Herman - Kicker Mania

2004 Kicking points
(top five are highlighted)

2004 Kicking ppg

2004 K defense

Week 7 matchup

TEAM

Current KICKER

stndrd
total

rnk

attmpt
total

rnk

bonus
total

rnk

avg

rnk

home

rnk

away

rnk

ppg allow

rnk

home factor

away factor

oppnt

Kdef
factor

score
avg

Math
Proj
I

Math
Proj
II

cheat
sheet
rank

Arizona

Neil Rackers

27

24

30

27

31

24

5.4

23

8.0

8

3.7

28

7.8

29

0.81

1.50

Sea

0.92

8.0

7.4

6.6

19

notes

misses: 58T
Rackers fares much better at home than on the road. He scored 6 when NE came to town, and 10 when NO visited.

Atlanta

Jay Feely

35

15

35

22

36

19

5.8

18

5.8

21

6.0

19

5.3

7

0.79

1.32

@KC

1.35

6.0

8.1

5.6

11

notes

In week 4 Feely made a 47 yard field goal. That was his only attempt over 40 yards this year (fewest in the NFL).

Baltimore

Matt Stover

31

22

31

24

34

22

6.2

15

9.0

5

4.3

26

6.2

14

0.82

0.95

Buf

1.19

9.0

10.7

6.2

2

notes

Last year Stover was the second highest scoring kicker when playing at home. This year he's fifth. Is it M&T Bank Stadium? Is it the MomentumTurf? Is it the crowd?

Buffalo

Rian Lindell

23

28

29

24

29

4.6

27

5.7

22

3.0

31

7.6

27

1.17

1.19

@Bal

0.82

3.0

2.5

6.1

28

notes

misses: 42WL, 43SH
Lindell has spent a lot of time on the sidelines during road games. He attempted one field goal at Oakland and none at NYJ.

Carolina

John Kasay

15

32

18

32

17

32

3.0

32

3.0

30

3.0

31

8.0

30

1.18

1.25

SD

1.00

3.0

5.5

26

notes

misses: 52WL
The Panthers are having serious problems even getting into field goal range. They've had only three attempts all year, and two of those were over 50 yards.

Chicago

Paul Edinger

22

30

31

24

23

30

4.4

29

3.0

30

6.5

14

8.2

31

1.23

1.07

@TB

0.97

6.5

6.3

21

notes

misses: 27B, 45WL, 39WR
Edinger had one big game against the Viking, but has been quiet otherwise.

Cincinnati

Shayne Graham

35

15

41

15

37

17

7.0

12

9.5

2

5.3

21

6.6

18

1.16

1.00

Den

0.41

9.5

3.9

6.8

16

notes

misses: 38WR, 44WL
Graham's two best games this year were at home against good defenses.

Cleveland

Phil Dawson

50

3

50

4

54

3

8.3

4

7.7

10

9.0

3

6.5

17

0.94

1.06

Phi

0.67

7.7

5.1

7.4

22

notes

Dawson is off to a great start, however… Philadelphia has given up the second fewest points-per-game to kickers.

Dallas

Billy Cundiff

25

27

31

24

27

5.0

26

5.7

22

4.0

27

8.2

31

1.33

0.69

@GB

0.46

4.0

1.8

6.6

25

notes

misses: 49RU, 52SH
Cundiff splurged with 8 points last week. This week he should drop back to mediocre numbers.

Denver

Jason Elam

52

2

55

2

59

2

8.7

3

9.7

1

7.7

6

4.8

4

0.95

0.41

@Cin

1.16

7.7

8.9

6.8

7

notes

misses: 51SH
Last week Elam moved into a tie for 17th place on the all-time scoring list with Fred Cox.

Detroit

Jason Hanson

22

30

28

31

23

30

4.4

29

3.0

30

6.5

14

6.0

11

0.96

0.68

@NYG

0.41

6.5

2.7

5.2

27

notes

misses: 47WR, 48WR
Hanson gets to visit the Giants (the top rated defense against kickers).

