Passing Matchups - Week 15
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Posted 12/16 by Mark Wimer and Joe Bryant, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
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Hi Folks,
Here's our look at the Passing Matchups for this week.
PLEASE NOTE: This does NOT replace the Cheatsheet ranking. The Cheatsheet rankings
are the final say on where we see a player for that week. The Matchup Breakdowns
are simply one more tool in the box when it comes to helping choose your lineup.
Also note, just because a player has a "bad" matchup, it does NOT mean
he's not a starter in your league. If Peyton Manning is playing the toughest pass
defense in the league, that just means he's got a tough matchup that week. He's
also your starter unless you're loaded at QB. In the same way, if the worst QB
on your roster has a "great" matchup that week, it doesn't necessarily
mean he's your starter. It means we think he'll fare better than normal that week.
Bottom line is that the cheatsheets are the final say.
Let's jump to it.
Joe
Quick Index:
Great Matchups
Philadelphia's Passing Attack vs. The Dallas Defense
Denver's Passing Attack vs. The Kansas City Defense
Tennessee's Passing Attack vs. The Oakland Defense
Oakland's Passing Attack vs. The Tennessee Defense
Good Matchups
Washington's Passing Attack vs. The San Francisco Defense
Buffalo's Passing Attack vs. The Cincinnati Defense
Chicago's Passing Attack vs. The Houston Defense
Jacksonville's Passing Attack vs. The Green Bay Defense
Minnesota's Passing Attack vs. The Detroit Defense
Tampa Bay's Passing Attack vs. The New Orleans Defense
San Diego's Passing Attack vs. The Cleveland Defense
St. Louis Passing Attack vs. The Arizona Defense
Neutral Matchups
Carolina's Passing Attack vs. The Atlanta Defense
Atlanta's Passing Attack vs. The Carolina Defense
Pittsburgh's Passing Attack vs. The New York Giants' Defense
Cincinnati's Passing Attack vs. The Buffalo Defense
Kansas City's Passing Attack vs. The Denver Defense
Houston's Passing Attack vs. The Chicago Defense
Green Bay's Passing Attack vs. The Jacksonville Defense
Detroit's Passing Attack vs. The Minnesota Defense
Cleveland's Passing Attack vs. The San Diego Defense
New York Jets' Passing Attack vs. The Seattle Defense
Arizona's Passing Attack vs. The St. Louis Defense
Miami's Passing Attack vs. The New England Defense
Tough Matchups
Indianapolis' Passing Attack vs. The Baltimore Defense
Baltimore's Passing Attack vs. The Indianapolis Defense
Dallas' Passing Attack vs. The Philadelphia Defense
New Orleans' Passing Attack vs. The Tampa Bay Defense
Seattle's Passing Attack vs. The New York Jets' Defense
New England's Passing Attack vs. The Miami Defense
Bad Matchups
New York Giants' Passing "Attack" vs. The Pittsburgh Defense
San Francisco's Passing Attack vs. The Washington Defense
Philadelphia's Passing Attack vs. The Dallas
Defense (Great Matchup)
Donovan McNabb hit 15/27 for 345 yards, 4 TDs and 0 interceptions vs. Dallas
back in week 10. Since that game, he's been on a tear, totaling 71/108 for 968
yards, 7 TDs and 1 interception during the last 3 weeks - the Eagles' offense
is on a roll right now. Last week, vs. a top-5 pass defense (Washington), McNabb
tossed 21/38 for 260 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception - Todd Pinkston led the
team with 3/99/0 on 8 targets, although Terrell Owens saw more balls (10 for
5/60/0). TE L.J. Smith caught the score (4 for 2/12/1).
Dallas was vulnerable to New Orleans last week (18/31 for 252 yards, 1 TD and
2 interceptions); they've been allowing an average of 239 passing yards and
1.5 passing scores per game over the last 4 weeks; and they are 26th in the
NFL this season allowing an average of 232.8 passing yards per game (with 26
passing scores surrendered in 13 games to date) - they are one of the weakest
pass defenses in the NFL this year.
The Eagles come into the game listing WR Terrell Owens (back, questionable)
and WR Todd Pinkston (quadriceps, probable). Owens says he'll be fine.
The forecast for Lincoln Financial Field calls for a high of 44F with a low
of 35F and a 20% chance for precipitation. That's about as nice as you can hope
for in Pennsylvania during the month of December.
Look for McNabb to torch the Cowboys again this weekend.
Denver's Passing Attack vs. The Kansas City
Defense (Great Matchup)
In week 1, Jake Plummer racked up 18/29 for 230 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions
vs. the Chiefs' secondary. Since then, the Chiefs have only gotten worse, and
now rank dead last in the NFL allowing an average of 270.4 passing yards per
contest, with a total of 27 passing scores allowed in 13 games. Last week, the
secondary was destroyed by Tennessee's Billy Volek and Drew Bennett (29/43 for
426 yards, 4 TDs and 0 interceptions) - they have allowed an average of 348
passing yards and 2.5 passing scores per game during the past 4 weeks. The Chiefs
are a truly sorry pass defense - so bad, they have wrested the title "worst
pass defense in the league" away from the Saints, which took some doing.
Plummer suffered through a down game last week (16/30 for 219 yards, 0 TDs
and 2 interceptions). Rod Smith was far-and-away the top target with 13 targets
for 8/97/0 (the next-most targeted players saw only 3 balls during the game).
Plummer has 46/93 for 742 yards, 1 TD and 7 interceptions to his credit over
the past 3 games - he's been struggling mightily.
The Broncos are in good shape, while the Chiefs list S Jerome Woods (knee,
doubtful); S Greg Wesley (hamstring, questionable); S Willie Pile (groin, probable)
and CB Benny Sapp (groin, probable).
The forecast for Arrowhead Stadium calls for a high of 52F with a low of 31F
and a 0% chance of precipitation. At this time of year, the wind is almost always
a factor in this venue -- passing is more difficult than usual due to the swirling
winds inside the stadium.
If he's going to get back on track, this is the week to do it vs. The woeful
Chiefs' defense.
Tennessee's Passing Attack vs. The Oakland
Defense (Great Matchup)
It appears that Tennessee may have to do without Steve McNair for the rest
of 2004, as his severely bruised sternum needs up to 8 weeks of rest if it is
to heal properly. Coach Fisher and McNair will meet to discuss the matter later
this week, but with Tennessee already eliminated from the playoffs there seems
little point to play McNair with Billy Volek doing well in relief of McNair
- there is also the possibility that McNair will retire after this year, so
the team wants to get Volek some more experience under center.
Volek has been a fantasy force over the last 2 games, hooking up with Drew
Bennett early and often (15/357/6 receiving over the past 2 games) - Bennett
was completely out of gas on Monday Night Football after snagging 12/233/3 out
of 17 chances. Derrick Mason played second-fiddle after injuring his ankle early
in the game, and converted 6 targets into 3/22/1 during the game. 29/43 for
426 yards, 4 TDs and 0 interceptions was the book on Volek by the time the game
ended. He's hot right now, folks.
Oakland's pass D hasn't been impressive this season, averaging 228.8 passing
yards allowed per game, with 24 TDs given up in this phase of the game to date.
Over the past 4 weeks, the team has averaged 237 passing yards and 1.3 scores
allowed per contest, with 13/21 for 145 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions given
up to the run-oriented Falcons last week. The Oakland secondary is one of the
worst units in the league this season.
