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Kicker Mania - thru week 12 & looking ahead to week 13 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2004 Kicking points (top five are highlighted) |
2004 Kicking ppg | 2004 K defense | Week 13 matchup | Remaining Schedule & Projections | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
TEAM | Current KICKER | stnrd total |
rnk | attmp total |
rnk | bonus total |
rnk | avg | rnk | home | rnk | away | rnk | ppg allow | rnk | home factr | away factr | oppnt | Kdef factr |
score avg |
math proj I |
math proj II |
this week rank |
week 14 |
week 15 |
week 16 |
week 17 |
rank total |
Arizona | Neil Rackers | 58 | 26 | 67 | 29 | 69 | 21 | 5.3 | 25 | 7.0 | 14 | 3.8 | 32 | 6.8 | 21 | 0.71 | 1.27 | @Det | 1.03 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 6.0 | 32 | SF | STL | @SEA | TB | 18 |
notes | misses: 58T, 64SH, 50WL The worst road kicking team goes on the road, and is starting a rookie QB. |
6.3 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 6.2 | 28.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Atlanta | Jay Feely | 64 | 20 | 73 | 22 | 66 | 23 | 5.8 | 20 | 5.8 | 21 | 5.8 | 14 | 5.2 | 5 | 0.92 | 0.92 | @TB | 0.71 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 5.5 | 24 | OAK | CAR | @NO | @SEA | 16 |
notes | misses: 49WL, 46WL, 37WR Feely scored 6 when the Buccaneers visited several weeks ago. Tampa is slightly little stingier at home. |
4.5 | 8.1 | 7.3 | 5.6 | 29.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Baltimore | Matt Stover | 73 | 12 | 76 | 19 | 82 | 10 | 6.6 | 12 | 9.0 | 3 | 4.7 | 24 | 6.5 | 19 | 0.87 | 0.93 | Cin | 0.95 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 6.6 | 3 | NYG | @IND | @PIT | MIA | 14 |
notes | misses: 50WR. Stover's best two games this year (and only double digit scores) were both at home against division foes. He welcomes the Bengals this week. |
6.4 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 7.8 | 30.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Buffalo | Rian Lindell | 66 | 19 | 72 | 24 | 67 | 22 | 6.0 | 19 | 7.7 | 9 | 4.0 | 31 | 7.1 | 26 | 0.94 | 0.89 | @Mia | 0.94 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 6.5 | 22 | CLE | @CIN | @SF | PIT | 20 |
notes | misses: 42WL, 43SH Other than the stinker at NE several weeks ago, Lindell has been a viable start recently. His favorite number appears be 8. |
11.1 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 5.3 | 28.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Carolina | John Kasay | 53 | 28 | 65 | 30 | 55 | 30 | 4.4 | 32 | 4.3 | 32 | 5.4 | 16 | 7.3 | 27 | 0.91 | 1.38 | @NO | 1.26 | 5.4 | 6.8 | 5.8 | 7 | STL | @ATL | @TB | NO | 23 |
notes | misses: Kasay 52WL, 46WR.; Chandler 38WL,
38B Jeff Chandler has been released. Kasay is listed as "probable" on Wednesday's injury report (right calf). |
5.3 | 5.0 | 3.9 | 6.1 | 27.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Chicago | Paul Edinger | 52 | 30 | 70 | 25 | 58 | 27 | 4.7 | 29 | 4.8 | 28 | 4.7 | 24 | 7.0 | 22 | 1.60 | 0.73 | Min | 1.03 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 5.9 | 28 | @JAC | HOU | @DET | GB | 31 |
notes | misses: 27B, 45WL, 39WR, 53SH, 39WL, 48WR Edinger's scoring has decreased for 4 weeks in a row. For that pattern to continue he'll have to score a big zero this week. |
