Herman - Kicker Mania

Kicker Mania - thru week 14 & looking ahead to week 15
		2004 Kicking points (top five are highlighted)						2004 Kicking ppg						2004 K defense				Week 15 matchup
TEAM	Current KICKER	stnrd total	rnk	attmp total	rnk	bonus total	rnk	avg	rnk	home	rnk	away	rnk	ppg allow	rnk	home factr	away factr	oppnt	Kdef factr	score avg	math proj I	math proj II	this week rank
Arizona	Neil Rackers	72	27	84	28	85	20	5.5	26	7.2	15	4.1	32	7.4	27	0.92	1.32	StL	1.20	7.2	8.6	6.5	6
notes	misses: 58T, 64SH, 50WL, 34WL The Rams are giving up 8.0 kicking ppg on the road.
Atlanta	Jay Feely	69	29	78	32	71	30	5.3	29	5.7	27	4.8	23	5.4	6	0.93	0.95	Car	1.14	5.7	6.5	5.3	19
notes	misses: 49WL, 46WL, 37WR The Panthers have given up only 2.5 kicking ppg in their last four games.
Baltimore	Matt Stover	100	4	103	8	112	4	7.7	4	10.3	2	4.7	25	6.4	13	0.89	0.90	@Ind	1.03	4.7	4.8	7.0	23
notes	misses: 50WR Stover has now scored 100 points on the year... 72 at home, but only 28 on the road.
Buffalo	Rian Lindell	85	13	94	17	86	18	6.5	13	8.4	5	4.3	29	6.5	16	0.92	0.93	@Cin	1.04	4.3	4.5	6.5	20
notes	misses: 42WL, 43SH, 38WL Lindell must be using Stover as a role model... he has 59 points at home, but only 26 on the road.
Carolina	John Kasay	81	18	93	18	86	18	5.8	20	4.9	31	7.8	4	6.5	14	0.82	1.14	@Atl	0.93	7.8	7.3	6.1	10
notes	misses: Kasay 52WL, 46WR.; Chandler 38WL, 38B. Kasay scored 20 points in his last road game. In the road game prior to that (the one where he got injured), he and Mr. Sauerbrun combined for 13 points. Atlanta has not allowed double-digit kicking points in any game this year.
Chicago	Paul Edinger	61	31	85	26	70	31	4.7	31	5.0	30	4.4	27	6.7	21	1.50	0.81	Hou	0.76	5.0	3.8	5.7	30
notes	misses: 27B, 45WL, 39WR, 53SH, 39WL, 48WR, 52SH, 47WL. Edinger now is tied with Martin Gramatica for most missed FG's on the year. He also has zero touchbacks on kickoffs, so he won't be getting a kickoff specialist job elsewhere if the Bears can him.
Cincinnati	Shayne Graham	104	3	113	4	114	3	8.0	3	10.3	1	6.0	14	6.8	22	1.04	0.88	Buf	0.93	10.3	9.7	7.4	4
notes	misses: 38WR, 44WL, 53SH Graham is still #1 at home.
Cleveland	Phil Dawson	83	16	92	20	89	14	6.4	16	5.1	29	7.8	4	8.2	30	0.83	1.38	SD	0.90	5.1	4.6	7.3	32
notes	42WR, 34WR, 45WR Dawson is at the top of the list of kickers who have fared much better on the road as compared to at home.
Dallas	Billy Cundiff	73	23	88	24	80	26	5.6	22	5.3	28	6.0	14	7.6	28	1.13	0.88	@Phi	0.91	6.0	5.5	6.6	20
notes	misses: 49RU, 52SH, 41WL, 52WR, 42WL Cundiff has increased his scoring average the last two weeks in a row. Don't count on him making it three in a row.
Denver	Jason Elam	96	9	108	6	108	5	7.4	9	7.7	10	7.0	11	5.6	8	0.82	1.05	@KC	0.89	7.0	6.2	6.5	13
notes	misses: 51SH, 49WL, 43B, 43WL The Chiefs have given up 9, 9, 10, 9 & 8 points to kickers over the last five games.
Detroit	Jason Hanson	73	23	85	26	77	28	5.6	22	6.0	24	5.3	18	5.9	11	1.08	0.83	Min	1.02	6.0	6.1	5.8	15
notes	misses: 47WR, 48WR, 32WL, 48WL Hanson scored 5 points at Minnesota several weeks ago. His home average is 0.7 better then his road average.
Green Bay	Ryan Longwell	98	6	107	7	107	6	7.5	6	7.7	10	7.3	6	6.5	16	1.08	0.76	Jac	0.98	7.7	7.5	7.0	7
notes	misses: 45RU, 52CR, 49WR Longwell's last 4 home games: 11, 10, 9, &10 points.
