Rushing Matchups - Week 15
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Posted 12/16 by Mark Wimer and Joe Bryant, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
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Hi Folks,
Here's our look at the Rushing Matchups for this week.
PLEASE NOTE: This does NOT replace the Cheatsheet ranking. The Cheatsheet rankings
are the final say on where we see a player for that week. The Matchup Breakdowns
are simply one more tool in the box when it comes to helping choose your lineup.
Also note, just because a player has a "bad" matchup, it does NOT mean
he's not a starter in your league. If LaDainian Tomlinson is playing the toughest
rush defense in the league, that just means he's got a tough matchup that week.
He's also your starter. In the same way, if the worst RB on your roster has a
"great" matchup, that doesn't necessarily mean you start him, it just
means he'll likely fare better this week than he normally would.
Bottom line, the cheatsheets are the final word.
Let's jump to it.
Joe
Quick Index
Great Matchups
Washington's Clinton Portis vs. The San Francisco Defense
Buffalo's Willis McGahee vs. The Cincinnati Defense
Philadelphia's Passing Attack vs. The Dallas Defense
Tampa Bay's Michael Pittman vs. The New Orleans Defense
San Diego's LaDainian Tomlinson vs. The Cleveland Defense
St. Louis RBBC vs. The Arizona Defense
Tennessee's Chris Brown/Antowain Smith vs. The Oakland Defense
Oakland's RBBC vs. The Tennessee Defense
New England's Corey Dillon vs. The Miami Defense
Good Matchups
Carolina's Nick Goings vs. The Atlanta Defense
Pittsburgh's Duce Staley/Jerome Bettis vs. The New York Giants' Defense
Baltimore's Jamal Lewis/Chester Taylor vs. The Indianapolis Defense
Dallas' Julius Jones vs. The Philadelphia Defense
Denver's Reuben Droughns/Tatum Bell vs. The Kansas City Defense
Houston's Domanick Davis vs. The Chicago Defense
Minnesota's Onterrio Smith vs. The Detroit Defense
Detroit's Kevin Jones vs. The Minnesota Defense
New Orleans' Deuce McAllister vs. The Tampa Bay Defense
New York Jets' Curtis Martin vs. The Seattle Defense
Arizona's Emmitt Smith vs. The St. Louis Defense
Neutral Matchups
Kansas City's Derrick Blaylock/Larry Johnson vs. The Denver Defense
Seattle's Shaun Alexander vs. The New York Jets' Defense
Tough Matchups
Indianapolis' Edgerrin James vs. The Baltimore Defense
Atlanta's Warrick Dunn/Michael Vick vs. The Carolina Defense
Cincinnati's Rudi Johnson vs. The Buffalo Defense
Chicago's Thomas Jones/Anthony Thomas vs. The Houston Defense
Green Bay's Ahman Green vs. The Jacksonville Defense
Jacksonville's Fred Taylor vs. The Green Bay Defense
Miami's Sammy Morris/Travis Minor vs. The New England Defense
Bad Matchups
New York Giants' Tiki Barber vs. The Pittsburgh Defense
San Francisco's Maurice Hicks/Kevan Barlow vs. The Washington Defense
Cleveland's RBBC vs. The San Diego Defense
Washington's Clinton Portis vs. The San
Francisco Defense (Great Matchup)
Clinton Portis has finally started to find the endzone, which is boosting his
fantasy value significantly in recent weeks. He has amassed 60/245/3 rushing
and 8/36/1 receiving over the last 3 weeks, to place 10th among all fantasy
RBs in fantasy points per game during that period. With 298/1173/5 rushing and
37/215/2 receiving to his credit in 13 games, he's 13th in fantasy points per
game this season (4 of those 7 total TDs coming in the last 3 weeks). He had
23/80/2 rushing and 4/22/0 receiving last week vs. the Eagles - Portis comes
into this game on a roll.
San Francisco has allowed the second-most rushing scores in the NFL this season,
with 18 given up in 13 games, while ranking 13th in the league averaging 112.8
rushing yards surrendered per game. Over the last 4 weeks, they've been near
their season marks, allowing an average of 105 yards and 1.3 TDs on the ground
per contest. Last week, Emmitt Smith and company gained 25/75/3 against this
squad - the 49ers are soft in this phase of the game.
Washington's unit comes into the game listing C Cory Raymer (ankle, probable)
while the 49ers have no new injuries to report on Wednesday in this phase of
the game.
The forecast for Monster Park calls for a high of 62F with a low of 47F and
a 0% chance for precipitation. It sounds like beautiful weather for a football
game is around the corner by the Bay.
Washington's Portis should have a successful afternoon slashing through the
49ers' defense.
Buffalo's Willis McGahee vs. The Cincinnati
Defense (Great Matchup)
Willis McGahee has been on a tear over the last few weeks, with 27/105/2 rushing
and 2/12/0 receiving last week (7/312/6 rushing with 5/42/0 receiving over the
past 3 weeks, good for 3rd among all fantasy RBs in fantasy points per game).
He is the focal point of the Buffalo offense - start him if you've got him.
Cincinnati had trouble containing the Patriots' backs last week, allowing 29/94/2
to New England's squad. Over the past 4 weeks, the Bengals cough up an average
of 128 rushing yards and 1 TD per game - this year, they rank 28th in the NFL
allowing an average of 138.2 rushing yards per game with 10 rushing TDs given
away to date. The Bengals do not deploy a feared rush defense.
Buffalo's Travis Henry continued to be sidelined by his ankle/leg injury last
week (out). C Jon Dorenbos (knee) and T Mike Williams (knee) are both questionable.
Cincinnati's squad is in reasonably good health, with DE Duane Clemons (knee,
questionable) and DE Carl Powell (knee, probable) on the injury report.
The forecast for Paul Brown Stadium calls for a high of 46F with a low of 37F
and a 20% chance of precipitation - that's decent weather for Ohio in mid-December.
McGahee will enjoy room to roam vs. The soft Bengals.
Philadelphia's Brian Westbrook vs. The Dallas
Defense (Great Matchup)
The Eagles ripped Dallas for 33/149/2 rushing in week 10, en route to a dominant
49-21 victory. Brian Westbrook had an off game vs. The stout Redskins last week
(12/59/0 rushing with 6/59/0 receiving), but still cracked 100 yards of offense
combined - he's the 2nd ranked fantasy RB over the last 3 weeks, with 42/170/1
rushing and 22/268/4 receiving to his credit. Westbrook has developed into one
of the league's premier double-threat backs as this season has progressed.
Dallas' rush defense is nothing to crow about in 2004, allowing an average
of 112.5 rushing yards per game (12th in the NFL) and 12 rushing scores to date.
