Rushing Matchups - Week 11
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Posted 11/18 by Mark Wimer and Joe Bryant, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
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Hi Folks,
Here's our look at the Rushing Matchups for this week.
PLEASE NOTE: This does NOT replace the Cheatsheet ranking. The
Cheatsheet rankings are the final say on where we see a player for
that week. The Matchup Breakdowns are simply one more tool in the box
when it comes to helping choose your lineup.
Also note, just because a player has a "bad" matchup, it does NOT mean
he's not a starter in your league. If Ahman Green is playing the
toughest rush defense in the league, that just means he's got a tough
matchup that week. He's also your starter. In the same way, if the
worst RB on your roster has a "great" matchup, that doesn't
necessarily mean you start him, it just means he'll likely fare better
this week than he normally would.
Bottom line, the cheatsheets are the final word.
Let's jump to it.
Joe
Quick Index:
Great Matchups:
Arizona's Emmitt Smith vs. The Carolina Defense
Denver's Reuben Droughns vs. The New Orleans Defense
Detroit's Kevin Jones vs. The Minnesota Defense
Minnesota's Onterrio Smith/Michael Bennett and company vs. The Detroit Defense
Chicago's Thomas Jones/Anthony Thomas vs. The Indianapolis Defense
New York Jets' Curtis Martin vs. The Cleveland Defense
Buffalo's Willis McGahee vs. The St. Louis Defense
Seattle's Shaun Alexander vs. The Miami Defense
Good Matchups:
Atlanta's Warrick Dunn/T.J. Duckett vs. The New York Giants' Defense
New York Giants' Tiki Barber vs. The Atlanta Defense
Baltimore's Jamal Lewis vs. The Dallas Defense
New Orleans' Deuce McAllister vs. The Denver Defense
Green Bay's Ahman Green vs. The Houston Defense
Indianapolis' Edgerrin James vs. The Chicago Defense
Cleveland's Lee Suggs/William Green vs. The New York Jets' Defense
Tampa Bay's Michael Pittman vs. The San Francisco Defense
Washington's Clinton Portis vs. The Philadelphia Defense
New England's Corey Dillon vs. The Kansas City Defense
Neutral Matchups:
Kansas City's Derrick Blaylock vs. The New England Defense
Carolina's RBBC vs. The Arizona Defense
San Diego's LaDainian Tomlinson vs. The Oakland Defense
San Francisco's Kevan Barlow/Maurice Hicks vs. The Tampa Bay Defense
Jacksonville's Fred Taylor vs. The Tennessee Defense
Philadelphia's Brian Westbrook/Dorsey Levens vs. The Washington Defense
Tough Matchups:
Houston's Domanick Davis vs. The Green Bay Defense
Cincinnati's Rudi Johnson vs. The Pittsburgh Defense
St. Louis' Marshall Faulk/Steven Jackson vs. The Buffalo Defense
Tennessee's Chris Brown?/Antowain Smith vs. The Jacksonville Defense
Bad Matchups:
Dallas' RBBC vs. The Baltimore Defense
Miami's Sammy Morris vs. The Seattle Defense
Cleveland's Lee Suggs/William Green vs. The New York Jets' Defense
Oakland's Tyrone Wheatley and company vs. The San Diego Defense
Arizona's Emmitt Smith vs. The Carolina Defense (Great Matchup)
Emmitt Smith has 170 rushes for 672 yards and 8 TDs to his credit so
far this season, ranking 16th among all fantasy RBs to date (9/67/0
receiving). He stuffed the ball into the end-zone twice last week
against the Giants (19/67/2) and his efforts have the Cardinals
threatening to make it to .500 this week. While Smith probably won't
crack the 100 yard barrier very often anymore, he certainly knows how
to find the end-zone and that makes him a solid #2 fantasy RB this
year.
Carolina's defense has collapsed in this phase of the game during
2004, currently ranking 28th in the NFL allowing an average of 138.6
rushing yards per game, with a league-worst total of 15 rushing TDs
given away to date. Over the past 4 weeks, the team has been run over
for an average of 133 yards and 2.0 scores per contest, including
33/110/2 at the hands of the 49ers' sub-par unit last week (the 49ers
are 28th in the NFL averaging 3.6 yards per carry this year). DL
Julius Peppers was a top IDP player last week, with 4 solo tackles, 1
assist, 2 sacks, and 1 pass defensed. Will Witherspoon was in the top
5 among IDP LBs with 6 solo tackles, 2 assists, 1 sack, 1
interception, 1 forced fumble and 3 passes defensed.
MLB Dan Morgan continues to struggle with concussions/concussion
related after-effects (doubtful). LB Brian Allen has a sore pectoral
region (questionable) while DT Kindal Moorehead (shoulder) and DE Kemp
Rasmussen (neck) are both probable to play. The Cardinals list Smith
as questionable due to his sore ankle.
The forecast for Bank of America Stadium calls for a high of 69F and a
low of 51F with a 40% chance for precipitation. If the rain comes down
hard at game-time, the field and ball could both be slick and harder
to handle than usual.
Arizona is steady in this phase of the game, and they know how to find
pay-dirt on the ground. Carolina is the most scored-upon rush defense
in the league this season. Advantage, Arizona.
Denver's Reuben Droughns vs. The New Orleans Defense (Great Matchup)
Denver's ground game is as healthy as ever, with a total of 1240 yards
rushing as a team this season (6th in the NFL to date) and a 4.2 ypc
average. Reuben Droughns has been a solid fantasy option during most
games, with 29/120/0 rushing and 1/6/0 receiving to his credit in the
team's most recent game back in week 9. So far this season, he's
rushed for 146/678/1 and hauled in 21/142/1 receiving the dearth of
TDs is the factor keeping him from fantasy stardom.
New Orleans' defense is simply awful. They are 32nd vs. the run and
the pass at this point in the season, allowing an average of 149
rushing yards and 11 TDs to date. Over the past 4 weeks, they've been
sticking right to their pace, giving up an average of 145 rushing
yards and .7 scores per game. Derrick Blaylock blew them up for
33/186/1 last week (they gave up a total of 200 yards rushing and 311
yards passing in one game). In a word: Horrible. Yet they produced a
top DL, Darren Howard, who put up 6 solo tackles, 1 assist, 1 sack, 1
forced fumble, and 1 fumble recovery; and a top IDP LB, Orlando Ruff 6
solo tackles, 4 assists, 1 interception and 1 pass defensed.
Denver comes into this game off a bye and in good shape. New Orleans
lists LB Derrick Rodgers (back, doubtful).
This game will be played in the Superdome weather isn't a factor.
Denver should romp for a ton of yards over the welcome-mat Saints.
