RB Fantasy Points study (2000-2004)
|
Posted 7/26 by Chris Smith - Exclusive to Footballguys.com
|
Note- fantasy points determined as follows (based on eleven or more games played)
- 1 point every 10 rushing yards
- 1 point every 10 receiving yards
- 6 points per touchdown
Over the past four seasons, the following average fantasy points' totals have
resulted in these rankings
Top Five Finish: 262 or More Fantasy Points
|
Stud RB Level
|
Top 12 Finish: 204.6 - 261.9 Fantasy Points
|
Good Starting RB Level
|
Top 24 Finish: 143.6 - 204.5 Fantasy Points
|
Dependable Starting RB Level
|
Top 36 Finish: 98.9 - 143.5 Fantasy Points
|
Decent Backup RB Level
|
Out of the Top 36: Less Than 98.9 Fantasy Points
|
Minimal Fantasy Value
|
We will be using the average totals above for comparison purposes.
Current NFL running backs in last four seasons
Shawn Alexander, Seattle Seahawks
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2002
|
Sea
|
16
|
271.5
|
17.0
|
2003
|
Sea
|
16
|
269.0
|
16.8
|
2001
|
Sea
|
16
|
262.1
|
16.4
|
2000
|
Sea
|
16
|
47.4
|
3.0
|
- Has averaged over 267 fantasy points in the past three seasons
- Has averaged 16.7 fantasy points per game in each of the last three seasons
- His fantasy points put him in our 'Stud RB' category all three seasons
- Hasn't missed a game in the last three seasons
Mike Alstott, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2001
|
TB
|
16
|
157.1
|
9.8
|
2002
|
TB
|
16
|
121.0
|
7.6
|
2000
|
TB
|
13
|
85.8
|
6.5
|
2003
|
TB
|
4
|
28.0
|
7.0
|
- Has seen his numbers drop each of the past three seasons
- He averaged 9.8 fantasy points per game during the 2001 season
- He has only had one season as a dependable starting RB since the 2000 season
(157 FP in 2001)
Mike Anderson, Denver Broncos
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2000
|
Den
|
14
|
256.9
|
18.4
|
2001
|
Den
|
16
|
96.4
|
6.0
|
2002
|
Den
|
15
|
79.3
|
5.3
|
2003
|
Den
|
12
|
61.0
|
5.1
|
- He had 256.9 fantasy points during the 2000 season despite playing in only
fourteen games
- Since the 2000 season, Anderson has never achieved even 'Decent backup RB'
status
Richie Anderson, Dallas Cowboys
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2003
|
Dal
|
15
|
109.9
|
7.3
|
2000
|
NYJ
|
16
|
103.9
|
6.5
|
2001
|
NYJ
|
16
|
47.4
|
3.0
|
2002
|
NYJ
|
16
|
34.4
|
2.2
|
- He has never been beyond a decent fantasy backup in the past four seasons.
