The Waiver
Wire Report |
Posted 11/15 by Bob Henry, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
|
Quarterbacks
David Garrard (Jac) - Garrard came
through in the clutch for the Jaguars hitting
Jimmy Smith for a 36 yd TD strike in OT to beat
the visiting Lions. He finished with 2 TDs on
the day while throwing for 198 yards completing
19 passes in 36 attempts. It was good enough to
rank him among this week's top 10 fantasy QBs.
Keep in mind Garrard is a running QB and he
tallied 42 yards on 7 carries this week. The
next couple games are against Tennessee and
Minnesota, both of which look like solid
matchups on paper for Garrard to be a good
spot-starter.
Billy Volek (Ten) - It's doubtful he's
still available - like Garrard - since the
McNair owner in your league likely has claimed
him several weeks ago. If not, Volek has played
fairly well in McNair's place. He ranks among
the top 10 fantasy QBs over the last three weeks
and produced solid stats this week against the
Bears. Volek threw for 334 yards with 2 TDs and
1 interception. McNair is going to be a
game-time decision every week moving forward, so
you'll need thick skin and free time every
Sunday morning to deal with those last minute
lineup calls. Over the next month the Titans
schedule softens up against the pass with the
following opponents ahead: @Jac, @Hou, @Ind, KC,
@Oak. Those are all solid matchups that Volek or
McNair should exploit for good fantasy
production.
Patrick Ramsey (Was) - It finally
happened. Brunell was awful once again and
Ramsey finally got his chance to enter the game
this week. He didn't necessarily distance
himself from Brunell with a great performance,
but at least he's playing now and at the time of
this writing I'm going to assume he's got the
inside path at starting next week. Obviously,
you'll want to confirm this assumption before
grabbing Ramsey off waivers, but the way Brunell
has played there really shouldn't be much doubt.
Ramsey was just 18 for 37 for 210 yards with 1
TD and 2 interceptions. The Redskins play the
Eagles twice in the next four weeks, so he'll be
tested thoroughly by the aggressive, blitz-happy
schemes of Jim Johnson. Outside of the Steelers
in week 12, the rest of the slate looks
promising with matchups against the Giants,
49ers, Cowboys and Vikings.
Quincy Carter (NYJ) - Strictly a short-term play here. Chad Pennington
will resume the QB duties from Carter when he returns from his shoulder injury.
That could happen in 2 or 3 weeks. Carter didn't throw a TD pass but he was
efficient for the most part completing 13 of 22 passes for 175 yards while
rushing for 22 yards on 5 carries against the vaunted Ravens defense. Next on
the schedule for Carter are games against Cleveland and Arizona on the road
followed by the Texans at home in the Meadowlands. Beyond that it's hard to say
if Carter will be on the field as Pennington should be back in the lineup.
Josh McCown (Ari) - Another flop for
McCown this week in what appeared to be a good
matchup in lieu of the Giants recent rash of
injuries on defense. It didn't play out that way
though. McCown struggled all day completing just
50% of his 24 passes for just 90 yards. The next
two games aren't particularly good matchups
either against Carolina and NY Jets. After that
the going gets a little easier as the Cardinals
face Detroit, SF and St. Louis in weeks 13
through 15. If you have a tough stretch of
matchups with your current QBs then consider
adding McCown for insurance those weeks to
strengthen your roster's depth heading into the
playoffs. McCown is a gamble and he's certainly
no sure thing, but we still expect the Cardinals
offense to improve in 2nd half now that they
have their WR corps healthy and Emmitt Smith
running fairly well.
Carson Palmer (Cin) - When evaluating young QBs it's good to think of
Bill Murray's character in "What About Bob?"... Baby steps. It's all about baby
steps. To that end, Palmer is improving and ranks among the top 12 fantasy QBs
if you sample the past two weeks. Against the Redskins solid pass defense (32nd
ranked fantasy matchup for QBs through 10 weeks) Palmer performed reasonably
well. Not great, but not horrible either. He threw 2 interceptions but got into
the end zone once and finished with 217 yards while completing 24 passes in 39
attempts. In his last four games, Palmer is averaging 218.5 passing yds with 3
TDs, 4 INTs and a 60% completion rate. He also ran in a TD. That puts him just
below the middle of the pack for starting NFL quarterbacks. Now, this is where
the reality of a young QB can hurt you. The next five games on the schedule are
against teams who rank among the bottom 12 in terms of fantasy matchups (pts
allowed per game). So it's nice to see improvement, but just a forewarning not
to over-evaluate him moving forward.
