Herman - Kicker Mania

Kicker Mania - thru week 9 & looking ahead to week 10
		2004 Kicking points (top five are highlighted)						2004 Kicking ppg						2004 K defense				Week 10 matchup
TEAM	Current KICKER	stndrd total	rnk	attmpt total	rnk	bonus total	rnk	avg	rnk	home	rnk	away	rnk	ppg allow	rnk	home factor	away factor	oppnt	Kdef factor	score avg	Math Proj I	Math Proj II	this week rank
Arizona	Neil Rackers	46	22	52	25	56	16	5.8	21	9.0	5	3.8	31	7.6	26	0.83	1.44	NYG	0.42	9.0	3.8	6.7	26
notes	misses: 58T, 64SH. The Giants have been very tough on opposing kickers.
Atlanta	Jay Feely	50	19	53	22	52	22	6.3	19	5.8	25	6.8	9	5.5	7	0.95	1.00	TB	1.07	5.8	6.1	5.9	11
notes	misses: 49WL Feely had his best game of the year at Denver before last week's bye.
Baltimore	Matt Stover	56	11	59	18	62	11	7.0	10	9.8	3	4.3	29	6.6	17	1.10	0.90	@NYJ	0.47	4.3	2.0	6.8	23
notes	misses: 50WR. The Jets have given up only 2 kicking points in each of their last 3 home games.
Buffalo	Rian Lindell	45	23	51	26	46	28	5.6	22	6.6	16	4.0	30	6.6	17	0.95	0.82	@NE	0.90	4.0	3.6	6.1	27
notes	misses: 42WL, 43SH Lindell enjoyed his recent home games, but he's back on the road this week.
Carolina	John Kasay	32	32	38	32	34	32	4.0	32	4.5	30	3.5	32	8.1	29	1.08	1.05	@SF	1.03	3.5	3.6	6.1	28
notes	misses: 52WL, 46WR Kasay has been outscored by the opposing kicker in 7 of 8 games this year.
Chicago	Paul Edinger	42	27	54	21	46	28	5.3	27	5.0	27	5.5	18	7.3	25	1.46	0.90	@Ten	1.25	5.5	6.9	6.3	9
notes	misses: 27B, 45WL, 39WR, 53SH Edinger likes Krenzel too.
Cincinnati	Shayne Graham	68	3	74	3	76	3	8.5	3	11.0	1	6.0	13	6.1	12	0.90	1.10	@Was	0.93	6.0	5.6	7.3	14
notes	misses: 38WR, 44WL Graham is ranked in the top five in each category… except on the road.
Cleveland	Phil Dawson	64	6	64	9	70	6	8.0	4	7.5	13	8.5	3	7.8	27	0.94	1.31	Pit	1.23	7.5	9.2	7.9	3
notes	Cleveland is still the only team that hasn't missed a field goal all year.
Dallas	Billy Cundiff	43	25	49	29	47	24	5.4	25	6.0	21	4.8	26	8.6	32	1.35	1.07	Phi	0.77	6.0	4.6	7.0	21
notes	misses: 49RU, 52SH. "We are too stupid. We are inefficient. We are awful." - Bill Parcells
Denver	Jason Elam	67	5	73	4	76	3	7.4	7	8.0	8	6.8	9	5.8	10	0.97	0.67	BYE
notes	misses: 51SH, 49WL
Detroit	Jason Hanson	33	31	39	31	35	31	4.1	31	3.3	32	5.0	23	6.1	12	1.03	0.87	@Jac	0.89	5.0	4.4	5.1	22
notes	misses: 47WR, 48WR Low scoring kicker, on the road, against a strong defense coming off a bye.
Green bay	Ryan Longwell	54	13	60	16	60	14	6.8	13	6.3	17	7.3	7	5.3	5	1.11	0.84	Min	1.01	6.3	6.3	6.0	10
notes	misses: 45RU, 52CR Longwell has averaged 9 ppg in his last 4 games.
