WR Fantasy Points study (2000-2004)
|
|
Posted 7/26 by Chris Smith - Exclusive to Footballguys.com
|
Note- fantasy points determined as follows (based on eleven or more games played)
- Based on a 12-team league
- Based on three WRs starting per fantasy squad
- 1 point every 10 rushing yards
- 1 point every 10 receiving yards
- 6 points per touchdown
Over the past four seasons, the following average fantasy points' totals have
resulted in these rankings
|
Top Five Finish: 190 or More Fantasy Points
|
Stud WR Level
|
|
Top 12 Finish: 164 - 189.9 Fantasy Points
|
Good Starting WR Level
|
|
Top 24 Finish: 104.3 - 163.9 Fantasy Points
|
Dependable Starting WR Level
|
|
Top 36 Finish: 89 - 104.2 Fantasy Points
|
Decent Backup WR Level
|
|
Out of the Top 36: Less Than 89 Fantasy Points
|
Minimal Fantasy Value
|
We will be using the average totals above for comparison purposes.
Current NFL wide receivers in last four
seasons
D'Wayne Bates, Minnesota Vikings
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2002
|
Min
|
14
|
92.9
|
6.6
|
|
2001
|
Chi
|
13
|
22.0
|
1.7
|
|
2003
|
Min
|
10
|
21.1
|
2.1
|
|
2000
|
Chi
|
4
|
4.0
|
1.0
|
- Has been a decent backup once in his career
Drew Bennett, Tennessee Titans
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
Ten
|
12
|
74.4
|
6.2
|
|
2002
|
Ten
|
15
|
59.8
|
4.0
|
|
2001
|
Ten
|
14
|
38.9
|
2.8
|
- He has never reached tier four (decent backup) although his FP/g would
have placed him there if he played in all sixteen games.
Marc Boerigter, Kansas City Chiefs
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2002
|
KC
|
16
|
90.0
|
5.6
|
|
2003
|
KC
|
15
|
15.8
|
1.1
|
- Was a decent backup during the 2002 season
Anquan Boldin, Arizona Cardinals
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
Ari
|
16
|
189.7
|
11.9
|
- Stud receiver in his rookie season
Marty Booker, Chicago Bears
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2001
|
Chi
|
16
|
155.9
|
9.7
|
|
2002
|
Chi
|
16
|
154.3
|
9.6
|
|
2003
|
Chi
|
13
|
94.8
|
7.3
|
|
2000
|
Chi
|
14
|
60.9
|
4.4
|
- Has two seasons as a dependable starter and one as a decent backup in the
past three seasons.
- If he played all 16 games a year ago, all three seasons would have placed
him at the dependable starter level
David Boston, Miami Dolphins
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2001
|
Ari
|
16
|
211.3
|
13.2
|
|
2000
|
Ari
|
16
|
158.0
|
9.9
|
|
2003
|
SD
|
14
|
131.8
|
9.4
|
|
2002
|
Ari
|
8
|
60.1
|
7.5
|
- One stud season and two years as a dependable starter.
