IDP - Ear to the Ground
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Posted 12/2 by Bob Magaw, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
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"The game is wide open, not confined. X's and O's on the blackboard are translated
into imagination on the field. It can be one man rising above the obscurity of
the grim, no glory duty of special teams. It is a lineman clawing through the
carnage of the scrimmage line and devouring the QB." - NFL Films (The Power
and the Glory CD)
The column title Ear to the Ground connotes and conveys rumblings in the distance,
and the ability to sense events that are far away... an apt metaphor for the job
of projecting from college to pro, and rookie to veteran. The emphasis of ETTG
will be on young talent (primarily, but not exclusively). As in actual IDP Dynasty
leagues and working rosters, the best teams have a mix of young AND veteran players.
Occasionally, often even, IDPs will be discussed with potential usefulness in
redraft leagues, and overlapping content found here could hold broader interest
than just Dynasty leagues. Another thrust of this column will be on the key positions
of DE, LB and S, though exceptional DT and CB talent will be covered, for the
benefit of leagues that distinguish between DE and DT, as well as S and CB. Defenses
that play appallingly bad get the penalty box for two weeks.
The intent of this survey is to be a representative and suggestive synopsis, not
a comprehensive and exhaustive catalog of all promising young IDPs. Coverage will
be on a rotating basis, staggered every other week (ARI - KC, MIA - WAS). From
a dynasty perspective, the tempo and cadence of insights is usually not given
or presented in a rapid-fire, week-to-week manner (the rhythms and waves of events
and happenings that wash over the Dynasty IDP landscape tend to not require weekly
coverage for each and every team). It is a complex task to find and field the
right mix of youth and veteran talent, production and promise on your team...
but a large part of the inherent fun of Dynasty IDP leagues is derived from the
challenge and increased degree of difficulty in juggling many different positions,
talents and ages spread across the breadth and depth of your roster.
This is only the second time in NFL history to see three 10-1 teams in the same
season (Pittsburgh, New England & Philadelphia). This mirrors the 1984 season,
which saw Miami, Denver and San Francisco also accomplish this feat... The 49ers
ultimately vanquished the Broncos in the Super Bowl that year. The ETTG hiatus
for the past few weeks was for a brief sabbatical writing Neural Net Topologies
and IDP Search Spaces for Dummies... also, I promise not to use the phrase buck
nutty in this column.... except that time.
Week 13...
Arizona - First year HC Dennis Green has been catching a lot of flak for waffling
about the future of the team's QB position... he has been much more decisive
about identifying his teams best young defensive talent and getting them to
play at a high level while they learn on the job. Star-in-the-making DT Darnell
Dockett had 3 solos and the third sack of his rookie season (within a sack of
elite interior D-Linemen John Henderson, Marcus Stroud and Shaun Rogers). If
he can avoid off the field issues, he has the goods to show that he was a first
round talent who slipped to the third over character concerns. Dockett had an
extremely challenging upbringing, and there are a lot of people pulling for
him to succeed. The team has had their share of free agent blunders over the
years, but DE Bertrand Berry has been a massive success story. He is tied for
the league lead in sacks (10) with the Colts Robert Mathis, and has been an
extremely positive mentor to the younger players on the defense. Karlos Dansby
easily leads rookie LBs with 4 sacks... he came into the league with a rep as
a big play guy, and has done nothing to dissuade the Cards coaching staff of
that notion. While Green's decision to play musical QBs at a point in the season
when they had won three of four games did seem odd (as did subsequent attempts
to justify his rationale), the defense has been pulling their weight this season.
Arizona has held their opponents to 17 or fewer points in six of eleven games
this season. MLB Ron McKinnon is almost old enough to be a contemporary of Bronco
Nagurski and Red Grange, so he won't get a lot of play in this column... he
did have 9 solos, but that was the first time since Halloween that he had more
than 4. SS Adrian Wilson continued his banner season with 7 solos and 1 assist...
he is third among all NFL safeties (10 behind the Patriots SS Rodney Harrison
and 5 behind the Rams Adam Archuleta), and looks like a cornerstone-type player,
and integral component Green could build the defense around.