Houston	Kris Brown	55	12	61	13	61	12	6.9	11	8.0	8	5.8	17	5.3	5	1.00	0.77	@Ind	1.02	5.8	5.8	6.1	13
notes	misses: 57SH, 37WR Colts opponents have to play either come from behind or keep ahead.
Indianapolis	Mike Vanderjagt	51	17	60	16	53	19	6.4	17	6.8	14	6.0	13	7.8	27	1.02	1.25	Hou	0.77	6.8	5.2	7.1	18
notes	misses: Bryant 44WL; Vanderjagt 48WR, 54WL. Vanderjagt leads the League in extra points scored (33)
Jacksonville	Josh Scobee	42	27	51	26	47	24	5.3	27	4.0	31	6.0	13	6.3	14	0.89	1.00	Det	0.87	4.0	3.5	5.8	25
notes	misses: 35WR, 51WR, 49WR Scobee is last the League in extra points scored (9)
Kansas City	Lawrence Tynes	51	17	61	13	54	18	6.4	17	6.3	17	6.5	11	5.6	8	0.99	0.64	@NO	1.30	6.5	8.4	6.0	2
notes	misses: 58WR, 47WR, 42WR, one extra point Prediction: Tynes will score in double digits this week for the first time this year.
Miami	Olindo Mare	49	20	53	22	53	19	5.4	24	5.8	24	5.0	23	6.7	22	0.95	1.06	BYE
notes	misses: Mare: 46WR; B.Gramatica: one extra point
Minnesota	Morten Andersen	53	14	62	12	56	16	6.6	14	5.8	25	7.5	6	6.9	23	1.17	1.01	@GB	1.11	7.5	8.4	6.8	4
notes	misses: 44SH, 46WR, 38LU. Andersen has increased his scoring recently (except against the Giants), and the Packers have given up some kicking points at home recently (except against the Giants).
New England	Adam Vinatieri	76	1	79	2	84	2	9.5	1	8.5	7	10.5	1	5.8	9	0.90	0.71	Buf	0.82	8.5	7.0	7.6	6
notes	misses: 47WR; gravy: 4 yard TD pass Vinatieri edges past Akers for the top spot (and that's not counting his TD pass).
New Orleans	John Carney	57	10	63	10	64	10	7.1	9	6.3	17	8.0	4	8.5	31	1.30	1.26	KC	0.64	6.3	4.0	7.8	24
notes	misses: 51WL, 46LU Carney has twice as many FG attempts on the road as compared to at home.
NY Giants	Steve Christie	58	9	73	4	66	8	7.3	8	6.8	14	7.8	5	3.9	1	0.64	0.42	@Ari	0.83	7.8	6.5	5.6	8
notes	misses: 47SH, 51SH, 49WR, 30WL, 33WL. Christie has averaged 12 ppg on his last two road trips.
NY Jets	Doug Brien	53	14	59	18	59	15	6.6	14	8.0	8	5.3	20	5.0	3	0.47	1.02	Bal	0.90	8.0	7.2	5.8	17
notes	misses: 29WL, 36WL. With Quincy Carter taking the helm for injured Pennington, a downgrade for Brien would be in order. Although, when Testeverde subbed for Pennington the previous two years, the Jets kicking points went up.
Oakland	Sebastian Janikowski	61	7	67	7	67	7	6.8	12	9.0	5	5.0	23	6.6	16	1.02	0.77	BYE
notes	misses: 46WL, 35WR
Philadelphia	David Akers	75	2	84	1	89	1	9.4	2	9.3	4	9.5	2	4.9	2	0.79	0.77	@Dal	1.35	9.5	12.8	7.1	1
notes	misses: 53WL, 39WR, 45WR Akers went up against a team on a roll last week. This week is a different story.
Pittsburgh	Jeff Reed	53	14	65	8	61	12	6.6	14	7.8	11	4.7	27	7.1	24	0.83	1.23	@Cle	0.94	4.7	4.4	6.9	20
notes	misses: 48WL, 44WR, 45WL, 33WR Save Reed for those matchups against undefeated teams.
