Mark Wimer/Joe Bryant - Passing Matchups

PLEASE NOTE: This does NOT replace the Cheatsheet ranking. The
Cheatsheet rankings are the final say on where we see a player for
that week. The Matchup Breakdowns are simply one more tool in the box
when it comes to helping choose your lineup.

Also note, just because a player has a "bad" matchup, it does NOT mean
he's not a starter in your league. If Peyton Manning is playing the
toughest pass defense in the league, that just means he's got a tough
matchup that week. He's also your starter unless you're loaded at QB.
In the same way, if the worst QB on your roster has a "great" matchup
that week, it doesn't necessarily mean he's your starter. It means we
think he'll fare better than normal that week.

Bottom line is that the cheatsheets are the final say.

Let's jump to it.

Joe

Quick Index

Great Matchups

Indianapolis' Passing Attack vs. The Houston Defense
New Orleans' Passing Attack vs. The Dallas Defense
Dallas' Passing Attack vs. The New Orleans' Defense
Atlanta's Passing Attack vs. The Oakland Defense
Kansas City's Passing Attack vs. The Tennessee Infirmary
Tennessee's Passing Attack vs. The Kansas City Defense

Good Matchups

New England's Passing Attack vs. The Cincinnati Defense
Buffalo's Passing Attack vs. The Cleveland Defense
Detroit's Passing Attack vs. The Green Bay Defense
Green Bay's Passing Attack vs. The Detroit Defense
Seattle's Passing Attack vs. The Minnesota Defense
Minnesota's Passing Attack vs. The Seattle Defense
Carolina's Passing Attack vs. The St. Louis Defense

Neutral Matchups

Chicago's Passing Attack vs. The Jacksonville Defense
Jacksonville's Passing Attack vs. The Chicago Defense
Houston's Passing Attack vs. The Indianapolis Defense
Denver's Passing Attack vs. The Miami Defense
Pittsburgh's Passing Attack vs. The New York Jets' Defense
Oakland's Passing Attack vs. The Atlanta Defense
Philadelphia's Passing Attack vs. The Washington Defense
Arizona's Passing Attack vs. The San Francisco Defense
St. Louis' Passing Attack vs. The Carolina Defense
Tampa Bay's Passing Attack vs. The San Diego Defense

Tough Matchups

Cincinnati's Passing Attack vs. The New England Defense
Cleveland's Passing Attack vs. The Buffalo Defense
Baltimore's Passing Attack vs. The New York Giant's Defense
New York Jets' Passing Attack vs. The Pittsburgh Defense
Washington's Passing Attack vs. The Philadelphia Defense
San Diego's Passing Attack vs. The Tampa Bay Defense

Bad Matchups

Miami's Passing Attack vs. The Denver Defense
New York Giant's Passing Attack vs. The Baltimore Defense
San Francisco's Passing "Attack" vs. The Arizona Defense

Tennessee's Passing Attack vs. The Kansas City Defense (Great Matchup)

Steve McNair couldn't get into the saddle for the Titans last week, which put Billy Volek back at the helm for the Titans last week. He and Drew Bennett came out of the gates very quickly, with 3 hookups for TDs in the first quarter of the game - but then were kept out of the endzone for the final 45 minutes of the game. Volek's fantasy numbers were very good (21/35 for 269 yards, 3 TDs and 2 interceptions), and Bennett was off the charts with 3/124/3 (#1 fantasy WR last week). This week, it looks like Volek could well be under center again - keep an eye on McNair's practice status as the injury reports come out later in the week (ignore the inevitable "questionable" tag the Titans will hang on him - check to see if he is actually practicing or not).

Kansas City's pass defense is pathetic. They have allowed an average of 314 passing yards (the most among all 32 teams) and 1.8 passing TDs over the past 4 weeks. They are 31st in the NFL this season, allowing an average of 261.4 passing yards per game, and have surrendered 23 passing scores to date (among the worst totals in the league). Kerry Collins torched them for 27/41 for 343 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions last week. It's all bad in this phase of the game if you are a Chiefs fan (or an owner of their defensive team).

Ss Jerome Woods (knee, questionable) and Greg Wesley (hamstring, questionable) sat out last week's game. The Titans list McNair as questionable on Wednesday's injury report (surprise, surprise).

The forecast for the Coliseum calls for a high of 57F with a low of 31F and a 10% chance for rain. Since this game is being played on Monday Night, the temperature will be on the cold side when the game starts.

Whoever starts for the Titans on Monday Night Football will have a great shot at a big game vs. the cellar-dwelling Chiefs.

Indianapolis' Passing Attack vs. The Houston Defense (Great Matchup)

Peyton Manning over the past 3 weeks: 65/89 for 872 yards, 13 TDs and 3 interceptions. He may break Dan Marino's NFL record of 48 passing TDs in a season this week - with 3 games yet to go. We are literally witnessing a season for the ages from Manning this year, folks. As long as the Colt receiver you have on your fantasy squad is healthy, start him! Manning is so prolific right now that all 3 top WRs (Harrison, Wayne, and Stokley) and both TEs (Clark and Pollard) will see chances to make good things happen if they are on the field. Clark missed last week's game due to his injured calf (Pollard dropped an almost-sure TD during the game in Clark's absence).

Houston's defensive backs are having nightmares this week, remembering Manning's 18/27 for 320 yards, 5 TD and 2 interceptions performance against the Texans back in week 10. They come into this one after a mediocre game vs. The Jets (20/27 for 155 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception allowed), and have averaged 267 passing yards allowed per game, with 2.8 TDs surrendered per game over the last 4 weeks. The team ranks 28th in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (243.9), and is dead last in passing scores surrendered this year, with 29. That's 8 more TDs than the pathetic New Orleans secondary has allowed. Houston is battling hard for the coveted "worst pass defense in the league" designation. They got horrible news on Wednesday when S Marcus Coleman was placed on IR due to a right shoulder injury, joining LB Jay Foreman as the second Texan starter to go on IR this week.

Houston lists S Jason Simmons as probable to play (head injury). TE Dallas Clark (calf, questionable) and TE Ben Hartsock (ankle/foot, probable) are listed by Indianapolis.

This game will be played at Reliant Stadium (if the weather is bad, they'll close the retractable roof) - the forecast calls for a high of 73F with a low of 56F and a 10% chance of rain, which is great football weather.

This could be the week that Marino's TD record goes by the boards - advantage, Indianapolis.

New Orleans' Passing Attack vs. The Dallas Defense (Great Matchup)

Despite all the negativism about the Saints' season, Aaron Brooks remains one of the better fantasy QBs in the NFL, ranking 13th over the last 3 weeks in fantasy points per game (20.83 per outing) on 73/134 for 817 yards, 5 TDs and 7 interceptions (with 8/25/1 rushing in addition to his passing yardage. Joe Horn is the 6th best fantasy receiver over that span, with 22/342/3 to his credit - some things are still going right for this team. 20/40 for 251 yards, 3 TDs and 2 interceptions marked Brooks' tally last week (Horn had 8/160/2 on 15 targets, Donte Stallworth caught the other TD with 5 for 3/44/1 to his credit). The Saint's passing offense is not the problem in 2004.

