Herman - Kicker Mania

Kicker Mania - thru week 13 & looking ahead to week 14
		2004 Kicking points (top five are highlighted)						2004 Kicking ppg						2004 K defense				Week 14 matchup						Schedule & Projections
TEAM	Current KICKER	stnrd total	rnk	attmp total	rnk	bonus total	rnk	avg	rnk	home	rnk	away	rnk	ppg allow	rnk	home factr	away factr	oppnt	Kdef factr	score avg	math proj I	math proj II	this week rank	week 15	week 16	week 17	rank total
Arizona	Neil Rackers	64	28	73	31	76	21	5.3	27	7.0	15	4.1	32	7.4	27	0.71	1.32	SF	1.19	7.0	8.3	6.4	9	STL	@SEA	TB	8
notes	misses: 58T, 64SH, 50WL. Rackers begins a two game homestand, featuring visits from the 26th and 31st ranked teams for allowing kicking points. The NFC West gives up lots of kicking points!																							8.5	5.5	6.4	28.7
Atlanta	Jay Feely	64	28	73	31	66	30	5.3	27	5.8	23	4.8	23	5.5	7	0.92	1.00	Oak	0.77	5.8	4.5	5.4	22	CAR	@NO	@SEA	16
notes	misses: 49WL, 46WL, 37WR. Feely and the Falcons were skunked by Tampa last week. This week Feely could match SF's Todd Peterson, who had back-to-back zero point efforts earlier in the year. However, odds are that he'll get on the board this week.																							6.7	6.9	6.4	24.5
Baltimore	Matt Stover	87	9	90	13	97	6	7.3	9	9.8	3	4.7	24	6.8	18	0.99	0.90	NYG	0.72	9.8	7.1	7.0	7	@IND	@PIT	MIA	18
notes	misses: 50WR During the first half of the year, the Giants were the toughest team in the league against kickers... but they're slipping.																							4.8	3.8	8.6	24.3
Buffalo	Rian Lindell	72	20	81	24	73	24	6.0	19	7.7	10	4.3	28	7.0	22	0.94	0.93	Cle	1.32	7.7	10.1	6.5	2	@CIN	@SF	PIT	12
notes	misses: 42WL, 43SH, 38WL Lindell and the Bills have been scoring some points lately. The Browns have given up double-digit points to opposing kickers in their last three road games.																							4.5	4.5	7.7	26.8
Carolina	John Kasay	73	17	85	20	78	20	5.6	22	4.3	32	7.8	4	6.9	20	0.89	1.14	StL	1.21	4.3	5.3	6.3	12	@ATL	@TB	NO	20
notes	misses: Kasay 52WL, 46WR.; Chandler 38WL, 38B. Kasay returned last week after having missed several games due to injury. In a stunning display of kicking and on-field coaching, he took charge of the game and of the Panthers.																							7.2	4.8	6.1	23.4
Chicago	Paul Edinger	58	32	79	25	66	30	4.8	32	5.0	30	4.7	24	6.6	16	1.53	0.73	@Jac	0.88	4.7	4.1	5.7	31	HOU	@DET	GB	32
notes	misses: 27B, 45WL, 39WR, 53SH, 39WL, 48WR, 52SH Kicking points allowed by the Jags in their last four home games: 4, 5, 4, & 5.																							3.9	5.0	3.9	17.0
Cincinnati	Shayne Graham	100	3	109	3	110	3	8.3	3	10.3	1	6.3	14	7.0	22	1.04	1.15	@NE	0.71	6.3	4.5	7.7	26	BUF	NYG	@PHI	11
notes	misses: 38WR, 44WL, 53SH Graham has his second tough road trip in a row (although he fared better than anticipated in Baltimore last week).																							9.7	7.4	5.5	27.1
Cleveland	Phil Dawson	82	11	88	16	88	12	6.8	11	5.1	29	9.2	2	7.8	30	0.79	1.32	@Buf	0.94	9.2	8.6	7.3	14	SD	@MIA	@HOU	4
