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Passing Matchups - Week 11

Hi Folks,

Here's our look at the Passing Matchups for this week.

PLEASE NOTE: This does NOT replace the Cheatsheet ranking. The Cheatsheet rankings are the final say on where we see a player for that week. The Matchup Breakdowns are simply one more tool in the box when it comes to helping choose your lineup.

Also note, just because a player has a "bad" matchup, it does NOT mean he's not a starter in your league. If Peyton Manning is playing the toughest pass defense in the league, that just means he's got a tough matchup that week. He's also your starter unless you're loaded at QB. In the same way, if the worst QB on your roster has a "great" matchup that week, it doesn't necessarily mean he's your starter. It means we think he'll fare better than normal that week.

Bottom line is that the cheatsheets are the final say.

Let's jump to it.

Joe

**************************************
Joe Bryant
Owner - www.Footballguys.com


Notes for Week 12 Matchups: In order to release these matchups in a timely manner (due to the NFL's Thanksgiving games), the injury information used to compose this set of matchups is derived from unofficial sources, including Footballguys.com's Monday Injury Wrap-Up and local-market media reports. Check the NFL's official injury report later in the week for full details regarding your players' status. Also, preliminary statistics (compiled before the Monday Night Football game between New England and Kansas City) were used to compose parts of the text - there may be slight differences between various offensive players' rankings as reported in the text of these matchups and the "final" statistical reports issued by Footballguys on Tuesday afternoon.


Quick Index

Great Matchups

Atlanta's Passing Attack vs. The New Orleans' Defense (Great Matchup)
Denver's Passing Attack vs. The Oakland Defense (Great Matchup)
San Diego's Passing Attack vs. The Kansas City Defense (Great Matchup)

Good Matchups

Chicago's Passing Attack vs. The Dallas Defense (Good Matchup)
Indianapolis' Passing Attack vs. The Detroit Defense (Good Matchup)
Jacksonville's Passing Attack vs. The Minnesota Defense (Good Matchup)
Philadelphia's Passing Attack vs. The New York Giants' Defense (Good Matchup)
Tennessee's Passing Attack vs. The Houston Defense (Good Matchup)
St. Louis' Passing Attack vs. The Green Bay Defense (Good Matchup)
Green Bay's Passing Attack vs. The St. Louis Defense (Good Matchup)
Kansas City's Passing Attack vs. The San Diego Defense (Good Matchup)

Neutral Matchups

Dallas' Passing Attack vs. The Chicago Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Buffalo's Passing Attack vs. The Seattle Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Seattle's Passing Attack vs. The Buffalo Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Cleveland's Passing Attack vs. The Cincinnati Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Minnesota's Passing Attack vs. The Jacksonville Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Miami's Passing Attack vs. The San Francisco Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Carolina's Passing Attack vs. The Tampa Bay Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Pittsburgh's Passing Attack vs. The Washington Defense (Neutral Matchup)
New England's Passing Attack vs. The Baltimore Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Tough Matchups

Detroit's Passing Attack vs. The Indianapolis Defense (Tough Matchup)
Cincinnati's Passing Attack vs. The Cleveland Defense (Tough Matchup)
New Orleans' Passing Attack vs. The Atlanta Defense (Tough Matchup)
New York Jets' Passing Attack vs. The Arizona Defense (Tough Matchup)
Arizona's Passing Attack vs. The New York Jets' Defense (Tough Matchup)
Oakland's Passing Attack vs. The Denver Defense (Tough Matchup)
New York Giant's Passing Attack vs. The Philadelphia Defense (Tough Matchup)
Tampa Bay's Passing Attack vs. The Carolina Defense (Tough Matchup)
Houston's Passing Attack vs. The Tennessee Defense (Tough Matchup)
Baltimore's Passing Attack vs. The New England Defense (Tough Matchup)

Bad Matchups

San Francisco's Passing Attack vs. The Miami Defense (Bad Matchup)
Washington's Passing Attack vs. The Pittsburgh Defense (Bad Matchup)


Atlanta's Passing Attack vs. The New Orleans' Defense (Great Matchup)

The Falcons have decided to let Michael Vick "Be Mike" and he's been running wild with the ball in recent weeks (24/177/0 rushing in the past 2 games) - that's nice for his fantasy owners, but not so great for teams with Atlanta's receivers on the roster. Last week, Vick ran 15 times for 104 yards, while completing a paltry 12/20 passes for 115 yards and 2 TDs. The scores kept the aerial unit from dropping off of the fantasy map entirely (Alge Crumpler owners were happy, with 5 targets (led the team) for 4/47/2), but the bottom line here is that Atlanta just doesn't need to throw the ball very often. Dez White was second on the team with 4/45/0 on 4 chances last week. 20/36 for 262 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception is the grand total that Vick has piled up in the passing department in his two most recent starts - he ranks 10th among all fantasy QBs in fantasy points per game during those games, averaging 20.95 fantasy points per week.

The Saints' defense is a joke. They are last vs. the pass (allowing an average of 269.9 passing yards per game, with 18 scores surrendered in 10 games) and last vs. The rush (allowing 150.6 rushing yards per contest, with 12 scores given away to date). Over the past 3 weeks, they've coughed up 771 yards in the passing phase of the game, and 10 TDs (rushing and receiving). They are the worst defense in the league by a wide margin at this juncture.

New Orleans did without CB Mike McKenzie (knee) and S Steve Gleason (hamstring) last week. Atlanta's WR Brian Finneran has been struggling with a pectoral injury lately and hasn't played for weeks.

This game is to be played in the Georgia Dome - weather won't be a factor.

Atlanta doesn't throw very often, but when they do bother to chuck the rock it gets to the receivers on target more often than not. The Saints can't stop anybody in this phase of the game. Advantage, Atlanta.


Denver's Passing Attack vs. The Oakland Defense (Great Matchup)

Jake Plummer is on fire right now. He threw for 19/29 for 224 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions in the laugher over the Saints last week, and has amassed 35/53 for 458 yards, 6 TDs and 0 interceptions during his last 2 games. He's divided up the ball between 4 main targets during his tear, with Ashley Lelie leading the class (12 for 7/160/2); Dewayne Carswell is 2nd during that span with 10 for 7/46/0; Jeb Putzier (8 for 6/84/1) and Rod Smith (8 for 6/55/1) have both seen 8 balls. FB Kyle Johnson has also seen some action lately, with 5 targets for 4/65/1. The Broncos are firing on all cylinders in this phase of the game. Last time around the block vs. Oakland, back in week 6, Plummer enjoyed a solid 11/20 for 190 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception outing - he's looking good for this week's game, folks.

Oakland's defense has been consistently "in the holiday mood" all season, giving away TD after TD like it is Christmas already. They have coughed up 20 TDs in the passing phase of the game in 10 games, near the bottom of the league in that category. They also rank in the bottom tier of pass defenses in yards allowed per game (225.5, 24th in the NFL). They have given away an average of 247 passing yards per game over the past 3 weeks (2 games), including 18/34 for 226 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions to Drew Brees last week. The Raiders just aren't a good pass D this year.

Both teams come into the game in decent shape, with no serious new complaints.

The forecast for Mile High Stadium calls for a high of 32F and a low of 18F with a 50% chance for rain/sleet/snow. At this time of year, that means the field could be very slick during the game - if the precipitation comes down as a heavy snowfall, visibility could also be an issue in this game.