Dallas' pass defense is as suspect as ever, allowing 28/40 for 414 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions to Matt Hasselbeck (who was struggling to throw for 200 yards in weeks prior to the game vs. Dallas). They are 25th in the NFL this season allowing an average of 232.2 passing yards per game, with the 3rd-most passing TDs allowed to date (25). Over the past 4 weeks, the Cowboys have been rolled over for an average of 263 passing yards and 2.3 passing TDs per game. They just aren't very good this year.

New Orleans' unit comes into this game in decent shape, with backup WR Michael Lewis listed as probable (ankle), while the Cowboys also enjoy good health. Injuries aren't a factor in this matchup.

The forecast for Texas Stadium calls for a high of 70F with a low of 51F and a 10% chance for precipitation. That's great football weather in our book.

The Saints enjoy one of the easier matchups in the league this week. Advantage, New Orleans.

Dallas' Passing Attack vs. The New Orleans' Defense (Great Matchup)

We've been seeing this phenomenon in Buffalo, and now it's happening in Dallas, too - pair a dynamic young back with a veteran signal caller and "hey Presto" the passing game suddenly gets healthy. Julius Jones is performing the magic in Dallas - with his help, Vinny Testaverde managed 18/34 for 225 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions on Monday Night and led the Cowboys to a come-from-behind victory in the final 2 minutes of the game. Keyshawn Johnson (9 targets for 6/116/1) and Jason Witten (6 targets for 5/61/0) anchored the team's passing attack, as they do every week.

The Saints' defense is the team's big problem this season, allowing an average of 264.8 passing yards per game this year (with 21 passing TDs allowed to date). They coughed up 22/29 for 294 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions to Jake Delhomme and company last week, and average 250 passing yards and 1.5 thrown TDs surrendered per game over the last 4 weeks. The Saints are among the league's bottom-feeders in this phase of the game.

Dallas comes into the game with no new injuries of note, while the Saints' secondary is also in good shape - injuries aren't a huge factor in this matchup.

The forecast for Texas Stadium calls for a high of 70F with a low of 51F and a 10% chance for precipitation. That's great football weather in our book.

The Saints' pass D is one of the worst in the league - this is a great matchup for the rejuvenated Testaverde and company.

Atlanta's Passing Attack vs. The Oakland Defense (Great Matchup)

Atlanta's Michael Vick suffered through a horrible outing last week, with 13/27 for 115 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions (with 2 lost fumbles) as his tally when he ended the day on the bench. Atlanta as a team put up 13/30 for 115 yards, 0 TDs and 3 interceptions (Matt Schaub didn't do any better vs. The Buccaneers than Vick). Over the past 3 weeks, Vick has amassed 41/76 for 442 yards, 4 TDs and 3 interceptions (with 33/254/1 rushing to complement his passing) - Vick owners aren't unhappy with his efforts (9th best fantasy QB in the land over that span of time), but Peerless Price owners have a complaint or three (6/89/0 in 3 weeks, 73rd ranked fantasy WR in that span). It's been mostly good if Alge Crumpler is on your team, though (9/155/3 receiving, 2nd best fantasy TE in the land).

Oakland's pass D is not very good - they have allowed 24 passing TDs to date (near the bottom of the league) and rank 26th in yards allowed per game this season (236.7). Over the past 4 weeks, the team's numbers average out to 270 net passing yards and 1.7 passing scores allowed per game. Oakland is tied for dead last in the NFL with only 16 sacks this season - they allow lots of time for the opposing QB to survey the field. Last week, Trent Green torched them for 23/35 for 340 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception. As we indicated at the top, they are not very good.

Oakland's S Marques Anderson (quadriceps, doubtful) missed the game last week when his injured muscle tightened up during pre-game warm-ups. Atlanta lists WR Brian Finneran (ankle, probable) this week.

This game is to be played in the air-conditioned comfort of the Georgia Dome.

Atlanta is a very run-oriented team: however, this is still a great matchup for Vick and company to show what they can do through the air.

Kansas City's Passing Attack vs. The Tennessee Infirmary (Great Matchup)

Trent Green powered the Chiefs to a "W" last week with 23/35 for 340 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception - he was at the top of his game last week. Eddie Kennison led the team with 12 targets for 8/149/1; Tony Gonzalez (5 for 3/32/0) and Tony Richardson (5 for 3/21/0) were tied for second-most targeted last week. The other TDs went to Derrick Blaylock and Larry Johnson. Green has tossed 71/111 for 929 yards, 5 TDs and 3 interceptions over the past 3 weeks, and lurks just outside the top 10 fantasy QBs at #11 during that span.

The Titans have the following DBs on IR or listed as out: S Tank Williams (knee/IR), S Justin Sandy (ankle/IR), S Lance Schulters (foot injury,), CB Andre Woolfolk (wrist/elbow injuries,), and they learned this week that CB Samari Rolle needs season-ending arthroscopic knee surgery. That's a lot of good players standing around on the sidelines, folks. It's no wonder that Manning lit them up for 25/33 for 425 yards, 3 TDs and 2 interceptions last week - the Titans have lost too much talent on this unit to run with the top NFL teams. Over the past 4 weeks, the team has allowed an average of 199 net passing yards and 1.3 passing scores per game, which is actually slightly less than their season average of 214.8 passing yards per game (with 17 TDs surrendered to date). Craig Krenzel and David Garrard have more to do with that 199 net passing yard average during that 4-week span than the Titans' DBs do, though.

The Chiefs list TE Kris Wilson (ankle, questionable) and QB Trent Green (ribs, probable). The Titans also list CB Rich Gardner (toe, questionable).

Tennessee's defense has been devastated by injuries, while the Chief's aerial assault comes into the game largely intact and on a roll. Advantage, Chiefs.

New England's Passing Attack vs. The Cincinnati Defense (Good Matchup)

Tom Brady did what he needed to do to win the game last week (11/20 for 157 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception) - in so doing, he threw to 11 different players. Only David Givens (9 targets for 3/25/0) and David Patten (4 for 3/74/1) saw more than 2 balls all day long. Brady has been quietly efficient over the past 3 weeks, with 43/76 for 644 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception, but his average of 13.5 fantasy points per game (27th among all fantasy QBs during that stretch) isn't going to propel many teams into the fantasy playoffs. The continuing emergence of Corey Dillon (74/321/5 rushing and 1/20/0 receiving over the past 3 games) and the arrival of blustery winter weather have combined to limit Brady's fantasy potential recently.

Cincinnati's defense hasn't been consistent in this phase of the game, allowing a total of 30/39 for 413 yards, 5 TDs and 2 interceptions to Cleveland two weeks ago, before clamping down on the anemic Ravens' passing attack last week (19/33 for 172 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception) - it's fair to say they've been up and down in recent weeks. The Bengals average 202.6 passing yards allowed per game this season, with 19 TDs given up to date - they are in the middle of the NFL pack this year. Over the past 4 weeks, their efforts have averaged out to 204 passing yards and 1.8 pass TDs allowed per game.

The Patriots' unit is in good shape, although Brady continues to be listed as probable (shoulder) - he's been on the injury report as probable for many weeks now. TE Daniel Graham has sore ribs (questionable). Cincinnati did without DB Rogers Beckett last week (neck, questionable) and S Kim Herring suffered a laceration on his left arm in the game last week (not listed). Several other DBs are dinged up but probable to play: S Madieu Williams (quadriceps); CBs Deltha O'Neal (ankle) and Keiwan Ratliff (hamstring).

The forecast for Gillette Stadium calls for a high of 44F with a low of 26F with a 10% chance for precipitation. That's about as nice as it gets in Massachusetts in the month of December.

