, keep him in the forefront of your mind. There's going to be a star TE for the Raiders, and Anderson is in the catbird's seat.

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