Kyle Boller (Bal) - Like Palmer, it's
good to see Boller taking baby steps and showing
some signs that he'll eventually turn into a
solid QB. Ok, that's being nice, but he did play
well this week. He still looks overly mechanical
too me which is a nice way of saying he's stiff,
despite all his athleticism. The good thing is
the Ravens offense is getting healthier with
Heap expected back soon and the WR corps coming
together with Taylor back in the lineup and
rookie Clarence Moore emerging as a solid threat
in the red zone. Boller isn't about to leap into
the top 10 fantasy QBs this year, but there are
some decent spots in the schedule ahead where he
might possibly be useful as a backup for
insurance purposes. Specifically, look at week
11 vs Dallas, week 13 vs Cincy, week 14 vs NYG
and week 15 at Indianapolis.
Others to consider
Drew Henson (Dal) - Sooner or later Henson is going to be ushered in
as the Cowboys QB of the future and present. Testaverde isn't necessarily
doing a terrible job, but the Cowboys don't seem to be heading in the right
direction (playoffs). As they continue to slip out of the playoff picture
Henson's window of opportunity draws near. The Cowboys have been productive
passing the football, so if Henson is thrown into the fire there's an outside
chance he could also be fairly productive. Keep in mind he's more mobile than
Testaverde giving him a leg up as a fantasy QB also.
Eli Manning (NYG) - Warner may be able to keep the critics at bay for
now, but the Giants faithful and New York media are already clamoring for Eli
Manning. Warner completed 19 of 30 passes for 193 yards in a losing effort to
the Arizona Cardinals. He didn't turn the football over as he has in recent
games. As the Giants slide continues from their early season perch, Warner will
be on the hot seat. Warranted or not, Manning is obviously waiting in the wings.
It's doubtful that Manning could make an impact as a rookie either way, but if
he's named starter at any point, he may be worth a flyer just in case he pulls a
Roethlisberger.
Who is hot?
This week
Of the quarterbacks who generally rank
outside the range of normal fantasy starters
Jake Delhomme, Billy Volek, David Garrard, Kyle
Boller, Brian Griese and Carson Palmer
all finished among the top 15 fantasy QBs on
Sunday (with MNF yet to play). Delhomme, Volek,
Garrard and Boller are among the top 8 QBs of
the week with McNabb and Testaverde yet to play
tonight.
Over the last 2 weeks (fantasy pts per
start)
Drew Brees, Jake Delhomme, Billy Volek, Carson
Palmer, Brian Griese and David Garrard
are among the top 12 fantasy QBs.
Over the last 3 weeks (fantasy pts per
start)
Drew Brees, Jake Delhomme and Billy Volek
rank among the top 10 fantasy QBs. Before
sitting the bench this week Mark Brunell was
just 32 of 69 for 282 yards with 2 TDs and 3
interceptions over the last 4 weeks. No wonder
Patrick Ramsey is playing now.
Over the last 4 weeks (fantasy pts per
start)
Vinny Testaverde is among the top 10 QBs and
Kerry Collins and Brian Griese are
among the top 15. Three QBs have thrown for
1,000+ yards over the last four weeks - Peyton
Manning (duh), Trent Green and Jake Delhomme.
Jake Plummer has 954 passing yds with 9 TDs
in his last three games. Too bad he had 5
interceptions in that same time span. Despite
calls for Drew Henson amidst Vinny's
turnover-laced adventures the past couple weeks,
Vinny Vidi Vici still has some solid numbers in
his last 3 games - a 67% completion rate, 750
yds and 4 TDs. If it weren't for those darned 6
interceptions. Trent Green is en fuego!
In his last four games, he's 101 for 136 (74%)
with 1338 yds and 7 TDs.
Not that it matters any, but..
Just in case you didn't notice (like if you live
on Mars or something) the NFL's favored son and
everyone's favorite QB who hasn't won a Super
Bowl that's not named Marino has 17 TDs in his
last 4 games. Now, imagine how many fewer TDs
he'd throw if the Colts actually had a defense
that could stop someone (or if they actually RAN
THE BALL with a gigantic lead). Edge's agent
will be sending Peyton's agent a memo any day
now. Get Edge the rock in the red zone, please!?
You think Dom Capers won't remember that if/when
they ever get a chance to return the favor?
