Rushing Matchups - Week 14
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Posted 12/9 by Mark Wimer and Joe Bryant, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
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Hi Folks,
Here's our look at the Rushing Matchups for this week.
PLEASE NOTE: This does NOT replace the Cheatsheet ranking. The
Cheatsheet rankings are the final say on where we see a player for
that week. The Matchup Breakdowns are simply one more tool in the box
when it comes to helping choose your lineup.
Also note, just because a player has a "bad" matchup, it does NOT
mean
he's not a starter in your league. If Edgerrin James is playing the
toughest rush defense in the league, that just means he's got a tough
matchup that week. He's also your starter. In the same way, if the
worst RB on your roster has a "great" matchup, that doesn't
necessarily mean you start him, it just means he'll likely fare better
this week than he normally would.
Bottom line, the cheatsheets are the final word.
Let's jump to it.
Joe
Quick Index
Great Matchups
New England's Corey Dillon vs. The Cincinnati Defense
Buffalo's Willis McGahee vs. The Cleveland Defense
Indianapolis' Edgerrin James vs. The Houston Defense
Dallas' Julius Jones vs. The New Orleans' Defense
Baltimore's Chester Taylor/Jamal Lewis? vs. The New York Giant's Defense
Atlanta's Three-Headed Monster vs. The Oakland Defense
Minnesota's Onterrio Smith vs. The Seattle Defense
Kansas City's Derrick Blaylock/Larry Johnson vs. The Tennessee Infirmary
Good Matchups
Jacksonville's Fred Taylor vs. The Chicago Defense
Green Bay's Ahman Green vs. The Detroit Defense
Houston's Domanick Davis vs. The Indianapolis Defense
New Orleans' Deuce McAllister vs. The Dallas Defense
Seattle's Shaun Alexander vs. The Minnesota Defense
Carolina's Nick Goings vs. The St. Louis Defense
Tampa Bay's Michael Pittman vs. The San Diego Defense
San Diego's LaDainian Tomlinson vs. The Tampa Bay Defense
Tennessee's Chris Brown/Antowain Smith vs. The Kansas City Defense
Neutral Matchups
Chicago's Thomas Jones/Anthony Thomas vs. The Jacksonville Defense
Detroit's Kevin Jones vs. The Green Bay Defense
Arizona's Emmitt Smith? vs. The San Francisco Defense
Denver's Reuben Droughns/Tatum Bell vs. The Miami Defense
Tough Matchups
Cincinnati's Rudi Johnson vs. The New England Defense
Oakland's RBBC vs. The Atlanta Defense
New York Jets' Curtis Martin vs. The Pittsburgh Defense
Pittsburgh's Duce Staley/Jerome Bettis vs. The New York Jets' Defense
Philadelphia's Brian Westbrook vs. The Washington Defense
Washington's Clinton Portis vs. The Philadelphia Defense
San Francisco's Maurice Hicks vs. The Arizona Defense
St. Louis' Steven Jackson vs. The Carolina Defense
Miami's Travis Minor/Sammy Morris? vs. The Denver Defense
Bad Matchups
Cleveland's William Green/Lee Suggs? vs. The Buffalo Defense
New York Giant's Tiki Barber vs. The Baltimore Defense
Baltimore's Chester Taylor/Jamal Lewis?
vs. The New York Giant's Defense (Great Matchup)
Chester Taylor bounced back from his subpar game two weeks ago to post 23/139/1
(the team rushed for 31/192/1 last week) vs. Cincinnati. He has been up and
down in recent weeks (54/233/2 rushing with 12/67/0 receiving in 3 games), but
comes into this game with a head of steam up. Lewis couldn't go last week, and
early indications are that he is likely to be sidelined again this week.
Clinton Portis couldn't beg, borrow or steal a good game in recent weeks -
then the Giants' injury-riddled defensive front came to town and suddenly Portis
looked like his old, Bronco self, with 31/148/1 rushing and 3/14/1 receiving.
The Giants have melted down in this phase of the game, averaging 167 rushing
yards and 1.3 rushing TDs allowed per game over the last 4 weeks (a season average
of 134.8 yards allowed per game (26th in the NFL). The injury-gutted DL in particular
is simply not doing the job.
Lewis is listed as questionable by the Ravens this week, as is T Orlando Brown
(knee). RB Alan Ricard has a sore knee (probable). The Giants report DT Norman
Hand (groin, doubtful) and LB Barrett Green (knee, probable). Several more Giant
DL are on IR after last week (DEs Lorenzo Bromell and Chuck Wiley).
The forecast for M and T Bank Stadium calls for a high of 50F and a low of
41F with a 10% chance for precipitation. A nice, crisp day is around the corner
for this matchup if the forecast holds up.
Whoever rushes the ball for the Ravens has a great shot at big numbers.
Buffalo's Willis McGahee vs. The Cleveland
Defense (Great Matchup)
Willis McGahee notched 23/91/0 rushing vs. Miami last week, with 1/4/0 receiving
- it wasn't his best game, but he did a credible job against a divisional rival.
With 71/307/4 rushing and 6/57/0 receiving under his belt during the last 3
weeks, McGahee ranks as the 9th best fantasy RB in the land during that span.
He's worthy of a starting spot in your lineup, especially this week (see below).
The Browns are soft in the redzone (allowing a league-high 16 rushing scores
to date), and soft between the 20's, too (allowing an average of 139.4 rushing
yards per game, 29th in the NFL this season). They've been ripped for an average
of 204 rushing yards and 1.8 rushing scores per game over the past 4 weeks,
with 50/225/3 surrendered to New England last week. McGahee is happy about this
matchup, folks. Your grandma (despite her four-footed cane) could rush for 100
yards and a TD against the Browns right now.
The Bills list Travis Henry as out (ankle injury), with Ts Jonas Jennings (shoulder)
and Mike Williams (knee) are probable to play. Cleveland's report includes LB
Barry Gardner (neck stinger).
The forecast for Ralph Wilson Stadium calls for a high of 37F with a low of
30F and a 40% chance of precipitation. In upstate New York, precipitation in
December will be some mix of sleet and snow - if the moisture falls thickly
at game-time, visibility, footing, and ball handling will all become issues
during the game.
We call this one a "great" matchup only because that's our highest
designation - there is no question in our minds that McGahee will light up the
Browns in a huge way this week.
Atlanta's Three-Headed Monster vs. The Oakland
Defense (Great Matchup)
28/163/0 was the tally that Vick (8/81/0), Dunn (11/43/0) and Duckett (7/32/0)
managed to amass (with 2/7/0 from FB Justin Griffith tossed into the mix) last
week. It was a decent team effort, but as the ball-sharing becomes more and
more prominent, the fantasy value of Dunn and Duckett continues to plummet.