- His 2003 season has his best over this span
Tiki Barber, New York Giants
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2002
|
NYG
|
16
|
264.4
|
16.5
|
2000
|
NYG
|
16
|
226.5
|
14.2
|
2003
|
NYG
|
16
|
185.7
|
11.6
|
2001
|
NYG
|
14
|
168.2
|
12.0
|
- He has been at least a dependable starting running back all four seasons
- He enjoyed one season in our 'Stud RB' tier during the 2002 campaign
Kevan Barlow, San Francisco 49ers
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2003
|
SF
|
16
|
175.1
|
10.9
|
2002
|
SF
|
14
|
111.1
|
7.9
|
2001
|
SF
|
15
|
105.9
|
7.1
|
- He has never had a season better than 'Dependable starting RB'
- He has never finished worse than a 'Decent backup'
- He enjoyed his finest season to date in 2003 with 10.9 fantasy points per
game
Michael Bennett, Minnesota Vikings
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2002
|
Min
|
16
|
200.7
|
12.5
|
2001
|
Min
|
13
|
108.8
|
8.4
|
2003
|
Min
|
8
|
63.9
|
8.0
|
- He has never enjoyed a season above 'Dependable starting RB'
- He averaged 12.5 fantasy points per game in 2002
- He was injured much of last season
Jerome Bettis, Pittsburgh Steelers
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2000
|
Pit
|
16
|
191.8
|
12.0
|
2001
|
Pit
|
11
|
136.0
|
12.4
|
2003
|
Pit
|
16
|
131.7
|
8.2
|
2002
|
Pit
|
12
|
126.3
|
10.5
|
- He has only had one season as a 'Dependable starting RB' in the last four
seasons (2000 campaign)
- His fantasy points per game were pretty good until last year (12.0, 12.4
and 10.5 in the previous three seasons)
- If you grade by FP/game, Bettis has been a dependable starter in three
of the last four years
Shawn Bryson, Detroit Lions
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2003
|
Det
|
16
|
112.6
|
7.0
|
2000
|
Buf
|
16
|
98.2
|
6.1
|
2001
|
Buf
|
13
|
52
|
4.0
|
2002
|
Buf
|
6
|
4.4
|
0.7
|
- He has only had one season as a 'decent fantasy backup' in the past four
seasons
Correll Buckhalter, Philadelphia Eagles
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2003
|
Phi
|
15
|
121.5
|
8.1
|
2001
|
Phi
|
16
|
83.6
|
5.2
|
2002
|
Phi
|
0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
- He has never progressed beyond the 'decent backup' level
Domanick Davis, Houston Texans
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2003
|
Hou
|
14
|
186.2
|
13.3
|
- Davis finished as a 'Dependable starting RB' in his first NFL season
- His points per game total was good enough to bump him up to 'Good starting
RB' level if projected over 16 games
Stephen Davis, Carolina Panthers
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2000
|
Was
|
15
|
229.1
|
15.3
|
2003
|
Car
|
14
|
208.3
|
14.9
|
2001
|
Was
|
16
|
193.7
|
12.1
|
2002
|
Was
|
12
|
144.2
|
12.0
|
- He has enjoyed two seasons at the 'good starting RB' level
- His FP/game have kept him right near the 'good starting RB' level in all
four seasons
Corey Dillon, New England Patriots
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2001
|
Cin
|
16
|
232.3
|
14.5
|
2002
|
Cin
|
16
|
202.9
|
12.7
|
2000
|
Cin
|
16
|
201.3
|
12.6
|
2003
|
Cin
|
13
|
73.2
|
5.6
|
- Until last season's disaster, Dillon finished very near the 'good starting
RB' level in three straight seasons
T.J. Duckett, Atlanta Falcons
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2003
|
Atl
|
16
|
153.3
|
9.6
|
2002
|
Atl
|
12
|
80.8
|
6.7
|
- Last year was his first as a 'dependable starting RB'
- In 2002, his FP/game ranked him as a 'decent backup RB'
Warrick Dunn, Atlanta Falcons
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2000
|
TB
|
16
|
209.5
|
13.1
|
2002
|
Atl
|
15
|
184.4
|
12.3
|
2001
|
TB
|
13
|
136.4
|
10.5
|
2003
|
Atl
|
11
|
130.8
|
11.9
|
- He has had one season as a 'good starting RB' and one as a 'dependable
starting RB' in the last four years
- However his FP/game is good enough to put him in the 'dependable starting
RB' tier or better in all four years
Kevin Faulk, New England Patriots
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2000
|
NE
|
16
|
133.5
|
8.3
|
2003
|
NE
|
15
|
107.8
|
7.2
|
2002
|
NE
|
15
|
95.0
|
6.3
|
2001
|
NE
|
15
|
53.8
|
3.6
|
- He has never been better than a 'decent backup'
Marshall Faulk, St. Louis Rams
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2000
|
StL
|
14
|
374.9
|
26.8
|
2001
|
StL
|
14
|
340.7
|
24.3
|
2002
|
StL
|
14
|
209.0
|
14.9
|
2003
|
StL
|
11
|
176.8
|
16.1
|
- Faulk has had two seasons at the 'Stud RB' level, another as a 'good RB'