Atlanta - The Falcons look like they are on target to shrug off the dubious
distinction of never having had back-to-back winning seasons... we will need
to wait until the 2005 season to see for sure, but as the only 9-2 team in the
league (behind only PIT, NE and PHI), they look well on their way, barring a
catastrophic Vick injury. DE Patrick Kerney alluded to the change in team attitude
that new HC Jim Mora, Jr. and DC Ed Donatell have fostered in a recent PFW interview...
One thing that weve talked about is covering first base. You know
how a catcher runs to first base every time the ball is hit to the shortstop
only for that one time when the ball is thrown over the first basemans
head? Thats how the catcher keeps the runner on second instead of third.
Thats the same philosophy we use where the backside defensive end is going
to take off on a pursuit angle, and hes going to do it 100 times, and
only one time will his teammates miss the tackle, but he can make a game-saving
play. Its the same thing. The Falcons have 35 sacks in the eight
games in which DT Rod Coleman has played, and in the three games in which he
missed... only 1. He leads all NFL DTs in sacks with 8, despite the three missed
games. In fact, only stud DT Kevin Williams of the Vikings (7 sacks) has more
than even 5 sacks. Coleman had a workmanlike 3 solos, 3 assists, 2 sacks and
1 FF, just a few weeks removed from an accident in which he rolled his car.
The fact that Kerney's success seems to be inextricably linked with that of
Coleman's health has been well chronicled. WLB Keith Brooking is an outstanding
talent, and key piece to the puzzle in the Falcons resurgence. His position
switch has to be getting a mixed reception among his owners... in IDP terms,
he has gone from one of the top scoring MLBs and overall IDPs in the game (second,
third and fourth in solos for '03, '02 and '01, respectively), to a WLB closer
to 20th in solos. Rookie MLB/OLB Demorrio Williams is a tremendous dynasty prospect,
and may yet prove to be one of the top LBs in the class of '04, after the usual
suspects (Vilma, D.J. Williams, Daryl Smith, Courtney Watson, etc.)... he is
definitely worth stashing on your roster for next season, in which his talent
could compel Atlanta to find a starting position for him at either MLB for the
underachieving Chris Draft or SLB, where Matt Stewart is coming up for free
agency. The Falcons have the nucleus of an up 'n coming secondary, with elite
second year SS Bryan Scott, and coveted rookie CB DeAngelo Hall, who led the
way this week with 5 solos, and had his first career INT... he is a threat to
take it to the house every time he touches the ball. Hall is reputedly faster
than Vick, and has a returner's running instincts.
Baltimore - Ed Reed is the subject of this weeks In-Depth Profile. In a recent
interview, Patriots HC Bill Belichick observed... "If you had asked me
who I would take as a defensive MVP in the league from what I have seen, I haven't
seen everybody, but it would have to be Reed... He is tremendous. I think Ed
Reed brings probably everything you like in a football player. He works hard.
He is a very well-conditioned athlete. Football is important to him. He studies
the game. He has very good ability. He is fast. He is quick. He is athletic.
I think of all of his attributes, I would say that his most outstanding one
is his intelligence. He anticipates very well. He knows what the offense is
doing. Wherever the ball is, that is where he is going to show up." Reed's
290 INT return yards are just 19 yards shy of the top WR yardage total on the
team, by Travis Taylor (319). MLB Ray Lewis may yet overtake Dolphins MLB Zach
Thomas for the league lead in solo tackles, now that it looks like he could
be sidelined for a few games. OLB Terrell Suggs already has nearly twice as
many solo tackles (33) as he did all of last season (19), and is becoming more
of a well rounded LB capable of run support. He is as dangerous as ever as a
pass rush threat, leading all LBs with 8.5 sacks (though he has gone sackless
in three of the last four games. His development has been timely, as former
All-Pro OLB Peter Boulware began the season on the PUP list, only to injure
his toe in only his second practice back, and has since been placed on IR and
shelved for the season. CB Deion Sanders has about as much place being in a
dynasty column as Ethel Merman, but it can be mentioned in passing that he missed
his third consecutive game with a toe injury. Turf toe was what ultimately derailed
his career in the first incarnation of Prime Time. The Ravens are fighting for
their playoff lives, and are so far behind the resurgent 10-1 Steelers they
need to snare one of the hotly contested wild card spots to have any realistic
hope of a playoff spot... no easy feat in the deeply competitive AFC.
