Ultimate Strength of ScheduleGray's Ultimate Strength of Schedule
|
Posted 8/13 by Clayton Gray - Exclusive to Footballguys.com
|
Welcome to the most complete and comprehensive Strength of Schedule (SOS) Footballguys.com
has ever featured. Here are the advantages we offer over the competition:
- Positional Breakdown
If you are drafting a WR, it's much more relevant to see SOS data for WRs
rather than passing stats or (shudder) won/loss records.
- Fantasy Points Driven
Fantasy football is all about scoring Fantasy Points. Our SOS is based on
Fantasy Points Allowed rather than the more common won/loss data. If a defense
generally allows opposing TEs to score a ton of Fantasy Points, then you obviously
want your TE starting against that defense.
- Removed Bias Of Schedule
Consider the following two defenses: Defense A faced the top 16 offenses while
Defense B faced the bottom 16 offenses. What if both defenses allowed opposing
running backs to average 20 fantasy points per game? Are these defenses equivalent?
Of course not. Defense A is much better as they faced much better offenses.
Our SOS removes this bias.
- Based Completely On 2004 Expectations (new
for 2004)
With free agency such a big part of the NFL, team strengths can change in
a single offseason. Everyone else uses the 2003 data to create their SOS.
That would be great...if it were still 2003. We have determined what constitutes
a good or bad defense at each position and then ranked all 32 teams based
on our expectations for the upcoming season. We certainly have taken into
account the changes (if any) in coaching staff and player personnel for each
team. This feature is exclusive to Footballguys.com SOS.
- Comparison of 2004 Schedule to 2003 Schedule
On the surface, a team with an easy schedule at RB should see better RB stats
this year. Good schedule = bigger numbers than the year before, right?
It seems logical. However, sometimes it's not enough to say that a team has
an easy schedule. What if they had an equally easy schedule the season before?
Equal schedule = similar numbers as the year before. Our SOS looks
at the difference between the 2004 schedule and the 2003 schedule. An easier
set of opponents this year points to increased production. A more difficult
set of opponents this year points to decreased production.
- Inclusion of Home & Away Data (new for
2004)
Most teams play a little different on the road than in their own friendly
confines. Look at the 2003 Seahawks if you don't believe that. Our SOS takes
this variable into account. This feature is exclusive to Footballguys.com
SOS.
- Inclusion of Grass & Turf Data (new for
2004)
As with the Home/Away differences, a team on natural grass is not always the
same team as when they are on the artificial turf. Our SOS now also takes
this variable into account. This feature is exclusive to Footballguys.com
SOS.
- Presentation of Data
Most SOS charts offer a simple ranking that covers the entire season. Footballguys.com
offers the following additional presentations of SOS data:
- Number of Difficult and Easy Games
You can easily tell how many games each team will play against a tough
defense and against a weak defense.
- First Six Weeks
There are few things better than starting the season strong. This makes
it easy to find a team that faces an easy opening schedule.
- Breakdown of Fantasy Football Regular Season and Playoffs
It can be advantageous to stack your roster with players facing weak teams
during your fantasy playoffs. Of course you'll need a good regular season
to actually get to your postseason. Our SOS offers several options
for the fantasy regular season and playoffs.
- Weekly Values for Each NFL Team
Sometimes it's just not enough to know a player faces a great schedule.
What if you play your brother-in-law week five (or whenever) and just
have to win that game? With our Schedule Breakdown table, finding
teams with a favorable opponent that all important week is simple.
Quick Glance
Below is a quick glance of the 2004 Strength of Schedule. The Overall Offense
and Overall Defense categories have been added in an attempt to show the general
strength of each team's schedule.
Overall Offense is found by summing the SOS of the QBs, RBs,
WR, TEs, and PKs.
Overall Defense is found by summing the SOS for the Def/STs, DLs, LBs, and DBs.
Remember, a higher SOS value means that team's opponents are expected to allow
more fantasy points.
