Herman - Kicker Mania

Kicker Mania - thru week 16 & looking ahead to week 17
		2004 Kicking points (top five are highlighted)						2004 Kicking ppg						2004 K defense				Week 17 matchup
TEAM	Current KICKER	stnrd total	rnk	attmp total	rnk	bonus total	rnk	avg	rnk	home	rnk	away	rnk	ppg allow	rnk	home factr	away factr	oppnt	Kdef factr	score avg	math proj I	math proj II	this week rank
Arizona	Neil Rackers	82	26	97	29	96	21	5.5	25	7.1	14	4.0	31	6.9	21	0.75	1.16	TB	0.91	7.1	6.5	6.2	17
notes	misses: 58T, 64SH, 50WL, 34WL, 52WL The Cardinals are dead last in kicker scoring on the road.
Atlanta	Jay Feely	86	21	98	27	88	27	5.7	21	6.3	21	5.1	24	5.5	7	0.93	0.96	@Sea	0.97	5.1	5.0	5.6	28
notes	misses: 49WL, 46WL, 37WR, 45WL The Falcons have clinched the #2 seed. Vick is hobbled.
Baltimore	Matt Stover	105	10	114	11	118	8	7.0	10	10.3	1	4.1	30	6.6	20	0.92	1.02	Mia	0.95	10.3	9.8	6.8	1
notes	misses: 50WR, 31B, 44WR Stover is tops at home. The Ravens are battling for a playoff spot.
Buffalo	Rian Lindell	111	7	120	10	112	11	7.4	7	8.4	5	6.5	12	6.1	14	0.92	0.81	Pit	0.98	8.4	8.2	6.7	4
notes	misses: 42WL, 43SH, 38WL The Bills are battling for a playoff spot, and they've been on a roll (including Lindell).
Carolina	John Kasay	95	15	108	17	100	17	5.9	20	4.9	29	7.6	3	6.4	16	0.78	1.24	NO	1.27	4.9	6.2	6.2	7
notes	misses: Kasay 52WL, 46WR, one extra point; Chandler 38WL, 38B. The Panthers are battling for a playoff spot. The Saints have given up the most kicking points in the league.
Chicago	Paul Edinger	65	32	92	30	75	32	4.3	32	4.7	30	4.0	31	7.1	23	1.44	0.99	GB	0.86	4.7	4.1	5.7	32
notes	misses: 27B, 45WL, 39WR, 53SH, 39WL, 48WR, 52SH, 47WL, 39WL. Edinger has not had a good year.
Cincinnati	Shayne Graham	114	4	123	7	125	5	7.6	4	9.0	3	6.0	17	8.0	29	1.29	1.00	@Phi	0.77	6.0	4.6	7.8	24
notes	misses: 38WR, 44WL, 53SH. The Eagles are in rest mode.
Cleveland	Phil Dawson	84	23	99	25	90	25	5.6	23	4.5	32	6.9	9	7.6	28	0.79	1.29	@Hou	0.95	6.9	6.5	6.6	29
notes	42WR, 34WR, 45WR, 39WR, 43RU Several weeks ago Dawson had 12 points in the shootout vs. the Bengals. Aside from that, his recent game production has been 1, 1, 1, 0, & 1 points.
Dallas	Billy Cundiff	81	27	99	25	88	27	5.4	26	5.5	25	5.3	21	6.9	21	0.93	0.85	@NYG	0.76	5.3	4.0	6.1	20
notes	misses: 49RU, 52SH, 41WL, 52WR, 42WL, 46WL When Cundiff visited the Giants last year, he stunned them with 23 points.
Denver	Jason Elam	114	4	129	4	126	4	7.6	4	7.7	10	7.5	4	6.1	15	0.82	1.17	Ind	0.95	7.7	7.4	6.9	6
notes	misses: 51SH, 49WL, 43B, 43WL, 34WL The Broncos halted their slide last week, and are battling for a playoff spot.
Detroit	Jason Hanson	93	19	105	21	98	20	6.2	18	7.0	15	5.3	21	5.5	5	0.89	0.95	@Ten	1.25	5.3	6.6	5.8	9
notes	misses: 47WR, 48WR, 32WL, 48WL Hanson has a decent shot at ending the year with back-to-back solid games.
Green Bay	Ryan Longwell	113	6	125	5	123	6	7.5	6	7.4	13	7.7	2	6.4	16	1.16	0.86	@Chi	1.44	7.7	11.1	7.0	5
notes	misses: 45RU, 52CR, 49WR, 31WR The Packers will probably be cautious with their starters, but Longwell should still get a few opportunities.