Detroit's Kevin Jones vs. The Minnesota Defense (Great Matchup)
Detroit finally unleashed Kevin Jones last week, feeding him the ball
exclusively as the featured back he put up 19/81/0 (a 4.3 ypc
average) in his chance to shine, with a long of 16. It wasn't a
fantasy bonanza, but at least he got a decent amount of touches
(including 2/7/0 receiving). Hopefully the team will continue to feed
him the ball and establish a credible running game. Over the past 3
weeks, Jones has amassed 42/137/0 rushing and 7/21/1 receiving he
may be on his way up the fantasy charts, though (he was the 37th
ranked fantasy RB in the past 3 weeks with 7.27 fantasy points per
game on average.
Minnesota's rush D was blasted for 35/206/0 by Green Bay last week.
They have allowed an average of 143 rushing yards and 1 TD per game
over the past 4 weeks, and currently rank 22nd in the NFL allowing an
average of 121.3 rushing yards per game this season. They are among
the most-scored upon defenses in this phase of the game, having given
away 12 rushing TDs in 9 games. The Vikings do not scare opposing
running backs this season.
Detroit's unit comes in with no new injuries to report in this phase
of the game, although RB Stephen Trejo continues to have problems with
a balky knee (questionable), while the Vikings have been doing without
LB Raonall Smith for the past few weeks (concussion/post concussion
symptoms, out).
This game is to be played in the Metrodome, so weather won't be a factor.
Jones has a good opportunity to shine this week vs. Minnesota.
Minnesota's Onterrio Smith/Michael Bennett and company vs. The Detroit
Defense (Great Matchup)
Last week none of the Vikings' backs were worth a plug nickel, as the
team was chasing Green Bay almost the entire day and the passing game
was paramount. Onterrio Smith scraped together 5/21/0 rushing and
2/13/0 receiving; Michael Bennett had 5/21/0 rushing. Moe Williams was
the best fantasy back last week, with 4/57/1 receiving to go with his
1/-3/0 rushing. Over the past 3 weeks, Onterrio Smith has averaged the
most fantasy points per game (he's only been off suspension for 2
games) with 18/101/1 rushing and 4/28/1 receiving in that span.
Minnesota is still tops in the league with an average of 5.1 yards per
carry last week looks more like an aberration than a trend to us.
Detroit's rush D is near the bottom of the NFL allowing an average of
127.4 yards per game on average, with 7 scores surrendered to date.
Over the past 4 weeks they've averaged 149 yards and .5 TDs given away
in this phase, including the 50/239/1 they were trampled for last week
(Jacksonville). The Lions come into this game knocked back on their
heels.
Detroit continues to do without LBs Boss Bailey (knee). Donte Curry
(knee, probable), and DE Jared DeVries missed last week's game due to
a sore groin (questionable). DTs Marcus Bell (neck, probable) and
Shaun Roger (neck, probable) are expected to play. Minnesota's group
is fairly healthy, with no major new injuries to report, although
Mewelde Moore continues to struggle with his injured ankle
(questionable). C Matt Birk has an abdomen injury (probable).
This game is to be played in the Metrodome, so weather won't be a factor.
A top attack meets a cellar-dwelling defense in this matchup
Minnesota has a big edge in this one.
Chicago's Thomas Jones/Anthony Thomas vs. The Indianapolis Defense
(Great Matchup)
Thomas Jones is expected to be back in the lineup after healing his
sprained big toe, but the solid play of Anthony Thomas has led OC
Terry Shea to indicate that he intends to utilize Thomas' talents more
often even when Jones is ready to go. We think that Jones will be
featured and see a majority of the action, while Thomas sees some duty
in short-yardage and possibly goal-line situations. We'll have a
better feel for the mix after watching the Bears this week Jones has
been very good in his appearances, with 117/511/5 rushing and 26/191/0
receiving over 7 games, while Thomas put up 82/280/2 and 8/61/0
receiving in relief of Jones the past 3 weeks.
Indianapolis' defense did well in the passing phase of the game last
week, but they were picked apart on the ground, allowing 37/132/2 to
the Texans. The team ranks 19th in the NFL allowing an average of
117.8 rushing yards and 9 TDs to date over the past 4 weeks, they
have coughed up an average of 150 rushing yards and 1.5 scores per
game the Colts simply aren't very good in this phase of the game.
However, they did produce three top ten IDP players last week: DL
Robert Mathis had 3 solo tackles, 3 sacks, and 3 forced fumbles; DL
Raheem Brock had 7 solo tackles, 2 assists, and 1 sack; while LB Cato
June had 11 solo tackles, 2 assists and 2 passes defensed.
Chicago lists Jones as questionable (toe). Indianapolis has LB Gilbert
Gardner (hamstring, out); LB Gary Brackett (shoulder, probable) and DE
Robert Mathis (groin, probable) listed on Wednesday.
The forecast for Soldier Field calls for a high of 45F and a low of
32F with a 20% chance of rain. Blustery winds are common in Chicago at
this time of year that could be a factor in the passing game, which
could lead to more handoffs to the backs if conditions are poor.
Jones has good prospects for a strong game now that he's feeling ready
to play football again. Keep an eye on his status for the game.
New York Jets' Curtis Martin vs. The Cleveland Defense (Great Matchup)
Curtis Martin scored 2 TDs against the Ravens last week. Considering
that they have allowed only 5 all season long, that's quite an
accomplishment (Martin notched 28/119/2 rushing all told, with 2/5/0
receiving). He's the 4th best fantasy RB in the land with 218/984/9
rushing and 27/124/1 receiving after 9 games start him if you were
smart enough to draft him and smile.
Cleveland's season is imploding rapidly they've been giving up
yardage at a clip of 136 per game in this phase over the last 4 weeks,
with an average of 1.0 TDs surrendered per game. The Browns were
torched by the Steelers for 47/180/2 last week it's all bad for the
Browns in this phase of the game recently (they've given up the
4th-most rushing scores to date with 11 TDs surrendered).
The Jets are in good health at this point of 2004 the Browns are
also in good shape.
The forecast for Cleveland Browns' Stadium calls for a high of 58F and
a low of 34F with a 30% chance for precipitation. If moisture falls
thickly at game time, the field and ball could both get slick,
adversely affecting both teams' footing and ball handling. Don't rule
out snow either.
Martin should have a field day against the fading Browns.
Buffalo's Willis McGahee vs. The St. Louis Defense (Great Matchup)
Willis McGahee didn't make a very strong showing vs. the Patriots last
week, rushing for 14/37/0 with 1/12/0 receiving but he got no help
from the QBs who failed to raise a credible threat throwing the ball
(9/21 for 81 yards, 0 TDs and 4 interceptions). Considering that
McGahee has 81/271/3 rushing and 4/32/0 receiving to his credit in the
last 3 games, we think that last week poor showing was a result of the
entire team's failure, rather than a problem with McGahee.