Running Backs
Derrick Blaylock (KC) - Blaylock
exploded for the 2nd time this season. The good
thing is this time we saw it coming with Priest
Holmes hurt. The chances are slim that Blaylock
is available in most competitive 12 team
leagues, but those of you in Yahoo! leagues or
8, 10 team leagues might still be able to
benefit from grabbing him. Blaylock shredded the
Saints inept run defense for 186 yards on 33
carries, scoring once and catching 3 passes for
38 yards. In much the same way that some have
discredited Terrell Davis for all his production
with the Broncos, there's certainly prevailing
opinions that believe the same can be said of
the Chiefs and their RBs. Blaylock is proving to
be handful when his number is called, but
if/when Priest is healthy it's obviously still
his job. At this point, it's hard to call either
way, but Holmes might not ready to play in week
11 so get Blaylock if you can. Matchups don't
always work out when dealing with the Chiefs.
Their offensive line is so good that a lot of
backs could be inserted into their offense and
produce great results. You can send flowers to
Larry Johnson if you wish. He didn't touch the
pill even once this week.
T.J. Duckett (Atl) - While Warrick
Dunn remains the starter and better overall
fantasy back, Duckett is working his way into
the mix as a reliable goal line option. Whether
he was used more against the Bucs because Tampa
has struggled with bigger backs in the past
could be part of the deal, too. Duckett carried
the ball 12 times on Sunday for 53 yards scoring
twice. The schedule ahead is extremely favorable
to the Falcons, so if you can get Duckett you
should do it. The schedule ahead looks like
this: @NYG, NO, @TB, OAK, CAR, @NO, @SEA. That
means three games against the two of the worst
run defenses in the league (NO, CAR) and Oakland
is a top ten matchup as well.
Tyrone Wheatley (Oak) - Wheatley was
idle this week as the Raiders were on the bye.
He's back in the lineup after missing a few
games with a shoulder injury and he's clearly
the most valuable Raiders back at this point for
fantasy purposes. That's not saying a lot, but a
starting NFL RB is worth something in most
leagues. The Raiders have a mix of good and bad
matchups in the 2nd half of the season, but
Wheatley is worth a look specifically against KC
in week 13, vs Tennessee week 15 and then at KC
in week 16. He could produce solid numbers in
those weeks and be useful as a potential #2 RB
in your lineup.
Nick Goings and Brad Hoover (Car) - The
Panthers backfield situation is a mess. Let's be
straight. Brad Hoover,
Nick Goings, Jamal Robertson, Brandon Bennett
and Joey Harris are all in the mix. It looks a
lot like the Dolphins backfield earlier this year.
Someone different each week. This week it was
Nick Goings who combined for 92 yards (8 carries
for 42 yds, 3 catches for 50 yds). Brandon
Bennett came in to a get a short TD but did
little otherwise. Brad Hoover was a
disappointment having been dubbed the starter,
but only touching the ball 6 times for 16 yds.
One of these guys has a decent chance to produce
each week, but good luck playing the game of
Russian Roulette with the Panthers coaching
staff trying to read their mind and whatever
might fall out any given Sunday. Right now,
Hoover and Goings look like your best bets, but
Bennett, Harris or Robertson could work their
way more into the mix, too.
LaBrandon Toefield (Jac) - Fred Taylor
left the game briefly on Sunday and Toefield
stepped in and filled his shoes, but it was
merely a scare. Taylor was back in the game and
appears to be just fine looking ahead towards
next week. Toefield had a productive game
against the Lions combining for 59 yards on 12
carries and 2 catches, one of which was a TD in
the first half. Toefield appears to be the
leading backup to Taylor though Greg Jones
and Chris Fuamatu Ma'afala would almost
certainly get some touches if Taylor is forced
to miss any real action. Jones converted at the
goal line this week as both he and Toefield
scored TDs while Taylor did not. Toefield's
still an insurance policy at this point, but
it's also worth noting how Del Rio continues to
divvy up the action giving Toefield and Jones
more opportunities in the red zone and on 3rd
downs at Taylor's expense.
Steven Jackson (Stl) - Jackson
continues to scratch the surface of his vast
fantasy potential. Marshall Faulk also had a
tremendous game against the Seahawks, but
Jackson scored a TD while Faulk did not. Unless
Faulk gets hurt, Jackson's value isn't likely to
skyrocket. If Faulk went down, Jackson vaults
into the top 10 or 15 depending on the matchup
at hand. Ironically, Jackson's presence and
spelling of Faulk are working against his own
fantasy value because it's helping to keep
Marshall fresh and healthy. If Faulk starts all
16 games it would mark the first time in a few
seasons he's done so. Either way, Jackson is one
of the most talented NFL backup RBs and if you
can still land him (regardless of having Faulk)
then do so if you have a roster spot worth
using.