Cincinnati's pass defense is mediocre, while the Patriots are unspectacular but efficient in this phase of the game over the past few weeks. With home-field advantage behind the Patriots and a decent forecast for Gillette Stadium, we think this is an attractive matchup for Brady and company.

Buffalo's Passing Attack vs. The Cleveland Defense (Good Matchup)

Buffalo's Drew Bledsoe has improved his numbers markedly since Willis McGahee has come on to establish a credible threat to run the ball. Over the last 3 weeks, Bledsoe has put up 59/91 for 737 yards, 8 TDs and 4 interceptions, including last week's 19/30 for 277 yards, 4 TDs and 0 interceptions vs. Miami's tough pass D (he's the 9th best fantasy QB during that 3 week time-frame) - it looks like he has some gas left in his tank after all. His favorite targets during the 3 week span have been Eric Moulds (28 targets for 16/178/1) and Lee Evans (17 for 12/218/3). TE Mark Campbell deserves special mention for his redzone work lately (8 targets for 7/68/3). Buffalo has put themselves back into contention in the AFC with their surge.

Cleveland's pass D has been up and down over the past few weeks, containing the Patriots to 14/26 for 201 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception last week (realize, though, that the Patriots stomped the Browns so thoroughly (42-15) that Tom Brady was held out of the final part of the game - the Patriots didn't need to throw the ball much). Two games ago they were shelled by Cincinnati for a total of 22/29 for 251 yards, 4 TDs and 3 interceptions. Over the past 4 weeks, the pass D averaged 159 net passing yards and 1.5 TDs allowed per contest. This season, the Browns are the 13th ranked pass defense in the land, allowing an average of 203.8 passing yards per game, with 13 passing scores given up to date.

WR Josh Reed finally got back in the mix last week (2/19/0) after missing most of the season due to injury. Campbell injured his right knee last week (out/IR), and fellow TE Tim Euhus has a bum knee (doubtful). Cleveland did without 2 CBs last week - Michael Lehan (hamstring, questionable) and Daylon McCutcheon (shoulder, questionable). S Chris Crocker (biceps, out) won't be available. Cleveland is the team most affected by injuries coming into the game, although the Bills would hate to do without Campbell.

The forecast for Ralph Wilson Stadium calls for a high of 37F with a low of 30F and a 40% chance of precipitation. In upstate New York, precipitation in December will be some mix of sleet and snow - if the moisture falls thickly at game-time, visibility, footing, and ball handling will all become issues during the game.

Cleveland has been up and down in this phase of the game, and the team is eliminated from contention - Buffalo is playing for the postseason, and looks rejuvenated in this phase of the game - advantage, Buffalo. Watch the forecast before you insert Bledsoe into your lineup, though - if a blizzard is blowing at game time, passing will be minimally effective within Ralph Wilson Stadium due to swirling winds and limited visibility.

Detroit's Passing Attack vs. The Green Bay Defense (Good Matchup)

Joey Harrington had an anemic outing against the Packers back in week 6, with 12/23 for 101 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception to his credit. Since then, Harrington has been more down than up - for example, he has managed a total of 41/69 for 443 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions over the past 3 games (34th fantasy QB in fantasy points per game over that span). Roy Williams (9 targets for 4/76/0) and Tai Streets (6 for 3/54/1) were the best of the Lions' receivers last week - not too much is going on fantasy-wise when a QB tosses 15/27 for 196 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception (Harrington's numbers last week) on one of his good weeks.

Green Bay's secondary was destroyed by Donovan McNabb last week (32/43 for 464 yards, 5 TDs and 0 interceptions). Over the past 4 weeks, they average 336 passing yards and 3.0 TDs given up per game. This season, the Packers are 30th in the NFL averaging 257.7 passing yards allowed per game, and they have given up the 2nd-most TDs to date (28). The Packers' secondary is pretty ugly this year.

Green Bay lists S Bhawoh Jue (concussion) and S Darren Sharper (knee) as probable to play. WR Eddie Drummond (shoulder, out) is the only receiver listed by Detroit.

The forecast for Lambeau Field calls for a high of 44F with a low of 26F and a 30% chance for precipitation. If the moisture falls as sleet or snow around game time, visibility, footing, and ball handling could all become problematic.

Harrington and company mount an anemic attack most weeks, while the Packers are trying to pick up the pieces and move on after a demoralizing performance last week. Home field advantage helps out the limping defense - but even with that edge, the Packers are worse at pass D than the Lions are at passing the ball at this point in the season. Keep an eye on the forecast as game-time nears if you have Lions in the mix for your starting lineup.

Green Bay's Passing Attack vs. The Detroit Defense (Good Matchup)

The last time these teams faced off, back in week 6, Brett Favre torched the Lions for 25/38 for 257 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions. He had a miserable game last week against the blitzing Eagles, though, 14/28 for 131 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions - it was so bad, and the game was so far out of hand, that the Packers actually pulled Favre in favor of backup Craig Nall. When was the last time you remember that happening? Anyway, there just isn't much good to say, except that the top 3 receivers Walker (7/72/1), Ferguson (3/68/0) and Driver (3/33/0) fought to the bitter end.

Detroit feasted on the sacrificial, 202nd pick (7th-round selection), Cardinal rookie QB coach Green spread out before them, with 18/40 for 168 yards, 1 TD and 4 interceptions to John Navarre's credit. Does coach Green belong to NORML, do you think? Just wondering… The Lions are not usually so stout - they are tied for 5th-most passing scores allowed this season (23), and average 219.8 passing yards allowed per game this year (21st in the NFL). Over the past 4 weeks, the Lions allow an average of 198 passing yards and 2.8 passing TDs per game - not too good. Detroit is tied for 10th in the NFL in sacks (30), and you can be sure they saw how the Packer's line caved in under the Eagle's pass rush last week (5 sacks, doubling the Packer's yearly total up to that point).

Green Bay comes into the game in good health among the receivers, although starting C Grey Ruegamer has an injured ankle (probable), which undoubtedly contributed to the Eagle's 5 sacks of the Packers' QBs last week. Detroit's secondary lists CB Fernando Bryant (ankle, doubtful) and S Vernon Fox (shoulder, probable).

Favre usually rebounds from bad games, and he's playing in the friendly confines of Lambeau this week - but the Lions will test his OL with their pass-rush, especially if Ruegamer can't play. This looks like a good but not great matchup for Favre as of midweek. Keep an eye on the weather and Ruegamer's status, though.

Seattle's Passing Attack vs. The Minnesota Defense (Good Matchup)

Matt Hasselbeck finally threw the ball like we expected him to this season on Monday Night Football, hitting 28/40 for 414 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions - both Jerry Rice (8/145/1 out of 9 passes) and Darrell Jackson (12 targets for 9/113/1) broke through the 100 yards-receiving barrier (Jerheme Urban, a second-year WR, snagged the other TD with 2/36/1 out of 3 chances). It was by far his best game this season - you can't blame the "L" on Hasselbeck this week. Perhaps Jackson has finally been cured of the "dropsies" - time will tell.

Minnesota was tripped up by the Bears last week, allowing 18/30 for 213 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions to one-time Cowboy Chad Hutchinson. Over the past 4 weeks, the Vikings have been giving up points at the rate of 2.3 passing scores per game (with an average of 176 net passing yards allowed per contest). They are the league's 23rd ranked secondary this season, giving up an average of 222.5 passing yards per game, with 20 passing scores surrendered to date. This week, the team learned that their top CB, Antoine Winfield, suffered a high ankle sprain and is likely to miss several weeks of action. That is not good news for a unit that is already subpar at best.