Carolina - The Carolina Panthers' recent improvement has coincided with a dramatic
improvement in their run defense. Carolina allowed 152.6 yards through the season's
first seven games, but 81.5 over the past four, a stretch that includes three
of the team's four victories. Through those first seven games, Carolina allowed
an average of 4.5 yards a carry. That mark dropped to 2.8 in the past four.
The Panthers have now won three straight games and have to be commended for
playing tough despite being decimated by season ending injuries to integral
players such as Steve Smith, Stephen Davis, Kris Jenkins, etc. DE Julius Peppers
flashed All-Pro (Hall of Fame?) form in the battle with divisional rivals Tampa
Bay, coming up with four BIG TIME plays. He blocked a kick, chased Buc's RB
Michael Pittman far downfield on a play in which he looked like the fastest
player on the field (keep in mind the dude is 290), picked off Brian Griese
and returned it for a TD in a game-changing play, and got a sack in which he
dispatched a double team block with a nasty, lightning-quick spin move. The
former North Carolina power forward has 7 sacks in his past 4 games. Even more
impressively... with no help from Mike Rucker or Kris Jenkins. Only SS Ed Reed
and CB Lito Sheppard have more than his 143 INT return yards this season. There
is talk that Peppers could be used as a TE around the goal line... he might
be a better athlete than T-Gon, and could redefine the DE position like Deacon
Jones and Reggie White did in their generations. PFW reported whispers that
Panther insiders are concerned that Dan Morgan's bouts with recurring concussions
could force him into a possible early retirement. That talk could be premature,
but there are recent precedents where players are forced into the hard decision
of walking away from the game. Merrill Hoge landed on his feet with the ESPN
gig... hopefully the decision is made easier when one looks at the aftermath
of Al Toon's head trauma-plagued career, who was devastatingly affected by post-concussion
syndrome. If his story isn't a contra-indicator to playing too long, I don't
know what else could convince an athlete to hang it up with his wits intact.
WLB/MLB Will Witherspoon has taken over the team lead in tackles of late with
77 combined, including 67 solos.
Chicago - Rookie DT Tommie Harris has been dominant at times this season, and
is seeing extensive action, quieting doubts that he could only be effective
as part of a deep rotation (the system employed by Bob Stoops at Oklahoma).
DE Alex Brown struck it rich with a 5 year, $15 million contract signed Wednesday.
MLB Brian Urlacher will be welcomed back by the Bears, who are 0-4 without him
this season, and have been outscored 62-17 by the Colts and Bears the past few
weeks in his absence. Second year WLB Lance Briggs is fulfilling his lofty potential
with a stellar campaign, which finds him sixth overall among LBs in solo tackles.
Fellow second year star, CB Charles "Peanut" Tillman, is finally ready
to start again since sustaining a broken leg in week two. He had a sensational
rookie season, and many wanted to see if he could achieve even greater success
in rookie HC Lovie Smith's Cover Two scheme, which has already made stars of
CBs Ronde Barber, Nick Harper and Jerametrius Butler. Cover Two CBs defend a
zone rather than man-to-man, and are well positioned to suck up run support
tackles. Peanut will bump R.W. McQuarters from the starting lineup, despite
having 2 INTs last week (one returned for a TD).