Houston	Kris Brown	74	21	89	23	82	22	6.4	16	8.1	8	4.3	29	6.5	14	1.17	0.76	@Chi	1.50	4.3	6.5	6.4	18
notes	misses: 57SH, 37WR, 55WL, 40WR, 41B Brown's points in his last three road games: 1, 2, &1.
Indianapolis	Mike Vanderjagt	100	4	113	4	105	8	7.7	4	8.2	7	7.3	8	6.5	16	1.03	0.95	Bal	0.90	8.2	7.4	7.1	9
notes	misses: Bryant 44WL; Vanderjagt 48WR, 54WL, 39WL, one extra point. During the first part of the year when he was still kicking off, his FG average was 71.4% and he scoring average was 6.3ppg. Since relinquishing kickoff duties his numbers have climbed to 90% and 9.3ppg.
Jacksonville	Josh Scobee	82	17	100	11	89	14	6.3	18	6.0	24	6.7	12	5.8	10	0.82	0.98	@GB	1.08	6.7	7.2	6.1	11
notes	misses: 35WR, 51WR, 49WR, 44WR, 32WR, 60WR Rookie Watch: Scobee has outscored Kaeding in the last 4 weeks (35 to 30).
Kansas City	Lawrence Tynes	88	11	99	12	93	12	6.8	11	6.2	21	7.3	8	6.9	23	0.89	1.08	Den	1.05	6.2	6.5	6.8	14
notes	misses: 58WR, 47WR, 42WR, two extra points. Punter Jason Baker struggled with kickoffs in the preseason, which helped Tynes win the placekicking job over Morton Andersen. Last week Denver cut Micah Knorr and signed Jason Baker to handle punting and kickoffs.
Miami	Olindo Mare	71	28	81	31	78	27	5.5	27	5.8	26	5.1	19	6.5	16	1.15	0.95	NE	0.72	5.8	4.2	6.0	31
notes	misses: Mare: 46WR, 34WL, 22WL; B.Gramatica: one extra point. The Patriots have allowed only 2.8 kicking ppg in their last six games.
Minnesota	Morten Andersen	84	14	96	15	88	16	6.5	14	6.4	18	6.5	13	7.3	25	1.24	1.02	@Det	1.08	6.5	7.0	6.9	12
notes	misses: 44SH, 46WR, 38LU, 38WR Anderson vs. Andersen for all-time scoring leader: Gary led by 87 points when the season began. Morten has gained 14 points to cut the lead to 73.
New England	Adam Vinatieri	123	1	126	2	134	2	9.5	1	9.4	4	9.5	1	4.7	2	0.67	0.72	@Mia	1.15	9.5	11.0	7.1	2
notes	misses: 47WR; gravy: 4 yard TD pass Vinatieri is in a drought… he's gone five straight games without throwing a touchdown pass.
New Orleans	John Carney	92	10	101	10	101	10	7.1	10	6.3	20	8.0	3	9.2	32	1.43	1.36	@TB	0.58	8.0	4.7	8.1	26
notes	misses: 51WL, 46LU, 37B Tampa is tough on kickers, especially at home.
NY Giants	Steve Christie	73	23	91	21	81	24	5.6	22	6.2	21	5.1	19	5.2	5	0.63	0.72	Pit	0.97	6.2	6.0	5.4	27
notes	misses: 47SH, 51SH, 49WR, 30WL, 33WL, 44B Heading into last week, Christie was averaging 3.2 ppg over the prior five weeks. It's now down to 3.0 ppg.
NY Jets	Doug Brien	86	12	95	16	97	11	6.6	12	8.0	9	5.4	16	4.5	1	0.44	0.65	Sea	1.38	8.0	11.1	5.5	1
notes	misses: 29WL, 36WL, 43B Bingo!
Oakland	Sebastian Janikowski	80	19	90	22	88	16	6.2	19	8.3	6	4.3	31	6.5	16	0.96	0.78	Ten	1.17	8.3	9.7	6.3	3
notes	misses: 46WL, 35WR, 48WR, one extra point Janikowski has scored some points at home, and the Titans haven't contained any kickers on the road (except Miami in week 1).
Philadelphia	David Akers	117	2	129	1	135	1	9.0	2	9.7	3	8.4	2	4.7	2	0.91	0.60	Dal	0.88	9.7	8.5	6.8	8
notes	misses: 53WL, 39WR, 45WR, 48SH Will the Eagles rest Akers if they clinch the top seed early?
Pittsburgh	Jeff Reed	84	14	99	12	92	13	6.5	14	7.7	10	5.0	21	6.2	12	0.84	0.97	@NYG	0.63	5.0	3.2	6.3	24
notes	misses: 48WL, 44WR, 45WL, 33WR, 24WR Last year 11 of the 12 playoff teams also had top 12 kickers. Looks like Pittsburgh will be an exception this year.