- If he played all 16 games in 2002, he would also have been a dependable
starter
- He has never come within 53.3 fantasy points of his most successful season
in 2001
Corey Bradford, Houston Texans
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2002
|
Hou
|
16
|
104.6
|
6.5
|
|
2003
|
Hou
|
16
|
70.0
|
4.4
|
|
2001
|
Hou
|
16
|
64.6
|
4.0
|
|
2000
|
GB
|
0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
- Has one season as a dependable starter
Deion Branch, New England Patriots
| Wide Receiver |
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
| Deion Branch |
2003
|
NE
|
15
|
99.4
|
6.6
|
| Deion Branch |
2002
|
NE
|
13
|
60.9
|
4.7
|
- One year as a decent backup (2003)
Tim Brown, Oakland Raiders
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2000
|
Oak
|
16
|
180.0
|
11.3
|
|
2001
|
Oak
|
16
|
174.4
|
10.9
|
|
2002
|
Oak
|
16
|
106.9
|
6.7
|
|
2003
|
Oak
|
16
|
68.7
|
4.3
|
- Two years as a good fantasy starter (2000 and 2001)
- One year as a dependable starter (2002)
- One year outside of the top forty-eight (2003)
- His fantasy points total has dropped in each of the past four seasons
Troy Brown, New England Patriots
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2001
|
NE
|
16
|
159.0
|
9.9
|
|
2000
|
NE
|
16
|
123.0
|
7.7
|
|
2002
|
NE
|
14
|
108.4
|
7.7
|
|
2003
|
NE
|
12
|
73.9
|
6.2
|
- Three seasons as a dependable fantasy starter
- Last year he finished out side of the top forty-eight
- Would have been a decent backup last year if he played sixteen games
Isaac Bruce, St. Louis Rams
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2000
|
StL
|
16
|
202.2
|
12.6
|
|
2002
|
StL
|
16
|
151.3
|
9.5
|
|
2001
|
StL
|
16
|
148.9
|
9.3
|
|
2003
|
StL
|
15
|
129.8
|
8.7
|
- One stud season in 2000
- Three straight dependable fantasy starter seasons (2001-2003)
Antonio Bryant, Dallas Cowboys
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2002
|
Dal
|
16
|
113.3
|
7.1
|
|
2003
|
Dal
|
16
|
67.0
|
4.2
|
- Was a dependable starter as a rookie in 2002
- Last year he finished outside of the top forty-eight
Nate Burleson, Minnesota Vikings
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
Min
|
16
|
57.5
|
3.6
|
- Finished outside of the top forty-eight in his rookie season
Plaxico Burress, Pittsburgh Steelers
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2002
|
Pit
|
16
|
174.5
|
10.9
|
|
2001
|
Pit
|
16
|
136.8
|
8.6
|
|
2003
|
Pit
|
16
|
109.3
|
6.8
|
|
2000
|
Pit
|
10
|
28.3
|
2.8
|
- Has one season as a good starter (in 2002)
- Has two seasons as a dependable starter (2001, 2003)
Tyrone Calico, Tennessee Titans
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
Ten
|
14
|
54.2
|
3.9
|
- Didn't crack the top forty-eight as a rookie
Kelly Campbell, Minnesota Vikings
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
Min
|
15
|
83.3
|
5.6
|
|
2002
|
Min
|
6
|
36.7
|
6.1
|
- Was very close to being a decent backup receiver in 2003 (could have hit
it with one more game played)
Chris Chambers, Miami Dolphins
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
Mia
|
16
|
165.3
|
10.3
|
|
2001
|
Mia
|
16
|
129.2
|
8.1
|
|
2002
|
Mia
|
15
|
99.2
|
6.6
|
- Has been a good starter, a dependable starter and a decent backup once
each in the last three seasons
- Averaged a career-best 10.3 fantasy points per game during the 2003 season
Wayne Chrebet, New York Jets
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2000
|
NYJ
|
16
|
140.3
|
8.8
|
|
2002
|
NYJ
|
15
|
123.1
|
8.2
|
|
2001
|
NYJ
|
15
|
81.0
|
5.4
|
|
2003
|
NYJ
|
7
|
34.9
|
5.0
|
- Two seasons as a dependable fantasy starter in the last four seasons
- Two seasons outside of the top forty-eight in the last four seasons
Laveranues Coles, Washington Redskins