Over the past 4 weeks, the Cowboys average 81 rushing yards allowed per game,
but gave up TDs at the clip of 1.3 per contest during that same period. Deuce
McAllister and friends stuffed 37/105/2 down the 'Boys throats last week. The
defensive front isn't shutting the opposition down this season.
The Eagles list OL Jermane Mayberry (calf, probable) and Artis Hicks (knee,
probable) along with C Hank Fraley (knee/ankle, questionable) and RB Reno Mahe
(ankle, questionable). Dallas' squad reports LB Alshermond Singleton (groin,
questionable).
The forecast for Lincoln Financial Field calls for a high of 44F with a low
of 35F and a 20% chance for precipitation. That's about as nice as you can hope
for in Pennsylvania during the month of December.
Look for Westbrook to ring up some attractive fantasy numbers by the end of
this game.
Tampa Bay's Michael Pittman vs. The New
Orleans Defense (Great Matchup)
Tampa didn't enjoy much success running the ball vs. New Orleans back in week
5, with 26/81/0 rushing as a team. However, Chris Simms started the game (he
was knocked out of it due to injury, and Brian Griese stepped into the top spot
during that game, a position he still holds as of week 14) - Tampa was still
searching for an identity on offense at that point in the season. Last week,
Tampa battled to with 1 TD of San Diego, but the backs had a hard time against
the top-ranked Charger defense, gaining 18/63/0 on the ground. Michael Pittman
has piled up 47/139/1 rushing and 16/192/2 receiving over the past 3 weeks (the
12th best fantasy RB during that span) - he's no joke, despite the off week
vs. San Diego (12/42/0 rushing with 6/46/0 receiving).
New Orleans allowed 27/121/1 to Julius Jones and company last week - New Orleans
averages 151 rushing yards and 1.0 rushing TDs allowed per game over the last
4 weeks. Considering that they are the league's 32nd rush defense, allowing
an average of 149.6 rushing yards per game (with 15 TDs allowed to date in this
phase), the 151 yards allowed average is no surprise. They are the softest rush
defense in the NFL this year.
Tampa comes into the game in decent shape, listing T Kenyatta Walker (leg,
probable) while the Saints list LBs Orlando Ruff (ankle, doubtful), Sedrick
Hodge (knee, questionable) and Roger Knight (knee, questionable).
The forecast for Raymond James Stadium calls for a high of 66F with a low of
47F and a 10% chance for rain - it sounds like a great day is on tap in sunny
Florida.
New Orleans is awful at run defense this season - Pittman and company should
have lots of room to roam on Sunday.
San Diego's LaDainian Tomlinson vs. The
Cleveland Defense (Great Matchup)
LaDainian Tomlinson abused the Buccaneers last week for 25/131/1 rushing (with
4/19/0 receiving) - he's racked up 76/290/5 rushing with 19/93/0 receiving over
the past 3 weeks (to rank 4th among all fantasy RBs during that span) - he is
an elite fantasy back and he should to be in your lineup if you are lucky enough
to have him on your team.
Cleveland's defense is almost as horrible as their offense, especially in this
phase of the game. The team ranks 31st in the NFL this season, allowing an average
of 145.2 rushing yards per game, with a league-worst 19 TDs given up in this
phase of the game. As bad as that sounds, over the past 4 weeks they've been
even worse, giving up an average of 213 rushing yards and 2.0 rushing scores
per game (Buffalo gained 215 yards and jammed in 3 scores vs. Cleveland last
week). This team has completely melted down.
Cleveland lists DT Orpheus Roye (ankle, questionable) and LB Kevin Bentley
(knee, probable). RB Jesse Chatman is probable for San Diego (toe).
The forecast for Cleveland Browns Stadium calls for a high of 44F and a low
of 40F with a 10% chance for precipitation - that's nice weather in our book.
Your grandma could put up 100 yards rushing vs. The Browns while shoving her
wheeled walker down the field. Start Tomlinson and smile.
St. Louis RBBC vs. The Arizona Defense (Great
Matchup)
Marshall Faulk ran wild against the Cardinals back in week 1 (22/128/0 rushing,
with 2/17/0 receiving) and Steven Jackson also enjoyed a solid game (7/50/0).
However, both players were hobbled by knee injuries last week - neither touched
the football. Arlen Harris carried the load, with 19/61/0 rushing and 4/41/0
receiving to his credit. If neither Faulk or Jackson's knee is good enough to
play on Sunday, the team will plug Harris in again.
What is there to be said for this group in Arizona? They allowed the 49ers
backup RB to gain 34/139/1 last week (surrendering 41/168/1 to a team averaging
3.5 yards per carry this season). They average 172 rushing yards and 1.3 TDs
allowed in this phase over the past 4 weeks. There are a lot of adjectives to
describe their play this year (the team ranks 30th in the NFL averaging 142.0
rushing yards allowed per game), but none of them are fit to print. This is
one of the worst units in the league at this point in time.
LB Raynoch Thompson has a shoulder injury (doubtful). G Chris Dishman (knee)
and Jackson (knee) are officially questionable, while Faulk (knee) and T Grant
Williams (shoulder) are probable to go for the Rams. Whether Faulk will start
remains to be seen.
The forecast for Sun Devil Stadium calls for a high of 69F with a low of 45F
and a 10% chance for rain - a pleasant day is around the corner in the desert,
if the forecast holds up.
The Cardinals are lying down during the final weeks of the season. Advantage,
St. Louis.
Tennessee's Chris Brown/Antowain Smith vs.
The Oakland Defense (Great Matchup)
It appears that Chris Brown is good for about 30 minutes of football each week
right now, thanks to his turf toe - he's been right around 100 yards rushing
each week over the last 2 games in which he's played, with 15/91/1 last week
during the first half, and 19/104/0 the week before vs. Indianapolis. As frustrating
as his part-time status is for his fantasy owners, at least he's still putting
up some decent fantasy stats in his chances. Antowain Smith had 10/31/0 in relief
of Brown last week, and 5/12/0 the week before - by the second half of the game,
the Titans' injury-riddled defense has usually put the team in a hole, which
requires Billy Volek to throw the ball a ton.
Oakland's rush defense is weak, allowing an average of 169 yards and 2.0 rushing
TDs per game over the last 4 weeks (a season average of 135.3 rushing yards
allowed, 25th in the NFL, with 17 rushing scores given up to date (3rd-most
in the NFL so far)). Atlanta trampled the Raiders for 46/219/4 last week - they
are horrible in this phase of the game.
Both DT's Ted Washington (foot injury, questionable) and Warren Sapp (knee,
probable) left the game last week - which made the Raiders even worse than usual
in the middle of the field. LB Sam Williams (ankle, doubtful) and DE Tyler Brayton
(neck, probable) are also on the injury report. The Titans list RB Chris Brown
(toe); C Justin Hartwig (finger); T Brad Hopkins (hand); T Fred Miller (ankle);
G Benji Olson (toe) as questionable to play.