San Diego	Nate Kaeding	68	3	71	6	75	5	7.6	5	7.8	11	7.3	7	5.9	11	0.63	1.17	BYE
notes	misses: 29WL
Seattle	Josh Brown	60	8	63	10	66	8	7.5	6	10.0	2	6.0	13	6.6	17	1.43	1.22	@StL	1.29	6.0	7.7	7.1	5
notes	misses: 43WL The Rams gave up 16 kicking points at home last week (and that was NOT the first time they did so this year).
San Francisco	Todd Peterson	43	25	49	29	47	24	5.4	25	6.3	17	4.5	28	6.6	17	1.03	1.31	Car	1.05	6.3	6.6	6.0	7
notes	misses: 46CR, 50SH The Panthers have given up over 10 ppg to kickers in their last 3 road games.
St. Louis	Jeff Wilkins	42	27	51	26	47	24	5.3	27	5.0	27	5.5	18	8.1	29	1.29	1.05	Sea	1.22	5.0	6.1	6.7	12
notes	misses: 33WL, 56SH, 44WR Wilkins entered the record book last year with the second highest season total ever for a kicker. This year is a different story.
Tampa Bay	Martin Gramatica	45	23	61	13	48	23	5.6	22	6.0	21	5.3	20	6.6	17	0.87	1.07	@Atl	0.95	5.3	5.0	6.1	19
notes	misses: 44WL, 41WL, 35WL, 48WL, 46WL, one extra point Gramatica and his right hip are listed as "Questionable" on Wednesday's injury report. The Bucs signed Jay Taylor to the Practice Squad just in case.
Tennessee	Gary Anderson	49	20	55	20	53	19	6.1	20	6.0	21	6.3	12	6.3	14	1.25	1.21	Chi	0.90	6.0	5.4	6.2	16
notes	misses... Elling: 33WL; Anderson: 42B Anderson vs. Andersen for all-time scoring leader: Gary led by 87 points when the season began. Morten has gained 9 points to cut the lead to 78.
Washington	Ola Kimrin	41	30	53	22	42	30	5.1	30	5.0	27	5.3	20	5.1	4	0.93	0.99	Cin	1.10	5.0	5.5	5.1	15
notes	misses: Hall 50WR, 41RU; Kimrin 35WL, 51SH John Hall is listed as "out" on Wednesday's injury report, meaning Ola Kimrin will again handle the kicking duties again this week.

NOTES:
1.	All stats are based on Standard Scoring of 3 points for field goals and 1 point for extra points
	(except for the Bonus Total column which increases 40-49 yard FG's to 4 points, and FG's of 50 yards and over to 5 points)
2.	"Attempted" = maximum number of kicking points the team could have had if they made every kick
3.	The Kdefensive "factors" are the median by which teams allow kicking points, as compared to their opponents average scoring
	(i.e. smaller numbers under 1.0 equal better kicking defense, larger numbers over 1.0 = not so good)
4.	Weekly matchup numbers: the "Mathematical Projection I" is the "Kscoring" multiplied by the "Kdefensive Factor"
	Mathematical Projection II is simply the average of the Kicking ppg scored and the Kicking points allowed by the opponent
5.	Misses key: SH = short, WR = wide right, WL = wide left, CR = cross bar, RU = right upright, LU = left upright, B = blocked, T = tipped

1. David Akers
2. Lawrence Tynes
3. Phil Dawson
4. Morten Andersen
5. Josh Brown
6. Adam Vinatieri
7. Todd Peterson
8. Steve Christie
9. Paul Edinger
10. Ryan Longwell
11. Jay Feely
12. Jeff Wilkins
13. Kris Brown
14. Shayne Graham
15. Ola Kimrin
16. Gary Anderson
17. Doug Brien
18. Mike Vanderjagt
19. Martin Gramatica
20. Jeff Reed
21. Billy Cundiff
22. Jason Hanson
23. Matt Stover
24. John Carney
25. Josh Scobee
26. Neil Rackers
27. Rian Lindell
28. John Kasay