Dunn has 34/171/0 rushing and 7/42/0 receiving to his credit over the last 3
weeks (33rd fantasy RB overall), while Duckett has 25/120/0 rushing and 1/3/0
receiving (47th fantasy RB overall). You many want to look elsewhere for your
starting RBs as long as Vick is allowed to play the ball-hog in Atlanta.
Oakland's rush D has been very soft most of the time during 2004, averaging
128.3 rushing yards allowed per game (24th in the NFL) with 13 scores given
away to date - over the past 4 weeks, they've been worse, giving up an average
of 153 rushing yards and 1.3 TDs per contest. Last week, the Chiefs nuked them
for 36/160/1, led by Larry "Diaper-Boy" Johnson (20/118/1). Nobody
is afraid of the Raider defensive front in this phase of the game.
Atlanta comes into the game with no new complaints. LB Travian Smith has missed
many games for the Raiders due to his post-concussion symptoms (doubtful), and
DE Tyler Brayton is also doubtful to play (unspecified).
This game is to be played in the air-conditioned comfort of the Georgia Dome.
Atlanta as a team should do very well against the Raiders. However, Vick's
keeper plays have been gutting the fantasy productivity of the Atlanta running
backs during the second half of this season.
Dallas' Julius Jones vs. The New Orleans'
Defense (Great Matchup)
Julius Jones looks like the real deal. He nuked the Seahawks last week, running
both inside and outside, showing great burst and exceptional strength - it was
a very impressive performance from where we sat (30/198/3 rushing, with 3/11/0
receiving). The kid has carried the ball 93 times in 3 games, for 429 yards
and 5 TDs since returning from a broken shoulder blade. He's as hot as running
backs come (2nd ranked fantasy back over the past 3 weeks) - and he's just now
hitting his stride. It's no wonder that Eddie George was wearing a stocking
cap instead of a helmet on Monday night.
Look at it this way - the Panther's 4th or 5th string RB, a guy who was a FB
to start the season, slapped down 36/122/1 rushing against the Saints last week.
Whatever lens one uses to look at this defense, the same picture emerges - they
stink. An average of 171 rushing yards and 1 TD per game allowed over the last
4 weeks. 14 rushing scores allowed this season (tied for 3rd most in the NFL
to date). A league-worst average of 152 rushing yards allowed per game this
season. Sad, embarrassing, pathetic - there are lots of polite words to use,
but none of them quite hit the mark.
Dallas' squad comes into the game in good health, while the Saints list LB
Sedrick Hodge (knee, questionable).
The forecast for Texas Stadium calls for a high of 70F with a low of 51F and
a 10% chance for precipitation. That's great football weather in our book.
Jones should dominate the doormat Saints' defensive front.
Indianapolis' Edgerrin James vs. The Houston
Defense (Great Matchup)
Edgerrin James posted 100 yards combined against the Texans back in week 10
(20/86/0 rushing with 2/14/0 receiving) - Manning tossed 5 TDs that day, which
put the running game on the back-burner, relatively speaking. Lately, though,
James has been tearing it up, with 64/414/3 rushing and 8/58/0 receiving to
his credit over the past 3 weeks - the Colts' offense is almost unstoppable
right now - teams can only hope to slow them down a little.
Houston hasn't been particularly strong in this phase of the game lately, with
an average of 130 rushing yards and .3 TDs allowed per game over the past 4
weeks. They are 20th in the NFL allowing an average of 121.3 yards per game,
but have given up only 4 scores in this phase of the game to date (they are
dead last allowing TDs in the passing phase, though, with 29 TDs surrendered
to date - teams are exploiting their obvious weakness in that phase). The Jets
ripped Houston for 36/210/1 last week - the Texans come into this game back
on their heels.
Indianapolis' OL has some injury woes, with C Jeff Saturday (torn calf tendon,
questionable) and G Tupe Peko (ankle, questionable) both sidelined last week
due to their injuries. G Ryan Lija is also listed (hand, probable). Houston
lost LB Jay Foreman last week (left ankle injury), which is a major blow to
their defensive front as he was one of the teams' leaders. DE Gary Walker has
a sore foot (probable). Both teams have been diminished by injuries recently.
This game will be played at Reliant Stadium (if the weather is bad, they'll
close the retractable roof) - the forecast calls for a high of 73F with a low
of 56F and a 10% chance of rain, which is great football weather.
The Colts will exploit the Texans' weaknesses - look for James to enjoy a good
game rushing the ball, and he'll probably add some receiving yardage to his
rushing totals this week, too.
Kansas City's Derrick Blaylock/Larry Johnson
vs. The Tennessee Infirmary (Great Matchup)
Priest Holmes could be done for the season. Said coach Vermeil on Wednesday
"The original recovery time was four weeks, and we're at four weeks and
I don't think he's anywhere close to being ready to play. Is he going to be
ready in two weeks? I don't know. I don't know. But I'm going to get a reevaluation
with the doctors and talk with Priest and everything else and see where he is.
I don't want Priest Holmes to feel pressure, because the most important thing
is that he heals properly so he can come back and be 100 percent next year.
If it means sitting out (the season) and that's the best thing to do, that's
exactly what we'll do. But obviously, he isn't ready to play after four weeks."
Derrick Blaylock and Larry Johnson have both done well in recent weeks filling
in for Holmes, with 39/152/2 rushing and 11/91/1 receiving to Blaylock's credit
(15th fantasy RB in fantasy points per game in the land during that span) and
30/161/2 rushing and 4/63/1 receiving for Johnson (8th fantasy RB in fantasy
points per game during that span). Johnson was the big gun last week after Blaylock
was shaken up by a hard hit. The Chiefs don't need to rush Holmes back thanks
to the play of their backups.
Tennessee's LBs are hurting coming into this game - Rocky Calmus tore his left
hamstring last week, and Rocky Boiman remains sidelined by a calf injury. LB
Cody Spencer missed the game due to an abdominal injury, and DLs Albert Haynesworth
(elbow) and Rien Long (left knee strain) were both inactive last week due to
their injuries. The Titans defense is riddled with injuries, folks. It's no
wonder that they allowed 28/150/2 rushing and 25/34 for 425 yards, 3 TDs and
2 interceptions to the Colts last week - the team averages 138 rushing yards
and 1.3 TDs allowed per game in the rushing phase over the past 4 weeks - the
Titans are on the ropes this year due to the litany of injuries they have endured.
Blaylock is not listed this week, while Holmes is officially out (knee). G
Will Shields (foot, questionable), C Chris Bober (toe, doubtful) and RB Omar
Easy (knee, probable) are also on the report. Tennessee's report also includes
DE Carlos Hall (knee/finger) and DT Randy Starks (knee) - both are listed as
questionable.
The forecast for the Coliseum calls for a high of 57F with a low of 31F and
a 10% chance for rain. Since this game is being played on Monday Night, the
temperature will be on the cold side when the game starts.
Kansas City should rip the remnants of Tennessee's defense to shreds.