Saint Louis hasn't been very good in this phase of the game this year,
averaging 140.1 rushing yards allowed per game, with 9 TDs given up to
date. They average 157 yards and 1.0 TDs rushing per game over the
last 4 weeks, and coughed up 28/206/0 to the Seahawks' backs last
week. The Rams field a soft run defense.
Buffalo is in good shape, while LB Tommy Polley is listed for St.
Louis (hamstring, probable).
The forecast for Ralph Wilson Stadium calls for a high of 52F and a
low of 35F with a 30% chance for precipitation. If the moisture comes
down as snow, visibility could be an issue rain mixed with sleet
would make the field and football slippery. Weather could be a factor
in this game.
Willis McGahee has been a strong fantasy back more often than not
since he was elevated to the top job, while the Rams are uniformly
poor in this phase of the game from week to week. Advantage, Buffalo.
Seattle's Shaun Alexander vs. The Miami Defense (Great Matchup)
Shaun Alexander has enjoyed a lot of help from his OL this season
the team averages 4.9 yards per carry to date, and Seattle is 4th in
the NFL with a total of 1337 yards rushing so far in 2004. Alexander
has 80/531/3 rushing and 4/16/1 receiving to his credit in the past 3
games, and comes into this one after a 22/176/0 performance last week.
Start him if you've got him.
Miami's defense has fallen all the way to 31st in the league in
rushing yards allowed per game (145.6 this season, with 6 TDs given
away to date), and they are on that pace over the past 4 weeks,
allowing an average of 143 rushing yards and 1 TD per game. The
Cardinals managed 121 yards rushing and 1 score against the Dolphins
before Miami's bye week. The Dolphins don't put fear into the hearts
of opposing running backs anymore.
Miami comes into the game off a bye week, so they should be rested and
ready to play, although DT Mario Mounds is questionable to play
(hand). Seattle is in good shape.
The forecast for Qwest Field in Seattle calls for a high of 50F with a
low of 37F and a 20% chance for rain. It sounds like a really nice
autumn day is on tap in the Northwest.
Miami's coaching staff was thrown into upheaval over the bye week, and
they come into this game stone cold advantage Seattle.
Green Bay's Ahman Green vs. The Houston Defense (Good Matchup)
Ahman Green steamrolled the Vikings last week with 21/145/0 (2/7/0
receiving) as the Packers piled up 35/206/0 rushing vs. their division
rivals. He has 45/215/2 rushing and 6/80/0 receiving in his last 2
outings, and Brett Favre has the passing game clicking along like an
armored column rolling through France right now teams cannot key on
Green unless they want to neglect Favre. Start Green if you've got
him.
Houston's defense was humiliated by the Colts last week they didn't
really need to run the ball, since the Texans allowed 320 yards and 5
TDs passing, but when they chose to run the ball, they moved with ease
(Edgerrin James piled up 20/86/0 rushing the ball). Over the past 4
weeks, the Texans have given away an average of 88 rushing yards per
game, with 0 TDs (their pass D, however, is giving up 262 yards and 3
TDs per game during that span). They do make things difficult in the
red-zone, though, holding their opposition to only 3 rushing scores to
date.
Green bay lists Green as probable due to his bruised knee-cap, and
backup RB Najeh Davenport is questionable due to a hamstring injury.
Houston's defense may be without LB Antwan Peek (ankle, questionable)
and DE Gary Walker (foot, questionable).
The forecast for Reliant Stadium calls for a high of 75F and a low of
58F, with a 40% chance for rain. If the weather looks too threatening
before game-time, the retractable roof will get closed weather
shouldn't be a factor in this game.
Ahman Green is a top back who can get the job done rushing or
receiving the ball look for him to enjoy success when he touches the
ball against the shaky Texans.
Atlanta's Warrick Dunn/T.J. Duckett vs. The New York Giants' Defense
(Good Matchup)
The Falcons are 3rd in the NFL so far in 2004 with 1402 rushing yards
to their credit. The team is second in the NFL averaging 5.0 yards per
carry is it any wonder that Michael Vick isn't throwing the ball
very much? T.J. Duckett has 20/98/3 to his credit in the last 2 games;
Warrick Dunn has ground out 32/109/1 rushing and 3/12/0 receiving;
while Vick has 21/188/0 to his credit in that span. The only problem
here for fantasy owners is that the rushing is getting shared to such
an extent that neither of the running backs is excelling (Duckett is
16th among fantasy RB's in average fantasy points per game over the
last 3 weeks, Dunn is 33rd) but don't expect the Falcons to change
their approach now.
The Giants' defense gave up 34/102/2 to the Cardinals last week,
continuing their season of mediocre rush defense (the team averages
117.1 rushing yards allowed per game, with 7 scores given up to date).
Over the last 4 weeks, the Giants have been just slightly better in
the rushing department, allowing 109 yards per contest, but they are
averaging 1.8 TDs surrendered each game. They don't shut anyone down
in this phase of the game.
The Falcons come into the game healthy, while the Giants list no new
injuries (although both their starting DEs went on IR last week). LB
Barrett Green continues to have trouble with a sore knee/ankle
(questionable).
The forecast for Giant's Stadium calls for a high of 61F with a low of
44F and a 30% chance for precipitation. If the skies open up at game
time, the field could get slick and the ball may be harder to handle.
The Falcons deploy a top rushing attack; the Giants field a mediocre
rush defense. Advantage, Atlanta.
New York Giants' Tiki Barber vs. The Atlanta Defense (Good Matchup)
Tiki Barber had no trouble moving the ball against the stout Cardinals
last week, with 21/108/1 rushing and 5/52/0 receiving to his credit
during the game. The Giants average 4.6 yards per carry this season
(6th in the NFL) and are 8th with 1199 yards rushing so far in 2004
(Barber has gained 928 of those yards, and scored 9 times with
36/463/1 receiving to boot). Just start him and smile, Barber owners.
He'll be more "featured" than usual with a rookie QB under center for
the first time this week.
Atlanta has been tough to run on most of the time this year (94.9
rushing yards per game, 4th in the NFL), but they have given away a
lot of TDs (12 so far). Over the past 4 weeks, the story is not so
good for the defense, as they average 138 rushing yards and 2.7 TDs
allowed per game in that span. That's including Tampa's 23/68/0 effort
from last Sunday the Falcons have been knocked back on their heels
often the past few weeks, but may be on their way to recovery. Matt
Stewart was a top IDP LB with 9 solo tackles and 2 sacks.
Atlanta is in good shape coming into the game (DE Brady Smith has a
sore ankle (probable), while the Giants' OL has been challenged
recently by injury LT Luke Petitgout has been struggling to overcome
a concussion, and fellow OT Marques Sullivan was inactive last week
due to an ankle injury (questionable this week). C Shaun O'Hara has an
ankle injury (questionable). RB Mike Cloud continues to struggle with
a bad back.
The forecast for Giant's Stadium calls for a high of 61F with a low of
44F and a 30% chance for precipitation. If the skies open up at game
time, the field could get slick and the ball may be harder to handle.