Houston	Kris Brown	83	24	104	22	91	24	6.1	19	8.1	8	4.4	28	5.8	9	0.95	0.62	Cle	1.29	8.1	10.5	6.0	3
notes	misses: 57SH, 37WR, 55WL, 40WR, 41B, 42WR, 34B The Browns have given up double-digit kicking points in 3 of their last 4 road games.
Indianapolis	Mike Vanderjagt	122	2	141	2	127	3	8.1	2	8.9	4	7.3	6	6.4	16	1.00	0.95	@Den	0.82	7.3	6.0	7.3	10
notes	misses: Bryant 44WL; Vanderjagt 48WR, 54WL, 39WL, 33WR, 47LU, one extra point. The Colts are on the verge of ranking 2nd in kicking points for two consecutive years. Not an easy feat to accomplish.
Jacksonville	Josh Scobee	86	21	107	18	93	23	5.7	21	5.3	27	6.3	15	5.6	8	0.76	0.89	@Oak	0.93	6.3	5.9	5.7	13
notes	misses: 35WR, 51WR, 49WR, 44WR, 32WR, 60WR, 31WR The Jaguars are battling for a playoff spot. Scobee may play a critical role.
Kansas City	Lawrence Tynes	104	12	121	9	109	14	6.9	12	6.6	19	7.3	6	7.1	24	0.89	1.09	@SD	0.69	7.3	5.0	7.0	20
notes	misses: 58WR, 47WR, 42WR, 43B, 50CR, two extra points. Kickoffs factored into Tynes winning the Chief's kicking job in preseason. Despite plenty of opportunities, he has not had a touchback in the last seven weeks.
Miami	Olindo Mare	80	28	90	31	89	26	5.3	27	5.5	25	5.1	24	6.0	13	0.92	0.95	@Bal	0.92	5.1	4.7	5.7	27
notes	misses: Mare: 46WR, 34WL, 22WL; B.Gramatica: one extra point. Mare's injured calf is still not 100%, however he's managed to play in the last seven games.
Minnesota	Morten Andersen	95	15	107	18	99	19	6.3	15	6.5	20	6.1	16	7.5	26	1.33	1.09	@Was	0.83	6.1	5.1	6.9	19
notes	misses: 44SH, 46WR, 38LU, 38WR Anderson vs. Andersen for all-time scoring leader: Gary led by 87 points when the season began. Morten has gained 13 points to cut the lead to 74.
New England	Adam Vinatieri	138	1	144	1	149	1	9.2	1	9.4	2	9.0	1	4.5	1	0.73	0.72	SF	1.12	9.4	10.6	6.8	2
notes	misses: 47WR, 50WL; gravy: 4 yard TD pass Vinatieri has pretty much wrapped up the honors as top scoring kicker for the year. His only other top five finish was his rookie year.
New Orleans	John Carney	101	13	113	12	110	13	6.7	13	6.3	21	7.3	6	8.7	32	1.35	1.27	@Car	0.78	7.3	5.7	7.7	23
notes	misses: 51WL, 46LU, 37B, 38WR Carney has only averaged 4.8 ppg against division opponents.
NY Giants	Steve Christie	95	15	113	12	105	15	6.3	15	6.1	23	6.5	12	5.8	9	0.76	0.71	Dal	0.85	6.1	5.2	6.1	31
notes	misses: 47SH, 51SH, 49WR, 30WL, 33WL, 44B. Christie already had his big finale last week.
NY Jets	Doug Brien	94	18	107	18	105	15	6.3	17	7.0	15	5.4	19	4.7	3	0.40	0.65	@StL	1.24	5.4	6.7	5.5	14
notes	misses: 29WL, 36WL, 43B, 30WL, one extra point Both teams are in the playoff hunt.
Oakland	Sebastian Janikowski	100	14	110	16	112	11	6.7	14	8.3	6	5.3	23	6.5	19	0.93	0.79	Jac	0.89	8.3	7.4	6.6	11
notes	misses: 46WL, 35WR, 48WR, one extra point Janikowski has managed to score some points at home this year.
Philadelphia	David Akers	118	3	131	3	136	2	7.9	3	8.3	6	7.5	4	4.7	2	0.77	0.81	Cin	1.00	8.3	8.3	6.3	16
notes	misses: 53WL, 39WR, 45WR, 48SH, one extra point Akers was the top kicker early in the year. Now he's in danger of slipping out of the top five.
