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Rushing Matchups - Week 3

Hi Folks,

Here's our look at the Rushing Matchups for this week.

PLEASE NOTE: This does NOT replace the Cheatsheet ranking. The Cheatsheet rankings are the final say on where we see a player for that week. The Matchup Breakdowns are simply one more tool in the box when it comes to helping choose your lineup.

Also note, just because a player has a "bad" matchup, it does NOT mean he's not a starter in your league. If LaDainian Tomlinson is playing the toughest rush defense in the league, that just means he's got a tough matchup that week. He's also your starter. In the same way, if the worst RB on your roster has a "great" matchup, that doesn't necessarily mean you start him, it just means he'll likely fare better this week than he normally would.

Bottom line, the cheatsheets are the final word.

Let's jump to it.

Joe


Byes

  • Buffalo's Travis Henry
  • New England's Corey Dillon
  • New York Jets' Curtis Martin
  • Carolina's DeShaun Foster, Stephen Davis

Houston's Domanick Davis vs. The Kansas City Defense (Great Matchup)

Domanick Davis is a premier double-threat fantasy back. He's #3 on the fantasy RB board after two weeks, with 46/165/2 rushing and 16/165/0 receiving to date - that's a lot of offense in only 2 weeks, folks. Despite his success, the team is averaging 3.6 yards per carry, so he needs to improve that. However, with so many ways for Davis to contribute to the offense (he has scored 7 TDs in his past 6 games, and is second in the AFC with 16 first downs this season), he needs to be on the field for your fantasy squad if you are lucky enough to have him. His only real downside (and it's real) is that he's been fumbling a lot. Watch this closely.

Kansas City's defensive front is a shambles again in 2004. Averaging 187.5 rushing yards allowed per game, 3 scores allowed to date. Slashed for 32/174/1 last week by DeShaun Foster (39/183/1 as a team), the pain just keeps coming for the Chiefs. It's ugly in this phase of the game there in KC.

RT Todd Wade felt weak last week after spending time in the hospital to fight an infection, and RG Zach Wiegert had his left elbow injured in the game (questionable). Several linemen are dinged up (all listed as probable): C Steve McKinney has a sore shoulder, and G Todd Washington has a sore arm. Tony Hollings' knee is still a problem (questionable). DE Vonnie Holliday missed last week due to a groin injury (questionable), and LB Kenyaron Fox has a sore thigh (questionable). DTs John Browning (foot) and Junior Siavii (neck) are probable to play, as is DE Jared Allen (knee).

This game will be played in near-perfect weather (if the forecast is right) at Arrowhead Stadium - 75F for a high, 48F for a low, with a 20% chance of precipitation.

Davis is a multifaceted runner, and the Kansas City defensive front is anything but "chief" in this department. A huge edge flows to the visitors.


Atlanta's Warrick Dunn / T.J. Duckett vs. The Arizona Defense (Great Matchup)

The word on Warrick Dunn's knee was withheld by the coaching staff on Tuesday - the team cited NFL rules requiring disclosure on Wednesday. Dunn was listed as questionable Wednesday and looks to be improving. Barring any setbacks, he'll start Sunday. T.J. Duckett has been an afterthought in this offense (11/58/0 rushing so far in 2004 regular season), so the Falcons would obviously prefer to have Dunn in the lineup. With 4 TDs in the first 2 games to his credit (33/106/4 rushing, 1/1/0 receiving), his fantasy owners would very much like to see him on the field, too. Last week, Michael Vick got frisky and reeled off 109 yards rushing on 12 carries, so he is starting to pay fantasy dividends for his owners.

Arizona's rush defense is very soft, allowing an average of 174 rushing yards per game. They were trampled for 42/172/0 by the Patriots last week, right in tune with the Cardinals' usual results so far this year. The team has not allowed a rushing score, at least. DL Bert Berry (5 solo tackles, 2 assists, 1 sack, and 1 fumble recovery) was the 5th best IDP player at his position, and LB James Darling was 9th with 6 solo tackles, 3 assists, 1 interception and 1 pass defensed.

Dunn's knee is listed as questionable on the initial NFL injury report. LT Kevin Shaffer sat out last week's game due to a knee injury (not listed on Wednesday). Arizona's unit is in good shape, for the most part, though LB Raynoch Thompson is doubtful due to a knee injury.

This game is to be played in the Georgia Dome, so weather won't be a factor.

Whoever runs the ball for Atlanta will find lanes to make things happen against the soft Cardinal's defensive front.


St. Louis' Marshall Faulk vs. The New Orleans Defense (Great Matchup)

Marshall Faulk was barely effective against the Falcons last week, with 12/20/1 rushing and 5/21/0 receiving on the day. Only the TD saved his fantasy owners from utter disaster. Faulk tweaked his knee during the game, but refused to tell the press much about the problem after the game - he was clearly limited, however. Faulk is the 18th ranked fantasy RB after 2 weeks, averaging 12.3 fantasy points per game to date. The Rams do sport a healthy 4.6 ypc average even with the bad game in the mix, we're hoping the last game is an aberration, not a trend - but keep an eye on Faulk's injury status this week. His knees have been a flash point for trouble in the last few seasons, so any injury to them is worrisome.

New Orleans can't stop anybody in this phase. They average 174.5 rushing yards allowed per game, and have given up 5 rushing score in 2 weeks (worst in the NFL in scores allowed, 31st in average yards allowed). Kevan Barlow moved the ball on them at will last week, 20/114/2, and the team racked up 34/180/3 against the Saints. They are weak in this phase of the game. Charles Grant was the 10th best IDP DL last week, with 5 solo tackles, 1 assists, 1 sack and a pass defensed.