Cincinnati - I was about to say the Bengals defense has stepped up its play
in the past month (giving up just 13 combined points in inter-conference wins
against the Cowboys and Redskins, and 19 in a recent divisional loss to the
Steelers)... until the Brown hung 48 on them. They have been very opportunistic
and are at the top of the NFL in takeaways. A good portent for next year is
that key contributions have been made by several rookies. FS Madieu Williams
has been the top stand out, filling in variously at CB, SS and FS... he is third
in this weeks Defensive Rookie of the Year Watch (below)... and climbing. MLB
Landon Johnson was credited by the coaching staff with an astonishing 20 combined
tackles in the Pittsburgh game a few weeks ago (since the last report). By their
count, that bested WLB Brian Simmons' 15 tackles against Cleveland on Oct. 17
for the team high this season. It would not be a surprise if Johnson plays well
enough in the remainder of the season to wrest the starting MLB gig from oft-injured
Caleb Miller. DE Justin Smith is beginning to play up to his potential as the
4th overall pick in the 2001 draft. He has 41 solos, 19 assists, 6 sacks and
1 FF for the year, and is closing out the season strong. The ex-Bronco CBs Tory
James and Deltha O'Neal have held up fairly well in coverage (the 48 point outburst
by their interstate rivals excepted). James is pacing the league with 7 INTs...
after Ed Reeds 6 INTs, no CB or safety has more than 4. O'Neal's INT and return
for a TD late in the game sealed the win. Ironic that such a climactic, titanic
offensive outburst was settled by a defensive play.
Cleveland - the defensive recap for the Browns shouldn't take long this week...
how many plays could they have made in a 58 point shellacking? The final tally
had more in common with a college basketball score than an NFL game. A definite
two weeks in the penalty box candidate for being part of the second highest
scoring game in NFL history. Those who had the over in last week's epic, blockbuster
score-fest must have been really liking their decision. Even worse news than
HC Butch Davis resigning (cause for rejoice by many that criticized his blatant
and ruthless power grab that drove off many inside the organization in the past
few seasons) was the report that MLB Andra Davis suffered a season ending injury
and will be placed on IR shortly if he hasn't been already... one of many on
the Browns to succumb to this fate, in an ill-fated year that appeared to be
doomed early on.
Dallas - HC Bill Parcells spoke this week about the plight of FS Roy Williams,
potentially one of the top playmakers in the IDP arena... who absurdly doesn't
have a single sack, INT or FF with only about a third of the season to go. The
problem is that they are getting very shaky coverage from their CBs, and have
been forced to play him far back off the LOS (where he excels). Since this scheme
seemingly has not worked either (Williams looked lost in coverage in the MNF
game against the Eagles, and TO in particular, a few weeks ago), it was asked
why not put Williams back in the box and just let him do what he does best?
Parcells responded... "That's easier said than done... Because when you're
playing the position that he plays, when you put him back in the box, then you
have not much of a way to help your cornerback on the weak side. That's been
a little bit part of the dilemma." Until the Cowboys can get this problem
squared away, Williams will continue to rack up decent tackle totals, but big
plays could prove elusive, and happen for his owners few and far between.
Denver - Giving up 25 points to the inept and lowly Raiders in a driving snow
storm gets you two weeks in the penalty box
Detroit - The hitting was unbelievably shocking in its ferocity and intensity...
but enough about the Pistons melee. Getting carved up by Peyton Manning on Thanksgiving
day like a Butterball Turkey is cause for the penalty box... the Lions were
probably giving thanks that Manning sat out the fourth quarter, or he almost
certainly would have taken a run at the one game record of 7 TD passes held
by a handful of QBs. In fairness, it looks like everybody who plays the Colts
the rest of the way out is fated for the ETTG penalty box.
Green Bay - I know this is a defensive column, but a quick thought on Favre's
200 consecutive starts record among QBs, vis-à-vis the Cal Ripken longevity
record that sets the pace in baseball. Would Ripken have done as well if he
got tackled rounding first, second and third base on a regular basis? A couple
of Packer rookie CBs combined on a huge play to start the MNF Rams beat down.