Minnesota's Onterrio Smith vs. The Seattle
Defense (Great Matchup)
Onterrio Smith was successful against the Bears last week, with 13/79/0 to
his credit before exiting the game due to a sore groin and a numb left foot
(the latter exacerbated by the cold at Soldier Field). He seems firmly ensconced
as the featured back, as Michael Bennett has not carried the ball at all for
2 weeks in a row. 41/178/0 rushing and 7/41/0 receiving are Smith's totals over
the last 3 weeks, good for 32nd among all fantasy RBs during that span. The
Vikings remain at the top of the league averaging 4.8 yards per carry (2nd in
the NFL to date) - their OL is very good at run blocking.
Seattle's defense has been playing soft in this phase of the game, allowing
14 rushing scores to date (near the bottom of the league) while averaging 115.7
rushing yards allowed per game. Over the past 4 weeks, they've been even worse,
giving up 154 rushing yards and 2.3 rushing TDs per contest on average, culminating
in the 30/198/3 thrashing that Julius Jones meted out to them last Monday. The
Seahawks' D is headed in the wrong direction in this phase of the game.
C Matt Birk has been unable to play for the Vikings lately, due to his abdominal
injury (out). Seattle has been doing without their top LBs in recent weeks (Chad
Brown (knee) and Tracy White (hamstring) have both been sidelined - doubtful
and questionable this week, respectively) - their reserves have seen a lot of
action in recent weeks. DTs Rocky Bernard (knee) and Marcus Tubbs (ankle) are
out; DT Cedric Woodard (knee) is questionable to play.
This game will be played indoors at the Metrodome - weather isn't a factor
in this matchup.
Minnesota should enjoy a great outing vs. the soft Seahawks.
New England's Corey Dillon vs. The
Cincinnati Defense (Great Matchup)
Corey Dillon was limited by a thigh bruise last week, but still managed to
pile up 18/100/2 in a shortened outing vs. Cleveland. It would be a huge shock
to see him sidelined for this grudge match vs. his former employers the Bengals
- we expect his recovery to be complete by Sunday. Over the past 3 weeks, Dillon
has been on fire, with 74/321/5 rushing and 2/20/1 receiving - look for a strong
effort from him this week.
Cincinnati's rush D has not been impressive this season, allowing an average
of 141.9 rushing yards per game (31st in the NFL) with 8 rushing scores allowed
so far in 2004. Over the past 4 weeks, they've given up 127 rushing yards and
.5 TDs per game on average, with 31/192/1 surrendered to Baltimore last week.
This is not a defensive front that strikes fear into the hearts of opposing
running backs.
The Patriots list Dillon as probable due to the thigh contusion. Cincinnati's
defensive front lost DT Matthias Askew last week (IR), and LB Marcus Wilkins
suffered a concussion last week (not listed). LB Brian Simmons has a sore knee
(probable), as does DE Carl Powell (questionable).
The forecast for Gillette Stadium calls for a high of 44F with a low of 26F
with a 10% chance for precipitation. That's about as nice as it gets in Massachusetts
in the month of December.
Cincinnati's rush D is soft, while Dillon has built a lot of momentum over
the past few weeks - advantage, New England.
Carolina's Nick Goings vs. The St. Louis
Defense (Good Matchup)
116/479/4 rushing and 32/263/1 receiving are the totals that Nick Goings has
amassed this season, with most of the yards coming since being pressed into
service as the Panthers' featured running back during week 11 (36/122/1 rushing
and 6/46/0 receiving last week vs. New Orleans). The team hasn't lost a game
since week 9, and remain in the hunt for a playoff spot this week - expect a
playoff atmosphere vs. The 6-6 Rams, who are in contention for the NFC West
crown coming into this matchup.
St. Louis' defense squashed the anemic 49ers last week, allowing a mere 27/63/0
rushing to the 1-11 San Francisco team. They aren't usually that stout, averaging
155 rushing yards and .3 rushing scores given up during the last 4 weeks (they
average 139 rushing yards allowed per game this season (28th in the NFL to date),
with 10 TDs given up to date).
Carolina's current roster is in good health (ignoring all the guys on IR),
listing only T Todd Fordham (ankle, questionable) while the Rams report DE Tony
Hargrove (concussion, probable).
The forecast for Bank of America Stadium calls for a high of 54F with a 41F
for 10% chance for precipitation. The weather is going to be just about perfect
for football if the forecast holds up.
Goings should enjoy a good outing vs. The generous Rams' defense.
Green Bay's Ahman Green vs. The Detroit
Defense (Good Matchup)
Ahman Green managed a mediocre total against the Lions back in week 6, with
21/81/0
rushing and 3/3/0 receiving (but the Packers rushed for 39/157/1 as a team -
Najeh
Davenport had 10/62/1 to his credit in that game). Green returned from a week
on the sidelines due to a rib injury in the game on Sunday, compiling a modest
11/37/0 rushing and 3/17/0 receiving during the blowout loss to Philadelphia.
Green owners haven't seen much in the way of fantasy points from him during
the last few weeks (Davenport was limited to 4/4/0 last week - his sore hamstring
was definitely a problem).
Arizona's backup running backs had limited success against the Lions last week,
with 26/94/0 to their credit at the end of the game. Detroit isn't usually that
good, giving up an average of 121.8 rushing yards per game this season (21st
in the NFL) with 8 rushing scores allowed to date. Over the past 4 weeks, they've
allowed an average of 138 rushing yards and .5 TDs in this phase of the game.
LB Boss Bailey has missed every game so far due to his bum knee (out). DEs
Kalimba Edwards (foot, questionable) and Jared DeVries (groin, probable) are
listed, as is LB Alex Lewis (ankle, probable). The Packers list T Kevin Barry
(quadriceps, probable) and C Grey Ruegamer (ankle, probable).
The forecast for Lambeau Field calls for a high of 44F with a low of 26F and
a 30% chance for precipitation. If the moisture falls as sleet or snow around
game time, visibility, footing, and ball handling could all become problematic.
Green Bay had good luck against this defense last time they met, and Detroit
hasn't been very strong in this phase since then - advantage, Green Bay.
Houston's Domanick Davis vs. The Indianapolis
Defense (Good Matchup)
31/98/2 rushing with 7/54/0 receiving - that was the awesome fantasy performance
Domanick Davis gave to his fantasy owners vs. Indianapolis back in week 10.
Since then, he's piled up 54/246/2 and 14/97/1 receiving over the past 3 weeks
(11th best fantasy RB in fantasy points per game over that span). He wasn't
too impressive last week, with 17/52/1 rushing and 1/4/0 receiving vs. The Jets,
but he wasn't a total fantasy zero, either. Davis ranks as the 11th best fantasy
RB this season, with 206/704/9 rushing and 49/420/1 receiving to date (in 11
games). He's a major part of the Houston offense.