Minnesota lists CB Antoine Winfield as doubtful, officially. Seattle's unit is in good shape.

This game will be played indoors at the Metrodome - weather isn't a factor in this matchup.

Hasselbeck and company rediscovered their game last week - can they build on their momentum vs. The soft Vikings? We think Seattle has a good shot to do just that - advantage, Seahawks.

Minnesota's Passing Attack vs. The Seattle Defense (Good Matchup)

Daunte Culpepper did a decent job against the Bears - 23/33 for 279 yards with 2 TDs - but he wasn't careful enough with the ball, tossing 3 interceptions during the game. Culpepper added 6/50/0 rushing to his tally - he had a decent fantasy outing despite the interceptions. Randy Moss, however, was clearly hampered by his injured hamstring and its reaction to the cold (4/31/0 for the day out of 6 targets). Marcus Robinson led the Vikings last week with 6 targets for 6/90/1 (Nate Burleson snagged the other TD with 3/31/1 out of 5 chances). Over the last 3 weeks, Culpepper has tossed 64/92 for 747 yards, 5 TDs and 5 interceptions to rank 8th among all fantasy signal callers - not bad, but those numbers are not near the dizzying heights he was attaining earlier this season, either.

Seattle contained Vinny Testaverde on Monday night (18/34 for 225 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions), but they couldn't shut him down when it counted (during the final 2 minutes of the game). Over the past 4 weeks, this secondary has been fairly generous, allowing an average of 243 passing yards and 1.3 scores per game. They are the 24th ranked secondary in the land, surrendering an average of 225.5 passing yards per contest, with 15 passing scores given up to date. The Seahawks are consistently mediocre-to-sub-par in this phase of the game.

Moss is not listed this week, despite his sore hamstring. The Seahawks come into the game listing CB Bobby Taylor (knee, questionable) and S Terreal Bierria (back, questionable).

This game will be played indoors at the Metrodome - weather isn't a factor in this matchup.

Culpepper has a wealth of weapons at his disposal, Moss or no Moss, while the Seahawks just aren't strong in this phase of the game - advantage, Minnesota.

Carolina's Passing Attack vs. The St. Louis Defense (Good Matchup)

Jake Delhomme is hot right now, tossing 22/29 for 294 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions last week, and totaling 48/75 for 664 yards, 5 TDs and 2 interceptions in his last 3 games. Muhsin Muhammad is the go-to guy again, with 29 targets for 18/349/3 to his credit in 3 games, while Keary Colbert plays second fiddle (14 targets for 7/112/2 in that same span). The emergence of Nick Goings as both featured rusher and a competent receiver (14 targets for 12/84/0) has helped rev up the Carolina offense.

St. Louis had an easy time last week, stifling the moribund 49ers attack (10/21 for 121 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception). They haven't had it so east every week, though, giving up an average of 163 passing yards and 1.5 TDs per contest over the last 4 weeks. The Rams average 208 passing yards allowed per contest this season (with 19 scores given away in this phase so far).

St. Louis went without CB DeJuan Groce (knee, questionable) last week, and fellow CB Jerametrius Butler injured his shoulder during the game (probable). Carolina's remaining personnel come into this game in decent shape, although WR Karl Hankton continues to have a sore hamstring (questionable) and QB Mark Brunell has his ongoing thumb injury (probable) to deal with.

The forecast for Bank of America Stadium calls for a high of 54F with a low of 41F with 10% chance for precipitation. The weather is going to be just about perfect for football if the forecast holds up.

Carolina is on a roll in this phase of the game, while the Rams tend to be soft in this phase of the game most of the time. At home, we give the nod to the Panthers.

Tampa Bay's Passing Attack vs. The San Diego Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Brian Griese had an off game last week, managing only 13/21 for 131 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception. Joey Galloway had his finest game of the season (7 targets for 4/63/1) during a game when rookie sensation Michael Clayton was largely invisible (2 targets for 1/15/0). None of the players really lit up the fantasy scoreboards, though, with such a limited number of completions and only 1 score to be had. 55/81 for 688 yards, 5 TDs and 4 interceptions are the totals that Griese has amassed in the last 3 weeks - the Falcons definitely put a brake on his resurgence last week.

San Diego frustrated Jake Plummer last week, holding him below 50% completion rate (16/40 for 278 yards, 0 TDs and 4 interceptions) while creating lots of turnovers. They are something of an enigma in this phase of the game, often surrendering a lot of yardage (they are the 27th ranked pass D in the land allowing an average of 236.8 passing yards per game) but not allowing many TDs (13 passing scores to date, tied for 4th-least scores allowed to date). Over the past 4 weeks, they average 228 passing yards allowed, but only .7 TDs per game.

Tampa comes into the game in decent shape, listing only TE Dave Moore (ankle, probable). San Diego is down CB Sammy Davis (broken leg, out). S Hanik Milligan (hamstring, questionable) is also listed this week.

The forecast for Qualcomm Stadium calls for a high of 68F with a low of 49F and a 20% chance for rain - a typically beautiful southern California day is on the way, it appears.

Griese and company may find the going easy between the 20's, but don't look for a lot of TDs and you won't be disappointed.

St. Louis' Passing Attack vs. The Carolina Defense (Neutral Matchup)

The big news out of St. Louis this week is that Marc Bulger's shoulder is sore enough that he is likely to sit on the bench for this matchup. Veteran backup Chris Chandler is likely to get the nod - he was effective against the limping 49ers last week (18/27 for 216 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception), favoring Torry Holt (11 targets for 9/138/0) and Shaun McDonald (5 for 2/10/0) over his other wide receivers (Isaac Bruce saw 3 targets for 2/18/0). Chandler has played in a Super Bowl (with Atlanta), which tells you that the guy has been in pressure situations before - the playoffs and the NFC West are still attainable for the Rams, making this a key game.

The resurgent Panthers are also in the playoff hunt, and likely must win out if they want to go onto postseason Their secondary has been up and down in the past few weeks, allowing an average of 287 passing yards and 1.8 TDs per game, including a bunch of garbage yards and scores to the Saints last week (20/40 for 251 yards, 3 TDs and 2 interceptions to Aaron Brooks). They average 219.3 passing yards allowed per game this season, and have given up only 11 passing scores to date - the 3 TDs allowed Brooks was definitely atypical for the Panther's secondary.

Bulger is officially listed as doubtful due to his shoulder. Carolina's secondary is in good shape for this stage of the season, with no new injuries to report.

The forecast for Bank of America Stadium calls for a high of 54F with a 41F for 10% chance for precipitation. The weather is going to be just about perfect for football if the forecast holds up.

Chandler knows how to play the game at this level, while the Panthers tend to be tough in this phase on any given Sunday. Both squads have talented personnel - we think this one looks pretty even, with neither side holding a decisive edge over the other.

Houston's Passing Attack vs. The Indianapolis Defense (Neutral Matchup)

David Carr will need to protect the ball more carefully in this game than he did back in week 10 (22/41 for 215 yards, 0 TDs and 3 interceptions). He comes into this game stone-cold, with a poor 12/25 for 157 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interception effort on the board after his latest outing. Andre Johnson accounted for 7/125/0 of Carr's yardage (79.6%) last week - he's the only Texan receiver that was worth starting last week. Over the past 3 games, he (28 targets for 17/266/1) and Domanick Davis (17 for 14/97/1) have been responsible for the vast majority of the team's offense in this phase of the game.

