Herman - Kicker Mania

2004 Kicking points
(top five are highlighted)

2004 Kicking ppg

2004 K defense

Week 9 matchup

TEAM

Current KICKER

stndrd
total

rnk

attmpt
total

rnk

bonus
total

rnk

avg

rnk

home

rnk

away

rnk

ppg allow

rnk

home factor

away factor

oppnt

Kdef
factor

score
avg

Math
Proj
I

Math
Proj
II

cheat
sheet
rank

Arizona

Neil Rackers

40

23

46

23

50

17

5.7

22

9.0

4

3.3

32

7.4

26

0.83

1.39

@Mia

0.87

3.3

2.8

6.6

26

notes

misses: 58T, 64SH.
Arizona is dead last in kicking points scored on the road.

Atlanta

Jay Feely

50

13

53

16

52

15

6.3

18

5.8

24

6.8

10

5.5

7

0.96

1.14

BYE

notes

misses: 49WL

Baltimore

Matt Stover

43

20

46

23

47

18

6.1

19

8.7

6

4.3

28

6.6

16

1.42

0.94

Cle

1.13

8.7

9.8

6.4

4

notes

misses: 50WR.
Both kickers should be busy in this game!

Buffalo

Rian Lindell

37

27

43

28

38

27

5.3

25

6.3

17

4.0

29

6.9

22

0.99

0.92

NYJ

0.82

6.3

5.1

6.1

19

notes

misses: 42WL, 43SH
Lindell scored 8 points in each of his last two home games, although that was against Miami and Arizona.

Carolina

John Kasay

26

32

28

32

3.7

32

4.0

30

3.5

31

8.0

31

0.83

1.03

Oak

0.83

4.0

3.3

5.9

24

notes

misses: 52WL, 46WR
Kasay has fared a little better in his last two games as compared to earlier in the year, although still not enough to get excited about.

Chicago

Paul Edinger

34

29

46

23

38

27

4.9

29

5.0

27

4.7

25

7.9

29

1.43

1.05

@NYG

0.44

4.7

2.1

6.4

28

notes

misses: 27B, 45WL, 39WR, 53SH
The Giants are the only team to hold their opponent's kicker below their average every week.

Cincinnati

Shayne Graham

54

7

60

5

60

7

7.7

5

10.0

1

6.0

14

6.6

16

1.18

1.10

Dal

0.87

10.0

8.7

7.1

6

notes

misses: 38WR, 44WL
Graham is #1 at home.

Cleveland

Phil Dawson

57

4

57

9

61

6

8.1

3

7.5

12

9.0

2

7.0

24

0.85

1.13

@Bal

1.42

9.0

12.8

7.6

2

notes

Cleveland is the only team that hasn't missed a field goal all year.

Dallas

Billy Cundiff

40

23

46

23

44

24

5.7

22

6.0

21

5.3

19

7.9

29

1.31

0.87

@Cin

1.18

5.3

6.3

6.8

12

notes

misses: 49RU, 52SH.
If you need a last minute waiver wire pickup, Cundiff might be there.

Denver

Jason Elam

60

2

66

3

67

2

7.5

8

8.3

8

6.8

10

6.4

15

1.20

0.69

Hou

0.67

8.3

5.5

6.9

16

notes

misses: 51SH, 49WL
After two ugly games in a row, Elam is dropping in the rankings.

Detroit

Jason Hanson

29

31

35

31

30

31

4.1

31

3.0

32

5.0

23

6.3

12

1.03

0.79

Was

0.80

3.0

2.4

5.2

27

notes

misses: 47WR, 48WR
Detroit has attempted only 6 field goals (fewest in the League).

Green bay

Ryan Longwell

54

7

60

5

60

7

6.8

12

6.3

17

7.3

8

5.3

5

1.07

0.92

BYE

notes

misses: 45RU, 52CR

Houston

Kris Brown

54

7

57

9

60

7

7.7

5

8.0

9

7.3

6

5.0

4

1.12

0.67

@Den

1.20

7.3

8.8

6.4

5

notes

misses: 57SH
Denver has given up 11 points to kickers in each of their last two games.

Indianapolis

Mike Vanderjagt

44

17

53

16

46

22

6.3

15

6.7

15

6.0

14

7.7

27

0.97

1.25

Min

0.97

6.7

6.5

7.0

11

notes

misses: Bryant 44WL; Vanderjagt 48WR, 54WL.
Vanderjagt leads the League in extra points scored.