DT Brian Young (hip flexor, questionable) and DE Darren Howard (Neck injury, questionable) were sidelined last week for the Saints. St. Louis' OL Tom Nutten sat out the game last week due to a turf toe injury (questionable). G Chris Dishman has a sore toe (probable).

This game is to be played in the Edward D. Jones Dome, so weather won't be a factor.

St. Louis struggled in this phase last week, but the Saints are the Levitra of rush defenses in 2004 - they'll get any back going, no matter how old or banged up. Advantage, Rams.


Denver's Quentin Griffin vs. The San Diego Defense (Great Matchup)

Quentin Griffin went from fantasy hero to fantasy goat in one week, putting a critical fumble on the turf in a close game vs. Jacksonville (he also failed to score). Publicly, coach Shanahan is still backing Griffin but he really needs to hang onto the ball this week, if only to allow his fantasy owners to lay off the Tums for a week. In yardage leagues, 25/66/0 rushing and 5/29/0 receiving made for a decent outing, but nothing special. Griffin is the 5th ranked fantasy RB after 2 games, averaging 21.6 fantasy points per game, and Denver as a team is averaging a healthy 4.2 yards per carry, so everything looks good for him to return to elite levels of production this week.

Why does everything look good? Because the San Diego Chargers and their rush defense are coming to town. The Chargers are next-to-last in rushing scores allowed so far in 20004, with 4 given up, and allow an average of 116 rushing yards per game (17th in the NFL). They were bulldozed for 32/119/2 by Curtis Martin last week. The Chargers are very generous in this area to start 2004.

San Diego's LB Randall Godfrey suffered lacerations to his face and mouth last week (probable). DE Adrian Dingle missed the game due to an injured thigh (questionable). Denver comes into the game in fairly good shape, although backup RBs Garrison Hearst (ankle, questionable) and Tatum Bell (finger, probable) are nursing injuries back to health, and T Cornell Green has a sore groin (probable).

The forecast for Mile High Stadium calls for a high of 72F and a low of 47F with a 30% chance of showers. Heavy precipitation at game time could make the field soggy and slippery.

Griffin at home vs. a bottom-feeding defense equals a return to elite production, we're thinking. Advantage, Denver.


San Diego's LaDainian Tomlinson vs. The Denver Defense (Good Matchup)

San Diego's LaDainian Tomlinson did more of the same great stuff last week, rushing for 19/87/1 vs. the Jets and adding 3/76/0 through the air. He's solid. After 2 weeks he averages 20 fantasy points per game (8th among all fantasy RBs so far). Start him if you've got him.

Denver smothered the Jaguars' backs last week, allowing a mere 22/67/0 rushing on the day. They rank as the 19th NFL rush defense this year, allowing an average of 117 rushing yards per game, with 3 scores allowed to date. They are a middle of the road unit that has been up and down so far in 2004.

Denver has lost DT Trevor Pryce for 4-6 weeks due to surgery to remove loose bodies in his spine (fragments of a disk). The Chargers come into the game in good shape in this phase, with Tomlinson probable to play despite a slightly jammed toe.

The forecast for Mile High Stadium calls for a high of 72F and a low of 47F with a 30% chance of showers. Heavy precipitation at game time could be a factor.

Tomlinson is an elite back, the Broncos a middle of the road defense. Advantage, Chargers.


Chicago's Thomas Jones vs. The Minnesota Defense (Good Matchup)

Thomas Jones is a top 5 fantasy back after two games, averaging 22.2 fantasy points per outing so far in 2004. 23/152/1 and 1/7/0 were his totals against the Packers last week - he's on fire, folks. Chicago averages 4.6 yards per carry so far in 2004, so the big guys up front are doing their part, too. It's all good in this phase of the game for the Bears.

Minnesota has been tough to run on this season, allowing 81 rushing yards per game on average (2 scores to date), which makes them the 5th ranked rushing defense in the NFL. But don't let the low average fool you - Philadelphia touched them for a 5.4 yards-per-carry average last week (17/91/1) - so while the Vikes aren't giving up 100 yard games so far (Dallas pretty much had to abandon the run in week 1), they also aren't shutting the opposition down, by any stretch of the imagination.

RG Mike Gandy had to leave the game last week with a hamstring injury (questionable), and fellow OG Rex Tucker is sidelined due to an elbow injury (out). Minnesota's defense enjoys good health to date.

This game is to be played in the Metrodome, so weather won't be a factor.

Thomas is on fire, and the Vikings allowed a lot of room to Michael Westbrook last week - advantage, Chicago.


Minnesota's Onterrio Smith vs. The Chicago Defense (Good Matchup)

Onterrio Smith had a tough outing vs. The Eagles last week, managing just 10/28/0 rushing and 8/56/0 on a night when the Vikings were chasing the Eagles and using a lot of 5-wide alignments to try and catch up. With the receiving yards, it wasn't a horrible fantasy performance, but neither was it stellar. So far, Smith is the 16th ranked fantasy RB in the land, averaging 14.25 fantasy points per game, and the team has averaged 4.6 rushing yards per carry (8th in the NFL), so overall the Vikings are off to a strong start in this phase of the game. Smith had his first 100+ yard game and his highest career rushing total to date (148) against the Bears last season.

Ahman Green and company ground out 31/152/0 against the Bear's defensive front last week - they were not at the top of their game in this phase last week. The team averages 114.5 rushing yards allowed per game to date (16th in the NFL), but has yet to surrender a rushing score.