Tiki Barber and the Giants mount an impressive attack in this phase,
while the Falcons have been shaky in recent weeks more often than not
advantage, Giants.
Baltimore's Jamal Lewis vs. The Dallas Defense (Good Matchup)
Jamal Lewis had a hard time vs. the Jets' defense last week, with
30/71/0 rushing and 3/20/0 receiving he doesn't often fail to gain
at least 100 yards in a game. He hasn't been up to his usual standards
since returning from suspension, with 52/152/1 rushing and 3/34/0
receiving in 2 games of course, LT Jonathan Ogden has been out due
to injury in those contests, and Lewis suffered similarly at the
beginning of the season when Ogden missed time. This week, the Ravens
list Ogden as questionable to play (hamstring).
Dallas' rush defense is not impressive this year, ranking 25th in the
league allowing an average of 126.7 rushing yards and a total of 7 TDs
so far. Over the past 4 weeks, the team has averaged 131 rushing yards
and 1.3 scores surrendered per contest they got trampled for
33/149/2 by the Philly stable on MNF.
Dallas is in good shape, with no new injuries to report, while the
Ravens report that T Orlando Brown (knee, probable) and G Edwin
Mulitalo (toe, probable) are both dinged up.
The forecast for M & T Bank Stadium calls for a high of 67F and a low
of 48F with a 30% chance for precipitation. If the rain falls thickly
at game time, the field and ball could become even more challenging
than usual to navigate/handle.
Lewis has been off his usual pace in recent games the Cowboys' weak
defense should help him improve, though.
New Orleans' Deuce McAllister vs. The Denver Defense (Good Matchup)
Deuce McAllister found his was back to the top echelon of fantasy
backs last week, with a superb 16/127/1 rushing performance last week
(7.9 ypc average), putting him at 7th among all fantasy RBs last week.
He's been slowly getting back into game shape since returning from his
sprained ankle it looks like he's all the way back now.
Denver has been fairly stout in this phase of the game this year,
allowing an average of 106.1 rushing yards per game (8th in the NFL)
while giving away 10 scores to date. Over the past 4 weeks, though,
they've been gashed for an average of 144 rushing yards and 1.7 TDs
per contest Domanick Davis hit them for 19/71/2 in the game before
Denver's bye week (the Texans totaled 103 yards rushing and 2 TDs as a
team).
New Orleans is in good shape in this phase of the game. Denver comes
into the game off a bye, listing only DE Trevor Pryce (back, out) and
DT Luther Eliss (calf, out).
This game will be played in the Superdome weather isn't a factor.
McAllister is a top talent when he's healthy which he appears to be
now while the Broncos have been struggling in this phase of the game
recently. Advantage, New Orleans.
Indianapolis' Edgerrin James vs. The Chicago Defense (Good Matchup)
Edgerrin James had light duty last week vs. the hapless Texans
(Manning threw for 320 yards and 5 scores), but he still ripped them
for 4.3 yards per carry (20/86/0) when his number was called. He also
snagged 2/14/0 receiving during the rout. James is an elite NFL back
by any yardstick, and will find ways to contribute no matter what the
situation the guy has 56/243/0 rushing and 10/160/0 receiving to his
credit over the past 3 weeks. His owners would like to see some TDs in
the mix, though James has scored 5 times since the start of the
season.
Chicago's defense was a wet blanket on the Titans' backs last week,
allowing 24/72/0 to the club (Chris Brown's turf toe was a big problem
for him last week, though). This year the Bears are very tough to
score on, with only 4 TDs given away to date (an average of 117.9
rushing yards per game, 20th in the NFL). Over the past 4 weeks, they
Bears have averaged only 91 rushing yards allowed per game, and .8
TDs. It sounds like they are in great shape, right? Alex Brown was a
top IDP DL last week with 4 solo tackles, 3 assists, 1 sack, 2 forced
fumbles and 1 fumble recovery. LB Lance Briggs was in the top 5 with
12 solo tackles, 2 assists and 2 passes defensed.
They would be, if their spark-plug MLB Brian Urlacher weren't
sidelined for the next 4-6 weeks due to a calf injury that cropped up
this week. He had surgery on his lower left leg earlier this week.
Hunter Hillenmeyer will fill in for Urlacher but you don't lose a
guy with 44 solo tackles, 14 assists, 3 sacks and 4 passes defensed
(4th-best fantasy LB to date) without an adverse effect on your
defense. LB Marcus Reese was sidelined with a foot injury last week
(out) the Bears are very thin at this crucial position. LB Lance
Briggs (foot) is questionable. The Colts come into the game listing G
Tupe Peko (ankle, out); G Rick DeMulling (chest) and T Makoa Freitas
(back) are questionable.
The forecast for Soldier Field calls for a high of 45F and a low of
32F with a 20% chance of rain. Blustery winds are common in Chicago at
this time of year that could be a factor in the passing game, which
could lead to more handoffs to the backs if conditions are poor.
Edgerrin James and the Colts will exploit the suddenly-vulnerable core
of Chicago's defense. Advantage, Indianapolis.
Pittsburgh's Jerome Bettis/Duce Staley? vs. The Cincinnati Defense
(Good Matchup)
Duce Staley led the Steelers in rushing the first time these teams
faced off in week 4 he had 25/123/0 rushing; Verron Haynes
contributed 2/15/0 and Jerome Bettis scored twice (6/9/2). The word
this week out of Pittsburgh is that Staley is questionable neither
he nor Bettis practiced on Wednesday, and coach Cowher refused to
elaborate on Staley's status in his press conference. Bettis has been
super subbing for Staley, with 77/317/3 rushing over the last 3 weeks.
Keep your eye on the injury reports/practice reports as the week goes
by to determine if Staley is likely to play this week (you know we
will, too).
Cincinnati's rush D is near the bottom of the NFL this season,
allowing 142.7 yards per game (30th in the NFL) and they have allowed
6 scores to date. Over the past 4 weeks, the team averages 121 rushing
yards and .3 TDs per game, with 20/87/0 surrendered to the Redskins
last week. They have definitely improved their play as the season goes
along, as the stats above illustrate. Landon Johnson had 8 solo
tackles, 1 assist, and 1 sack to land in the top 10 among IDP LBs last
week.
Aside from Bettis (knee, probable) and Staley (hamstring,
questionable), the Steelers list the following players as
questionable: RB Verron Haynes (toe) and FB Dan Kreider (shoulder).
Cincinnati has LB Caleb Miller (ankle) and DE Carl Powell (knee) down
as questionable.
The forecast for Paul Brown Stadium calls for a high of 59F with a low
of 34F and a 30% chance of precipitation. Don't rule out the
possibility of snow. If it is rain/sleet and falls thickly around
game-time, footing and ball handling could become issues for both
teams.