and the final season as a 'dependable RB'
- His fantasy points have gone down in each of the last four seasons (from
a high of 374.9 in 2000 to only 176.8 in 2004)
- His FP/game numbers put him in the 'Good RB' or better category in all
four seasons
Charlie Garner, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2002
|
Oak
|
16
|
256.0
|
16.0
|
2000
|
SF
|
16
|
238.9
|
14.9
|
2001
|
Oak
|
16
|
159.7
|
10.0
|
2003
|
Oak
|
14
|
117.9
|
8.4
|
- He has enjoyed two seasons at the 'Good RB' level and one at the 'Dependable
RB' level
- He was very close to being a 'Stud RB' in 2002 (only 6 fantasy points away
from that tier)
Eddie George, Dallas Cowboys
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2000
|
Ten
|
16
|
292.2
|
18.3
|
2002
|
Ten
|
16
|
226.0
|
14.1
|
2001
|
Ten
|
16
|
151.8
|
9.5
|
2003
|
Ten
|
16
|
149.4
|
9.3
|
- He enjoyed one year as a 'Stud RB' during the 2000 campaign
- He has been a dependable starter or better in all four seasons
Ahman Green, Green Bay Packers
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2003
|
GB
|
16
|
345.0
|
21.6
|
2001
|
GB
|
16
|
264.1
|
16.5
|
2000
|
GB
|
16
|
251.4
|
15.7
|
2002
|
GB
|
14
|
217.3
|
15.5
|
- Green has enjoyed four straight seasons as a good fantasy RB or better
- He has reached 'Stud RB' status in two of the last four years and narrowly
missed it in two others
William Green, Cleveland Browns
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2002
|
Cle
|
16
|
136.0
|
8.5
|
2003
|
Cle
|
7
|
66.9
|
9.6
|
- He has only been at the decent backup level once in his career
- He has never been at a dependable starting RB or better level
Troy Hambrick, Oakland Raiders
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2003
|
Dal
|
16
|
137.1
|
8.6
|
2001
|
Dal
|
16
|
76.1
|
4.8
|
2002
|
Dal
|
16
|
47.6
|
3.0
|
2000
|
Dal
|
3
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
- Despite playing all 16 games as a starter last year, he still only slotted
in as a decent backup RB.
Garrison Hearst, Denver Broncos
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2001
|
SF
|
16
|
185.3
|
11.6
|
2002
|
SF
|
16
|
182.9
|
11.4
|
2003
|
SF
|
12
|
121.9
|
10.2
|
2000
|
FA
|
0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
- He reached a dependable starting level in two of the last three years
- If you use FP/game, Hearst has reached that level in the past three years
Travis Henry, Buffalo Bills
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2002
|
Buf
|
16
|
258.7
|
16.2
|
2003
|
Buf
|
15
|
217.4
|
14.5
|
2001
|
Buf
|
14
|
114.8
|
8.2
|
- Henry has been at the 'good starting RB' level for the past two seasons
- He narrowly missed the 'Stud RB' level during the 2002 season (by 3.3 fantasy
points)
Priest Holmes, Kansas City Chiefs
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2003
|
KC
|
16
|
373.0
|
23.3
|
2002
|
KC
|
14
|
372.7
|
26.6
|
2001
|
KC
|
16
|
276.9
|
17.3
|
2000
|
Bal
|
16
|
92.9
|
5.8
|
- Holmes has had three straight seasons at the 'Stud RB' level
- He has averaged over 23 points per game in the last two seasons
Edgerrin James, Indianapolis Colts
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2000
|
Ind
|
16
|
338.3
|
21.1
|
2003
|
Ind
|
13
|
220.9
|
17.0
|
2002
|
Ind
|
14
|
152.2
|
10.9
|
2001
|
Ind
|
6
|
103.3
|
17.2
|
- Has had one season in each category over the last four seasons
- If you use FP/game, James has reached the 'Stud RB' level in three of the
four seasons
Rudi Johnson, Cincinnati Bengals
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2003
|
Cin
|
13
|
165.3
|
12.7
|
2002
|
Cin
|
7
|
10.1
|
1.4
|
- Johnson was a 'dependable starting RB' in 2003
Jamal Lewis, Baltimore Ravens
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2003
|
Bal
|
16
|
311.1
|
19.4
|
2002
|
Bal
|
16
|
218.9
|
13.7
|
2000
|
Bal
|
16
|
202.0
|
12.6
|
2001
|
Bal
|
0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
- One season at each of the three starting tiers (Stud RB, Good Starting
RB and Dependable Starting RB)
Curtis Martin, New York Jets
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2001
|
NYJ
|
16
|
243.3
|
15.2
|
2000
|
NYJ
|
16
|
236.9
|
14.8
|
2002
|
NYJ
|
16
|
187.6
|
11.7
|
2003
|
NYJ
|
16
|
169.0
|
10.6
|
- Very consistent in the four years with two seasons in the 'good RB' tier
and two more in the 'dependable RB' tier
- Hasn't missed a game in the past four seasons
- His FP/game in a season has been very consistent as well with it ranging
from 10.6 to 15.2 in the four years.
