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Ultimate Strength of Schedule - Running BacksGray's Ultimate Strength of Schedule
Posted 8/13 by Clayton Gray - Exclusive to Footballguys.com



Quick links to positions:
Running Backs Wide Receivers
Defense/Special Teams Defensive Linemen

Key

  • SOS - The basic Strength of Schedule number for the 2004 season (bigger values point to an easier schedule than other teams).


  • 2003 - The basic Strength of Schedule number for the 2003 season (bigger values point to an easier schedule than other teams).


  • Dif - The comparison of the 2004 schedule to the 2003 schedule (positive values point to an easier schedule than in 2003).


  • Easy - The number of games each team will play this season against teams with the 8 worst defenses (seven worst during the bye weeks).


  • Hard - The number of games each team will play this season against teams with the 8 best defenses (seven best during the bye weeks).


  • Wks 1to6 - Wk1to6 - The SOS for the first six weeks of this season.


  • Reg1 - The SOS for the first 13 weeks of this season (the regular season for most fantasy leagues).


  • Reg2 - The SOS for the first 14 weeks of this season (the regular season for some fantasy leagues).


  • Play1 - The SOS for weeks 14 through 16 of this season (the playoffs for many fantasy leagues).


  • Play2 - The SOS for weeks 15 through 16 of this season (the playoffs for many fantasy leagues).


  • Play3 - The SOS for weeks 15 through 17 of this season (the playoffs for many fantasy leagues).


  • Play4 - The SOS for weeks 14 through 17 of this season (the playoffs for many fantasy leagues).


  • WCReg - The SOS for weeks 1 through 12 of this season (the regular season for the WCOFF).


  • WCPly - The SOS for weeks 13 through 16 of this season (the championship tourney for the WCOFF).


Team
SOS
2003
Dif
Easy
Hard
Wk1to6
Reg1
Reg2
Play1
Play2
Play3
Play4
WCReg
WCPly
Ari
17.5
17.0
0.5
4
7
18.6
17.2
17.3
19.7
20.6
18.4
18.3
17.4
18.6
Atl
18.5
17.8
0.8
5
5
17.6
17.6
18.4
22.4
19.7
19.3
21.4
17.9
20.3