McNair is officially "questionable" this week (surprise, surprise)
- also listed are TE Erron Kinney (ankle, questionable) and WR Derrick Mason
(ankle, questionable)
The forecast for Network Associates Coliseum calls for a high of 60F with a
low of 43F and a 10% chance for rain - a typical, beautiful California day is
around the corner, it appears.
Volek should enjoy a strong outing vs. The lame Raiders.
Oakland's Passing Attack vs. The Tennessee
Defense (Great Matchup)
Kerry Collins and company didn't fare well in the absence of Ronald Curry (nobody
on the team caught more than 2 passes - Jerry Porter (2/33/0) and Doug Gabriel
(2/19/0) trailed unknown John Stone (2/62/0) in production last week. Collins
ended the day at 14/28 for 166 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception. It was a disappointing
performance for Collins' owners, who were spoiled by his 3-game streak with
multiple passing TDs (2 games over 300 yards passing) that preceded the stinker
vs. Atlanta. TE Courtney Anderson (knee, doubtful) and WR Johnnie Morant (foot,
doubtful) are listed on Wednesday.
Tennessee's inexperienced and injury-depleted secondary was very vulnerable
to the long-ball vs. Kansas City - there were numerous instances of blown coverages
during the shoot-out on Monday Night Football. Considering that the team's entire
starting secondary is either out or on IR, we expected nothing less. At this
point in the season, the Titans are just thankful to have enough warm bodies
to field a team. 18/32 for 244 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception was the damage
when Green was done with Tennessee (they average 239 passing yards and 2.0 thrown
TDs surrendered per game over the past 4 weeks).
Sometimes it's just best to let something speak for itself. To get an idea
of how bad the injury situation is for the Titans, find below their injury report
for this week (remember, guys on IR do not appear on this report): Out: CB Samari
Rolle (knee); S Lance Schulters (foot); CB Andre Woolfolk (wrist). Questionable:
LB Rocky Boiman (calf); RB Chris Brown (toe); CB Rich Gardner (toe); DE Carlos
Hall (knee/finger); C Justin Hartwig (finger); DT Albert Haynesworth (elbow);
T Brad Hopkins (hand); TE Erron Kinney (ankle); WR Derrick Mason (ankle); QB
Steve McNair (sternum); TE Shad Meier (hip); T Fred Miller (ankle); G Benji
Olson (toe); LB Cody Spencer (abdomen). Currently on IR: S Tank Williams (knee);
S Justin Sandy (ankle); WR Tyrone Calico (knee); G Zach Piller (biceps); LB
Peter Sirmon (knee); K Joe Nedney (left hamstring). LB Rocky Calmus is also
out due to injury, by the way. It's no wonder their defense can't stop people
in either phase of the game - they average 239 yards passing and 2 TDs per game
allowed in that phase, plus 149 yards rushing and 2 rushing TDs allowed per
game over the last 4 weeks. They're lucky to have 11 guys on the field at this
point.
The forecast for Network Associates Coliseum calls for a high of 60F with a
low of 43F and a 10% chance for rain - a typical, beautiful California day is
around the corner, it appears.
Look for Collins and the Raiders to bounce back vs. The injury-ravaged Titan
defense.
Washington's Passing Attack vs. The San
Francisco Defense (Good Matchup)
67/101 for 563 yards, 4 TDs and 2 interceptions - that's what Patrick Ramsey
has managed over the past 3 weeks in the passing phase of the game. Those are
hardly top 10 numbers, but he has crept near to the top 20 (#23 fantasy QB over
the past 3 weeks). Laveranues Coles had a strong game last week, with 17 targets
for 12/100/0; Chris Cooley was second with 9 targets for 5/75/0 - Ramsey ended
the day with 29/45 for 251 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception.
San Francisco led 28-3 early in the 3rd quarter last week, before the Cardinals
came storming back to force overtime. The 49ers ended up allowing 26/44 for
307 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception to the Cardinals. The 49ers average 217.8
passing yards allowed per game this season (20th in the NFL), with 22 passing
TDs given up to date. They do not field a very strong defense this season. Over
the past 4 weeks, they are keeping close to their season average, giving up
214 net passing yards per game with 1.3 passing scores allowed per contest.
The Redskins' roster enjoys good health at this point in the season, listing
WR Laveranues Coles (toe), TE Robert Royal (back) and WR James Thrash (hamstring)
as probable to play. San Francisco has no new injuries to report.
The forecast for Monster Park calls for a high of 62F with a low of 47F and
a 0% chance for precipitation. It sounds like beautiful weather for a football
game is around the corner by the Bay.
The Redskins are starting to jell in this phase of the game, while the 49ers
continue to wallow in mediocrity. Advantage, Washington.
Buffalo's Passing Attack vs. The Cincinnati
Defense (Good Matchup)
Isn't it amazing how a solid running game can help lift an offense to respectability?
Drew Bledsoe was fantasy road-kill earlier this year, but over the last 3 weeks
he's tossed 56/94 for 652 yards, 6 TDs and 4 interceptions to crack the top
15 among all fantasy QBs in fantasy points per game during that span (15th).
Lee Evans is on fire, with 18 targets for 14/213/4 during that span (Moulds
is the most-thrown to receiver, with 31 for 16/199/1 to his credit, but Evans
is the better fantasy WR during recent weeks). The team is light at TE right
now, thanks to injuries that have sidelined Mark Campbell for the season and
also put Tim Euhus out last week (7 targets for 6/54/1 during the last 3 weeks
for Euhus). Last week Bledsoe was unexciting, though, with 12/27 for 100 yards,
1 TD and 1 interception (the team killed Cleveland 37-7 anyway, and had 215
yards and 3 TDs rushing - Bledsoe didn't need to throw very often in those circumstances).
Cincinnati has been in a lot of shootouts lately - most recently, they allowed
18/26 for 260 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions to Tom Brady and company. The
team averages 223 net passing yards and 2.0 passing scores allowed per game
over the past 4 weeks, which is slightly more than their season average of 206.8
passing yards allowed per game (21 passing scores given up to date). The Bengals
don't dominate their opponents in this phase of the game.
The Bills list TE Tim Euhus (knee, out), while the Bengals report S Rogers
Beckett (neck, questionable) and CB Deltha O'Neal (ankle, questionable).
The forecast for Paul Brown Stadium calls for a high of 46F with a low of 37F
and a 20% chance of precipitation - that's decent weather for Ohio in mid-December.
Buffalo is showing up in this phase of the game recently, while the Bengal's
defense is not doing terribly well vs. opposing passers over the past 4 weeks.
Chicago's Passing Attack vs. The Houston
Defense (Good Matchup)
Chad Hutchinson came back down to earth last week - he was unable to sustain
his strong start from week 13 (18/30 for 213 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions),
instead putting up similar completion and yardage numbers - 17/33 for 212 yards,
0 TDs and 1 interception - without the TDs. David Terrell saw 8 targets for
2/23/0, continuing his career-long pattern of unpredictable performance from
week to week, while Thomas Jones turned 5 chances into 3/68/0 to lead the team.
Chicago's WR corps isn't very reliable.
Houston's pass defense has been very soft all season long, allowing an average
of 246.8 yards per game, with a league-worst 31 passing TDs given up to date.
They average 259 yards and 2.0 TDs allowed per game in this phase during the
last 4 weeks, and coughed up 26/33 for 298 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions
to the Colts last week The Texans field one of the worst secondaries in the
league.
The Bears list TE Desmond Clark (ribs/shoulder) as probable to play. Houston's
defense is in good shape.