San Diego	Nate Kaeding	98	6	114	3	107	6	7.5	6	7.7	10	7.3	6	5.7	9	0.71	0.90	@Cle	0.83	7.3	6.1	6.6	16
notes	misses: 29WL, 42WL, 29WL, 52SH, 51WR, one extra point. When is the last time a first year kicker finished in the top five? Two players did it in 1997: Richie Cunningham (Dallas) was #3 and John Hall (NYJ) was #5.
Seattle	Josh Brown	97	8	103	8	105	8	7.5	8	7.7	14	7.3	8	7.8	29	1.41	1.38	@NYJ	0.44	7.3	3.2	7.6	25
notes	misses: 43WL, 38WL The NY Jets and Atlanta are the only teams to keep opposing kickers in single digits every game this year.
San Fran	Todd Peterson	73	23	82	29	82	22	5.6	22	6.5	17	4.9	22	7.3	25	1.07	1.12	Was	0.89	6.5	5.8	6.5	17
notes	misses: 46CR, 50SH, 50SH The only three teams that haven't had a kicker score in double-digits all year: SF, Miami, and TB.
St. Louis	Jeff Wilkins	74	21	86	25	85	20	5.7	21	6.8	16	4.7	24	8.7	31	1.44	1.20	@Ari	0.92	4.7	4.3	7.2	29
notes	misses: 33WL, 56SH, 44WR, 42WL Wilkins has 74 points. Last year at this time he had 137 points.
Tampa Bay	Jay Taylor	69	29	97	14	75	29	5.3	29	6.3	19	4.4	27	5.5	7	0.58	0.91	NO	1.36	6.3	8.6	5.4	5
notes	misses: M.Gramatica 44WL, 41WL, 35WL, 48WL, 46WL, 39WL, 26B, 37WL, one extra point; J.Taylor 30LU Gramatica had his best game of the year against the Saints. Now Jay Taylor gets a turn.
Tennessee	Gary Anderson	75	20	93	18	81	24	5.4	28	6.2	21	5.4	16	7.0	24	1.04	1.17	@Oak	0.96	5.4	5.2	6.2	22
notes	misses... Elling: 33WL; Anderson: 42B, 43B, 50SH; Hentrich: 58WR, 52B 26 teams have had zero FG's blocked this year. 5 teams have had one blocked. The Titans have had three blocked.
Washington	Jeff Chandler	61	31	82	29	63	32	4.7	31	4.7	32	4.7	25	5.1	4	0.83	0.89	@SF	1.07	4.7	5.0	4.9	28
notes	misses: Hall 50WR, 41RU, 43WR; Kimrin 35WL, 51SH, 47WL, 48WR John Hall and his torn quad muscle is headed to IR. Jeff Chandler gets yet another shot at proving he belongs in the NFL.

NOTES:
1.	All stats are based on Standard Scoring of 3 points for field goals and 1 point for extra points
	(except for the Bonus Total column which increases 40-49 yard FG's to 4 points, and FG's of 50 yards and over to 5 points)
2.	"Attempted" = maximum number of kicking points the team could have had if they made every kick
3.	The Kdefensive "factors" are the median by which teams allow kicking points, as compared to their opponents average scoring
	(i.e. smaller numbers under 1.0 equal better kicking defense, larger numbers over 1.0 = not so good)
4.	Weekly matchup numbers: the "Mathematical Projection I" is the "Kscoring" multiplied by the "Kdefensive Factor"
	Mathematical Projection II is simply the average of the Kicking ppg scored and the Kicking points allowed by the opponent
5.	Misses key: SH = short, WR = wide right, WL = wide left, CR = cross bar, RU = right upright, LU = left upright, B = blocked, T = tipped

1. Doug Brien
2. Adam Vinatieri
3. Sebastian Janikowski
4. Shayne Graham
5. Jay Taylor
6. Neil Rackers
7. Ryan Longwell
8. David Akers
9. Mike Vanderjagt
10. John Kasay
11. Josh Scobee
12. Morten Andersen
13. Jason Elam
14. Lawrence Tynes
15. Jason Hanson
16. Nate Kaeding
17. Todd Peterson
18. Kris Brown
19. Jay Feely
20. Rian Lindell
20. Billy Cundiff
22. Gary Anderson
23. Matt Stover
24. Jeff Reed
25. Josh Brown
26. John Carney
27. Steve Christie
28. Jeff Chandler
29. Jeff Wilkins
30. Paul Edinger
31. Olindo Mare
32. Phil Dawson