Denver is on a roll - Oakland is going nowhere fast. Advantage, Broncos (but remember that "Rocky Mountain High" weather).


San Diego's Passing Attack vs. The Kansas City Defense (Great Matchup)

18/34 for 226 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions was the tally for Drew Brees vs. Oakland on Sunday - it wasn't his greatest fantasy outing this season, but he's still producing steady numbers, especially for Antonio Gates owners (8/101/1 last week, with 13/157/4 in his last 2 games). Brees is the 2nd highest fantasy QB over the past 3 weeks, with an average of 25.55 fantasy points per game to his credit (40/70 for 483 yards, 5 TDs and 0 interceptions) - he should be your starter if he's on your roster.

Kansas City's pass defense just isn't stout this season, allowing an average of 235.9 passing yards per game this year (27th in the NFL), with 17 passing scores given up in 10 games. Tom Brady and company lit them up for 315 yards and a score last week - the team averaged 264 passing yards allowed per game in the 2 games prior to the Monday night game.

Both teams enjoy decent health at this point in the season, with no major new injuries to report.

The forecast for Arrowhead stadium calls for a high of 50F with a low of 32F and a 40% chance for precipitation. If the moisture falls thickly around game time, the field could become slick and the ball may be harder than usual to handle. Weather could be a factor in this matchup.

San Diego has one of the hottest attacks around, while the Chiefs are always in a holiday mood (they are a giving bunch) - advantage, San Diego.


Kansas City's Passing Attack vs. The San Diego Defense (Good Matchup)

Trent Green lit up the New England secondary on Monday Night Football to the tune of 27/42 for 381 yards, 2 TDs and interception. One receiver went over 100 yards catching the ball (Johnnie Morton, with 5/107/0), and 2 more were near that milestone (Kennison had 3/99/2; Gonzalez had 7/86/0). In Priest Holmes absence, the passing assault is elevating their play to take up the slack. Start your Chiefs if you've got them this week, because San Diego is coming to town.

San Diego gave up 18/31 for 227 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions to the Raiders last week - that wasn't really a surprise, as the team averages 237.9 passing yards allowed per game this season (28th in the NFL) and they have given away 13 passing scores to date - this squad is subpar to mediocre, depending on the week in question. Over the past 3 weeks, they team has allowed an average of 193 net passing yards per game, with 4 TDs allowed in 2 games (rushing and receiving). They aren't awful, but they aren't stellar, either.

K.C. enjoys decent health, although TE Kris Wilson has yet to play a down this season (leg/ankle injury). San Diego's secondary is in good shape, with no major new injuries to report.

The forecast for Arrowhead stadium calls for a high of 50F with a low of 32F and a 40% chance for precipitation. If the moisture falls thickly around game time, the field could become slick and the ball may be harder than usual to handle. Weather could be a factor in this matchup.

The Chiefs' unit has the upper hand in this matchup.


Philadelphia's Passing Attack vs. The New York Giants' Defense (Good Matchup)

Donovan McNabb has been brilliant since the sideline"discussion" with Owens during the loss to Pittsburgh. He tossed 18/26 for 222 yards, 4 TDs and 1 interception vs. Washington's top-tier secondary last week, and has 48/78 for 676 yards, 8 TDs and 2 interceptions to his credit in the last 3 games (22.9 fantasy points per game, 9th among fantasy QBs in fantasy points per game during that span). Todd Pinkston and Brian Westbrook have entered the picture over the last 3 weeks (12 targets for 1/175/1 and 15 for 12/108/2) to complement Terrell Owens' leading role (27 for 15/211/4) - it's all good in this phase of the game for the Eagles.

New York's secondary has been tough in recent weeks, allowing only 280 net passing yards in their last 3 games (93 yards per game), including last week's 12/20 for 115 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interception performance by the scramble-happy Michael Vick. The Giants rank 4th in the NFL this season allowing only 174.1 passing yards per game on average, but they have allowed a lot of TDs (15 over 10 games so far). McNabb nailed them for 26/36 for 330 yards, 4 TDs and 0 interceptions way back in week 1 - the Giants had trouble with Owens in particular that day (8/68/3).

S Jack Brewer (lower leg) and S Gibril Wilson (neck) missed last week's game, while S Brent Alexander was banged up during the game (unspecified injury late in the game). The Eagles enjoy good health on their side of the ball right now.

The forecast for Giants' Stadium calls for a high of 55F with a low of 46F and a 20% chance for rain - a fine autumnal day is around the corner, it appears.

Look for the Eagles to romp all over their division rivals this week.


Chicago's Passing Attack vs. The Dallas Defense (Good Matchup)

Craig Krenzel played better on Sunday than he did two weeks ago (14/24 for 175 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions this week vs. 10/28 for 116 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions 2 weeks ago). However, as you can see, "better" is a relative term. David Terrell led the team with 5 targets for 3/76/0 - TE Dustin Lyman snagged the TD in his single chance (1/2/1). There isn't much going on in fantasy terms among Chicago's receiving corps.

How bad is the Dallas secondary? Well, Kyle Boller, who has thrown for a total of 155/263 for 1546 yards, 7 TDs and 6 interceptions this season, put up 15% of his season's yardage total and 29% of his TDs against Dallas last week (23/34 for 232 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions). They are 26th in the NFL this season, allowing an average of 229.9 passing yards per game, and the Cowboys have given up the 2nd-most passing TDs to date (22). Over the past 3 weeks the team has allowed an average of 259 passing yards per contest, with 11 TDs given up in that span (rushing and receiving). They are definitely not a quality group.

Dallas' squad doesn't have injuries as an excuse - they are in relatively good shape at this point, with no new injuries of note. Chicago's current squad is also in decent shape - injuries aren't a huge factor in this matchup.

The forecast for Texas Stadium calls for a high of 57F and 43F with a 0% chance for precipitation - that sounds like great weather for a football game.

Dallas' secondary is a pushover - if they can make Kyle Boller look good, then Krenzel and company have a good chance at a decent game, too.


Indianapolis' Passing Attack vs. The Detroit Defense (Good Matchup)

Indianapolis' Peyton Manning over the last 3 weeks: 58/84 for 799 yards, 13 TDs and 3 interceptions over the past 2 ¾ games (the Colts didn't need him to play in the final quarter vs. The Bears). He's on pace to destroy Dan Marino's single-season TD record, and is also in striking distance of the yardage record. Start your Colts.

Detroit's defense played very well in the first half vs. The Vikings, but then folded in the second 30 minutes (they blew a 19-7 lead in the 4th quarter, including a TD pass and a 2-pt conversion pass to Nate Burleson from Culpepper). Culpepper piled up 22/32 for 233 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception during the game. Over the past 3 weeks, the Lions have limited teams to 154 passing yards per game on average - much better than their season average of 223.4 passing yards per game (16 passing scores surrendered this season to date).

Detroit's secondary is in decent shape at this point in the season, with no significant injury issues. The Colts continue to do without WR Troy Walters, thanks to his fractured arm.

This game is to be played in Ford Field, so weather won't be an issue.

Indianapolis is automatic at this stage of the season. Minnesota's attack confounded the Lions last week - we think the Colts should enjoy a solid outing vs. Detroit.


