Hi Folks,

Here's our look at the Passing Matchups for this week.

PLEASE NOTE: This does NOT replace the Cheatsheet ranking. The
Cheatsheet rankings are the final say on where we see a player for
that week. The Matchup Breakdowns are simply one more tool in the box
when it comes to helping choose your lineup.

Also note, just because a player has a "bad" matchup, it does NOT mean
he's not a starter in your league. If Peyton Manning is playing the
toughest pass defense in the league, that just means he's got a tough
matchup that week. He's also your starter unless you're loaded at QB.
In the same way, if the worst QB on your roster has a "great" matchup
that week, it doesn't necessarily mean he's your starter. It means we
think he'll fare better than normal that week.

Bottom line is that the cheatsheets are the final say.

Let's jump to it.

Joe

**************************************
Joe Bryant
Owner – www.Footballguys.com


Quick Index:

Great Matchups:

Carolina's Passing Attack vs. The New Orleans' "Defense"
Philadelphia's Passing Attack vs. The Green Bay Defense
New York Jets' Passing Attack vs. The Houston Defense
Oakland's Passing Attack vs. The Kansas City Defense
St. Louis' Passing Attack vs. The San Francisco Defense
Indianapolis' Passing Attack vs. The Tennessee Defense

Good Matchups:

Tampa Bay's Passing Attack vs. The Atlanta Defense
San Diego's Passing Attack vs. The Denver Defense
Kansas City's Passing Attack vs. The Oakland Defense
Minnesota's Passing Attack vs. The Chicago Defense
New England's Passing Attack vs. The Cleveland Defense

Neutral Matchups:

Denver's Passing Attack vs. The San Diego Defense
Green Bay's Passing Attack vs. The Philadelphia Defense
San Francisco's Passing Attack vs. The St. Louis Defense
Dallas' Passing Attack vs. The Seattle Defense
Seattle's Passing Attack vs. The Dallas Defense

Tough Matchups:

Arizona's Passing Attack vs. The Detroit Defense
Detroit's Passing Attack vs. The Arizona Defense
Atlanta's Passing Attack vs. The Tampa Bay Defense
New Orleans' Passing Attack vs. The Carolina Defense
Baltimore's Passing Attack vs. The Cincinnati Defense
Houston's Passing Attack vs. The New York Jets' Defense
Chicago's Passing Attack vs. The Minnesota Defense
Washington's Passing Attack vs. The New York Defense
Pittsburgh's Passing Attack vs. The Jacksonville Defense
Jacksonville's Passing Attack vs. The Pittsburgh Defense
Tennessee's Passing Attack vs. The Indianapolis Defense

Bad Matchups:

Buffalo's Passing Attack vs. The Miami Defense
Miami's Passing Attack vs. The Buffalo Defense
Cincinnati's Passing Attack vs. The Baltimore Defense
Cleveland's Passing Attack vs. The New England Defense
New York's Passing Attack vs. The Washington Defense

Carolina's Passing Attack vs. The New Orleans' "Defense" (Great Matchup)

Jake Delhomme has been on fire in the last 3 weeks, tossing 45/80 for
673 yards, 7 TDs and only 2 interceptions in 3 games. He's the 11th
ranked fantasy QB during that span, and has favored Muhsin Muhammad
(29 targets for 14/293/5) over Keary Colbert (18 for 10/147/2) during
much of that span, although last week Colbert was the fantasy stud (6
targets for 3/72/2) – Muhammad chipped in 2/52/0. These 3 have got the
offense revved up now that Nick Goings has established a credible
threat to run the ball.

Michael Vick didn't need to carve up the Saints' secondary (thanks to
a total of 33/186/1 rushing allowed to the Falcons), but he still
picked them apart at will – 16/29 for 212 yards, 2 TDs and 1
interception. It was the least yardage the Saints have allowed in a
month of Sundays (they average 245 passing yards and 2.3 TDs given
away per week over the last 4 weeks) – they are dead last in the NFL
allowing an average of 264.5 passing yards (20 TDs so far) and dead
last at run D (153.8 rushing yards per game, 13 TDs given away).
Pathetic is the kindest word we can think of to describe the Saints'
D.

Carolina comes into this one with no new injuries of note – WR Karl
Hankton has a sore hamstring (questionable), and Delhomme is probable
with his fractured thumb-tip. New Orleans' S Steve Gleason has been
healing up a bad hamstring (not listed on Wednesday).

This game is to be played in the Superdome – weather won't be an issue.

The Panthers won't see a better matchup in the final ¼ of the season
(until they play New Orleans again in a few weeks).



Philadelphia's Passing Attack vs. The Green Bay Defense (Great Matchup)

Donovan McNabb had a low-key outing as his team racked up 38/152/2
rushing against the fading Giants (18/27 for 244 yards, 1 TD and 0
interceptions) – top receivers Terrell Owens (4/61/0) and Todd
Pinkston (3/75/0) were both mediocre fantasy starts on another day
when Brian Westbrook starred in the red-zone (18/74/1 rushing, 5/53/1
receiving). Over the past 3 weeks, Owens (22 targets for 12/220/4) and
Westbrook (18 for 14/157/3) have snagged the lion's share of McNabb's
TD passes (51/81 for 811 yards, 9 TDs and 1 interception, 2nd best
fantasy QB during that span due to Manning's ridiculously incredible
15 TD passes). McNabb is as hot as NFL QBs get over that span unless
your first name begins with "P".

"Mad-Bomber Martz" called 53 pass plays against the Packers last week
(vs. only  17 rushes), garnering 448 yards and 2 TDs with 1
interception for his troubles, en route to a 45-17 loss. The Packers
gave up a bunch of yards, but realize that 53 pass attempts in a
single game is an unusual circumstance. Michael Vick doesn't throw
that many balls in the course of 2 games, usually (just as an
example). However, the Rams were trying to exploit an obvious weakness
(the Packers average 240.3 passing yards allowed per game (28th in the
NFL to date) and have surrendered 23 passing scores to date (2nd-most
in the NFL). Over the past 4 weeks, the team has given up an average
of 298 passing yards and 2.3 TDs – not too good.

The Eagles' receiving corps is in good health – TE L.J. Smith has a
sore hamstring (probable to play). Green Bay's secondary is also in
fine fettle for this late date in the season, although S Bhawoh Jue
(hip) and S Darren Sharper (knee) are dinged up (probable to play).

The forecast for Lincoln Financial Field calls for a high of 52F with
a low of 38F and a 20% chance for rain. A fine autumnal day is on tap
for this game, it appears.

McNabb is very hot right now, while the Packers are still reeling from
the Rams' aerial assault. At home, the Eagles have the edge in this
matchup.



New York Jets' Passing Attack vs. The Houston Defense (Great Matchup)

The Jets muddled through a collective 13/21 for 193 yards, 1 TD and 0
interception game vs. the inept Cardinals last week – it was good
enough for a "W", but neither Quincy Carter (8/12 for 133 yards, 1 TD
and 0 interceptions) or 3rd stringer Brooks Bollinger (5/9 for 60
yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions) were exciting from the fantasy
perspective. Santana Moss had an "on-again" game, with 7 targets for
5/109/1. He has been disappointing most weeks, with games worth 2/25/0
and a 3/75/0 sandwiched between last week's good showing and his
season-best week 9 performance (6/157/1). No-one else got over the
1/26/0 mark that Wayne Chrebet set last week.