Minnesota took a blow to their OL when it was discovered that RT Mike Rosenthal is probably done for the year due to a right foot injury (out). RBs Michael Bennett (knee) and Moe Williams (ankle) are officially listed as questionable, but Bennett is not expected back until after the bye week. LB Marcus Reese missed last week for Chicago (hamstring, probable), and DT Alfonso Boone is likely out due to a sprained knee suffered in last week's game (out).

This game is to be played in the Metrodome, so weather won't be a factor.

Smith and company should find some room to run against the Bears, but scoring may be another matter - still, we like this matchup for the Vikings at home, and think the home team has an edge in this phase of the game.


The New York Giants' Tiki Barber/Ron Dayne vs. The Cleveland Defense (Good Matchup)

18/42/0 and 9/12/0 were all the rushing that Tiki Barber and Ron Dayne, respectively, could accumulate against the Redskins last week. It was an atypically poor outing for Barber especially, as the team has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over the first 2 games primarily due to Barber's explosive runs. Barber did add 2/27/0 to his total through the air, but it was still a mediocre outing for his fantasy owners, at best. He has averaged 16.45 fantasy points per game in the first 2 weeks, 13th best fantasy RB on the board, so don't give up on Barber just yet - Washington is the top rush D in the NFL after 2 games, after all.

Dallas' ensemble of RBs put up 28/126/1 against the Browns last week, averaging 4.5 yards per carry on the day. The Browns have allowed an average of 107 rushing yards per game (11th in the league) and 1 score so far in 2004, and shut down Baltimore's Jamal Lewis in week 1 - it's fair to say they've been up and down in this department so far. Cleveland's DE Ebenezer Ekuban was the 8th best IDP DL last week, with 5 solo tackles, 1 sack, 1 forced fumble and a fumble recovery. DE Kenard Lang is tied for the AFC sack lead with 3 so far in 2004.

The Giants list Ron Dayne as questionable to play (calf). Cleveland suffered a major blow this week when the team learned that DE Courtney Brown has been lost for the season due to a foot injury. LDT Gerard Warren has a strained pectoral muscle that was aggravated during the game last week (out). DE Ebenezer Ekuban is battling a groin injury (questionable). The Cleveland defensive front is reeling due to injury woes.

The forecast for Giants stadium calls for a high of 74F and a low of 54F with a 20% chance of rain - perfect football weather is on tap in the Big Apple.

The Giants have some talent carrying the ball, and the Browns have injury problems that are reducing their defensive fronts' capacity to defend the run. Advantage, New York.


Green Bay's Ahman Green vs. The Indianapolis Defense (Good Matchup)

Green Bay's rushing attack has been very good to commence the regular season. 57/247/2 and 4/4/1 over the first two weeks puts Ahman Green at #6 on the fantasy RB board. 24/128/0 and 2/7/0 were his totals last week, against a very game Chicago defense. Green looks like he's everything his fantasy owners expected, at least so far.

Indianapolis' rush defense is not stellar, ranking 20th in the NFL after 2 weeks, allowing an average of 117.5 rushing yards per game and 2 scores to date. Last week, Chris Brown trampled the Colts for 26/152/1 rushing (the Titans put up 30/153/2 as a team).

Green Bay's C Mike Flanagan was forced from the last game by a sore knee (probable this week). RBs Najeh Davenport (hamstring, questionable) and Nicholas Luchey (groin, probable) are also listed. Indianapolis lists LB Gilbert Gardner (ankle) as questionable.

This game is to be played in the RCA Dome, so weather won't be a factor.

Ahman Green and the Packers run the ball with authority, and the Colts have been weak in this phase to start 2004. Advantage, Green Bay.


Indianapolis' Edgerrin James / Dominic Rhodes vs. The Green Bay Defense (Good Matchup)

Indianapolis may have to rely on the backup RBs Dominic Rhodes and company, as Edgerrin James injured his hamstring in the last game and is iffy this week (questionable on the injury report). Rhodes has been adequate in his appearances in relief of James (270/1261/9 rushing and 40/286/1 receiving in 26 games during 2001 and 2003). A career 4.7 ypc average is very respectable at the NFL level. Indianapolis is tied for 3rd in the NFL this season averaging 5.1 ypc to date, making it clear the OL is doing its usual stellar job run-blocking.

Green Bay's defensive front got mauled by the Bears last week for 35/182/1. Not good. They have averaged 110 yards allowed per game to date, with only the 1 score allowed - the unit has been up and down in the early going this season, obviously. Nick Barnett was a top IDP LB last week, with 8 solo tackles, 3 assists and a fumble recovery (5th best fantasy LB).

Green Bays' NT Grady Jackson dislocated a knee cap 2 weeks ago and is listed as out for this game, as is James Lee (knee). DT Cletidus Hunt bruised his ribs last week and did not return to action (not listed). DT Kenny Peterson is questionable due to a sore ankle. Aside from James' injury, the Colts are in good shape coming into this one, listing James Mungro (wrist) as probable.

This game is to be played in the RCA Dome, so weather won't be a factor.

Rhodes can get the job done if James can't go, and the Packers have been erratic on run defense so far this season, and are coming off a bad game into another teams' house. Advantage, Indianapolis.


Washington's Clinton Portis vs. The Dallas Defense (Good Matchup)

Clinton Portis had a low-profile outing last week, managing 20/69/0 rushing and 2/29/1 receiving (the receiving TD kept his fantasy points up - but he also lost 2 fumbles, which depressed his value in leagues with penalties for such missteps). After 2 weeks he is the 10th ranked fantasy RB, with an average of 19.05 fantasy points per game to his credit.