Jacksonville's Passing Attack vs. The Minnesota Defense (Good Matchup)

"There's nothing definite in life except death and taxes, but it's a pretty good bet I'll be back out there." - Byron Leftwich on his prospects to start vs. Minnesota. Leftwich was playing very well in the last few games before his injury. He had 825 yards, 4 TDs and 3 interceptions to his credit in his most recent 3 games. At that point, Jimmy Smith was tearing up the field with 28 targets for 21/321/1 during Leftwich's most recent 3 games. He has been Garrard's main target, too, with 21 for 9/138/1 during the last 3 weeks - whoever starts, Smith owners should plug him into their lineup. David Garrard has been steadily productive in his chances, with 32/63 for 327 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception, with 12/76/1 rushing over the past 2 games.

Minnesota's defense has not been stellar over the past 3 weeks, allowing 9 TDs total, with an average of 189 net passing yards surrendered per game during that span. They are the league's 25th ranked pass D this season, coughing up yardage at the rate of 227.1 per game (16 passing scores given away in 10 games). They were tough on the limping Lions last week, though - Joey Harrington scraped up a mere 12/19 for 91 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception vs. The Vikings last week.

Jacksonville's TE George Wrighster has missed several games in a row due to his bad back. Minnesota's secondary has no major injury issues hampering them at the moment.

This game will be played in the Metrodome, so weather won't be an issue.

Jacksonville's attack has been steady-if-not-spectacular with Garrard under center, while Leftwich was just starting to get a head of steam up when he was cut down with a knee injury. Minnesota's secondary is subpar most weeks - advantage, Jaguars.


Tennessee's Passing Attack vs. The Houston Defense (Good Matchup)

Steve McNair got back in the saddle last week, and led the Titans to a tight victory over the Jaguars. That's something he couldn't do vs. The Texans back in week 6, when he suffered through a 19/41 for 210 yards, 1 TD and 4 interception performance. He comes into this game off 18/30 for 209 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions worth of work last week - Drew Bennett was a big part of the 12 incompletions (he just couldn't seem to get a handle on the ball, and ended up with 11 targets but just 4/64/0 in production). Derrick Mason hauled in the TD (5 for 3/56/1). McNair and company were just barely adequate to their task last week.

Houston was picked apart by Brett Favre and lost the game due to his last-minute heroics (33/50 for 383 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions). They haven't been a top unit this season, allowing a league-high 24 passing TDs to date, with an average of 255.6 passing yards allowed per game (30th in the NFL). Over the past 3 weeks, the Texans have hemorrhaged an average of 259 passing yards per game, and have given up 10 TDs (rushing and receiving) - they are not tough.

Tennessee's receiving corps is holding up despite a lot of dings (McNair's chest is still sore, too), with no new injuries of note. Houston S Jason Simmons has missed several games due to his head injury.

The forecast for Reliant Stadium calls for a high of 76F with a low of 49F and a 30% chance for precipitation. If the rain holds off, it should be a great day to play some football.

McNair had a bad game vs. The Texans back in week 6, but he should be able to bounce back against their weak secondary this time around.


St. Louis' Passing Attack vs. The Green Bay Defense (Good Matchup)

Inconsistent. That one word describes the variable intensity level of the Rams from week to week. They looked great demolishing division-rival Seattle two weeks ago, but suffered from a power-outage (and numerous miscues by QB Marc Bulger) vs. The sub-.500 Buffalo Bills last week. Bulger tossed 27/45 for 287 yards, 2 TDs but also threw 3 interceptions. The ground game was awful (20/35/0) which put all the weight on Bulger's shoulders - obviously, he wasn't up to the task last week. Torry Holt led the team with 8/90/1, and sidekick Isaac Bruce snagged the other score (3/58/1) - from the fantasy perspective it was a solid outing for the receivers.

Green Bay limited the Texans to 13/27 for 164 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions last Sunday, but they have averaged 245 passing yards allowed per game over their last 2 contests (363 passing yards to Culpepper two weeks ago) - they've been up and down in this phase of the game recently. The team has allowed 21 passing scores this season (third-most in the NFL at this point), and average 223.8 passing yards allowed per contest. The Packers' secondary is not among the league's top units, folks.

DB Michael Hawthorne was knocked out of the game on Sunday due to a strong blow to his jaw. St. Louis Torry Holt suffered a knee contusion in the game last week, and a concussion two weeks ago - he's been banged up recently.

Weather should be a factor in this game, as the game is on Monday Night Football, starting 9 PM ET - at Lambeau Field in Wisconsin. The forecast calls for a high of 43F with a low of 22F (it will be close to that at kickoff), with a 30% chance for snow. Not exactly what the dome-dwelling Rams are used to, is it? The football gets very hard and slick in subfreezing temperatures and fingers can become stiff and numb.

St. Louis has a powerful passing attack, while the Packers are subpar at defending the pass. Advantage, St. Louis.


Green Bay's Passing Attack vs. The St. Louis Defense (Good Matchup)

Brett Favre reached into his reserves last week, and managed to overcome two interceptions to lead the Packers to a 16-13 victory with 33/50 for 383 yards, and 1 TD (many of the yards and the TD were piled up in the 4th quarter). Donald Driver was the big man on campus Sunday night, with 12 targets for 10/148/1, while Javon Walker saw more balls (15) but produced less than usual with 9/88/0. Favre continues to be an elite NFL QB who can blow up for lots of fantasy points on any given Sunday.

St. Louis' pass D was embarrassed by Drew Bledsoe last week (15/24 for 185 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception) as little-known TE Mark Campbell burned the Rams 3 times for TDs. The Rams are subpar in this department, allowing an average of 218.4 passing yards per game (20th in the NFL) and they have surrendered 16 passing scores in 10 games. The squad averages 190 net passing yards allowed per game over the past 3 weeks - with 7 scores allowed (rushing and receiving).

Robert Ferguson is having some trouble with his injured shoulder, and TE David Martin missed the game last week due to his injured knee. St. Louis lost 3 DBs to injury last week (Travis Fisher and DeJuan Groce both injured their knees (Groce's injury looked more serious) and Kevin Garrett suffered a concussion. S Antuan Edwards was sidelined by a groin injury and didn't play at all. Injuries are taking a toll on the Rams' secondary.

Weather should be a factor in this game, as the game is on Monday Night Football, starting 9 PM ET - at Lambeau Field in Wisconsin. The forecast calls for a high of 43F with a low of 22F (it will be close to that at kickoff), with a 30% chance for snow. Not exactly what the dome-dwelling Rams are used to, is it? The football gets very hard and slick in subfreezing temperatures and fingers can become stiff and numb.

Green Bay deploys a lot of solid weapons in this phase of the game, and Brett Favre enjoys excellent pass-blocking (only 5 sacks allowed to date, least in the NFL this season) - St. Louis is banged up in this phase of the game and hasn't played the pass particularly well much of the season. Advantage, Green Bay.