The forecast for Soldier Field calls for a high of 47F with a low of 39F and
a 30% chance for precipitation. If the moisture holds off, the teams should
enjoy a decent afternoon to play some football.
Look for Chicago's Chad Hutchinson to find some good opportunities open vs.
The Texans' sorry secondary - the question is, can the Bears' wide receivers
convert opportunity intro production?
Jacksonville's Passing Attack vs. The Green
Bay Defense (Good Matchup)
Byron Leftwich managed 25/45 for 242 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception vs. The
Bears last week, hitting Jimmy Smith (10 targets for 6/85/1) and Reggie Williams
(7 targets for 4/62/1) for the scores during the victory. Smith (26 targets
for 14/205/1), Troy Edwards (19 for 12/175/1) and Williams (13 for 7/94/1) lead
the team's receivers over the past 3 weeks, while RB Fred Taylor has 16 targets
for 10/70/0 to his credit in that span. Leftwich is the 14th ranked fantasy
QB in the past 3 weeks, with 60/106 for 745 yards, 4 TDs and 1 interception
under his belt.
Green Bay drilled the Lions last week, allowing a minuscule 5/22 for 47 yards,
0 TDs and 0 interceptions to Harrington and company last week. They are usually
much more giving than that, averaging 240.5 passing yards allowed per game (26
scores given up to date, 4th most in the NFL so far). Even with the strong game
vs. Detroit, the Packers average 258 passing yards and 2.0 TDs surrendered per
contest during the last 4 weeks.
Jimmy Smith tweaked an ankle last week (probable), while TE George Wrighster
is out (back). The Packer's secondary has no new injuries of note coming into
the game.
The forecast for Lambeau Field calls for a high of 38F with a low of 28F and
a 50% chance for precipitation. The moisture is likely to be snow, and the temperature
will feel colder than the mercury reads due to wind-chill - the probable conditions
at game time will make passing the ball a little tricky.
Leftwich and company have been much more competent that Detroit was last week,
while the Packers are usually soft in this phase of the game. Advantage, Jacksonville.
Minnesota's Passing Attack vs. The Detroit
Defense (Good Matchup)
Daunte Culpepper passed 22/32 for 233 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception the last
time these teams faced off, in week 11. Since then, he has piled up 63/93 for
784 yards, 4 TDs and 4 interceptions in the past 3 weeks (20/100/1 rushing forms
the icing on the cake). Randy Moss looked strong running deep routes last week,
with 9 targets for 4/104/1, while Culpepper hit 21/33 for 270 yards, 1 TD and
0 interceptions to his credit last week. Moss' return to health is good timing
for the Vikings.
Detroit helped rejuvenate Brett Favre last week, giving up 19/36 for 188 yards,
1 TD and 0 interceptions to the Packers last week. The team averages 200 passing
yards and 2.5 TDs surrendered per game over the last 4 weeks - the team is 19th
in the NFL this season, giving up an average of 217.1 passing yards per game,
with 24 scores surrendered to date (tied for 5th-most TDs given up to date).
The teams are both in decent shape at this juncture, although Detroit missed
CB Fernando Bryant last week (ankle injury, questionable) last week.
This game is to be played inside the air-conditioned dome called Ford Field.
Detroit's defense will have a hard time handling the Vikings this week.
Tampa Bay's Passing Attack vs. The New Orleans
Defense (Good Matchup)
Brian Griese first stepped into the spotlight for Tampa the last time these
teams met (in week 5) when he threw for 16/19 for 194 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions
in relief of then-starter Chris Simms (5/8 for 68 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions).
Since assuming the starting mantle, Griese has tossed 190/273 for 2193 yards,
16 TDs and 9 interceptions in 9 games, including 36/50 for 393 yards, 3 TDs
and 3 interceptions vs. San Diego last week. Michael Clayton has developed into
a top threat, garnering 9/145/1 last week, while Joey Galloway grabbed 5/78/2
during the game. If Galloway can stay reasonably healthy, Tampa has a great
1-2 punch at their disposal for the remaining games.
The Saints threw a wet blanket on the Cowboys last week, holding them to 14/36
for 160 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions. They aren't usually that good, averaging
213 passing yards and 1.3 TDs given up per game over the past 4 weeks - the
team ranks 31st in the NFL this year, averaging 255.8 passing yards allowed
per game (with 21 passing TDs surrendered to date). They are playing better
than usual in recent weeks - the Saints weren't very good to begin with, though.
TEs Ken Dilger (ribs) and Dave Moore (ankle) are both probable to play. The
Saints' CB Ashley Ambrose landed on IR last week.
The forecast for Raymond James Stadium calls for a high of 66F with a low of
47F and a 10% chance for rain - it sounds like a great day is on tap in sunny
Florida.
Tampa's offense has come to life with Griese at the helm, while the Saints
have improved from pathetic to merely subpar in this phase of the game in recent
weeks. Advantage, Tampa.
San Diego's Passing Attack vs. The Cleveland
Defense (Good Matchup)
Drew Brees has ignited the Chargers all season long (237/363 for 2784 yards,
with 23 TDs and only 6 interceptions this year), and has the team in prime position
to advance in the postseason. Over the last 3 weeks, he has tossed 59/87 for
704 yards, 4 TDs and 3 interceptions (with 17/23 for 220 yards, 2 TDs and 2
interceptions last week vs. The top-ranked Tampa D). Antonio Gates (21 targets
for 11/140/2), Keenan McCardell (18 for 9/93/0) and Eric Parker (15 for 12/233/1)
are his favorite targets lately.
Cleveland's team has crash-landed since Butch Davis resigned, allowing an average
of 1.8 passing TDs per game over the past 4 weeks (with an average of 156 net
passing yards given up per contest) - the team lost 37-7 last week, during a
game in which the offense couldn't move the ball at all. That was bad news for
the D, who faced Buffalo's offense for 36:55 seconds last week. Bledsoe only
hit for 12/27 for 100 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception, but the team punched in
3 rushing scores on 42 carries for 215 yards.
San Diego's WR Tim Dwight was inactive last week (toe injury, questionable),
and McCardell missed half of the game due to a sore hamstring (questionable).
Cleveland's secondary went without CB Michael Lehan (hamstring, questionable)
and S Chris Crocker (biceps, out) last week. Injuries are gnawing on both teams
at this point in the season.
The forecast for Cleveland Browns Stadium calls for a high of 44F and a low
of 40F with a 10% chance for precipitation - that's nice weather in our book.
San Diego is a team with a future this year, while the Browns are just playing
out the string - advantage, San Diego.
St. Louis Passing Attack vs. The Arizona
Defense (Good Matchup)
These teams clashed way back in week 1 this season - Marc Bulger put forth
a solid effort, with 23/34 for 272 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception on that day.
The real question this week is "Can Bulger play?" - his shoulder injury
kept him on the sidelines last week, while substitute Chris Chandler threw for
an abysmal 6 interceptions (16/29 for 243 yards, 1 TD and 6 interceptions).
As of midweek, it's looking a little better for Bulger but he's not out of the
woods yet. If he can't go, Chris Chandler would start again with rookie Jeff
Smoker as the 3rd QB. Chandler actually threw at Isaac Bruce (9 targets for
3/27/0) more than Torry Holt last week (8 for 6/151/1), but Holt had much better
results in his chances.