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
Was
|
16
|
160.3
|
10.0
|
|
2002
|
NYJ
|
15
|
160.3
|
10.7
|
|
2001
|
NYJ
|
16
|
139.6
|
8.7
|
|
2000
|
NYJ
|
12
|
44.5
|
3.7
|
- Three straight seasons as a dependable starter (just missed being a good
starter in two straight seasons)
Curtis Conway, San Francisco 49ers
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2001
|
SD
|
16
|
161.1
|
10.1
|
|
2002
|
SD
|
13
|
122.5
|
9.4
|
|
2000
|
SD
|
14
|
104.3
|
7.5
|
|
2003
|
NYJ
|
16
|
76.0
|
4.8
|
- Has been a dependable starter in three of the last four seasons (finished
outside of the top forty-eight last year)
Andre Davis, Cleveland Browns
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
Cle
|
16
|
90.4
|
5.7
|
|
2002
|
Cle
|
16
|
78.7
|
4.9
|
- Improved to a decent backup level in 2003, his second year in the NFL
Donald Driver, Green Bay Packers
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2002
|
GB
|
16
|
167.4
|
10.5
|
|
2003
|
GB
|
15
|
79.2
|
5.3
|
|
2000
|
GB
|
12
|
38.6
|
3.2
|
|
2001
|
GB
|
14
|
27.5
|
2.0
|
- One good fantasy year during the 2002 season
- Three of the past four years, he finished outside of the top forty-eight
Tim Dwight, San Diego Chargers
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2002
|
SD
|
16
|
84.5
|
5.3
|
|
2000
|
Atl
|
14
|
59.4
|
4.2
|
|
2001
|
SD
|
10
|
44.0
|
4.4
|
|
2003
|
SD
|
9
|
28.1
|
3.1
|
- Has not once finished in the top forty-eight since the 2000 season (just
missed it in 2002)
Kevin Dyson, San Diego Chargers
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2001
|
Ten
|
16
|
124.5
|
7.8
|
|
2002
|
Ten
|
11
|
69.6
|
6.3
|
|
2000
|
Ten
|
1
|
16.4
|
16.4
|
|
2003
|
Car
|
1
|
1.5
|
1.5
|
- He was a dependable starter during the 2001 season
- Twice in the last four years, he has only played in one game on the season
- Was on pace to be a decent backup in 2002 if he didn't miss five games
- He has played in 29 of a possible 64 games over the last four seasons
Troy Edwards, Jacksonville Jaguars
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
Jac
|
13
|
65.8
|
5.1
|
|
2001
|
Pit
|
16
|
32.1
|
2.0
|
|
2002
|
StL
|
12
|
29.8
|
2.5
|
|
2000
|
Pit
|
12
|
21.9
|
1.8
|
- Never finished in the top forty-eight
Bobby Engram, Seattle Seahawks
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
Sea
|
16
|
100.0
|
6.3
|
|
2002
|
Sea
|
15
|
61.9
|
4.1
|
|
2001
|
Sea
|
16
|
40.0
|
2.5
|
|
2000
|
Chi
|
3
|
11.0
|
3.7
|
- Finished as a decent backup in 2003
- Finished well outside the top forty-eight in his other three seasons
Robert Ferguson, Green Bay Packers
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
GB
|
15
|
75.2
|
5.0
|
|
2002
|
GB
|
15
|
47.3
|
3.2
|
- He has never finished in the top forty-eight
Brian Finneran, Atlanta Falcons
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2002
|
Atl
|
16
|
119.8
|
7.5
|
|
2001
|
Atl
|
16
|
67.1
|
4.2
|
|
2003
|
Atl
|
12
|
48.8
|
4.1
|
|
2000
|
Atl
|
5
|
6.0
|
1.2
|
- He had one season as a dependable starter in 2002
- In his other three years, he failed to reach the top forty-eight
Jabar Gaffney, Houston Texans
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2002
|
Hou
|
16
|
54.3
|
3.4
|
|
2003
|
Hou
|
16
|
53.5
|
3.3
|
- He has never finished in the top forty-eight
Justin Gage, Chicago Bears
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
Chi
|
10
|
45.8
|
4.6
|
- Had a decent rookie campaign
Joey Galloway, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2002
|
Dal
|
16
|
129.9
|
8.1
|
|
2001
|
Dal
|
16
|
91.1
|
5.7
|
|
2003
|
Dal
|
15
|
81.4
|
5.4
|
|
2000
|
Dal
|
1
|
12.2
|
12.2
|
- He has one season as a dependable starter (2002) and one as a decent backup
(2001)