Third rounder Joey Thomas stripped Isaac Bruce of the ball, which was summarily
scooped up by blazing fast first rounder Ahmad Carroll, who sprinted to the
end zone in just a few seconds... not surprising given that he was a track star
at Arkansas and one of the fastest players at the combine. He also had an INT
in the end zone to kill another Rams scoring chance After getting stomped by
the Titans in an earlier MNF game (talk about two teams that have gone in opposite
directions since that point), which was a nadir for Packer fans, Green Bay has
throttled the adversity and is beginning to play some monster football on the
stretch run to the playoffs.
Houston - The Texans are suffering growing pains with three rookie defenders
(in order of where they were drafted... CB Dunta Robinson, OLB Jason Babin and
SS Glenn Earl) in the starting unit. Robinson is maturing quickly and looks
like he could be a great one. A big plus is that he is not shy about sticking
his nose in to run support, and looks like a playmaker... his 4 INTs lead all
rookies (though the Falcons DeAngelo Hall who was selected two slots ahead of
him, at 1.08, has been injured for much of the year, and looks like a playmaker
himself now that he has returned to health). Babin, who the Texans forfeited
a good part of their '04 draft to move up and obtain him in the late first round,
was benched in the fourth quarter for the third time this season... but DE/OLB
conversions don't always go smoothly in the first season/s. SS Glenn Earl is
playing on obvious run downs, and being replaced in passing situations. It is
hoped he can be more than a situational player next season... he was highly
regarded by scouts while at Notre Dame, before suffering a knee injury late
in his tenure with the Fighting Irish.
Indianapolis - In the past month, the defense has collected a burgeoning number
of takeaways, a frightening and nightmarish prospect for opposing defenses who
are having an already absurdly difficult time stopping the Colts juggernaut
and Manning's record shattering pace without needing to contend with a short
field... with 24 TDs in his past five games, he has broken the record for a
comparable five game stretch. The Colts are among the league leaders in takeaways
and differential. The pass defense has also improved, in large part due to the
return to the lineup of SS Mike Doss and CB Joseph Jefferson. They didn't get
a chance to play in the lineup together until the Nov. 21 spanking of the Bears.
The pass defense is also no doubt helped by the pressure applied up front by
DE Dwight Freeney, who finally has someone opposite him to command attention
from OC game plans and blocking schemes... undersized DE Robert Mathis (a situational
pass rusher who is getting about 20 snaps a game, much like KGB did in his first
few seasons) is tied for the league lead in sacks with the Cards Bertrand Berry
at 10. Clearly the fact that teams are now finding themselves down 3-4 TDs by
halftime is radically altering the whole complexion and tenor of the game, and
contributing to the surge in takeaways, which in turn is fueling the unprecedented
scoring outburst, in a self-stoking fashion. The Colts reportedly are pleased
with the progress of rookie WLB Kendyll Pope. He was placed on the PUP list
to start the season, but his speed, athleticism and instincts (always favorable
traits to possess in a Tony Dungy defense) could enable him to give incumbent
WLB Cato June a run for his money... June could be hampered with a leg injury
for a few weeks, and has begun to come back to Earth in the past few weeks.
FS/SS Bob Sanders is expected to be sidelined three to six weeks from a sprained
MCL in his right knee (if he is a quick healer that could help in any prospective
Indy playoffs, but will probably come too late for IDP playoffs). This is a
shame as he was beginning to emerge as one of the Colts most active and toughest
defenders. The "Hitman" has the kind of makeup to up the tempo and
raise the level and intensity of the whole defense... even the energy level
of the whole stadium, and is definitely a name to look out for next season,
and stash on your roster if you can .
Jacksonville - Extensive coverage elsewhere in FBG.