Minnesota's Passing Attack vs. The Jacksonville Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Randy Moss is expected to return to the Minnesota lineup this week, according to initial reports - however, how productive he'll be after missing 5 weeks due to a partially torn hamstring remains to be seen. His 26/394/8 receiving to date makes Moss an awfully tempting start for his long-suffering owners, though - just be aware you are not guaranteed an immediate return to those levels of production simply because Moss has strapped on his pads again. Daunte Culpepper has been very productive without Moss - 65/95 for 765 yards, 7 TDs and 1 interception over the past 3 weeks (4th best fantasy QB in the league) - but he would obviously have even more potential for points if Moss is truly back to form. Nate Burleson (24 targets for 17/201/3) and Jermane Wiggins (24 targets for 19/208/2) have been the most prolific receivers over the past 3 weeks, in Moss' absence.

Jacksonville contained Steve McNair last week (18/30 for 209 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions, with 2/4/0 rushing), but failed to close out the victory (lost 18-15). They have allowed an average of 100 net passing yards and only 2 TDs (rushing and receiving) over the past 2 games - the Jaguar's defense is playing much better than their season average of 216.6 passing yards allowed per game (18th in the NFL this year) and 12 passing scores allowed to date would indicate.

Aside from Moss, the Viking's unit is in good shape. Keep an eye on the official injury reports as the weekend approaches to evaluate Moss' status for Sunday. Jacksonville's secondary is in relatively good shape with no new injuries of note as of early this week.

This game will be played in the Metrodome, so weather won't be an issue.

The Vikings field a multifaceted attack that excels no matter who Culpepper is targeting. Jacksonville has been tough in recent weeks, but the Titans aren't on the same level as the Vikings. With home-field advantage in the offense's corner, we think this is a neutral matchup between top-performing squads poised for playoff runs.


Miami's Passing Attack vs. The San Francisco Defense (Neutral Matchup)

There are a lot of terms for a matchup like this one (between two 1-9 teams): "Battle of the Bad"; "Toilet Bowl"; "Stink-Fest". Take your pick - this game is more likely to be a comedy of errors than a "Battle Royale".

Who will be the starting QB for the Dolphins is an open question as of Tuesday - A.J. Feeley was visibly in agony at times due to thigh/gluteal injuries on Sunday, and Jay Fiedler only managed to play a handful of downs before incurring another stinger (the same injury that he suffered prior to being benched during the bye week). Fiedler is gone for the year now after being placed on Injured Reserve. In any case, the Dolphins' passing attack has been anemic at best this season, and awful at worst. TE Randy McMichael has gone into a tailspin in recent weeks, with only 7/59/0 to his credit in the last 2 games - the big beneficiary of Feeley's ascension to the top spot at QB was Chris Chambers, who hauled in 9/103/1 out of 14 chances last week, to lead the Dolphins.

San Francisco scares no one in this phase of the game, allowing 19 passing scores to date while averaging 216.7 yards allowed per game (19th in the NFL). Over the past 3 weeks, they've coughed up an average of 254 passing yards per contest, with 13 TDs (rushing and receiving) allowed during that span - that's the most TDs given up in the league during the last 3 games. Tampa's Brian Griese crammed in 15/21 for 210 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions vs. The 49ers last week.

San Francisco's secondary has been decimated by injuries this year, with several quality guys on IR or missing long sections of the season - most recently, CBs Ahmed Plummer (neck) and Jimmy Williams (toe) were inactive last week due to injury. Miami's injury woes at QB are detailed above.

The forecast for Monster Stadium calls for a high of 59F with a low of 45F and a 10% chance of precipitation - pleasant weather is around the corner for this matchup, it appears.

The Dolphins are battered, while the 49ers' defense closely resembles Swiss cheese - this one is an ugly but even matchup, with neither team clearly in the drivers' seat before the showdown.


Dallas' Passing Attack vs. The Chicago Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Vinny Testaverde may have played his way out of the lineup last week vs. Baltimore, completing only 9/22 passes for 109 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions before a shoulder injury led to the NFL debut of Drew Henson (6/6 for 47 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions with a lost fumble). During the course of the game, Keyshawn Johnson (9 targets for 3/40/0) and Quincy Morgan (10 targets for 4/42/0) got the most chances to make plays, while little-used TE Jeff Robinson snuck into the endzone for a TD (1 target for 1/1/1). Last week's fantasy hero Jason Witten (3 for 3/29/0) grabbed every ball that came his way, but failed to make much of an impact for his fantasy owners this week.

Chicago's defense had been playing fairly well in this phase of the game, until they ran into the Indianapolis juggernaut on Sunday. 17/28 for 211 yards, 4 TDs and 1 interception later (Peyton Manning's numbers last week), the Bears were on the wrong side of a 41-10 defeat. This season the Bears are in the middle of the NFL pack, allowing an average of 204.9 passing yards per game (14 passing scores total to date). Over the past 3 weeks they've allowed an average of 232 passing yards per contest.

Testaverde's shoulder injury is still troubling him and right now, coach Bill Parcells says there's "a good chance" that Henson will start. Chicago hopes that CB Charles Tillman can finally return to the lineup this week, after recovering from his knee injury. S Bobby Gray has missed many games due to a nagging groin injury.

The forecast for Texas Stadium calls for a high of 57F and 43F with a 0% chance for precipitation - that sounds like great weather for a football game.

Dallas' attack is in flux right now, and may be starting a rookie QB this week. Chicago's squad is not a topflight unit, and they had a rough game last week. This looks like a neutral matchup between struggling units to us.


Buffalo's Passing Attack vs. The Seattle Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Buffalo's aerial assault carpet-bombed the Rams last week - Drew Bledsoe looked like a spry youngster (well, almost) while tossing 15/24 for 185 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception. TE Mark Campbell caught 4 balls in 4 chances for 27 yards and all 3 scores - he has snagged 14/172/5 this season: last week was easily Campbell's biggest fantasy outing of the season. It was also Bledsoe's best game in a month of Sundays. Eric Moulds blew 7 of his 10 chances and ended up with a mere 3/17/0 for the game.

Seattle managed to escape the "juggernaut" Dolphins last week, thanks to their rookie DB Michael Boulware (he scooped up an A.J. Feeley pass for a 63 yard interception return for a TD in the waning moments of last week's contest to snuff a late Dolphin drive). Feeley hit 23/45 for 229 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions against the Seahawks last week (the Seahawks allow an average of 221.3 passing yards per game this season, and have surrendered 12 passing scores to date). Over the last 3 weeks, Seattle averages 241 passing yards allowed per game (with 7 TDs (rushing and receiving) allowed during that span). They haven't been shutting people down in this phase of the game in recent weeks, to say the least.

Buffalo continues to do without WR Josh Reed (knee injury) - he hasn't played for many weeks. Seattle's secondary enjoys good health right now, with no major injury complaints among the DBs.

The forecast for Qwest Field calls for a high of 46F and a low of 36F with a 10% chance for rain. A nice day for a football game is around the corner in the Pacific Northwest, apparently.

Buffalo found a way to win vs. St. Louis, thanks to their hot TE Mark Campbell. Seattle plays mediocre-to-poor pass defense, depending on the week - this looks like an even matchup from where we sit.


