Herman - Kicker Mania

Kicker Mania - thru week 12 & looking ahead to week 13
		2004 Kicking points (top five are highlighted)						2004 Kicking ppg						2004 K defense				Week 13 matchup						Remaining Schedule & Projections
TEAM	Current KICKER	stnrd total	rnk	attmp total	rnk	bonus total	rnk	avg	rnk	home	rnk	away	rnk	ppg allow	rnk	home factr	away factr	oppnt	Kdef factr	score avg	math proj I	math proj II	this week rank	week 14	week 15	week 16	week 17	rank total
Arizona	Neil Rackers	58	26	67	29	69	21	5.3	25	7.0	14	3.8	32	6.8	21	0.71	1.27	@Det	1.03	3.8	3.9	6.0	32	SF	STL	@SEA	TB	18
notes	misses: 58T, 64SH, 50WL The worst road kicking team goes on the road, and is starting a rookie QB.																							6.3	8.5	3.7	6.2	28.6
Atlanta	Jay Feely	64	20	73	22	66	23	5.8	20	5.8	21	5.8	14	5.2	5	0.92	0.92	@TB	0.71	5.8	4.1	5.5	24	OAK	CAR	@NO	@SEA	16
notes	misses: 49WL, 46WL, 37WR Feely scored 6 when the Buccaneers visited several weeks ago. Tampa is slightly little stingier at home.																							4.5	8.1	7.3	5.6	29.7
Baltimore	Matt Stover	73	12	76	19	82	10	6.6	12	9.0	3	4.7	24	6.5	19	0.87	0.93	Cin	0.95	9.0	8.5	6.6	3	NYG	@IND	@PIT	MIA	14
notes	misses: 50WR. Stover's best two games this year (and only double digit scores) were both at home against division foes. He welcomes the Bengals this week.																							6.4	4.2	3.8	7.8	30.8
Buffalo	Rian Lindell	66	19	72	24	67	22	6.0	19	7.7	9	4.0	31	7.1	26	0.94	0.89	@Mia	0.94	4.0	3.8	6.5	22	CLE	@CIN	@SF	PIT	20
notes	misses: 42WL, 43SH Other than the stinker at NE several weeks ago, Lindell has been a viable start recently. His favorite number appears be 8.																							11.1	4.1	4.3	5.3	28.6
Carolina	John Kasay	53	28	65	30	55	30	4.4	32	4.3	32	5.4	16	7.3	27	0.91	1.38	@NO	1.26	5.4	6.8	5.8	7	STL	@ATL	@TB	NO	23
notes	misses: Kasay 52WL, 46WR.; Chandler 38WL, 38B Jeff Chandler has been released. Kasay is listed as "probable" on Wednesday's injury report (right calf).																							5.3	5.0	3.9	6.1	27.0
Chicago	Paul Edinger	52	30	70	25	58	27	4.7	29	4.8	28	4.7	24	7.0	22	1.60	0.73	Min	1.03	4.8	4.9	5.9	28	@JAC	HOU	@DET	GB	31
notes	misses: 27B, 45WL, 39WR, 53SH, 39WL, 48WR Edinger's scoring has decreased for 4 weeks in a row. For that pattern to continue he'll have to score a big zero this week.																							3.8	4.4	4.8	4.4	22.2
Cincinnati	Shayne Graham	91	3	97	3	100	3	8.3	3	10.3	1	5.8	14	6.4	16	1.04	0.95	@Bal	0.87	5.8	5.0	7.3	18	@NE	BUF	NYG	@PHI	15
notes	misses: 38WR, 44WL Like we told you, the stage was set for Graham to have a huge week last week. That is not the case this week.																							4.1	9.2	7.4	5.0	30.7
Cleveland	Phil Dawson	81	7	87	10	87	9	7.4	7	5.8	21	9.2	2	8.0	30	0.99	1.44	NE	0.86	5.8	5.0	7.7	31	@BUF	SD	@MIA	@HOU	5
notes	42WR, 34WR Interim coach; rookie QB gets his first start; and the defending champs are coming to town.																							8.6	5.4	8.6	9.4	37.1