The Steelers have been running the ball very well this season, while
the Bengals are improving but not yet dominant in this phase of the
game. While home-field advantage is on the defense's side, we still
think the Steelers have an edge.
Tampa Bay's Michael Pittman vs. The San Francisco Defense (Good Matchup)
Michael Pittman came back down to earth after several strong games,
with 20/62/0 rushing and 4/16/0 receiving last week vs. Atlanta. He
has mustered 35/190/3 rushing and 6/46/0 receiving over his last 2
games its fair to say he's been up and down in recent weeks. The
team has averaged 3.7 yards per carry this season, tied for 26th in
the league the OL isn't doing very well overall.
San Francisco's rushing defense has averaged 120 yards and 1.0 TD
allowed per game over the past 4 weeks. The team has been very
generous with rushing scores this season, allowing 13 to date (2nd
most in the NFL), while giving up an average of 116.4 yards per
contest (tied for 16th in the NFL). Carolina's RBBC only managed
18/57/1 last week vs. the 49ers, but they are the reserve talents
(Carolinas' top 3 RBs are all on IR).
Tampa lists Mike Alstott as questionable to play (knee). San
Francisco's LB corps is banged up LB Richard Seigler (foot) and LB Ray
Wells (ankle) are doubtful to play. LB Saleem Rasheed is questionable
to play (knee).
The forecast for Raymond James Stadium calls for a high of 84F and a
low of 67F with a 20% chance for rain it sounds like great weather
for a football game is around the corner in sunny Florida.
Pittman has shown flashes of brilliance despite his poor OL, while the
49ers are mediocre-to-poor in this phase of the game from week to
week. Advantage, Tampa.
Washington's Clinton Portis vs. The Philadelphia Defense (Good Matchup)
Clinton Portis had another mediocre fantasy showing last week, rushing
for 17/81/0 and snagging 4 passes for 32 yards he has yet to really
explode for a lot of yards and TDs in any single game, although he has
racked up 221/891/2 rushing and 28/183/1 receiving (over 1000 yards
combined after 9 games) to rank 14th among all fantasy RBs this year,
averaging 14.47 fantasy points per week. Nobody has scored much in
Washington this year hopefully, Patrick Ramsey will be able to spark
the offense in the coming weeks.
Philadelphia's rush defense has not been impressive lately, averaging
150 yards and 1.3 TDs per game over the last 4 weeks, including
24/71/1 surrendered to the anemic Cowboys last week. They are the 23rd
ranked rush D in the league this year, giving up an average of 124
rushing yards and 7 total TDs to date. As you can see, they've been up
and down in this phase of the game lately we're never sure which
rush defense will show up for the Eagles, although the insertion of
Jeremiah Trotter in the starting ILB slot last week seemed to help
out.
DE Jerome McDougle (knee) is out this week; LB Nate Wayne (hamstring)
is doubtful; LB Keith Adams (ankle), DT Corey Simon (groin), and LB
Mark Simoneau (concussion) are questionable to play. The Eagles are
struggling with injuries right now. Washington's unit is good to go,
with no new injuries of note.
The forecast for Lincoln Financial Field calls for a high of 64F with
a low of 44F and a 20% chance for rain. If that forecast holds,
weather won't be a factor in this game.
Portis is an elite running back while the Eagles play sub-par rush
defense most of the time and they are thin due to injuries
Advantage, Washington.
New England's Corey Dillon vs. The Kansas City Defense (Good Matchup)
Corey Dillon took the Buffalo Bills to school last week, slapping down
26/151/0 rushing last week and added 1/5/0 receiving (the Patriots
totaled 45/208/0 rushing as a team Kevin Faulk chipped in 13/61/0
rushing and 2/16/0 receiving). Dillon has been on fire lately, with
51/263/1 rushing and 3/24/0 receiving in his last 2 games, ranking 7th
among all fantasy RBs in fantasy points per game over the last 3
weeks. The Patriots' offense is firing on all cylinders.
Kansas City's rush D has improved, but it is not powerful, either,
averaging 116.4 yards allowed per game (with 10 TDs surrendered to
date), ranking 16th in the NFL this season. Over the past 4 weeks,
they have averaged 104 rushing yards and 1.3 TDs surrendered per game.
They gave up 23/134/2 to the Saints last week they are back on their
heels coming into this game. Scott Fujita was a top IDP LB last week,
with 5 solo tackles, 2 assists and 2 sacks to his credit.
LB Monty Beisel (calf) and DT Junior Siavii (ankle) are questionable
to play on Monday, while DT John Browning (shoulder) and DE Vonnie
Holliday (abdomen) are probable to play. New England is in good shape
in this phase of the game.
The forecast for Arrowhead Stadium on Monday night calls for a high of
46F and a low of 32F with a 20% chance for rain. If the plains winds
kick up it will feel a lot colder than 32F at game time but that
shouldn't bother the New England Patriots much.
Dillon is on fire, while the Chiefs are only average in this phase
(and come into the game off a bad performance). Advantage, New
England.
Kansas City's Derrick Blaylock vs. The New England Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Priest Holmes is doubtful to play due to his strained knee ligaments,
so it looks like the Derrick Blaylock show will continue this week.
All he did last week was lead all fantasy RBs with 33/186/1 rushing
and 3/38/0 receiving to his credit. Kansas City's OL averages 4.8 ypc
this season (4th in the NFL so far), so it's no surprise to see
Blaylock do well.
New England's defense stifled the Bills last week, and Willis McGahee
was totally stuffed (14/37/0 rushing, 17/50/0 for the Bills as a team)
the Patriots are playing well in this phase of the game, folks. Over
the past 4 weeks, they've allowed an average of 115 yards and .5 TDs
per game (they average 111.3 yards per game this season, with 5 scores
given up to date).
T Willie Roaf (shoulder), and T John Welbourn (knee) are listed as
probable to play, as is Blaylock (knee), while the Chiefs say LB Matt
Chatham (hamstring) is questionable to go.
The forecast for Arrowhead Stadium on Monday night calls for a high of
46F and a low of 32F with a 20% chance for rain. If the plains winds
kick up it will feel a lot colder than 32F at game time but that
shouldn't bother the out-door stadium New England Patriots too much.
The Chiefs are very good in this phase of the game, while the Patriots
field an better-than-average but not elite unit. This looks like a
pretty even matchup for Blaylock.
Philadelphia's Brian Westbrook/Dorsey Levens vs. The Washington
Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Last week, Dorsey Levens ran with authority and led the Eagles in
rushing yardage (12/73/1) Brian Westbrook was also effective with
15/56/1 rushing and 4/62/0 receiving the Eagles were firing on all
cylinders vs. the Cowboys. Westbrook has 21/73/1 rushing and 7/66/0 to
his credit over the past 2 games (Pittsburgh shut him down 2 weeks
ago), while Levens has rushed for 26/117/1 and caught 2/10/0 over the
past 2 games they are starting to shape up as a powerful tandem.