Indianapolis was vulnerable to the Titan's attack in the early going last week, giving up 3 TDs to Billy Volek/Drew Bennett in the first quarter. However, over the next 45 minutes, the Titans failed to get another point - the Colts made some successful adjustments to their scheme, as you can see. Anyway, nobody will mistake the Colts' secondary for the Buccaneers' any time soon (Indianapolis ranks 29th in the NFL allowing an average of 254.4 passing yards per game, with 19 TDs surrendered to date) - over the past 4 weeks, they've given away an average of 190 net passing yards and 1.0 passing scores per week - the Colts D has improved over the second half of the season, on average.

Indianapolis' unit comes into the game listing S Bob Sanders (knee, out); CB Gerome Sapp (ribs, out); and CB Nick Harper (foot, probable). Meanwhile the Texans' Carr is nursing a sore neck (not listed).

Carr and company didn't do particularly well against the Colts a month ago, while the Colts have been improving but stumbled last week - this looks like a neutral matchup between two mediocre units to us.

Chicago's Passing Attack vs. The Jacksonville Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Chad Hutchinson did a great job against the Vikings last week - he didn't throw an interception, and amassed 18/30 for 213 yards and 3 TDs in the game. He stepped into a very difficult situation and excelled against a divisional foe. Desmond Clark (9 target for 6/58/1) and David Terrell (6 targets for 3/44/1) were his favorite receivers last week, with Jason McKie grabbing the 3rd TD (1 for 1/5/1). This week, we'll see if he can build on last week's momentum.

Against the run-oriented Steelers, the Jaguars allowed 14/17 for 221 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions to Ben Roethlisberger and company - the Jaguars didn't have many answers vs. Pittsburgh. They've been allowing yardage in that neighborhood all season, with an average of 215.0 passing yards given up per game (that ranks 19th in the NFL to date, with 15 scores given away in this phase of the game so far) - over the past 4 weeks, the numbers work out to an average of 179 passing yards and 1.0 TDs allowed per game.

Chicago lists QB Craig Krenzel (ankle, out/IR) and TE Desmond Clark (shoulder, questionable). Jacksonville's secondary is in good shape for this stage of the season, with only S Deon Grant (knee, questionable) on the Wednesday injury report.

The forecast for Alltel Stadium calls for a high of 64F with a low of 49F with a 10% chance for rain. That's great football weather in our book.

Jacksonville plays middle-of-the-road pass defense, while the Bears are getting comfortable with a new QB who had an auspicious start last week - that sounds about even to us.

Jacksonville's Passing Attack vs. The Chicago Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Byron Leftwich - 16/27 for 268 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions - played his second strong game in a row last week, barely losing to Pittsburgh 17-16. He's been very efficient since his return from injury, 35/61 for 503 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions (21st fantasy QB in fantasy points per game over that span). Over the past 3 weeks (which includes one game played by David Garrard) Jimmy Smith (23 targets for 10/149/0) and Troy Edwards (17 targets for 10/169/1) have been the foci of the passing attack (Fred Taylor with 12 targets for 9/67/0 is 3rd in chances over that span). Edwards led the team last week with 5/90/1 out of 6 targets.

Chicago was very opportunistic vs. The Vikings, snagging 3 interceptions from Daunte Culpepper (23/33 for 279 yards and 2 TDs). The turnovers fueled the Bear's 24-14 victory. They also dumped Culpepper for 5 sacks last week (Chicago is the 9th-ranked defense in sacks to date, with 31 to their credit). This season the team averages 200.6 passing yards allowed per game (11th in the NFL) with 17 passing scores surrendered to date. They are an above-average but not elite unit. Over the past 4 weeks, the Bears average 222 passing yards and 2.3 passing TDs allowed per game.

Chicago's secondary is in good shape right now, listing only S Bobby Gray (heel, probable). Jacksonville lists TE George Wrighster (back, questionable) - he hasn't played for many weeks due to this injury - and WR Jimmy Smith (hand, probable).

The forecast for Alltel Stadium calls for a high of 64F with a low of 49F with a 10% chance for rain. That's great football weather in our book.

Chicago has a fairly strong pass D that loves to pressure the opposing QB - Jacksonville's Leftwich has looked confident and sure in the pocket in recent games, and has been careful with the ball. This looks like a fairly even matchup between two strong units to us.

Denver's Passing Attack vs. The Miami Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Jake Plummer had an off game last week, with only 16 completions on 40 attempts, for 278 yards but 0 TDs - and 4 interceptions. It was not the high-point of his season, by any stretch of the imagination. Ashley Lelie led the team with 4/105/0 out of 8 targets, while Rod Smith converted 11 chances into 4/76/0 - Jeb Putzier dropped too many balls, handling 1/39/0 out of 4 catchable throws. Over the past 3 weeks, Plummer has been subpar hitting 49/92 for 797 yards, 3 TDs and 5 interceptions (10/23/0 rushing) - the Broncos (and his fantasy owners) need Plummer to get back on top of his game in a hurry.

Miami's usually-stalwart secondary cracked and tumbled into ruins last week as Drew Bledsoe pulverized them for 19/30 for 277 yards, 4 TDs and 0 interceptions. The team averages 161 passing yards allowed per game this season, and has now allowed a total of 15 passing scores (over 1/4 of them to Bledsoe last week). It was an atypical performance for the Dolphins, who have averaged 194 passing yards and 1.7 passing TDs allowed over the past 4 weeks.

Denver's reserve WR Nate Jackson went on IR this week. Miami's secondary comes into the game healthy.

The forecast for Mile High Stadium calls for a high of 51F with a low of 28F and a 40% chance for precipitation. In the High Plains during December, precipitation usually means some combination of sleet/snow/ice. If the moisture falls thickly at game time, footing, ball handling and visibility could all become problems for the players.

Plummer is struggling right now, while the Dolphins come into this game stone-cold after a terrible outing vs. Buffalo. Neither team has a clear edge in this game - both units usually play better than they have been in recent weeks.

Pittsburgh's Passing Attack vs. The New York Jets' Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Ben Roethlisberger made good things happen last week while his starting RB, Duce Staley, struggled (17/51/0 rushing) - 14/17 for 221 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions was good for a 1 pt. win over the game Jaguars. Hines Ward (4/80/1) and Antwaan Randle El (5/71/0) led the team in receiving (Plaxico Burress' sore hamstring kept him on the sidelines). The Steelers can get it done in this phase of the game if they have to do so.

The Jets smothered David Carr last week, limiting him to 12/25 for 157 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions on the day. Over the last 4 weeks, they average 156 net passing yards and .8 TDs allowed per game in this phase. This season, the Jets are the 7th ranked pass D in the land giving up 191.1 passing yards per game (with 13 TDs surrendered to date) - this is a very tough secondary to face.

Burress is listed as questionable this week (hamstring injury). The team got bad news this week - TE Jay Riemersma tore his Achilles tendon catching a TD last week - he was placed on IR Tuesday. WR Sean Morey (quadriceps) and QB Ben Roethlisberger (quadriceps) are both probable to play. The team signed Walter Rasby to fill Riemersma's roster spot. The Jets' secondary is in good health, with no new injuries of note to report, although S Oliver Celestin has a sore ankle (probable).

