Herman - Kicker Mania

Kicker Mania - thru week 15 & looking ahead to week 15
		2004 Kicking points (top five are highlighted)						2004 Kicking ppg						2004 K defense				Week 16 matchup
TEAM	Current KICKER	stnrd total	rnk	attmp total	rnk	bonus total	rnk	avg	rnk	home	rnk	away	rnk	ppg allow	rnk	home factr	away factr	oppnt	Kdef factr	score avg	math proj I	math proj II	this week rank	week 17	rank total
Arizona	Neil Rackers	79	23	91	27	93	16	5.6	22	7.1	15	4.1	32	6.9	23	0.75	1.32	@Sea	1.17	4.1	4.8	6.3	23	TB	21
notes	misses: 58T, 64SH, 50WL, 34WL The Cardinals are dead last in kicker scoring on the road.																							6.5	11.3
Atlanta	Jay Feely	79	23	91	27	81	28	5.6	22	6.3	20	4.8	25	5.5	7	0.94	1.01	@NO	1.49	4.8	7.2	5.6	14	@SEA	13
notes	misses: 49WL, 46WL, 37WR, 45WL Feely doesn't score as much on the road, but that should be offset by the generous Saints.																							5.7	12.8
Baltimore	Matt Stover	104	5	110	9	117	4	7.4	5	10.3	1	4.6	26	6.5	19	0.89	0.98	@Pit	0.92	4.6	4.2	7.0	27	MIA	10
notes	misses: 50WR, 31B Stover has now scored 104 points on the year... 72 at home, but only 32 on the road.																							9.8	14.0
Buffalo	Rian Lindell	100	9	109	10	101	14	7.1	9	8.4	4	5.9	17	6.4	17	0.92	0.84	@SF	1.17	5.9	6.8	6.8	5	PIT	5
notes	misses: 42WL, 43SH, 38WL Last week Jeff Chandler visited SF and revived his career. Lindell visits SF this week.																							8.2	15.1
Carolina	John Kasay	88	15	100	18	93	16	5.9	20	4.9	29	7.7	4	6.7	21	0.82	1.43	@TB	0.60	7.7	4.7	6.3	17	NO	22
notes	misses: Kasay 52WL, 46WR.; Chandler 38WL, 38B. TB gave up 9.0 kicking ppg in their first four games. Since then, they've been giving up only 3.9 ppg.																							6.4	11.1
Chicago	Paul Edinger	64	32	91	27	74	32	4.6	32	4.7	30	4.4	28	6.6	20	1.44	0.81	@Det	0.88	4.4	3.9	5.6	31	GB	32
notes	misses: 27B, 45WL, 39WR, 53SH, 39WL, 48WR, 52SH, 47WL, 39WL. Edinger has now passed Martin Gramatica for most missed FG's on the year.																							3.6	7.4
Cincinnati	Shayne Graham	109	3	118	4	119	3	7.8	3	9.6	2	6.0	15	7.4	27	1.09	0.89	NYG	0.76	9.6	7.2	7.6	8	@PHI	14
notes	misses: 38WR, 44WL, 53SH. For most of the year. the Giants were the stingiest team to kick against. However they've given up 13 & 15 kicking points in their last two games (both against AFC North teams).																							5.3	12.5
Cleveland	Phil Dawson	83	19	95	24	89	20	5.9	19	4.5	32	7.8	3	7.9	30	0.79	1.38	@Mia	0.93	7.8	7.3	6.9	18	@HOU	4
notes	42WR, 34WR, 45WR, 39WR Several weeks ago Dawson had 12 points in the shootout vs. the Bengals. Aside from that, his recent game production has been 1, 1, 1, & 0 points.																							9.1	16.4
Dallas	Billy Cundiff	74	30	92	25	81	28	5.3	30	5.3	28	5.3	20	7.1	24	0.93	0.85	Was	0.85	5.3	4.5	6.2	26	@NYG	30
notes	misses: 49RU, 52SH, 41WL, 52WR, 42WL, 46WL Cundiff just doesn't get may opportunities, and he's already had his one big game for the year.																							4.0	8.5
Denver	Jason Elam	101	7	113	8	113	5	7.2	7	7.7	10	6.7	9	5.9	10	0.82	1.11	@Ten	1.04	6.7	7.0	6.5	15	IND	9
notes	misses: 51SH, 49WL, 43B, 43WL Elam's production dipped to 5 points in each of his last two road games.																							7.4	14.4
Detroit	Jason Hanson	80	20	92	25	84	25	5.7	21	6.1	22	5.3	20	5.8	8	0.88	0.83	Chi	0.81	6.1	5.0	5.8	20	@TEN	26
notes	misses: 47WR, 48WR, 32WL, 48WL Hanson needs 34 points to tie Lou Groza on the all-time scoring list. Looks like he'll have to wait until next year for that milestone.																							5.5	10.5
Green Bay	Ryan Longwell	103	6	115	6	112	7	7.4	6	7.4	14	7.3	5	6.4	14	1.16	0.76	@Min	1.36	7.3	10.0	6.9	1	@CHI	1
notes	misses: 45RU, 52CR, 49WR, 31WR A juicy matchup for Longwell.																							10.6	20.5