notes	42WR, 34WR Dawson is at the top of the list of kickers who have fared much better on the road as compared to at home.																							4.8	10.7	9.4	33.5
Dallas	Billy Cundiff	66	24	78	26	72	27	5.5	23	5.0	30	6.0	15	7.5	28	0.99	0.90	NO	1.40	5.0	7.0	6.5	11	@PHI	WAS	@NYG	27
notes	misses: 49RU, 52SH, 41WL, 52WR The Saints have overtaken the Rams as the team that gives up the most kicking points.																							5.2	4.4	3.7	20.4
Denver	Jason Elam	88	6	100	6	98	5	7.3	6	7.7	10	7.0	9	5.7	9	0.73	1.04	Mia	0.88	7.7	6.7	6.5	16	@KC	@TEN	IND	7
notes	misses: 51SH, 49WL, 43B, 43WL Elam started off strong the first third of the season, but has been average since then.																							6.2	7.5	9.0	29.4
Detroit	Jason Hanson	66	24	78	26	70	28	5.5	23	6.0	22	5.0	21	5.6	8	1.08	0.78	@GB	1.01	5.0	5.0	5.5	18	MIN	CHI	@TEN	25
notes	misses: 47WR, 48WR, 32WL, 48WL Hanson had his only double-digit game of the year week vs. Arizona. When he faced the Packers earlier in the year he scored 4.																							6.1	4.4	5.4	20.9
Green Bay	Ryan Longwell	88	6	97	7	97	6	7.3	6	7.3	14	7.3	6	6.5	15	1.01	0.79	Det	0.78	7.3	5.7	6.9	15	JAC	@MIN	@CHI	3
notes	misses: 45RU, 52CR, 49WR The Lions when on the road have held opposing kickers to 4.5 ppg.																							7.6	9.2	11.2	33.7
Houston	Kris Brown	72	20	87	18	80	18	6.0	19	7.7	10	4.3	28	6.1	11	1.03	0.77	Ind	1.17	7.7	9.0	6.0	8	@CHI	@JAC	CLE	6
notes	misses: 57SH, 37WR, 55WL, 40WR, 41B Brown scored only 2 points at Indianapolis several weeks ago. He should do better at home this week.																							6.6	3.8	10.1	29.6
Indianapolis	Mike Vanderjagt	89	5	102	5	92	9	7.4	5	8.2	6	6.7	11	6.9	20	1.03	1.17	@Hou	1.03	6.7	6.8	7.2	5	BAL	SD	@DEN	14
notes	misses: Bryant 44WL; Vanderjagt 48WR, 54WL, 39WL, one extra point Recently signed Martin Gramatica will be the fifth person to handle kickoffs for the Colts this year. Don't worry, Vanderjagt is still the placekicker.																							7.4	7.6	4.9	26.6
Jacksonville	Josh Scobee	74	16	92	9	81	17	6.2	16	5.7	26	6.7	11	6.1	11	0.88	1.04	Chi	0.73	5.7	4.1	6.1	21	@GB	HOU	@OAK	23
notes	misses: 35WR, 51WR, 49WR, 44WR, 32WR, 60WR Over the last six weeks, Scobee has been averaging 3 FG attempts per game.																							6.7	4.4	6.4	21.7
Kansas City	Lawrence Tynes	81	12	92	9	86	14	6.8	12	6.2	20	7.3	6	6.8	19	0.89	0.86	@Ten	1.07	7.3	7.9	6.8	4	DEN	OAK	@SD	19
notes	misses: 58WR, 47WR, 42WR, two extra points Tynes had his first double-digit score last week. The Titans allowed their first double-digit score to a kicker last week.																							6.4	4.8	5.0	24.0
Miami	Olindo Mare	66	24	76	29	73	24	5.5	23	5.8	23	5.2	20	6.4	14	1.16	0.88	@Den	0.73	5.2	3.8	6.0	28	NE	CLE	@BAL	24
notes	misses: Mare: 46WR, 34WL, 22WL; B.Gramatica: one extra point. In their last two home games, the Broncos held both kickers to one point each.																							4.4	7.7	5.1	21.0
Minnesota	Morten Andersen	73	17	85	20	76	21	6.1	17	5.7	26	6.5	13	7.2	25	1.25	1.02	Sea	1.28	5.7	7.3	6.6	10	@DET	GB	@WAS	17