Dallas contained the Browns' backs last week, allowing 26/136/0 to the team, and kept starter William Green corralled (19/52/0). They are the 27th ranked rush defense in the league currently, allowing an average of 136 rushing yards per contest, but have surrendered 0 TDs in this phase.

Both teams enjoy relatively decent health coming into this game, though T Chris Samuels has a sore groin (probable).

The forecast for Fed-Ex field calls for a high of 72F with a low of 53F and a 10% chance of precipitation. Sounds like a great night to play some football and tailgate.

Portis is an explosive back, while the Cowboys are playing fairly soft in this phase of the game. Home-field advantage makes this a good matchup for Portis and company. Dallas held the Browns down but Will Green is no Clinton Portis.


Philadelphia's Brian Westbrook vs. The Detroit Defense (Good Matchup)

Brian Westbrook is doing heavy duty work with the Eagles this season, rushing the ball 29/188/0 and catching 8/111/0. The lack of scoring has depressed his fantasy value to 15th among all fantasy RBs (he averages 14.95 fantasy points per game), but he is still a solid #2 guy, especially in point per reception leagues. Last week he averaged 5.8 yards per carry on 12/69/0 rushing. He's the workhorse in Philly, no doubt. In fact, his 299 combined yards from scrimmage leads the NFC and is 3rd in the NFL after 2 games.

Detroit's rush D is only mediocre so far in 2004, allowing an average of 120 rushing yards per game (21st in the NFL) and giving away 2 rushing scores to date. Last week, they held the Texans to 32/112/0 rushing (giving up another 95 receiving to Domanick Davis, though). James Hall was the top DL in IDP circles last week, with 5 solo tackles, 1 assist, 2.5 sacks, 1 forced fumble and a pass defensed. Hall leads the NFL in sacks at this point, and 1 more sack would equal his career best, so he has turned up the intensity quite a bit to start 2004.

Hall did all the above with a broken thumb (probable). LB Boss Bailey continues to be sidelined due to his knee injury. DE Kalimba Edwards (foot, questionable) and DT Shaun Rogers (ankle, probable) are also listed. The Eagles have no new injuries of note to report.

This game is to be played in Ford Field, so weather won't be a factor.

Westbrook plays on a powerful and balanced offense, and the Lions are only mediocre at run defense. Advantage, Philadelphia.


Detroit's Kevin Jones vs. The Philadelphia Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Kevin Jones averaged a solid 4.8 yards per carry during his 12/57/0 outing (1/13/0 receiving), but most fantasy points aren't awarded for ypc. After 2 weeks, Jones is the 30th fantasy RB in the land, with an average of 7 fantasy points scored per game - not what his owners had in mind, but he's learning.

Philadelphia's defense basically manhandled the Vikes, holding them to 19/78/0 rushing, including some great goalline play that denied Daunte Culpepper a score (and generated a turnover). Even with that game, they are just the 23rd ranked rush D after two weeks, allowing an average of 124 rushing yards per game (2 scores to date). It's fair to say the unit has been up and down to start 2004 - they come into this game on a high-note, though.

Detroit lists T Matt Joyce (elbow, questionable) on the Wednesday injury report, while Philly has several complaints to report. DE Jerome McDougle (groin) and DT Darwin Walker (calf) are questionable. DT Paul Grasmanis (Achilles/knee, probable) and LBs Dhani Jones (ankle), Mark Simoneau (ankle) and Nate Wayne (pectoral) are all listed as probable.

This game is to be played in Ford Field, so weather won't be a factor.

Two solid but unspectacular units face off in this game - it sounds like a neutral matchup to us.


Pittsburgh's Duce Staley vs. The Miami Defense (Neutral Matchup)

The Steelers' prize rookie QB gets a baptism by fire in his first NFL start, running into the defiant Dolphins' defense at home. He'll need help from Duce Staley and Jerome Bettis to stay in one piece. Duce Staley was "the man" last week, carrying the ball 16/57/0 (1/9/0 receiving) into the teeth of the Ravens' defense. Bettis didn't touch the ball in week 2. After 2 weeks, Staley is 26th on the RB board, averaging 8 fantasy point per week - his team has averaged a mere 3.4 yards per carry, so the big guys up front need to suck it up and start blasting open some holes for the backs to run through.

Miami has been under performing on rush defense. 29/94/0 is what the Bengals managed to muster against the Dolphins last week, as they bounced back from their bad game vs. Tennessee week 1. The team ranks 28th in the NFL right now, allowing an average of 138 rushing yards per game, with 0 rushing scores allowed, though - that average is largely due to the poor game vs. Tennessee, though. Jason Taylor was the 6th best IDP DL last week, with 4 solo tackles, 2 assists, 1 sack, 1 interception and 1 pass defensed, while his brother-in-law Zach Thomas was the #1 LB last week with 8 solo tackles, 4 assists, 1 sack and a pass defensed.

DT Larry Chester tore his ACL last week and is gone for the season, and Tim Bowens has a herniated disk in his back (doubtful), so the Dolphins are thin on DL right now. DE Jason Taylor hurt his foot in the game (probable), but returned to action. Also listed as probable: DE David Bowens (stomach), DT Bryan Robinson (hand), and LB Junior Seau. LB Zach Thomas suffered a minor concussion, and fellow LB Tony Bua hurt his hamstring (doubtful) - the Miami defensive front is banged up right now. RB Verron Hayes is listed as questionable by Pittsburgh (hip pointer).

The forecast for Pro Player Stadium calls for a high of 88F and a low of 74F with a 30% chance of rain. If the precipitation comes down hard at game-time, field conditions could be a factor.