Houston's pass D gave away 25/34 for 227 yards, 3 TDs and 1
interception to Steve McNair last week. They have been playing very
poorly in recent weeks, allowing an average of 285 net passing yards
per game, with 3.3 TDs per game. The Texans are dead last in the
league with only 15 sacks to their credit all season long, while
averaging 252.2 passing yards allowed per game (and a league-leading
27 passing TDs to date) – this secondary is New Orleans-esque in their
ineptitude.

This week, the Jets list Pennington as questionable (shoulder) along
with WR Jerricho Cotchery (hamstring). Ss Jason Simmons (head,
questionable) and Marcus Coleman (shoulder, probable) are on Houston's
initial injury report.

The forecast for Giants' Stadium calls for a high of 54F with a low of
40F and a 20% chance for rain. A nice day is around the corner in New
Jersey, it appears.

The Jets are inconsistent in this phase of the game, with their main
playmakers in this phase (Moss and Justin McCareins) unreliable from
week to week. However, Houston's pass defense ranks among the league's
worst, so this may be a good week to throw Moss and McCareins into the
mix and hope for the best.



Oakland's Passing Attack vs. The Kansas City Defense (Great Matchup)

This one's for pride, as Denver and San Diego have run away with the
AFC West this season. However, both of these teams have proud
traditions, and this rivalry is long and bitter – look for a strong
effort from both squads.

Oakland won a huge game last week, defeating the hated Broncos by 1 pt
on the strength of Kerry Collins' 26/45 for 339 yards, 4 TDs and 2
interception performance. Jerry Porter slapped down 6/135/3 out of 9
chances to lead the team. It was by far the best performance of this
unit since Collins took the helm from Rich Gannon. With 44/75 for 556
yards, 6 TDs and 2 interceptions to Collins' credit in the past 2
weeks, it is beginning to look like he actually IS a good fit for
Turner's offense.

Kansas City's secondary was shredded by Drew Brees last week, allowing
a total of 28/37 for 378 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions. They have
been terrible over the past 4 weeks, averaging 302 yards and 1.5 TDs
allowed in this phase of the game. The team is in the cellar
statistically this season, ranking 30th in the league allowing an
average of 254.8 passing yards and a total of 20 passing scores to
date. Any way you slice it, the Chiefs are playing poor pass D.

Part of the Chiefs' problem last week was due to injuries: Ss Jerome
Woods (knee, questionable) and Greg Wesley (hamstring, doubtful) were
sidelined – Wesley was a game-time scratch. S Shaunard Harts has a
sore shin (probable). Oakland lists TE Courtney Anderson (knee, out),
WR Johnnie Morant (foot, out), WR Alvis Whitted (hip, questionable)
and WR Doug Gabriel (hip, probable).

The forecast for Network Associates Coliseum calls for a high of 55F
and a low of 40F with a 10% chance for rain. Southern California
weather is great at this time of year, isn't it?

Collins is hot, the Chiefs are not – advantage, Oakland.



St. Louis' Passing Attack vs. The San Francisco Defense (Great Matchup)

How does a team throw for 448 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception and lose
a game? By fumbling 2 passes that are returned for TDs, that's how.
Bulger enjoyed a spectacular fantasy outing, and considering coach
Martz's gleeful abandonment of the rushing game at the slightest
excuse, there is no reason to expect Bulger to suddenly tank. Isaac
Bruce saw 16 passes for 9/170/1 (but he fumbled twice, both returned
for scores). Kevin Curtis was second on the team with 8 for 6/67/0
(Faulk caught the other score: 6 targets for 5/14/1). Bulger has
85/132 997 yards, 5 TDs and 4 interceptions to his credit over the
last 3 weeks, he picked apart the 49ers for 17/25 yielding 186 yards,
1 TD and 0 interceptions last time they played (week 4) – and that day
St. Louis rushed the ball 36 times for 174 yards and 2 scores (Faulk
has 38 carries in the last 3 weeks, Jackson 25 – an average of 21
carries per game between the two during that span).

Miami beat San Francisco last week – does that tell you anything? How
about the fact that the 49ers have allowed 21 passing scores in 11
games? They average 229 passing yards and 2.5 TDs allowed over the
past 4 weeks, including A.J. Feeley's 17/33 for 159 yards, 2 TDs and 1
interception – Feeley did that with a numb ring finger on his throwing
hand. These guys are bad, awful, terrible… words fail to describe the
situation. Coach Erickson may be jealous of the Saints' defense (well,
probably not, but you see the point).

CBs Ahmed Plummer (neck, out) and Jimmy Williams (toe, probable) both
missed the game last week – Plummer hasn't played for quite awhile.
The Rams are in decent shape, with no new injuries of note, although
WR Isaac Bruce (wrist) and TE Brandon Manumaleuna (knee) are both
dinged but probable to play.

This game is to be played in the Edward Jones Dome – weather won't be an issue.

The Rams will move the ball at will on this "defense".



Indianapolis' Passing Attack vs. The Tennessee Defense (Great Matchup)

Back in week 2, Peyton Manning had a solid game by anyone else's
standards – 24/33 for 254 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions – but he
wasn't the passing juggernaut he has become in the interval since
then. However, Tennessee's secondary has been ravaged by injuries
since week 2, so prospects for Manning and the Colts this week are
quite good.

Tennessee surrendered 21/30 for 201 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception to
David Carr and company last week, much of it in the second half of the
game. The banged-up Tennessee secondary looked like they ran out of
gas as the game went along. Over the past 4 weeks, the Titans have
battled through a plethora of serious injuries to average 126 passing
yards allowed and .7 TDs surrendered per game – but the loss to
Houston looked much worse than those numbers indicate. This season
they are the 9th ranked secondary in the land surrendering 196.5
passing yards per game on average.

A big part of Tennessee's problem is a lack of quality DBs – they are
really torn up in the defensive backfield – S Lance Schulters has been
gone for weeks with a foot injury (out), S Tank Williams has torn knee
ligaments (IR), S Justin Sandy has a foot injury (not listed on
Wednesday), and CB Andre Woolfolk injured his wrist/elbow a few weeks
ago (out). CBs Tony Beckham has a sore knee (questionable) as does
Samari Rolle (questionable).  The ranks are pretty thin back there.
Indianapolis continues to do without WR Troy Walters (broken arm), but
it hasn't affected them much – he's listed as probable this week.

This game will be played in the air-conditioned comfort of the RCA
Dome – weather isn't an issue.

Look for Manning and company to tear the limping Titans apart.



Minnesota's Passing Attack vs. The Chicago Defense (Good Matchup)

Daunte Culpepper got his favorite target back last week, and promptly
tossed him another TD pass (Moss had 5 targets for 4/40/1) – Moss may
not be 100%, but he's still a productive player now that he's fit to
take the field. Overall, Culpepper enjoyed a solid 19/27 for 235
yards, 1 TD and 1 interception game vs. Jacksonville. Jermaine Wiggins
(7 targets for 4/55/0) and Marcus Robinson (6 for 4/48/0) were thrown
to more than Moss – nobody had an explosive game, according to fantasy
standards. Back in week 3, Culpepper destroyed the Bears' defense with
19/30 for 360 yards and 2 TDs with no interceptions.

Chicago withstood the withering (just kidding) passing attack of the
Cowboys last week (13/26 for 123 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions was
the sum of Henson and Testaverde's efforts last week). Usually, this
group is much more giving than that, surrendering an average of 202
yards and 2 passing TDs per game over the last 4 weeks (196.5 passing
yards per game is their season average, with 15 scores allowed to
date). Those numbers put Chicago in the top 10 this season (9th
overall to date) – but they haven't looked like a top-ten pass D in
recent weeks.