Houston	Kris Brown	80	20	98	20	88	21	6.4	15	8.1	7	4.6	26	6.2	13	1.17	0.65	@Jac	0.78	4.6	3.6	6.3	32	CLE	7
notes	misses: 57SH, 37WR, 55WL, 40WR, 41B, 42WR Brown doesn't score a lot on the road, and Jacksonville is stingy at home.																							11.2	14.8
Indianapolis	Mike Vanderjagt	108	4	124	3	113	5	7.7	4	8.1	7	7.3	6	6.4	14	0.95	0.95	SD	0.76	8.1	6.2	7.0	9	@DEN	17
notes	misses: Bryant 44WL; Vanderjagt 48WR, 54WL, 39WL, 33WR, one extra point. An intriguing matchup: Vanderjagt's production had increased recently, however the Chargers kicking defense has stiffened over the course of the year.																							6.0	12.2
Jacksonville	Josh Scobee	86	18	104	15	93	16	6.1	18	6.0	25	6.3	13	5.8	8	0.78	0.97	Hou	0.65	6.0	3.9	6.0	16	@OAK	28
notes	misses: 35WR, 51WR, 49WR, 44WR, 32WR, 60WR Scobee's three highest scoring games were in Jaguar losses, his three lowest were in wins.																							6.0	9.9
Kansas City	Lawrence Tynes	97	12	108	11	102	13	6.9	12	6.6	17	7.3	6	6.8	22	0.83	1.09	Oak	0.78	6.6	5.1	6.9	19	@SD	25
notes	misses: 58WR, 47WR, 42WR, two extra points. Probably another opportunity for Tynes to practice his extra point kicking skills.																							5.4	10.5
Miami	Olindo Mare	76	26	86	31	83	27	5.4	25	5.7	27	5.1	22	6.4	14	0.93	0.95	Cle	1.38	5.7	7.9	5.9	7	@BAL	15
notes	misses: Mare: 46WR, 34WL, 22WL; B.Gramatica: one extra point. Cleveland's kicking points allowed in their last four road games: 10, 13, 16, & 13.																							4.6	12.5
Minnesota	Morten Andersen	88	15	100	18	92	19	6.3	16	6.4	18	6.1	14	7.3	26	1.36	1.11	GB	0.76	6.4	4.9	6.8	22	@WAS	27
notes	misses: 44SH, 46WR, 38LU, 38WR Anderson vs. Andersen for all-time scoring leader: Gary led by 87 points when the season began. Morten has gained 13 points to cut the lead to 74.																							5.1	10.0
New England	Adam Vinatieri	127	1	130	1	138	1	9.1	1	9.4	3	8.7	1	4.7	3	0.67	0.84	@NYJ	0.39	8.7	3.4	6.9	21	SF	11
notes	misses: 47WR; gravy: 4 yard TD pass Vinatieri is in a drought… he's gone three straight games without a FG attempt.																							10.6	13.9
New Orleans	John Carney	95	13	107	12	104	11	6.8	13	6.3	19	7.3	6	8.9	32	1.49	1.32	Atl	1.01	6.3	6.3	7.8	13	@CAR	16
notes	misses: 51WL, 46LU, 37B, 38WR Ancient history? Carney's two best games last year were against the Falcons.																							6.0	12.3
NY Giants	Steve Christie	79	23	97	22	87	22	5.6	22	6.1	22	5.1	22	5.9	10	0.76	0.76	@Cin	1.09	5.1	5.6	5.8	24	DAL	24
notes	misses: 47SH, 51SH, 49WR, 30WL, 33WL, 44B. Since the debacle in Green Bay in week 4 when Christie went 0 for 3, he's only missed one FG… however he's only averaged one attempt per game during that stretch.																							5.2	10.8
NY Jets	Doug Brien	93	14	106	13	104	11	6.6	14	7.9	9	5.4	18	4.3	1	0.39	0.65	NE	0.84	7.9	6.6	5.5	11	@STL	6
notes	misses: 29WL, 36WL, 43B, 30WL, one extra point Brien had only one game this year in which he didn't have any FG attempts… at New England.																							8.3	14.9
Oakland	Sebastian Janikowski	88	15	98	20	97	15	6.3	16	8.3	5	4.3	30	6.4	17	0.96	0.78	@KC	0.83	4.3	3.5	6.4	29	JAC	20
notes	misses: 46WL, 35WR, 48WR, one extra point Janikowski's two worst games this year were both on the road against division opponents.																							8.1	11.6
Philadelphia	David Akers	117	2	130	1	135	2	8.4	2	8.3	5	8.4	2	4.4	2	0.88	0.64	@StL	1.52	8.4	12.8	6.4	3	CIN	2
notes	misses: 53WL, 39WR, 45WR, 48SH, one extra point Can the Eagles second string provide Akers some opportunities against the Rams?																							7.4	20.2
Pittsburgh	Jeff Reed	99	10	114	7	107	9	7.1	10	7.7	10	6.4	12	6.1	12	0.92	0.98	Bal	0.98	7.7	7.6	6.6	6	@BUF	12