3.8 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 22.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Cincinnati | Shayne Graham | 91 | 3 | 97 | 3 | 100 | 3 | 8.3 | 3 | 10.3 | 1 | 5.8 | 14 | 6.4 | 16 | 1.04 | 0.95 | @Bal | 0.87 | 5.8 | 5.0 | 7.3 | 18 | @NE | BUF | NYG | @PHI | 15 |
notes | misses: 38WR, 44WL Like we told you, the stage was set for Graham to have a huge week last week. That is not the case this week. |
4.1 | 9.2 | 7.4 | 5.0 | 30.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Cleveland | Phil Dawson | 81 | 7 | 87 | 10 | 87 | 9 | 7.4 | 7 | 5.8 | 21 | 9.2 | 2 | 8.0 | 30 | 0.99 | 1.44 | NE | 0.86 | 5.8 | 5.0 | 7.7 | 31 | @BUF | SD | @MIA | @HOU | 5 |
notes | 42WR, 34WR Interim coach; rookie QB gets his first start; and the defending champs are coming to town. |
8.6 | 5.4 | 8.6 | 9.4 | 37.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Dallas | Billy Cundiff | 53 | 28 | 65 | 30 | 57 | 28 | 4.8 | 28 | 5.0 | 27 | 4.6 | 27 | 7.5 | 29 | 0.99 | 0.88 | @Sea | 0.97 | 4.6 | 4.5 | 6.2 | 27 | NO | @PHI | WAS | @NYG | 30 |
notes | misses: 49RU, 52SH, 41WL, 52WR In 3 of his last 4 games, Cundiff has scored 3 points in each. The other game he splurged for 4 points. |
7.1 | 3.9 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 22.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Denver | Jason Elam | 83 | 4 | 92 | 5 | 93 | 4 | 7.5 | 4 | 7.7 | 9 | 7.4 | 6 | 5.5 | 6 | 0.90 | 1.02 | @SD | 0.64 | 7.4 | 4.7 | 6.5 | 12 | MIA | @KC | @TEN | IND | 10 |
notes | misses: 51SH, 49WL, 43B The Charger are giving up 5.0 kicking ppg at home for the year. Over the last 3 home games, only 3.3 ppg. |
6.7 | 6.0 | 7.9 | 9.0 | 34.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Detroit | Jason Hanson | 52 | 30 | 64 | 32 | 55 | 30 | 4.7 | 29 | 4.4 | 31 | 5.0 | 21 | 5.5 | 8 | 1.03 | 0.86 | Ari | 1.27 | 4.4 | 5.6 | 5.1 | 17 | @GB | MIN | CHI | @TEN | 28 |
notes | misses: 47WR, 48WR, 32WL, 48WL When theses two teams played last year, both kickers scored six points. |
4.7 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 5.4 | 23.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Green Bay | Ryan Longwell | 83 | 4 | 92 | 5 | 91 | 5 | 7.5 | 4 | 7.3 | 13 | 7.8 | 4 | 5.5 | 8 | 0.94 | 0.91 | @Phi | 0.86 | 7.8 | 6.7 | 6.5 | 8 | DET | JAC | @MIN | @CHI | 3 |
notes | misses: 45RU, 52CR, 49WR Longwell's last seven games: 9, 8, 11, 8, 10, 10, & 9. |
6.3 | 7.6 | 10.1 | 12.5 | 43.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Houston | Kris Brown | 71 | 13 | 86 | 12 | 79 | 12 | 6.5 | 13 | 7.7 | 9 | 5.0 | 21 | 5.6 | 10 | 1.03 | 0.91 | @NYJ | 0.50 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 26 | IND | @CHI | @JAC | CLE | 9 |
notes | misses: 57SH, 37WR, 55WL, 40WR, 41B Brown is listed as "probable" on Wednesday's injury report (left hip). |
9.0 | 8.0 | 4.1 | 11.1 | 34.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Indianapolis | Mike Vanderjagt | 74 | 10 | 87 | 10 | 76 | 15 | 6.7 | 10 | 6.8 | 16 | 6.7 | 11 | 7.0 | 22 | 0.90 | 1.17 | Ten | 1.13 | 6.8 | 7.7 | 6.9 | 5 | @HOU | BAL | SD | @DEN | 12 |
notes | misses: Bryant 44WL; Vanderjagt 48WR, 54WL,
39WL, one extra point Vanderjagt is listed as "probable" on Wednesday's injury report (groin). |
