Face Off - WR Torry Holt - St. Louis Rams
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Upside by Cathy Fazio
Torry Holt has earned himself a place in the top echelon of NFL wide receivers.
He has had over 1300 receiving yards in the last 4 seasons. And last year he
came close to 1700 with 1696 receiving yards. He also became a legitimate scoring
threat last season, scoring 12 touchdowns.
What sets Holt above other receivers in the league is his tremendous consistency.
There were only 2 games last year that he did not have over 50 yards receiving.
And there were 10 games last season where he was over 100 yards receiving. That
is just simply amazing.
Can he keep up with this torrid pace? I believe so.
Not much has changed in St. Louis. The St. Louis Rams' offense is remaining
stable with the same starters in all the key positions. Marc Bulger entering
his third year at quarterback locks into Holt on a regular basis. Isaac Bruce
is a strong WR2 and his presence opens up opportunities for Holt.
If you are fortunate to be in a position to add Holt to your fantasy squad,
you will be adding one of the elite most consistent WRs in the league to your
team. He is definitely worth the high draft pick that it will take to get him
on your team.
Downside by Chase Stuart
Last year, Torry Holt leapt from star player to superstar receiver. He had a
dominant season, posting personal single-season bests in the Triple Crown categories.
He bested his previous highs by:
- 26 receptions
- 61 receiving yards
- Five touchdowns
Obviously, that translated into his top fantasy season to date. He scored forty-two
more fantasy points than ever before, and finished as the second best WR (his
previous high was seventh, in 2000).
Simply put, I don't think it's too much of a stretch to say Torry Holt had
his career year. I don't think the Rams offense can support that type of play
on a consistent basis, and thus Holt will probably fall back to down to earth
this year. He's still my number three fantasy WR, but I don't think we'll see
a repeat of 2003. Additionally, "Big Game" Torry Holt's disappearing
act in the double-overtime playoff game last year left a sour taste in my mouth.
While Isaac Bruce was catching balls left and right, Holt made just two receptions
for 21 yards.
Holt caught over half the Rams passing touchdowns last year. That's extremely
unlikely to happen again. Here were his previous percentages:
Year
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Holt's TDs as a % of Rams Pass
TDs
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1999
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14.3
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2000
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16.2
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2001
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18.9
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2002
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16.7
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2003
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52.2
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Certainly, one of those numbers looks like it doesn't belong. Any statistician
will say that expecting Holt to repeat that anomaly is just silly. While the
declines of Isaac Bruce and Marshall Faulk have led to Holt becoming the center
of the offense-it doesn't mean Holt will be catching double-digit TDs again.
St. Louis has said they want to run the ball more, and they drafted Stephen
Jackson. I think Bruce isn't anywhere near done, so he will still catch some
balls. Basically, I expect Holt to produce like he normally does-he'll finish
in the top five in receiving yards, but will probably only have about eight
touchdowns on the year. Certainly a stud WR, but not one worth taking while
there are great RBs left on your draft board.
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