Deuce McAllister, New Orleans Saints
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2002
|
NO
|
15
|
270.0
|
18.0
|
2003
|
NO
|
16
|
263.7
|
16.5
|
2001
|
NO
|
16
|
37.7
|
2.4
|
- He has produced at the 'Stud RB' level in each of the last two years
Michael Pittman, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2000
|
Ari
|
16
|
165.8
|
10.4
|
2003
|
TB
|
16
|
146.8
|
9.2
|
2001
|
Ari
|
15
|
141.0
|
9.4
|
2002
|
TB
|
16
|
125.5
|
7.8
|
- Pittman hasn't been able to exceed the 'dependable starting RB' tier
- He has had two seasons as only a 'decent backup RB'
- He has never averaged more than 10.4 FP/game in a season
Clinton Portis, Washington Redskins
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2002
|
Den
|
16
|
289.2
|
18.1
|
2003
|
Den
|
13
|
274.5
|
21.1
|
- He has easily reached the 'Stud RB' tier in the last two seasons
Dominic Rhodes, Indianapolis Colts
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2001
|
Ind
|
15
|
186.8
|
12.5
|
2003
|
Ind
|
11
|
27.9
|
2.5
|
2002
|
Ind
|
0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
- He finished in the 'dependable starting RB' tier in 2001
Marcel Shipp, Arizona Cardinals
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2002
|
Ari
|
15
|
180.4
|
12.0
|
2003
|
Ari
|
16
|
101.2
|
6.3
|
- He has one 'dependable starting RB' and one 'decent backup RB' over the
last two seasons
- He only averaged 6.3 FP/game in 2003
Antowain Smith, Tennessee Titans
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2001
|
NE
|
16
|
212.9
|
13.3
|
2002
|
NE
|
16
|
170.5
|
10.7
|
2003
|
NE
|
13
|
91.4
|
7.0
|
2000
|
Buf
|
11
|
61.4
|
5.6
|
- He finished in the 'good running back' tier in 2001 and the 'dependable
starting RB' tier in 2002 before his fall from glory last year
Emmitt Smith, Arizona Cardinals
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2000
|
Dal
|
16
|
182.2
|
11.4
|
2002
|
Dal
|
16
|
136.4
|
8.5
|
2001
|
Dal
|
14
|
131.7
|
9.4
|
2003
|
Ari
|
10
|
48.3
|
4.8
|
- He has only had one season as a 'dependable starting RB' since the 2000
season
- He hasn't averaged more than 9.4 FP/game since the 2000 season
Duce Staley, Philadelphia Eagles
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2002
|
Phi
|
16
|
205.1
|
12.8
|
2001
|
Phi
|
14
|
147.0
|
10.5
|
2003
|
Phi
|
16
|
125.9
|
7.9
|
2000
|
Phi
|
5
|
60.4
|
12.1
|
- He has had one season each as a 'good starting RB', a 'depending starting
RB' and a 'decent backup RB'
James Stewart, FA
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2000
|
Det
|
16
|
213.1
|
13.3
|
2002
|
Det
|
14
|
171.4
|
12.2
|
2001
|
Det
|
12
|
104.7
|
8.7
|
2003
|
Det
|
0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
- He enjoyed one season as a 'good starting RB' during the 2000 campaign
Fred Taylor, Jacksonville Jaguars
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2000