Seattle's Passing Attack vs. The Buffalo Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Matt Hasselbeck's injured thigh failed to improve over the course of last week, and he ended up being the Seahawks emergency QB last Sunday. Keep a close eye on the injury reports that the league releases later in the week to determine Hasselbeck's chances of playing this Sunday. He's not making the progress the team would like to see. If he can't manage to get healthy, Trent Dilfer is a capable-if-unspectacular stand-in (14/28 for 196 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions). As expected, Koren "Hands of Stone" Robinson has finally been suspended by the league for 4 games thanks to his 3rd marijuana-related violation of the league's drug policy. Jerry Rice moves into Robinson's starting slot (and he caught the TD from Dilfer on Sunday (6 targets for 3/86/1)), while Darrell Jackson continues to drop too many throws on the other side of the lineup (9 targets for 3/39/0).

Buffalo's pass D has been tough most of the time this season, ranking 6th in the NFL allowing an average of 183.3 passing yards per game (with 13 passing scores given up to date). However, over the past 3 weeks the Bills have surrendered an average of 216 passing yards per game, and they coughed up 27/45 for 287 yards, 2 TDs and 3 interceptions to Marc Bulger last week - they've been trending downwards in recent weeks.

CB Troy Vincent has missed many games in a row for the Bills (knee, out last week on Friday's injury report - and inactive on Sunday). Seattle's corps enjoys decent health among their pass-catchers.

The forecast for Qwest Field calls for a high of 46F and a low of 36F with a 10% chance for rain. A nice day for a football game is around the corner in the Pacific Northwest, apparently.

Seattle's attack goes up and down from week to week, while the Bills' D has been sliding in recent weeks in this phase of the game. The loss of Robinson may be a case of addition by subtraction, as Rice is much more sure-handed than Koren "Ricky Williams" Robinson - this looks like a neutral matchup for the home-team Seahawks.


Cleveland's Passing Attack vs. The Cincinnati Defense (Neutral Matchup)

The big question facing the Browns early in this week: can Jeff Garcia play in this game on Sunday? He was knocked out of the game on Sunday with a shoulder strain (he threw for 10/17 for 88 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions before being injured). Backup Kelly Holcomb was ineffective in relief of Garcia (4/10 for 32 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions) - the Browns are crossing their fingers that Garcia can rally from this injury (he really tore up the Bengals back in week 6: 16/23 for 310 yards, 4 TDs and 2 interceptions). Needless to say, nobody on the squad managed much in the way of fantasy points given the lack of production from the QBs (Dennis Northcutt led the team with 2/40/0 receiving; TE Aaron Shea snagged the TD 2/7/1).

Cincinnati was tough on Ben Roethlisberger last week, sacking him 7 times while limiting him to 15/21 for 138 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions. They have now cracked the top ten in the NFL in QB sacks, with 25 to their credit to date - over the past 3 weeks, they've averaged 156 net passing yards allowed per game (with only 2 TDs allowed in 3 games). The Bengals currently rank 9th in the NFL allowing an average of 188.1 passing yards per game this season (with 14 passing scores surrendered to date). The pass D has been improving steadily as the weeks go by.

The Bengals have been playing well despite serious losses due to injury: CBs Rashad Bauman has missed multiple games thanks to his injured Achilles' tendon, and Deltha O'Neal was out last week due to an elbow injury. WRs Andre King (ankle) and Andre Davis (toe) have been out of circulation for many weeks on the Cleveland side of the ledger - both teams have injury issues coming into this matchup.

The forecast for Paul Brown Stadium calls for a high of 56F and a low of 43F with a 20% chance for precipitation. A fine autumn day is around the corner, it appears.

The Brown's attack has been sputtering recently, and could be starting Kelly Holcomb at QB this week. Cincinnati has improved since the Browns victimized them back in week 6 - this looks like a fairly even matchup to us. If Garcia can't play, then consider it a tough matchup for Holcomb and company.


Carolina's Passing Attack vs. The Tampa Bay Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Carolina's Jake Delhomme continues to cement his relationship with Muhsin Muhammad (37 targets for 20/335/5 over the past 3 weeks) while Keary Colbert (21 for 10/117/0) sees some chances in the redzone (but Delhomme's throws to Colbert have been off-target in those situations lately) and Ricky Proehl continues to be a specialist at finding soft-spots in the defense (19 for 11/160/0). The Panthers have won 2 straight and are actually on a mini-roll coming into this game. Regarding his fractured thumb-tip, Delhomme reports "Don't get me wrong - it doesn't feel good, but it's good enough". Delhomme was "good enough" for 12/25 for 157 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception last week, before sitting out the final minutes in the blowout victory over Arizona.

San Francisco couldn't get anything going against the Buccaneers last week, with 15/31 for 147 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception to Rattay's credit at the end of the day. The Buccaneer secondary has been consistently tough all season, and currently ranks 2nd in the NFL allowing an average of 163.9 passing yards per game and a total of 11 passing scores to date. Over the past 3 weeks, they've been giving up closer to 200 passing yards per game on average (599 net passing yards in 3 games).

Aside from Delhomme's thumb, the Panthers come into this game in good shape. Tampa's secondary has been down S Jermaine Phillips (arm injury) recently.

The forecast for Bank of America Stadium calls for a high of 62F with a low of 54F and a 20% chance of rain. It sounds like the sky should be "Carolina Blue" during a fine Piedmont afternoon on Sunday.

The Panthers have been playing well in this phase, while the Buccaneers are a top unit in their own right - we see this game as pretty even before the coin-flip.


Pittsburgh's Passing Attack vs. The Washington Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Ben Roethlisberger hit a rough patch in his development as a NFL starter, with two meager outings in a row (10/16 for 134 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception vs. Cleveland two weeks ago, 15/21 for 138 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions last week) from the fantasy perspective. However, Pittsburgh is a run-first team predicated on a tough defense, so don't expect him to do much more than he did vs. Dallas in week 6 (21/25 (his highest number of completions this season) for 193 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions) even during his best outings this year. Over the past 3 games, Plaxico Burress (16 targets for 11/182/0) and Hines Ward (11 for 8/89/1) continue to be options A and B week in and week out - no-one else has seen more than 6 passes (FB Dan Kreider, 5/34/1).

Washington's vaunted pass D (7th in the NFL this season, allowing an average of 184.1 passing yards per game, with 11 scores surrendered to date) was shellacked by Donovan McNabb last week: 18/26 for 222 yards, 4 TDs and 1 interception was the tally when the dust settled. They have been slipping in the last few weeks, allowing an average of 228 passing yards per game over the past 3 outings - McNabb and company were right on that pace last week.

The Steelers come into this game in good health, while the Redskins' secondary is in decent shape (Fred Smoot continues to have trouble with a lingering shoulder injury, but he continues to play through the pain each week).

The forecast for Heinz Field calls for a high of 53F with a low of 44F and a 30% chance for precipitation. If the rain holds off, it should be a nice day to play a game of football.

Pittsburgh has an efficient but not high-flying passing game, while the Redskins' pass D has slipped from elite to merely competent in the past few weeks - this matchup looks pretty even to us.


New England's Passing Attack vs. The Baltimore Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Tom Brady was on fire Monday night, with 17/26 for 315 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions to his credit. Deion Branch immediately made an impact on his return to the lineup, with 6/105/1 (TE Daniel Graham returned from the shadows to notch 3/83/0) - 6 other players chipped in with 1 or 2 receptions each. As usual, the Patriots used a total team effort to win their game. Brady has 782 passing yards and 5 TDs with 1 interception to his credit over the past 3 games - not too shabby, huh?