Tony Fisher (GB) - Fisher got a good deal of work this week spelling
Ahman Green, who was briefly hurt, and Najeh Davenport, who tweaked a hamstring
in the first half. Davenport apparently has a perpetual hamstring injury. Either
way, Fisher benefits as the main backup behind Green as long as Davenport isn't
100%. As such, Fisher would stand to gain the most right now if Green happens to
go down for any reason. Of course, Ahman has dealt with some lingering injuries this year as his sore
Achilles has been a problem in recent games. Fisher finished with a combined 67
yards (8 carries, 3 catches) with 1 TD. Though the refs blew that call as he
fumbled before crossing the goal line. Hey, it doesn't matter as long as it
counts in the box score.
Others to consider
Willie Parker (Pit) - Parker got his
first extended playing time this week and did
rather well with his opportunity. Parker
finished with 44 yards on 8 carries flashing his
speed and quickness after Bettis wore down the
defense with his battering, bruising style.
Duce Staley will probably be back next week
and Verron Haynes will ultimately be back and
supplant Parker as the change-of-pace and 3rd
down option as well. So, Parker's value is
strictly short-term and his shelf life will
expire when these two backs are healthy. Until
then, if neither one can go next week, Parker is
once again a decent play in deeper leagues if
you need a guy who will at least get some
touches with a chance to produce something.
Terry Jackson and Maurice Hicks (SF) - Barlow had a great
opportunity to produce big numbers facing arguably the league's easiest run
defense (in terms of fantasy matchups). Barlow produced 2 TDs but didn't do much
in terms of yardage finishing with 47 yards on 21 carries. Eeuuww! Hicks got
some touches late in the game after Barlow lost his cool and was flagged for
unsportsmanlike conduct. Hicks took advantage and finished with 46 yards on 8
carries with 1 catch for 12 yards. Jackson was worked into the mix throughout
the game as well spelling Barlow. Still, it's hard to lay too much blame on
Barlow for not producing. Simply put, the 49ers offensive line is not creating
any holes or playing well at all. Regardless, it's time to take note of Hicks
and Jackson because Barlow has dealt with some lingering, pestering injuries all
season and at least Hicks showed a burst and produced something note worthy in
his window of opportunity. Moving forward, Hicks could earn a little bigger
piece of the pie and be worth a waiver claim and roster spot - especially if you
have Barlow and can stomach two roster spots for the 49ers backfield.
Cedric Cobbs (NE) - He's not getting
any playing time at the moment, but he's off the
PUP list and has been activated the past couple
weeks just in case something happens to Corey
Dillon. Obviously, Kevin Faulk has hit
foot in the door as a 3rd down back already, but
if Dillon were to miss any length of time you
can bet that Cobbs would have a bigger role. For
now, he remains more of a back to stash and stow
away for dynasty leagues, but I still believe
he'd be worthwhile this year if Dillon doesn't
hold up.
Who is hot?
This week
Domanick Davis returned to form this
week as the top fantasy RB in the league with
the MNF game remaining. Other notable top
finishers who normally don't rank amongst the
elite include Derrick Blaylock (#2), Jerome
Bettis (#5), Emmitt Smith (#13), T.J. Duckett
(#15), Tony Fisher (#17) and Moe Williams
(#18). Fisher and Williams each scored on
pass receptions while Duckett, Bettis and Emmitt
each scored 2 TDs to boost their numbers.
Kevan Barlow scored twice and finished among
the top 10 but could've produced better numbers
if it weren't for a hot temper and an injury
scare. LaBrandon Toefield supplanted Fred
Taylor late in the Jags game as he finished
among the top 20 with 59 combined yards and a TD
reception.
Over the last 3 weeks (fantasy pts per
start)
Michael Pittman, Domanick Davis, Willis McGahee,
Anthony Thomas and Derrick Blaylock rank among the top 10 fantasy
RBs. Tyrone Wheatley is among the top 20.
Lamont Jordan is averaging 6.9 yds/carry.
Kevin Faulk has 179 combined yards with
12 catches. Nick Goings has 164 combined
yards, 1 TD and 9 catches.