Part of the Bear's problem is the lack of MLB Brian Urlacher, which
has altered the character of the defense. Minnesota's unit is
returning to health, listing Moss as probable (hamstring) this week.

This forecast for Soldier Field calls for a high of 50F with a low of
41 and a 20% chance of rain – that's balmy weather for Chicago in the
month of December, folks.

Minnesota has a high-octane attack – meanwhile, the Bears are sliding
toward oblivion in 2004. Advantage, Minnesota.



Kansas City's Passing Attack vs. The Oakland Defense (Good Matchup)

This one's for pride, as Denver and San Diego have run away with the
AFC West this season. However, both of these teams have proud
traditions, and this rivalry is long and bitter – look for a strong
effort from both squads.

Trent Green has been piling up yardage over the last 3 games, with
70/109 for 900 yards, 3 TDs and 4 interceptions during that span.
Eddie Kennison has been the TD maker lately, with 22 targets for
11/229/3 over the last 3 games, while Tony Gonzalez has seen the most
targets (30 for 21/262/0), but no TDs. Last week, the running game was
on display – Green had a quiet day with 21/34 for 208 yards, 0 TDs and
1 interception.

Oakland contained Jake Plummer and company last week – 14/23 for 245
yards, 1 TD and 1 interception – which is right on pace for this
group. They have averaged 246 net passing yards and 1.7 TDs per game
over the last 4 weeks (227.3 passing yards per game and 21 TDs
surrendered so far in 2004). Oakland doesn't scare anybody in this
phase of the game.

Injuries aren't a major factor, although K.C.'s backup TE Kris Wilson
continues to be listed (doubtful) as usual. QB Trent Green has sore
ribs (questionable). Oakland lists S Marques Anderson as doubtful
(quadriceps).

The forecast for Network Associates Coliseum calls for a high of 55F
and a low of 40F with a 10% chance for rain. Southern California
weather is great at this time of year, isn't it?

Green has been steady but unspectacular lately, while Oakland is in
the lowest tier of NFL pass defenses. This is a good matchup for the
slumbering Chiefs' attack.



Tampa Bay's Passing Attack vs. The Atlanta Defense (Good Matchup)

19/26 for 174 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception (6/90/1 to Michael
Clayton, 5/51/1 to Ken Dilger) – that was the book on Griese vs.
Atlanta back in week 10. Griese comes into this game hot, though, with
27/39 for 347 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception to his credit vs.
Carolina last week – Carolina has only allowed 8 passing scores all
season long – he looks like he's ready to carry this team with his
throwing arm. RB Michael Pittman snagged both scores last week
(8/134/2), while Michael Clayton led all wide receivers with 8/77/0.

Aaron Brooks couldn't get a whole lot going against the Falcons (19/34
for 189 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions), but they didn't totally shut
him down, either. Atlanta's been so-so for much of the year, allowing
an average of 232.1 passing yards per game (26th in the NFL), but only
surrendering 13 passing scores to date. Over the past 4 weeks, the
Falcons have limited opponents to an average of 149 passing yards per
game, with 1.3 scores given up per game. They are not great, but they
are not horrible, either. They do get after the opposing QB, with 32
sacks to their credit this season (4th in the NFL) – Tampa is tied for
7th-most sacks allowed this year at 31.

Tampa's oft-injured WR Joey Galloway has a sprained right ankle
(probable), and Brian Griese will be limited in practice this week by
a hip flexor injury – but Griese is expected to play (probable).
Atlanta's secondary is in good shape for this phase of the season,
with only CB Jason Webster on the injury report (groin, questionable).

The forecast for Raymond James Stadium calls for a high of 75F and a
low of 63F with a 60% chance of rain. If the rain falls thickly during
the game, footing and ball-handling could become issues (as we saw in
New England last week, the fields are pretty tore up in certain venues
right now).

Griese is hot, the Falcons are so-so in this phase – with home field
advantage at his back, we think this is a good but not great matchup
for Griese. The offensive scheme will need to include extra protection
for Griese if the Buccaneers are to enjoy solid success, though.



San Diego's Passing Attack vs. The Denver Defense (Good Matchup)

Considering that Oakland and Kansas City are essentially eliminated
from contention in the AFC West, expect a playoff level of intensity
between these division rivals in this rematch of their week 3 game.
San Diego (8-3) has a slim margin over Denver (7-4), but dropped the
first decision 23-13 to the Broncos at Mile High Stadium.

Drew Brees has gone on a tear since week 3, when the Chargers were 1-2
and lost to Denver while Brees threw 14/29 for 121 yards, 0 TDs and 0
interceptions. Over his past 2 games, Brees has hit 46/71 for 604
yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions, with 13/28/1 rushing to his credit –
the guy is the 5th best fantasy QB in fantasy points per game over the
past 3 weeks. Antonio Gates? What a fantasy stud! 20 targets for
15/193/3 during the past 3 weeks – he's the #1 target in the red-zone
(when Tomlinson isn't busy jamming the ball into the end-zone, that
is). Keenan McCardell actually leads the team in targets over that
span with 23 for 11/139/0.

Denver comes into this game stone cold, having surrendered 26/45 for
339 yards, 4 TDs and 2 interceptions to Kerry Collins and company on
Sunday night. Champ Bailey looked human in the snow, getting burned
repeatedly by Jerry Porter (6/135/3 on the night). This pass D fell on
their face last week. Denver is usually made of stouter stuff, with a
season average of 200.8 passing yards allowed per game (11 TDs to date
in this phase). Over the past 4 weeks, though, they've averaged 308
net passing yards and 1.7 TDs per game in this phase – a chink in the
Bronco's barding is showing.

The Chargers are in good shape, health-wise, listing only WR Tim
Dwight as probable (toe,) while the Broncos' CB Lenny Walls suffered
the third separation of his right shoulder this season last week, and
that forced the team to put him on IR (he needs surgery to correct the
underlying problem). S John Lynch has a sore pelvis (probable).

The forecast for Qualcomm Stadium calls for a high of 55F with a low
of 42F with a 30% chance of rain. If the rain pours down at game-time,
footing and ball-handling could become issues in this phase of the
contest.

At home, with the playoffs in sight (and Denver reeling in this phase
of the game), look for Brees and Gates to exact revenge on Denver for
the week 3 loss. Advantage, San Diego.



New England's Passing Attack vs. The Cleveland Defense (Good Matchup)

New England's Tom Brady had a modest game in the slop last week,
throwing for 15/30 for 172 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions during a
long downpour of rain. In those conditions, none of the receivers
excelled (Deion Branch led the team with 4/51/0 on the day). Over the
past 3 weeks, Branch has resumed his role as a top component in the
passing game, with 15 targets for 10/156/1 (David Givens leads the
team in targets with 24, but has managed to convert only 12 for 111
yards and 0 scores).

Cleveland's secondary made Carson Palmer look like a veteran last
week, allowing 22/29 for 251 yards, 4 TDs and 3 interceptions to the
youngster. They have an average of only 146 net passing yards per game
over the last 4 weeks, though, and 1.3 TDs per game – last week was an
epic meltdown, though. For the year, the Browns rank 14th in the NFL
allowing an average of 205.4 passing yards per game, with 12 TDs
surrendered to date. They are usually a strong squad in this phase of
the game. The coaching staff is in turmoil this week, with head coach
Butch Davis resigning – how the players will respond to getting rid of
the disliked Davis is anyone's guess at this point.

