IDP Sleepers - Week 5
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Posted 10/8 by John Norton, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
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Defensive Linemen
The Jets use of the 3-4 has put the clamps on Shaun Ellis's
production but there is nothing like a match up with the Bills to break a guy
out of his slump. Buffalo is tied with Arizona for worst in the league having
allowed 15 sacks already. Any quality player facing the Bills is worth a play
and Ellis is certainly a quality player.
I mentioned Brandon Whiting here last
week and he didn't do much. I don't have much confidence in him at this point
but its worth mentioning that he does face a Cardinals club that's allowed a
league high 15 sacks through 4 games.
Marcellus Wiley had gotten off to a
quiet start as a Cowboy but has a golden opportunity to break out this week
against a Giants team that has struggled to keep their QB clean. Warner isn't
the most nimble quarterback and has been dropped 3.25 times per game on average.
Wiley is a very talented player/pass rusher and could break out at any moment.
Honestly I am very surprised he has been so quiet to date.
Its hard to call Darren Howard a sleeper
at this point. He remains overshadowed by Charles Grant and should be considered
an every week starter for most owners. New Orleans faces a Tampa Bay club that
has given up 3 sacks a game and has a first time starter at QB this week. Simms
is a more mobile QB than Johnson which means he can move around and make some
plays. It doesn't mean the Bucks will pass block better though.
After 3 dismal weeks Leonard Little
broke out in week 4. It wasn't because he suddenly started playing better,
rather because the coaching staff realized that the had to do something to help
him. Over the first three games Little lined up at his end position on every
snap and offenses were able to neutralize him. Last week he flip flopped sides,
lined up at linebacker a couple of times and was the benefactor of several line
"stunts" that were specifically designed to free him up. His match up this week
isn't particularly good but I wouldn't be afraid to stick him in the lineup.
This will be the last time we see Jamal Lewis
for a while and the Ravens won't hesitate to give him the ball 30 times if the
situation allows it. The Ravens love to run between the tackles with Lewis which
means Cornelius Griffin is going to find himself at the point of attack
often. Run stuffing is a strength for Griffin who has averaged 4 solo's a game
despite some far less than stellar match ups. He could end up with 6-8 this week
and might even land a sack considering the Ravens have allowed one every 8 pass
attempts.
Richard Seymour makes the list again
this week after his huge game against the Bills last week. The Dolphins aren't
quite the stellar match up that Buffalo was but they are still a rather good
one. Dolphins QB's are immobile, the offense has struggled which means that
could be behind and passing early, and Miami has given up 12 sacks already.
Linebackers The injury to Derek Smith will land
Jeff Ulbrich in the starting lineup this week at MLB. Smith turned in three
straight very solid box scores before the injury and Ulbrich isn't much if any
step down in talent. Struggling offense and a defense with holes is usually an
excellent combination when it comes to IDP's and it doesn't hurt that the Cards
are finding a running game behind Emmitt.
At this point everyone sitting on Julian
Peterson is probably looking at him as an every week starter. Just in case
there was some doubt after his poor week 4 numbers consider this; Peterson
basically is the Niners pass rush at this point and the Cards are
struggling to protect their young QB. He may only make 4-5 solo tackles but he
could very well add a sack or two as well.
The Skins are still without LaVar Arrington and
Michael Barrow which isn't a good thing considering this weeks opponent is the
Ravens with their run and run some more offense. Antonio Pierce has done
a fine job at MLB and Lemar Marshall had a solid week 4 outing. Both of
these guys (especially Pierce) should be considerations this week.
With E.J. Henderson ruled out this week and
Chris Claiborne questionable but unlikely to play, Dontarrious Thomas and
Raonall Smith will be the Vikings starters at middle and weak linebackers
respectively. Thomas filled in for Henderson when he was injured in week 3 and
ended up with a game ball for his excellent play. If he is on you roster don't
hesitate to play him. Smith would be a starter if he could ever stay healthy.
He's talented but inexperienced. Not a guy who is looking good for the long term
but as a bye week fill in he would be worth a shot.
He'll never be mistaken for a stud but Titans
MLB Brad Kassell might be a worthy pickup and play until/unless Rocky
Calmus returns. Kassell has been productive for brief stints in the past and had
a solid 6-1-0 in his first start last week. He's worthy of consideration for
depth on your roster and maybe as a starter this week considering the match up
with the Packers on Monday night.
The return of Lee Suggs is sure to spark the
dismal Cleveland running game which is a sure positive for Larry Foote.