6.8 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.0 | 33.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Jacksonville | Josh Scobee | 64 | 20 | 76 | 19 | 71 | 19 | 5.8 | 20 | 4.8 | 28 | 6.7 | 11 | 6.2 | 14 | 0.81 | 1.04 | Pit | 0.69 | 4.8 | 3.3 | 6.0 | 30 | CHI | @GB | HOU | @OAK | 27 |
notes | misses: 35WR, 51WR, 49WR, 44WR The 28th ranked home kicker vs. the 2nd stingiest road K defense factor |
3.5 | 6.3 | 4.4 | 6.3 | 23.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Kansas City | Lawrence Tynes | 71 | 13 | 82 | 14 | 76 | 15 | 6.5 | 13 | 6.2 | 19 | 6.8 | 10 | 6.6 | 20 | 0.82 | 0.69 | @Oak | 0.95 | 6.8 | 6.4 | 6.5 | 10 | @TEN | DEN | OAK | @SD | 17 |
notes | misses: 58WR, 47WR, 42WR, two extra
points Tynes missed his second extra point of the year last week. Vermeil indicated there would be dire consequences if there is a third miss. |
7.3 | 6.3 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 29.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Miami | Olindo Mare | 60 | 24 | 70 | 25 | 66 | 23 | 5.5 | 23 | 5.8 | 23 | 5.2 | 20 | 6.5 | 18 | 0.94 | 0.87 | Buf | 0.89 | 5.8 | 5.2 | 6.0 | 23 | @DEN | NE | CLE | @BAL | 21 |
notes | misses: Mare: 46WR, 34WL, 22WL; B.Gramatica:
one extra point. Mare is listed as "probable" on Wednesday's injury report (right calf). |
4.7 | 5.0 | 8.4 | 4.5 | 27.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Minnesota | Morten Andersen | 71 | 13 | 80 | 15 | 74 | 17 | 6.5 | 13 | 5.7 | 26 | 7.4 | 6 | 7.3 | 27 | 1.29 | 1.03 | @Chi | 1.60 | 7.4 | 11.8 | 6.9 | 1 | SEA | @DET | GB | @WAS | 4 |
notes | misses: 44SH, 46WR, 38LU Every kicker that has visited Chicago so far this year has scored well above their road average. |
7.3 | 7.6 | 5.2 | 7.1 | 39.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
New England | Adam Vinatieri | 112 | 1 | 115 | 1 | 123 | 1 | 10.2 | 1 | 10.2 | 2 | 10.2 | 1 | 5.1 | 4 | 0.71 | 0.86 | @Cle | 0.99 | 10.2 | 10.1 | 7.6 | 2 | CIN | @MIA | @NYJ | SF | 2 |
notes | misses: 47WR;
gravy: 4 yard TD pass The top kicker vs. the very generous Browns. |
9.6 | 9.6 | 5.1 | 9.1 | 43.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
New Orleans | John Carney | 80 | 9 | 89 | 7 | 88 | 8 | 7.3 | 9 | 6.8 | 15 | 7.8 | 4 | 8.4 | 31 | 1.26 | 1.41 | Car | 1.38 | 6.8 | 9.5 | 7.8 | 9 | @DAL | @TB | ATL | @CAR | 7 |
notes | misses: 51WL, 46LU, 37B After scoring one extreme or the other early in the year, Carney has settled into consistently scoring right around 7 ppg for the last six weeks. |
7.7 | 5.6 | 6.3 | 7.1 | 36.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
NY Giants | Steve Christie | 70 | 16 | 88 | 9 | 78 | 13 | 6.4 | 16 | 6.2 | 19 | 6.6 | 13 | 4.3 | 1 | 0.62 | 0.71 | @Was | 0.96 | 6.6 | 6.3 | 5.3 | 21 | @BAL | PIT | @CIN | DAL | 19 |
notes | misses: 47SH, 51SH, 49WR, 30WL, 33WL, 44B Christie is fading along with the rest of the team. |
5.7 | 4.2 | 6.8 | 5.4 | 28.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
NY Jets | Doug Brien | 69 | 17 | 78 | 17 | 77 | 14 | 6.3 | 17 | 7.4 | 12 | 5.3 | 17 | 4.7 | 2 | 0.50 | 0.60 | Hou | 0.91 | 7.4 | 6.7 | 5.5 | 13 | @PIT | SEA | NE | @STL | 8 |
notes | misses: 29WL, 36WL, 43B Looks like another middle of the pack week for Brien. |