Pittsburgh comes into Miami with a rookie QB at the helm, so they will try and run the ball a lot. They haven't had a lot of success doing that, and the Dolphins won't make it easy, even as banged up as the front seven is currently. We call it a neutral matchup, with the injuries helping level the field for Pittsburgh.


New Orleans' Aaron Stecker / Ki-Jana Carter vs. The St. Louis Defense (Neutral Matchup)

New Orleans is in a world of hurt in this phase of the game, with All-World RB Deuce McAllister sidelined by a high ankle sprain. Aaron Stecker also tweaked an ankle in the game last week, so the plan for now is to split the workload between Stecker and the aging Ki-Jana Carter. Even with McAllister in the lineup, the team has averaged a paltry 2.8 rushing yards per carry, tied for 29th in the NFL over the first two weeks of the season. Let's just say we we're a little worried about how these guys will do in McAllister's place.

St. Louis has been ultra-soft in this department during 2004, allowing an average of 172.5 rushing yards per game in the early going, and allowing 2 rushing scores to Warrick Dunn (14/43/2) on the same day that Michael Vick galloped for 12/109/0. All told, the Rams coughed up 38/242/2 to the Falcons last week. Ouch. Pisa Tinoisamoa did his best to stem the tide, racking up 8 solo tackles, 1 assist, and a sack to rank 7th among fantasy LB last week, but it was not nearly enough to stop the Falcons.

Aside from McAllister (questionable), the Saints are in good shape. St. Louis is down DT Jimmy Kennedy (foot, out) and LB Trev Faulk (hamstring, doubtful).DE Leonard Little has a sore knee (probable), DE Erick Flowers (back, probable) and LB Tommy Polley has sore ribs (probable).

This game is to be played in the Edward D. Jones Dome, so weather won't be a factor.

Two struggling units face off in this game, one with a RBBC and the other reeling from a beating at the hands of Atlanta. That sounds ugly, but even, to us.


Baltimore's Jamal Lewis vs. The Cincinnati Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Jamal Lewis got back into the swing of things last week, with 24/62/2 rushing against the hard-nosed Pittsburgh defense. The Ravens as a team put up 41/172/2, and are very glad to have LT Jonathan Ogden back in front of their RBs. The team average of 3.9 rushing yards per carry is a little low, but the first game the team really struggled to rush the ball due to injury issues on the OL (including Ogden missing the first game). One thing is for sure, with the lame passing attack the Ravens can scrape together with Todd Heap and Travis Taylor sidelined by injuries, the team will have to rely on the RBs for offense this week.

Cincinnati has been mediocre in this phase to start the season, allowing an average of 122 rushing yards per game (but only 1 score) to rank 22nd in the NFL. They did totally dominate the Dolphin's attack last week - Lamar Gordon managed a pathetic 19/22/0 on the day and the team had 20/25/0 to their credit. It's fair to say that the Bengals are on a roll in this phase of the game right now. But surely some of that can be attributed to Lamar Gordon and Miami. Nate Webster was near the top of the heap among IDP LBs last week, with 7 solo tackles, 3 assists, 1 sack and 2 passes defensed (2nd LB in the NFL last week).

C Mike Flynn (clavicle, out) and T Ethan Brooks (knee, questionable) were out of action for the Ravens last week. DT Matthias Askew missed the game vs. Miami for the Bengals (knee, out), and backup rookie LB Caleb Miller also missed the game with an ankle injury (doubtful this week). DE Carl Powell has a knee injury (out), and fellow DE Robert Geathers has a tweaked ankle (probable).

The forecast for Paul Brown Stadium calls for a high of 74F and a low of 48F with a 20% chance of precipitation. If that's not good football weather, we don't know what is.

Baltimore will have to run the ball all day long against the Bengals, who have been up and down in this phase of the game this year - we call it an even matchup.


Seattle's Shaun Alexander vs. The San Francisco Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Shaun Alexander had an off game last week, putting up 17/45/0 after an early return to the lineup from a bone bruise in his knee. Coach Holmgren claimed responsibility for the slow day, saying the blocking schemes weren't well designed, but it was probably a combination of both factors that led to the slow game. 2 games in to the regular season, Alexander is still at #9 among all fantasy RBs in fantasy points per game (19.55), which serves to underline his explosive potential. Don't let one slow week scare you off.

San Francisco only had to deal with Deuce McAllister for 3 carries last week (he went down to a high ankle sprain early in the game), and held the Saints' backups and Aaron Brooks to 24/46/0 on the day. They are the 3rd ranked rush defense in the league allowing an average of 70.5 yards per game, with 2 scores allowed, but that average is artificially low due to the early injury to McAllister.

Aside from Alexander's sore knee (not listed), the Seahawks are in good shape. 49er DEs Andrew Williams (broken leg, out) and Andre Carter (back, doubtful) missed the game last week, and DE John Engelberger hurt his wrist (not listed on Wednesday).

The forecast for Qwest Field calls for a high of 66F with a low of 52F and a 40% chance of rain. Seattle's team is used to the soggy Northwest, but if the rain comes down hard at game-time field conditions could be a factor.

Alexander is still getting back to top form, while the 49ers are playing hard in this phase of the game. We think this looks pretty even heading into the weekend.


Tampa Bay's Charlie Garner vs. The Oakland Defense (Tough Matchup)

Charlie Garner started to get his football legs under him last week, rushing for 13/75/0 and adding 6/24/0 receiving to post his first decent game as a Buccaneer. He's still well down on the 2004 RB board (31st, averaging 6.4 fantasy points per game), but the near-miss on 100 combined yards gives his fantasy squads some hope.