New England is in good shape on their side of the ball, listing QBs
Tom Brady (shoulder) and Jim Miller (shoulder) as probable. CBs
Michael Lehan (hamstring) and Daylon McCutcheon (shoulder) are
questionable according to the Browns' new, Titan's-style Wednesday
injury report.

The forecast for Cleveland Browns Stadium calls for a high of 52F and
a low of 43F with a 20% chance for rain. That's great December weather
in that part of the world.

Brady is a top NFL QB, and should look like one against the decent
(but shell-shocked) Browns this week.



Green Bay's Passing Attack vs. The Philadelphia Defense (Neutral Matchup)

71/106 for 834 yards, 8 TDs and 2 INTs – that's what Brett Favre has
thrown for over the past 3 games. He hit 18/27 for 215 yards, 3 TDs
and 0 interceptions last week against the Rams – Favre is almost
automatic in this phase of the game right now. Donald Driver (24
targets for 19/261/2), Javon Walker (16 for 14/177/2) and Bubba Franks
(7 for 6/103/2) have been his top-scoring targets in fantasy terms,
with Robert Ferguson chipping in 13 for 9/99/0. The only other team
this deep in the passing phase of the game is the Colts.

Philadelphia has been fairly tough in this phase over the past 4
weeks, with an average of 172 passing yards and 1 passing TD allowed
per game. They are the league's 15th ranked secondary, giving up an
average of 205.8 passing yards per game (with 11 scores surrendered in
this phase to date). They frustrated rookie Eli Manning last week
(6/21 for 148 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions) – but with 200
consecutive starts under his belt, Brett Favre is as far from a rookie
as you'll find. Philly excels at pass-rushing, with 34 sacks this
season (2nd in the NFL) – however, the Packers are 1st in the NFL at
pass protection, allowing only 5 sacks to date.

Green Bay reports that WR Robert Ferguson is probable to play
(foot/groin). CBs Roderick Hood (back) and Lito Sheppard (leg
contusion) are probable for the Eagles.

The forecast for Lincoln Financial Field calls for a high of 52F with
a low of 38F and a 20% chance for rain. A fine autumnal day is on tap
for this game, it appears.

Green Bay is playing well in this phase of the game, while the Eagles
are gearing up for a playoff run and have clinched the NFC East – now
home-field advantage throughout the playoffs is in their sight. This
is an even matchup between hot squads.



Denver's Passing Attack vs. The San Diego Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Considering that Oakland and Kansas City are essentially eliminated
from contention in the AFC West, expect a playoff level of intensity
between these division rivals in this rematch of their week 3 game.
San Diego (8-3) has a slim margin over Denver (7-4), but dropped the
first decision 23-13 to the Broncos at Mile High Stadium.

Jake Plummer had it easy vs. the Chargers back in week 3, tossing
25/36 for 294 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions. Rod Smith (5/75/1) and
Ashley Lelie (4/67/1) split the TDs that week. Over the last 3 weeks,
they've collected the majority of Plummer's throws to wide-outs (8
targets for 5/125/1 to Smith; 10 for 7/159/1 to Lelie) – but there
just haven't been a lot of fantasy points to share around. Plummer has
thrown a mere 33 completions on 52 attempts for 469 yards, 3 TDs and 1
interception in the past 2 games.

Over the past 4 weeks, San Diego's pass D has been pretty respectable,
allowing an average of 195 passing yards and 1 TD per game. Trent
Green and company could only manage 21/34 for 208 yards, 0 TDs and 1
interception last week. They are much stronger at this point than
their season average of 234.5 passing yards allowed per game (27th in
the NFL) would indicate (13 scores surrendered over 11 games).

Denver's unit is in good shape, listing Lelie (hip), Smith (thigh) and
WR Nate Jackson (foot) as probable to play. San Diego suffered a loss
last week when CB Sammy Davis broke his right leg – he's out
indefinitely (out on Wednesday's official report). Ss Hanik Milligan
(hamstring) and Jerry Wilson (shoulder) are probable to play.

The forecast for Qualcomm Stadium calls for a high of 55F with a low
of 42F with a 30% chance of rain. If the rain pours down at game-time,
footing and ball-handling could become issues in this phase of the
contest.

Denver pushed the Chargers around in their week 3 game, but this group
has won a lot of contests since then, and the pass D has improved
considerably. With home-field advantage behind the defense, we think
this is an even contest.



San Francisco's Passing Attack vs. The St. Louis Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Tim Rattay: 60/106 612 yards, 1 TD and 5 interceptions over the past 3
weeks. The doors have fallen off, the engine is on the street, and the
car is on fire. Stay away – the explosion is soon to follow.

St. Louis allowed 18/27 for 215 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions to
Brett Favre in their last game – but Rattay is as far from Favre as
the Sun is from Pluto at this point in the season. The Rams average
218.1 passing yards allowed per game this season, and have surrendered
196 yards and 2.3 TDs per game over the last 4 weeks. They aren't very
good.

San Francisco is in good health, if nothing else. CB Dejuan Groce
(knee, doubtful); Ss Aeneas Williams (neck, questionable) and Adam
Archuleta (back, probable)  are listed by St. Louis.

This game is to be played in the Edward Jones Dome – weather won't be an issue.

San Francisco has fallen apart in this phase of the game – the Rams
are sub-par. This is an ugly matchup with no clear edge held by either
unit, but we don't think a repeat of Rattay's game during week 4 is in
the cards (31/47 for 299 yards 2 TDs and 1 interception).



Dallas' Passing Attack vs. The Seattle Defense (Neutral Matchup)

The Drew Henson experiment lasted one half (4/12 for 31 yards, 0 TDs
and 1 interception) – the hook came at half-time, and Vinny Testaverde
led the team to victory in the second half. Look for Testaverde to be
the guy unless he gets seriously injured. Over the past 3 weeks, he's
amassed 39/66 for 455 yards, 3 TDs and 4 interceptions – not a fantasy
bonanza by any stretch of the imagination – but it's much better than
31 yards and an interception. Keyshawn Johnson (23 targets for
13/151/0 over the last 3 weeks), Quincy Morgan (19 for 7/85/0) and
Jason Witten (17 for 13/179/2) form the spine of Dallas' attack.

Seattle's defense is an enigma this year. They play well at times,
create turnovers – but drop winnable game after winnable game. Their
numbers over the past 4 weeks: 252 passing yards and 1.3 thrown TDs
allowed per contest, an average. They are well off the 24th ranked
season pace of 227.2 passing yards allowed per game. The Seahawks are
flashy at times, but fundamentally flawed in this phase of the game.

The Cowboys say that Testaverde is fine despite his sore shoulder (not
listed). Seattle's secondary is in decent shape in the health
department, listing only CB Bobby Taylor (knee, questionable).

The forecast for Qwest Field calls for a high of 45F with a low of 36F
and an 80% chance of rain. If the rain pours down at game time, field
conditions could deteriorate and both footing and ball-handling would
become much more treacherous.

Seattle's defense is flawed in this phase of the game, while the
Cowboys are just so-so at playing pitch-and-catch. This matchup looks
fairly even from our perspective.



Seattle's Passing Attack vs. The Dallas Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Matt Hasselbeck was totally ineffective last week, throwing 19/38 for
185 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception (Darrell Jackson led all receivers
with 4/45/0; Bobby Engram scored 2/19/1). Does he really miss Koren "I
drop 50% of my chances" Robinson that much?