Overall Offense
|
Quarterbacks
|
Running Backs
|
Wide Receivers
|
Tight Ends
|
Receivers
|
Rk
|
Team |
SOS
|
Rk
|
Team |
SOS
|
Rk
|
Team |
SOS
|
Rk
|
Team |
SOS
|
Rk
|
Team |
SOS
|
Rk
|
Team |
SOS
|
1
|
TB |
70.9
|
1
|
TB |
17.9
|
1
|
TB |
20.5
|
1
|
TB |
20.8
|
1
|
Ten |
5.5
|
1
|
Ten |
26.0
|
2
|
Ten |
69.9
|
2
|
Ten |
17.6
|
2
|
Den |
19.7
|
2
|
Den |
20.6
|
2
|
Den |
5.4
|
2
|
Den |
26.0
|
3
|
Den |
69.6
|
3
|
Jax |
17.5
|
3
|
Car |
19.7
|
3
|
Ten |
20.5
|
3
|
Hou |
5.4
|
3
|
TB |
25.6
|
4
|
Jax |
69.2
|
4
|
Den |
17.3
|
4
|
SD |
19.7
|
4
|
Jax |
20.4
|
4
|
Jax |
5.2
|
4
|
Jax |
25.6
|
5
|
Oak |
66.7
|
5
|
GB |
17.1
|
5
|
Ten |
19.3
|
5
|
NO |
20.0
|
5
|
Oak |
5.1
|
5
|
Hou |
24.9
|
6
|
Hou |
66.7
|
6
|
Chi |
17.0
|
6
|
Jax |
19.2
|
6
|
GB |
19.8
|
6
|
KC |
5.1
|
6
|
Oak |
24.8
|
7
|
Car |
66.6
|
7
|
Hou |
16.9
|
7
|
Dal |
19.1
|
7
|
Oak |
19.6
|
7
|
SD |
5.1
|
7
|
GB |
24.5
|
8
|
SD |
66.4
|
8
|
Min |
16.7
|
8
|
Bal |
19.1
|
8
|
Chi |
19.6
|
8
|
TB |
4.9
|
8
|
NO |
24.3
|
9
|
Min |
66.2
|
9
|
Car |
16.6
|
9
|
Det |
18.8
|
9
|
Hou |
19.5
|
9
|
Ind |
4.7
|
9
|
KC |
24.2
|
10
|
Det |
66.2
|
10
|
Oak |
16.6
|
10
|
Oak |
18.8
|
10
|
Phi |
19.5
|
10
|
GB |
4.6
|
10
|
Chi |
24.0
|
11
|
GB |
66.1
|
11
|
Det |
16.5
|
11
|
NYG |
18.6
|
11
|
StL |
19.4
|
11
|
Pit |
4.5
|
11
|
NE |
23.9
|
12
|
NO |
65.7
|
12
|
Phi |
16.4
|
12
|
Atl |
18.5
|
12
|
Min |
19.4
|
12
|
Cle |
4.5
|
12
|
Car |
23.9
|
13
|
KC |
65.2
|
13
|
StL |
16.4
|
13
|
SF |
18.5
|
13
|
SF |
19.4
|
13
|
NE |
4.5
|
13
|
SD |
23.9
|
14
|
SF |
64.9
|
14
|
SF |
16.4
|
14
|
Ind |
18.5
|
14
|
Car |
19.4
|
14
|
Car |
4.4
|
14
|
Min |
23.8
|
15
|
Ind |
64.8
|
15
|
KC |
16.4
|
15
|
NO |
18.4
|
15
|
NE |
19.4
|
15
|
NYJ |
4.4
|
15
|
Cle |
23.8
|
16
|
StL |
64.6
|
16
|
SD |
16.3
|
16
|
Buf |
18.4
|
16
|
Was |
19.3
|
16
|
Det |
4.4
|
16
|
Phi |
23.7
|
17
|
NE |
64.5
|
17
|
Was |
16.2
|
17
|
Hou |
18.4
|
17
|
Cle |
19.3
|
17
|
Chi |
4.4
|
17
|
StL |
23.6
|
18
|
Chi |
64.5
|
18
|
NO |
16.2
|
18
|
Min |
18.2
|
18
|
Det |
19.2
|
18
|
Min |
4.4
|
18
|
SF |
23.6
|
19
|
Phi |
64.4
|
19
|
NE |
16.0
|
19
|
NE |
18.1
|
19
|
Sea |
19.2
|
19
|
Buf |
4.4
|
19
|
Det |
23.6
|
20
|
Bal |
63.8
|
20
|
Ari |
16.0
|
20
|
KC |
18.1
|
20
|
NYJ |
19.1
|
20
|
Cin |
4.4
|
20
|
NYJ |
23.6
|
21
|
NYJ |
63.6
|
21
|
Ind |
16.0
|
21
|
GB |
17.8
|
21
|
KC |
19.1
|
21
|
Bal |
4.4
|
21
|