4.4 | 9.5 | 6.3 | 8.4 | 35.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Oakland | Sebastian Janikowsk | 67 | 18 | 77 | 18 | 73 | 18 | 6.1 | 18 | 8.2 | 4 | 4.3 | 28 | 6.4 | 16 | 0.95 | 0.78 | KC | 0.69 | 8.2 | 5.7 | 6.2 | 14 | @ATL | TEN | @KC | JAC | 13 |
notes | misses: 46WL, 35WR, 48WR, one extra point The Chiefs have given up 9, 9, &10 kicking points in their last 3 games. |
4.0 | 9.2 | 3.5 | 8.5 | 30.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Philadelphia | David Akers | 95 | 2 | 104 | 2 | 111 | 2 | 8.6 | 2 | 8.2 | 4 | 9.0 | 3 | 4.9 | 3 | 0.86 | 0.80 | GB | 0.91 | 8.2 | 7.5 | 6.8 | 6 | @WAS | DAL | @STL | CIN | 1 |
notes | misses: 53WL, 39WR, 45WR Akers had a string of 4 double-digit games in row early in the year, but none since. He'll probably come close this week… but not quite. |
8.6 | 7.2 | 14.1 | 7.8 | 45.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Pittsburgh | Jeff Reed | 74 | 10 | 89 | 7 | 82 | 10 | 6.7 | 10 | 8.2 | 6 | 5.0 | 21 | 5.8 | 12 | 0.82 | 0.69 | @Jac | 0.81 | 5.0 | 4.1 | 6.3 | 25 | NYJ | @NYG | BAL | @BUF | 25 |
notes | misses: 48WL, 44WR, 45WL, 33WR, 24WR Reed is hitting 90.9% on FG's at home in trick Heinz Field, but only 55.6% on the road. |
4.9 | 3.1 | 7.6 | 4.7 | 24.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
San Diego | Nate Kaeding | 83 | 4 | 96 | 4 | 91 | 5 | 7.5 | 4 | 7.8 | 7 | 7.3 | 8 | 5.7 | 11 | 0.64 | 0.93 | Den | 1.02 | 7.8 | 8.0 | 6.6 | 4 | TB | @CLE | @IND | KC | 11 |
notes | misses: 29WL, 42WL, 29WL, 52SH, one extra
point After being near perfect for most of the year, Kaeding has missed 3 FG's and an extra point in the last 2 weeks. |
6.9 | 7.2 | 6.6 | 5.4 | 34.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Seattle | Josh Brown | 81 | 7 | 84 | 13 | 89 | 7 | 7.4 | 7 | 7.8 | 7 | 7.0 | 9 | 7.0 | 22 | 0.97 | 1.28 | Dal | 0.88 | 7.8 | 6.9 | 7.2 | 11 | @MIN | @NYJ | ARI | ATL | 6 |
notes | misses: 43WL Seattle is 1 of 3 teams with just one missed FG (Baltimore and New England are the other two). |
9.1 | 3.5 | 9.9 | 7.2 | 36.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
San Fran | Todd Peterson | 60 | 24 | 69 | 28 | 66 | 23 | 5.5 | 23 | 6.5 | 17 | 4.2 | 29 | 7.0 | 22 | 1.08 | 0.90 | @StL | 1.57 | 4.2 | 6.6 | 6.2 | 20 | @ARI | WAS | BUF | @NE | 26 |
notes | misses: 46CR, 50SH, 50SH. This is probably Peterson's best remaining chance this year to avoid being at the bottom of the weekly rankings. The Rams have given up the most kicking points in the league. | 3.0 | 5.7 | 5.8 | 3.0 | 24.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
St. Louis | Jeff Wilkins | 63 | 22 | 75 | 21 | 70 | 20 | 5.7 | 22 | 6.2 | 18 | 5.3 | 17 | 9.0 | 32 | 1.57 | 1.22 | SF | 0.90 | 6.2 | 5.6 | 7.4 | 15 | @CAR | @ARI | PHI | NYJ | 29 |
notes | misses: 33WL, 56SH, 44WR, 42WL In case you missed it, Wilkins surpassed the 1000 career points mark earlier this year (he currently has 1044). |
4.8 | 3.8 | 5.0 | 3.7 | 22.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Tampa Bay | Jay Taylor | 54 | 27 | 79 | 16 | 57 | 28 | 4.9 | 27 | 5.8 | 23 | 4.2 | 30 | 5.9 | 13 | 0.71 | 0.88 | Atl | 0.92 | 5.8 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 16 | @SD | NO | CAR | @ARI | 22 |