Green bay

Ryan Longwell

35

15

41

15

40

12

5.8

18

4.7

26

7.0

11

5.3

7

0.46

1.29

Dal

0.69

4.7

3.2

5.6

17

notes

misses: 45RU, 52CR
All four teams in the NFC North score more kicking points on the road than at home. Hmmm….

Houston

Kris Brown

46

4

49

5

52

4

7.7

5

8.0

8

7.3

8

4.8

4

1.07

0.80

BYE

0.00

8.0

0.0

6.3

29

notes

misses: 57SH

Indianapolis

Mike Vanderjagt

33

21

39

19

35

20

6.6

13

7.0

13

6.3

16

6.4

15

0.71

1.00

Jac

1.20

7.0

8.4

6.5

8

notes

misses: Bryant 44WL; Vanderjagt 48WR.
Vanderjagt is back this week. He says he could have kicked in their last game, but the Colts played it safe.

Jacksonville

Josh Scobee

23

28

29

25

28

3.8

31

4.0

28

3.7

28

6.0

11

0.78

1.20

@Ind

0.71

3.7

2.6

4.9

18

notes

misses: 35WR, 51WR
Scobee had his best game of the year back in week 4 against the Colts

Kansas City

Lawrence Tynes

27

24

37

21

30

25

5.4

23

4.0

28

6.3

16

6.4

15

1.35

0.67

Atl

1.32

4.0

5.3

5.9

20

notes

misses: 58WR, 47WR, 42WR. Tynes missed an extra point last week, and his boss is well aware of it. It's not a "situation" yet, but keep an eye on this.
"He didn’t get set up properly and he just missed it. It’s the only miss in the National Football League this year." - Dick Vermeil

Miami

Matt Bryant

31

22

34

23

34

22

5.2

25

4.3

27

6.0

19

6.8

22

0.68

1.05

StL

0.95

4.3

4.1

6.0

24

notes

misses: 46WR.
Olindo Mare will miss his second straight game courtesy of his left calf.

Minnesota

Morten Andersen

36

12

42

13

38

16

7.2

10

7.0

13

7.3

8

7.0

23

1.39

0.96

Ten

1.09

7.0

7.6

7.1

10

notes

misses: 44SH, 46WR.
The only way you won't get points from Andersen is if the Vikings decide to go for 2-point conversions all day.

New England

Adam Vinatieri

45

6

48

6

49

7

9.0

2

9.0

5

9.0

3

6.6

18

0.95

0.82

NYJ

1.31

9.0

11.8

7.8

4

notes

misses: 47WR
Vinatieri is on pace for his best year ever.

New Orleans

John Carney

45

6

48

6

51

5

7.5

9

6.3

18

10.0

2

7.2

25

1.31

1.04

@Oak

1.14

10.0

11.4

7.3

13

notes

misses: 51WL
Carney and the Saints are a gamble on any given week.

NY Giants

Steve Christie

38

8

53

3

44

8

7.6

7

8.5

7

7.0

11

3.6

1

0.41

0.71

Det

0.68

8.5

5.8

5.6

14

notes

misses: 47SH, 51SH, 49WR, 30WL, 33WL.
Christie was very close to losing his job after the GB debacle. Coughlin gave him another chance and he responded in a big way, going 4 for 4 on FG's (31, 51, 47, 26)

NY Jets

Doug Brien

36

12

39

19

39

13

7.2

10

7.0

13

7.5

7

4.6

3

0.67

1.31

@NE

0.95

7.5

7.1

5.9

12

notes

misses: 29WL
How have kickers fared at New England this year? Vanderjagt 6 points, Josh Brown 12 points.

Oakland

Sebastian Janikowsk

36

12

42

13

39

13

6.0

17

7.3

11

4.7

24

6.7

20

1.14

0.90

NO

1.04

7.3

7.6

6.3

9

notes

misses: 46WL, 35WR
Janikowski's production has dropped since Collins took over at QB. The visiting generous Saints should help get him back in action.