Washington's rush D has been very tough all year long, averaging 85.7
yards allowed per game this year, with only 5 TDs given away to date.
Over the past 4 weeks, they are right on that pace, giving up an
average of 84 yards and 1 TD per game during that span. Cincinnati
managed 34/99/1 against the Redskins last week. They are a very
hard-nosed unit.
LB LaVar Arrington (knee) and DE Phillip Daniels (groin) are out, LB
Mike Barrow (knee) is questionable to play, while DT Cornelius Griffin
is probable (hip). RB Reno Mahe (ankle) is out for the Eagles, while G
Jermane Mayberry (calf) is questionable.
The forecast for Lincoln Financial Field calls for a high of 64F with
a low of 44F and a 20% chance for rain. If that forecast holds,
weather won't be a factor in this game.
Washington is a tough nut to crack, while the Eagles have a strong
offense with good blockers opening holes for the running backs
sounds pretty even to us.
Carolina's RBBC vs. The Arizona Defense (Neutral Matchup)
What's a team to do when their top 3 backs are placed on IR in the
course of a season? You guessed it go with a RBBC of backups and
throw the ball a lot. Last week, Nick Goings came within shouting
distance of 100 yards combined (8/42/0 rushing, 3/50/0 receiving)
while recent-signee Brandon Bennett dove for a score (4/5/1). Over the
past 3 weeks, the best Panther back in fantasy terms has been Goings,
with 13/64/0 rushing and 9/100/1 receiving (36th ranked fantasy back
in average points per game). If you are desperate for help due to
injuries to other players, you might want to plug him in for a week
but don't expect a fantasy points bonanza.
Arizona is very tough to score on this season, allowing only 4 rushing
scores all year (2nd-least in the NFL) while averaging 128.9 rushing
yards allowed per game. Over the past 4 weeks they are right on their
season pace, giving up 128 yards per game (1.0 TDs per contest right
now). Tiki Barber and the Giants crashed through the Cardinals for
28/147/1 last week the Cardinals are on a downswing in this phase
right now. DL Bert Berry was a top IDP DL last week, with 7 solo
tackles and 4 sacks to his credit. Karlos Dansby cracked the LB top
ten with 4 solo tackles, 2 sacks, and 1 pass defensed.
Carolina reports no new injuries of note now that the gimpy Stephen
Davis is on IR. Brad Hoover has as sore back, and fellow RB Joey
Harris has a sore hamstring (questionable). T Todd Fordham has a sore
knee (probable). Arizona's LB Leon Joe has a groin injury (probable),
while LB Karlos Dansby is questionable (neck). DT Darnell Dockett has
a tweaked groin (probable).
The forecast for Bank of America Stadium calls for a high of 69F and a
low of 51F with a 40% chance for precipitation. If the rain comes down
hard at game-time, the field and ball could both be slick and harder
to handle than usual.
Carolina is making do as well as they can, while the Cardinals have
slipped in this phase of the game recently. Taken as a unit, the
Panthers have enough ability to answer the Cardinals D in this phase
of the game we call it even.
San Diego's LaDainian Tomlinson vs. The Oakland Defense (Neutral Matchup)
The first time these teams played, back in week 8, Tomlinson was
fighting through a groin injury (the Chargers just had a bye week, and
his condition was improving through the week before the bye week) he
had 19/71/1 rushing with 1/7/0 receiving while being spelled often by
Jesse Chatman (12/69/0). Over the past 3 weeks, Tomlinson has managed
36/107/2 rushing and 5/47/0 receiving in 2 games, including 17/36/1
rushing and 4/40/0 receiving in the week 9 rout of the Saints.
Oakland's defense played well against the Carolina backups in week 9,
containing the team to 18/37/0. Over the past 4 weeks, the Raiders
have averaged 85 rushing yards and 1 TD allowed per game much better
than their 21st ranked 120.2 season average (with 9 scores given up to
date). They've been horrible in the passing phase (273 yards and 3.0
TDs per game on average over the past 4 weeks), so teams really don't
need to run the ball against Oakland very much.
Both teams enter this game after a bye San Diego lists RB Lorenzo
Neal (toe) as questionable and RBs Jesse Chatman (toe) and Tomlinson
(groin) as probable. LB Travian Smith is out for the Raiders.
The forecast for Network Associates Coliseum calls for a high of 62F
and a low of 44F with a 10% chance for rain a beautiful California
day is on tap for this game.
Tomlinson is an elite back, while the Raiders play fairly well in this
phase of the game this looks like a neutral matchup for Tomlinson
with the Oakland's "12th man" behind the D.
San Francisco's Kevan Barlow/Maurice Hicks vs. The Tampa Bay Defense
(Neutral Matchup)
Kevan Barlow had a great first half last week, then tanked, lost his
temper and incurred an unsportsmanlike conduct penalty, which led to
his benching. (He finished with 21/47/2 rushing for the day after
several negative plays in the second half), Enter Maurice Hicks, who
provided a spark (8/46/0) now we have a murky situation at RB this
week. We think Barlow will still be the starter and see a majority of
the touches, but Hicks will see some touches and Barlow will be on a
short leash if he doesn't perform, he'll get the quick hook.
According to the 11/16/04 San Francisco Chronicle (Janny Hu) "Kevan
knows what his role is," (head coach) Erickson said. "He's our
starting running back and when he gets tired, he comes out of the game
and the other (guy) goes in. If the other guy gets something going,
he's going to stay in the game for a little bit. That's simply what it
is."
Tampa Bay was trampled by the Falcons last week (39/205/2). They have
allowed an average of 129 rushing yards and 1.3 TDs per game over the
last 4 weeks, which is in step with their season average of 125.9
rushing yards allowed per game (24th in the NFL) and 7 scores allowed
to date. The Buccaneers do not shut down their opponent's running game
this season. LB Shelton Quarles was an IDP Monster last week, with 12
solo tackles and 2 sacks when the dust settled.
San Francisco lists C Jeremy Newberry (back/knee, out) and G Kyle
Kosier (shoulder/ankle, probable). DT Anthony McFarland is
questionable to play (arm).
The forecast for Raymond James Stadium calls for a high of 84F and a
low of 67F with a 20% chance for rain it sounds like great weather
for a football game is around the corner in sunny Florida.
San Francisco's rushing attack is struggling right now, but the Bucs
are weak enough that Barlow and company have a shot for a decent game
this week. We call this game an even matchup between sub-par units.
Jacksonville's Fred Taylor vs. The Tennessee Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Taylor has been racking up yardage this season (147/654/1 rushing and
23/255/1 receiving to date), including 23/144/0 rushing and 3/21/0
receiving last week vs. Detroit unfortunately, he is not finding the
end-zone very often (rookie Greg Jones has become the team's goal-line
back). He's still an explosive player, but the lack of scoring is
depressing Taylor's fantasy value (he's the 23rd ranked fantasy RB
this year so far). Taylor did punch a run into the end-zone during the
last meeting between these clubs back in week 3 (17/81/1 rushing and
1/11/0 receiving for Taylor that week).