Bal
19.1
18.9
0.2
5
4
21.2
19.9
19.6
17.1
17.7
17.2
16.8
19.2
19.6
Buf
18.4
18.3
0.1
4
3
18.1
18.2
18.7
18.8
15.9
17.0
18.9
18.7
17.3
Car
19.7
19.2
0.5
7
3
20.2
19.4
19.6
19.8
18.4
19.8
20.5
18.8
21.2
Chi
17.2
19.2
-2.0
3
4
17.3
17.0
16.7
16.9
19.2
19.7
17.9
16.4
18.6
Cin
17.1
18.2
-1.1
1
3
17.6
17.2
17.1
15.9
16.2
17.1
16.7
17.5
15.4
Cle
16.4
18.2
-1.7
0
6
16.6
16.5
16.3
15.3
15.9
17.1
16.4
16.6
15.1
Dal
19.1
18.5
0.7
3
1
19.2
18.2
18.8
23.8
22.9
20.7
21.9
18.2
22.5
Den
19.7
20.1
-0.4
7
4
18.8
20.3
20.0
16.9
17.7
18.4
17.7
20.4
17.6
Det
18.8
18.2
0.6
5
3
19.6
19.0
18.9
20.1
21.4
18.5
18.3
18.7
20.6
GB
17.8
19.0
-1.1
3
4
16.8
18.2
18.2
16.4
15.7
16.2
16.7
18.2
17.0
Hou
18.4
17.8
0.6
7
4
19.2
18.5
18.6
16.5
14.8
17.4
18.0
18.4
17.2
Ind
18.5
17.6
0.9
4
5
17.5
18.7
18.8
18.3
17.6
17.0
17.6
18.6
18.8
Jac
19.2
18.1
1.1
4
2
19.7
18.8
18.8
20.0
20.4
21.0
20.6
19.1
19.0
KC
18.1
19.3
-1.2
6
6
15.5
18.0
17.6
18.1
20.7
20.3
18.4
17.6
19.1
Mia
17.1
17.5
-0.4
2
4
16.4
17.3
17.1
17.6
18.6
17.0
16.6
17.4
17.0
Min
18.2
18.8
-0.6
2
1
19.1
18.5
18.3
16.9
17.1
17.7
17.4
18.6
17.0
NE
18.1
17.7
0.5
3
3
18.0
18.2
18.5
17.7
16.0
16.7
17.8
18.1
18.3
NO
18.4
17.7
0.7
5
6
18.0
19.2
18.7
17.0
19.1
16.9
15.9
19.7
16.2
NYG
18.6
18.1
0.4
3
3
20.1
19.4
19.0
17.0
18.6
16.9
16.1
19.4
17.5
NYJ
17.4
17.2
0.3
3
6
18.4
17.6
17.4
16.0
16.7
17.7
16.9
17.3
17.4
Oak
18.8
19.0
-0.3
5
4
17.3
18.8
19.1
20.3
19.2
17.5
18.7
17.6
23.3
Phi
17.5
17.5
0.0
2
4
17.1
17.1
17.3
17.7
17.1
18.4
18.6
16.8
18.5
Pit
16.9
19.0
-2.1
3
6
17.4
17.0
17.1
17.7
17.2
16.2
16.8
17.4
16.3
SD
19.7
19.0
0.6
5
4
17.7
18.9
18.6
18.3
20.5
24.4
21.8
18.9
18.6
SF
18.5
17.6
0.9
4
3
21.4
19.3
19.1
16.5
16.2
15.9
16.2
19.2
17.3
Sea
17.7
18.7
-1.0
3
5
18.6
16.7
16.7
19.7
20.8
21.9
20.8
17.0
18.2
StL
17.8
18.1
-0.3
4
5
18.9
17.5
17.2
15.7
17.2
20.7
18.7
17.4
16.7
TB
20.5
18.8
1.8
7
2
21.5
21.4
21.3
18.2
17.6
17.4
17.9
21.3
19.4
Ten
19.3
18.3
1.0
5
3
17.7
18.1
19.2
24.7
20.8
19.9
23.0
17.8
23.7
Was
17.2
17.2
0.0
4
5
16.8
17.3
17.3
14.4
13.2
16.7
16.7
17.4
15.0
Avg
18.3
18.3
0.0
4
4
18.4
18.3
18.3
18.2
18.1
18.3
18.3
18.2
18.4