The forecast for Network Associates Coliseum calls for a high of 60F with a
low of 43F and a 10% chance for rain - a typical, beautiful California day is
around the corner, it appears.
The Titans should be able to move the ball with ease on Oakland, no matter
which back is taking the handoffs from Volek.
Oakland's RBBC vs. The Tennessee Defense
(Great Matchup)
Oakland's committee of backs managed 23/131/1 vs. Atlanta last week, for the
best team total of the season. Zack Crockett got the score (5/20/1), while Amos
Zereoue (10/50/0) and J.R. Redmond (6/50/0) both posted 50 yard efforts. Obviously,
none of these guys were fantasy gold mines - look for more of the same this
week. The Raiders list G Ron Stone (knee) and RB Tyrone Wheatley (hamstring)
as out.
Sometimes it's just best to let something speak for itself. To get an idea
of how bad the injury situation is for the Titans, find below their injury report
for this week (remember, guys on IR do not appear on this report): Out: CB Samari
Rolle (knee); S Lance Schulters (foot); CB Andre Woolfolk (wrist). Questionable:
LB Rocky Boiman (calf); RB Chris Brown (toe); CB Rich Gardner (toe); DE Carlos
Hall (knee/finger); C Justin Hartwig (finger); DT Albert Haynesworth (elbow);
T Brad Hopkins (hand); TE Erron Kinney (ankle); WR Derrick Mason (ankle); QB
Steve McNair (sternum); TE Shad Meier (hip); T Fred Miller (ankle); G Benji
Olson (toe); LB Cody Spencer (abdomen) Currently on IR: S Tank Williams (knee);
S Justin Sandy (ankle); WR Tyrone Calico (knee); G Zach Piller (biceps); LB
Peter Sirmon (knee); K Joe Nedney (left hamstring). LB Rocky Calmus is also
out due to injury, by the way. It's no wonder their defense can't stop people
in either phase of the game - they average 239 yards passing and 2 TDs per game
allowed in that phase, plus 149 yards rushing and 2 rushing TDs allowed per
game over the last 4 weeks. They're lucky to have 11 guys on the field at this
point.
The forecast for Network Associates Coliseum calls for a high of 60F with a
low of 43F and a 10% chance for rain - a typical, beautiful California day is
around the corner, it appears.
Oakland's committee enjoys solid prospects for a productive team effort this
week.
New England's Corey Dillon vs. The Miami
Defense (Great Matchup)
18/94/0 was Corey Dillon's total on the ground vs. Miami in week 5 (the team
ran for 38/135/1) - since then, New England has lost 1 game, while Miami has
managed to win 2. Dillon has come on strong in the interim, with a season total
of 276/1309/10 rushing and 10/72/0 receiving (10 rushing TDs ties his career
high, by the way). He put up 22/88/1 rushing last week, and has 70/311/4 rushing
over the past 3 games - Dillon is on a roll.
Since week 5, the Dolphins have become the league's 29th ranked rush defense,
allowing an average of 138.8 rushing yards per game (with 10 TDs surrendered
to date). Over the past 4 weeks, they've averaged 124 rushing yards and 1.0
TDs given up per game, including last week's 40/196/2 surrendered to Denver.
This team is on the ropes, partly due to a rash of injuries among the LB corps
(see below).
Miami's D lists LBs Tony Bua (quad, out); Eddie Moore (knee, doubtful); Zach
Thomas (hamstring, doubtful); and Renauld Williams (jaw, probable) along with
DE David Bowens (back, probable). New England is good to go in this phase of
the game.
The forecast for ProPlayer Stadium calls for a high of 74F with a low of 54F
and a 10% chance for precipitation. That's great football weather, folks.
New England should romp all over the injury-depleted and going-nowhere-fast
Dolphins.
Arizona's Emmitt Smith vs. The St. Louis
Defense (Good Matchup)
16/87/1 was the tally on the ground for Emmitt Smith back in week 1 - that
was the last time he saw the Ram's defense. After taking a week off due to a
toe injury, Smith managed 18/53/1 rushing and 1/-3/0 receiving last week - FB
Obafemi Ayanbadejo led the team in scoring last week with 5/13/2. The team put
up points, but failed to capture a "W".
St. Louis allowed the Panthers to grind out 38/119/1 on the ground last week
- they weren't awful in this phase, but they didn't shut down the Carolina attack,
either. The team has averaged 133 rushing yards and .5 scores allowed per game
over the past 4 weeks, which is in keeping with their 26th ranked season average
of 137.5 rushing yards allowed per game. The Rams aren't very good in this phase
of the game.
DE Tyoka Jackson (toe) and LB Pisa Tinoisamoa (shoulder) are listed as probable
- Tinoisamoa's shoulder keeps popping out of joint, and he's been wearing a
harness to support the limb - how long he'll be able to play is an open question.
The Cardinals consider Smith probable at this point in the week (toe), and T
Jeremy Bridges is ill at mid week (probable).
The forecast for Sun Devil Stadium calls for a high of 69F with a low of 45F
and a 10% chance for rain - a pleasant day is around the corner in the desert,
if the forecast holds up.
The Cardinals were modestly successful against the Rams early this year - there's
no reason to suspect they won't be able to do so again given the Rams' soft
defensive front.
Denver's Reuben Droughns / Tatum Bell vs.
The Kansas City Defense (Good Matchup)
Quentin Griffin was the featured back for Denver during week 1 this year (the
last time these teams squared off against each other). Denver tore up K.C. for
36/192/2 rushing that day. Things have changed for Denver since week 1, but
KC hasn't improved their defense very much - the team ranks 13th in the NFL
this season allowing 112.8 rushing yards per game, but has surrendered 15 TDs
in 13 games. Over the past 4 weeks, the Chiefs average 15 rushing yards and
1.3 rushing scores allowed per game.
The Tatum Bell era hit a bump last week when Bell suffered a 3rd degree separated
shoulder. Keep an eye on him this week to see if he can play. He had been impressing
observers in relief of Droughns last week (17/123/2 rushing), but now will have
to see how quickly he can heal. Droughns came back into the game from the bench
(he was sent there after his second fumble of the day) to end up with 18/62/0
rushing for the game. Over the last 3 weeks, Droughn's production has tailed
off, with totals of 60/202/2 rushing and 5/30/0 receiving in 3 games - there
won't be any more sharing with Bell now, though. Garrison Hearst and Cecil Sapp
are Droughn's backups now.
KC lists DE Vonnie Holliday (groin, out); DT Ryan Sims (ankle, questionable)
and DTs John Browning (groin, probable) and Junior Siavii (ankle, probable).