Tennessee's season has gone south since week 3, and numerous injuries
are limiting the defense's effectiveness at this point in the year
(The Titans still rank 9th in the league allowing an average of 107.6
rushing yards per game this season, with 8 scores surrendered to date)
they are still tough in this phase of the game, holding their
opponents over the last 4 weeks to an average of 103 yards and .7 TDs
per contest. Kevin Carter was a top IDP DL with 7 sacks, 4 assists, 3
sacks and 1 forced fumble.
Tennessee's injury report includes DT Albert Haynesworth (elbow, out),
LB Rocky Calmus (back, questionable), DE Carlos Hall (knee,
questionable) and LB Robert Reynolds (concussion, questionable).
Jacksonville in good shape with no new injuries to report.
The forecast for Alltel Stadium calls for a high of 80F and a low of
66F with a 20% chance for rain. That sounds like good weather for a
football game to us
Tennessee plays tough D in this phase of the game, while the Jags
sport an elite back and some talented backups this looks like an
even matchup, with neither team enjoying the upper hand.
Tennessee's Chris Brown?/Antowain Smith vs. The Jacksonville Defense
(Tough Matchup)
The big news out of Tennessee is that Chris Brown's turf toe is quite
aggravated this week, swollen and tender coach Fisher actually
uttered the word "doubtful" on Tuesday to describe Brown's chances to
play on Sunday. Keep a close eye on Brown's status as the weekend
approaches, but right now things don't look good for him this week. He
was bothered by the injury last week (20/62/0 rushing with 2/6/0
receiving) and that limited his production. Brown managed 23/101/1
rushing vs. the Titans back in week 3.
Jacksonville sports the 7th ranked rush D in the league, averaging
105.7 yards allowed per game, and they have given up only 4 scores in
this phase to date. Over the past 4 weeks, they average only 87
rushing yards allowed and haven't given up a single TD. Kevin Jones
managed 19/81/0 vs. the Jags last week they are tough.
DT Marcus Stroud (knee, questionable) and LB Daryl Smith (knee,
probable) are listed by Jacksonville, while the Titans' T Brad Hopkins
(hand) is out due to surgery to repair his broken hand. Team-mates
Chris Brown (toe, questionable) and T Fred Miller (ankle,
questionable) are also listed.
The forecast for Alltel Stadium calls for a high of 80F and a low of
66F with a 20% chance for rain. That sounds like good weather for a
football game to us.
The Titans are in trouble if Brown can't go Antowain Smith has been
ineffective in his few chances and even if he can play, this is a
tough matchup for Tennessee.
Houston's Domanick Davis vs. The Green Bay Defense (Tough Matchup)
Domanick Davis battled for 31/98/2 rushing and 7/54/0 receiving last
week against the Colts he had a great fantasy outing, though his
team lost badly. Over the past 3 weeks, Davis has piled up 72/225/4
rushing and 14/112/0 receiving to rank 6th among all fantasy RBs in
average fantasy points per game (19.23 per outing). He's a major part
of the Texans' attack, and scores fantasy points well despite the
teams poor 3.4 yards per carry average (31st in the NFL).
Green Bay's rush D has been pretty stout lately, averaging only 73
yards and .3 TDs allowed over the past 4 games they contained the
talented Viking stable last week (16/71/0 rushing as a team), knocking
more than half a yard off the squad's usual 5.1 yards-per-carry
average (4.4 last week). They are playing significantly better in the
last 4 weeks than they did the first 6, as evidenced by their season
average of 111.1 rushing yards allowed per game (7 TDs to date) over
the first 9 games.
Houston lists RB Tony Hollings as probable (hamstring), as is G
Chester Pitts (ankle, probable). T Todd Wade is questionable (ankle).
DT Grady Jackson has a banged up knee and is sick at mid-week
(probable).
The forecast for Reliant Stadium calls for a high of 75F and a low of
58F, with a 40% chance for rain. If the weather looks too threatening
before game-time, the retractable roof will get closed weather
shouldn't be a factor in this game.
Davis is doing well in recent weeks, but the streaking Packers will be
a stern test for Houston. This looks like a tough matchup for Davis
and company.
Cincinnati's Rudi Johnson vs. The Pittsburgh Defense (Tough Matchup)
Rudi Johnson had a strong game vs. the Steelers back in week 3,
gaining 24/123/1 rushing during the contest. Since then, Pittsburgh
has built an average of 79.6 rushing yards allowed per game this
season, with only 4 scores surrendered to date. Over the past 4 weeks,
they have averaged 32 rushing yards and 0 scores allowed, and held
Cleveland to 22/68/0 last week.
Meanwhile, Johnson has been up and down from week to week, compiling a
total of 207/788/5 rushing and 8/27/0 receiving this season. Over the
past 3 weeks, he has racked up 74/254/2 rushing and 6/23/0 receiving,
with 31/102/1 vs. Washington last week. Johnson comes into this game
on something of a roll.
Both teams have some injury concerns: Cincinnati lists T Willie
Anderson (knee, questionable) and RB Chris Perry (abdomen,
questionable). Pittsburgh has LB Kendrell Bell (groin), LB James
Harrison (shoulder), DE Brett Keisel (hamstring), and DE Travis
Kirschke (back) are probable to play, while DE Kimo Von Oelhoffen
(back) is questionable.
The forecast for Paul Brown Stadium calls for a high of 59F with a low
of 34F and a 30% chance of precipitation. If the moisture falls as
snow, visibility could be an issue. If it is rain/sleet and falls
thickly around game-time, footing and ball handling could become
issues for both teams.
The Steelers are ultra-tough in this phase of the game, while
Cincinnati is up and down from week to week. This looks like a tough
matchup for Johnson and company.
St. Louis' Marshall Faulk/Steven Jackson vs. The Buffalo Defense (Tough Matchup)
The Faulk/Jackson tandem was very powerful last week the Rams
amassed 31/202/1 rushing vs. Seattle (18/139/0 for Faulk; 10/47/1 for
Jackson) en route to a 23-12 victory. Faulk has been carrying the load
more often than not recently, with 30/205/0 rushing and 11/43/0
receiving in the team's last 2 games, while Jackson has been more
limited (13/48/1 rushing with 1/9/0 receiving in 2 games). Whoever
carries the ball is getting lots of help from the OL the Rams
average 4.8 yards per carry this season, tied for 4th in the NFL.