Defensive Rookie of the Year Watch
(All Stats YTD)
- Jonathan Vilma (MLB/ILB - NYJ)... 54 solos, 20 assists, 1 sack, 2 INTs
- DJ Williams (WLB - DEN)... 51 solos, 14 assists, 1 sack
- Madieu Williams (FS/SS - CIN) 64 solos, 7 assists, 1 sack, 2 INTs, 1 TD
- Gibril Wilson (SS - NYG)... 49 solos, 7 assists, 3 sacks, 3 INTs, 1 FF
- Erik Coleman (SS - NYJ)... 48 solos, 17 assists, 1 sack, 2 INTs
- Sean Taylor (FS - WAS)... 43 solos, 11 assists, 1 sack, 3 INT, 1 DUI
- Teddy Lehman (SLB - DET)... 58 solos, 7 assists, 1 FF
- Dunta Robinson (CB - HOU)... 45 solos, 12 assists, 4 INTs
- Chris Gamble (CB - CAR)... 47 solos, 4 assists, 3 INTs, 1 FF
- Karlos Dansby (SLB - ARI)... 23 solos, 9 assists, 4 sacks, 1 INT
- Michael Boulware (SS - SEA)... 17 solos, 8 assists, 3 INTs, 1 FF
- Kenechi Udeze (DE - MIN)... 19 solos, 6 assist, 4 sack, 1 FF
Standing on the Verge (of Gettin It...)
- Tommie Harris (DT - CHI)
- Randy Starks (DT - TEN)
- Ahmad Carroll (CB - GB)
- Demorrio Williams (MLB - ATL)
- Daryl Smith (SLB - JAX)
- Bob Sanders (FS/SS - IND)
- Landon Johnson (WLB - CIN)
- Courtney Watson (MLB - NO)
- Darnell Dockett (DT - ARI)
- Dontarrious Thomas (WLB - MIN)
- Caleb Miller (MLB - CIN)
- Travis Laboy (DE - TEN)
- Will Smith (DE - NO)
- Vince Wilfork (DT - NE)
- Jason Babin (OLB - HOU)
- Glenn Earl (SS - HOU)
- Stuart Schweigert (FS/SS - OAK)
- Joey Thomas (CB - GB)
- Nathan Vasher (CB - CHI)
- Shawntae Spencer (CB - SF)
- Jason David (CB - IND)
- Keiwan Ratliff (CB - CIN)
- Ricardo Colclough (CB - PIT)
- Antwan Odom (DE - TEN)
- Igor Olshansky (DE - SD)
- Tank Johnson (DT - CHI)
- Alex Lewis (LB - DET)
- Brandon Chillar (SLB - STL)
- Junior Siavii (DT - KC)
- Shaun Phillips (DE - SD)
In Depth Profile
"Ed Reed has already made a forceful and persuasive case that he is one
of the top safeties in the NFL, and one of the best playmakers regardless of
position, only two years into his pro career with the Ravens (he'll turn 26
on 9-11). In that span he has averaged almost 80 tackles and 6 INTs. Reed finds
the ball. He is such a ball magnet, sometimes it seems like the ball finds him...
he was fourth among all NFL safeties, and led the AFC, with 7 INTs last season,
helping him earn his first Pro Bowl nod. The '03 season was not an anomaly,
either. After Tony Parrish's ridiculous 16 INTs combined in the prior two seasons,
Reed is in the mix for second most in the NFL during that same time frame...
Greg Wesley (KC), Darren Sharper (GB), Earl Little (CLE) and the raven's INT-maven
all have about a dozen. Patrick Surtain (MIA) is the only CORNERBACK that had
as many INTs in that span (the Buc's Brian Kelly had 8 in '02, but went on IR
early in '03 with torn pec). Has some similarities with his more high profile
teammate, MLB Ray Lewis. They both attended Miami, have been the heart and soul
of their defense and team in both college and the pros, and were downgraded
by some scouts in their respective drafts (both taken towards the latter part
of the first round) for not possessing optimal physical measurables, but overcame
supposed size-constraint limitations with tremendous instincts and football
smarts, and off-the-charts toughness, charisma, leadership and intangibles.
It goes without saying that Lewis plays a central role in Baltimore's defense
(#3 in total defense ((#4 against the pass and #6 against the run)) and #1 in
sacks), but the integral part Reed holds in the overall scheme should not be
overlooked.