Denver reports Bell as questionable (shoulder), while Droughns (neck), T George
Foster (knee) and G Dan Neil (abdomen) are all probable to play.
The forecast for Arrowhead Stadium calls for a high of 52F with a low of 31F
and a 0% chance of precipitation. At this time of year, the wind is almost always
a factor in this venue - passing is more difficult than usual due to the swirling
winds inside the stadium, which should make the rushing game a focus for the
offense.
Look for the Broncos to enjoy a solid game vs. The unimpressive Chiefs' defense.
Carolina's Nick Goings vs. The Atlanta Defense
(Good Matchup)
Back in week 4 (the last time these teams crossed swords), DeShaun Foster was
the featured back in Carolina, and Nick Goings had 1 reception for 0 yards to
his credit. Recent history won't tell us much about this matchup. During the
Panther's recent winning streak, Goings has been doing a great job as the team's
featured back - he has 90/336/2 rushing and 9/63/0 receiving over his past 3
games (some 30+ touches per game) to rank 11th among all fantasy RBs in fantasy
points per game. Goings has put up 4 straight 100+ yard rushing efforts - he's
the sparkplug that makes the Panther's engine run.
Atlanta pounded the Raiders last week, but it wasn't due to a stellar performance
from the defensive front. The Falcons allowed 23/131/1 to the Raiders' committee
of backs - one of the worst tandems in the league. The Falcons have given up
16 rushing scores this season (tied for 4th-most in the NFL to date) while averaging
105.9 rushing yards allowed per game. Over the past 4 weeks, the team has surrendered
an average of 131 rushing yards and 1 TD per game on the ground - the defenders
aren't getting the job done in this phase of the game.
Carolina reports RB Casey Cramer (concussion, doubtful), RB Nick Goings (ankle,
probable) and C Jeff Mitchell (knee, probable), while the Falcons list DT Edward
Jasper as questionable (hand).
This game is to be played in the Georgia Dome - weather won't be a factor.
Carolina's Goings is on a roll, while the Falcons have been consistently soft
in this phase of the game in recent weeks - advantage, Carolina.
Pittsburgh's Duce Staley/Jerome Bettis vs.
The New York Giants' Defense (Good Matchup)
Duce Staley has returned to active duty, but he hasn't been particularly impressive
in recent weeks, with 33/102/0 rushing and 2/30/0 receiving in 2 games. Bettis,
with 44/174/2 rushing and 1/20/0 receiving (and 1/1 for 10 yards, 1 TD and 0
interceptions passing) has been much more valuable in fantasy terms, ranking
23rd in fantasy points per game over the past 3 weeks (Staley is 39th on that
list during the same span). The tandem has been strong enough to carry the team,
though, as Ben Roethlisberger has not been sharp in the past few contests. Bettis
led the team with 10/57/1 rushing last week, while Staley chipped in 16/51/0.
44/169/0 was the sum total for the Baltimore Ravens' rushers last week vs.
The Giants - the team has not been strong in recent weeks as the defensive line
has been decimated by injuries. The Giants average 183 rushing yards and .8
rushing TDs surrendered per contest over the past 4 weeks, which is much worse
than their lowly (26th in the NFL) season average of 137.5 rushing yard allowed
per contest. The Giants can't even slow down, (forget about stuffing!) their
opponents right now.
This week, the Giants list LBs Barrett Green (ankle/knee, out) - the team has
gone without DT Norman Hand (groin, doubtful) over recent weeks. Pittsburgh
lists backup RB Verron Haynes (knee, questionable); RB Duce Staley (hamstring,
questionable) and C Chukky Okobi (back, probable).
The forecast for Giant's Stadium calls for a high of 47F with a low of 26F
with a 30% chance for precipitation. If the moisture comes down hard at game-time,
footing will be more difficult than usual - ball-handling and visibility could
also become issues. Of course, that's the kind of field a player like Bettis
loves.
The Steelers specialize in rushing the football, while the Giants are more
like turnstiles than a solid wall at this point in the season - advantage, Pittsburgh.
Baltimore's Jamal Lewis/Chester Taylor vs.
The Indianapolis Defense (Good Matchup)
Two teams battling for playoff position face off in this game - quarter won't
be asked or given. Jamal Lewis was given a light workload last week (8/32/0)
so that the team could see how his injured ankle responded - would it swell
and be unduly sore, or is the joint actually close to 100%? As of Wednesday
Lewis is listed as questionable. In last week's romp over the imploding Giants,
the Ravens racked up 44/169/0 as a team on the ground - whether Taylor or Lewis
sees the bulk of the work this week, expect the team to do well rushing the
ball. The early word is that Lewis will see about 2/3 of the carries.
Indianapolis' rush defense has been tough to score on in recent weeks, averaging
128 rushing yards but only .3 TDs given up per game over the last 4 games. 28/148/1
was the final tally for Houston last week vs. Indy - they haven't become like
Pittsburgh overnight, obviously. This year, the Colts rank 20th in the NFL allowing
120.8 rushing yards per contest - they are subpar in this phase of the game
more often than not.
G Edwin Mulitalo is listed as probable by the Ravens (illness) - Taylor is
also probable (thigh). Indianapolis' LB Kendyl Pope has missed a couple of games
(not listed), while LB Cato June (ankle/thigh), DE Robert Mathis (back) and
DT Josh Williams (shoulder) are all probable to play.
This game will be played in the RCA Dome - weather won't be an issue.
The Ravens rely on their backs to make the offense work - the Colts have subpar
rush D at this point in time - advantage, Baltimore.
Dallas' Julius Jones vs. The Philadelphia
Defense (Good Matchup)
Julius Jones wasn't back in the lineup the last time these teams faced off
(in week 10) - since then, he has 86/436/6 rushing and 6/18/0 receiving to his
credit in the past 3 games. He's the top fantasy RB in the land during that
span of time. The Cowboys seem determined to hand him the ball 30+ times a game
- he should be a highly productive fantasy back almost every week.
Philadelphia has suffered yet more attrition along their DL this week, with
DT Hollis Thomas out for 3-6 weeks as of midweek due to a dislocated elbow.
Thomas was a lynch-pin of the run D, so this is a major subtraction for the
team in this phase of the game. DEs Derrick Burgess and Jerome McDougle have
also been sidelined in recent weeks - the Eagles' DL is thin heading into the
stretch run. The team ranks in the middle of the NFL pack this season, averaging
112.8 rushing yards allowed per game (tie-13th), with 9 rushing scores allowed
to date. Over the past 4 weeks they've been tougher, averaging 88 rushing yards
and .5 TDs allowed per game (including their 25/88/2 effort vs. Washington last
week). However, the rash of injuries will have a negative impact on the squad
moving forward.