Philadelphia

David Akers

53

1

62

1

63

1

10.6

1

9.3

4

12.5

1

3.8

2

0.71

0.67

@Cle

0.94

12.5

11.7

7.2

1

notes

misses: 53WL, 39WR, 45WR
Akers has scored in double digits for three games in a row.

Pittsburgh

Jeff Reed

34

18

43

11

41

10

5.7

20

6.7

16

4.7

24

7.7

28

1.22

1.33

BYE

0.00

6.7

0.0

6.7

29

notes

misses: 48WL, 44WR, 45WL

San Diego

Nate Kaeding

46

4

46

9

51

5

7.7

5

7.3

11

8.0

5

6.7

20

0.82

1.00

@Car

1.18

8.0

9.4

7.2

6

notes

Many rookie kickers struggle to adapt to the pro game. Kaeding has looked good from the start.

Seattle

Josh Brown

38

8

41

15

41

10

7.6

7

9.5

2

6.3

16

5.6

9

0.68

0.92

@Ari

0.81

6.3

5.1

6.6

5

notes

misses: 43WL
Brown's field goal attempts have increased by one each and every game. If that continues, he'll have five attempts this week.

San Francisco

Todd Peterson

27

24

30

27

28

26

4.5

28

5.3

24

3.7

28

6.0

11

0.90

0.74

BYE

0.00

5.3

0.0

5.3

29

notes

misses: 46CR

St. Louis

Jeff Wilkins

38

8

47

8

43

9

6.3

14

6.0

19

6.7

13

7.0

23

1.09

0.95

@Mia

0.68

6.7

4.5

6.7

23

notes

misses: 33WL, 56SH, 44WR. Wilkins is listed as questionable (ankle) on Wednesday's injury report. The Rams have signed Jeff Chandler in case Wilkins can't go on Sunday. As you may remember, Chandler is the one who stank it up big time for Jacksonville during the preseason.

Tampa Bay

Martin Gramatica

34

18

46

9

37

17

5.7

20

6.5

17

5.3

23

7.5

26

0.97

1.22

Chi

1.07

6.5

7.0

6.6

15

notes

misses: 44WL, 41WL, 35WL, 48WL.
Hot Seat Warning: Gramatica missed both his FG attempts last week. He's been shaky dating all the way back to the Carolina debacle early last year.

Tennessee

Gary Anderson

37

11

43

11

39

13

6.2

16

5.0

25

7.3

8

5.7

10

1.09

@Min

1.39

7.3

10.2

5.9

3

notes

misses... Elling: 33WL; Anderson: 42B
Anderson vs. Andersen for all-time scoring leader: Gary led by 87 points when the season began. Morten has cut the lead to 83.

Washington

Ola Kimrin

34

18

40

18

35

20

5.7

20

6.0

19

5.3

21

4.8

4

0.76

0.94

BYE

0.00

6.0

0.0

5.3

29

notes

misses: 50WR, 41RU

1.

All stats are based on Standard Scoring of 3 points for field goals and 1 point for extra points

(except for the Bonus Total column which increases 40-49 yard FG's to 4 points, and FG's of 50 yards and over to 5 points)

2.

"Attempted" = maximum number of kicking points the team could have had if they made every kick

3.

The Kdefensive "factors" are the median by which teams allow kicking points, as compared to their opponents average scoring

(i.e. smaller numbers under 1.0 equal better kicking defense, larger numbers over 1.0 = not so good)

4.

Weekly matchup numbers: the "Mathematical Projection I" is the "Kscoring" multiplied by the "Kdefensive Factor"

Mathematical Projection II is simply the average of the Kicking ppg scored and the Kicking points allowed by the opponent

5.