15/31 for 132 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions says more about the
ineptitude of the Bear's reserve QBs than it does about the Dallas
secondary. A more accurate picture of this group emerges in the
longer-term: over the past 4 weeks, the Cowboys have given away an
average of 217 passing yards per game, and 1.8 thrown TDs. They are
20th in the league this season, allowing an average of 217.3 passing
yards per game, with the third-most passing scores given up at 22.
They are not a solid secondary.

Neither team has injury concerns on their unit at the moment.

The forecast for Qwest Field calls for a high of 45F with a low of 36F
and an 80% chance of rain. If the rain pours down at game time, field
conditions could deteriorate and both footing and ball-handling would
become much more treacherous.

The up and down Seahawks come into this game down-again – meanwhile,
the mediocre-to-sub par Cowboys were adequate to defeat backup talent
last week. This looks like an even matchup from where we sit.



Arizona's Passing Attack vs. The Detroit Defense (Tough Matchup)

Rookie John Navarre gets his first NFL start at QB after holding a
clipboard as the third-stringer for most of the regular season (and
training camp before that). The teams' best running back, Emmitt
Smith, is not expected to be able to play, further increasing the
pressure on the rookie. This is not the week to expect big numbers
from Boldin/Fitzgerald/Johnson. And that's all we have to say about
that.

However, if interceptions count for a lot of points in your IDP
league, this is probably a great week to start CBs Dre' Bly and
Fernando Bryant or Ss Brock Marion (FS) and Bracy Walker (SS) if they
are on your roster. Detroit deploys a pretty forgiving secondary,
ranking 22nd in the NFL this season allowing an average of 225.2
passing yards per game, with 22 TDs given away in this phase of the
game to date (tied for 3rd-most in the NFL). Over the past 4 weeks,
they've been allowing less yards most of the time (176 on average),
but still give up points (2.8 passing scores per game). Peyton Manning
crushed these guys last week, hitting Detroit for 23/28 for 236 yards
and 6 TDs.

Neither team has injuries of note to worry about in this matchup.

This game is to be played at Ford Field – weather won't be a factor.

Inserting a rookie into this situation is asking an awful lot of the
youngster – most veterans would have a hard time with Smith out and so
few reps over the season to keep the rust off their arm. This is a
tough matchup for Navarre, due to the fact that the Lions won't have
to respect the run and will most likely blitz him unmercifully.



Detroit's Passing Attack vs. The Arizona Defense (Tough Matchup)

Detroit's passing attack has been less-than-impressive in recent
weeks. McMahon and Harrington combined for 25/38 for 233 yards, 0 TDs
and 1 interception last week. Here's what coach Mariucci had to say
about the QB mix in coming weeks after the shellacking the Colts laid
on Detroit on Thanksgiving: "We're trying to win games here and we're
trying to see if Joey's play can be good enough to do that. We're also
keeping in the back of our mind whether Mike should play. Is it
because of Joey's performance, is it because we want to see him and
see if he can play better? Is it smart to get a look at him (McMahon)
before he becomes a free agent? Those are all the things that go
through your mind. It's not as clear-cut as you may want it to be.."
The way we read that sentence is that as long as the Lions have a shot
at winning the game this week, Harrington stays under center. If they
fall far behind, look for the hook and McMahon in the lineup. It's
probably a decent week to consider your other options at QB (you
probably aren't considering Harrington anyway, considering his numbers
over the last 3 weeks: 37/75 for 368 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions
in 3 games). Roy Williams and Stephen Alexander have the most targets
in that span, with 20 each (8/134/0 for Williams, 12/109/1 for
Alexander). There just isn't many fantasy points to be had in this
phase of the Detroit offense, folks.

Last week, the Jets' backups managed 13/21 for 193 yards, 1 TD and 0
interceptions vs. the Cardinals. Over the past 4 weeks, they've
averaged 184 passing yards and 1.3 scores allowed per game, with a
season average of 199.4 passing yards per game and 13 passing scores
allowed to date (11th in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game).
They aren't an elite unit, but they are solidly above average.

Az-Zahir Hakim continues to have trouble with his bad hip, and missed
the last game due to this injury (probable). Stephen Alexander has a
sore ankle (probable). WR Eddie Drummond is out (shoulder injury). The
Cardinal's secondary has been doing without S Adrian Mayes (hamstring,
probable) – he was inactive last week.

This game is to be played at Ford Field – weather won't be a factor.

Harrington has been limited (again this year) by the injuries that
have ravaged his receiving corps. The Cardinals are an above average
pass defense, and that should be good enough to give Detroit's lame
attack fits.



Atlanta's Passing Attack vs. The Tampa Bay Defense (Tough Matchup)

Atlanta had a tougher time with the Saints than many expected, but the
soft New Orleans' D still provided a wealth of fantasy points to
Michael Vick and company. Vick ended the day with 16/29 for 212 yards,
2 TDs and 1 interception passing and 10/69/1 rushing. He was a hot
fantasy property last week (4th highest scoring fantasy QB among a
field of QBs who had exceptionally high-scoring games). Alge Crumpler
(7 targets for 4/103/1) and Peerless Price (8 targets for 4/59/0)
remain his top options, as usual. Vick looks much more comfortable in
the Atlanta attack now that his scrambling abilities are at the
forefront of his game. 8/16 for 147 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception
were Vicks totals vs. Tampa back in week 10 – he's was a decent
fantasy start due to his 9/73/0 rushing, but his wide receivers didn't
get much opportunity (Alge Crumpler had 4/118/1 that day, though, with
a long of 49 yards).

14/21 for 213 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception was the box-score for
Jake Delhomme vs. this secondary last week. He did a good job against
the 2nd-ranked secondary in the NFL (the Buccaneers average 166.1
passing yards allowed per game, with 13 scores surrendered to date).
Over the past 4 weeks, they have slipped off that pace somewhat,
allowing an average of 197 passing yards and 1.5 TDs per game to the
opposition – but they are still a fierce secondary on any given
Sunday.

Atlanta comes into the game in decent shape, although Brian Finneran
has an ankle injury (questionable). S Jermaine Phillips (arm, out) has
missed time due to his injury in recent weeks, and doesn't figure to
play this week, either.

The forecast for Raymond James Stadium calls for a high of 75F and a
low of 63F with a 60% chance of rain. If the rain falls thickly during
the game, footing and ball-handling could become issues (as we saw in
New England last week, the fields are pretty tore up in certain venues
right now).

Vick and his team-mates mount a run-first attack. Expect him to make
some good things happen when he finds opportunities to throw the ball
– there just won't be very many opportunities against the stout Bucs
at Raymond James Stadium (the 12th man is a huge boost to the D in
Tampa).



New Orleans' Passing Attack vs. The Carolina Defense (Tough Matchup)

Aaron Brooks has thrown the ball a ton in recent weeks, with 68/121
for 825 yards – but his decision making has been very poor at key
points (3 TDs vs. 6 interceptions). His 8/18/2 rushing has salvaged
his fantasy value over that span (10th best fantasy QB) – but he
hasn't been an elite player for several weeks now. Joe Horn (30
targets for 19/349/2) and Donte Stallworth (25 for 15/153/1) have been
his top receivers, as usual. The Saints' offense just isn't firing on
all their cylinders right now (partly due to chasing huge leads a lot
of the time thanks to their pathetic defense). Brooks and his mates
scared the Falcons last week (19/34 for 189 yards, 1 TD and 2
interceptions, with 3/10/1 rushing for Brooks), but watched their D
fold in the final 2 minutes to Vick and company.