Jacksonville

Josh Scobee

42

21

51

20

47

18

5.3

26

4.0

30

6.0

14

6.3

10

0.89

1.00

BYE

notes

misses: 35WR, 51WR, 49WR

Kansas City

Lawrence Tynes

44

17

54

14

47

18

6.3

15

6.3

17

6.3

12

5.9

8

0.99

0.69

@TB

0.67

6.3

4.2

6.1

23

notes

misses: 58WR, 47WR, 42WR.
The Buccaneers are giving up only 5 ppg to kickers in Raymond James Stadium.

Miami

Matt Bryant

40

23

43

28

44

24

5.0

28

5.0

27

5.0

23

6.8

21

0.87

1.14

Ari

1.39

5.0

7.0

5.9

13

notes

misses: 46WR.
When on the road, Arizona gives up lots of points to kickers (even on teams with suspect offenses).

Minnesota

Morten Andersen

45

16

54

14

47

18

6.4

14

5.8

24

7.3

6

6.9

22

1.11

0.97

@Ind

0.97

7.3

7.1

6.6

9

notes

misses: 44SH, 46WR, 38LU
It's a pretty safe bet that Morten will do better this week than last week

New England

Adam Vinatieri

60

2

63

4

66

3

8.6

2

8.5

7

8.7

4

6.3

12

0.90

0.80

@StL

1.23

8.7

10.7

7.4

3

notes

misses: 47WR
Vinatieri has scored at least 6 points in every game.

New Orleans

John Carney

52

11

55

12

59

11

7.4

9

6.3

17

9.0

2

8.1

32

1.31

1.11

@SD

0.65

9.0

5.9

7.8

14

notes

misses: 51WL
Carney has fared well on the road, however the Chargers are stingy at home.

NY Giants

Steve Christie

55

6

70

2

63

4

7.9

4

8.0

9

7.8

5

3.3

1

0.44

0.42

Chi

1.05

8.0

8.4

5.6

7

notes

misses: 47SH, 51SH, 49WR, 30WL, 33WL.
Both kickers that call Giants Stadium home are averaging 8.0 ppg there.

NY Jets

Doug Brien

48

15

51

20

53

13

6.9

11

8.0

9

5.3

19

4.6

3

0.47

0.82

@Buf

0.99

5.3

5.7

18

notes

misses: 29WL
Three of four visiting kickers in Buffalo scored 7 points each.

Oakland

Sebastian Janikowsk

52

11

58

8

58

12

6.5

13

9.0

4

4.0

29

6.6

19

1.02

0.83

@Car

0.83

4.0

3.3

6.6

25

notes

misses: 46WL, 35WR
Janikowski hasn't done too well on the road.

Philadelphia

David Akers

72

1

81

1

86

1

10.3

1

9.3

3

11.7

1

4.3

2

0.79

0.60

@Pit

1.07

11.7

12.5

7.3

1

notes

misses: 53WL, 39WR, 45WR
Akers scored "only" 9 points last week, after 4 prior double-digit efforts.

Pittsburgh

Jeff Reed

44

17

53

16

51

16

6.3

15

7.5

12

4.7

25

7.7

27

1.07

1.33

Phi

0.60

7.5

4.5

7.0

22

notes

misses: 48WL, 44WR, 45WL
Can the Steelers do it twice in a row?

San Diego

Nate Kaeding

57

4

60

5

63

4

7.1

10

7.0

14

7.3

8

6.0

9

0.65

1.17

NO

1.11

7.0

7.8

6.6

8

notes

misses: 29WL
Kaeding is second in the League in extra points scored.

Seattle

Josh Brown

54

7

57

9

60

7

7.7

5

10.0

1

6.0

14

6.3

12

1.43

1.06

@SF

1.09

6.0

6.5

7.0

10

notes

misses: 43WL
When they met in Seattle earlier in the year, Brown wupped Peterson 10 to 0…

San Francisco

Todd Peterson

34

29

40

30

38

27

4.9

29

5.3

26

4.5

27

6.7

20

1.09

1.31

Sea

1.06

5.3

5.7

5.8

15

notes

misses: 46CR, 50SH
… and Peterson hasn't forgotten.

St. Louis

Jeff Wilkins

40

23

49

22

45

23

5.7

22

6.0

21

5.5

18

7.0

24

1.23

1.15

NE

0.80

6.0

4.8

6.4

20

notes

misses: 33WL, 56SH, 44WR
Remember way back to last year, when Wilkins was the top kicker in the NFL?