Oakland is playing very well in this phase to start 2004, with an average of 87 rushing yards allowed per game (3 scores to date), which puts them at #7 among rush defenses at this point in the season. Travis Henry and company put up 24/67/0 against the Raiders in their game last week, a 2.8 ypc average. That's some stout rush defense, folks. DL Tyler Brayton was 7th among fantasy DL last week, with 6 solo tackles, 1 assist, and 1.5 sacks, while his compatriot LB Danny Clark notched 9 solo tackles, 2 assists, and 1 sack to land at #3 among IDP LBs last week.

LB Napoleon Harris continues to miss games for the Raiders due to a rehabbing knee (arthroscopic surgery, questionable), and DE Sam Williams has a bum shoulder (doubtful). Otherwise, the teams are in decent shape.

The forecast for Network Associates Coliseum in Oakland calls for a high of 72F and a low of 56F with a 0% chance of rain. That's football weather, no doubt.

Garner is just starting to get some momentum going, but it will be tough to maintain his improvement this week against the Oakland defensive front.


Tennessee's Chris Brown vs. The Jacksonville Defense (Tough Matchup)

Chris Brown tore up the Colts last week (26/152/1) and is currently 14th on the fantasy RB board averaging 16.25 fantasy points per game. He has started games strongly in the early part of 2004 (two consecutive 100+ yard first half performances), and last week he managed to also finish the game. He looks to be healthy, and should be in your starting lineup until further notice.

However, Jacksonville can play rush D, and limited the explosive Quentin Griffin to 25/66/0 rushing and 5/29/0 receiving last week. The team hasn't let an opposing back run for more than 100 yards in a great while, and they currently rank 10th in the NFL allowing an average of 100.5 rushing yards per game this season (0 rushing scores allowed). This is one of the top rush defenses in the league, and leads the AFC by only allowing 2.8 ypc so far in 2004.

Tennessee's LT Brad Hopkins was forced out of the game on Sunday with a right knee injury (questionable), C Justin Hartwig has a sore shoulder (questionable) and G Zach Piller is done for the season (biceps). Jacksonville lost DE Paul Spicer to a broken leg last week (out for the season). DE Lionel Barnes has a sore shoulder (probable).

The forecast for the Coliseum in Nashville calls for a high of 77F and a low of 54F with a 20% chance of rain. It should be a fine day for some football.

Brown has played very well to start the season, including a solid game against another tough run D, Miami, and will have the home crowd behind him. Even so, the Jags are very tough to run on and that won't change this weekend.


Cleveland's William Green vs. The New York Giants' Defense (Tough Matchup)

Dallas stuffed William Green routinely last week, and he managed a paltry 19/52/0 rushing (1/2/0 receiving) in the face of the Cowboys' onslaught. He's the 28th ranked fantasy RB after 2 weeks, averaging 7.3 fantasy points per outing - there is nothing to get excited about here, folks. The picture gets even bleaker for Green owners when Lee Suggs gets back on the field (neck/nerve injury, questionable)

The Giants held stoutly in the face of Clinton Portis last week (20/69/0), and kept the Redskins in check in this phase of the game (28/108/0). They are the 24th ranked rush D in the land after 2 weeks, averaging 124.5 rushing yards allowed per game, but have yet to give up a rushing score. This is a unit that has come together to start 2004. Fred Robbins was the 2nd best fantasy DL last week, with 3 solo tackles, 1 assist, 2 sacks, 1 forced fumble and 1 pass defensed.

RT Ryan Tucker hurt his quadriceps last week (out). Guard Paul Zukauskas (knee, questionable) and RB James Jackson (ankle, probable) are also listed. The Giants list LBs Carlos Emmons (groin) and Barrett Green (ankle) as questionable to play.

The forecast for Giants stadium calls for a high of 74F and a low of 54F with a 20% chance of rain - perfect football weather is on tap in the Big Apple.

An underwhelming rush offense clashes with an improving defensive front in this game - advantage, Giants.


San Francisco's Kevan Barlow vs. The Seattle Defense (Tough Matchup)

Kevan Barlow silenced his many week 1 critics with a fantasy explosion in week 2, slapping down 20/114/2 rushing and 2/9/0 receiving in the near-victory vs. New Orleans. He was a definite focus of the offense in week 2, with journeyman QB Ken Dorsey throwing the football in relief of the injured Tim Rattay. The 49ers average 4.8 yards per rush this year, 7th in the NFL - the OL is doing their part for Barlow, that's for sure.

Seattle limited the Tampa squad to 24/92/0 last week, but was vulnerable to Charlie Garner (13/75/0, a 5.8 ypc average). This season, they have held the opposition to an average of 83 yards per game and allowed 0 rushing scores - the defense is getting the job done in this phase of the game. Grant Wistrom was the 3rd best fantasy DL last week, with 6 solo tackles, 1 assist, 2 sacks and 1 forced fumble. LB Orlando Huff ranked 8th among IDP LBs, with 8 solo tackles, 1 assist, and a sack - the Seahawks' players are performing at a high level, obviously.

Seattle continues to wait on LB Chad Brown (broken leg). San Francisco comes into this one thin on the OL, with C Jeremy Newberry out due to a knee injury (surgery, out), and LT Kwame Harris suffered a high ankle sprain in the game last week (doubtful). C Brock Guittierez tweaked a knee in the game last week (not listed). Kevan Barlow is not listed, despite his rib contusion suffered on Sunday. San Francisco cannot afford any more injuries on the OL.

The forecast for Qwest Field calls for a high of 66F with a low of 52F and a 40% chance of rain. Seattle's team is used to the soggy Northwest, but if the rain comes down hard at game-time the field conditions could be a factor.