Dallas enjoys relatively good health, in contrast to Philly. LB Nate Wayne
is also out for the Eagles (hamstring), while DT Corey Simon (back, questionable),
LB Keith Adams (stinger, probable) and DE Hugh Douglas (shoulder, probable)
are also listed.
The forecast for Lincoln Financial Field calls for a high of 44F with a low
of 35F and a 20% chance for precipitation. That's about as nice as you can hope
for in Pennsylvania during the month of December.
Jones is playing very well in recent weeks, while the Eagles are struggling
due to injuries - advantage, Dallas.
Houston's Domanick Davis vs. The Chicago
Defense (Good Matchup)
Houston's Domanick Davis has been stellar over the past few weeks, with 56/309/3
rushing and 14/129/0 receiving to rank 6th among all fantasy backs over the
past 3 weeks. He put up 23/128/1 rushing and led the team in receiving with
6/73/0 last week vs. The Colts - Davis is doing everything well at this point
in time.
Chicago fell on its face last week, losing 22-3, but they held the Jaguars'
backs to 28/90/0 rushing (it wasn't the defensive fronts' fault that the game
went sour). The Bears have been much softer most of the time, averaging 166
rushing yards and .8 TDs allowed per game over the past 4 weeks. They rank 24th
in the NFL this season giving up an 132.8 rushing yards per game, with 7 rushing
scores surrendered to date. A key injury is likely to soften the Bears up in
the middle this week though - read on.
Chicago's MLB Brian Urlacher injured his hamstring and is doubtful to play
again this season (doubtful this week). Houston's injury report tells us that
oft-injured Tony Hollings is doubtful this week due to his chronically sore
hamstring, while C Steve McKinney (chest) and G Zach Wiegert (knee) are probable
to play.
The forecast for Soldier Field calls for a high of 47F with a low of 39F and
a 30% chance for precipitation. If the moisture holds off, the teams should
enjoy a decent afternoon to play some football.
Davis has a good shot at a productive day vs. The subpar Bears.
Minnesota's Onterrio Smith vs. The Detroit
Defense (Good Matchup)
These teams last met in week 11 - on that day, Detroit contained the Viking's
backs, allowing a mere 3.1 yards per carry to their opponents (34/107/1). Onterrio
Smith managed 8/27/0; Michael Bennett had 11/30/0; Moe Williams scrounged up
4/15/1. It was a forgettable afternoon for Minnesota. Minnesota managed 25/113/1
rushing last week vs. Seattle (Smith led the squad with 14/56/1 rushing, and
added 4/41/0 receiving), but the mix included Moe Williams (3/23/0 receiving)
and Michael Bennett (5/25/0 rushing) - too many cooks are spoiling Smith's fantasy
cake.
Detroit allowed 29/116/0 to the Packers last week - they contained Ahman Green
(23/76/0 rushing with 4/20/0 receiving) and almost upset the Packers. The lions
have been pretty tough in this phase lately, allowing an average of 108 rushing
yards and .3 TDs per contest over the last 4 weeks, which is much better than
their 21st ranked season average of 121.3 rushing yards allowed per game.
The Viking's C Matt Birk continues to be sidelined (abdomen). Detroit has been
waiting all season for LB Boss Bailey (he's headed to IR this week due to his
nagging knee injury).
This game is to be played inside the air-conditioned dome called Ford Field.
The Minnesota backs are a powerful group, but right now the situation resembles
a committee, so no one guy is creating huge fantasy numbers. Whoever gets the
call for the Vikings should enjoy some running room this weekend, though.
Detroit's Kevin Jones vs. The Minnesota
Defense (Good Matchup)
Kevin Jones had a very strong outing vs. Minnesota back in week 11, gaining
19/100/0 rushing (3/0/0 receiving) on a day when the team piled up 27/146/0
on the ground. He also tore up the Packers last week, with 33/156/1 on the ground
- Jones has 71/451/2 rushing and 7/25/0 receiving to his credit over the past
3 weeks (7th best fantasy RB in the land during that span). The young man should
be in your starting lineup.
Seattle tore up the Vikings for 31/138/0 rushing in this phase of the game
(the team has allowed an average of 146 rushing yards per game over the last
4 weeks, but 0 scores in that span). The Vikings average 128.8 rushing yards
allowed per game, with 12 TDs given up to date. They are not a "shutdown"
type of rush defense.
Detroit's unit is in good shape (T Jeff Backus has a sore calf, probable),
while the Vikings conceded the loss of LB Raonall Smith (concussion, IR) this
week.
This game is to be played inside the air-conditioned dome called Ford Field.
Jones has a good track record vs. Minnesota, and he's been on a tear lately
- he should enjoy a strong game this week.
New Orleans' Deuce McAllister vs. The Tampa
Bay Defense (Good Matchup)
New Orleans' backs had good success running against Tampa way back in week
5, with 29/145/0 to their credit as a team (21/102/0 rushing for McAllister)
- since then, the ride has been pretty bumpy, though, with the team up and down
in this phase of the game from week to week. Over the past 3 weeks, McAllister
has racked up 60/205/2 rushing with 9/48/0 receiving, to rank 21st among all
fantasy backs during that span. Last week, McAllister put up 30/83/2 rushing
with 4/37/0 receiving - he was a worthwhile fantasy start last week, anyway.
Tampa has been so-so in this phase of the game lately, giving up an average
of 119 rushing yards per game over the last 4 weeks, with .3 TDs surrendered
per game. They were hit for 30/130/1 by LaDainian Tomlinson and company last
week - this season, they average 123.8 rushing yards allowed per game (22nd
in the NFL to date). This is not the dominant defensive front that the name
"Tampa Bay" conjures up in the memory.
New Orleans' Gs Kendyl Jacox (knee, questionable) and Montrae Holland (torn
plantar fascia in right foot, doubtful) both missed the game last week. Tampa's
unit is in decent shape, listing DE Simeon Rice (hamstring, probable).
The forecast for Raymond James Stadium calls for a high of 66F with a low of
47F and a 10% chance for rain - it sounds like a great day is on tap in sunny
Florida.
McAllister had good luck vs. Tampa early in the season, and they aren't any
better today than they were back then - advantage, New Orleans.
New York Jets' Curtis Martin vs. The Seattle
Defense (Good Matchup)
Curtis Martin managed to compile 100+ yards of offense vs. The Steelers last
week (24/72/0 rushing with 3/35/0 receiving) - that's a strong outing vs. The
league's #2 rush D. Over the past 3 weeks, Martin has piled up 71/305/1 rushing
and 7/55/1 receiving to rank 14th among all fantasy RBs in fantasy points per
game during that span. He's a solid #2 fantasy RB for almost any team at this
juncture in the season.