Dallas	Billy Cundiff	53	28	65	30	57	28	4.8	28	5.0	27	4.6	27	7.5	29	0.99	0.88	@Sea	0.97	4.6	4.5	6.2	27	NO	@PHI	WAS	@NYG	30
notes	misses: 49RU, 52SH, 41WL, 52WR In 3 of his last 4 games, Cundiff has scored 3 points in each. The other game he splurged for 4 points.																							7.1	3.9	4.4	2.8	22.7
Denver	Jason Elam	83	4	92	5	93	4	7.5	4	7.7	9	7.4	6	5.5	6	0.90	1.02	@SD	0.64	7.4	4.7	6.5	12	MIA	@KC	@TEN	IND	10
notes	misses: 51SH, 49WL, 43B The Charger are giving up 5.0 kicking ppg at home for the year. Over the last 3 home games, only 3.3 ppg.																							6.7	6.0	7.9	9.0	34.4
Detroit	Jason Hanson	52	30	64	32	55	30	4.7	29	4.4	31	5.0	21	5.5	8	1.03	0.86	Ari	1.27	4.4	5.6	5.1	17	@GB	MIN	CHI	@TEN	28
notes	misses: 47WR, 48WR, 32WL, 48WL When theses two teams played last year, both kickers scored six points.																							4.7	4.5	3.2	5.4	23.4
Green Bay	Ryan Longwell	83	4	92	5	91	5	7.5	4	7.3	13	7.8	4	5.5	8	0.94	0.91	@Phi	0.86	7.8	6.7	6.5	8	DET	JAC	@MIN	@CHI	3
notes	misses: 45RU, 52CR, 49WR Longwell's last seven games: 9, 8, 11, 8, 10, 10, & 9.																							6.3	7.6	10.1	12.5	43.2
Houston	Kris Brown	71	13	86	12	79	12	6.5	13	7.7	9	5.0	21	5.6	10	1.03	0.91	@NYJ	0.50	5.0	2.5	6.0	26	IND	@CHI	@JAC	CLE	9
notes	misses: 57SH, 37WR, 55WL, 40WR, 41B Brown is listed as "probable" on Wednesday's injury report (left hip).																							9.0	8.0	4.1	11.1	34.6
Indianapolis	Mike Vanderjagt	74	10	87	10	76	15	6.7	10	6.8	16	6.7	11	7.0	22	0.90	1.17	Ten	1.13	6.8	7.7	6.9	5	@HOU	BAL	SD	@DEN	12
notes	misses: Bryant 44WL; Vanderjagt 48WR, 54WL, 39WL, one extra point Vanderjagt is listed as "probable" on Wednesday's injury report (groin).																							6.8	6.3	6.3	6.0	33.1
Jacksonville	Josh Scobee	64	20	76	19	71	19	5.8	20	4.8	28	6.7	11	6.2	14	0.81	1.04	Pit	0.69	4.8	3.3	6.0	30	CHI	@GB	HOU	@OAK	27
notes	misses: 35WR, 51WR, 49WR, 44WR The 28th ranked home kicker vs. the 2nd stingiest road K defense factor																							3.5	6.3	4.4	6.3	23.7
Kansas City	Lawrence Tynes	71	13	82	14	76	15	6.5	13	6.2	19	6.8	10	6.6	20	0.82	0.69	@Oak	0.95	6.8	6.4	6.5	10	@TEN	DEN	OAK	@SD	17
notes	misses: 58WR, 47WR, 42WR, two extra points Tynes missed his second extra point of the year last week. Vermeil indicated there would be dire consequences if there is a third miss.																							7.3	6.3	4.8	4.4	29.2
Miami	Olindo Mare	60	24	70	25	66	23	5.5	23	5.8	23	5.2	20	6.5	18	0.94	0.87	Buf	0.89	5.8	5.2	6.0	23	@DEN	NE	CLE	@BAL	21
notes	misses: Mare: 46WR, 34WL, 22WL; B.Gramatica: one extra point. Mare is listed as "probable" on Wednesday's injury report (right calf).																							4.7	5.0	8.4	4.5	27.7
Minnesota	Morten Andersen	71	13	80	15	74	17	6.5	13	5.7	26	7.4	6	7.3	27	1.29	1.03	@Chi	1.60	7.4	11.8	6.9	1	SEA	@DET	GB	@WAS	4
notes	misses: 44SH, 46WR, 38LU Every kicker that has visited Chicago so far this year has scored well above their road average.																							7.3	7.6	5.2	7.1	39.0