notes	misses: 44SH, 46WR, 38LU, 38WR The Seahawks are giving up over 10 ppg to kickers in their last four road games.																							7.0	4.5	5.7	24.5
New England	Adam Vinatieri	118	1	121	1	129	2	9.8	1	10.2	2	9.5	1	4.8	3	0.71	0.75	Cin	1.15	10.2	11.7	7.3	1	@MIA	@NYJ	SF	2
notes	misses: 47WR; gravy: 4 yard TD pass Vinatieri needs to average 9.4 ppg for the remainder of the season to break Gary Anderson's single season record.																							11.0	4.3	12.1	39.1
New Orleans	John Carney	83	10	92	9	91	10	6.9	10	6.3	19	7.8	5	9.3	32	1.43	1.40	@Dal	0.99	7.8	7.7	8.1	17	@TB	ATL	@CAR	15
notes	misses: 51WL, 46LU, 37B Carney needs another 70 points to pass Al Del Greco on the all-time scoring list, and then another 10 to pass Eddie Murray.																							4.8	6.3	7.0	25.8
NY Giants	Steve Christie	71	22	89	14	79	19	5.9	21	6.2	20	5.7	16	4.5	2	0.62	0.72	@Bal	0.99	5.7	5.6	5.2	30	PIT	@CIN	DAL	21
notes	misses: 47SH, 51SH, 49WR, 30WL, 33WL, 44B Christie is averaging 3.2 ppg over the last five weeks.																							6.2	5.9	5.5	23.2
NY Jets	Doug Brien	80	13	89	14	89	11	6.7	13	8.0	8	5.3	18	4.4	1	0.45	0.60	@Pit	0.82	5.3	4.4	5.5	23	SEA	NE	@STL	9
notes	misses: 29WL, 36WL, 43B Brien shut out the Steelers 6-0 last year.																							10.3	6.0	8.0	28.7
Oakland	Sebastian Janikowski	76	15	86	19	82	16	6.3	15	8.3	5	4.3	28	6.7	17	0.96	0.77	@Atl	0.92	4.3	4.0	6.5	27	TEN	@KC	JAC	13
notes	misses: 46WL, 35WR, 48WR, one extra point Janikowski averages 4.3 ppg on the road, and the Falcons give up 5.0 kicking ppg at home.																							10.2	3.8	8.7	26.7
Philadelphia	David Akers	112	2	121	1	130	1	9.3	2	9.7	4	9.0	3	4.9	4	0.87	0.79	@Was	0.87	9.0	7.9	7.1	3	DAL	@STL	CIN	1
notes	misses: 53WL, 39WR, 45WR Akers has made 16 FG's from 40 or beyond. That's more than about half the kickers in the league have made from any distance.																							8.7	13.6	11.1	41.2
Pittsburgh	Jeff Reed	79	14	94	8	87	13	6.6	14	8.2	6	5.0	21	6.2	13	0.82	1.00	NYJ	0.60	8.2	4.9	6.4	20	@NYG	BAL	@BUF	28
notes	misses: 48WL, 44WR, 45WL, 33WR, 24WR The Jets have the best road K-defense factor in the league, and they've given up only 5 kicking points total in their last three games.																							3.1	7.4	4.7	20.0
San Diego	Nate Kaeding	91	4	104	4	99	4	7.6	4	7.8	9	7.3	6	5.7	9	0.68	0.93	TB	0.91	7.8	7.1	6.6	13	@CLE	@IND	KC	10
notes	misses: 29WL, 42WL, 29WL, 52SH, one extra point. When is the last time a first year kicker finished in the top five? Two players did it in 1997: Richie Cunningham (Dallas) was #3 and John Hall (NYJ) was #5.																							5.8	7.6	6.7	27.2
Seattle	Josh Brown	88	6	91	12	96	8	7.3	6	7.7	10	7.0	9	7.5	28	1.33	1.28	@Min	1.25	7.0	8.8	7.4	6	@NYJ	ARI	ATL	5
notes	misses: 43WL Last year, Brown had his lowest scoring game (1 point) at Minnesota.																							3.2	10.1	7.7	29.7
San Fran	Todd Peterson	66	24	75	30	75	23	5.5	23	6.5	17	4.5	27	7.3	26	1.05	1.19	@Ari	0.71	4.5	3.2	6.4	32	WAS	BUF	@NE	30