A very good back tangles with a stout defense in the defense's house in this one - we call it a tough matchup for Barlow and company.


Kansas City's Priest Holmes/Derrick Blaylock vs. The Houston Defense (Tough Matchup)

Derrick Blaylock may be needed to move into the starting lineup this week, as Priest Holmes has succumbed to an ankle injury that could sideline him for this game. Here's what coach Vermeil had to say on Wednesday "What it amounts to is how long it takes for the ankle to feel comfortable to go back to work on. It's not a severe ankle sprain. I haven't talked to Priest this morning but he's in there getting treatment. I think we have to list him at questionable. If he wasn't able to go Derrick Blaylock would start and Larry Johnson would be ready to go. … But right now, we're preparing as though Priest Holmes is going to be ready to play." Assuming Holmes can't go, take a look at Blaylock's track record: 38/184/2 rushing and 20/228/1 receiving over a 28 game period as Holmes' understudy.

Meanwhile, Houston's defense has been strong so far in 2004, averaging only 108 yards per game allowed and giving up 1 score to date. 23/94/0 was the total the Lions managed last week. All in all, the Texans are hard-nosed in this area.

DT Jerry DeLoach tweaked his ankle in the game last week (probable), DT Seth Payne has sore elbow (probable) and LB Jamie Sharper has a sore knee (probable). Aside from Holmes' sore ankle, the Chiefs are in good health, listing RB Omar Easy as probable (knee).

This game will be played in near-perfect weather (if the forecast is right) at Arrowhead Stadium - 75F for a high, 48F for a low, with a 20% chance of precipitation.

Houston plays solid rush D, while the Chiefs may field either a back-up caliber talent or their gimpy starter this week - that sounds like a tough matchup either way. Holmes owners need to keep an eye on his ability to practice during the latter half of the week. If Holmes is healthy enough to play, he's obviously a must start for just about any fantasy team.


Arizona's Emmitt Smith vs. The Atlanta Defense (Bad Matchup)

Arizona's coach Dennis Green indicated after the game last week that he thought Emmitt Smith was ready to rush for 125 yards last weekend, but commented that the other players on the OL weren't ready to help Smith achieve that feat. In other words, he likes what he sees from his RB but the supporting cast on the OL and at WR just aren't in place for Smith to really shine. That's going to be a familiar story this season, folks - the Cardinals just don't have a talented OL. They average 3.9 ypc at this point in the season, subpar at best. However, as QB Josh McCown has yet to toss a TD pass this year during games (pre- and regular season), what little scoring the Cardinals have managed have been as a result of Smith's efforts (29/118/2 in the first two weeks, 1 TD per game) which has kept him close to top-20 status among fantasy RBs (#21 averaging 11.9 fantasy points per week). That makes Smith a borderline #2 fantasy RB at this point in the season. But don't expect a huge "breakout" sort of game from him anytime soon - he's a spot solution at best, with little upside. As a side note, Smith has averaged 99.3 rushing yards per game in 7 career games vs. Atlanta.

Atlanta's rush defense is surprisingly stout so far in 2004 - they are averaging 61.5 rushing yards allowed per game (2nd in the NFL), with only 1 TD surrendered to date. Marshall Faulk and company only managed 15/30/1 against this group - that's an impressive performance, in our book. Patrick Kerney was the 9th best fantasy DL last week, with 4 solo tackles, 2 sacks and 1 pass defensed.

Both teams enjoy good health coming into the matchup. Injuries aren't a major factor in this game, although Atlanta's LB Jamie Duncan is out due to a pectoral injury. DT Roderick Coleman (hamstring) and DE Karon Riley (groin) are listed as questionable.

This game is to be played in the Georgia Dome, so weather won't be a factor.

Smith plays on a subpar offensive unit with poor run-blocking. Atlanta has been very stout in this phase of the game - advantage, Atlanta.


Cincinnati's Rudi Johnson vs. The Baltimore Defense (Bad Matchup)

Rudi Johnson ground out 22/67/0 against the tough Dolphin's D last week, with 1/4/0 receiving. It wasn't a stellar fantasy outing, by any means, but he did get his opportunities during the game. Over the first two games, the team is averaging 3.6 yards per carry, so there has been a lack of running room generated by the OL in the early part of 2003. Johnson is the 22nd ranked fantasy RB after 2 weeks, with 10.95 fantasy points per game to his credit, on average.

Baltimore, meanwhile, fields one of the toughest defensive fronts in the league, allowing an average of 89 rushing yards per game (1 score) allowed to date. 25/93/0 was the total that Duce Staley and company managed against the Baltimore defensive front last week. It's just not easy to move the ball on these guys.

The Bengals have serious injury issues along the OL - C Rich Braham is struggling with knee problems (right knee, questionable), so ancient Jerry Fontenot has been handling the snapping lately. T Stacy Andrews (ankle, doubtful) and G Larry Moore (knee, doubtful) have also been missing games due to their injuries. RB James Lynch has a sore hamstring (probable). Baltimore's NT Kelly Gregg missed the game last week due to his gimpy knee (questionable), while LB Adalius Thomas tweaked a knee but stayed in the game (not listed). The problems are especially evident on the Bengal's side of the ball.

The forecast for Paul Brown Stadium calls for a high of 74F and a low of 48F with a 20% chance of precipitation. If that's not good football weather, we don't know what is.

The Bengals have an injury riddled line that is impacting Johnson's fantasy potential, and the Ravens are hard to run on with a healthy OL. Advantage, Baltimore.