Seattle's rush D was so-so vs. The Vikings, coughing up 25/113/1 to the Minnesota
stable. They have been pretty soft in this phase of the game lately, averaging
132 rushing yards and 2.3 rushing TDs given up per game during the last 4 weeks
- that's quite a bit worse than their season average of 115.5 rushing yards
allowed per game. Seattle's injury problems along the defensive front seven
have definitely contributed to the soft run defense (read below).
LBs Chad Brown and Tracy White were both sidelined last week, although neither
is listed on the injury report on Wednesday, and prized DE Grant Wistrom was
knocked out of the game due to a left knee problem (the second time he's injured
that joint this season) - he's out for 6 weeks due to a torn MCL. DTs Marcus
Tubbs (ankle, out) and Rocky Bernard (knee, doubtful) were both out last week
as well. LB Curtis Randall is out this week (hamstring). The Jets' list G Pete
Kendall (knee, probable) on their early report.
The forecast for Giants' Stadium calls for a high of 45F with a low of 34F
and a 20% chance for precipitation - that's decent football weather, but realize
that the Giants will play on this field just about 24 hours before this game
starts - the field will be chewed up, which could cause problems with footing.
Curtis Martin has the ability to take over a game - the Seahawks will be at
less than full strength on Sunday and aren't very strong in this phase of the
game more often than not. Advantage, New York.
Kansas City's Derrick Blaylock/Larry Johnson
vs. The Denver Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Priest Holmes (26/151/3 rushing in week 1, vs. Denver) was the featured running
back when these teams last met - he's now on IR. The series' recent history
tells us that the Chief's OL can knock the Broncos off the ball, but we didn't
see either Blaylock or Johnson carry the ball against the Broncos the first
time around the block. Over the past 3 weeks, Blaylock has 34/145/3 rushing
and 8/80/1 receiving to his credit, while Johnson has racked up 37/265/4 rushing
and 6/82/1 receiving - Johnson is the 5th best fantasy RB in the land during
that span, Blaylock the 15th - how often do we see one team with 2 top 20 fantasy
backs on the unit at the same time? Not very often - the Chiefs wield an awesome
running game.
Denver's D has been pretty stout vs. The run in recent weeks, averaging 76
rushing yards and .8 TDs allowed per contest. The team ranks 5th in the NFL
this season, giving up 96.7 rushing yards per game (with 13 TDs surrendered
in this phase to date). 22/70/1 was the total that Miami managed against Denver
last week - the Broncos are tough in this phase of the game.
KC placed Priest Holmes on IR this week, as noted above. Also listed are Blaylock
(knee, questionable), FB Omar Easy (knee, questionable), and C Chris Bober (toe,
questionable). Denver's DE Trevor Pryce (back) and DT Luther Elliss (calf) have
both missed a lot of games due to their injuries - Pryce has yet to play a down
in regular season (doubtful), while Elliss seems close to a return (questionable).
The forecast for Arrowhead Stadium calls for a high of 52F with a low of 31F
and a 0% chance of precipitation. At this time of year, the wind is almost always
a factor in this venue -- passing is more difficult than usual due to the swirling
winds inside the stadium. The rushing game is crucial given the usual conditions
in Arrowhead at this time of year.
Two top units clash in this divisional rivalry - home-field advantage gives
the Chiefs some help, but the Broncos aren't going to lay down for Kansas City.
Seattle's Shaun Alexander vs. The New York
Jets' Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Seattle's offense recovered from the doldrums last week, and Alexander sparked
the team with 27/112/0 rushing and 1/12/0 receiving - the Seahawks won a crucial
contest vs. Minnesota to regain their NFC West lead. With 61/234/2 rushing and
4/33/1 receiving to his credit over the past 3 weeks, Alexander is the 16th
ranked fantasy back during that span. He's capable of huge games on any given
Sunday, and should be in your lineup unless you are absolutely loaded with talent
at RB.
31/120/1 was the total that Pittsburgh amassed vs. The Jets last week - they
have averaged 93 rushing yards allowed per game and .5 TDs per contest over
the past 4 weeks. The team ranks 6th in the NFL this season, with an average
of 101.3 rushing yards allowed per game, and a total of only 7 rushing scores
surrendered to date. The Jets have a top ten rush defense to help propel them
into the playoffs.
DE John Abraham is out due to his injured knee, while LB Victor Hobson is probable
to play through his sore ankle. G. Jerry Wunsch has a sore knee (probable),
according to the Seahawks.
The forecast for Giants' Stadium calls for a high of 45F with a low of 34F
and a 20% chance for precipitation - that's decent football weather, but realize
that the Giants will play on this field just about 24 hours before this game
starts - the field will be chewed up, which could cause problems with footing.
Seattle's Alexander is an elite back, while the Jets field a top-ten rush D.
That sounds pretty even to us.
Indianapolis' Edgerrin James vs. The Baltimore
Defense (Tough Matchup)
Two teams battling for playoff position face off in this game - quarter won't
be asked or given. Edgerrin James has been very productive recently, with 28/104/0
rushing and 7/54/0 receiving last week (69/314/2 rushing with 14/101/0 receiving
over the past 3 games), and currently ranks 9th among all fantasy RBs in fantasy
points per game over the last 3 contests. With the explosive passing game forcing
defenses off the line of scrimmage, James usually finds room to roam on Sundays.
Baltimore curtailed Tiki Barber and friends to 21/51/1 rushing last week -
the Ravens average 102.6 rushing yards allowed per game (8th in the NFL) with
7 rushing scores surrendered this season. Over the past 4 weeks, the team is
holding the opposition to 97 rushing yards and .5 TDs on average in this phase
of the game. The Ravens are one of the leagues' best at defending vs. The run.
Indianapolis' C Jeff Saturday (torn calf tendon, questionable) and G Tupe Peko
(ankle, probable) missed the action last week - both have been sidelined for
several contests due to their injuries. Baltimore's defensive front enjoys good
health considering the late stage of the season, although LB Bart Scott has
a knee injury (questionable) while LB T. J. Slaughter (concussion) and DT Ma'ake
Kemoeatu (leg) are both probable to play.
This game will be played in the RCA Dome - weather won't be an issue.
The Colts have the most lethal offense in the NFL, while the Ravens field a
top-ten rush defense - this is going to be a hard-fought tough game between
two very good teams.
Atlanta's Warrick Dunn/Michael Vick vs.