Tennessee had good luck rushing the ball against the Colts last week, with
19/104/0 to Chris Browns' credit before his sore toe flared up, and 25/115/0
as a team. The Colts are in the middle of the NFL pack this season, allowing
an average of 118.5 rushing yards per game (18th in the NFL) with 9 rushing
scores given up to date. Over the past 4 weeks, the team has coughed up an average
of 124 rushing yards and .5 rushing scores per contest - they are a mediocre
bunch in this phase of the game.
Houston's Tony Hollings' sore hamstring continues to sideline the backup RB
(doubtful this week), while C Steve McKinney (chest) and G Zach Wiegert (knee)
are probable to play. Indianapolis DT Raheem Brock jammed his left wrist last
week (probable), while LB Kendyll Pope (thigh injury, not listed) was inactive
last week. DE Dwight Freeney (shoulder), DE Robert Mathis (groin) and LB Cato
June (ankle) are all listed as probable.
This game will be played at Reliant Stadium (if the weather is bad, they'll
close the retractable roof) - the forecast calls for a high of 73F with a low
of 56F and a 10% chance of rain, which is great football weather.
Davis has good prospects for a solid game vs. The so-so Colts defense.
Jacksonville's Fred Taylor vs. The Chicago
Defense (Good Matchup)
Fred Taylor had a blue-collar afternoon last week, battering into the Steelers
top-ranked rush defense (27/76/0 rushing with 5/34/0 receiving) - considering
who he was playing against, Taylor's efforts qualified as a success. 70/326/0
rushing and 9/67/0 receiving are Taylor's totals over the last 3 weeks, good
for #18 among all fantasy RBs during that span. The big problem with Taylor
all year has been his TD drought - 1 rushing and 1 receiving TDs are what he
has managed during 12 games, which is the primary reason for his #20 ranking
among all fantasy RBs this year.
Chicago's defense had trouble containing Onterrio Smith and company last week
(22/146/0 rushing for the Vikings as a team, a 6.6 yards per carry average),
which is nothing new for a squad that ranks 27th in the NFL this season allowing
an average of 136.3 rushing yards per game. Over the past 4 weeks, they've been
even worse, giving up an average of 162 rushing yards per contest, with .8 TDs
allowed per game - however, for most of that span they were without linchpin
MLB Brian Urlacher, who just returned to the lineup last week.
Jacksonville comes into this game in good shape, with only G Chris Naeole on
the injury report (probable). Meanwhile the Bears list DT Tommie Harris (knee),
DE Adewale Ogunleye (leg) and LB Brian Urlacher (leg) as probable to play.
The forecast for Alltel Stadium calls for a high of 64F with a low of 49F with
a 10% chance for rain. That's great football weather in our book.
Taylor should find room to roam against the Bears, although the TD drought
looks likely to continue against the stout Chicago presence in the redzone
New Orleans' Deuce McAllister vs. The Dallas
Defense (Good Matchup)
Carolina's rejuvenated defense slammed the door on McAllister last week, (7/22/0
rushing with 1/1/0 receiving) - the Panther's 23-0 lead midway through the second
quarter forced the Saints' running game to go by the boards. With only 43/164/0
rushing and 16/98/0 receiving to his credit over the last 3 weeks, McAllister
has been a major disappointment to his fantasy owners. The problem is, when
your defense is dead last vs. The run and the pass, a team often has to play
from behind - limiting the amount of running plays that get called by the coaching
staff. Don't expect the woeful Saints' defense to suddenly get better this week.
Dallas' rush defense is not very good this season, allowing an average of 113.1
rushing yards per game (13th in the NFL) with 10 rushing scores allowed to date.
They coughed up 27/109/2 to the Seahawks on Monday Night Football, and average
92 rushing yards and 1.3 rushing TDs allowed per game over the past 4 weeks.
They are mediocre at best, and subpar at their worst.
New Orleans comes into the game in decent shape, listing Gs Montrae Holland
(foot, questionable) and G Kendyl Jacox (knee, questionable). Dallas lists only
LB Kalen Thornton (concussion, questionable).
The forecast for Texas Stadium calls for a high of 70F with a low of 51F and
a 10% chance for precipitation. That's great football weather in our book.
McAllister has a good shot to bounce back from his lackluster stretch of games
this week - if the Saints' defense can slow down the Cowboy's Julius Jones
San Diego's LaDainian Tomlinson vs. The
Tampa Bay Defense (Good Matchup)
LaDainian Tomlinson crammed 30/113/2 down the Bronco's throat last week, continuing
his brilliant season for the Chargers (267/1012/13 rushing and 43/332/0 receiving).
He has 88/323/5 rushing and 16/83/0 receiving to his credit over the past 3
weeks, to rank 3rd among all fantasy backs during that span. Just start him
and smile.
Tampa Bay couldn't shut down the Falcons last week (28/163/0), but they did
strip the ball from Michael Vick twice, and denied their divisional foes the
endzone. Over the past 4 weeks, they have given up 138 rushing yards per game,
and .5 TDs per contest. They are slightly off their subpar season pace of 123.3
rushing yards allowed per game - 22nd in the NFL - (with 7 rushing scores allowed
in 12 games).
Tampa's DT Dewayne White (calf, probable) is listed, while San Diego says C
David Binn (hamstring, probable) and RB Jesse Chatman (toe, probable) are likely
to play.
The forecast for Qualcomm Stadium calls for a high of 68F with a low of 49F
and a 20% chance for rain - a typically beautiful southern California day is
on the way, it appears.
Tomlinson will have to work for it, but he should enjoy a respectable outing
against the Buccaneers.
Tennessee's Chris Brown/Antowain Smith vs.
The Kansas City Defense (Good Matchup)
Chris Brown could only play part of the game last week, but he made his chances
count, with 19/104/0 rushing. Antowain Smith had less luck, with 5/12/0 in relief
of Brown after his toe flared up. Smith had been more successful in weeks past,
with 50/197/1 rushing and 9/56/0 receiving to his credit over the past 3 weeks.
The team reports that Brown is questionable to play this week - Brown commented
after the game that "It was bothering me at halftime, but I wanted to come
out and see what I could do. I wanted to play another series and see how it
felt. I tried it and it just wouldn't calm back down. It just starts throbbing.
You can't put any weight on the ball of your foot. It hurts to take a step and
to try to push off." It's clear that Brown's status for this week's game
will be up in the air until very close to game time.
The Chiefs stuffed Oakland's backups last week, allowing a mere 10/30/0 rushing
to the Raiders as a team. The Chiefs field the leagues' 12th ranked rush D this
season (allowing an average of 108.6 rushing yards per game) but they are soft
in the redzone, surrendering 14 rushing scores to date (3rd-most in the NFL).
Over the past 4 weeks they've averaged 97 rushing yards allowed per game, with
1.5 rushing scores given up per contest during that span. The Chiefs don't scare
their opponents in this phase of the game.