Baltimore frustrated, abused, and knocked Vinny Testaverde out of the game last week (9/22 for 109 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions) before giving Dallas fans hope for the future by surrendering 6/6 for 47 yards and 1 TD to rookie Drew Henson during "garbage time". The Ravens have been abusing QBs all season, with an average of only 173.4 passing yards allowed per game (3rd in the NFL) and only 7 passing scores given away in 10 games (second-best in the NFL). They are very tough on their opponents, no doubt about that. The team has averaged 134 net passing yards allowed per game to their opponents over the past 3 weeks.

With the return of Branch, the Patriots' receiving corps is back to full strength. Baltimore did without CBs Chris McAlister (neck) and Deion Sanders (foot) last week.

The forecast for Gillette Stadium calls for a high of 52F with a low of 35F and a 20% chance for rain - a crisp autumn day is on tap for this game, it appears.

New England has one of the best passing attacks in the league, while the Ravens field one of the top pass defenses - this is a neutral matchup.


Cincinnati's Passing Attack vs. The Cleveland Defense (Tough Matchup)

Carson Palmer has been performing below fantasy-starter levels over the past 3 weeks, with 58/96 for 594 yards, 4 TDs and 3 interceptions - that ranks 18th among all signal callers during that span (16.2 fantasy points per game on average). He didn't have much luck against the Browns back in week 6 either (20/36 for 148 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception) - recent history doesn't bode well for the Bengals' prospects this weekend. Chad Johnson's production over the last 3 weeks lands him among the top 20 among fantasy WRs (19/243/1, to rank 19th in the league during that span, averaging 10.1 fantasy points per game).

The Browns contained the Jets' attack last week, limiting Quincy Carter to 11/20 for 116 yards, 1 TD and 1 Interception (it was not until late in the game that Carter managed to string together a series of completions resembling a drive). Over the past 3 weeks, the Browns have allowed a mere 111 net passing yards per game on average (with 4 TDs rushing and receiving surrendered during those 3 weeks). This is one of the toughest pass defenses around (they sacked Quincy Carter 6 times last week, for almost 1/3 of their season's total of 20 sacks) right now.

CB Daylon McCutcheon injured his toe in the Browns' last game, but continued to play. The Bengals have no new injuries of note coming into this game.

The forecast for Paul Brown Stadium calls for a high of 56F and a low of 43F with a 20% chance for precipitation. A fine autumn day is around the corner, it appears.

The Browns are playing very well in this phase of the game right now, and frustrated Palmer the last time around the block. Advantage, Cleveland.


Detroit's Passing Attack vs. The Indianapolis Defense (Tough Matchup)

Joey Harrington completed a high percentage of his attempts vs. Minnesota (12/19) but only managed to convert those 12 connections to 91 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception. It was not a scintillating fantasy performance, to say the least. TE Stephen Alexander led the team with 5 targets for 4/27/1 - everybody else had 21 yards receiving or less during the game. Harrington's total production over the last 3 weeks - 49/104 for 489 yards, 2 TDs and 3 interceptions - ranks 31st among all fantasy QBs during that span and does not inspire much confidence in his (or his receivers') prospects this week.

Indianapolis' secondary easily contained the Bears last week (14/24 for 175 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions), despite an enormous lead that forced the Bears to chase the Colts throughout the game. The TD was allowed in "garbage time" after the Colts had built a 41-3 lead. Over the past 3 games, the Colts' secondary has allowed an average of 156.3 passing yards per contest (5 TDs rushing and receiving allowed during that span). Suddenly, the Colts' D isn't a total joke, despite their season average of 261 passing yards allowed per game (16 passing scores allowed to date this year).

CB Nick Harper missed last week's game due to his shoulder injury, and crucial S Bob Sanders suffered a MCL strain in last weeks game - the Colts' DBs are banged up coming into this contest. Az-Zahir Hakim hasn't been able to play much in recent weeks due to his hip injury, and missed last week's game entirely. Both teams have injury issues this week, and the short interval between Sunday and Thursday won't help matters.

This game is to be played in Ford Field, so weather won't be an issue.

The Lions have been trending downward in recent weeks, while the Colts' defense is improving steadily. Advantage, Indianapolis.


New Orleans' Passing Attack vs. The Atlanta Defense (Tough Matchup)

Aaron Brooks threw the ball 60 times last week, and completed 34 passes for 377 yards, 1 TD and 3 interceptions. His team was still blown out 34-13, and after the game team owner said the Saints played like a bunch of high schoolers It's fair to say that all is not well with the Saints at this point in the season. Donte Stallworth led all WRs with 14 targets for 10/122/1 (RB Deuce McAllister was thrown to 15 times for 11/92/0), while Joe Horn saw 10 balls for 5/81/0. Brooks has thrown 65/116 for 809 yards over the past 3 weeks, but has tossed only 3 TDs vs. 5 interceptions in that span. He continues to be wildly erratic in his performance, looking very solid at times, but then following up a series of good plays with costly mistakes.

Atlanta spoiled Eli Manning's coming out party last week, allowing only 17/37 for 162 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions in the rookie's debut. Over their past 2 games, the Falcons have given up an average of only 142 net passing yards per contest, and rank 5th in the NFL this season with 28 sacks to their credit. They are playing significantly better in this phase of the game than they did earlier this season - their season average of 238.8 passing yards allowed per game (29th in the NFL) is hardly something to crow about.

Joe Horn hyper-extended his right elbow in the game last week - check on his status later in the week if you are a Horn owner. The Falcon's DBs were banged up last week - CB Kevin Mathis strained his left shoulder, and SS Cory Hall bruised his chest - neither injury was considered serious.

This game is to be played in the Georgia Dome - weather won't be a factor.

The Falcons are playing solid defense as the second half of the season unwinds, while the Saints are careless with the ball and not particularly sharp in recent weeks. Advantage, Atlanta.


New York Jets' Passing Attack vs. The Arizona Defense (Tough Matchup)

Quincy Carter was unimpressive for 3+ quarters of play last week, but managed to string together some late series to help the Jets pull out the game - in fantasy terms, though, his 11/20 for 116 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception had owners of the Jets' receivers wishing for Chad Pennington's swift recovery. Justin McCareins was the only player worth starting among the group, with 6/71/1 on 7 targets - Santana Moss went back to sleep with 2/25/0 to his credit last week. Ho-hum.

Arizona have been playing solid pass defense in the past few weeks, despite the turnover fueled drubbing at the hands of the Panthers last week (the defense can't stop the offense from turning the ball over). 13/27 for 160 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception was the total that Jake Delhomme managed last week against this group. They have averaged 185 net passing yards allowed per game over the last 3 weeks, but the team has surrendered 9 TDs (rushing and receiving). This season, the Cardinals average 201.4 passing yards allowed per game, with 12 TDs given up in this phase to date.

Chad Pennington began some light throwing in practice to begin the week, but he doesn't look ready to resume the helm of the team just yet (rotator cuff injury). The Cardinal's secondary is in good health for this time of year, with no new injuries of note.

The forecast for Sun Devil Stadium calls for a high of 63F and a low of 39F with a 30% chance for rain. If the rain comes down hard around game time, the field could get slick and footing would be more treacherous. The field sees a lot of wear and tear between college and pro games during the course of the football season.