Was |
23.3
|
22
|
Dal |
63.5
|
22
|
Atl |
15.9
|
22
|
StL |
17.8
|
22
|
SD |
18.8
|
22
|
Mia |
4.4
|
22
|
Sea |
23.3
|
23
|
Atl |
63.4
|
23
|
Sea |
15.8
|
23
|
Sea |
17.7
|
23
|
Ari |
18.8
|
23
|
NO |
4.3
|
23
|
Mia |
23.0
|
24
|
Was |
63.3
|
24
|
Cle |
15.6
|
24
|
Phi |
17.5
|
24
|
Mia |
18.6
|
24
|
StL |
4.2
|
24
|
Cin |
22.9
|
25
|
Sea |
63.2
|
25
|
NYJ |
15.6
|
25
|
Ari |
17.5
|
25
|
Cin |
18.5
|
25
|
Phi |
4.2
|
25
|
Ind |
22.9
|
26
|
Buf |
62.9
|
26
|
Mia |
15.5
|
26
|
NYJ |
17.4
|
26
|
Bal |
18.3
|
26
|
SF |
4.2
|
26
|
Bal |
22.7
|
27
|
Cle |
62.3
|
27
|
Cin |
15.4
|
27
|
Chi |
17.2
|
27
|
Ind |
18.2
|
27
|
Atl |
4.1
|
27
|
Pit |
22.6
|
28
|
Cin |
62.0
|
28
|
Buf |
15.4
|
28
|
Was |
17.2
|
28
|
Pit |
18.1
|
28
|
Sea |
4.1
|
28
|
Ari |
22.6
|
29
|
Ari |
61.9
|
29
|
Dal |
15.2
|
29
|
Mia |
17.1
|
29
|
Atl |
18.0
|
29
|
Was |
4.0
|
29
|
Buf |
22.3
|
30
|
NYG |
61.8
|
30
|
Pit |
15.2
|
30
|
Cin |
17.1
|
30
|
Buf |
17.9
|
30
|
Dal |
3.9
|
30
|
Atl |
22.2
|
31
|
Mia |
61.7
|
31
|
Bal |
15.1
|
31
|
Pit |
16.9
|
31
|
Dal |
17.9
|
31
|
Ari |
3.8
|
31
|
Dal |
21.8
|
32
|
Pit |
61.2
|
32
|
NYG |
14.8
|
32
|
Cle |
16.4
|
32
|
NYG |
17.5
|
32
|
NYG |
3.7
|
32
|
NYG |
21.3
|
Place Kickers
|
Overall Defense
|
Defense/STs
|
Def Linemen
|
Linebackers
|
Defensive Backs
|
Rk
|
Team |
SOS
|
Rk
|
Team |
SOS
|
Rk
|
Team |
SOS
|
Rk
|
Team |
SOS
|
Rk
|
Team |
SOS
|
Rk
|
Team |
SOS
|
1
|
Min |
7.5
|
1
|
NYJ |
86.7
|
1
|
NYJ |
10.1
|
1
|
Cin |
21.7
|
1
|
Cin |
25.1
|
1
|
Phi |
31.7
|
2
|
Ind |
7.5
|
2
|
Cin |
86.3
|
2
|
Sea |
9.2
|
2
|
Sea |
21.7
|
2
|
Bal |
24.3
|
2
|
Bal |
31.6
|
3
|
Dal |
7.4
|
3
|
Bal |
85.2
|
3
|
NO |
9.0
|
3
|
Ind |
21.4
|
3
|
NYJ |
24.3
|
3
|
NO |
31.4
|
4
|
Det |
7.3
|
4
|
Sea |
85.2
|
4
|
Phi |
9.0
|
4
|
NYJ |
21.4
|
4
|
Mia |
24.1
|
4
|
Was |
31.2
|
5
|
NYG |
7.1
|
5
|
Phi |
85.0
|
5
|
Cin |
8.9
|
5
|
Bal |
21.2
|
5
|
Sea |
24.1
|
5
|
NYJ |
30.9
|
6
|
NYJ |
7.0
|
6
|
NO |
84.4
|
6
|
SF |
8.9
|
6
|
Buf |
20.8
|
6
|
SD |
24.0
|
6
|
Min |
30.9
|
7
|
Ten |
7.0
|
7
|
Was |
83.9
|
7
|
Buf |
8.9
|
7
|
Det |
20.7
|
7
|
Jax |
24.0
|
7
|
NYG |
30.7
|
8
|
Bal |
6.9
|
8
|
Atl |
82.7
|
8
|
NYG |
8.8
|
8
|
Phi |
20.5
|
8
|
Was |
24.0
|
8
|
Cin |
30.7
|
9
|
Jax |
6.9
|
9
|
NYG |
82.5
|
9
|
Ind |
8.8
|
9
|
GB |
20.4
|
9
|
Dal |
23.8
|
9
|
Dal |
30.6
|
10
|
Phi |
6.9
|
10
|
Min |
82.4
|
10
|
Atl |
8.7
|
10
|
Was |