notes	misses: 46CR, 50SH, 50SH Peterson's ppg are the essentially the same regardless of who starts at QB for the Niners.																							5.8	6.1	3.2	18.2
St. Louis	Jeff Wilkins	73	17	85	20	84	15	6.1	17	6.8	16	5.3	18	8.8	31	1.51	1.21	@Car	0.89	5.3	4.8	7.4	29	@ARI	PHI	NYJ	31
notes	misses: 33WL, 56SH, 44WR, 42WL Carolina has held opposing kickers to 3 ppg in their last three outings.																							3.8	5.4	4.1	18.0
Tampa Bay	Jay Taylor	63	30	88	16	68	29	5.3	29	6.3	18	4.2	31	5.4	6	0.62	0.91	@SD	0.68	4.2	2.8	5.3	24	NO	CAR	@ARI	22
notes	misses: M.Gramatica 44WL, 41WL, 35WL, 48WL, 46WL, 39WL, 26B, 37WL, one extra point. Kicking points allowed by the Chargers in their last four games: 5, 5, 5, & 5. That fairly consistent.																							8.9	7.2	3.0	21.9
Tennessee	Gary Anderson	67	23	82	23	73	24	5.2	30	5.8	25	5.4	17	7.0	22	1.07	1.23	KC	0.86	5.8	5.0	6.1	19	@OAK	DEN	DET	26
notes	misses... Elling: 33WL; Anderson: 42B, 43B; Hentrich: 58WR, 52B Anderson vs. Andersen for all-time scoring leader: Gary led by 87 points when the season began. Morten has gained 11 points to cut the lead to 76.																							5.2	6.0	4.5	20.8
Washington	John Hall	59	31	77	28	61	32	4.9	31	5.2	28	4.7	24	5.1	5	0.87	0.89	Phi	0.79	5.2	4.1	5.0	25	@SF	@DAL	MIN	29
notes	misses: Hall 50WR, 41RU; Kimrin 35WL, 51SH, 47WL, 48WR When Washington played at Philadelphia several weeks ago, their scoring consisted of two Kimrin FG's. He also missed a 48 yarder that day.																							4.9	4.6	5.3	18.8

NOTES:
1.	All stats are based on Standard Scoring of 3 points for field goals and 1 point for extra points
	(except for the Bonus Total column which increases 40-49 yard FG's to 4 points, and FG's of 50 yards and over to 5 points)
2.	"Attempted" = maximum number of kicking points the team could have had if they made every kick
3.	The Kdefensive "factors" are the median by which teams allow kicking points, as compared to their opponents average scoring
	(i.e. smaller numbers under 1.0 equal better kicking defense, larger numbers over 1.0 = not so good)
4.	Weekly matchup numbers: the "Mathematical Projection I" is the "Kscoring" multiplied by the "Kdefensive Factor"
	Mathematical Projection II is simply the average of the Kicking ppg scored and the Kicking points allowed by the opponent
5.	Misses key: SH = short, WR = wide right, WL = wide left, CR = cross bar, RU = right upright, LU = left upright, B = blocked, T = tipped

1. Adam Vinatieri
2. Rian Lindell
3. David Akers
4. Lawrence Tynes
5. Mike Vanderjagt
6. Josh Brown
7. Matt Stover
8. Kris Brown
9. Neil Rackers
10. Morten Andersen
11. Billy Cundiff
12. John Kasay
13. Nate Kaeding
14. Phil Dawson
15. Ryan Longwell
16. Jason Elam
17. John Carney
18. Jason Hanson
19. Gary Anderson
20. Jeff Reed
21. Josh Scobee
22. Jay Feely
23. Doug Brien
24. Jay Taylor
25. John Hall
26. Shayne Graham
27. Sebastian Janikowski
28. Olindo Mare
29. Jeff Wilkins
30. Steve Christie
31. Paul Edinger
32. Todd Peterson