Pittsburgh	Jeff Reed	107	9	122	8	116	9	7.1	9	7.8	9	6.4	14	5.8	9	0.86	0.98	@Buf	0.92	6.4	5.9	6.5	22
notes	misses: 48WL, 44WR, 45WL, 33WR, 24WR Reed jumped into the top ten with his big game last week..
San Diego	Nate Kaeding	108	8	124	6	119	7	7.2	8	7.7	10	6.8	10	5.9	12	0.69	0.87	KC	1.09	7.7	8.4	6.5	12
notes	misses: 29WL, 42WL, 29WL, 52SH, 51WR, one extra point. The Chargers lost by a FG last week, while the Chiefs won by a FG.
Seattle	Josh Brown	105	10	111	14	113	10	7.0	10	7.4	12	6.6	11	7.4	25	0.97	1.41	Atl	0.96	7.4	7.1	7.2	8
notes	misses: 43WL, 38WL Brown has connected on 92% of his FG attempts this year.
San Fran	Todd Peterson	76	30	85	32	85	29	5.1	30	5.3	27	4.9	26	8.0	29	1.29	1.12	@NE	0.73	4.9	3.5	6.5	30
notes	misses: 46CR, 50SH, 50SH Accuracy was not the problem on any of his misses... he just didn't have enough leg.
St. Louis	Jeff Wilkins	83	24	98	27	94	22	5.5	24	7.0	15	4.3	29	8.1	31	1.24	1.25	NYJ	0.65	7.0	4.5	6.8	25
notes	misses: 33WL, 56SH, 44WR, 42WL, 44WL Both teams are in the playoff hunt.
Tampa Bay	Jay Taylor	76	30	104	22	82	30	5.1	30	5.6	24	4.4	27	5.5	5	0.61	0.91	@Ari	0.75	4.4	3.3	5.3	26
notes	misses: M.Gramatica 44WL, 41WL, 35WL, 48WL, 46WL, 39WL, 26B, 37WL, one extra point; J.Taylor 30LU A meaningless game in the desert.
Tennessee	Gary Anderson	90	20	111	14	100	17	5.3	28	6.7	18	5.4	20	7.5	26	1.25	1.13	Det	0.95	6.7	6.4	6.4	15
notes	misses... Elling: 33WL; Anderson: 42B, 43B, 50SH, 41WR; Hentrich: 58WR, 52B This will probably be the last game of Gary's career. Of course that's what we thought last year... and the year before that.
Washington	Jeff Chandler	79	29	103	24	82	30	5.3	29	4.7	30	5.8	18	5.0	4	0.83	0.98	Min	1.09	4.7	5.1	5.1	18
notes	misses: Hall 50WR, 41RU, 43WR; Kimrin 35WL, 51SH, 47WL, 48WR; Chandler 57SH. Chandler is 5 for 6, with the only miss coming from 57 yards.

NOTES:
1.	All stats are based on Standard Scoring of 3 points for field goals and 1 point for extra points
	(except for the Bonus Total column which increases 40-49 yard FG's to 4 points, and FG's of 50 yards and over to 5 points)
2.	"Attempted" = maximum number of kicking points the team could have had if they made every kick
3.	The Kdefensive "factors" are the median by which teams allow kicking points, as compared to their opponents average scoring
	(i.e. smaller numbers under 1.0 equal better kicking defense, larger numbers over 1.0 = not so good)
4.	Weekly matchup numbers: the "Mathematical Projection I" is the "Kscoring" multiplied by the "Kdefensive Factor"
	Mathematical Projection II is simply the average of the Kicking ppg scored and the Kicking points allowed by the opponent
5.	Misses key: SH = short, WR = wide right, WL = wide left, CR = cross bar, RU = right upright, LU = left upright, B = blocked, T = tipped

1. Matt Stover
2. Adam Vinatieri
3. Kris Brown
4. Rian Lindell
5. Ryan Longwell
6. Jason Elam
7. John Kasay
8. Josh Brown
9. Jason Hanson
10. Mike Vanderjagt
11. Sebastian Janikowski
12. Nate Kaeding
13. Josh Scobee
14. Doug Brien
15. Gary Anderson
16. David Akers
17. Neil Rackers
18. Jeff Chandler
19. Morten Andersen
20. Billy Cundiff
21. Lawrence Tynes
22. Jeff Reed
23. John Carney
24. Shayne Graham
25. Jeff Wilkins
26. Jay Taylor
27. Olindo Mare
28. Jay Feely
29. Phil Dawson
30. Todd Peterson
31. Steve Christie
32. Paul Edinger

*** Note: These rankings differ from the official Footballguys.com rankings