The Chief's LB Monty Beisel is listed as questionable this week (calf). DTs
John Browning (groin) and Junior Siavii (ankle) are probable to play - DE Vonnie
Holliday is out (groin). T Fred Miller (ankle, questionable) joins Brown on
the injury report. T Brad Hopkins is out (hand surgery).
The forecast for the Coliseum calls for a high of 57F with a low of 31F and
a 10% chance for rain. Since this game is being played on Monday Night, the
temperature will be on the cold side when the game starts.
The Chiefs are not a top rush defense, while the Titans' backs are adequate
to good (depending on whether it's Smith or Brown lining up in the backfield).
This is a good matchup for the Titans.
Seattle's Shaun Alexander vs. The Minnesota
Defense (Good Matchup)
Shaun Alexander is doing his part to propel the Seahawks into the postseason
- he rushed for 21/83/2 with 3/21/0 receiving last week against Dallas, including
a studly second-effort TD run for his second score of the game - only to watch
his team's defense and special teams blow the game in the final 2 minutes of
regulation. Ouch. Over the past 3 weeks, Alexander has put up 63/218/3 rushing
with 3/21/0 receiving (17th fantasy RB during that span) - Seattle's offense
finally started to get back on track against Dallas on Monday Night Football.
Minnesota didn't manage to control the Bear's rushing attack last week, allowing
a total of 35/144/0 to their opponents. The Vikings have been subpar in this
phase of the game all year, allowing an average of 128 rushing yards per game,
with 12 rushing scores allowed in 12 games. They've been coughing up an average
of 163 rushing yards per game over the past 4 weeks (0 rushing scores in that
span, though).
LB Raonall Smith (concussion, doubtful) hasn't played for Minnesota in many
weeks due to his injury. Seattle's unit comes into the game in relatively good
health.
This game will be played indoors at the Metrodome - weather isn't a factor
in this matchup.
Seattle's Alexander is one of the best backs in the NFL, while the Minnesota
defense is in the bottom third of the league. Advantage, Seattle.
Tampa Bay's Michael Pittman vs. The San
Diego Defense (Good Matchup)
Michael Pittman put forth a fine effort vs. The stout Atlanta defensive front
last week, with 17/68/1 rushing and 2/12/0 receiving to his credit at day's
end. Over the last 3 weeks, he's piled up 56/203/3 rushing and 10/146/2 receiving
to rank 6th among all fantasy RBs during that span. He is a key component of
the Buccaneer attack.
San Diego limited the Broncos to 24/74 rushing last week, but they didn't keep
them out of the endzone., giving up 2 rushing scores during the game (1 each
to Reuben Droughns and Tatum Bell). That's been the book on San Diego all year
- they rank 2nd in the NFL allowing an average of 78.7 rushing yards per game
on average, but they have coughed up 14 rushing scores (tied for 3rd-most in
the NFL this season). The Chargers are vulnerable in the redzone Over the past
4 weeks, they are exactly on their season's pace allowing an average of 79 yards
per game and 1.7 TDs per contest.
The Buccaneers come into the game in good shape along the OL, although Pittman
has a sore knee (probable), while the Chargers are also in decent shape - injuries
aren't a huge factor in this matchup.
The forecast for Qualcomm Stadium calls for a high of 68F with a low of 49F
and a 20% chance for rain - a typically beautiful southern California day is
on the way, it appears.
Pittman is on a roll coming into this game, and he has good prospects for scoring
in this game (as does short-yardage specialist Mike Alstott).
Arizona's Emmitt Smith? vs. The San Francisco
Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Emmitt Smith rushed for 16/63/1 vs. The 49ers back in week 5. He missed last
week's game due to toe and ankle injuries, but had held out hope before the
game that he'd be back in the lineup last Sunday - he may be able to strap on
his helmet this week, although he's doubtful as of Wednesday. Larry Croom (18/49/0),
Josh Scobey (5/23/0) and Obafemi Ayanbadejo (3/22/0) did what they could in
Smith's absence - this week, it's Josh McCown back under center, which should
mean that the 49ers will have to respect the pass more than Detroit did last
week when John Navarre was tossing his 4 interceptions. Keep an eye on the injury
reports later in the week to track Smith's progress.
31/136/0 was the damage that St. Louis inflicted on the 49ers last week in
this phase of the game. San Francisco has allowed the second-most rushing scores
in the league to date (15), while averaging 116 rushing yards allowed per game.
Over the past 4 weeks, they are giving away 100 rushing yards and .8 scores
per game. They have only won a single game this season (against this Cardinal's
squad, who are looking for pay-back). The 49ers field a very mediocre defensive
front this season - and it may be the best unit on the team.
DT Anthony Adams strained his back last week (not listed), while LB Brandon
Moore suffered a "high" ankle sprain last week (out) and is unlikely
to make it onto the field for several weeks. DE John Engelberger has a sore
wrist (probable).T Leonard Davis is probable (knee).
The forecast for Sun Devil Stadium calls for a high of 73F with a low of 53F
with a 20% chance for rain. That's great weather for a football game.
Arizona has a mediocre rushing attack, the 49ers field a mediocre defense -
that sounds even to us.
Chicago's Thomas Jones/Anthony Thomas vs.
The Jacksonville Defense (Neutral Matchup)
In the game vs. Minnesota last week, Chicago found an adequate QB (for that
game, at least), which took the pressure off of Jones and Thomas. However, as
Jones was struggling to move the ball on the ground (15/49/0 rushing, with 3/22/0
receiving), the Bears elected to use Thomas in the latter part of the game to
grind out the clock (15/55/0 rushing with 1/10/0 receiving) - it was a solid
outing for the Bears as a team (35/144/0), but unexciting from the fantasy standpoint.
OC Terry Shea has consistently indicated that he would use the Jones/Thomas
tandem as situations dictate - this past game was a taste of what we may see
going forward. Jones is still the starter, but Thomas will be pressed into duty
when Jones has trouble producing.
Jacksonville contained Duce Staley in his first game back from injury (17/51/0),
but didn't really shut down the Steelers, who piled up 25/120/0 rushing as a
team last week. Over the past 4 weeks, the Jags have averaged 104 rushing yards
allowed per game, with .5 TDs surrendered per contest, which is right on their
season pace of 107.2 rushing yards allowed per game (11th in the NFL) and 6
rushing scores given up over 13 games. They aren't easy to run on, but they
aren't shutting people down, either.
Chicago lists C Steve Edwards (hamstring) and T John Tait (knee) as questionable,
and RB Bryan Johnson has a foot injury (questionable). DT Marcus Stroud is probable
to play for Jacksonville (knee).
The forecast for Alltel Stadium calls for a high of 64F with a low of 49F with
a 10% chance for rain. That's great football weather in our book.
The Bears have a strong 1-2 combination to throw at Jacksonville - the Jaguars
are tough but not impenetrable in this phase of the game. This looks like a
neutral matchup between quality squads.
Denver's Reuben Droughns/Tatum Bell vs.