Carolina's usually-stout pass D stumbled last week, allowing 27/39 for
347 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception to Brian Griese. It was a highly
unusual lapse (the team has only allowed 8 TDs in this phase all year,
including Griese's 2) – they have averaged 216.5 passing yards allowed
per game in 2004, solidly in the middle of the NFL pack (18th). We
think the last game is an aberration and not the beginning of a trend.

New Orleans comes into the game in good health on their side of the
ball (WR Michael Lewis is questionable with a sore ankle), as is
Carolina. Injuries aren't a huge concern for either team.

This game is to be played in the Superdome – weather won't be an issue.

The Panthers will make things tough for Brooks and company – they are
playing like the 2003 version of their team at this point in the
season.



Baltimore's Passing Attack vs. The Cincinnati Defense (Tough Matchup)

The real Kyle Boller showed up again last week (15/35 for 93 yards, 0
TDs and 1 interception).  A talented pass D (even one as banged up as
the Patriots are right now) showed that despite his recent successes,
Boller remains a youngster with a lot to learn about dealing with
top-shelf defensive personnel and top-shelf defensive coordination.
Even if one is inclined to cut him slack due to the dreadful
weather/field conditions, people must admit that if Boller had truly
"emerged" he would have averaged better than 2.7 yards per pass
attempt. Unknown Daniel Wilcox led the team with 2/30/0 during the
debacle. As we said last week, getting fantasy points from a Raven
receiver at this point in the season is largely a matter of pure luck.

Cincinnati's secondary got torched last week by Cleveland's backup
(30/39 for 413 yards, 5 TDs and 2 interceptions) during a shoot-out
for the ages. It was by far the worst performance of this unit in
2004. Usually they allow roughly 1/2 of the yardage given up last week
(averaging 206.1 passing yards allowed per game this season) – they
have surrendered 19 TDs to date. Even including the Holcomb explosion,
the Bengals have averaged 213 net passing yards and 1.8 passing scores
per game over the past 4 weeks – they just aren't that bad.

The Bengals list S Rogers Beckett (neck, questionable) and CB Deltha
O'Neal (ankle, probable). Baltimore's TE Todd Heap has been absent all
year, but has started to practice with his team-mates (finally – he's
questionable this week). 0 fantasy points from Heap has been a thorn
in a lot of fantasy owners' sides this year.

The forecast for M&T Bank Stadium calls for a high of 53F and a low of
39F with a 20% chance for rain – that's great football weather in our
book.

The Ravens' passing attack wavers from inept to mediocre – and they
are usually inept against decent defenses. Cincinnati's secondary got
torched last week, but they aren't chumps. Considering that Boller
managed 11/18 for 126 yards vs. the Bengals back in week 3 (with 1 TD
and 0 interceptions), we think he's in for another "learning
experience" this week.



Houston's Passing Attack vs. The New York Jets' Defense (Tough Matchup)

David Carr pulled a big game out of the "L" column last week, with a
strong 21/30 for 201 yards, 2 TD and 1 interception performance vs.
the Titans. None of the team's receivers had an exceptional day,
though, with Andre Johnson (6 targets for 4/34/1) and Billy Miller (4
for 4/42/1) garnering the scoring receptions – it was a total team
effort last week. Over the last 3 weeks, Johnson (25 for 16/200/1) and
Domanick Davis (23 for 20/147/1) have been the primary receivers
during Carr's 56/97 for 580 yards, 3 TDs and 4 interceptions campaign.
Nobody else has more than 70 yards (Corey Bradford, 14 targets for
5/70/0) to their credit in that 3 week span.

The Jets' defense has been tough in this phase during recent weeks ,
allowing an average of 165 passing yards and 1 TD per game over the
last 4 weeks. The Jets drilled the Cardinals last week, smothering
them in the course of a 19/36 for 181 yards, 0 TDs and 3 interception
debacle. They are currently the league's 8th ranked pass D, averaging
195.1 passing yards allowed per game, with 13 passing scores given
away to date. The Jets are tough in this phase right now.

S Jon McGraw has missed some games due to his sore groin (probable
this week). Houston's unit comes into the game in good shape.

The forecast for Giants' Stadium calls for a high of 54F with a low of
40F and a 20% chance for rain. A nice day is around the corner in New
Jersey, it appears.

Houston enjoyed a solid outing last week, but they are outclassed in
this one – advantage, New York.



Chicago's Passing Attack vs. The Minnesota Defense (Tough Matchup)

Well, Jeff George is in the house and the Bears are turning to their
4th starting QB this season, Chad Hutchinson. In Hutchinson's
abbreviated career as a starting QB (9 games with Dallas in 2002) he
has put up 127/250 for 1555 yards, 7 TDs and 8 interceptions. He
hasn't seen live action in 2 years, though, and the Bears' receivers
aren't exactly a consistently productive bunch of players (David
Terrell has grabbed only 6 of the 19 passes thrown his way in the last
3 weeks, for 121 yards and 0 TDs – and he leads the team in yardage
gained by far). Back in week 3, Rex Grossman was under center – recent
history doesn't tell us much about this game.

Byron Leftwich managed 19/34 for 235 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions
vs. the Vikings last week, which was more yards (the team has averaged
198 net passing yards allowed per game over the last 4 weeks) but less
TDs (average of 2.5 per game over the last 4 weeks) than the Vikings
have been coughing up in recent weeks. So far in 2004, the Vikings
rank 23rd in the NFL allowing an average of 226.9 passing yards per
game, with 17 TDs surrendered in this phase to date. They are a
sub-par to mediocre bunch, depending on the week.

Both teams enjoy decent health on their respective units right now.

This forecast for Soldier Field calls for a high of 50F with a low of
41 and a 20% chance of rain – that's balmy weather for Chicago in the
month of December, folks.

Look for the Bears to struggle with their new QB under center, even
though the Vikings are sub-par in this phase of the game. They just
don't have the horses to run with the Vikings'
talented-but-underachieving secondary.



Washington's Passing Attack vs. The New York Defense (Tough Matchup)

Patrick Ramsey has been a slight upgrade over Mark Brunell but not
much of one. He mustered 19/34 for 138 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception
vs. the Steelers last week, and has strung together 58/105 for 510
yards 2 TDs and 4 interceptions over the last 3 games. There aren't a
lot of fantasy points to be had on this squad – Laveranues Coles has
seen 33 targets for 16/163/0 and Rod Gardner 19 for 7/64/0, while
Chris Cooley has 10/62/2 on his 16 looks.

Donovan McNabb had a quietly efficient game vs. New York last week,
with 18/27 for 244 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions. The Giants have
been stronger than average over the past 4 weeks, allowing 130 net
passing yards and 1 TD per game during that span. They are the 6th
ranked secondary in the NFL, giving up an average of 179.9 passing
yards per game this season (17 TDs to date) – they field a good, but
not great, pass defense.

New York lists S Jack Brewer (calf, probable) and S Gibril Wilson
(neck, doubtful). WR Laveranues Coles has a sore hip (probable).

The forecast for FedEx Field calls for a high of 53F and a low of 35F
with a 20% chance for rain. A nice, crisp autumn day is on tap for
this game, it appears.

The Redskins have one of the weakest offenses in the league, while New
York fields a top-ten pass D – advantage, New York.