The Carolina Defense (Tough Matchup)
Warrick Dunn and T.J. Duckett carried the ball 29 times during the first meeting
between these teams (in week 4) - Dunn 16/76/1; Duckett garnered 13/63/1. Vick
pitched in 7/35/0 during that early-season game. The load-sharing has continued
all season for these three rushers. Vick has 109/821/2 rushing (with 164/286
for 2124 yards, 11 TDs and 10 interceptions passing this year). Dunn is second
on the team in rushing, with 194/788/7; Duckett has amassed 96/457/8. However,
the character of the team has changed radically for the balance of the regular
season, as T.J. Duckett has been lost for at least this week due to arthroscopic
knee surgery to clean out his left knee. Also, FB Justin Griffith has been lost
for the season due to a broken left ankle - the Falcons are down to Dunn and
Vick in this phase of the game for the next few weeks, at least.
Carolina contained St. Louis' 3rd-stringer last week, holding Arlen Harris
to 19/61/0 rushing (4/41/0 receiving) and limiting the Rams to 21/66/0 on the
ground. Over the past 4 weeks, the Panther's D averages 61 rushing yards and
0 rushing TDs allowed per game - they are much stronger than their season average
of 114.6 rushing yards allowed per game would indicate. This season for Carolina
is the tale of their 1-7 start, and then their meteoric 5 game win streak during
the second half of the season - their defense looks much more like their NFC
championship-caliber unit from 2003 nowadays.
Aside from Duckett and Griffith's woes, the Falcons are in good shape. Carolina's
defensive front has no new injuries to report.
This game is to be played in the Georgia Dome - weather won't be a factor.
This will be a tough game for the suddenly-depleted Falcons - some large cogs
from the offensive machine are sidelined right now.
Cincinnati's Rudi Johnson vs. The Buffalo
Defense (Tough Matchup)
Rudi Johnson ground out 24/89/0 rushing with 2/35/0 receiving vs. The Patriots
last week (the team managed 31/150/1 on the ground during the game) - he's been
adequate but not spectacular over the past 3 weeks, with 69/347/2 rushing and
4/43/0 receiving to his credit (13th fantasy RB in the land during that span).
The guy is a decent #2 fantasy RB, but don't expect a huge pile of fantasy points
this week and you won't be disappointed.
Cleveland managed 17/29/0 vs. The Bills last week. The team averages 56 rushing
yards allowed per game over the past 4 weeks, with .3 TDs surrendered per contest
in this phase of the game. The Bills are 4th in the NFL averaging 92.3 rushing
yards allowed per contest this season, and are tied with Pittsburgh at 1st allowing
only 4 rushing scores all season long. They are one of the premier defensive
fronts in the NFL this year.
Willie Anderson continues to play OT despite a damaged knee (probable this
week), while C Rich Braham is doubtful (knee), and Chris Perry is listed as
probable (abdomen). Buffalo's defense comes into the game in fine health.
The forecast for Paul Brown Stadium calls for a high of 46F with a low of 37F
and a 20% chance of precipitation - that's decent weather for Ohio in mid-December.
Buffalo is very tough to move the ball on in either phase of the game - this
looks like a hard week to be a Johnson owner. Advantage, Buffalo.
Chicago's Thomas Jones/Anthony Thomas vs.
The Houston Defense (Tough Matchup)
Chicago's passing game returned to it's lackluster form last week, allowing
the Jaguars to clamp down on the running game - the Bears managed 14/31/0 rushing
during the game (Anthony Thomas didn't carry the ball at all, although he did
catch 3/18/0 during the drubbing). Chicago is tied for 23rd in the league averaging
3.8 yards per carry this season, and last week's 2.2 average didn't help matters
in that department. The Bears' offense just isn't very good, folks.
Houston managed to slow down Edgerrin James and company last week (30/101/0),
holding the Colts to 3.4 yards per carry during the game. Not too bad for a
squad that has averaged 134 rushing yards allowed per week lately (.3 TDs per
game, though) - Houston is tough to score on while rushing the ball in the redzone
- they are currently tied with Pittsburgh and Buffalo allowing only 4 rushing
scores in 13 games.
Chicago placed OG Rex Tucker on IR this week (hamstring), and lists T John
Tait (knee) and RB Bryan Johnson (foot) as questionable. Houston's unit is in
decent shape, with LB Shantee Orr listed as probable due to an illness.
The forecast for Soldier Field calls for a high of 47F with a low of 39F and
a 30% chance for precipitation. If the moisture holds off, the teams should
enjoy a decent afternoon to play some football.
The Bears are playing poorly as a team right now, while the Texans come into
the game on an up-note - neither unit is consistently powerful, though. The
Texans' knack for keeping opposing backs out of the endzone tips the scales
to their favor, despite being the visitors in this game.
Jacksonville's Fred Taylor vs. The Green
Bay Defense (Tough Matchup)
Fred Taylor just hasn't found the endzone much this season (238/1059/1 rushing
and 36/345/1 receiving) - he hasn't hit pay-dirt in the last 3 games, managing
70/302/0 rushing and 10/70/0 receiving during that span. Last week, Taylor put
up 21/79/0 rushing and 4/23/0 receiving against the usually-soft Bears - his
fantasy potential is severely limited by his non-scoring role in the Jaguars'
offense.
Green Bay's rush D is above average but not spectacular this year, allowing
110.8 rushing yards per contest so far (with 8 rushing scores surrendered to
date). They are sticking to that pace over the last 4 weeks, averaging 110.8
rushing yards and .3 TDs given up per contest in that span, including last week's
poor 39/193/1 showing vs. Detroit. It's fair to say that Green Bay is not at
the top of their game at the moment as they try to recover from the wounds Kevin
Jones inflicted last week.
Both squads come into the game in decent shape -
The forecast for Lambeau Field calls for a high of 38F with a low of 28F and
a 50% chance for precipitation. The moisture is likely to be snow, and the temperature
will feel colder than the mercury reads due to wind-chill - the probable conditions
at game time will make passing the ball much more difficult than usual. A strong
running game will be essential in such conditions.
Taylor hasn't been able to score many TDs this season, and Green Bay isn't
very generous in that department most of the time. Despite last week's poor
showing vs. Detroit, we expect Green Bay to be tough on Taylor in the sub-artic
conditions at Lambeau field.
Green Bay's Ahman Green vs. The Jacksonville
Defense (Tough Matchup)
Ahman Green was adequate but not spectacular last week, with 23/76/0 rushing
and 5/20/0 receiving to his credit vs. The Lions. He's been fairly quiet for
the last few games as he has fought through a painful rib injury, totaling 34/113/0
rushing with 8/37/0 receiving in the last 2 games. Those aren't the kind of
numbers fantasy owners need during the playoffs.
The Jags crushed the Bears' backs last week in the rushing phase of the game,
allowing a mere 14/31/0 to the team. They average 92 rushing yards and .5 TDs
allowed per contest over the past 4 weeks, and are 6th in the NFL averaging
101.3 rushing yards surrendered per game (with only 6 scores allowed in this
phase all year). They have regained their top form in the second half of the
season.