The Miami Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Has the Tatum Bell era began in Denver? We think that Droughns is still the
starting/featured back, but Bell definitely did enough in the game last week
(7/31/1) to warrant some situational duty this week, at least. Droughns had
a really hard time moving the ball against the 2nd-ranked Chargers (14/38/1
rushing, with 4/35/0 receiving) last week. With 70/306/3 rushing and 7/55/0
receiving (10th best fantasy RB over the past 3 weeks) to his credit in recent
games, we think that he'll continue to see the majority of chances - but if
he struggles, Droughns owners need to realize that Bell is waiting in the wings.
Miami's rush D did a good job vs. The Bills last week, holding them to 28//105/0
rushing as a team. They played significantly better than their season average
of 134 rushing yards per game would indicate - over the past 4 weeks, the Dolphins
have averaged 99 rushing yards and .7 TDs given up per game - they are playing
well in this phase of the game recently.
The Broncos come into the game with decent health among their personnel, although
Droughns is sore (thigh/neck, probable) while Miami lists LBs Tony Bua (quadriceps,
probable) and Zach Thomas (hamstring, out). Other Dolphins dinged up include
DT Mario Monds (hand); LB Eddie Moore (knee); LB Derrick Pope (shoulder); DE
Jason Taylor (hand); and LB Renauld Williams (jaw) - all are probable to play.
The forecast for Mile High Stadium calls for a high of 51F with a low of 28F
and a 40% chance for precipitation. In the High Plains during December, precipitation
usually means some combination of sleet/snow/ice. If the moisture falls thickly
at game time, footing, ball handling and visibility could all become problems
for the players.
The Dolphins haven't given up the fight yet - Denver has something to play
for, though, and home-field advantage at their back. We think this matchup will
be a challenge for the Broncos, but not an insurmountable challenge.
Detroit's Kevin Jones vs. The Green Bay
Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Kevin Jones wasn't really in the saddle yet back in week 6, when the Lions
last met Green Bay (2/5/0). Over the last 3 weeks, though, with 57/395/1 rushing
and 10/25/0 receiving (including a 196 yard rushing performance last week),
Jones has become the featured back that the Lions thought they were drafting
back in April. The pro game is definitely "slowing down" for him -
he's seeing and hitting the available holes (with authority!).
The Packers were ripped for 20/102/0 (a 5.1 yards per carry average) last week
by the Eagles (McNabb had 464 yards and 5 TDs passing, which made the rushing
game an afterthought last week). The Pack has given up an average of 80 yards
and 0 TDs in the rushing phase of the game over the past 4 weeks, and average
103.9 rushing yards allowed per game this season (9th in the NFL) with only
7 rushing scores surrendered to date. Teams haven't done a lot against them
on the ground in the second half of the season.
Green Bay's LB Na'il Diggs was hospitalized with bruised kidneys last Sunday,
and is doubtful to play this week. LB Paris Lenon suffered a shin contusion/laceration
during the game (not listed). DT Grady Jackson has a sore knee (probable). Detroit's
stable of backs come into this game in decent shape.
The forecast for Lambeau Field calls for a high of 44F with a low of 26F and
a 30% chance for precipitation. If the moisture falls as sleet or snow around
game time, visibility, footing, and ball handling could all become problematic.
Jones is on a roll, but the Packers are not cream-puffs in this phase of the
game, and they have home-field advantage. We think this looks like a fairly
even matchup.
Cincinnati's Rudi Johnson vs. The New England
Defense (Tough Matchup)
Johnson had a tough time moving the ball against the Ravens' 10th-ranked run
D last week, managing 19/56/0 rushing and 1/3/0 receiving during the game -
the team put up 24/98/0 thanks to a couple of nice runs by Kenny Watson (1/19/0)
and T.J. Houshmandzadeh (1/16/0) - but it was a lackluster day for the most
part. Over the past 3 weeks, Johnson has contributed 61/320/2 rushing and 3/9/0
receiving to the Bengals' offense, slotting him at #14 among all fantasy RBs
during that span. He's been a solid #2 fantasy back more often than not.
New England allowed a mere 17/46/0 to the reeling Browns last week, and currently
ranks as the 6th best run defense in the land, giving up 99.1 rushing yards
per game, with only 5 rushing scores surrendered to date (2nd-least in the NFL).
Over the past 4 weeks, the team has averaged 59 rushing yards allowed per game,
with 0 scores surrendered in this phase. This squad is one of the toughest defensive
fronts in the league.
Starting T Willie Anderson is playing on an injured knee (probable), but hasn't
missed a game yet. RB Chris Perry is questionable due to his abdominal injury,
and T Alex Sulfsted has a sore Achilles (probable) - RB Kenny Watson is also
probable (head). New England's LB Roman Phifer (calf, questionable) was inactive
last week. LB Matt Chatham (hamstring, questionable) is also listed on Wednesday.
The forecast for Gillette Stadium calls for a high of 44F with a low of 26F
with a 10% chance for precipitation. That's about as nice as it gets in Massachusetts
in the month of December.
This game will be a stern test for Johnson and company - advantage, Patriots.
Miami's Travis Minor/Sammy Morris? vs. The
Denver Defense (Tough Matchup)
Sammy Morris' rib injury has sidelined him for the past few weeks - meanwhile,
Travis Minor has scraped together 55/166/1 rushing and 8/42/0 receiving (25th
best fantasy RB in the league during the past 3 weeks). Minor managed 20/82/1
rushing and 2/14/0 receiving vs. The stout Bills' defense last week. He isn't
an elite fantasy RB - however, Minor has been able to make a few good things
happen for the Dolphins recently. That's more than we could say earlier this
season.
Denver was trampled for 30/113/2 by LaDainian Tomlinson last week, and dropped
a crucial AFC West game as a result. Usually they play much better in this phase,
averaging 77 rushing yards and .7 rushing scores allowed per week over the last
4 weeks. The team is 5th in the NFL this season, allowing an average of 98.9
rushing yards per contest, although they have given up 12 rushing scores in
this phase - that's on the high end of the league's range this season (4 TDs
- 16 TDs as of week 13).
Miami lists Morris as doubtful this week. The Broncos have not seen DE Trevor
Pryce (back, out) in the lineup for months, and DT Luther Elliss has been hampered
by a calf injury in recent weeks (doubtful this week). LB Sam Brandon has a
sore ankle (questionable).
The forecast for Mile High Stadium calls for a high of 51F with a low of 28F
and a 40% chance for precipitation. In the High Plains during December, precipitation
usually means some combination of sleet/snow/ice. If the moisture falls thickly
at game time, footing, ball handling and visibility could all become problems
for the players.
Minor will have a tough time moving the ball against the Broncos.