The current sorry state of the Arizona secondary is summed up by the following
2 statements: until last week, Ken Dorsey had 0 TDs and 4 interceptions to his
credit this season, and San Francisco had only 1 win. After playing Arizona,
Dorsey had added 3 TDs and 0 interceptions to his season tally, and San Francisco
completed a season sweep of Arizona (the only team the 49ers have defeated in
2004). The Cardinals have allowed an average of 177 passing yards and 1.8 TDs
per game over the past 4 weeks - this season, they average 196.9 passing yards
allowed per game (11th in the NFL) with 17 scores given up in this phase of
the game so far. They are playing even worse than their averages indicate.
The Rams list Bulger as questionable. Ss Michael Stone (foot) and Adrian Wilson
(shoulder) are both probable to play.
The forecast for Sun Devil Stadium calls for a high of 69F with a low of 45F
and a 10% chance for rain - a pleasant day is around the corner in the desert,
if the forecast holds up.
Chandler suffered through a miserable game last week, but he has a good shot
to bounce back against the sagging Cardinals.
Cleveland's Passing Attack vs. The San Diego
Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Luke McCown had a horrible game last week, with 8/20 for 62 yards, 1 TD and
2 interceptions - the Browns allowed 8 sacks for 79 yards during the game (ouch!).
There were no fantasy points to speak of among Cleveland's players last week
- the offense completely melted down. The season's a total loss at this point.
28/54 for 339 yards passing, 3 TDs and 4 interceptions describes McCown's efforts
to date (2 games) - count on the Chargers imitating the Bills and attacking
the passer this week (the Chargers aren't particularly good at sacking the QB
this season, with only 24 sacks to date (29th in the league)) - those 8 sacks
allowed last week highlights that the Browns' OL is very vulnerable.
Brian Griese tore up the Chargers' secondary last week, with 36/50 for 392
yards, 3 TDs and 3 interceptions when the dust settled. San Diego averages 264
passing yards and 1.3 passing scores allowed per game over the past 4 weeks
(obviously, Griese's big game skews those numbers upwards), which is not surprising
given their season average of 247.3 passing yards allowed per game (30th in
the NFL) - their secondary is the Chargers' Achilles' heel this year.
The Browns put Jeff Garcia on IR this week, and Kelly Holcomb is still nursing
a serious rib injury (questionable) - the team has practically no choice but
to throw McCown to the wolves. TE Aaron Shea has a sore ankle (questionable).
San Diego lists CB Sammy Davis (broken leg, doubtful); S Clinton Hart (concussion,
questionable) and S Hanik Milligan (hamstring, probable).
The forecast for Cleveland Browns Stadium calls for a high of 44F and a low
of 40F with a 10% chance for precipitation - that's nice weather in our book.
Look for McCown to see some opportunities against the soft Chargers, but the
Chargers won't simply roll over in the face of the anemic Browns' offense.
Detroit's Passing Attack vs. The Minnesota
Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Joey Harrington struggled mightily in the game vs. Minnesota during week 11,
putting up 12/19 for 91 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception in 4 quarters of work.
He had a horrible game last week, with 5/22 for 47 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions
against the soft Packers' defense. In light of the latest debacle, coach Mariucci
had this to say about who will start at QB early this week. "We haven't
made any decisions in that regard just yet. But we are evaluating our passing
game, seeing where we are. We haven't been productive like we need to, especially
in the second half of games. And the thing is, it's not just one reason, it's
not just one person. It encompasses several things and much discussion."
Talk about non-commitment - anyway, it would be hard for McMahon to do worse
than 5/22 for 47 yards passing. It's fair to say that the Lions' offense is
on the ropes in this phase of the game. The word at midweek is that Harrington
will start the game - but if he struggles, don't be surprised to see a quick
hook from coach Mariucci in favor of McMahon. We'd look elsewhere for your starting
QB this week.
Minnesota's secondary didn't fare very well vs. Matt Hasselbeck and company
last week, allowing 23/34 for 334 yards, 3 TDs and 2 interceptions to the struggling
Seahawks. The Vikings have coughed up an average of 196 passing yards and 2.0
thrown TDs per game over the past 4 weeks, and average 229.3 passing yards allowed
per game this season, with 23 passing TDs given up to date. They aren't much
of a pass defense, despite the array of talent the Vikings deploy at DB.
The Lions list WR Eddie Drummond (shoulder, out). Minnesota's CB Ralph Brown
(broken eye socket, out) and CB Antoine Winfield (ankle, doubtful) are listed
by the Vikings.
This game is to be played inside the air-conditioned dome called Ford Field.
Detroit's attack is in shambles - meanwhile, the Vikings' pass defense is in
tatters - this is an ugly but even matchup.
Green Bay's Passing Attack vs. The Jacksonville
Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Brett Favre came out of his swoon last week, hitting 19/36 for 188 yards, 1
TD and 0 interceptions vs. The Lions en route to a 16-13 victory. It wasn't
a fantasy performance for the ages, but it was better than the 14/29 for 131
yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions he threw down vs. Philadelphia two weeks ago.
Donald Driver (24 targets for 13/205/2) and Javon Walker (24 targets for 12/113/2)
are the top Packer receivers over the past 3 weeks.
Jacksonville's pass D put the Bears' latest starting QB back into the lowest
ranks of fantasy signal callers last week, limiting Hutchinson to 17/33 for
212 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception. They have averaged 196 passing yards and
1.0 TDs allowed per game over the past 4 weeks, which represents an improvement
over the team's average of 212.2 passing yards allowed per game this season
(15 TDs given up to date in this phase of the game). The Jaguars are fighting
hard in this phase of the game as the playoffs approach.
The Packers are in good shape in this phase of the game, while Jacksonville
lists CB Juran Bolden (quadriceps, doubtful).
The forecast for Lambeau Field calls for a high of 38F with a low of 28F and
a 50% chance for precipitation. The moisture is likely to be snow, and the temperature
will feel colder than the mercury reads due to wind-chill - the probable conditions
at game time will make passing the ball much more difficult than usual.
Favre is starting to get his groove back, but the Jaguars have one of the better
pass defenses in the league at this point in the season. This looks like a fairly
even matchup to us before the clash.
Cincinnati's Passing Attack vs. The Buffalo
Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Just as Carson Palmer was hitting his stride (69/89 for 835 yards, 9 TDs and
5 interceptions in the last 2 ½ games), he went down with a sprained
knee. The word out of the Cincinnati at midweek indicates that while Palmer's
knee isn't seriously injured, he is questionable to play this week vs. Buffalo
(he's still on crutches and wearing a bulky knee brace). Jon Kitna was adequate
in relief of Palmer last week (9/13 for 126 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception).
Kitna was solid last year for the Bengals (324/520 for 3591 yards, 26 TDs and
15 interceptions) - there is no reason to rush Palmer back before the knee is
healthy. T.J. Houshmandzadeh (29 targets for 26/395/3) and Chad Johnson (34
for 25/358/4) have exploded in recent weeks, and form a lethal 1-2 punch at
WR.
Buffalo's defense has been stout all season long, and currently ranks 3rd in
the NFL allowing an average of 176.4 passing yards per game (18 passing scores
surrendered to date). S Troy Vincent made a big splash in his return to the
lineup last week, with an awesome outing (1 solo tackle, 1 assist, a sack, an
interception and a fumble recovery). Cleveland could only manage 9/21 for 67
yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions vs. The Bills - they have averaged 174 passing
yards allowed per game over the past 4 weeks (with 1.8 passing scores given
away per game, though, which is fairly high).