New England	Adam Vinatieri	112	1	115	1	123	1	10.2	1	10.2	2	10.2	1	5.1	4	0.71	0.86	@Cle	0.99	10.2	10.1	7.6	2	CIN	@MIA	@NYJ	SF	2
notes	misses: 47WR; gravy: 4 yard TD pass The top kicker vs. the very generous Browns.																							9.6	9.6	5.1	9.1	43.5
New Orleans	John Carney	80	9	89	7	88	8	7.3	9	6.8	15	7.8	4	8.4	31	1.26	1.41	Car	1.38	6.8	9.5	7.8	9	@DAL	@TB	ATL	@CAR	7
notes	misses: 51WL, 46LU, 37B After scoring one extreme or the other early in the year, Carney has settled into consistently scoring right around 7 ppg for the last six weeks.																							7.7	5.6	6.3	7.1	36.1
NY Giants	Steve Christie	70	16	88	9	78	13	6.4	16	6.2	19	6.6	13	4.3	1	0.62	0.71	@Was	0.96	6.6	6.3	5.3	21	@BAL	PIT	@CIN	DAL	19
notes	misses: 47SH, 51SH, 49WR, 30WL, 33WL, 44B Christie is fading along with the rest of the team.																							5.7	4.2	6.8	5.4	28.6
NY Jets	Doug Brien	69	17	78	17	77	14	6.3	17	7.4	12	5.3	17	4.7	2	0.50	0.60	Hou	0.91	7.4	6.7	5.5	13	@PIT	SEA	NE	@STL	8
notes	misses: 29WL, 36WL, 43B Looks like another middle of the pack week for Brien.																							4.4	9.5	6.3	8.4	35.3
Oakland	Sebastian Janikowski	67	18	77	18	73	18	6.1	18	8.2	4	4.3	28	6.4	16	0.95	0.78	KC	0.69	8.2	5.7	6.2	14	@ATL	TEN	@KC	JAC	13
notes	misses: 46WL, 35WR, 48WR, one extra point The Chiefs have given up 9, 9, &10 kicking points in their last 3 games.																							4.0	9.2	3.5	8.5	30.9
Philadelphia	David Akers	95	2	104	2	111	2	8.6	2	8.2	4	9.0	3	4.9	3	0.86	0.80	GB	0.91	8.2	7.5	6.8	6	@WAS	DAL	@STL	CIN	1
notes	misses: 53WL, 39WR, 45WR Akers had a string of 4 double-digit games in row early in the year, but none since. He'll probably come close this week… but not quite.																							8.6	7.2	14.1	7.8	45.2
Pittsburgh	Jeff Reed	74	10	89	7	82	10	6.7	10	8.2	6	5.0	21	5.8	12	0.82	0.69	@Jac	0.81	5.0	4.1	6.3	25	NYJ	@NYG	BAL	@BUF	25
notes	misses: 48WL, 44WR, 45WL, 33WR, 24WR Reed is hitting 90.9% on FG's at home in trick Heinz Field, but only 55.6% on the road.																							4.9	3.1	7.6	4.7	24.3
San Diego	Nate Kaeding	83	4	96	4	91	5	7.5	4	7.8	7	7.3	8	5.7	11	0.64	0.93	Den	1.02	7.8	8.0	6.6	4	TB	@CLE	@IND	KC	11
notes	misses: 29WL, 42WL, 29WL, 52SH, one extra point After being near perfect for most of the year, Kaeding has missed 3 FG's and an extra point in the last 2 weeks.																							6.9	7.2	6.6	5.4	34.1
Seattle	Josh Brown	81	7	84	13	89	7	7.4	7	7.8	7	7.0	9	7.0	22	0.97	1.28	Dal	0.88	7.8	6.9	7.2	11	@MIN	@NYJ	ARI	ATL	6
notes	misses: 43WL Seattle is 1 of 3 teams with just one missed FG (Baltimore and New England are the other two).																							9.1	3.5	9.9	7.2	36.5
San Fran	Todd Peterson	60	24	69	28	66	23	5.5	23	6.5	17	4.2	29	7.0	22	1.08	0.90	@StL	1.57	4.2	6.6	6.2	20	@ARI	WAS	BUF	@NE	26
notes	misses: 46CR, 50SH, 50SH. This is probably Peterson's best remaining chance this year to avoid being at the bottom of the weekly rankings. The Rams have given up the most kicking points in the league.																							3.0	5.7	5.8	3.0	24.1