New York Jets' Curtis Martin vs. The Pittsburgh
Defense (Tough Matchup)
Curtis Martin trampled the hapless Texans last week (23/134/1), and it looks
like he is gaining momentum again now that Pennington is back under center (64/321/1
rushing with 4/20/1 receiving are his totals over the past 3 weeks - last week
was his best game since a 28/119/2 outing vs. Baltimore in week 10). The Jets
are tied for 5th in the NFL averaging 4.6 yards per carry this season - the
OL is doing their part for the cause.
Pittsburgh's rush defense is rock-solid this season. They average a league-best
77.4 rushing yards allowed per game, and have given up only 4 rushing TDs in
12 games. Over the last 4 weeks, they have yielded 70 rushing yards per game
and 0 TDs per contest (Jacksonville managed 34/100/0 vs. The Steelers last week,
a 2.9 yards per carry average). They are a new "Steel Curtain" indeed.
Pittsburgh lists LB Kendrell Bell as out this week (groin injury), and DE Brett
Keisel has a hamstring problem that has sidelined him for the past few weeks
(questionable). DE Kimo Von Oelhoffen (knee, questionable), LBs James Farrior
(shoulder); Clark Haggans (groin) and James Harrison (shoulder) are all probable
to play. The Jets' unit is in good shape for this stage of the season.
The forecast for Heinz Field calls for a high of 41F and a low of 36F with
a 10% chance for precipitation. That's very nice December weather in that part
of the U.S.A.
This game pits two top-shelf units against one another - home field advantage
supports the Steelers, though, and that tips the scales in their direction.
Oakland's RBBC vs. The Atlanta Defense (Tough
Matchup)
Oakland's running backs last week: Amos Zereoue 4/15/0 rushing, 2/18/0 receiving;
J.R. Redmond 1/2/0 rushing, 5/49/0 receiving; Justin Fargas 2/14/0 rushing,
3/17/0 receiving. Fantasy potential among this bunch? Next to nothing. Move
on, nothing to see here.
Atlanta brings the league's 8th ranked rush D to the dance - they allow an
average of 103.8 rushing yards per game. However, the team has coughed up the
second-most rushing scores this season (15) - they have trouble stopping people
from scoring in the redzone in this phase of the game. Over the last 4 weeks,
the team has kept opponents to an average of 115 rushing yards and .8 scores
per contest - there has been some improvement on the scores-allowed front in
recent weeks. Not so last week, though, when the Buccaneers stuffed 31/132/2
down the Falcons' collective throat during Atlanta's embarrassing 27-0 loss.
Tyrone Wheatley is out with his injured hamstring, and Ron Stone is out due
to his knee injury. Atlanta lists DT Ed Jasper (hand, questionable).
This game is to be played in the air-conditioned comfort of the Georgia Dome.
Atlanta was whipped last week, but the anemic Oakland attack will be just the
tonic they need to get back on top of their game.
Philadelphia's Brian Westbrook vs. The Washington
Defense (Tough Matchup)
Brian Westbrook shredded the Redskins back in week 11, with 12/63/0 rushing
and 5/42/2 receiving to his credit during the game. He's been a fantasy monster
since then, with only 42/174/1 rushing over the past 3 weeks, but 21/251/6 receiving
in that span. Dorsey Levens is doing more of the ball carrying lately (23/120/0
rushing and 2/14/0 receiving, including 7/63/0 rushing and 2/14/0 receiving
vs. Green Bay last week). The duo has been helping power a highly productive
Eagles' attack.
Washington stuffed the Giants last week, allowing a paltry 15/38/0 during 60
minutes of play. They are the 3rd ranked rush D in the land to date, giving
up an average of 86.8 rushing yards per game, with only 6 rushing scores allowed
so far. Over the past 4 weeks, the Redskins have limited opponents to an average
of 93 rushing yards and .5 scores per game - this is one tough defensive front.
LaVar Arrington continues to wish to play, but hasn't actually made it onto
the field yet (knee, questionable). DEs Phillip Daniels (wrist) and Demetric
Evans (ankle) are out, while DTs Jermaine Haley (knee) and Joe Salave'a (knee)
are probable to play. Philadelphia's reserve RB Reno Mahe has been sidelined
for many weeks due to his ankle injury (questionable). LG Artis Hicks (knee,
questionable) and RG Jermane Mayberry (calf, questionable) both missed last
weeks game, and are iffy to make it onto the field this week, too.
The forecast for FedEx Field calls for a high of 48F and a low of 37F with
a 10% chance of precipitation. That sounds like good weather for a football
game to us.
Washington will make things tough for Westbrook and Levens in this phase of
the game.
Pittsburgh's Duce Staley/Jerome Bettis vs.
The New York Jets' Defense (Tough Matchup)
Duce Staley was less-than-impressive in his return to action, with 17/51/0
to his credit (Jerome Bettis assisted with 3/17/0) - the Steelers simply couldn't
do much with their running backs, although Roethlisberger's 3/40/0 helped make
the team total respectable (25/120/0 on the day). Coach Cowher seemed committed
to running Staley despite his struggles and Bettis' strong run of games while
Staley was sidelined. We'll see what happens this week, now that Staley has
had a chance to get back up to game speed.
The Jets field a tough rush defense (6th in the NFL allowing an average of
99.8 rushing yards per game, with only 6 scores allowed in 12 games). Over the
last 4 weeks, the team averages 82 rushing yards allowed per game, with .3 TDs
given away per contest. Houston was held to that level of production last week
(25/83/1) - these guys are stubborn run defenders, folks.
Pittsburgh's report lists C Jeff Hartings (back, probable), G Keydrick Vincent
(quadriceps, probable) and RB Verron Haynes (knee, questionable). The Jets'
LBs Jason Glenn (forearm, probable) and Victor Hobson (ankle, questionable)
were both sidelined last week. DE John Abraham is out (knee).
The forecast for Heinz Field calls for a high of 41F and a low of 36F with
a 10% chance for precipitation. That's very nice December weather in that part
of the USA
The Steelers' starter is trying to get back up to speed, while the Jets continue
to play very well in this phase of the game. The Jets have an edge in this matchup.
San Francisco's Maurice Hicks vs. The Arizona
Defense (Tough Matchup)
The 49ers offense is a mess from top to bottom. Barlow has a mere 42/98/0 rushing
and 11/35/0 receiving to his credit over the last 3 games, and ended up getting
concussed last week - his backup Maurice Hicks has managed 23/98/1 rushing and
5/70/0 receiving in that same span. The 49ers are dead last in the league averaging
3.4 yards per carry this season. Stay far away from this disaster area.
14/34/0 was Kevan Barlow's tally on the ground vs. Arizona back in week 5.
Since then, Arizona has been soft vs. The run, averaging 139.8 rushing yards
allowed per game (30th in the NFL) with 8 rushing scores allowed to date. They
gave up 32/215/1 to the Lions last week, and average 166 rushing yards and 1.3
rushing scores allowed per game over the past 4 weeks - they are a bottom-feeding
defensive unit in this phase of the game.