|
Jac
|
13
|
247.9
|
19.1
|
2003
|
Jac
|
16
|
236.2
|
14.8
|
2002
|
Jac
|
16
|
220.2
|
13.8
|
2001
|
Jac
|
2
|
12.9
|
6.5
|
- He hasn't been at the 'Stud RB level' in the last four years
- He has been at the 'good starting RB' level for three of the past four
years
- His FP/game during the 2000 season put him in the 'Stud RB' tier
Anthony Thomas, Chicago Bears
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2001
|
Chi
|
14
|
178.1
|
12.7
|
2003
|
Chi
|
13
|
142.0
|
10.9
|
2002
|
Chi
|
12
|
124.4
|
10.4
|
- He has had only one season as a 'dependable starting RB' (2001 season)
- If FP/game is used, Thomas has been at that level for all three seasons
and barely missed out on the 'good starting RB' tier in 2001 (by 1.1 fantasy
points)
- He hasn't been able to stay healthy in his first three seasons
LaDainian Tomlinson, San Diego Chargers
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2003
|
SD
|
16
|
339.0
|
21.2
|
2002
|
SD
|
16
|
307.2
|
19.2
|
2001
|
SD
|
16
|
220.3
|
13.8
|
- He has enjoyed two straight seasons as a 'Stud RB' and was a 'good starting
RB' in 2001
- He hasn't missed a game yet in the NFL
Brian Westbrook, Philadelphia Eagles
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2003
|
Phi
|
15
|
160.5
|
10.7
|
2002
|
Phi
|
15
|
27.9
|
1.9
|
- He was a 'dependable starting RB' in 2003
Tyrone Wheatley, Oakland Raiders
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2000
|
Oak
|
14
|
180.2
|
19.1
|
2003
|
Oak
|
15
|
103.8
|
14.8
|
2001
|
Oak
|
12
|
69.7
|
13.8
|
2002
|
Oak
|
14
|
60.2
|
6.5
|
- He hasn't been a 'dependable starting RB' since the 2000 season
Jamel White, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2001
|
Cle
|
16
|
122.1
|
7.6
|
2002
|
Cle
|
14
|
110.2
|
7.9
|
2003
|
Cle
|
16
|
95.5
|
6.0
|
2000
|
Cle
|
13
|
24.4
|
1.9
|
- He was a 'decent backup RB' for two straight seasons
Moe Williams, Minnesota Vikings
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2003
|
Min
|
16
|
186.9
|
11.7
|
2002
|
Min
|
16
|
133.1
|
8.3
|
2001
|
Bal
|
15
|
50.0
|
3.3
|
2000
|
Min
|
16
|
9.8
|
0.6
|
- He was a 'dependable starting RB' last year and a 'decent backup RB' in
2002
Ricky Williams, Miami Dolphins
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2002
|
Mia
|
16
|
323.6
|
20.2
|
2003
|
Mia
|
16
|
232.3
|
14.5
|
2001
|
NO
|
16
|
217.6
|
13.6
|
2000
|
NO
|
10
|
194.9
|
19.5
|
- He has been a 'good starting RB' or better for the last three seasons
- He was at the 'Stud RB' level in 2002 with 20.2 FP/game
Amos Zereoue, Oakland Raiders
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
2002
|
Pit
|
16
|
134.3
|
8.4
|
2003
|
Pit
|
16
|
86.3
|
5.4
|
2001
|
Pit
|
14
|
71.5
|
5.1
|
- He has never been better than a 'decent fantasy backup' and hasn't even
hit that tier in two of the last three seasons
|