St. Louis	Jeff Wilkins	63	22	75	21	70	20	5.7	22	6.2	18	5.3	17	9.0	32	1.57	1.22	SF	0.90	6.2	5.6	7.4	15	@CAR	@ARI	PHI	NYJ	29
notes	misses: 33WL, 56SH, 44WR, 42WL In case you missed it, Wilkins surpassed the 1000 career points mark earlier this year (he currently has 1044).																							4.8	3.8	5.0	3.7	22.9
Tampa Bay	Jay Taylor	54	27	79	16	57	28	4.9	27	5.8	23	4.2	30	5.9	13	0.71	0.88	Atl	0.92	5.8	5.4	5.4	16	@SD	NO	CAR	@ARI	22
notes	misses: M.Gramatica 44WL, 41WL, 35WL, 48WL, 46WL, 39WL, 26B, 37WL, one extra point. Gramatica, who appeared traumatized ever since the Carolina game last year, was released after the debacle in Carolina this past weekend. Former AFL Orlando Predators kicker Jay Taylor takes over.																							2.7	8.2	8.0	3.0	27.2
Tennessee	Gary Anderson	61	23	73	22	66	23	5.1	26	5.8	23	5.3	17	6.3	15	1.07	1.13	@Ind	0.90	5.3	4.8	5.7	19	KC	@OAK	DEN	DET	24
notes	misses... Elling: 33WL; Anderson: 42B; Hentrich: 58WR, 52B Anderson vs. Andersen for all-time scoring leader: Gary led by 87 points when the season began. Morten has gained 15 points to cut the lead to 72.																							4.0	5.0	5.9	5.0	24.8
Washington	John Hall	52	30	70	25	53	32	4.7	29	4.8	28	4.7	24	5.5	6	0.96	0.88	NYG	0.71	4.8	3.4	5.1	29	PHI	@SF	@DAL	MIN	32
notes	misses: Hall 50WR, 41RU; Kimrin 35WL, 51SH, 47WL, 48WR Washington averages 4.8 kicking ppg at home, while the Giants only give up 3.6 on the road.																							3.8	5.1	4.6	4.9	21.9

NOTES:
1.	All stats are based on Standard Scoring of 3 points for field goals and 1 point for extra points
	(except for the Bonus Total column which increases 40-49 yard FG's to 4 points, and FG's of 50 yards and over to 5 points)
2.	"Attempted" = maximum number of kicking points the team could have had if they made every kick
3.	The Kdefensive "factors" are the median by which teams allow kicking points, as compared to their opponents average scoring
	(i.e. smaller numbers under 1.0 equal better kicking defense, larger numbers over 1.0 = not so good)
4.	Weekly matchup numbers: the "Mathematical Projection I" is the "Kscoring" multiplied by the "Kdefensive Factor"
	Mathematical Projection II is simply the average of the Kicking ppg scored and the Kicking points allowed by the opponent
5.	Misses key: SH = short, WR = wide right, WL = wide left, CR = cross bar, RU = right upright, LU = left upright, B = blocked, T = tipped

1. Morten Andersen
2. Adam Vinatieri
3. Matt Stover
4. Nate Kaeding
5. Mike Vanderjagt
6. David Akers
7. John Kasay
8. Ryan Longwell
9. John Carney
10. Lawrence Tynes
11. Josh Brown
12. Jason Elam
13. Doug Brien
14. Sebastian Janikowski
15. Jeff Wilkins
16. Jay Taylor
17. Jason Hanson
18. Shayne Graham
19. Gary Anderson
20. Todd Peterson
21. Steve Christie
22. Rian Lindell
23. Olindo Mare
24. Jay Feely
25. Jeff Reed
26. Kris Brown
27. Billy Cundiff
28. Paul Edinger
29. John Hall
30. Josh Scobee
31. Phil Dawson
32. Neil Rackers