2004 Schedule Breakdown for Running Backs

This table shows the expected fantasy points allowed at this position by each team's opponents for each week of the NFL regular season.

Color Coding

  • Values in red are the fantasy points allowed by the worst eight (seven worst during the bye weeks) defenders at this position.


  • Values in blue are the fantasy points allowed by the best eight (seven best during the bye weeks) defenders at this position.


Use the color coding to find stretches of easy or difficult games.

Team 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Ari 19.6 14.6 22.6 22.5 13.7 - 23.5 14.2 12.5 17.0 12.6 18.5 15.1 18.1 22.6 18.5 14.0
Atl 13.7 18.0 22.1 12.6 18.9 20.5 22.5 15.6 - 10.9 16.4 25.5 14.2 27.7 13.9 25.5 18.5
Bal 20.2 19.2 18.1 29.5 18.9 - 13.3 18.8 24.7 19.5 13.5 15.4 27.2 15.8 20.7 14.7 16.1
Buf 15.8 22.3 - 17.0 19.5 16.1 13.8 22.1 27.6 15.4 18.0 18.5 12.5 24.7 18.1 13.7 19.2
Car 20.8 22.5 - 23.1 15.6 18.8 19.2 18.5 21.9 13.7 19.1 14.0 25.5 22.6 22.6 14.2 22.5
Chi 17.9 17.5 17.5 16.8 - 16.9 14.2 18.1 16.4 12.8 19.8 12.7 23.7 12.3 23.2 15.1 20.8
Cin 19.5 15.5 18.1 14.7 - 20.2 19.4 12.8 14.6 18.9 16.1 22.6 13.8 15.4 15.4 17.0 18.8
Cle 18.1 12.7 16.4 16.9 14.7 21.0 16.8 - 13.8 16.1 18.5 18.1 14.6 14.2 19.2 12.5 19.6
Dal 17.5 24.7 18.9 - 15.8 19.2 17.5 18.9 18.1 17.5 13.8 18.2 18.5 25.5 18.8 27.1 16.4
Den 32.3 12.3 19.2 14.2 12.6 22.3 18.1 23.1 23.2 - 25.5 21.9 19.4 15.5 22.5 12.8 19.8
Det 17.3 21.6 17.5 - 22.6 19.1 16.4 12.7 27.1 12.3 17.5 21.7 22.1 17.5 24.5 18.2 12.8
GB 12.6 19.3 20.7 17.0 16.0 15.1 14.6 18.9 - 23.7 19.6 22.6 18.8 17.9 13.9 17.5 17.3
Hou 19.2 15.1 22.5 21.9 23.7 12.8 - 13.9 15.6 20.7 20.8 16.0 19.5 19.8 17.3 12.3 22.6
Ind 15.4 12.8 19.1 12.3 27.7 - 15.8 22.5 24.5 21.6 17.3 15.1 20.5 19.6 14.8 20.5 15.6
Jax 14.2 19.4 12.8 19.8 19.4 32.3 20.7 19.6 - 17.9 16.0 17.5 16.1 19.3 17.5 23.2 22.3
KC 15.6 12.6 23.2 13.8 - 12.3 23.1 19.8 14.2 25.5 14.6 19.2 22.3 12.8 19.4 21.9 19.4
Mia 16.0 18.1 16.1 18.5 15.4 14.2 22.6 19.5 19.1 - 18.5 13.7 15.4 15.6 14.6 22.6 13.8
Min 13.5 18.8 18.2 - 19.6 25.5 20.5 15.8 20.7 17.5 18.9 15.8 17.3 16.4 15.1 19.1 18.9
NE 19.8 17.0 - 14.2 15.5 23.5 18.5 14.7 19.6 15.4 22.5 18.1 20.2 21.0 12.5 19.5 18.1
NO 16.4 19.5 19.6 17.0 10.9 24.5 22.3 - 19.4 29.5 15.1 22.6 13.9 12.7 14.2 24.0 12.6
NYG 18.8 27.1 24.7 17.5 12.7 - 18.9 17.5 18.2 17.0 24.0 17.5 18.9 13.8 19.2 18.1 13.5
NYJ 27.2 19.4 - 12.5 13.3 19.5 15.4 16.1 14.2 14.8 20.2 17.0 21.6 14.7 16.4 17.0 19.6
Oak 14.7 15.4 14.0 19.6 20.7 19.4 22.5 19.4 12.6 - 19.2 15.6 32.3 22.6 16.0 22.5 13.9
Phi 17.0 23.7 15.1 17.3 - 12.6 20.2 18.1 14.7 12.7 16.9 16.4 20.8 18.9 14.6 19.6 21.0
Pit 21.9 13.8 12.5 21.0 22.6 12.7 - 14.6 16.8 20.2 18.1 16.9 12.3 18.5 16.4 18.1 14.2
SD 19.6 18.5 15.6 16.0 13.9 22.6 12.6 21.9 22.5 - 22.3 22.5 19.4 14.0 20.2 20.7 32.3
SF 23.1 25.5 18.5 22.6 19.1 19.5 - 17.3 23.5 12.6 14.2 15.5 19.6 17.0 16.9 15.4 15.4
Sea 25.5 14.2 19.5 - 18.0 15.4 17.0 13.9 13.7 19.6 16.1 13.3 13.5 17.5 19.5 22.1 24.0
StL 22.1 22.6 25.5 13.7 18.5 10.9 12.5 - 17.0 16.4 14.2 17.5 19.5 12.6 17.0 17.5 27.6
TB 18.9 23.5 22.3 19.4 25.5 19.6 19.3 - 32.3 22.6 18.1 12.6 23.1 19.4 22.5 12.6 17.0
Ten 12.5 19.8 13.9 19.4 17.5 23.2 17.5 21.0 - 19.3 12.3 19.6 20.7 32.3 22.3 19.4 17.9
Was 14.0 16.4 14.6 20.2 18.1 17.3 - 20.8 15.1 21.0 18.8 14.7 17.0 16.8 13.7 12.7 23.7
Avg 18.5 18.5 18.5 17.9 17.9 18.8 18.2 17.9 19.1 17.9 17.8 17.7 19.0 18.2 18.0 18.3 18.7
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