Pittsburgh's Passing Attack vs. The Jacksonville Defense (Tough Matchup)

Ben Roethlisberger suffered through a tough game vs. Washington last
week (Plaxico Burress was out with a bad hamstring – he's questionable
this week), managing only 9/20 for 131 yards, 0 TDs and 0
interceptions. It was a very forgettable fantasy outing for all
concerned on the squad (Hines Ward led the team with 3/42/0). Over the
past 3 weeks, Roethlisberger has shown a preference for Ward (17
targets for 9/99/0) and Burress (9 for 8/112/0), but the dearth of
passing scores has hurt everyone's fantasy value (Roethlisberger has
34/57 for 403 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception to his credit during that
span).

19/27 for 235 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception – Daunte Culpepper's
numbers last week – represents a good effort on the part of the
Jaguars: Minnesota's passing game is pretty powerful this year. Over
the past 4 weeks, the Jags have averaged 173 net passing yards and .7
TDs allowed per game, much better numbers than their season average of
216.7 yards allowed per game (19th in the NFL). The Jaguars are
playing at the top of their collective game right now.

Pittsburgh also lists WR Antwan Randle-El (hamstring, probable).
Jacksonville reports CB Juran Bolden (groin) as questionable.

The forecast for Alltel Stadium calls for a high of 71F and a low of
62F with a 40% chance for rain. If the rain comes down thickly at
game-time, footing and ball-handling could become issues.

Jacksonville's pass D is stiffening as the season goes along, while
the Steelers are a run-first team predicated on defense and ball
control. Don't look for big numbers from "Big Ben" this week.



Jacksonville's Passing Attack vs. The Pittsburgh Defense (Tough Matchup)

Byron Leftwich threw for 19/34 yielding 235 yards, 1 TD and 0
interceptions last week in his return from a knee injury. The bulky
brace he wore did not seem to affect his mobility – he looks pretty
good, considering the lay-off. As usual, Jimmy Smith led the charge
with 4/68/0 (Brian Jones scored, catching 2/28/1). Troy Edwards also
chipped in with 3/55/0 – the team looks ready to keep on rolling.
However, this week the Steelers are coming to call – Leftwich will
need all his mobility on Sunday.

Pittsburgh's pass D is predicated on rushing the passer – they are
good at it, too, with 36 sacks to their credit this season (1st in the
NFL at this point in the year). They are 3rd in the league allowing an
average of 168.8 passing yards per game, with 11 scores surrendered to
date. Over the past 4 weeks, the Steelers have averaged 126 net
passing yards and 1 TD allowed per game. They are studs in this phase
of the game.

The Steelers are still without top CB Chad Scott (knee, out) – he
hasn't played for weeks. CB Chidi Iwuoma has sore hamstring
(questionable). Jacksonville's TE George Wrighster continues to
struggle with his injured back (probable), and Kyle Brady suffered a
concussion last week (probable). The TE position will be thin on
Sunday if Brady can't play (Todd Yoder and Brian Jones (also listed:
shoulder, probable) are the backups who would step in). WR Jermaine
Lewis is out due to a concussion.

The forecast for Alltel Stadium calls for a high of 71F and a low of
62F with a 40% chance for rain. If the rain comes down thickly at
game-time, footing and ball-handling could become issues.

The Steelers make life tough for every QB they face this season.



Tennessee's Passing Attack vs. The Indianapolis Defense (Tough Matchup)

Back in week 2, the Titans managed 26/40 for 277 yards, 0 TDs and 1
interception against the Colt's young defense. Since then, the Titans'
have been ravaged by injuries and the Colts' defense has gotten quite
a bit better – McNair's prospects this week don't look very promising.
Indianapolis has allowed an average of 172 net passing yards per game
over the last 4 weeks, with .5 TDs given up per game during that span.

McNair has thrown for 43/64 for 436 yards, 4 TDs and 3 interceptions
over the past 3 weeks. He hit for 25/34 for 227 yards, 3 TDs and 1
interception vs. the Texans last week, but he was slow to get up after
being hit and looked generally uncomfortable at times during the game
– McNair is clearly not 100%. Derrick Mason (8/87/1) and Erron Kinney
(6/53/2) were the recipients of the TDs last week, while Drew Bennett
chipped in 5/54/0.

The Colts crushed Joey Harrington and company on Thanksgiving (25/38
for 233 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception during a 41-9 rout), and have
been playing pass defense quite well lately, as noted above. They are
a different unit now than they were earlier in the season (their
season average of 257.1 passing yards allowed per game, 31st in the
NFL, is misleading at this point).

The Titans list McNair as questionable due to his sore sternum. S Bob
Sanders (knee, out) and CB Nick Harper (head, questionable) are on
Indianapolis' list.

This game will be played in the air-conditioned comfort of the RCA
Dome – weather isn't an issue.

The Colts are gearing up for a playoff run, while the Titans are going
nowhere and McNair is contemplating retirement – advantage,
Indianapolis.



Buffalo's Passing Attack vs. The Miami Defense (Bad Matchup)

Drew Bledsoe showed signs of life last week in Seattle (but remember,
that was a home-coming of sorts, and he was playing in front of a lot
of friends and family) – 25/37 for 275 yards and 1 TD looks pretty
good, until you throw his 3 interceptions into the mix. He's a veteran
signal caller, but unlike Brett Favre or single malt Scotch, Bledsoe
hasn't aged very well. Anyway, he's still in the bottom echelon of
fantasy QBs if you look at his past 3 games (48/80 for 536 yards, 4
TDs and 7 interceptions, 27th among all fantasy signal callers) – you
probably shouldn't be starting him unless your other options are
pretty thin.  Eric Moulds has seen over twice as many opportunities as
Lee Evans in the past 3 weeks (33 targets vs. 15), but his production
isn't markedly better (and could be worse, depending on your league's
scoring rules) 16/156/0 vs. 9/123/1. The bottom line here is that
neither of these guys is a #1, #2, or #3 fantasy WR at this juncture
of the season (unless the injury bug has thinned out your roster).
Bledsoe had a decent game against Miami back in week 6 (15/28 for 212
yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions), but it wasn't a fantasy game for the
ages.

Miami held San Francisco's Tim Rattay to a goose-egg in the scoring
department last week (23/38 for 181 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions).
They are the league's top-ranked pass defense, allowing only 152.3
passing yards per game on average, with 11 TDs surrendered to date.
Over the past 4weeks, they have given up an average of 158 passing
yards and .7 TDs per outing. The Dolphins can play defense – that's
not this team's problem.

Miami lists S Yeremiah Bell (knee) as probable to play. The Bills say
WR Josh Reed (knee) is questionable.

The forecast for ProPlayer Stadium in Miami calls for a high of 82F
and a low of 67F with a 10% chance of rain – this is why people live
in South Florida despite hurricane season.

It's always tough to throw the ball on the Dolphins.



Cincinnati's Passing Attack vs. The Baltimore Defense (Bad Matchup)

Carson Palmer and Cincinnati put on a frenzied display last week,
slapping Butch Davis out of the NFL with their 58-48 victory over the
Browns. 22/29 for 251 yards, 4 TDs and 3 interceptions marked Palmer's
most impressive fantasy performance to date – Chad Johnson (12 targets
for 10/117/1) and T.J. Houshmandzadeh (5 for 4/79/2) played at the top
range of their talents (Johnson was concussed early in the game and
reportedly didn't remember much of the game) – it was a day to
remember if you are a Bengal fan or fantasy owner of a Bengal's
player. Palmer has attained fantasy mediocrity on the strength of the
frenzy, with 59/93 for 633 yards, 7 TDs and 6 interceptions to his
credit over the past 3 weeks. This was definitely a performance
outside the norm for this bunch, though – don't expect a repeat
performance this week. Why? Read on.