20.4
|
10
|
Oak |
23.8
|
10
|
TB |
30.5
|
11
|
Buf |
6.9
|
11
|
Buf |
82.2
|
11
|
Min |
8.7
|
11
|
Mia |
20.4
|
11
|
Phi |
23.8
|
11
|
Jax |
30.5
|
12
|
Atl |
6.8
|
12
|
Jax |
82.1
|
12
|
Cle |
8.7
|
12
|
Cle |
20.4
|
12
|
KC |
23.7
|
12
|
GB |
30.3
|
13
|
TB |
6.8
|
13
|
Dal |
82.1
|
13
|
Pit |
8.5
|
13
|
NO |
20.3
|
13
|
NO |
23.7
|
13
|
Sea |
30.2
|
14
|
NO |
6.8
|
14
|
Det |
82.0
|
14
|
Was |
8.4
|
14
|
Jax |
20.2
|
14
|
NE |
23.6
|
14
|
Atl |
30.2
|
15
|
StL |
6.8
|
15
|
GB |
82.0
|
15
|
GB |
8.4
|
15
|
TB |
20.2
|
15
|
StL |
23.6
|
15
|
Oak |
30.2
|
16
|
Cin |
6.7
|
16
|
NE |
82.0
|
16
|
NE |
8.3
|
16
|
Atl |
20.2
|
16
|
Atl |
23.6
|
16
|
NE |
30.1
|
17
|
Den |
6.6
|
17
|
Mia |
82.0
|
17
|
StL |
8.3
|
17
|
SF |
20.1
|
17
|
Buf |
23.6
|
17
|
SF |
30.0
|
18
|
GB |
6.6
|
18
|
Ind |
81.9
|
18
|
Bal |
8.1
|
18
|
StL |
20.0
|
18
|
Hou |
23.5
|
18
|
Det |
29.9
|
19
|
SD |
6.6
|
19
|
TB |
81.8
|
19
|
Dal |
8.1
|
19
|
Chi |
20.0
|
19
|
Pit |
23.4
|
19
|
Chi |
29.9
|
20
|
Oak |
6.6
|
20
|
SF |
81.7
|
20
|
Det |
8.1
|
20
|
NYG |
19.9
|
20
|
Det |
23.4
|
20
|
Ten |
29.7
|
21
|
Was |
6.6
|
21
|
Cle |
81.6
|
21
|
Mia |
7.9
|
21
|
NE |
19.9
|
21
|
TB |
23.4
|
21
|
Ari |
29.7
|
22
|
Hou |
6.6
|
22
|
StL |
80.7
|
22
|
Ari |
7.7
|
22
|
Oak |
19.9
|
22
|
Ten |
23.3
|
22
|
Mia |
29.7
|
23
|
KC |
6.5
|
23
|
Oak |
80.5
|
23
|
TB |
7.7
|
23
|
SD |
19.7
|
23
|
Cle |
23.3
|
23
|
Car |
29.5
|
24
|
Pit |
6.5
|
24
|
Pit |
80.3
|
24
|
Ten |
7.5
|
24
|
KC |
19.7
|
24
|
Min |
23.2
|
24
|
Cle |
29.3
|
25
|
SF |
6.5
|
25
|
Ten |
80.1
|
25
|
Jax |
7.3
|
25
|
Min |
19.6
|
25
|
Chi |
23.2
|
25
|
Ind |
29.3
|
26
|
NE |
6.4
|
26
|
Chi |
80.0
|
26
|
KC |
7.3
|
26
|
Dal |
19.6
|
26
|
NYG |
23.1
|
26
|
Hou |
29.2
|
27
|
Sea |
6.4
|
27
|
KC |
79.5
|
27
|
Den |
7.0
|
27
|
Ten |
19.6
|
27
|
Den |
23.0
|
27
|
Den |
29.1
|
28
|
Cle |
6.4
|
28
|
Ari |
79.1
|
28
|
Chi |
7.0
|
28
|
Pit |
19.5
|
28
|
GB |
22.9
|
28
|
Buf |
29.0
|
29
|
Car |
6.4
|
29
|
SD |
78.7
|
29
|
Oak |
6.7
|
29
|
Car |
19.1
|
29
|
Car |
22.7
|
29
|
Pit |
28.9
|
30
|
Chi |
6.2
|
30
|
Den |
78.1
|
30
|
Car |
6.6
|
30
|
Ari |
19.0
|
30
|
SF |
22.7
|
30
|
StL |
28.8
|
31
|
Mia |
6.2
|
31
|
Car |
77.9
|
31
|
SD |
6.3
|
31
|
Hou |
19.0
|
31
|
Ari |
22.6
|
31
|
KC |
28.7
|
32
|
Ari |
5.8
|
32
|
Hou |
77.8
|
32
|
Hou |
6.0
|
32
|
Den |
18.8
|
32
|
Ind |
22.5
|
32
|
SD |
28.7
|
|