Aside from Palmer (questionable), the Bengals are in good shape. CB Nate Clements
is probable for the Bills (shoulder).
The forecast for Paul Brown Stadium calls for a high of 46F with a low of 37F
and a 20% chance of precipitation - that's decent weather for Ohio in mid-December.
Buffalo has a formidable pass D, but they've been off their game a bit in the
redzone recently. Cincinnati brings some serious talent to the table in this
phase - this is a neutral matchup from where we sit.
Carolina's Passing Attack vs. The Atlanta
Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Way back in week 4, the then-wilting Panthers faced off vs. an undefeated Atlanta
squad - Jake Delhomme tossed 23/38 for 308 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions.
But that was then - this game sees Delhomme coming off a 3-game stretch where
he has hit 52/80 for 713 yards, 4 TDs and 2 interceptions during the team's
run of 5 straight victories. Muhsin Muhammad has 18/329/2 to his credit during
that span, close to top ten fantasy WR numbers (12th best fantasy WR), including
13 targets for 6/98/1 last week. Keary Colbert is the 2nd option on the team,
with 9/140/2 during the last 3 weeks (32nd fantasy WR in the land), and 7 targets
for 5/46/0 last week.
Atlanta choked Kerry Collins and company last week (14/28 for 166 yards, 0
TDs and 1 interception). They are tied for 3rd-least passing scores allowed
this season (14 in 13 games), but rank 21st in the NFL allowing an average of
217.9 passing yards per game. Over the past 4 weeks, Atlanta has only allowed
151 passing yards and .8 TDs per game, though - they are peaking as the playoffs
approach.
Neither team is overly burdened by injuries, although CB Jason Webster (groin,
questionable) has missed the last few contests.
This game is to be played in the Georgia Dome - weather won't be a factor.
Carolina has been playing well in this phase of the game, but the Falcons are
not pushovers and they have home-field advantage. This looks like a fairly even
matchup to us.
Atlanta's Passing Attack vs. The Carolina
Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Back in week 4, Michael Vick was doing much the same thing he has been doing
the last few weeks - running the ball a lot, and passing sparingly. 10/18 for
148 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions was the total he mustered vs. Carolina
last time around the block. Over the past 3 weeks, Vick has tossed 42/76 for
472 yards, 2 TDs and 3 interceptions, and comes into this game off a 13/20 for
145 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions performance vs. Oakland's bottom-tier pass
D. Dez White led the team with 4 targets for 3/34/0 last week. We suggest you
look elsewhere for your fantasy WRs this week.
Carolina stifled the Rams last week, allowing 16/29 for 243 yards and 1 TD
to Chris Chandler, but also intercepting him 6 times during the course of the
game. They have 9 interceptions in their last 3 games. The Panthers are 22nd
in the NFL allowing an average of 219.6 passing yards per game this season,
but are tied for 2nd in the NFL with only 12 passing scores surrendered in this
phase of the game. Over the past 4 weeks, they've been rocked for an average
of 281 passing yards per game, and 1.8 passing scores per game - it's fair to
say the Panthers are trending downward in this phase of the game during recent
weeks.
Both teams enjoy reasonably good health in this phase of the game - Carolina's
CB Chris Gamble tweaked his groin last week, but is listed as probable this
week. CB Eddie Jackson has an injured shoulder (questionable).
This game is to be played in the Georgia Dome - weather won't be a factor.
Carolina is usually tough to score on in this phase of the game, and no one
would characterize the Falcons as a "prolific" passing team even during
their best games - given the Panthers' recent track record, though, Vick may
find some opportunities to toss the pigskin into the end-zone.
Pittsburgh's Passing Attack vs. The New
York Giants' Defense (Neutral Matchup)
The Steelers continue to win games, but their rookie QB has been declining
in fantasy productivity as the season grinds on towards the close of regular
season. Ben Roethlisberger tossed a mere 9/19 for 144 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions
last week, and has a total of only 32/56 for 496 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions
to his credit over the most recent 3 contests (165 yards passing, .66 TDs and
.66 interceptions per game on average during that span). Hines Ward leads the
team over the past 3 weeks, with 19 targets for 9/160/1 during that span - Antwaan
Randle-El is second with 12 for 8/119/0. Plaxico Burress has been missing time
due to a nagging hamstring injury (questionable).
Kyle Boller threw for 18/34 for 219 yards, 4 TDs and 0 interceptions vs. The
reeling Giants' pass defense last week. That's right - Kyle Boller (who had
19/33 for 172 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception and 15/35 for 93 yards, 0 TDs
and 1 interception in his 2 starts prior to the game vs. New York). The Giants
rank 6th in the NFL this season allowing an average of only 179.3 passing yards
per game, but they have surrendered 23 passing scores to date which is on the
high side of the current range of 10-to-31 scores allowed this season (amongst
all 32 teams). Over the past 4 weeks, the Giants have surrendered an average
of 172 passing yards per game, but have hemorrhaged 2.5 passing scores per game.
S Gibril Wilson has missed several games due to a neck injury (doubtful). CB
Will Peterson knocked himself silly last week when he fell on his head (not
listed), and S Jack Brewer re-injured the same calf he had surgery on earlier
this season in the game last Sunday (not listed). The Giants' secondary is banged
up right now. Plaxico Burress is listed as questionable to play this week.
The forecast for Giant's Stadium calls for a high of 47F with a low of 26F
with a 30% chance for precipitation. If the moisture comes down hard at game-time,
footing will be more difficult than usual - ball-handling and visibility could
also become issues.
Pittsburgh's attack has been lackluster in recent weeks, as have the Giants'
defenders - this looks like a fairly even matchup between struggling units to
us.
Kansas City's Passing Attack vs. The Denver
Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Trent Green endured a poor outing vs. Denver back in week 1 this season, hitting
only 16/32 for 174 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception. Last Monday, he lit up the
Titans for 18/32 for 244 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception (he was expected to
do so, as the Titans secondary has been decimated by injuries). Over the past
3 weeks, Green has amassed 62/101 for 792 yards, 6 TDs and 3 interceptions (12th
best fantasy QB in the land during that span of time). Eddie Kennison had snagged
the most TDs during those games (21 targets for 11/225/3), while TE Tony Gonzalez
has 28 targets for 18/213/0. Johnnie Morton is the other wide receiver to snag
a score (15 targets for 7/107/1), while RBs Derrick Blaylock and Larry Johnson
both have 1 receiving score to their credit as well.
Denver's pass D has been slipping over the past 4 weeks, with an average of
232 passing yards and 1.5 scores given up per game. They rank as the 9th best
pass defense this season, averaging 187.6 passing yards allowed per game (with
12 scores given up to date) - the Broncos are not moving in the right direction
as the playoffs approach. A.J. Feeley and the Dolphins managed 17/35 for 170
yards, 1 TD and 1 interception against the Broncos last week.
The Chiefs list WR Johnnie Morton (knee), TE Kris Wilson (ankle) as questionable,
while Green is probable (ribs). Denver's secondary is banged up, with CB Willie
Middlebrooks (knee, out); S Sam Brandon (ankle, questionable) and CBs Roc Alexander
(knee, probable) and Kelly Herndon (thigh, probable).
The forecast for Arrowhead Stadium calls for a high of 52F with a low of 31F
and a 0% chance of precipitation. At this time of year, the wind is almost always
a factor in this venue -- passing is more difficult than usual due to the swirling
winds inside the stadium.