Misses key: SH = short, WR = wide right, WL = wide left, CR = cross bar, RU = right upright, LU = left upright, B = blocked, T = tipped

Kicker Mania - thru week 6 & looking ahead to week 7
		2004 Kicking points (top five are highlighted)						2004 Kicking ppg						2004 K defense				Week 7 matchup
TEAM	Current KICKER	stndrd total	rnk	attmpt total	rnk	bonus total	rnk	avg	rnk	home	rnk	away	rnk	ppg allow	rnk	home factor	away factor	oppnt	Kdef factor	score avg	Math Proj I	Math Proj II	cheat sheet rank
Arizona	Neil Rackers	27	24	30	27	31	24	5.4	23	8.0	8	3.7	28	7.8	29	0.81	1.50	Sea	0.92	8.0	7.4	6.6	19
notes	misses: 58T Rackers fares much better at home than on the road. He scored 6 when NE came to town, and 10 when NO visited.
Atlanta	Jay Feely	35	15	35	22	36	19	5.8	18	5.8	21	6.0	19	5.3	7	0.79	1.32	@KC	1.35	6.0	8.1	5.6	11
notes	In week 4 Feely made a 47 yard field goal. That was his only attempt over 40 yards this year (fewest in the NFL).
Baltimore	Matt Stover	31	22	31	24	34	22	6.2	15	9.0	5	4.3	26	6.2	14	0.82	0.95	Buf	1.19	9.0	10.7	6.2	2
notes	Last year Stover was the second highest scoring kicker when playing at home. This year he's fifth. Is it M&T Bank Stadium? Is it the MomentumTurf? Is it the crowd?
Buffalo	Rian Lindell	23	28	29	29	24	29	4.6	27	5.7	22	3.0	31	7.6	27	1.17	1.19	@Bal	0.82	3.0	2.5	6.1	28
notes	misses: 42WL, 43SH Lindell has spent a lot of time on the sidelines during road games. He attempted one field goal at Oakland and none at NYJ.
Carolina	John Kasay	15	32	18	32	17	32	3.0	32	3.0	30	3.0	31	8.0	30	1.18	1.25	SD	1.00	3.0	3.0	5.5	26
notes	misses: 52WL The Panthers are having serious problems even getting into field goal range. They've had only three attempts all year, and two of those were over 50 yards.
Chicago	Paul Edinger	22	30	31	24	23	30	4.4	29	3.0	30	6.5	14	8.2	31	1.23	1.07	@TB	0.97	6.5	6.3	6.3	21
notes	misses: 27B, 45WL, 39WR Edinger had one big game against the Viking, but has been quiet otherwise.
Cincinnati	Shayne Graham	35	15	41	15	37	17	7.0	12	9.5	2	5.3	21	6.6	18	1.16	1.00	Den	0.41	9.5	3.9	6.8	16
notes	misses: 38WR, 44WL Graham's two best games this year were at home against good defenses.
Cleveland	Phil Dawson	50	3	50	4	54	3	8.3	4	7.7	10	9.0	3	6.5	17	0.94	1.06	Phi	0.67	7.7	5.1	7.4	22
notes	Dawson is off to a great start, however… Philadelphia has given up the second fewest points-per-game to kickers.
Dallas	Billy Cundiff	25	27	31	24	27	27	5.0	26	5.7	22	4.0	27	8.2	31	1.33	0.69	@GB	0.46	4.0	1.8	6.6	25
notes	misses: 49RU, 52SH Cundiff splurged with 8 points last week. This week he should drop back to mediocre numbers.
Denver	Jason Elam	52	2	55	2	59	2	8.7	3	9.7	1	7.7	6	4.8	4	0.95	0.41	@Cin	1.16	7.7	8.9	6.8	7
notes	misses: 51SH Last week Elam moved into a tie for 17th place on the all-time scoring list with Fred Cox.
Detroit	Jason Hanson	22	30	28	31	23	30	4.4	29	3.0	30	6.5	14	6.0	11	0.96	0.68	@NYG	0.41	6.5	2.7	5.2	27
notes	misses: 47WR, 48WR Hanson gets to visit the Giants (the top rated defense against kickers).
Green bay	Ryan Longwell	35	15	41	15	40	12	5.8	18	4.7	26	7.0	11	5.3	7	0.46	1.29	Dal	0.69	4.7	3.2	5.6	17
notes	misses: 45RU, 52CR All four teams in the NFC North score more kicking points on the road than at home. Hmmm….
Houston	Kris Brown	46	4	49	5	52	4	7.7	5	8.0	8	7.3	8	4.8	4	1.07	0.80	BYE	0.00	8.0	0.0	6.3	29
notes	misses: 57SH
Indianapolis	Mike Vanderjagt	33	21	39	19	35	20	6.6	13	7.0	13	6.3	16	6.4	15	0.71	1.00	Jac	1.20	7.0	8.4	6.5	8
notes	misses: Bryant 44WL; Vanderjagt 48WR. Vanderjagt is back this week. He says he could have kicked in their last game, but the Colts played it safe.
Jacksonville	Josh Scobee	23	28	29	29	25	28	3.8	31	4.0	28	3.7	28	6.0	11	0.78	1.20	@Ind	0.71	3.7	2.6	4.9	18
notes	misses: 35WR, 51WR Scobee had his best game of the year back in week 4 against the Colts
Kansas City	Lawrence Tynes	27	24	37	21	30	25	5.4	23	4.0	28	6.3	16	6.4	15	1.35	0.67	Atl	1.32	4.0	5.3	5.9	20
