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Dynasty Watch - Week 7

Jonathan Wells: RB Houston Texans
6'1" 252 lbs - The Ohio State University
23 years old. 4th round Pick in 2002 (99th Overall)

Career Stats
Att
Yds
TDs
Rec
Yds
TDs
2002
197
529
3
9
48
0
2003
5
14
0
2
17
0
2004
59
218
2
3
42
0

What has he done so far
A former High School All-American. Wells is a big back with running skills and power. He has quick feet, and a good body lean. Can make the first man miss, and is a good downhill runner.

After a decent debut in 2002, Wells was so unimpressive in 2002 that the team spent a supplemental draft pick on Tony Hollings.

Current Situation
Started the season as the teams 3rd or 4th RB, but has moved up the depth chart into the #2 spot behind Domanick Davis due to the injury to Tony Hollings. Domanick Davis has been struggling both on the field and with injuries this season. Davis is averaging less than 3-yards a carry this season, and after 10 carries for 25 yards, was sat down last week in favor of Wells.

Wells started in place of Davis in week 4, and put up 26-105-1. The next week against the Vikings, Davis started and had 14 carries for 31 yards. Last week against the Titans, Davis averaged 2.5 yards on 10 carries before taking the bench. Coming in for Davis, Wells had 22 carries for 73 yards and a TD.

Davis has been bothered by a sprained right ankle, and perhaps this is harsh, but Domanick Davis was never expected to be a star in the NFL, in fact he shocked the game coming out of no where last season to become the starting RB for the Texans. Davis is far from a secure stud in the game, and with his recent poor play will most likely find himself on the bench soon. The history of the NFL is littered with flash in the pan players with incredible seasons that for whatever reason were never able to recapture their former glory.

The very talented Tony Hollings is also nursing an injured right knee, and is beginning to look like a bust.

Spotlight ETA
The time is now for Wells, who has scored in 2 of the last 3 games. The Texans are heading into their bye week, which will give Hollings and Davis an opportunity to heal more without Wells further claiming the job from them. However, should Wells come out of the break hot as the team's starter, he has an opportunity to not look back. Neither Hollings nor Davis is so entrenched that Wells can't become the starter of this team after taking some time to further develop in the NFL.

The current flavor of the NFL, Denver RB Reuben Droughns is currently in the middle of a fairy tale story that started almost exactly from a point that Wells is at right now. Not that Wells is a lock to follow the same path, but the opportunity is right there all laid out in front of him.

Dynasty Upside
A starting RB on any team is pure gold in fantasy football, much less a starting RB on an up and coming Houston Texans team. Should Wells be able to grab the starting role and hold it, he could easily be a 1st round pick in redraft leagues next season, and a very valuable young runner in dynasty leagues.

It's certainly not a lock, but that reasoning alone is worth grabbing Wells if you can.

Final Thoughts
Wells is either sitting out there in the free agent pool, or he has been added so someone's team that is just desperate for a RB this season. With the rash of RB injuries this season, Wells could easily have been added recently. However, it is very unlikely that the owner who has Wells is even remotely considering what he might have on his hands. A shark should easily be able to go out and acquire Wells for virtually nothing.

With Houston on a bye this week, Wells is going to be dropped in tons of leagues as owners try to flesh out their rosters. If you have the space, snag him when no one's looking.

There are no guarantees in fantasy football, only opportunities. Wells could easily flop, and become another player who's only value is in winning bar room trivia with your buddies. However, if you get a chance to strike lightening, take it.

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