Green Bay's starting C Grey Ruegamer missed last week's game (ankle, probable),
and also lists T Kevin Barry (quadriceps, questionable) and T Chad Clifton (hamstring,
probable). Jacksonville's squad reports DT Marcus Stroud as probable to play
(knee).
The forecast for Lambeau Field calls for a high of 38F with a low of 28F and
a 50% chance for precipitation. The moisture is likely to be snow, and the temperature
will feel colder than the mercury reads due to wind-chill - the probable conditions
at game time will make passing the ball much more difficult than usual. A strong
running game will be essential in such conditions.
Green and company will have a hard time running the ball vs. The stout Jaguar
defensive front.
Miami's Sammy Morris/Travis Minor vs. The
New England Defense (Tough Matchup)
Brock Forsey was carrying the load for Miami the last time these teams met
(week 5) - recent history won't tell us much about this matchup. Since then,
the situation in Miami has evolved into a load-sharing arrangement between Sammy
Morris and Travis Minor - Miami managed 9/36/1 and 10/24/0 from these two last
week (vs. Denver), and totaled 22/70/1 as a team. It's not much of a rushing
attack, but it's all they have.
New England surrendered 31/150/1 to Cincinnati last week during a high-scoring
affair. They are usually much more jealous of rushing yardage, allowing only
84 yards and .3 rushing scores per game on average over the last 4 weeks, with
a season average of 103 rushing yards allowed per game (only 6 rushing scores
in this phase all season long). The Cincinnati game looks like an aberration,
rather than the beginning of a trend.
New England's unit lists LBs Matt Chatham (hamstring) and Roman Phifer (calf)
as questionable, while the Dolphins have FB Rob Konrad (back) as out; while
T Damon McIntosh (back/ankle) and Morris (ribs) are probable to play.
The forecast for ProPlayer Stadium calls for a high of 74F with a low of 54F
and a 10% chance for precipitation. That's great football weather, folks.
Miami should have a tough time running the ball vs. The Patriots.
New York Giants' Tiki Barber vs. The Pittsburgh
Defense (Bad Matchup)
The lack of a credible passing attack is damaging Tiki Barber's productivity.
Teams just aren't afraid of Manning's arm right now, so they load up the box
and stuff Barber regularly. He has managed 53/203/1 rushing and 3/18/0 receiving
over the past 3 weeks in difficult circumstances. 19/55/1 was Barber's total
on the ground vs. Baltimore last week.
Pittsburgh loves to stuff the opposing rushers, and they are very good at doing
so - the team ranks 1st in the NFL with a mere 4 rushing scores allowed this
season, and they are second in the NFL giving up only 79.7 rushing yards per
game. Over the past 4 weeks, the team averages 80 rushing yards and 0 rushing
TDs allowed per contest, including 32/107/0 given up to the Jets' excellent
squad last week (24/72/0 to Curtis Martin).
The Pittsburgh LB corps is getting thin, though, with LBs Kendrell Bell (groin,
out) and Clark Haggans (groin, out) sidelined, and fellow defenders LBs James
Farrior (shoulder) and Clint Kriewaldt (hamstring) listed as questionable, while
DE Brett Keisel (hamstring) is probable. G Chris Snee (gland/jaw, doubtful)
and RB Derrick Ward (ankle, questionable) are listed by the Giants.
The forecast for Giant's Stadium calls for a high of 47F with a low of 26F
with a 30% chance for precipitation. If the moisture comes down hard at game-time,
footing will be more difficult than usual - ball-handling and visibility could
also become issues.
The Giants are struggling, while the Steelers are rolling in this phase. Advantage,
Pittsburgh.
San Francisco's Maurice Hicks/Kevan Barlow
vs. The Washington Defense (Bad Matchup)
Kevan Barlow's joke about the team needing to draft a whole new offensive line
next April rubbed his antagonist (and lead blocker) FB Fred Beasley and the
OL the wrong way last week - they set about proving him wrong by opening holes
for Barlow's then-backup Maurice Hicks, who responded with a 34/139/1 performance
(the team gained 41/168/1 on the day). Even if Barlow's concussion-related symptoms
have abated by Saturday, he will be riding the pine, watching Hicks tote the
rock vs. Washington. The team's OL has not been very good, really, averaging
3.5 yards per carry in 2004 (31st in the league) - sometimes the truth hurts
(but Barlow fumbled the situation - Beasley is always quick to attack Barlow,
though).
Washington's rush defense is one of the elite defensive fronts in the NFL this
year, allowing an average of 85.2 rushing yards per game (3rd in the NFL) with
7 rushing scores allowed in 13 games. Last week, Philadelphia could only muster
17/67/1 against this club (they have averaged 85 rushing yards allowed and .5
rushing scores surrendered per game over the last 4 weeks). Whatever lens you
use to look at this squad, the view remains the same - the Redskins field one
of the best rush defenses in the NFL.
The 49ers list Barlow as questionable, and include Hicks as probable (ribs)
on the Wednesday injury report, along with T Scott Gragg (shoulder, probable).
Washington's ever-injured LB LaVar Arrington is reported to be questionable
to play this week despite his nagging knee injury. Other defenders listed include
DE Demetric Evans (ankle, questionable).
The forecast for Monster Park calls for a high of 62F with a low of 47F and
a 0% chance for precipitation. It sounds like beautiful weather for a football
game is around the corner by the Bay.
A poor OL (with a weak cast of skill-position players lined up behind the big
guys) faces off against a premier rush D in this matchup - advantage, Washington.
Cleveland's RBBC vs. The San Diego Defense
(Bad Matchup)
Cleveland's offense is in complete disarray. Teams don't fear rookie Luke McCown
in the passing phase, and can therefore load the box vs. The Browns' backs -
the team managed 17/29/0 rushing last week, led by William Green's 11/5/0. Adimchinobe
Echemandu led the team in yardage with 5/13/0. Stay far, far away from this
matchup, folks.
San Diego kept Tampa Bay under control, allowing only 18/63/0 rushing to the
tandem of Pittman and Alstott - they are the #1 run D in the league this year,
averaging 77.5 rushing yards allowed per game (with 14 scores given up to date,
though). Over the past 4 weeks, the Chargers have been right on pace, allowing
only 75 rushing yards per contest, while surrendering 1.3 rushing scores per
game.
Cleveland's Lee Suggs has been sidelined over the last few weeks due to his
injured toe (questionable). The teams' starting C, Jeff Faine, injured an ankle
last week (not listed). The Chargers have DT Eric Downing (knee, probable) on
their Wednesday report.
The forecast for Cleveland Browns Stadium calls for a high of 44F and a low
of 40F with a 10% chance for precipitation - that's nice weather in our book.
San Diego has a rush D that is almost as good as the Bills - look for the Browns
to flop again this week.
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