Green and his team have a shot to do well vs. their division rivals, but it
won't be easy. This looks like an even matchup from where we sit.
Houston's Passing Attack vs. The Chicago
Defense (Neutral Matchup)
David Carr's performance has been less than impressive over the past 3 weeks
(49/76 for 525 yards, 3 TDs and 4 interceptions) - Andre Johnson, the team's
top WR, has seen 24 targets for 14/193/1 during that span (Billy Miller, the
team's top TE, has 10 targets for 6/65/1, while RB Domanick Davis has racked
up 15 for 14/129/0). Johnson is the 33rd ranked fantasy WR during that 3 week
span - there aren't a lot of fantasy points to spread around in Houston right
now.
Chicago's pass defense was ripped for 25/45 for 242 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception
by Byron Leftwich last week - they are averaging 203 passing yards allowed and
2.3 passing TDs given up per game over the last 4 weeks. That's spot on their
season pace of 203.8 passing yards allowed per game (with 19 scores surrendered
to date). The Bears are a mediocre bunch in this phase of the game.
The Texans are in good health, while the Bears list CB Todd McMillon (hamstring,
doubtful); S Todd Johnson (ankle, questionable) and S Bobby Gray (quadriceps,
probable).
The forecast for Soldier Field calls for a high of 47F with a low of 39F and
a 30% chance for precipitation. If the moisture holds off, the teams should
enjoy a decent afternoon to play some football.
The Texans have mounted an under-strength attack in this phase of the game
recently, while the Bears are consistently mediocre. That sounds like an even
matchup to us.
New York Jets' Passing Attack vs. The Seattle
Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Chad Pennington and company struggled vs. Pittsburgh last week (17/31 for 189
yards, 0 TDs and 3 interceptions) - Pennington hasn't been a top fantasy performer
since returning from injury, with 37/58 for only 344 yards, 2 TDs and 4 interceptions
to his credit in the past 2 games. Justin McCareins and Santana Moss have both
seen 18 passes in the past 3 weeks to lead the team in targets - McCareins converted
10/148/0, while Moss snagged 9/152/1. There aren't a lot of fantasy points to
go around on this unit right now.
Daunte Culpepper hit 21/33 for 270 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions vs. Seattle
last week. The Seahawks have allowed an average of 243 passing yards and 1.3
TDs per contest over the past 4 weeks, which is off their season pace of 228.2
passing yards allowed per game (23rd in the NFL this season) - the team has
given away 16 passing TDs to date. This squad plays mediocre-to-sub-par pass
defense on any given Sunday.
The Jets' backup WR Jerricho Cotchery missed last week's game due to his hamstring
problem, but isn't listed this week. The Seahawks' secondary is in decent shape
coming into this game, although CB Bobby Taylor (knee, doubtful) may not make
it on the field this week.
The forecast for Giants' Stadium calls for a high of 45F with a low of 34F
and a 20% chance for precipitation - that's decent football weather, but realize
that the Giants will play on this field just about 24 hours before this game
starts - the field will be chewed up, which could cause problems with footing.
Neither of these teams is playing particularly well in this phase of the game
- this game looks like an even matchup to us.
Arizona's Passing Attack vs. The St. Louis
Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Josh McCown started this season with a workmanlike 18/29 for 181 yards, 0 TDs
and 0 interceptions vs. The Rams back in week 1. Since then, he's been the starting
QB more often than not, and has amassed 174/305 for 1861 yards, 6 TDs and 7
interceptions in 11 appearances. He plays hard, but doesn't produce much in
the way of fantasy points from week to week (39th ranked fantasy QB this season,
averaging 10.67 fantasy points per game). McCown threw up 26/44 for 307 yards,
0 TDs and 1 interception vs. San Francisco last week, in a valiant attempt to
rally the Cardinals from way behind, but his efforts fell just short as Arizona
lost in OT. He set season highs in completions and yardage during the game,
hitting Anquan Boldin 9 times for 109 yards on 14 targets - Bryant Johnson (9
targets for 4/77/0) and Larry Fitzgerald (8 for 4/47/0) both hauled in 4 catches
during McCown's return to the starting lineup.
16/30 for 206 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception was the box score for Jake Delhomme
after playing St. Louis last week - the Panthers won the game easily, 20-7,
thanks to the Rams' offensive woes. St. Louis runs in the middle of the NFL
pack in this phase of the game, allowing an average of 206.5 passing yards per
game (13th in the NFL) with 20 passing scores given away to date. Over the past
4 weeks, the team averages are 169 passing yards and 1.8 passing TDs given up
per contest - the Rams don't scare their opponents in this phase of the game.
Arizona lists QB John Navarre as doubtful (finger). St. Louis reports that
CBs Jerametrius Butler (knee) and Travis Fisher (knee) are both probable to
play. S Aeneas Williams is doubtful to play (neck).
The forecast for Sun Devil Stadium calls for a high of 69F with a low of 45F
and a 10% chance for rain - a pleasant day is around the corner in the desert,
if the forecast holds up.
St. Louis stymied McCown the first time these teams met - since then he's been
up and down (and benched for a few weeks) - but the Cardinals have a lot of
talent to throw at among their young WR corps. Meanwhile the Rams have played
consistently mediocre pass defense - this looks like an even matchup to us.
Miami's Passing Attack vs. The New England
Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Jay Fiedler (now on IR) was Miami's starter back in week 5 (when these teams
last played each other) - recent history won't tell us much about this game,
as A.J. Feeley hit 1 completion on 2 attempts (for 6 yards) in his very limited
appearance vs. New England. Last week, Feeley and company threw a scare into
the Broncos (a narrow 20-17 loss to Denver) while Feeley tossed 17/35 for 170
yards, 1 TD and 1 interception in the losing effort. Randy McMichael (9 for
5/62/0), Marty Booker (8 for 4/45/1) and Chris Chambers (8 for 5/47/0) headlined
the attack for Miami, as usual.
New England was not stout in the face of the Bengal's attack last week, giving
up 27/37 for 328 yards, 3 TDs and 2 interceptions to the Bengal's duo of QBs.
The team is tied for 5th in the NFL this season with 37 sacks to date, but they
didn't manage to notch one vs. The Bengals last week. Over the past 4 weeks,
the Patriots have allowed an average of 242 passing yards and 1.8 thrown TDs
per contest - they are well off their season pace of 215.8 pass yards surrendered
per game. The team did get CBs Asante Samuel and Tyrone Poole back on the field
last week (both players had been sidelined for several weeks) - Ty Law is listed
as this week.
The Dolphins list Feeley as probable to play despite sore pectorals, while
the Patriots list CB Ty Law (foot) and S Dexter Reid (shoulder) as doubtful,
CBs Randall Gay (arm), Tyrone Poole (knee) and Asante Samuel (shoulder) are
all questionable.
The forecast for ProPlayer Stadium calls for a high of 74F with a low of 54F
and a 10% chance for precipitation. That's great football weather, folks.
Miami doesn't field a powerful offense, but they are managing to make some good
plays when given the opportunity. The Patriots haven't been overpowering in
this phase of the game lately - this looks like a neutral matchup from where
we sit.
Indianapolis' Passing Attack vs. The Baltimore
Defense (Tough Matchup)
Peyton Manning slowed down last week vs. Houston, "only" throwing
26/33 for 298 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions. To his spoiled fantasy owners,
that constituted a bad game - by most other mortal's standards, though, it was
a solid fantasy performance. Marvin Harrison (5 targets for 3/26/1) and Reggie
Wayne (11 for 7/96/1) were the recipients of last week's TD throws. Start your
Colts: Manning has the most TD throws over the past 3 weeks, with 74/94 for
959 yards, 11 TDs and 2 interceptions to his credit. That's as many TDs as Michael
Vick has thrown this season, folks.