Tampa Bay

Martin Gramatica

41

22

53

16

44

24

5.9

21

6.7

15

5.3

22

6.6

16

0.67

1.07

KC

0.69

6.7

4.6

6.2

21

notes

misses: 44WL, 41WL, 35WL, 48WL
Only Christie has missed more field goals than Gramatica this year.

Tennessee

Gary Anderson

49

14

55

12

53

13

6.1

20

6.0

21

6.3

13

6.3

10

1.13

1.27

BYE

notes

misses... Elling: 33WL; Anderson: 42B
Anderson vs. Andersen for all-time scoring leader: Gary led by 87 points when the season began. Morten has gained a mere 1 point to cut the lead to 86.

Washington

Ola Kimrin

36

28

45

27

37

30

5.1

27

5.0

27

5.3

19

5.3

6

0.93

0.80

@Det

1.03

5.3

5.5

5.2

17

notes

misses: Hall 50WR, 41RU; Kimrin 35WL
John Hall is listed as "out" on Wednesday's injury report, meaning Ola Kimrin will again handle the kicking duties again this week.

1.

All stats are based on Standard Scoring of 3 points for field goals and 1 point for extra points

(except for the Bonus Total column which increases 40-49 yard FG's to 4 points, and FG's of 50 yards and over to 5 points)

2.

"Attempted" = maximum number of kicking points the team could have had if they made every kick

3.

The Kdefensive "factors" are the median by which teams allow kicking points, as compared to their opponents average scoring

(i.e. smaller numbers under 1.0 equal better kicking defense, larger numbers over 1.0 = not so good)

4.

Weekly matchup numbers: the "Mathematical Projection I" is the "Kscoring" multiplied by the "Kdefensive Factor"

Mathematical Projection II is simply the average of the Kicking ppg scored and the Kicking points allowed by the opponent

5.

Misses key: SH = short, WR = wide right, WL = wide left, CR = cross bar, RU = right upright, LU = left upright, B = blocked, T = tipped