Quincy Carter is, well, Quincy Carter - he's not the greatest QB in the league. The Cardinals are fairly hard-nosed in this department - this is a tough matchup for the Jets' current starter under center.


Arizona's Passing Attack vs. The New York Jets' Defense (Tough Matchup)

Coach Green wanted more "production" out of the QB position, so he inserted Shaun King in a surprise maneuver last week. He got more "production" all right - more interceptions (3) and a loss - all McCown had done was win 3 of his last 4 starts before being benched. Anyway, King's ascension to the top job did lead to 28/52 for 343 yards and a score in addition to the 3 picks -Anquan Boldin (16 targets for 6/75/0) and Larry Fitzgerald (14 for 7/92/1) garnered over 50% of Kings' 52 throws between the 2 players, and they look to be the main beneficiaries of the new regime.

The Jets' pass D ranks in the top ten this season, allowing an average of only 197.2 passing yards per contest (with 13 TDs allowed in this phase of the game to date). Last week, they held the Browns to 14/27 for 120 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions - the squad averages 162 passing yards allowed per game over the past 3 games. This group of defenders is stiffening their resistance heading into the playoff stretch run.

McCown has been struggling to overcome a sore neck due to being slammed into the turf a few weeks ago. WR Nate Poole's groin injury forced him to the sidelines last week. The Jets did without S Rashad Washington (foot injury) last week, as usual, and S Jon McGraw (groin) was also inactive. Injuries are a negative for both units at this point in the season.

The forecast for Sun Devil Stadium calls for a high of 63F and a low of 39F with a 30% chance for rain. If the rain comes down hard around game time, the field could get slick and footing would be more treacherous. The field sees a lot of wear and tear between college and pro games during the course of the football season.

Shaun King has a great arm, but his decision-making has always been open to question. Meanwhile, the Jets are kicking it up in the race for the playoffs, and they are playing tough pass D in recent weeks. Advantage, Jets.


Oakland's Passing Attack vs. The Denver Defense (Tough Matchup)

Kerry Collins found his stroke last week, with an 18/30 for 227 yards, 2 TD and 0 interception performance against the streaking Chargers. It wasn't enough to win the game, but Collins finally started to look like the big-armed mad bomber we all expected to see when he went to join the Raiders. Jerry Porter saw the most targets (when he wasn't laying knocked silly on the turf) with 10 for 5/74/0 to his credit. TE Teyo Johnson finally found his way onto the field (1 for 1/8/1), while Ron Curry caught the other score (6 for 4/58/1). It wasn't a performance for the ages, but Collins gave hope to his fantasy owners across this land on the eve of Thanksgiving. Collins had a hard time with the Broncos back in week 6, though, tossing 15/31 for 136 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception - recent history isn't on his side this week.

Denver jumped all over the Saints early last week (going up 20-0 in the first quarter), and then settled into a softer "prevent" mode for the rest of the contest, which resulted in an inflated 377 yards passing for Aaron Brooks and company. They did keep the Saints out of the endzone for the most part (1 TD allowed), and intercepted Brooks 3 times, returning one for a score - the yardage numbers were skewed due to the situation. This season, the Bronco's secondary is 8th in the NFL allowing an average of 187.5 passing yards per contest, with only 7 passing scores allowed to date (second-least in the NFL at this juncture) - they are a hard-nosed bunch almost every week.

Oakland's TE Courtney Anderson was sidelined last week due to his injured knee, and is likely to stay there this week, too. Denver's secondary is in good shape, with no major complaints as of Tuesday.

The forecast for Mile High Stadium calls for a high of 32F and a low of 18F with a 50% chance for rain/sleet/snow. At this time of year, that means the field could be very slick during the game - if the precipitation comes down as a heavy snowfall, visibility could also be an issue in this game.

Oakland's offense is starting to find their rhythm, but the Broncos are very tough, home-field advantage is behind the defense, and the weather may not cooperate as far as field conditions go. This looks like a tough matchup for Collins and the Raiders.


New York Giant's Passing Attack vs. The Philadelphia Defense (Tough Matchup)

Eli Manning saw a little action against the Eagles back in week 1 (back then, he was relegated to holding the clipboard most of the time) - he managed 3/9 for 66 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions in the very first regular-season action of his pro career. Last week, he tossed his first pro TD - 17/37 for 162 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions - and Manning should have had a better first start (his receivers dropped several very catchable balls). Jeremy Shockey was his security blanket last week (11 targets for 5/45/1) - Tiki Barber, Ike Hilliard and Amani Toomer all had 7 chances, but they all failed to do much with their opportunities (4/28/0 for Hilliard was the best among the group).

21/34 for 162 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception was the grand total that Patrick Ramsey managed vs. The Eagles last week. They are playing high-pressure pass defense this season, with 29 sacks so far (3rd in the NFL) while allowing an average of 215.1 passing yards per game (17th in the NFL) and 11 passing scores to date. The Eagles don't shut people down in this phase of the game, but they make them pay for their gains (although they have cooled down in the sacking department recently, with only 4 in their last 3 games). As the Giants lead the NFL in sacks allowed with 41 surrendered to date, expect to see a whole lot of blitzing going on this week, which should apply lots of pressure on New York's rookie QB.

Both teams come into this game in decent shape, with no major new injuries to worry about.

The forecast for Giants' Stadium calls for a high of 55F with a low of 46F and a 20% chance for rain - a fine autumnal day is around the corner, it appears.

Manning will have to dodge pass rushers this week - he'll be under a lot of pressure. This looks like a tough assignment for the youngster.


Tampa Bay's Passing Attack vs. The Carolina Defense (Tough Matchup)

Brian Griese has settled into his starting role nicely in Tampa Bay, tossing 56/81 for 680 yards, 6 TDs and 3 interceptions during his last 3 games. His favorite receivers during his those games have been Michael Clayton (19 for 15/249/1) and Ken Dilger (13 for 11/105/2). Joe Jurevicius came on last week (5 for 5/82/2) to drive up his 3 week sums to 11 targets for 9/128/2. The Buccaneer's passing offense is on a roll right now.

Carolina deploys one of the league's stingiest secondaries - they have allowed a mere 6 passing scores so far in 2004, least in the NFL to date - which averages 204.6 passing yards allowed per game. Over the past 3 weeks, they've slipped somewhat in this phase of the game, allowing 263 passing yards per game on average, (7 TDs given up, rushing and receiving). Last week, they jumped ahead of Arizona 28-0 and then allowed a lot of "garbage time" yardage to Shaun King and company (28/52 for 343 yards, 1 TD and 3 interceptions) en route to an easy 35-10 victory.

Tampa's aerial unit is finally fairly healthy, with all their main players back in the starting lineup, while Carolina also enjoys decent health right now (no new injuries of note last week).

The forecast for Bank of America Stadium calls for a high of 62F with a low of 54F and a 20% chance of rain. It sounds like the sky should be "Carolina Blue" during a fine Piedmont afternoon on Sunday.

Tampa Bay has been gathering momentum in this phase of the game, but the Panthers are a big roadblock in their path. This should be a tough matchup for the visiting Bucs.


