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Face Off - WR Torry Holt - St. Louis Rams

Upside by Cathy Fazio
Torry Holt has earned himself a place in the top echelon of NFL wide receivers. He has had over 1300 receiving yards in the last 4 seasons. And last year he came close to 1700 with 1696 receiving yards. He also became a legitimate scoring threat last season, scoring 12 touchdowns.

What sets Holt above other receivers in the league is his tremendous consistency. There were only 2 games last year that he did not have over 50 yards receiving. And there were 10 games last season where he was over 100 yards receiving. That is just simply amazing.

Can he keep up with this torrid pace? I believe so.

Not much has changed in St. Louis. The St. Louis Rams' offense is remaining stable with the same starters in all the key positions. Marc Bulger entering his third year at quarterback locks into Holt on a regular basis. Isaac Bruce is a strong WR2 and his presence opens up opportunities for Holt.

If you are fortunate to be in a position to add Holt to your fantasy squad, you will be adding one of the elite most consistent WRs in the league to your team. He is definitely worth the high draft pick that it will take to get him on your team.


Downside by Chase Stuart
Last year, Torry Holt leapt from star player to superstar receiver. He had a dominant season, posting personal single-season bests in the Triple Crown categories. He bested his previous highs by:

  • 26 receptions
  • 61 receiving yards
  • Five touchdowns

Obviously, that translated into his top fantasy season to date. He scored forty-two more fantasy points than ever before, and finished as the second best WR (his previous high was seventh, in 2000).

Simply put, I don't think it's too much of a stretch to say Torry Holt had his career year. I don't think the Rams offense can support that type of play on a consistent basis, and thus Holt will probably fall back to down to earth this year. He's still my number three fantasy WR, but I don't think we'll see a repeat of 2003. Additionally, "Big Game" Torry Holt's disappearing act in the double-overtime playoff game last year left a sour taste in my mouth. While Isaac Bruce was catching balls left and right, Holt made just two receptions for 21 yards.

Holt caught over half the Rams passing touchdowns last year. That's extremely unlikely to happen again. Here were his previous percentages:

Year
Holt's TDs as a % of Rams Pass TDs
1999
14.3
2000
16.2
2001
18.9
2002
16.7
2003
52.2

Certainly, one of those numbers looks like it doesn't belong. Any statistician will say that expecting Holt to repeat that anomaly is just silly. While the declines of Isaac Bruce and Marshall Faulk have led to Holt becoming the center of the offense-it doesn't mean Holt will be catching double-digit TDs again. St. Louis has said they want to run the ball more, and they drafted Stephen Jackson. I think Bruce isn't anywhere near done, so he will still catch some balls. Basically, I expect Holt to produce like he normally does-he'll finish in the top five in receiving yards, but will probably only have about eight touchdowns on the year. Certainly a stud WR, but not one worth taking while there are great RBs left on your draft board.

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