- Just missed being a decent backup last year (may have made it if he played
in one more game)
Rod Gardner, Washington Redskins
| Wide Receiver |
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
| Rod Gardner |
2002
|
Was
|
16
|
148.7
|
9.3
|
| Rod Gardner |
2001
|
Was
|
16
|
99.7
|
6.2
|
| Rod Gardner |
2003
|
Was
|
16
|
90.0
|
5.6
|
- He has finished inside of the top forty-eight in each of his first three
seasons
- Has one year as a dependable starting receiver
David Givens, New England Patriots
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
NE
|
13
|
87.0
|
6.7
|
|
2002
|
NE
|
11
|
15.2
|
1.4
|
- Just missed the decent backup level in 2003 (his points per game were high
enough to get him there with 16 games played)
Terry Glenn, Dallas Cowboys
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2000
|
NE
|
16
|
136.2
|
8.5
|
|
2003
|
Dal
|
16
|
110.9
|
6.9
|
|
2002
|
GB
|
15
|
93.7
|
6.2
|
|
2001
|
NE
|
4
|
26.4
|
6.6
|
- Two seasons as a dependable starter in the past four seasons
- One season as a decent backup
- His points per game in all four seasons were good enough for at least a
decent backup status
Az-Zahir Hakim, Detroit Lions
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2000
|
StL
|
16
|
99.3
|
6.2
|
|
2003
|
Det
|
14
|
74.0
|
5.3
|
|
2002
|
Det
|
10
|
72.4
|
7.2
|
|
2001
|
StL
|
16
|
60.4
|
3.8
|
- His only season as a dependable backup was the 2000 season
- His points per game in the last two seasons has been decent (84.8 and 115.2
over a full 16-game season)
Dante Hall, Kansas City Chiefs
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2002
|
KC
|
16
|
55.6
|
3.5
|
|
2003
|
KC
|
16
|
55.6
|
3.5
|
- Has never approached a top forty-eight season (but adds lots of value if
you count special teams touchdowns)
Marvin Harrison, Indianapolis Colts
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2001
|
Ind
|
16
|
242.7
|
15.2
|
|
2002
|
Ind
|
16
|
239.2
|
15.0
|
|
2000
|
Ind
|
16
|
225.3
|
14.1
|
|
2003
|
Ind
|
15
|
187.5
|
12.5
|
- A great run over the last four seasons (all four years of points per game
qualify him at the 'stud' level
Ike Hilliard, New York Giants
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2000
|
NYG
|
14
|
128.6
|
9.2
|
|
2001
|
NYG
|
14
|
104.0
|
7.4
|
|
2003
|
NYG
|
13
|
98.7
|
7.6
|
|
2002
|
NYG
|
7
|
51.3
|
7.3
|
- He had two seasons as a dependable starter (2000 and 2001)
- He only finished as a decent backup once in the last two years due to injury
(his points per game were at a dependable starter level)
- He hasn't played all sixteen games in the last four seasons
Torry Holt, St. Louis Rams
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
StL
|
16
|
242.1
|
15.1
|
|
2000
|
StL
|
16
|
200.2
|
12.5
|
|
2001
|
StL
|
16
|
178.3
|
11.1
|
|
2002
|
StL
|
16
|
156.0
|
9.8
|
- Two stud seasons, one good season and one dependable season over the last
four years
- He hasn't missed a game over that same four-year stretch
Joe Horn, New Orleans Saints
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2000
|
NO
|
16
|
183.0
|
11.4
|
|
2001
|
NO
|
16
|
180.9
|
11.3
|
|
2002
|
NO
|
16
|
173.4
|
10.8
|
|
2003
|
NO
|
15
|
158.8
|
10.6
|
- He has had three seasons as a good performer (four if you go by points
per game
- He has been incredibly consistent year-to-year (10.6 ppg to 11.5 PPG)
Darrell Jackson, Seattle Seahawks
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
Sea
|
16
|
167.7
|
10.5
|
|
2001
|
Sea
|
16
|
157.0
|
9.8
|
|
2002
|
Sea
|
13
|
112.0
|
8.6
|
|
2000
|
Sea
|
16
|
107.2
|
6.7
|
- Has been a dependable starter or better in the last four seasons
Andre Johnson, Houston Texans
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
Hou
|
16
|
120.6
|
7.5
|
- Finished as a dependable starter in his rookie season