Houston's Passing Attack vs. The Tennessee Defense (Tough Matchup)

David Carr played a decent game vs. Green Bay on Sunday night, 13/26 for 164 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions - but it wasn't the sort of performance that propels a team to a fantasy championship. Over the past 3 weeks, he's been unspectacular, throwing 57/108 for 624 yards, 1 TD and 3 interceptions during that span. Andre Johnson (6/107/0 last week, with 28 targets for 15/184/0 over the past 3 weeks) and Domanick Davis (6/41/1 last week, with 19 targets for 15/114/1 during the past 3 weeks) lead the team in targets and receptions (Jabar Gaffney is third with 19 targets for 9/127/0 over the past 3 weeks). There are some fantasy points to be had among the Texans' star players, but not as many as on other NFL squads.

Tennessee strangled the Jaguar's passing attack despite their injury-depleted secondary, and held David Garrard to 13/27 for 129 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception during the game. The Titans aren't usually that sharp, averaging 198.2 passing yards allowed per game this season (11th in the NFL) with 12 scores given away to date. However, they've been really fierce recently, with an average of 99 net passing yards allowed in their past 2 games, with only 1 TD given away (rushing and receiving). The team is finding a way to make do despite their laundry-list of injuries.

Speaking of injuries, the Titans come into this game without S Tank Williams (torn knee ligaments), and will likely be without S Lance Schulters, too (foot injury). CB Andre Woolfolk dislocated a wrist last Sunday and is sidelined, CB Samari Rolle aggravated his knee injury and couldn't finish the game, and S Scott McGarrahan has a thigh contusion. The Titans are thin at DB as a result of all their injury woes. Houston's unit comes into the game in decent shape, with no major new injuries to report.

The forecast for Reliant Stadium calls for a high of 76F with a low of 49F and a 30% chance for precipitation. If the rain holds off, it should be a great day to play some football.

Houston's offense has been unimpressive in this phase of the game lately - the Titans are depleted by injuries, but managing to play well - this looks like a tough matchup for the home team.


Baltimore's Passing Attack vs. The New England Defense (Tough Matchup)

It has become fashionable to point out that Kyle Boller has actually thrown for 200+ yards and 2 TDs in each of his last 2 games - don't be fooled. The Jets have injury issues in their secondary at the moment, and Dallas is just flat-out horrible at pass defense this season - it would have been a disappointment if Boller hadn't thrown for 200+ yards vs. Dallas, and it is certainly not remarkable. The guy has yet to prove he can move the ball on a topflight defense (but his improvement from the beginning of the season is encouraging for Boller owners in dynasty leagues, no doubt about it). One thing that is not predictable from week to week is which of the Raven's little-known receivers Boller will throw to in any given game - the hero of week 10, Clarence Moore (4/45/2 vs. The Jets) managed just 1/24/0 vs. Dallas (Darnell Dinkins was the fantasy nobody hauling in a TD this week (3/40/1)) - at least there is a chance that the other TD actually helped a fantasy owner somewhere, as Kevin Johnson hauled in 4/51/1 last week. Essentially, if you start a Raven receiver you're just going to need luck to garner any TDs from the player in any given week.

New England withstood the Chief's blitzkrieg on Monday Night Football, although they gave up 27/42 for 381 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception to the Holmes-less Chiefs. In their prior 2 games, the Patriots had allowed an average of 167 net passing yards per contest with only 2 TDs allowed (rushing and receiving) - the KC game was definitely out of character for this bunch. The Patriots average 204 passing yards allowed per game this year (14th in the NFL) with 8 passing scores surrendered in 10 games. The KC game got out of control, but that doesn't happen often to this squad.

Baltimore continues to do without TE Todd Heap (he's not been listed higher than "doubtful" all season due to his ankle injury). New England has injury woes of their own, with CB Asante Samuel suffering the latest injury (he was writhing in pain grasping his wrist/forearm after banging it on the turf Monday night). CBs Ty Law and Tyrone Poole have both missed multiple games (foot and knee injuries, respectively), forcing WR Troy Brown to do double-duty as a DB.

The forecast for Gillette Stadium calls for a high of 52F with a low of 35F and a 20% chance for rain - a crisp autumn day is on tap for this game, it appears.

Baltimore's passing game is improving but still unimpressive, while the Patriots have been fairly stout in most games (despite last week's shoot-out with the Chiefs). Advantage, New England.


Washington's Passing Attack vs. The Pittsburgh Defense (Bad Matchup)

Patrick Ramsey has struggled to produce since being elevated to the starting role in the Redskins' offense, and it is limiting the fantasy value of the other members of this squad. Over his first two extended appearances, Ramsey has cobbled together 39/71 for 372 yards, 1 TD and 3 interceptions - his leading receiver in that span has been Laveranues Coles (10/108/0 in the last 2 games) - there's just not a lot of fantasy scoring going on among the Washington players right now. Until Ramsey proves he can beat teams throwing the ball, the offense is likely to remain in neutral.

Pittsburgh's opportunistic defense keeps on grinding down their opponents - last week it was Carson Palmer who threw an interception that was returned for a TD by James Farrior (Palmer managed 13/25 for 165 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception by game's end). Over the past 3 weeks, the Steelers have held opponents to 132 passing yards per game on average, with only 3 TDs surrendered in that span (rushing and receiving). They are ultra-tough heading into the playoff stretch run.

Washington reported no new injuries of note after Sunday's game in this phase, while CBs Chad Scott (quadriceps) and Chidi Iwuoma (hamstring) were sidelined for the last contest (Scott has missed many games in a row and probably won't play this week; Iwuoma tweaked a hamstring during pre-game warm-ups last week and was a late scratch).

The forecast for Heinz Field calls for a high of 53F with a low of 44F and a 30% chance for precipitation. If the rain holds off, it should be a nice day to play a game of football.

Washington's pass offense is weak, Pittsburgh's pass defense is very stout - this is a bad matchup for the Redskins.


San Francisco's Passing Attack vs. The Miami Defense (Bad Matchup)

There are a lot of terms for a matchup like this one (between two 1-9 teams): "Battle of the Bad"; "Toilet Bowl"; "Stink-Fest". Take your pick - this game is more likely to be a comedy of errors than a "Battle Royale".

We'll let Tim Rattay's statistics speak for us: over the past 3 weeks, the 49ers QB has managed 60/103 for 690 yards, 3 TDs and 6 interceptions. Not too good, folks. Eric Johnson (19 targets for 12/134/0) and Brandon Lloyd (19 for 10/144/2) have been the best fantasy commodities among the receivers (16th - best TE and 25th - ranked WR during those 3 weeks). There just hasn't been much to crow about in the City by the Bay in recent weeks.

Miami's defense has been stout in this phase of the game, allowing an average of 163 net passing yards per game over their last 2 games, with 14/28 for 196 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions surrendered to Trent Dilfer and the Seahawks last week. Miami has been tough all season long, averaging 152.8 passing yards allowed per game to date (with 11 TDs given up so far). Regardless of the team's sad-sack offense, the Miami secondary is no joke.

Both teams enjoy decent health in this phase of the game, with no major new injuries to report as of early in the week.

The forecast for Monster Stadium calls for a high of 59F with a low of 45F and a 10% chance of precipitation - pleasant weather is around the corner for this matchup, it appears.

Rattay and company have struggled mightily in recent weeks - the Dolphins are very stout in this phase of the game. This is a bad matchup for the 49ers.

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