He took Miami by storm his freshman season, and demonstrated the same constellation
of attributes that would be seen as a recurring theme throughout his young career,
with his complete game and playmaking skills already fully formed. In 1998,
Reed led the secondary with a career high 90 tackles (61 solos), 2 sacks, 2
INTs, 4 FFs, a blocked kick, and garnered some national recognition by being
named to some Freshman All-American teams. His '99 season didn't see much in
the way of a sophomore slump or drop-off in production. The statline for the
year looked like 74 tackles (48 solos), 4 sacks, 2 INTs, 1 FF and 2 blocked
kicks. In the 2000 season, Reed shifted into high gear, logging 80 tackles (56
solos), 8 INTs, two of which were returned for TDs, and was a consensus first
team All-American. Reed showed exemplary toughness, resiliency and resolve,
not to mention a high pain threshold, during a brilliant senior campaign. During
the '01 season, despite playing with separate bruised rib and shoulder separation
injuries that would have put players with less desire and intensity on the shelf,
he was team captain and spearheaded Miami's National Championship run. While
his tackles took a dip for obvious reasons, he led the team and was second in
school history with 9 INTs (Bennie Blades, 10 - '86) for a school record 209
yards and three TDs... the nine picks led the nation on a per-game basis. Miami
led the nation with 45 turnovers and 27 INTs that year. In the Championship
Game victory over Nebraska, he led the team with 9 tackles (6 solos). He capped
off a storied career with another consensus first team All-American award, and
left with the school records for career tackles and solos for DBs, as well as
INTs (21 surpassed Blades 19).
Positives
- One of the best ballhawks in the league, he is an INT magnet. Reed combines
voracious film study with outstanding on field instincts and intuition, the
source of his uncanny anticipation, and consistent, demonstrable talent for
putting himself in position to make a play on the ball. Because it about as
easy to breach Ray Lewis and company's run defense as a Level Four Biohazard
Containment Facility, opposing offenses are forced to pass more than they
would like to at times, adding to Reed's INT opps.
- Has a lot of advanced attributes for his age... he started four years for
Miami, is already considered an elite NFL SS after just two seasons in the
league. His short time in the pros have been an extension, continuation and
fulfillment of the maturity, charisma and leadership he demonstrated in college.
- Versatile, having played both FS and SS in his career, and is equally adept
in run support or pass coverage. A rugged, hard-nosed presence in the run
game, coupled with ball skills and athleticism in pass coverage, he becomes
a dangerous playmaker who knows what to do with the ball in the open field
once he gets his hands on it
Negatives
- Slightly undersized (5'11" 205) for the SS position, but remarkably
durable during his stellar collegiate career, and so far with Baltimore in
the pros... though he did have the shoulder separation his senior year at
Miami, but was able to not only start every game, but consistently maintain
a high level of play throughout the season.
- Doesn't have the speed, range or ability to close on the ball of a Sean
Taylor (who does?), or the devastating striking power of Roy Williams (who
does?), but he is an unusual amalgam of their respective strengths and talents.
Reed more than compensates for any physical limitations or shortcomings with
his ability to get wired into Offensive Coordinator's gameplan and QBs head,
where he is always two steps ahead of everybody else in the anticipation and
getting a jump departments.
- In real football, having one of the best MLBs in NFL history in front of
you is a good thing, but it isn't conducive to racking up large tackle numbers
and padding your stats in IDP leagues. Many times in his first two seasons
Reed was right behind Lewis, but the tackle machine just beat him to making
the play.