Over the last 4 weeks (fantasy pts per
start)
Derrick Blaylock, Michael Pittman, Jerome
Bettis, Tyrone Wheatley, Willis McGahee, Anthony
Thomas and Emmitt Smith have all
produced top 20 fantasy numbers (starter
quality) over the last 4 weeks. Kevin Faulk
ranks among the top 35 with 18 catches for 149
yds and 23 carries for 95 yds (no TDs). Brad
Hoover and Nick Goings have combined
for 223 rushing yds, 149 receiving yds, 17
catches and 2 TDs during this span. Jesse
Chatman, Tomlinson's primary backup, is
averaging 7.0 ypc on 27 carries with 1 TD.
Onterrio Smith is averaging 5.6 ypc since
his return with 2 TDs and a combined 129 yds in
2 games.
Idle thought
The Lions didn't allow a 100 yard rusher for
13 consecutive games before allowing Clinton
Portis to run for 147 yards last week and Fred
Taylor 144 yds this week. The Lions upcoming
games are next Sunday at Minnesota, Indianapolis
at home for Thanksgiving followed by Arizona, at
Green Bay, Minnesota, Chicago and at Tennessee.
Take note if you have RBs facing the Lions.
They've been tough against the run up until the
last two games, but the most of the teams
remaining on the schedule have good backs and
running games so this could be the beginning of
a back-breaking trend for the Lions defense.
Wide Receivers
Add immediately, impact potential
Travis Taylor and Clarence Moore (Bal) - No relation to
Herman Moore far as I know.. but Clarence is
doing a good impersonation of Herman as he
caught 2 TDs this week using his size to his
advantage in the red zone. Moore also caught a 2
pt conversion a week ago and overtook Kevin
Johnson two weeks ago in the lineup starting
opposite Travis Taylor. Both Ravens WRs
are worth a look at this point where the
pickings are slim in most leagues. Taylor and
Moore are getting the bulk of the targets for
the Ravens with Moore obviously getting the more
treasured looks around the goal line. With Jamal
Lewis drawing defenses attention both of these
WRs should continue to have solid opportunities
to produce - assuming we have any trust
what-so-evah in Kyle Boller.
Eddie Kennison (KC) - Kennison continues to put up strong numbers
since coming off injury as he caught 7 passes this week for 121 yds and a TD.
He's managed to hang around the waiver wire in a couple of leagues I'm in so
there's a decent chance you could still grab him, but he'll be long gone after
the week he had against the Saints.
Jerome Pathon (NO) - Pathon has moved
into the starting lineup opposite Joe Horn, but
only managed 2 catches for 33 yards in a great
matchup against the Chiefs. Go figure. The
Saints are a hard to team to finger and this
isn't likely to change under Jim Haslet. For
whatever reasons they just don't seem to produce
consistently and Pathon seems to be falling
squarely into the same category despite having
produced better than Donte Stallworth when he
wasn't in the lineup. Now that their roles are
reversed it would only be New Orleans style
karma for Stallworth to produce more than
Pathon. For what it's worth, Stallworth was only
good for 3 catches and 11 yards. It wouldn't be
a surprise if Stallworth is available, but
Pathon is likely the better option simply
because he's starting. Neither one are what I'd
call reliable at this point, but most players
available on the wire this late in the game
aren't reliable either.
Bobby Wade (Chi) - You can also throw
David Terrell's name into this hat. The
Bears schedule is favorable for their passing
game, but whether or not it will amount to
anything with Craig Krenzel leading the charge
remains to be seen. Wade had a solid game this
week catching 4 passes for 63 yards and rushing
3 times for another 21 yards against the Titans.
He's the most consistent threat and perhaps the
team's best 3rd down option. Terrell, meanwhile,
is plagued by dropped passes and inconsistency.
He's arguably the better player with the higher
upside any given week, but Wade is more
consistent and will probably have more targets
the rest of the way.
Deion Branch (NE) - Branch is
reportedly closer to returning to the lineup
than he's been since getting hurt. His knee
injury has taken much longer to heal than
originally anticipated leaving the door wide
open for David Givens to establish himself as
Brady's go to guy this season. Branch was
upgraded on this week's injury report but still
was a game day inactive. At least he's heading
in the right direction and when he does finally
see game action he will be worth having on the
roster, but then it will be a wait-n-see
approach before actually getting the confidence
to use him in the lineup. The point is you'll
need to grab him now or if you wait a week or
two longer he'll be gone if he's not already.
