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Kicker Mania - thru week 4 & looking ahead to week 5
    2004 Kicking points
(top five are highlighted)		 2004 Kicking ppg 2004 K defense Week 5 matchup
TEAM Current KICKER Standard rnk Attempted rnk Bonus rnk avg rnk home rnk away rnk ppg allowed rnk home factor away factor opponent Kdefensive
factor		 Kscoring
average		 Mathematical
Projection I		 Mathematical
Projection II		 Cheatsheet ranking
Arizona Neil Rackers 23 16 26 19 27 14 5.8 17 8.0 10 3.5 30 7.5 25 0.81 1.02 @SF 0.80 3.5 2.8 6.6 27
notes misses: 58T
The Cardinals were the lowest K-scoring team on the road last year. So far this year: 30th on the road. They play on the road this week.
Atlanta Jay Feely 28 8 28 13 29 11 7.0 11 8.0 10 6.0 16 4.8 5 0.88 1.67 Det 0.80 8.0 6.4 5.9 11
notes The Falcons are making the most of the favorable early schedule. Consequently Feely is hovering near the top ten in the various categories above.
Baltimore Matt Stover 26 12 26 19 29 11 6.5 14 9.0 6 4.0 24 6.8 17 0.73 1.09 @Was 0.78 4.0 3.1 6.6 18
notes Just like last year, Stover is once again more productive at home. The Ravens play on the road this week.
Buffalo Rian Lindell 13 29 16 29 13 29 4.3 28 4.5 25 4.0 24 7.0 21 1.26 0.74 @NYJ 1.09 4.0 4.4 5.7 22
notes misses: 42WL.  Yet another kicker that hasn't been very productive on the road. Unfortunately he hasn't been very productive at home either. The Bills simplified offense simply hasn't been scoring.
Carolina John Kasay 10 32 10 32 10 32 3.3 32 3.0 29 4.0 24 6.7 16 1.21 1.25 @Den 0.84 4.0 3.4 5.0 26
notes The Panthers have attempted only one field goal this year. Beware the curse of the Super Bowl loser!
Chicago Paul Edinger 18 23 27 16 18 26 4.5 24 2.5 30 6.5 13 8.5 30 1.02 1.44 BYE          
notes misses: 27B, 45WL, 39WR
Cincinnati Shayne Graham 30 6 33 7 32 6 7.5 8 9.5 4 5.5 18 5.8 12 1.13 0.90 BYE          
notes misses: 38WR
Cleveland Phil Dawson 29 7 29 10 32 6 7.3 10 6.5 17 8.0 5 6.0 13 1.15 1.03 @Pit 1.04 8.0 8.3 6.6 10
notes I'm sensing two field goals and one extra point for Dawson this week.
Dallas Billy Cundiff 13 29 16 29 13 29 4.3 28 5.0 22 4.0 24 7.0 21 1.50 0.64 NYG 0.64 5.0 3.2 5.7 6
notes misses: 49RU
Cundiff's two highest scoring games last year were both against the Giants.
Denver Jason Elam 37 2 40 2 44 2 9.3 2 10.5 1 8.0 5 5.3 8 0.84 0.64 Car 1.25 10.5 13.1 7.3 1
notes misses: 51SH
Elam is on pace for 148 points this year. His previous best was 132.
Detroit Jason Hanson 13 29 16 29 13 29 4.3 28 2.5 30 8.0 5 6.0 13 0.77 0.80 @Atl 0.88 8.0 7.1 5.2 16
notes misses: 47WR
Hanson has been rather quiet since his opening day road trip to Chicago.
Green bay Ryan Longwell 18 23 24 22 19 25 4.5 24 2.5 30 6.5 13 4.0 3 0.52 0.83 Ten 0.78 2.5 2.0 4.3 24
notes misses: 45RU, 52CR
The cheese doesn't smell too good at the moment.
Houston Kris Brown 34 3 37 4 38 3 8.5 4 10.0 2 7.0 11 5.3 8 0.98 1.18 Min 1.13 10.0 11.3 6.9 5
notes misses: 57SH
Yes that's Kris Brown sitting amongst the top five, and it isn't a fluke.