Baltimore's pass defense is arguably the best unit in the league, allowing
an average of 184.9 passing yards per game (7th in the NFL) while only giving
up 10 scores all season long in this phase (1st in the NFL). They are tied for
7th in the league with 36 sacks (Indianapolis is tied for 1st in the NFL with
only 9 sacks allowed all season, though - Peyton Manning gets good protection).
Last week, the hapless Giants could scrape together a mere 10/27 for 154 yards,
0 TDs and 2 interceptions vs. The Ravens. Over the past 4 weeks, the Ravens
have given up an average of 200 passing yards and 1 passing score per game -
they have slipped a bit recently.
The Colts list Dallas Clark as probable to play this week (arm/shoulder). He's
been limited by this injury for a couple of weeks. WR Brandon Stokley has a
sore groin (questionable) The Ravens are in fine fettle on their side of the
ball, listing CBs Gary Baxter (hand) and Deion Sanders (foot, probable).
This game will be played in the RCA Dome - weather won't be an issue.
At home, on turf, the Colts are scary-good. They are good anywhere, as a matter
of fact (the Texans' field was soaked before the game last week, according to
reports, and Manning still almost hit 300 yards passing). Two top-tier units
clash in this game. We'd start all our Colts as normal, just understand it'll
be a hard-fought affair.
Baltimore's Passing Attack vs. The Indianapolis
Defense (Tough Matchup)
Kyle Boller threw for 18/34 for 219 yards, 4 TDs and 0 interceptions vs. The
reeling Giants' pass defense last week. That's right - Kyle Boller (who had
19/33 for 172 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception and 15/35 for 93 yards, 0 TDs
and 1 interception in his 2 starts prior to the game vs. New York) actually
managed to put up a solid performance last week. If he can build on the momentum
from last week, the Ravens might actually have a respectable passing attack
this week. TE Todd Heap was a big part of the game last week, with 10 targets
for 5/76/2, while WR Clarence Moore snagged the other 2 scores (3/37/2) - Moore
has caught 2 TDs in 2 of the last 5 games played by Baltimore, but hasn't gone
over 45 yards receiving in a game during that span (his best game yardage-wise
this season came in week 8 vs. Philadelphia, when he hauled in 3/82/0).
Very quietly, the Indianapolis defense has begun to come on in this phase of
the game in the second half of the season. They now rank 2nd in the NFL with
41 sacks to their credit - 15 of those sacks have been collected during the
last 3 weeks - and they've only allowed 5 TDs rushing and receiving during that
span. Last week, the Colts kept David Carr to 16/21 for 167 yards, 1 TD and
1 interception in this phase of the game, and they average only 178 passing
yards allowed per game (1.3 scores) over the past 4 weeks. That's much better
than their season average of 244.5 passing yards allowed per contest.
CB Nick Harper continues to play through various injuries (he's not on the
report on Wednesday) for the Colts. Ss Bob Sanders (knee, doubtful) and Gerome
Sapp (ribs, questionable) have been sidelined recently due to their injuries.
The Ravens' unit enjoys good health for this stage of the season, listing only
WR Clarence Moore (shoulder, probable).
This game will be played in the RCA Dome - weather won't be an issue.
Boller and company have been up and down in this phase of the game - the reappearance
of TE Todd Heap in the lineup has been a big lift (especially last week). The
Colts are coming on in this phase of the game, though, and will have home-field
advantage - this looks like another tough matchup for Boller and company.
Dallas' Passing Attack vs. The Philadelphia
Defense (Tough Matchup)
21/30 for 254 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception was the tally that Vinny Testaverde
managed back in week 10 vs. Philly - it was a solid fantasy outing. Since then,
Julius Jones has emerged as the team's bona-fide featured running back (Eddie
George was inactive last week) - and Testaverde has done less in the passing
phase over the past 3 weeks (41/83 for 477 yards, 3 TDs and 4 interceptions).
Keyshawn Johnson (22 targets for 14/214/1) and Jason Witten (20 targets for
10/137/0) are his top targets, with Quincy Morgan close behind (19 targets for
7/67/0) - but none of them have been excellent fantasy players in recent weeks.
Witten led the team with 4/59/0 last week (Testaverde had 14/35 for 160 yards,
0 TDs and 1 interception vs. New Orleans last week).
Philadelphia's defense leads the NFL with 42 sacks this season. They are 13th
in the league this season, allowing an average of 206.5 passing yards per game
(only 13 scores given away in 13 games, though) - over the past 4 weeks, they
have allowed only 174 passing yards per game on average, and .5 passing TDs
per contest - the team is playing well in this phase of the game. 29/46 for
251 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception was the tally that Washington managed last
week.
The Eagles' secondary is in good shape, CB Roderick Hood is probable to play
(shoulder/thumb) though their DL has been struck with another rash of injuries
this week (which may negatively impact their pass-rushing capability). Dallas'
unit is in good health for this stage of the season.
The forecast for Lincoln Financial Field calls for a high of 44F with a low
of 35F and a 20% chance for precipitation. That's about as nice as you can hope
for in Pennsylvania during the month of December.
Testaverde has been slowing down in recent weeks, while the Eagles continue
to play hard-nosed defense. With home-field advantage behind the defense, this
will be a tough matchup for the Cowboys.
New Orleans' Passing Attack vs. The Tampa
Bay Defense (Tough Matchup)
Aaron Brooks had a quiet afternoon the last time he challenged the Tampa secondary,
with 11/23 for 106 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception passing once the game was
in the books. Since then, Brooks has amassed 269/473 for 3198 yards, 17 TDs
and 14 interceptions passing (with 44/159/3 rushing to his credit) to rank 8th
among all fantasy signal callers in fantasy points per game this season. He
has hit 57/105 for 692 yards, 5 TDs and 6 interceptions over the past 3 weeks
(12/36/1 rushing), favoring Joe Horn - 38 targets for 22/345/4 during that span
- over all others in scoring situations (21 targets for 10/177/1 have gone to
Donte Stallworth in that same span, for second on the team in the last 3 weeks).
Tampa's pass defense ranks 1st in the NFL this season, allowing an average
of 163.5 passing yards per game this season (with 15 scores surrendered in this
phase of the game to date). Over the last 4 weeks, they've held the opposition
to 153 passing yards and 1.0 TDs per game, with 17/23 for 220 yards, 2 TDs and
2 interceptions vs. Drew Brees last week. Tampa is tied for 5th in the NFL with
37 sacks so far in 2004.
TE Ernie Conwell is questionable to play due to his sore back. S Jermaine Phillips
(arm, questionable), S John Howell (ankle, probable) and S Dwight Smith (knee,
probable) are listed by the Bucs.
The forecast for Raymond James Stadium calls for a high of 66F with a low of
47F and a 10% chance for rain - it sounds like a great day is on tap in sunny
Florida.
New Orleans hasn't had good luck vs. Tampa in this phase of the game (most
team's don't), and they have to play them in Tampa this time - the edge goes
to the D in this one.