Foote has posted 5 or more solo stops in 3 of his 4 starts to date including his
9-2-1 against Cincy last week. Its looking more and more like he could hold onto
the job for most of the season with Kendrell Bell continuing to suffer from
injuries. This is a rivalry game so throw out all the previous records and
stats. Foote should have another very solid day.
James Darling returned to WLB in week 4
and managed to lead the Cards in tackles for the second time in 4 games. There
is some risk here considering that Ray Thompson saw action last week and could
return to his WLB position this week, however in last weeks game the Cards
shifted Darling inside when Thompson is on the field and send McKinnon to the
bench. With Henderson and Arrington both hurt I am starting Darling in one
league this week myself.
Saints rookie MLB Courtney Watson had his knee
drained after last weeks game and hadn't practiced as of Thursday. If he doesn't
go Friday he will sit this weekend and Orlando Ruff will make the start
at MLB. Ruff is nothing special as a player but the position has been a very
productive one thus far this season.
The Jacksonville offense came to life last week
and so did Randall Godfrey. The Jags have proven to be a strong match up
for opposing MLB's including last week when Rob Morris and Jim Nelson shared the
position and put up a 10-3-0 mark between them. Godfrey has been hampered by
injuries for the past 3 years but is healthy at the moment and should make a
good fill in this week.
After posting nearly 100 solo stops last year
Dat Nguyen is off to a very slow start. A very good match up this week
with the Giants could be just what he needs to jump start his box scores. Nguyen
has good speed and agility which will help him a lot facing the elusive Tiki
Barber this week.
Defensive Backs Ifeanyi Ohalete has taken over
the starting FS job in Arizona. He steps right into a very productive situation
and should be immediately successful.
The Dallas running game has struggled to say
the least and the club has been quick to abandon the running game. If that trend
continues this week FS Brent Alexander could have a much better than
usual game. Thus far Alexander has been overshadowed by rookie Gibril Wilson
who should be an every week play at this point. The Boys love to throw into the
middle of the field with Keyshawn and Jason Witten so Alexander might be worth a
shot.
How brave are the Texans going to be this week?
Rookie corner Dunta Robinson is a very talented player and arguably their
best corner at this point from a physical perspective. So will they put him on
Randy Moss this week? If they do both he and Moss will have huge games. If
they don't the Vikings will still find him with Burleson and Campbell. Its the
"rookie corner rule" and against a passing offense like the Vikings Robinson
will have a busy day.
The Arizona passing game has struggled with
their combination of young receivers and QB. That said, Dennis Green is not
going to miss the opportunity to pick on rookie corner Shawntae Spencer
who will be making his first career start in place of the injured Mike Rumph.
Another rookie corner rule situation.
Rich Coady is expected to make his
second start at SS this week in place of the dinged up Adam Archuleta. Archuleta
will play in the game but likely in the same role as last week when he was in
the teams nickel and dime packages. Coady is very capable of having a big game,
especially if/when the Seahawks get Alexander going. At worst he should manage
serviceable numbers.
Bill Parcells had changed his position on FS
Tony Dixon who has shown great improvement since training camp. Not only is
he stepping up and making a few tackles (6 solo's in his last game) but Dixon
has become an important part of the pass rush with 3 sacks on the season
already. The Giants are already struggling a little in terms of protecting the
QB and the Cowboys blitz packages could give them fits.
This one is a big gamble but I like Michael
Boulware this week. He's seen increasing playing time over the teams first 3
games and could see even more coming out of the bye week. The Rams became a
running team again last week calling 34 running plays and getting Steven Jackson
more involved in their game plan. I think Boulware will see extensive action in
this game and might even get the start. There is no doubt the Seahawks want him
on the field.
Sean Taylor made his first start in week 4 and
will quickly become an every week starter for those who have him but don't
overlook Matt Bowen. Antonio Pierce is doing a good job at MLB but the Skins are
still hurting a little at LB with Arrington out and Bowens is still going to be
productive. The match up is a good one this week as well. Over the past two
games along opponents SS's have gone 7-2-0 and 7-1-0 against the Ravens.
Its no secret that the Titans are hurting in
the front 7 and especially at LB. Tank Williams has never been much of a
fantasy option before now but the situation has changed and he's a guy that
should be considered. He's currently on pace for 84 solo tackles and has 14 in
the past two weeks alone. Its Monday night and its a great match up with the
Packers undoubtedly looking to get Ahman Green in the groove early and often.
Best of luck to everyone this weekend,
John
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