Indianapolis Mike Vanderjagt 28 8 31 8 30 9 7.0 11 9.0 6 6.3 15 7.5 25 1.08 1.00 Oak 1.20 9.0 10.8 7.3 4
notes misses: 48WR.  INJURY UPDATE: Vanderjagt has a strained right hamstring.
"If he's not able to kick field goals [in practice], then we'll probably sign a kicker on Thursday or Friday."  - Tony Dungy
Jacksonville Josh Scobee 18 23 21 26 20 24 4.5 24 5.0 22 4.0 24 5.5 10 0.85 0.99 @SD 1.17 4.0 4.7 5.0 19
notes misses: 35WR
Coming off back-to-back tough games against division rivals, and now a road trip to the west coast.
Kansas City Lawrence Tynes 23 16 29 10 26 16 5.8 17 4.0 27 7.5 9 7.5 25 1.21 0.81 BYE          
notes misses: 58WR, 47WR
Miami Olindo Mare 20 22 23 24 22 21 5.0 23 4.3 26 7.0 11 6.8 17 1.00 1.05 @NE 0.95 7.0 6.6 5.9 28
notes misses: 46WR
Mare scored a whopping zero points last year at New England. The Dolphins have gotten worse since then.
Minnesota Morten Andersen 24 14 30 9 26 16 8.0 6 7.0 13 10.0 2 8.0 29 1.39 1.13 @Hou 0.98 10.0 9.8 8.0 2
notes misses: 44SH, 46WR. 
The Vikings had an extra week to practice getting the hold right.
New England Adam Vinatieri 27 11 27 16 29 11 9.0 3 9.0 6 9.0 4 5.7 11 0.95 0.93 Mia 1.05 9.0 9.5 7.3 3
notes The Dolphins are coming to town. Unfortunately, you probably won't find Vinatieri or the Patriots defense sitting on your fantasy waiver wire.
New Orleans John Carney 33 4 36 6 37 4 8.3 5 6.5 17 10.0 2 6.8 17 1.43 0.98 TB 1.35 6.5 8.7 7.5 7
notes misses: 51WL
Carney is one of the toughest calls on any given week…. horrid, very good, great, mediocre… I'll go with solid for this week.
NY Giants Steve Christie 24 14 39 3 27 14 6.0 16 8.5 9 3.5 30 3.5 2 0.47 0.64 @Dal 1.50 3.5 5.3 4.8 21
notes misses: 47SH, 51SH, 49WR, 30WL, 33WL.  Already on shaky ground, Christie proceeded to miss all three FG attempts last week. At the moment he is still on the team, but auditions for a replacement are already under way. Names being mentioned are Todd France, Damon Duval, David Kimball, and Jeff Chandler. The winner could be valuable, as the Giants are 3rd in kicking-point-attempts.
NY Jets Doug Brien 22 20 22 25 24 18 7.3 9 7.0 13 7.5 9 6.3 15 1.09 1.37 Buf 0.74 7.0 5.2 6.8 12
notes Scobee scored 7 points when he played Buffalo. Janikowski scored 7 points when he played Buffalo. Vinatieri scored 7 points when he played Buffalo. Brien plays Buffalo this week.
Oakland Sebastian Janikowski 31 5 37 4 34 5 7.8 7 9.5 4 6.0 16 7.0 21 1.10 1.20 @Ind 1.08 6.0 6.5 7.4 14
notes misses: 46WL, 35WR
Look for Janikowski to stick to his road average of 6 ppg.
Philadelphia David Akers 41 1 50 1 49 1 10.3 1 8.0 10 12.5 1 4.8 5 1.21 0.80 BYE          
notes misses: 53WL, 39WR, 45WR
A must start every week… except perhaps when the Eagles have a bye week.
Pittsburgh Jeff Reed 18 23 27 16 22 21 4.5 24 5.0 22 4.0 24 6.8 17 1.04 1.01 Cle 1.03 5.0 5.1 5.6 17
notes misses: 48WL, 44WR, 45WL
All Reed's FG attempts so far this year have been over 40 yards.