Seattle's Passing Attack vs. The New York
Jets' Defense (Tough Matchup)
Seattle's Matt Hasselbeck finally feels less banged up (he has been struggling
with a leg injury for several weeks) - it showed in his performance vs. The
soft Vikings last week (23/34 for 334 yards, 3 TDs and 2 interceptions). Jerry
Rice (21 targets for 15/221/1 over the last 3 weeks, including 5/52/0 last week)
and Darrell Jackson (35 for 23/293/2 in the last 3 games, including 10/135/1
last week) have flourished during Hasselbeck's resurgence, and Bobby Engram
(11 for 8/109/2 in the past 3 contests, with 4/79/1 last week) is performing
solidly in the #3 WR role - the Seahawks offense appears to be back on track
in this phase of the game.
New York's secondary was stout vs. Pittsburgh, allowing 10/20 for 154 yards,
1 TD and 2 interceptions last week. The Jets have been hard-nosed vs. The pass
all year, averaging 187.3 passing yards allowed per contest this season (with
14 passing scores allowed to date, tied for 3rd-least in the NFL) - over the
past 4 weeks, they've been even tougher, allowing a mere 145 passing yards and
.5 thrown TDs per contest. It's not easy to throw on the Jets.
Both teams come into this game in reasonable health - Seattle TE Itula Mili
has a sore shoulder from his "post pattern" last week (Mili slammed
into the goal-post while running a pattern last week), but he's not listed.
WR Bobby Engram has a sore ankle (probable).
The forecast for Giants' Stadium calls for a high of 45F with a low of 34F
and a 20% chance for precipitation - that's decent football weather, but realize
that the Giants will play on this field just about 24 hours before this game
starts - the field will be chewed up, which could cause problems with footing.
The Seahawks have been trending upwards in this phase of the game lately, but
the Jets' defense will constitute a formidable challenge for the NFC West leaders.
New England's Passing Attack vs. The Miami
Defense (Tough Matchup)
Tom Brady barely managed to complete passes the last time these teams met,
back in week 5 - 7/19 for 76 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception - but the Patriots
still won the game 24-10. It was by far his worst effort of the season (11/20
for 157 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception vs. Cleveland in week 13 is his next-to-worst
game this season). Brady has failed to throw a TD only once this year (week
12, vs. Baltimore) and (excepting week 12) he has always thrown as many or more
TDs than he has interceptions in every game this year. 227/383 for 3031 yards,
21 TDs and 9 interceptions are his totals to date. Brady comes into this game
on a roll, with 18/26 for 260 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions under his belt
after last week's game (David Patten caught 5/107/1 on 5 chances, and TE Christian
Fauria converted 3 targets for 3/33/1 while subbing for Daniel Graham as the
pass-catching TE). Deion Branch turned 7 targets into 3/44/0 - Brady looked
Branch's way more than any other receiver last week.
Jake Plummer was frustrated by the Dolphins last week (16/30 for 219 yards,
0 TDs and 2 interceptions) - they do that to a lot of QBs, as Miami ranks 2nd
in the NFL this season, allowing only 165.5 passing yards per contest on average
(with 15 scores surrendered to date). Over the past 4 weeks, the team's numbers
have slipped somewhat, to 200 passing yards allowed and 1.3 thrown TDs per contest
- the Dolphins are still one of the elite units in the league, despite the recent
glitch vs. Buffalo 2 weeks ago (277 passing yards and 4 TDs given up during
an atypically poor effort) which is skewing the recent statistical picture.
New England lists TE Daniel Graham as questionable (rib), and David Givens
has a sore ankle (questionable). QBs Tom Brady (shoulder) and Jim Miller (shoulder)
are probable to play.
The forecast for ProPlayer Stadium calls for a high of 74F with a low of 54F
and a 10% chance for precipitation. That's great football weather, folks.
Look for Miami to give the Patriots' attack a hard time in this divisional
grudge match, despite the disparity in win-loss records between the two clubs.
New York Giants' Passing "Attack"
vs. The Pittsburgh Defense (Bad Matchup)
We'll let the statistics speak for themselves. Eli Manning last week (vs. Baltimore):
4/18 for 27 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions. Eli Manning over the past 3 weeks:
22/64 for 288 yards, 0 TDs and 4 interceptions (43rd ranked fantasy QB in fantasy
points per game during that span). All this, and yet coach Coughlin insists
Manning remains the team's starter, saying "The rookie player that has
this type of opportunity, and this type of experience, it is a priceless experience
that does not come without pain." If you have any Giants' receivers on
your fantasy squad, you understand what coach Coughlin means about pain. One
of the many problems that Eli Manning has to deal with is a porous offensive
line that has allowed 49 QB sacks to date (2nd-most in the NFL).
Pittsburgh has been brutal in this phase of the game during 2004, averaging
177.3 passing yards allowed per game this year, with only 12 passing scores
given up in 13 games to date (tied for 2nd-least in the NFL). Chad Pennington
could only muster 17/31 for 189 yards, 0 TDs and 3 interceptions vs. Pittsburgh
last week - they have 38 sacks this season (tied for 3rd in the NFL). Over the
past 4 weeks, they are dead on their season pace, giving up 175 passing yards
per game (1.0 thrown TDs per contest during that span).
Pittsburgh's CB Chad Scott has missed many weeks of action due to a quadriceps/knee
injury (out this week). CB Chidi Iwuoma is probable to play (shoulder) as is
S Troy Polamalu (shoulder). The Giants have their health, if not their pride
- they report no new injuries of note among the starters, although WR Jamaar
Taylor has a quadriceps injury (doubtful).
The forecast for Giant's Stadium calls for a high of 47F with a low of 26F
with a 30% chance for precipitation. If the moisture comes down hard at game-time,
footing will be more difficult than usual - ball-handling and visibility could
also become issues.
The Giants have the worst passing attack in the league at this juncture in
the season - the Steelers have one of the best defenses. Advantage, Pittsburgh.
San Francisco's Passing Attack vs. The Washington
Defense (Bad Matchup)
Ken Dorsey was surprisingly effective vs. The Cardinals last week, racking
up 18/34 for 191 yards passing, with 3 TDs and 0 interceptions to his credit
- until last week, he had 0 TDs and 4 interceptions passing in his appearances
this year. Cedric Wilson was his main target, with 8 for 5/83/2. Brandon Lloyd
(6 targets for 2/18/1) and Maurice Hicks (6 for 5/29/0) were options 2A and
2B. As Tim Rattay isn't going to be able to return from his torn foot muscle
just yet, it looks like Dorsey will get another start this week.
Donovan McNabb was contained by the Redskins last week, who allowed 21/38 for
260 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception to the streaking Eagles' club. They didn't
shut the Eagles down, but they didn't give up 3 or 4 TDs either. This season,
the Redskins average 176.4 passing yards allowed per game (3rd in the NFL) and
they are tied for 2nd-least passing scores allowed, with only 12 given up to
date. Over the last 4 weeks, the team has given away a mere 165 passing yards
per game on average, with 1.3 passing scores surrendered per contest during
that span.
Rattay is officially listed as doubtful to play. Hicks, who caught 5 balls
last week, is probable to play due to rib injuries. The Redskins are likely
to be without CB Shawn Springs due to a concussion suffered in last week's game
(out). DB Jason Doering has been placed on IR due to an ankle sprain.
The forecast for Monster Park calls for a high of 62F with a low of 47F and
a 0% chance for precipitation. It sounds like beautiful weather for a football
game is around the corner by the Bay.
The Redskins field one of the league's best secondaries: the 49ers have been
anemic most weeks (except when they play Arizona). Advantage, Washington.
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