notes	misses: 58WR, 47WR, 42WR. Tynes missed an extra point last week, and his boss is well aware of it. It's not a "situation" yet, but keep an eye on this. "He didn’t get set up properly and he just missed it. It’s the only miss in the National Football League this year." - Dick Vermeil
Miami	Matt Bryant	31	22	34	23	34	22	5.2	25	4.3	27	6.0	19	6.8	22	0.68	1.05	StL	0.95	4.3	4.1	6.0	24
notes	misses: 46WR. Olindo Mare will miss his second straight game courtesy of his left calf.
Minnesota	Morten Andersen	36	12	42	13	38	16	7.2	10	7.0	13	7.3	8	7.0	23	1.39	0.96	Ten	1.09	7.0	7.6	7.1	10
notes	misses: 44SH, 46WR. The only way you won't get points from Andersen is if the Vikings decide to go for 2-point conversions all day.
New England	Adam Vinatieri	45	6	48	6	49	7	9.0	2	9.0	5	9.0	3	6.6	18	0.95	0.82	NYJ	1.31	9.0	11.8	7.8	4
notes	misses: 47WR Vinatieri is on pace for his best year ever.
New Orleans	John Carney	45	6	48	6	51	5	7.5	9	6.3	18	10.0	2	7.2	25	1.31	1.04	@Oak	1.14	10.0	11.4	7.3	13
notes	misses: 51WL Carney and the Saints are a gamble on any given week.
NY Giants	Steve Christie	38	8	53	3	44	8	7.6	7	8.5	7	7.0	11	3.6	1	0.41	0.71	Det	0.68	8.5	5.8	5.6	14
notes	misses: 47SH, 51SH, 49WR, 30WL, 33WL. Christie was very close to losing his job after the GB debacle. Coughlin gave him another chance and he responded in a big way, going 4 for 4 on FG's (31, 51, 47, 26)
NY Jets	Doug Brien	36	12	39	19	39	13	7.2	10	7.0	13	7.5	7	4.6	3	0.67	1.31	@NE	0.95	7.5	7.1	5.9	12
notes	misses: 29WL How have kickers fared at New England this year? Vanderjagt 6 points, Josh Brown 12 points.
Oakland	Sebastian Janikowski	36	12	42	13	39	13	6.0	17	7.3	11	4.7	24	6.7	20	1.14	0.90	NO	1.04	7.3	7.6	6.3	9
notes	misses: 46WL, 35WR Janikowski's production has dropped since Collins took over at QB. The visiting generous Saints should help get him back in action.
Philadelphia	David Akers	53	1	62	1	63	1	10.6	1	9.3	4	12.5	1	3.8	2	0.71	0.67	@Cle	0.94	12.5	11.7	7.2	1
notes	misses: 53WL, 39WR, 45WR Akers has scored in double digits for three games in a row.
Pittsburgh	Jeff Reed	34	18	43	11	41	10	5.7	20	6.7	16	4.7	24	7.7	28	1.22	1.33	BYE	0.00	6.7	0.0	6.7	29
notes	misses: 48WL, 44WR, 45WL
San Diego	Nate Kaeding	46	4	46	9	51	5	7.7	5	7.3	11	8.0	5	6.7	20	0.82	1.00	@Car	1.18	8.0	9.4	7.2	6
notes	Many rookie kickers struggle to adapt to the pro game. Kaeding has looked good from the start.
Seattle	Josh Brown	38	8	41	15	41	10	7.6	7	9.5	2	6.3	16	5.6	9	0.68	0.92	@Ari	0.81	6.3	5.1	6.6	5
notes	misses: 43WL Brown's field goal attempts have increased by one each and every game. If that continues, he'll have five attempts this week.
San Francisco	Todd Peterson	27	24	30	27	28	26	4.5	28	5.3	24	3.7	28	6.0	11	0.90	0.74	BYE	0.00	5.3	0.0	5.3	29
notes	misses: 46CR
St. Louis	Jeff Wilkins	38	8	47	8	43	9	6.3	14	6.0	19	6.7	13	7.0	23	1.09	0.95	@Mia	0.68	6.7	4.5	6.7	23
notes	misses: 33WL, 56SH, 44WR. Wilkins is listed as questionable (ankle) on Wednesday's injury report. The Rams have signed Jeff Chandler in case Wilkins can't go on Sunday. As you may remember, Chandler is the one who stank it up big time for Jacksonville during the preseason.
Tampa Bay	Martin Gramatica	34	18	46	9	37	17	5.7	20	6.5	17	5.3	23	7.5	26	0.97	1.22	Chi	1.07	6.5	7.0	6.6	15
notes	misses: 44WL, 41WL, 35WL, 48WL. Hot Seat Warning: Gramatica missed both his FG attempts last week. He's been shaky dating all the way back to the Carolina debacle early last year.
Tennessee	Gary Anderson	37	11	43	11	39	13	6.2	16	5.0	25	7.3	8	5.7	10	1.09	1.09	@Min	1.39	7.3	10.2	5.9	3
notes	misses... Elling: 33WL; Anderson: 42B Anderson vs. Andersen for all-time scoring leader: Gary led by 87 points when the season began. Morten has cut the lead to 83.
Washington	Ola Kimrin	34	18	40	18	35	20	5.7	20	6.0	19	5.3	21	4.8	4	0.76	0.94	BYE	0.00	6.0	0.0	5.3	29
notes	misses: 50WR, 41RU