San Diego Nate Kaeding 28 8 28 13 31 8 7.0 11 6.0 20 8.0 5 8.5 30 1.17 0.92 Jac 0.99 6.0 5.9 7.8 9
notes The two rookies in a classic head to head match-up.
Seattle Josh Brown 17 27 17 28 18 26 5.7 21 10.0 2 3.5 30 2.3 1 0.00 0.54 StL 0.63 10.0 6.3 4.0 13
notes Brown has the biggest discrepancy between home scoring and road scoring in the league.
San Francisco Todd Peterson 16 28 19 27 16 28 4.0 31 3.5 28 4.5 22 7.0 21 0.80 1.27 Ari 1.02 3.5 3.6 5.5 25
notes misses: 46CR. 
Peterson's scoring in the last two games: zero and zero. That leaves plenty of room for improvement.
St. Louis Jeff Wilkins 25 13 28 13 30 9 6.3 15 7.0 13 5.5 18 7.5 25 1.37 0.63 @Sea 0.00 5.5 0.0 6.9 23
notes misses: 33WL
Last year he was the best, now he's just another kicker
Tampa Bay Martin Gramatica 23 16 26 19 24 18 5.8 17 6.5 17 5.0 20 9.0 32 1.20 1.35 @NO 1.43 5.0 7.1 7.4 8
notes misses: 44WL
On paper, this looks like a good match-up for Gramatica.
Tennessee Gary Anderson 21 21 24 22 22 21 5.3 22 5.5 21 5.0 20 4.3 4 0.68 0.78 @GB 0.52 5.0 2.6 4.8 15
notes misses... Elling: 33WL; Anderson: none
Anderson vs. Andersen: Gary had an 87 point lead over Morten for all-time scoring entering the season. The lead is currently 79.
Washington John Hall 23 16 29 10 23 20 5.8 17 7.0 13 4.5 22 5.0 7 0.78 0.86 Bal 1.09 7.0 7.6 5.4 20
notes misses: 50WR, 41RU
Hall holds the modern-day NFL record for touchbacks in a season, with 29 in 1997. He has only one so far this year.
NOTES:
1. All stats are based on Standard Scoring of 3 points for field goals and 1 point for extra points
 (except for the Bonus Total column which increases 40-49 yard FG's to 4 points, and FG's of 50 yards and over to 5 points)
2. "Attempted" = maximum number of kicking points the team could have had if they made every kick
3. The Kdefensive "factors" are the median by which teams allow kicking points, as compared to their opponents average scoring 
 (i.e. smaller numbers under 1.0 equal better kicking defense, larger numbers over 1.0 = not so good)
4.  Weekly matchup numbers: the "Mathematical Projection I" is the "Kscoring" multiplied by the "Kdefensive Factor"
 Mathematical Projection II is simply the average of the Kicking ppg scored and the Kicking points allowed by the opponent
5. Misses key: SH = short, WR = wide right, WL = wide left, CR = cross bar, RU = right upright, LU = left upright, B = blocked, T = tipped 
Michael Herman's Week 5 Kicker Rankings ***

1 Jason Elam
2 Morten Andersen
3 Adam Vinatieri
4 Mike Vanderjagt (or injury replacement)
5 Kris Brown
6 Billy Cundiff
7 John Carney
8 Martin Gramatica
9 Nate Kaeding
10 Phil Dawson
11 Jay Feely
12 Doug Brien
13 Josh Brown
14 Sebastian Janikowski
15 Gary Anderson
16 Jason Hanson
17 Jeff Reed
18 Matt Stover
19 Josh Scobee
20 John Hall
21 Steve Christie (or futility replacement)
22 Rian Lindell
23 Jeff Wilkins
24 Ryan Longwell
25 Todd Peterson
26 John Kasay
27 Neil Rackers
28 Olindo Mare

*** Note: These rankings differ from the Footballguys.com website
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