Bryant Johnson, Arizona Cardinals
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
Ari
|
15
|
50.0
|
3.3
|
- Only averaged 3.3 points per game in his rookie season
Chad Johnson, Cincinnati Bengals
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
Cin
|
16
|
195.5
|
12.2
|
|
2002
|
Cin
|
14
|
146.6
|
10.5
|
|
2001
|
Cin
|
12
|
38.9
|
3.2
|
- Has improved in each of the last three seasons
- Finished as a 'stud' receiver in 2003
- Finished as a dependable receiver in 2002
- Finished outside the top forty-eight in 2001
Kevin Johnson, Baltimore Ravens
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2001
|
Cle
|
16
|
163.7
|
10.2
|
|
2002
|
Cle
|
16
|
94.3
|
5.9
|
|
2003
|
Jac
|
15
|
81.4
|
5.4
|
|
2000
|
Cle
|
16
|
66.9
|
4.2
|
- Only one year as a fantasy starter (in 2001)
- Hasn't eclipsed 6 PPG in three of the four seasons
Keyshawn Johnson, Dallas Cowboys
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2002
|
TB
|
16
|
138.8
|
8.7
|
|
2000
|
TB
|
16
|
135.9
|
8.5
|
|
2001
|
TB
|
15
|
132.6
|
8.8
|
|
2003
|
TB
|
10
|
78.0
|
7.8
|
- His fantasy points per game have put him at a dependable receiver level
for four straight seasons
Joe Jurevicius, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2001
|
NYG
|
14
|
88.6
|
6.3
|
|
2002
|
TB
|
14
|
66.3
|
4.7
|
|
2000
|
NYG
|
11
|
33.1
|
3.0
|
|
2003
|
TB
|
4
|
23.8
|
6.0
|
- Has only been a decent backup once in the last four seasons
- Hasn't been healthy for an entire season once in the last four years
Eddie Kennison, Kansas City Chiefs
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
KC
|
16
|
116.3
|
7.3
|
|
2002
|
KC
|
16
|
108.4
|
6.8
|
|
2000
|
Chi
|
16
|
74.1
|
4.6
|
|
2001
|
KC/Den
|
13
|
57.3
|
4.4
|
- Has been a dependable starter in each of the past two seasons
Charles Lee, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
TB
|
8
|
56.6
|
7.1
|
|
2000
|
GB
|
6
|
13.4
|
2.2
|
|
2001
|
GB
|
8
|
9.2
|
1.2
|
- He only played in eight games last year (his PPG total would qualify him
as a dependable starter)
Ashley Lelie, Denver Broncos
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
Den
|
16
|
79.1
|
4.9
|
|
2002
|
Den
|
15
|
68.5
|
4.6
|
- Has not finished in the top forty-eight yet in his career
Brandon Lloyd, San Francisco 49ers
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
SF
|
16
|
33.2
|
2.1
|
- Had a poor rookie season (only 2 fantasy points per game)
Dane Looker, St. Louis Rams
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
StL
|
16
|
67.5
|
4.2
|
- Finished outside of the top forty-eight but had a surprising season nonetheless
Derrick Mason, Tennessee Titans
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
Ten
|
16
|
179.4
|
11.2
|
|
2001
|
Ten
|
16
|
166.8
|
10.4
|
|
2002
|
Ten
|
14
|
131.2
|
9.4
|
|
2000
|
Ten
|
16
|
119.6
|
7.5
|
- He has been very consistent through the past four seasons (a low of 7.5
fp/g in 2000 to a high of 11.2 in 2003)
- Two good seasons and two seasons as a dependable starting receiver
Darnerian McCants, Washington Redskins
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
Was
|
15
|
72.0
|
4.8
|
|
2002
|
Was
|
9
|
38.5
|
4.3
|
- Has never finished in the top forty-eight
Keenan McCardell, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
TB
|
16
|
165.4
|
10.3
|
|
2000
|
Jac
|
16
|
150.7
|
9.4
|
|
2001
|
Jac
|
16
|
147.0
|
9.2
|
|
2002
|
TB
|
14
|
103.3
|
7.4
|
- He has finished in the top forty-eight each of the last four seasons
- Only one of those seasons was a 'good' fantasy season with two others ranking
as dependable starter
- He has been consistent throughout the years (7.4 PPG to 10.3 PPG)
Justin McCareins, New York Jets
|
Year
|
Team
|
GP
|
FPs
|
FP/GP
|
|
2003
|
Ten
|
| 