NOTES:
1.	All stats are based on Standard Scoring of 3 points for field goals and 1 point for extra points
	(except for the Bonus Total column which increases 40-49 yard FG's to 4 points, and FG's of 50 yards and over to 5 points)
2.	"Attempted" = maximum number of kicking points the team could have had if they made every kick
3.	The Kdefensive "factors" are the median by which teams allow kicking points, as compared to their opponents average scoring
	(i.e. smaller numbers under 1.0 equal better kicking defense, larger numbers over 1.0 = not so good)
4.	Weekly matchup numbers: the "Mathematical Projection I" is the "Kscoring" multiplied by the "Kdefensive Factor"
	Mathematical Projection II is simply the average of the Kicking ppg scored and the Kicking points allowed by the opponent
5.	Misses key: SH = short, WR = wide right, WL = wide left, CR = cross bar, RU = right upright, LU = left upright, B = blocked, T = tipped

Rk	Kicker
1	David Akers
2	Matt Stover
3	Gary Anderson
4	Adam Vinatieri
5	Josh Brown
6	Nate Kaeding
7	Jason Elam
8	Mike Vanderjagt
9	Sebastian Janikowski
10	Morten Andersen
11	Jay Feely
12	Doug Brien
13	John Carney
14	Steve Christie
15	Martin Gramatica
16	Shayne Graham
17	Ryan Longwell
18	Josh Scobee
19	Neil Rackers
20	Lawrence Tynes
21	Paul Edinger
22	Phil Dawson
23	Jeff Wilkins (or Jeff Chandler)
24	Matt Bryant
25	Billy Cundiff
26	John Kasay
27	Jason Hanson
28	Rian Lindell