Barlow is listed as out this week due to his concussion, as is C Jeremy Newberry
(back/knee). Arizona lists LBs Karlos Dansby (knee) and James Darling (Achilles)
as questionable, with DT Darnell Dockett (groin) probable.
The forecast for Sun Devil Stadium calls for a high of 73F with a low of 53F
with a 20% chance for rain. That's great weather for a football game.
Until the 49ers begin to repair their offense, every matchup is going to be
a challenge - history tells us that Barlow (if he plays) is likely to have trouble
with Arizona.
St. Louis' Steven Jackson vs. The Carolina
Defense (Tough Matchup)
Marshall Faulk's bruised knee wouldn't allow him to get in the game last week,
so Steven Jackson carried the load vs. San Francisco (26/119/0) - the word out
of St. Louis is that Jackson will be doing the heavy lifting for the next few
weeks at a minimum (we think he's going to become the featured back in the attack).
His numbers this season have been quite good (when given the chance) - 100/496/2
rushing with 15/138/0 receiving are his totals so far (almost 5 yards per carry).
Carolina's defense has come alive in the second half of the season, and has
allowed an average of 72 rushing yards and .5 rushing TDs per game over the
last 4 weeks, including their shutdown of New Orleans' Deuce McAllister and
company last week (11/30/0). They are a different team than they were in the
first half of the season (reflected by their season average of 118.7 rushing
yards allowed per game, with a total of 15 rushing scores surrendered to date).
The Panthers we see right now looks like last year's NFC Championship squad.
The Panthers' MLB Dan Morgan (questionable) has missed several games due to
his problems with post-concussion symptoms, and fellow LB Brian Allen is nursing
a pectoral injury (questionable), which has cost him game time in recent weeks.
DT Brentson Buckner (knee, questionable) is also listed. Faulk is officially
listed as probable by the Rams, as is T Orlando Pace (thigh). Jackson is questionable
(knee) as is T Grant Williams (shoulder). G Chris Dishman is out (knee).
The forecast for Bank of America Stadium calls for a high of 54F with a 41F
for 10% chance for precipitation. The weather is going to be just about perfect
for football if the forecast holds up.
The Rams have a promising young back in Jackson - while the Panthers have rediscovered
their defense over the past 4 weeks. With home-field advantage behind the defense,
we give the nod to Carolina in this matchup.
Washington's Clinton Portis vs. The Philadelphia
Defense (Tough Matchup)
Joe Gibbs and company remembered to put Clinton Portis in the game plan last
week - the result was 31/148/1 rushing and 3/14/1 receiving when the dust settled
on Washington's 31-7 trouncing of the Giants. Portis scored only his 3rd rushing
score this season (his last one came in week 4) and the 148 yards marked his
5th 100+ yard game this season (it had been 4 weeks since he broke the 100 yard
rushing barrier). Portis owners hope that he can build on his momentum this
week, but it'll be difficult - Philadelphia is coming to town.
Philadelphia shut Portis down back in week 11, with 17/37/0 rushing and 1/-4/0
receiving when all was said and done. They crushed the Packers' backs last week
(18/50/0), and average 83 rushing yards and .3 TDs allowed per game during the
past 4 weeks (114.8 rushing yards per game is their season average) - the Eagles
have come on in this phase of the game during the second half of the season.
G Randy Thomas (hamstring) and T Chris Samuels (ankle) are probable to play.
DEs Jerome McDougle (knee, doubtful) and Derrick Burgess (separated sternum,
out) are almost certain to miss this contest, while LB Nate Wayne is nursing
a sore hamstring (out) and could only play during roughly ½ of last week's
game. LB Keith Adams (ankle) and DT Corey Simon (illness) are probable to play.
The forecast for FedEx Field calls for a high of 48F and a low of 37F with
a 10% chance of precipitation. That sounds like good weather for a football
game to us.
The Eagles are hurting, but have good depth along the defensive front, while
Portis is enduring an up-and-down season - this looks like a tough matchup for
Washington.
Cleveland's William Green/Lee Suggs? vs.
The Buffalo Defense (Bad Matchup)
William Green played horribly last week (12/15/0 rushing with 3/24/0 receiving)
and ended up on the bench after a lost fumble angered interim coach Robiskie.
Lee Suggs' toe makes him a dicey proposition this week at best. Is it the dawn
of the Adimchinobe Echemandu era in Cleveland? The team averages a subpar 3.8
yards per carry this season (25th in the NFL), so the job is no bed of roses
for whoever gets the nod. With rookie QB Luke McCown under center, look for
teams to continue to key on the run in order to force the Browns to throw the
ball. If Kelly Holcomb can play this week, there might be a little more running
room for the Browns to work with.
Buffalo's rush defense is going to make things miserable for the Browns this
week - they are the 4th-ranked rush defense in the league this season (averaging
97.6 rushing yards allowed per game), and they have given up a league-low 4
rushing TDs this year. They are near that pace over the past 4 weeks, giving
up an average of 101 rushing yards and .3 rushing TDs per game. Last week, Miami's
battered stable managed 26/106/1 vs. The Bills.
The Browns list Suggs as questionable due to his injured toe. C Jeff Faine
is probable (shin).Buffalo's defensive front is in good shape.
The forecast for Ralph Wilson Stadium calls for a high of 37F with a low of
30F and a 40% chance of precipitation. In upstate New York, precipitation in
December will be some mix of sleet and snow - if the moisture falls thickly
at game-time, visibility, footing, and ball handling will all become issues
during the game.
This is a bad matchup for Cleveland's bumbling cadre of backs.
New York Giant's Tiki Barber vs. The Baltimore
Defense (Bad Matchup)
Tiki Barber has lost traction since Eli Manning became the Giants' starter
- 55/255/0 rushing and 4/33/0 receiving over the last 3 weeks is a far cry from
the torrid pace with which Barber opened the season. The Giants haven't enjoyed
many opportunities to score, with few 1st downs to their credit, and even fewer
trips to the redzone Things aren't looking up this week, either, as the team
travels to face stalwart Baltimore in Baltimore.
Baltimore gave up 24/98/0 to the Bengals last week - they were as hard to score
on as usual (the team has given up only 6 rushing TDs to date, while averaging
106.9 rushing yards allowed per game (10th in the NFL)). Over the past 4 weeks,
the defensive front has slipped a bit, allowing an average of 123 rushing yards
per contest, and .8 TDs per game - but the Ravens remain an above-average squad
even considering the recent slippage.
The Giants' OL comes in banged up, listing G Chris Snee as probable (jaw/gland).
Baltimore is in fine fettle.
The forecast for M and T Bank Stadium calls for a high of 50F and a low of
41F with a 10% chance for precipitation. A nice, crisp day is around the corner
for this matchup if the forecast holds up.
This looks like a bad matchup for the Giants - their struggling offense vs.
a top ten D, in front of a hostile crowd equals trouble for Barber.
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