Kicker Mania - thru week 8 & looking ahead to week 9
		2004 Kicking points (top five are highlighted)						2004 Kicking ppg						2004 K defense				Week 9 matchup
TEAM	Current KICKER	stndrd total	rnk	attmpt total	rnk	bonus total	rnk	avg	rnk	home	rnk	away	rnk	ppg allow	rnk	home factor	away factor	oppnt	Kdef factor	score avg	Math Proj I	Math Proj II	cheat sheet rank
Arizona	Neil Rackers	40	23	46	23	50	17	5.7	22	9.0	4	3.3	32	7.4	26	0.83	1.39	@Mia	0.87	3.3	2.8	6.6	26
notes	misses: 58T, 64SH. Arizona is dead last in kicking points scored on the road.
Atlanta	Jay Feely	50	13	53	16	52	15	6.3	18	5.8	24	6.8	10	5.5	7	0.96	1.14	BYE
notes	misses: 49WL
Baltimore	Matt Stover	43	20	46	23	47	18	6.1	19	8.7	6	4.3	28	6.6	16	1.42	0.94	Cle	1.13	8.7	9.8	6.4	4
notes	misses: 50WR. Both kickers should be busy in this game!
Buffalo	Rian Lindell	37	27	43	28	38	27	5.3	25	6.3	17	4.0	29	6.9	22	0.99	0.92	NYJ	0.82	6.3	5.1	6.1	19
notes	misses: 42WL, 43SH Lindell scored 8 points in each of his last two home games, although that was against Miami and Arizona.
Carolina	John Kasay	26	32	32	32	28	32	3.7	32	4.0	30	3.5	31	8.0	31	0.83	1.03	Oak	0.83	4.0	3.3	5.9	24
notes	misses: 52WL, 46WR Kasay has fared a little better in his last two games as compared to earlier in the year, although still not enough to get excited about.
Chicago	Paul Edinger	34	29	46	23	38	27	4.9	29	5.0	27	4.7	25	7.9	29	1.43	1.05	@NYG	0.44	4.7	2.1	6.4	28
notes	misses: 27B, 45WL, 39WR, 53SH The Giants are the only team to hold their opponent's kicker below their average every week.
Cincinnati	Shayne Graham	54	7	60	5	60	7	7.7	5	10.0	1	6.0	14	6.6	16	1.18	1.10	Dal	0.87	10.0	8.7	7.1	6
notes	misses: 38WR, 44WL Graham is #1 at home.
Cleveland	Phil Dawson	57	4	57	9	61	6	8.1	3	7.5	12	9.0	2	7.0	24	0.85	1.13	@Bal	1.42	9.0	12.8	7.6	2
notes	Cleveland is the only team that hasn't missed a field goal all year.
Dallas	Billy Cundiff	40	23	46	23	44	24	5.7	22	6.0	21	5.3	19	7.9	29	1.31	0.87	@Cin	1.18	5.3	6.3	6.8	12
notes	misses: 49RU, 52SH. If you need a last minute waiver wire pickup, Cundiff might be there.
Denver	Jason Elam	60	2	66	3	67	2	7.5	8	8.3	8	6.8	10	6.4	15	1.20	0.69	Hou	0.67	8.3	5.5	6.9	16
notes	misses: 51SH, 49WL After two ugly games in a row, Elam is dropping in the rankings.
Detroit	Jason Hanson	29	31	35	31	30	31	4.1	31	3.0	32	5.0	23	6.3	12	1.03	0.79	Was	0.80	3.0	2.4	5.2	27
notes	misses: 47WR, 48WR Detroit has attempted only 6 field goals (fewest in the League).
Green bay	Ryan Longwell	54	7	60	5	60	7	6.8	12	6.3	17	7.3	8	5.3	5	1.07	0.92	BYE
notes	misses: 45RU, 52CR
Houston	Kris Brown	54	7	57	9	60	7	7.7	5	8.0	9	7.3	6	5.0	4	1.12	0.67	@Den	1.20	7.3	8.8	6.4	5
notes	misses: 57SH Denver has given up 11 points to kickers in each of their last two games.
Indianapolis	Mike Vanderjagt	44	17	53	16	46	22	6.3	15	6.7	15	6.0	14	7.7	27	0.97	1.25	Min	0.97	6.7	6.5	7.0	11
notes	misses: Bryant 44WL; Vanderjagt 48WR, 54WL. Vanderjagt leads the League in extra points scored.
Jacksonville	Josh Scobee	42	21	51	20	47	18	5.3	26	4.0	30	6.0	14	6.3	10	0.89	1.00	BYE
notes	misses: 35WR, 51WR, 49WR
Kansas City	Lawrence Tynes	44	17	54	14	47	18	6.3	15	6.3	17	6.3	12	5.9	8	0.99	0.69	@TB	0.67	6.3	4.2	6.1	23
notes	misses: 58WR, 47WR, 42WR. The Buccaneers are giving up only 5 ppg to kickers in Raymond James Stadium.
Miami	Matt Bryant	40	23	43	28	44	24	5.0	28	5.0	27	5.0	23	6.8	21	0.87	1.14	Ari	1.39	5.0	7.0	5.9	13
notes	misses: 46WR. When on the road, Arizona gives up lots of points to kickers (even on teams with suspect offenses).
Minnesota	Morten Andersen	45	16	54	14	47	18	6.4	14	5.8	24	7.3	6	6.9	22	1.11	0.97	@Ind	0.97	7.3	7.1	6.6	9
notes	misses: 44SH, 46WR, 38LU It's a pretty safe bet that Morten will do better this week than last week
New England	Adam Vinatieri	60	2	63	4	66	3	8.6	2	8.5	7	8.7	4	6.3	12	0.90	0.80	@StL	1.23	8.7	10.7	7.4	3
notes	misses: 47WR Vinatieri has scored at least 6 points in every game.
New Orleans	John Carney	52	11	55	12	59	11	7.4	9	6.3	17	9.0	2	8.1	32	1.31	1.11	@SD	0.65	9.0	5.9	7.8	14
notes	misses: 51WL Carney has fared well on the road, however the Chargers are stingy at home.
NY Giants	Steve Christie	55	6	70	2	63	4	7.9	4	8.0	9	7.8	5	3.3	1	0.44	0.42	Chi	1.05	8.0	8.4	5.6	7
notes	misses: 47SH, 51SH, 49WR, 30WL, 33WL. Both kickers that call Giants Stadium home are averaging 8.0 ppg there.
NY Jets	Doug Brien	48	15	51	20	53	13	6.9	11	8.0	9	5.3	19	4.6	3	0.47	0.82	@Buf	0.99	5.3	5.3	5.7	18
notes	misses: 29WL Three of four visiting kickers in Buffalo scored 7 points each.
Oakland	Sebastian Janikowski	52	11	58	8	58	12	6.5	13	9.0	4	4.0	29	6.6	19	1.02	0.83	@Car	0.83	4.0	3.3	6.6	25
notes	misses: 46WL, 35WR Janikowski hasn't done too well on the road.
Philadelphia	David Akers	72	1	81	1	86	1	10.3	1	9.3	3	11.7	1	4.3	2	0.79	0.60	@Pit	1.07	11.7	12.5	7.3	1
notes	misses: 53WL, 39WR, 45WR Akers scored "only" 9 points last week, after 4 prior double-digit efforts.
Pittsburgh	Jeff Reed	44	17	53	16	51	16	6.3	15	7.5	12	4.7	25	7.7	27	1.07	1.33	Phi	0.60	7.5	4.5	7.0	22
notes	misses: 48WL, 44WR, 45WL Can the Steelers do it twice in a row?
San Diego	Nate Kaeding	57	4	60	5	63	4	7.1	10	7.0	14	7.3	8	6.0	9	0.65	1.17	NO	1.11	7.0	7.8	6.6	8
notes	misses: 29WL Kaeding is second in the League in extra points scored.
Seattle	Josh Brown	54	7	57	9	60	7	7.7	5	10.0	1	6.0	14	6.3	12	1.43	1.06	@SF	1.09	6.0	6.5	7.0	10
notes	misses: 43WL When they met in Seattle earlier in the year, Brown wupped Peterson 10 to 0…
San Francisco	Todd Peterson	34	29	40	30	38	27	4.9	29	5.3	26	4.5	27	6.7	20	1.09	1.31	Sea	1.06	5.3	5.7	5.8	15
notes	misses: 46CR, 50SH … and Peterson hasn't forgotten.
St. Louis	Jeff Wilkins	40	23	49	22	45	23	5.7	22	6.0	21	5.5	18	7.0	24	1.23	1.15	NE	0.80	6.0	4.8	6.4	20
notes	misses: 33WL, 56SH, 44WR Remember way back to last year, when Wilkins was the top kicker in the NFL?
Tampa Bay	Martin Gramatica	41	22	53	16	44	24	5.9	21	6.7	15	5.3	22	6.6	16	0.67	1.07	KC	0.69	6.7	4.6	6.2	21
notes	misses: 44WL, 41WL, 35WL, 48WL Only Christie has missed more field goals than Gramatica this year.
Tennessee	Gary Anderson	49	14	55	12	53	13	6.1	20	6.0	21	6.3	13	6.3	10	1.13	1.27	BYE
notes	misses... Elling: 33WL; Anderson: 42B Anderson vs. Andersen for all-time scoring leader: Gary led by 87 points when the season began. Morten has gained a mere 1 point to cut the lead to 86.
Washington	Ola Kimrin	36	28	45	27	37	30	5.1	27	5.0	27	5.3	19	5.3	6	0.93	0.80	@Det	1.03	5.3	5.5	5.2	17
notes	misses: Hall 50WR, 41RU; Kimrin 35WL John Hall is listed as "out" on Wednesday's injury report, meaning Ola Kimrin will again handle the kicking duties again this week.