Buffalo's rush defense is usually ferocious, ranking 11th in the NFL
allowing 108.3 rushing yards per game, but giving away only 3 TDs all
season (1st in the league). Lately, though, the Bills have been
softer, averaging 131 yards and .5 TDs allowed per game over the past
4 weeks, including 45/208/0 to the Patriots last week. They were
knocked off the ball regularly by the Patriots' OL last week.
St. Louis lists G Chris Dishman (knee) as out; T Grant Williams
(shoulder) and Faulk (flu) are probable to play. Buffalo is in good
shape in this phase of the game.
The forecast for Ralph Wilson Stadium calls for a high of 52F and a
low of 35F with a 30% chance for precipitation. If the moisture comes
down as snow, visibility could be an issue rain mixed with sleet
would make the field and football slippery. Weather could be a factor
in this game.
St. Louis has a strong offense that is on a roll in this phase of the
game, while the Bills got roughed up last week by the Patriots.
Home-field advantage will help the defense, though this looks like a
tough matchup for the Rams despite last week's melt-down vs. New
England.
Dallas' RBBC vs. The Baltimore Defense (Bad Matchup)
Collectively, these guys are mediocre to sub-par each week. Taken
singly, none of them amount to much in fantasy terms, most weeks.
Eddie George has 50/161/1 to his credit in the last 3 games (5/52/0
receiving) to check in at #31 among all fantasy RBs during that span.
You should consider all your other options before plugging a Cowboy
back into your lineup during the playoff push in your fantasy league.
That is especially true this week, as the Cowboys run into Ray Lewis
(11 tackles and 3 assists last week, a top ten IDP LB), and DLs
Marques Douglas (7 solo tackles, 1 assist, 1.5 sacks) and Kelly Gregg
(5 solo tackles, 2 assists, 1.5 sacks both players were top ten IDP
DL last week). The Ravens rank 6th in the NFL this season, allowing an
average of 105.2 rushing yards per contest, with only 5 scores allowed
to date. Over the past 4 weeks, they surrendered yards at a rate of
108 per contest, with .5 rushing scores per game, although Curtis
Martin and company did lay 36/156/2 on them last week but Curtis
Martin is one of the hottest running backs in the league, with one of
the finest OL. Dallas averages a sub-par 3.9 yards per carry this
season.
Dallas is in good health except for RB Julius Jones (shoulder, out),
while the Ravens are in good shape in this phase of the game.
The forecast for M & T Bank Stadium calls for a high of 67F and a low
of 48F with a 30% chance for precipitation. If the rain falls thickly
at game time, the field and ball could become even more challenging
than usual to navigate/handle.
This is a bad week to start Cowboy running backs.
Miami's Sammy Morris vs. The Seattle Defense (Bad Matchup)
Miami's new coach announced this week that A.J. Feeley is the team's
starting QB. That's probably bad news for the Dolphin's rushing game,
because Feeley has been mediocre to poor in his appearances this
season Seattle is highly likely to "stack the line" and dare Feeley
to beat them throwing the ball (which he hasn't shown the ability to
do yet this year). Given how anemic the Dolphins' running game is on
their best days, we think you'll want to give Morris and company a
pass until we see how Feeley and the teams' receivers respond.
Seattle plays pretty stout run D, averaging 108.1 rushing yards
allowed per game (10th in the NFL) with only 6 scores allowed in 9
games. They have been slightly more generous lately, allowing an
average of 124 yards and .8 TDs per game over the past 4 weeks St.
Louis' Faulk/Jackson combo touched them for 31/202/1 last week. Nobody
is going to mistake Miami's attack for St. Louis' this year, though.
Miami comes into this game off a bye week, but G Jeno James is out
(knee). RB Travis Minor (ankle) and T John St. Clair (ankle) are both
probable to play. LB Anthony Simmons is out (wrist, surgery) as is LB
Tracy White (hamstring). LB Chad Brown is questionable (knee).
The forecast for Qwest Field in Seattle calls for a high of 50F with a
low of 37F and a 20% chance for rain. It sounds like a really nice
autumn day is on tap in the Northwest.
The Dolphins season is a shambles, and now they are starting over on
offense with a guy who already had trouble getting the job done
earlier this season at QB.
Cleveland's Lee Suggs/William Green vs. The New York Jets' Defense (Bad Matchup)
If William Green can keep his urges to imitate Muhammad Ali in check,
we should see a return of the Cleveland "two-headed monster" this
week. Last week, Lee Suggs handled the ball carrying duties alone, and
finished the day with 18/38/0 rushing vs. the ultra-tough Steelers. It
was a forgettable game all the way around for the Browns there's not
a whole lot more to say. They should be better this week because it
would be hard to do worse than they did last week.
The Jets' rush D is no pushover, though, ranking 5th in the NFL
allowing an average of 104.9 rushing yards per contest with a miserly
5 scores surrendered to date. Over the past 4 weeks, their opponents
have averaged 111 yards rushing and .3 TDs per contest vs. the Jets.
The Ravens could only muster 32/76/0 against this team last week. No
matter what lens you choose to view the Jets through, they are a
hard-nosed bunch of players in this phase of the game. John Abraham
was a top IDP DL last week, with 6 solo tackles, 3 assists and 1 sack
to his credit.
Cleveland is good to go in this phase, while the Jets list DE Shaun
Ellis with a sore groin (probable) and LB Eric Barton is sick at
mid-week (probable). LB Jason Glenn is out due to his broken arm.
The forecast for Cleveland Browns' Stadium calls for a high of 58F and
a low of 34F with a 30% chance for precipitation. If moisture falls
thickly at game time, the field and ball could both get slick,
adversely affecting both teams' footing and ball handling. If the
moisture falls as snow, visibility could be a factor, too.
This is a bad matchup for the Browns' backs.
Oakland's Tyrone Wheatley and company vs. The San Diego Defense (Bad Matchup)
Back in week 8, Tyrone Wheatley had a very limited appearance in the
42-14 loss, but he managed to (score 4/23/1 rushing) and contributed
4/22/0 receiving to the effort. In week 9, he carried the ball 19
times for 54 yards and 2 scores, with 3/10/0 receiving, vs. the
Carolina defense. He hasn't been spectacular, but Wheatley is the ball
carrier of choice at the goal line now that he is back in the mix.
San Diego has been stout vs. the rush over the past 4 weeks, averaging
just 72 yards and .7 TDs allowed per contest, which is in keeping with
their 1st ranked rush D this year (only 78.6 rushing yards allowed per
game over the first 9 games) they have given up 9 scores so far,
though. The Saints managed 18/78/1 vs. the Chargers before their bye
week.
Both teams enter this game after a bye DT Eric Downing is
questionable for the Chargers (knee) while G Ron Stone is out (knee)
for the Raiders.
The forecast for Network Associates Coliseum calls for a high of 62F
and a low of 44F with a 10% chance for rain a beautiful California
day is on tap for this game.
Oakland's attack is mediocre, while the Chargers are the best run D in
the league. This is a bad matchup for the Raiders.
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