notes	misses: 48WL, 44WR, 45WL, 33WR, 24WR Reed jumped into the top ten with his big game last week..																							5.9	13.5
San Diego	Nate Kaeding	101	7	117	5	110	8	7.2	7	7.7	10	6.7	9	5.3	5	0.74	0.76	@Ind	0.95	6.7	6.4	6.3	12	KC	8
notes	misses: 29WL, 42WL, 29WL, 52SH, 51WR, one extra point. Kaeding should have better weather inside the RCA dome this week, as compared to Cleveland Stadium last week.																							8.4	14.8
Seattle	Josh Brown	99	10	105	14	107	9	7.1	10	7.7	13	6.6	11	7.7	28	1.17	1.40	Ari	1.32	7.7	10.1	7.4	2	ATL	3
notes	misses: 43WL, 38WL The opportunity is there for Brown to be the hero in week 16 fantasy championship games.																							7.7	17.8
San Fran	Todd Peterson	75	27	84	32	84	25	5.4	26	5.9	26	4.9	24	7.8	29	1.17	1.12	Buf	0.84	5.9	4.9	6.6	28	@NE	31
notes	misses: 46CR, 50SH, 50SH The only three teams that haven't had a kicker score in double-digits all year: SF, Miami, and TB.																							3.2	8.2
St. Louis	Jeff Wilkins	75	27	87	30	86	23	5.4	26	6.8	16	4.3	31	8.6	31	1.52	1.22	Phi	0.64	6.8	4.3	7.0	30	NYJ	29
notes	misses: 33WL, 56SH, 44WR, 42WL Wilkins is coming off back-to-back 1 point games.																							4.4	8.8
Tampa Bay	Jay Taylor	74	30	102	16	80	30	5.3	30	6.1	22	4.4	28	5.4	6	0.60	0.91	Car	1.43	6.1	8.8	5.3	4	@ARI	18
notes	misses: M.Gramatica 44WL, 41WL, 35WL, 48WL, 46WL, 39WL, 26B, 37WL, one extra point; J.Taylor 30LU Taylor faces the team about which Gramatica probably still has nightmares.																							3.3	12.2
Tennessee	Gary Anderson	80	20	101	17	86	23	5.3	29	6.2	21	5.4	19	7.1	24	1.04	1.10	Den	1.11	6.2	6.9	6.2	10	DET	19
notes	misses... Elling: 33WL; Anderson: 42B, 43B, 50SH, 41WR; Hentrich: 58WR, 52B The usually reliable Anderson is only 2 for 5 on FG's in his last three games.																							5.1	12.0
Washington	Jeff Chandler	75	27	96	23	78	31	5.4	26	4.7	30	6.0	15	4.9	4	0.83	0.85	@Dal	0.93	6.0	5.6	5.1	25	MIN	23
notes	misses: Hall 50WR, 41RU, 43WR; Kimrin 35WL, 51SH, 47WL, 48WR. Chandler stank it up with the Jaguars in training camp. He went 0 for 2 during a brief stint with the Panthers mid-season. Last week he exploded for 14 points in his first game as a Redskin. The wacky wonderful world of kickers.																							5.3	10.9

NOTES:
1.	All stats are based on Standard Scoring of 3 points for field goals and 1 point for extra points
	(except for the Bonus Total column which increases 40-49 yard FG's to 4 points, and FG's of 50 yards and over to 5 points)
2.	"Attempted" = maximum number of kicking points the team could have had if they made every kick
3.	The Kdefensive "factors" are the median by which teams allow kicking points, as compared to their opponents average scoring
	(i.e. smaller numbers under 1.0 equal better kicking defense, larger numbers over 1.0 = not so good)
4.	Weekly matchup numbers: the "Mathematical Projection I" is the "Kscoring" multiplied by the "Kdefensive Factor"
	Mathematical Projection II is simply the average of the Kicking ppg scored and the Kicking points allowed by the opponent
5.	Misses key: SH = short, WR = wide right, WL = wide left, CR = cross bar, RU = right upright, LU = left upright, B = blocked, T = tipped

1. Ryan Longwell
2. Josh Brown
3. David Akers
4. Jay Taylor
5. Rian Lindell
6. Jeff Reed
7. Olindo Mare
8. Shayne Graham
9. Mike Vanderjagt
10. Gary Anderson
11. Doug Brien
12. Nate Kaeding
13. John Carney
14. Jay Feely
15. Jason Elam
16. Josh Scobee
17. John Kasay
18. Phil Dawson
19. Lawrence Tynes
20. Jason Hanson
21. Adam Vinatieri
22. Morten Andersen
23. Neil Rackers
24. Steve Christie
25. Jeff Chandler
26. Billy Cundiff
27. Matt Stover
28. Todd Peterson
29. Sebastian Janikowski
30. Jeff Wilkins
31. Paul Edinger
32. Kris Brown