NOTES:
1.	All stats are based on Standard Scoring of 3 points for field goals and 1 point for extra points
	(except for the Bonus Total column which increases 40-49 yard FG's to 4 points, and FG's of 50 yards and over to 5 points)
2.	"Attempted" = maximum number of kicking points the team could have had if they made every kick
3.	The Kdefensive "factors" are the median by which teams allow kicking points, as compared to their opponents average scoring
	(i.e. smaller numbers under 1.0 equal better kicking defense, larger numbers over 1.0 = not so good)
4.	Weekly matchup numbers: the "Mathematical Projection I" is the "Kscoring" multiplied by the "Kdefensive Factor"
	Mathematical Projection II is simply the average of the Kicking ppg scored and the Kicking points allowed by the opponent
5.	Misses key: SH = short, WR = wide right, WL = wide left, CR = cross bar, RU = right upright, LU = left upright, B = blocked, T = tipped

Rk	Kicker
1	David Akers
2	Phil Dawson
3	Adam Vinatieri
4	Matt Stover
5	Kris Brown
6	Shayne Graham
7	Steve Christie
8	Nate Kaeding
9	Morten Andersen
10	Josh Brown
11	Mike Vanderjagt
12	Billy Cundiff
13	Matt Bryant
14	John Carney
15	Todd Peterson
16	Jason Elam
17	Ola Kimrin
18	Doug Brien
19	Rian Lindell
20	Jeff Wilkins
21	Martin Gramatica
22	Jeff Reed
23	Lawrence Tynes
24	John Kasay
25	Sebastian Janikowski
26	Neil Rackers
27	Jason Hanson
28	Paul Edinger