Final Thoughts
The Ravens return their defense from last year virtually intact. Star OLB Peter
Boulware is struggling with a balky knee, and it is uncertain at present if
he will bounce back in time for the start of the '04 season. They did draft
a player just last year who is a mirror image with almost parallel skill set
in Terrell Suggs (who became the second Raven, after Boulware in '97, to be
named Defensive Rookie of the Year... along the way he broke the team rookie
record with a 12 sack season). OLB isn't the only position generating pressure
on the QB in Baltimore's 3-4 base defense. DE's Anthony Weaver and Marques Douglas
began to flash more pass rushing ability as the season progressed, and this
year's draft brought standout Pac-10 D-Lineman Dwan Edwards, who has the natural
size, strength and athleticism to swing between DE and DT. He was their first
pick in the draft, though in the mid-second round, as they traded away the rights
to their '04 first round selection last year to acquire a second first round
pick, with which they took Kyle Boller after Suggs. If elite CB Chris McAlister
doesn't create a contract-related hassle (who along with Gary Baxter comprise
one of the top CB tandems in the NFL, whose ability to play bump and run without
a safety net frees Reed to roam unimpeded wherever his instincts guide him to
make plays), the pieces will be in place for a repeat performance.
If a picture is worth a thousand words, maybe a well selected anecdote should
be worth ten thousand, if it manages to capture the spirit of the subject under
discussion. Like a caricaturist's ability to ruthlessly strip away the inessential
aspects of a face and bring instant recognition of a distinctive countenance
or signature expression with a few economic lines, an actual event in Reed's
career might be a medium or form more up to the task of adequately conveying
a sense of his football smarts, work ethic, burning desire to improve, and competitive
spirit to gain any edge he can leverage to the team's advantage. As related
in an account on the Raven's site, he was scoping out a slight hitch in the
Cardinal long snapper's delivery during pre-game warm-ups before game 5 with
Arizona last season... in which the snapper flexed his elbow immediately prior
to hiking the ball to the punter, which was all the "tell" Reed needed
to be effectively tipped off to the snap cadence a split second early. After
hipping one of his special teams coaches to his hunch, his Sherlock Holmes-like
powers of observation were rewarded handsomely when he used his head start to
disrupt the timing of and bust the punt blocking formation with a quick surge
up the unprotected middle, enabling him to block the punt and return it for
a TD in the second quarter, of what was subsequently a 26-18 win. So there is
more to the 3 blocked kicks (with 2 TD returns) in his first two seasons than
his world class hand-eye coordination. Reed relentlessly picks the brains of
DC Mike Nolan and secondary coach Donnie Henderson about assignments, tendencies,
how things fit together into the overall game plan (he kept Henderson's cheat
sheets uncovering every scheduled team's tendencies, adding to them his own
observations and insights from during the year to compile a book on opponents;
his secondary coach has since moved on to become the NYJ DC). "I'm always
thinking about football because that's my job, and it's a lot like a chess match...
Just like a financial advisor always thinks about money, or the president thinks
about the well-being of the country. I'm always thinking about football because
it's in my heart." Don't underestimate Reed's preparation. The value of
preparedness is a thought has been echoed through the years in various ways,
but converging on similar successes in different endeavors. The great Vince
Lombardi said... "The harder we work, the luckier we get." Pasteur...
"Chance favors the prepared mind." Legendary Brooklyn Dodger GM and
talent scout Branch Rickey ventured... "Luck is the residue of design."
IDP Dynasty Tip of the Week
Walking the Tightrope - Don't Give Up On Players Too Early, OR... Hang On
To Them Too Long
No special tactical advice, but just the general counsel to be cognizant of
this factor in-season, and from year to year. After repeated announcements that
THIS would be Hovan's year, we finally pulled the plug in the offseason, and
were glad we did. Yet in that same league, we continue to hang on to Lions DE
Kalimba Edwards and Saints LB Cie Grant, who are hanging on by their fingernails,
like the proverbial serial cliffhanger. Sometimes there is a tendency to hang
on too long to players that we feel were our finds or discoveries. Ruthlessly
strip away the sentiment when evaluating roster spaces and spots, and give yourself
a brutally candid self-assessment on whether you are holding players for the
wrong reasons. On the flip side, and switching gears to offense, teams that
gave up prematurely on Reggie Wayne and Brandon Stokley are seriously bumming
this season.
HOT-WIRE YOUR HEAD WITH FBG IDP!
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