The forecast for Heinz Field calls for a high of 41F and a low of 36F with a 10% chance for precipitation. That's very nice December weather in that part of the U.S.A.

Pittsburgh doesn't need to throw the ball 30 times a game, but when they do call a pass play, Roethlisberger delivers the ball on target more often than not. The Jets play hard-nosed pass defense - this looks like an even matchup between top performers to us.

Oakland's Passing Attack vs. The Atlanta Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Kerry Collins has finally come into his own in Oakland, with 71/116 for 909 yards, 9 TDs and 2 interceptions to his credit in the last 3 games (3rd best fantasy QB in fantasy points per game during that span). He looks very sure throwing the ball at this point, and he has a number of talented guys to look for - however, the loss of Ronald Curry to an Achilles' injury diminishes his stable in a big way (Curry had 26 targets for 19/309/4 over the past 3 weeks - the most catches and yards (tied for most TDs) on the team during that span). Collins will need Doug Gabriel, Alvis Whitted or Johnnie Morant to take up the slack (the later two have been injured in the past few weeks, though). Jerry Porter has piled up 27 targets for 14/265/4 during the last 3 weeks - he's finally playing like a #1 WR.

Atlanta got spanked by Brian Griese and company last week (27-0) - in the course of the drubbing, Griese racked up a modest 13/21 for 131 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception (Tampa's D created 5 turnovers last week) - you can't blame the Falcons' secondary for the loss. Over the past 4 weeks, the Falcons average only 141 passing yards and 1.3 scores allowed. That's much better than their season average of 222.3 passing yards allowed per game (14 TDs given up to date). The Falcons have been growing stronger in this phase of the game.

Aside from Curry's woes, the Raiders list Morant (foot, doubtful) and TE Courtney Anderson (knee, doubtful). WR Alvis Whitted is questionable with a sore hip. Atlanta's CB Jason Webster missed the last game due to a groin injury (questionable).

This game is to be played in the air-conditioned comfort of the Georgia Dome.

Collins has been on fire recently, but he lost a key receiver last week, and Atlanta is not a pushover in this phase of the game. This matchup looks about even from where we sit.

Philadelphia's Passing Attack vs. The Washington Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Donovan McNabb abused the Redskins for 18/26 for 222 yards, 4 TDs and 1 interception back in week 11. He threw 5 TDs vs. The Packers in his most recent game. He is the #1 fantasy QB in the land over the past 3 weeks (better than Manning, even) with 68/96 for 930 yards, 10 TDs and 1 interception with 10/64/1 rushing - he is at the top of his game right now. Brian Westbrook is off the charts with 24 targets for 21/251/6 receiving in 3 games (the #1 fantasy RB in the league over the past 3 weeks), while Terrell Owens has seen 1 more target (25 for 14/247/2) but 4 less TDs. Todd Pinkston is a distant 3rd with 16 targets for 213 yards, but 0 scores.

12/25 for 113 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions was the tally that Eli Manning managed against the Redskins last week. They field one of the toughest pass defenses in the league, allowing an average of 170.7 passing yards per game this season (with only 11 scores surrendered to date in this phase). During the past 4 weeks, they average 158 net passing yards and 1.3 passing scores allowed per contest - only McNabb has really lit them up this season.

Redskins' CB Walt Harris has a sore hammy (probable). Philadelphia's unit reports that WRs Terrell Owens (groin) and Todd Pinkston (hamstring) along with TE L.J. Smith (shoulder) are all probable to play on Sunday.

The forecast for FedEx Field calls for a high of 48F and a low of 37F with a 10% chance of precipitation. That sounds like good weather for a football game to us.

Washington is usually very tough in this phase of the game - but McNabb had no trouble with them last time around. This time, the Redskins have home-field advantage on their side, which should help the defense - it's never easy to move the ball through the air vs. The Redskins. This is a neutral matchup between two top-shelf units.

Arizona's Passing Attack vs. The San Francisco Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Now that the Cardinals have dropped 3 straight games with McCown on the bench, his 3 wins out of the 4 games prior to the losing streak looks pretty enticing to Cardinal's fans. Evidently coach Green agrees, and he has therefore reinserted McCown into the starting lineup. Now, we'll find out how much damage his ill-considered benching of McCown did to McCown's confidence. By the way, if the Cardinals had won their 3 most recent games, they'd be 7-5 and in a great position to go to the playoffs in the NFC, just like coach Green promised during preseason. Anyway, McCown put up 148/261 for 1554 yards, 6 TDs and 6 interceptions in his 10 appearances before being benched - he wasn't setting the fantasy world on fire (41st ranked fantasy QB in fantasy points per game this season, at 10.23 per outing). Larry Fitzgerald was the 42nd ranked fantasy receiver in the land during McCown's' tenure, with 32/465/3 to his credit after 10 weeks of action (9 games). Since then, Fitzgerald has added 11 receptions for 125 yards and 1 TD to his totals (43/590/4 this season). Fitzgerald leads the team in receptions, yards, and TDs, but Anquan Boldin has seen a lot of action since returning to the lineup (67 targets for 33/328/0 in only 6 games). It will be interesting to see who McCown favors on Sunday.

In week 5, when these teams last crossed swords, McCown tossed 19/34 for 231 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception. Since then, the 49ers have been consistently soft in this phase of the game, and currently rank 17th in the NFL allowing an average of 211 passing yards per game, with 22 passing scores allowed to date. They have been right on that pace over the past 4 weeks, with an average of 215 passing yards and 2.0 scores allowed in this phase per game.

Arizona's unit reports John Navarre as doubtful due to a finger injury, while the 49ers continue to play without CB Ahmed Plummer (neck, out) and CB Jimmy Williams (toe, questionable) from week to week.

The forecast for Sun Devil Stadium calls for a high of 73F with a low of 53F with a 20% chance for rain. That's great weather for a football game.

McCown is not a world-beating QB, and he has spent long enough on the bench over the past 3 weeks to get rusty - meanwhile, the 49ers continue to roll out the red carpet to their opposition week after week. This looks like an even matchup between struggling units to us.

Washington's Passing Attack vs. The Philadelphia Defense (Tough Matchup)

Patrick Ramsey had a hard time with the Eagles in week 11, managing to scrape up 21/34 for 162 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception during that game. Over the past 3 weeks, he's been up and down, with 19/22 for 174 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions to his credit last week vs. The fading Giants, but only 59/90 for 474 yards, 4 TDs and 2 interceptions over the last 3 weeks (other than last week's game, he's been pretty unimpressive during that span). Laveranues Coles (22 targets for 16/149/0) and HB/TE Chris Cooley (16 targets for 12/74/2) have been his favorite receivers lately - Ladell Betts is 3rd on the team with 9/74/0 during that span, while Rod Gardner has converted 13 targets into 7/73/0.

Philadelphia dismantled the Packers last week, smothering Brett Favre (14/28 for 131 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions) in the course of adding 5 sacks to their total (39 for the season - 1st in the NFL). The Eagles doubled the number of sacks the Packers have surrendered this year - in one game. Over the past 4 weeks, the Eagles average 180 passing yards and 1.0 passing scores surrendered per game (they are the 14th ranked secondary in the NFL this season, averaging 205.1 passing yards allowed per game, with 13 scores allowed in 13 games) - they are a solid unit heading into the stretch run, as you can see.