Jacksonville's Fred Taylor vs. The Tennessee Defense (Bad Matchup)

Fred Taylor (and the Jaguars offense in general) came out of the gates slowly in 2004 - he has a mere 33/115/0 rushing over 2 games this season, putting him at #34 among all fantasy RB in fantasy points per game so far (5.75 per week on average). That is not at all what his owners thought they'd be getting when they drafted Taylor. The OL is a big part of the problem, as the team has averaged a mere 3.3 yards per carry during 2004, tied for 26th in the NFL in that department. Taylor needs some sort of seam or crease to work with if he is to get into the defensive secondary. Also, Byron Leftwich is not scaring anybody in the passing phase, allowing defenses to key on Taylor.

After 2 weeks, Tennessee ranks 9th in the league allowing an average of 97 rushing yards per game, with 2 scores allowed. The scores went to Edgerrin James last week, when he and the Colts humbled the usually-stout defensive front by rushing for 23/129/2 against the Titans. The Titans usually hold opposing rushers to double-digit totals, but not last week.

Tennessee lists LB Brad Kassell (Achilles) and LB Rocky Calmus (back) as questionable on the initial injury report. Jacksonville's squad is in good shape in this phase, with only RB Chris Fuamatu-Ma'afala listed (foot, questionable).

The forecast for the Coliseum in Nashville calls for a high of 77F and a low of 54F with a 20% chance of rain. It should be a fine day for some football.

A struggling offense meets a top defense at home in this game. Advantage, Titans.


Miami's Lamar Gordon vs. The Pittsburgh Defense (Bad Matchup)

31/54/0 rushing, 13/74/0 receiving in 2 games - Lamar Gordon's stats so far in 2004. He's the Dolphins' best hope at RB. That's all we have to say about that. Stay far, far away until the OL improves dramatically, or space aliens switch Gordon's and Ricky Williams' athletic abilities between their bodies. Whichever happens first.

The Ravens racked up 41/172/2 rushing against the Steelers last week, who did a good job of containing Jamal Lewis (24/62/2), but a poor job of accounting for Chester Taylor (9/76/0). Overall, the Steelers are 18th in the NFL allowing an average of 116.5 rushing yards per game, with 2 rushing scores allowed to date.

Miami's backup RBs are hurting, with Travis Minor nursing an ankle injury (out), and FB Rob Konrad struggling with an infected thigh (doubtful). Listed as probable are RBs Lamar Gordon (back) and Sammy Morris (ankle), along with T John St. Clair (ankle). Pittsburgh continues to do without LB Kendrell Bell (groin, questionable).

The forecast for Pro Player Stadium calls for a high of 88F and a low of 74F with a 30% chance of rain. If the precipitation comes down hard at game-time, the field and ball could get slick and hard to handle.

The Dolphins have to prove they can move the ball before we can upgrade their rushing matchups higher than "bad".


Oakland's Tyrone Wheatley vs. The Tampa Bay Defense (Bad Matchup)

10/21/0 last week, 11/24/0 in week 1. That's what Tyrone Wheatley has managed to do in his chances rushing the ball so far in 2004. No wonder the Raiders tried to trade for the Jets' Lamont Jordan this week. Nobody else in the RB stable is doing much better, either. Oakland ranks 29th in the league, averaging 2.8 yards per carry as a team - the OL is getting knocked off the ball in rushing situations with regularity. It's an ugly scene right now.

Tampa allowed 23/56/0 to the visiting Seahawks last week, choking off most runs near the line of scrimmage. They are 14th in the NFL allowing an average of 111 rushing yards per week, with only 1 rushing score surrendered to date. An efficient Monte Kiffin defense is in evidence once again this year.

Both teams enjoy decent health coming into the game, although RB Justin Fargas has been troubled by a toe injury (questionable).

The forecast for Network Associates Coliseum in Oakland calls for a high of 72F and a low of 56F with a 0% chance of rain. That's football weather, no doubt.

Until the Raiders get a fire lit under somebody in their RB stable, they are going to struggle, especially against top-tier defenses like Tampa Bay. Stay far away from Raider backs this week.


Dallas' RBBC vs. The Washington Defense (Bad Matchup)

Julius Jones is out for 4-6 weeks due to a broken shoulder blade, so the Cowboys are going to turn to a RBBC of Eddie George, ReShard Lee and Richie Anderson. Good luck picking out a starting-caliber fantasy back in this situation. George has 26/87/1 rushing so far this season, Lee 9/50/1, and Anderson 6/10/0. Anderson also sees action as a receiver (4/31/0), so he's the likely 3rd down back. Frankly, we're a little worried about all these guys right now, unless you're truly desperate, but Lee could emerge as the top back if he can gain coach Parcell's trust.

Washington has been nearly impossible to run on this season, allowing an average of only 46 rushing yards per game (1st in the NFL to date) and 0 rushing scores so far. In the loss to the Giants, the G-men only managed to run for 28/62/0 as a team - clearly, the Redskins are tough in this phase of the game right now. LB Marcus Washington was the 6th best IDP LB last week, with 11 solo tackles, and 1 assist, to his credit.

Dallas' RG Andre Gurode is still struggling to get back on the field (knee, questionable). Richie Anderson missed the last game with an ankle injury (not listed). Washington's DE Phillip Daniels will miss this week due to a strained groin. MLB Mike Barrow was inactive for the second week last Sunday due to knee tendonitis (questionable), and LBs LaVar Arrington (knee, questionable) and Antonio Pierce (ribs, probable) are also listed.

The forecast for Fed-Ex field calls for a high of 72F with a low of 53F and a 10% chance of precipitation. Sounds like a great night to play some football and tailgate.

This is a bad matchup for the Cowboy's RBBC.

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