The Ravens love to bring a lot of pressure to the opposing QB (5th in
the NFL with 31 sacks to date) – luckily for Palmer, the Bengals are
better than most at protecting the pocket (10th best sacks-allowed,
with 22 given up to date). Even though he has decent protection,
Palmer is a first year starter who isn't entirely proficient with
reads and progressions just yet – the Ravens will test his skills
early and often, rest assured. Baltimore is the 4th ranked pass D in
the land, allowing an average of 173.1 passing yards per game, and a
league-low 7 passing scores to date. Even though Palmer had 25/52 for
316 yards against Baltimore in the first game, realize he also had 0
TDs and 3 interceptions to his credit back in week 3. Sure, he's
matured in the intervening 10 weeks, but this is still one of the best
secondaries in the NFL (143 yards and .3 TDs allowed per game in this
phase over the past 4 weeks).

15/30 for 172 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions was the tally when Tom
Brady strode off the mucky, slick turf at Gillette Stadium – he did
enough to win a game, but the Raven defense didn't give him much room
to maneuver. That's not a surprise, as the Ravens have allowed the
fewest TDs to opposing passers in the league this year (7) and are 4th
in the league with a mere 173.1 passing yards allowed per game. They
are actually significantly tougher than the season numbers indicate
over the past 4 weeks, with 143 passing yards and .3 passing scores
allowed per game during that span. Deion Sanders or not, these guys
are stout.

Speaking of Sanders, he has missed the last few games with a foot
injury (doubtful this week). CB Chris McAlister is questionable
(shoulder) to play. Cincinnati is in good shape for this stage of the
season, although WR Cliff Russell has a head injury (questionable).

The forecast for M&T Bank Stadium calls for a high of 53F and a low of
39F with a 20% chance for rain – that's great football weather in our
book.

Cincinnati will find the going rough in the Ravens' house.



Miami's Passing Attack vs. The Buffalo Defense (Bad Matchup)

Whatever you think about A.J. Feeley's statistical production, you
have to admire his competitive fire. The guy has been battered and
injured in numerous ways, playing for a team going nowhere in 2004,
and yet he keeps on pitching the pigskin down the field. He was
productive against the 49ers injury-ravaged secondary (17/33 for 159
yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception) with a jammed and numb ring finger on
his throwing hand. Not surprisingly, his TDs went to Chris Chambers
(5/64/1) and Randy McMichael (2/28/1). They are his best weapons in
this phase of the game.

Last time around the block in week 6, Jay Fiedler was Miami's starter
(12/23 for 136 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception) – recent history
doesn't tell us much about this week 13 affair. 19/38 for 185 yards, 1
TD and 1 interception was what Matt Hasselbeck and the Seahawks
managed last week, which is right on pace for this unit (7th in the
NFL this season averaging 182.5 passing yards allowed per game, with
14 score surrendered to date). The Bills have one of the better
defenses in the league.

Buffalo has done without CB Troy Vincent (knee, questionable) for most
of the season. Miami has no new injuries of note to report aside from
the constellation of hurts that Feeley is dealing with – a bruised
gluteal region, sore finger on his throwing hand, and so forth – he's
probable to play.

The forecast for ProPlayer Stadium in Miami calls for a high of 82F
and a low of 67F with a 10% chance of rain – this is why people live
in South Florida despite hurricane season.

It's always tough to throw the ball on the Bills this season.



Cleveland's Passing Attack vs. The New England Defense (Bad Matchup)

Kelly Holcomb looked like Peyton Manning last week, tossing 30/39 for
413 yards, 5 TDs and 2 interceptions vs. the Bengals. It was by far
the best performance by the Browns' passing game this year. However,
head coach Butch Davis was fired on Tuesday, and Jeff Garcia's health
is up in the air at mid-week – there is no guarantee that Holcomb will
be tossing the ball on Sunday. In fact, Holcomb's' ribs are sore – as
of Wednesday, reports indicate 3 are broken – the team may opt to
debut rookie Luke McCown if neither Holcomb or Garcia can get healthy.
New interim coach Terry Robiskie and Jeff Garcia haven't been very
happy with each other this season – Garcia may end up on the bench
regardless of health. In fact, the word at mid-week is that Luke
McCown, who played well vs. K.C. in the pre-season, is going to get
the nod. As he hasn't gotten a lot of reps up to this point in the
season, we suspect that McCown's arm is pretty rusty.

New England took Kyle Boller to the woodshed last week, allowing a
paltry 15/35 for 93 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interceptions to the
wet-behind-the-ears starter (both literally and figuratively – rain
was pouring down all day long). The Patriots average 184 passing yards
and 1 TD allowed per game over the past 4 weeks, and rank as the 13th
pass D in the land right now, surrendering an average of 203.3 passing
yards per game. They have allowed the 3rd-least TDs in this phase to
date, though (10), and have 34 sacks to their credit (tied for 2nd in
the NFL). This team is solid.

The Browns also have injury problems at WR, with the two Andres (King
and Davis) nursing ankle (not listed) and toe (IR) injuries – neither
one has played for many weeks. New England is banged up in the
secondary, with of their top CBs sideline – Ty Law (foot, out), Tyrone
Poole (knee, doubtful) and Asante Samuel (shoulder, questionable) all
missed last week's game. Injuries are a major factor in this matchup –
keep an eye on the late-week injury updates if you are considering any
of the players involved in this matchup. CB Randall Gay has an arm
injury (probable to play).

The forecast for Cleveland Browns Stadium calls for a high of 52F and
a low of 43F with a 20% chance for rain. That's great December weather
in that part of the world.

The Browns are in chaos, and unsettled at QB – the world champs are
gearing up for another title. Advantage, New England.



New York's Passing Attack vs. The Washington Defense (Bad Matchup)

Back in week 2, when these teams last met, Kurt Warner was under
center – the recent past won't help us analyze this matchup very much.
What we can say is that rookie Eli Manning looks very much like an NFL
rookie – which is to say, inconsistent and not very good from the
fantasy perspective. 23/58 for 310 yards, 1 TD and 4 interceptions is
the sum of his last 2 games (34th in fantasy points per game among QBs
during that span). Jeremy Shockey is his security blanket right now
(21 targets for 11/100/2 receiving over the last 3 weeks – Manning has
only started 2 of those games, though), while Amani Toomer has also
caught 11 balls for 130 yards (no TDs) during the last 3 weeks (25
targets). The porous OL (46 sacks allowed to date, most in the league)
isn't helping Manning, either.

Washington has one of the premier pass defenses in the league,
allowing an average of 176.5 passing yards per game this year (5th in
the league) with 11 TDs given away to date. Last week, they limited
Ben Roethlisberger to 9/20 for 131 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions
(the Steelers were without Plaxico Burress, though). The Redskins have
been giving up points in their recent games, with an average of 196
passing yards and 1.5 passing TDs allowed per contest over the past 4
weeks.

CB Fred Smoot has a sore shoulder (probable).

The forecast for FedEx Field calls for a high of 53F and a low of 35F
with a 20% chance for rain. A nice, crisp autumn day is on tap for
this game, it appears.

Washington should confound the Giant's neophyte QB on Sunday.