Washington lists WRs Laveranues Coles (toe, probable) and James Thrash (hamstring, probable) along with TE Robert Royal (knee, probable). CBs Roderick Hood (thumb) and Matt Ware (knee) are both probable for Philly.

The forecast for FedEx Field calls for a high of 48F and a low of 37F with a 10% chance of precipitation. That sounds like good weather for a football game to us.

Philadelphia brings more to the table than the Redskins do - expect a performance from Ramsey in week 14 that resembles his week 11 outing. Advantage, Philadelphia.

Cincinnati's Passing Attack vs. The New England Defense (Tough Matchup)

Carson Palmer has certainly jelled with T.J. Houshmandzadeh and Chad Johnson over the second half of the season, and it's showing in their statistics: Houshmandzadeh had 11 targets for 10/171/1 last week, while Johnson snagged 10/161/2 out of 12 chances last week. The trio has torn up their opposition over the last 3 weeks - Palmer has 64/90 for 798 yards, 9 TDs and 5 interceptions to his credit (4th best fantasy QB over that span); Houshmandzadeh has 21 for 16/274/3; and Johnson has 34 for 25/358/4 to his credit during that span. The Bengals are on a roll.

New England's secondary continues to play well despite nagging injuries to key CBs Ty Law (foot, out), Tyrone Poole (knee, doubtful) and Asante Samuel (shoulder, questionable) - all three have missed multiple games due to their injuries, and all three had the same designations last week before being declared inactive on Sunday. Even so, the Patriots limited Cleveland's rookie starter to 20/34 for 277 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions (the team won 42 - 15) last week. They didn't shut down the Browns, but the Patriots did well considering their manpower shortage at DB. This season, the Patriots rank 15th in the NFL allowing an average of 206.4 passing yards per game, but they are tied for 3rd least in TDs allowed, giving up only 12 to date. Over the past 4 weeks, their numbers work out to 179 passing yards and 1.0 passing TDs allowed per game, on average.

The Bengals come into this game without any new injuries of note to report. The Patriots' CB Randall Gay has a sore arm (probable).

The forecast for Gillette Stadium calls for a high of 44F with a low of 26F with a 10% chance for precipitation. That's about as nice as it gets in Massachusetts in the month of December.

Cincinnati is on a roll in this phase of the game, while the Patriots are playing solidly in this phase given their manpower shortage - home field advantage will help the defense, making this a tougher-than-usual matchup for the surging Bengals. Palmer may find quite a few yards to be had, but it is tough to score on this defensive team.

Cleveland's Passing Attack vs. The Buffalo Defense (Tough Matchup)

A new era is dawning in Cleveland, as the ongoing transition from the Butch Davis regime continues to develop. Rookie QB Luke McCown was decent in his first NFL start, with 20/34 for 277 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions to his credit during the game vs. New England. Antonio Bryant (10 targets for 7/115/2) and Dennis Northcutt (11 targets for 5/93/0) were his favorite receivers last week. The word out of Cleveland (News-Herald.com article by Jeff Schudel, 12/7/04) is that "Terry Robiskie says he has not decided who will start at quarterback against the Bills on Sunday. Kelly Holcomb could get the start if his cracked ribs heal enough. If Holcomb cannot play, it seems rookie Luke McCown will get his second start. Jeff Garcia seems to be the third choice." Obviously, owners of the Cleveland Brown's players will want to keep a close eye on the injury reports and Footballguys Clayton Gray's "Players in the News" as they are released later in the week.

Buffalo was uncharacteristically soft in the early part of last week's game vs. Miami, allowing 3 TD passes to A.J. Feeley in the first quarter of play. However, by the time the dust settled, Feeley had also been picked 5 times (and Buffalo won despite his 25/51 for 303 yards). The Bills rank 9th in the NFL this season averaging 192.1 passing yards allowed per game (17 TDs to date in this phase of the game) - Feeley's performance was definitely off the normal bell curve (on the high end) for this unit. Over the past 4 weeks, the Bills have allowed an average of 232 passing yards and 2.0 passing scores per game - they are not up to their usual standards in recent weeks.

Buffalo's CB Troy Vincent missed the game last week (again) due to his injured knee, even though he was listed as questionable (the best he's been for many weeks) - the team hopes he can play soon. Cleveland continues to declare WR Andre King inactive from week to week, although they no longer list his ankle injury on the NFL reports - presumably, the problem now is conditioning. QB Kelly Holcomb is questionable on Wednesday; Jeff Garcia is probable (shoulder); and TE Keith Heinrich (toe, probable).

Cleveland's offense is in turmoil, but Bryant has added a spark at WR - Buffalo is usually tough in this phase of the game, and the conditions at Ralph Wilson Stadium around game time are not likely to be friendly to the passing game - advantage, Buffalo.

Baltimore's Passing Attack vs. The New York Giant's Defense (Tough Matchup)

Kyle Boller has returned to his usual form in the last two games (not very good, that is), tossing an anemic 19/33 for 172 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception vs. The Bengals last week. Over the past 3 weeks, he's 33rd among all fantasy signal callers in fantasy points per game, with an average of 11.27 per outing (57/102 for 497 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions in 3 games). The teams' all world TE returned to action last week, but only managed 3/22/0 from his QB. Nobody on the team caught more than 3 balls, and nobody got above 41 yards receiving.

The Giants' defense ranks in the top 5 in passing yards allowed per game (178.9) this season, while surrendering 19 passing scores to date (that's on the high end, but not terrible). Last week, they were right on pace, giving up 19/22 for 174 yards to Patrick Ramsey - however, he also notched 3 TDs vs. 0 interceptions during the game. The Giants average 144 net passing yards and 1.5 passing TDs given away per game over the last 4 weeks - they haven't kept people out of the endzone in the second half of the season.

The Giants' S Gibril Wilson has missed multiple games due to a neck injury (he's been listed as doubtful this week). Baltimore's unit lists WR Travis Taylor (back, questionable) and WR Clarence Moore (knee, probable).

The forecast for M and T Bank Stadium calls for a high of 50F and a low of 41F with a 10% chance for precipitation. A nice, crisp day is around the corner for this matchup if the forecast holds up.

Boller is just not a fantasy starter, even against a mediocre secondary such as the Giants deploy. A poor QB vs. a mediocre secondary equals a tough matchup for the offense in our book.

New York Jets' Passing Attack vs. The Pittsburgh Defense (Tough Matchup)

Santana Moss is the most inconsistent, frustrating fantasy WR to come down the pike in 2004, folks. He explodes for 6/157/1 (week 9) and 5/109/1 (week 12) just often enough to entice his fantasy owners to swallow the lame games that surround the good outings - for example, 2/25/0 (week 11) and 1/6/0 (week 13). Pennington throws only a handful of passes to his wide receivers on a consistent basis this season (Quincy Carter is just plain inconsistent). Last week, Pennington tossed 9 balls to McCareins (6 targets for 4/47/0) and Moss (3 targets for 1/6/0) while throwing 10 balls to RBs Curtis Martin (4 for 4/20/1) and Jerald Sowell (6 for 5/38/0), for example. 20/27 for 155 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception was the result - hardly a fantasy bonanza, but the Jets notched a "W".