notes | misses: M.Gramatica 44WL, 41WL, 35WL, 48WL, 46WL, 39WL, 26B, 37WL, one extra point. Gramatica, who appeared traumatized ever since the Carolina game last year, was released after the debacle in Carolina this past weekend. Former AFL Orlando Predators kicker Jay Taylor takes over. | 2.7 | 8.2 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 27.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Tennessee | Gary Anderson | 61 | 23 | 73 | 22 | 66 | 23 | 5.1 | 26 | 5.8 | 23 | 5.3 | 17 | 6.3 | 15 | 1.07 | 1.13 | @Ind | 0.90 | 5.3 | 4.8 | 5.7 | 19 | KC | @OAK | DEN | DET | 24 |
notes | misses... Elling: 33WL; Anderson: 42B;
Hentrich: 58WR, 52B Anderson vs. Andersen for all-time scoring leader: Gary led by 87 points when the season began. Morten has gained 15 points to cut the lead to 72. |
4.0 | 5.0 | 5.9 | 5.0 | 24.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Washington | John Hall | 52 | 30 | 70 | 25 | 53 | 32 | 4.7 | 29 | 4.8 | 28 | 4.7 | 24 | 5.5 | 6 | 0.96 | 0.88 | NYG | 0.71 | 4.8 | 3.4 | 5.1 | 29 | PHI | @SF | @DAL | MIN | 32 |
notes | misses: Hall 50WR, 41RU; Kimrin 35WL, 51SH,
47WL, 48WR Washington averages 4.8 kicking ppg at home, while the Giants only give up 3.6 on the road. |
3.8 | 5.1 | 4.6 | 4.9 | 21.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
NOTES: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1. | All stats are based on Standard Scoring of 3 points for field goals and 1 point for extra points | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(except for the Bonus Total column which increases 40-49 yard FG's to 4 points, and FG's of 50 yards and over to 5 points) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2. | "Attempted" = maximum number of kicking points the team could have had if they made every kick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3. | The Kdefensive "factors" are the median by which teams allow kicking points, as compared to their opponents average scoring | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(i.e. smaller numbers under 1.0 equal better kicking defense, larger numbers over 1.0 = not so good) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4. | Weekly matchup numbers: the "Mathematical Projection I" is the "Kscoring" multiplied by the "Kdefensive Factor" | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mathematical Projection II is simply the average of the Kicking ppg scored and the Kicking points allowed by the opponent | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5. | Misses key: SH = short, WR = wide right, WL = wide left, CR = cross bar, RU = right upright, LU = left upright, B = blocked, T = tipped |
Mike Herman's Weekly Kicker Rankings ***
1. Morten Andersen
2. Adam Vinatieri
3. Matt Stover
4. Nate Kaeding
5. Mike Vanderjagt
6. David Akers
7. John Kasay
8. Ryan Longwell
9. John Carney
10. Lawrence Tynes
11. Josh Brown
12. Jason Elam
13. Doug Brien
14. Sebastian Janikowski
15. Jeff Wilkins
16. Jay Taylor
17. Jason Hanson
18. Shayne Graham
19. Gary Anderson
20. Todd Peterson
21. Steve Christie
22. Rian Lindell
23. Olindo Mare
24. Jay Feely
25. Jeff Reed
26. Kris Brown
27. Billy Cundiff
28. Paul Edinger
29. John Hall
30. Josh Scobee
31. Phil Dawson
32. Neil Rackers
*** Note: These rankings differ from the official Footballguys.com rankings
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