Byron Leftwich moved the ball against the Steelers very well, putting up 16/27 for 268 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions - that's about 100 yards more than the team usually allows this season (the Steelers rank 4th in the NFL allowing an average of 176.3 passing yards per game, with 12 TDs given away to date (tied for 3rd-least in the NFL)). Over the past 4 weeks, the Steelers have given up 168 passing yards per contest (and 1.3 passing scores) - they haven't been shutting people down, but they usually hold them to less than 200 yards net in this phase of the game. The Steelers are second in the league with 38 sacks to their credit to date.

The Jets come into the game in good shape, with only WR Jerricho Cotchery (hamstring, probable) listed, while the Steelers list CB Chad Scott as (quadriceps/knee, out). CB Chidi Iwuoma is probable despite a sore shoulder.

The forecast for Heinz Field calls for a high of 41F and a low of 36F with a 10% chance for precipitation. That's very nice December weather in that part of the USA

The Jets are not a high-flying bunch this year, but they move the ball efficiently with Pennington under center (although not necessarily by throwing to the wide receivers) - the Steelers are very stout in this phase most of the time, and have home-field advantage at their back this week. Advantage, Pittsburgh.

San Diego's Passing Attack vs. The Tampa Bay Defense (Tough Matchup)

Drew Brees turned in a quiet afternoon vs. The Broncos last week (weather conditions were not very good) - he tossed 14/27 for 106 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception during the game. There isn't much more to say about that, as his teammates were limited in their production by his anemic tally. Over the past 3 weeks, though, Brees has tossed 60/98 for 710 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception, so it hasn't been so slow every week. Poor games happen to every player in the course of a 16 game season.

Tampa Bay's defense was ferocious last week, smothering the Falcons (13/30 for 115 yards, 0 TDs and 3 interceptions) while also stripping the ball from Vick twice, and sacking him 5 times. It was a great performance in keeping with the Buccaneers' 4 week averages of 131 passing yards allowed per game and .8 TDs given up per contest. They are the top ranked secondary in the NFL this season, allowing 159.9 passing yards per game (13 TDs to date in this phase of the game).

Tampa's secondary lists S Jermaine Phillips (arm, doubtful) and S Dexter Jackson (hamstring, probable), while San Diego reports WR Tim Dwight has a sore toe (questionable).

The forecast for Qualcomm Stadium calls for a high of 68F with a low of 49F and a 20% chance for rain - a typically beautiful southern California day is on the way, it appears.

Tampa is always tough to throw on, and Brees has cooled off somewhat in recent weeks - advantage, Tampa.

Miami's Passing Attack vs. The Denver Defense (Bad Matchup)

Miami's offense with A.J. Feeley at the controls is the tale of the Good (303 yards passing during the game with 3 TDs in the first quarter), the Bad (5 interceptions on the day) and the Ugly (all the injuries that Feeley has fought through behind a line surrendering the 4th-most sacks in the NFL this season - 39 to date). He did manage to generate some decent fantasy numbers among the Dolphin receiving corps last week - Chris Chambers had 12 targets for 5/49/1 and Marty Booker saw 11 for 5/96/0 - among the starting receivers, only Randy McMichael was unhappy at the end of the day (3 for 2/14/0).

Denver's secondary - which had struggled somewhat recently (over the past 4 weeks, allowing an average of 261 passing yards and 1.7 passing TDs per game during that span) - managed to contain the hot Drew Brees to 14/27 for 106 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception. They are the 8th ranked pass defense in the NFL right now, allowing 191.3 passing yards per game (and are tied for 2nd-least passing TDs allowed to date, with only 11 surrendered). They are a tough bunch to generate much passing offense against most of the time, but haven't been playing up to their usual standards more often than not lately.

Denver's lineup is in decent shape, with no new injuries of note to report, although John Lynch's pelvis is sore (probable). Miami lists WR Chris Chambers (ribs, probable) and QB A.J. Feeley (finger/pectoral, probable).

Miami's attack is not in the upper echelons of the NFL this year, while the Broncos field and above-average to elite pass defense on any given Sunday. With the 12th man (and cold, potentially nasty weather) on Denver's side, this looks like a bad matchup for Feeley and company.

New York Giant's Passing Attack vs. The Baltimore Defense (Bad Matchup)

Eli Manning's season so far: 38/92 for 489 yards, 1 TD and 4 interceptions - he is tied with the great Ken Dorsey in fantasy points per game, folks, and behind Craig Nall (Brett Favre's backup). Yikes. You can't blame it all on Manning, though - the Giants have allowed the 2nd most sacks in the league (47), and their defense is such a shambles that Manning is forced to play from behind in every game. Be that as it may, he doesn't resemble his big brother in fantasy production in any way, shape, or form. The Giants are ugly in almost every phase of the game right now.

Baltimore's secondary stumbled last week, allowing 29/36 for 382 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception to Carson Palmer - that's way more yards and TDs than this unit tends to give up on most Sundays (they average 188.3 passing yards allowed per game (6th in the NFL) and have only given away 10 passing scores all season). Over the last 4 weeks, Baltimore has coughed up 201 passing yards and 1.0 TDs per game on average - they are usually very tough in this phase of the game. Even worse, as far as the Giants are concerned, Baltimore is 7th in the NFL with 34 sacks to their credit this season - expect them to hit Manning, hard, early and often.

The Giant's aerial unit lists WRs Jamaar Taylor (quadriceps, questionable); Amani Toomer (hamstring, questionable); and Willie Ponder (back, probable), while the Ravens continue to see more of Deion Sanders on the sidelines than on the field (he's missed several games due to a nagging foot injury) - this week, Sanders is listed as questionable, along with CB Gary Baxter (shoulder). CB Raymond Walls is probable with a sore wrist.

The forecast for M and T Bank Stadium calls for a high of 50F and a low of 41F with a 10% chance for precipitation. A nice, crisp day is around the corner for this matchup if the forecast holds up.

Manning is having a horrible season, while the Ravens are usually very tough in this phase of the game, despite the spanking that Palmer administered last week. Their pass-rush will eat up the poor Giants' line - advantage, Ravens.

San Francisco's Passing "Attack" vs. The Arizona Defense (Bad Matchup)

Tim Rattay hurt the arch in his foot last week, and may not be able to play on Sunday. That would be good news for his teammates on most teams, as Rattay has been totally ineffective during the past month (48/90 for 449 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions in 3 games) - but Rattay's backup, Ken Dorsey, was even more pathetic running this offense in his chances earlier this year. The 49ers are getting the first pick in the draft the old-fashioned way - they are earning it. Stay far away from these guys.

Back in week 5, Rattay played his best game of the season vs. Arizona, with 38/57 for 417 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions. Since then, the Cardinals have become the 10th ranked secondary in the NFL, allowing an average of 198 passing yards per game, with 14 scores given up to date. Over the past 4 weeks, the Cardinals have allowed an average of 171 passing yards and 1.3 TDs per game to the opposition (last week, Joey Harrington managed 15/27 for 196 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception vs. Arizona). Meanwhile, the 49ers attack has melted down.

Aside from Rattay (foot, doubtful), the 49ers are in decent shape. Arizona lists S Michael Stone (foot, questionable) and S Adrian Wilson (shoulder, probable) in recent weeks.

The forecast for Sun Devil Stadium calls for a high of 73F with a low of 53F with a 20% chance for rain. That's great weather for a football game.

San Francisco's offense has disintegrated to the point that most NFL defenses can shut them down - this week should be no exception as the Cardinals sport a top-ten secondary.