Dennis Northcutt (Cle) - While Antonio
Bryant more of the hype, Dennis Northcutt
remains the more productive of the two and
arguably the most consistent and productive
Browns WR. He caught just 2 passes Sunday but
they went for 69 yds. Look for Bryant, Northcutt
and Andre Davis to all have reasonable if not
insignificant value the rest of the way with
each of them having good/bad games as you
constantly try to guess which one will produce.
T.J. Houshmandzadeh (Cin) - He's been up and down this year but with
Peter Warrick on IR, he's got a starting job and could have some consistent if
not solid value the rest of the way. He caught 7 passes for 59 yards this week
and there will be a few decent matchups, but some tough ones too, on the
upcoming schedule where you might get some value out of him.
Bobby Engram (Sea) - Engram played
this week after sitting out the past couple due
to injury. If/when Koren Robinson gets
suspended, Engram's role would be expanded much
to the chagrin of Jerry Rice. That simple fact
of the matter is that Engram is a better player
right now than Jerry is. Engram is a great slot
WR but could also have value playing on the
outside. Even if Rice starts outside keeping
Engram inside in the event of K-Rob missing 4
games, I would bet Engram would produce better
numbers.
Others to consider
Kelley Washington (Cin) - The talented
2nd year WR caught 4 passes this week but
produced just 23 yards. If he ever plays up to
his talent and upside Washington could be a
heckuva player, but right now he's merely a
tease and with a schedule that features tough
matchups and a couple decent situations, chances
are his best games won't come until 2005 and
beyond.
Bernard Berrian (Chi) - The Bears have a soft schedule on the road
ahead and Berrian continues to work himself into the lineup as a slot WR.
Dynasty leaguers? He could be more valuable next year and in years to come, but
for re-drafters he's simply a gamble as a slot WR knowing the Bears will be
facing some questionable pass defenses in the 2nd half of the season.
Rashaun Woods (SF) - His role is going
to be growing in the 2nd half of the season, but
for now his value is minimal. Woods is primarily
a dynasty league option if he's available and
another owner lost patience with him.
Kevin Curtis (Stl) - Curtis caught a
TD pass this week, but he remains the Rams 4th
WR. He'll put up some decent numbers in some
games, but more often than not he won't be
worthwhile unless injury strikes Holt, Bruce or
McDonald. This week Holt had a scare after
getting rocked in the first half on a pass play.
McDonald stepped in to fill his shoes which
resulted in more opportunities for Curtis as
well.
Frisman Jackson (Cle) - Caught 5
passes for 61 yds this week but his value is
strictly short-term while Andre Davis sits
because of injury. If Davis sits again next week
maybe Jackson is worth a look against the Jets.
Who is hot?
This week
Nate Burleson continues to shine
while Randy Moss sits out with a bad hammy. He
and Muhsin Muhammad were this week's top
fantasy WRs along with Brandon Stokley
and Drew Bennett in terms of guys who
out-produced their expectations. Also making
this week's HOT list are Eddie Kennison,
Clarence Moore, Michael Clayton, Amani Toomer
(finally!) and Cedrick Wilson (5 for
101).
Over the last 3 weeks (fantasy pts per
start)
Muhsin Muhammad has 5 TDs in the last three
weeks and ranks #1 in PPG. Ashley Lelie
is living up to his vast potential lately
ranking amongst the top 10 along with Nate
Burleson, David Givens and Eddie Kennison. rank among the top
40 fantasy WRs. Johnnie Morton and
Eddie Kennison both rank among the top 20 in
the last three weeks riding the heels of Trent
Green's hot streak. Travis Taylor has 17
catches for 180 yards in his last three games.
Justin McCareins is thawing and has 7
catches for 113 yds and 2 TDs in the last three
games (but he didn't do much this week).
Bernard Berrian has 3 catches in the last
three weeks - 2 of those were for TDs.
Over the last 4 weeks (fantasy pts per
start)
Surprised? Jimmy Smith is the #1
fantasy WRs over the last 4 weeks. It's a month
of throwbacks as veterans Jimmy Smith, Rod Smith
and Muhsin Muhammad rank as the top 3 fantasy
WRs. David Givens is among the top 10
during this span with 23 catches, 374 yds and 2
TDs. Brandon Lloyd has rebounded nicely
from injuries to rank among the top 20 with 14
catches, 200 yds and 2 TDs in the last 4 weeks
(3 games). Keenan McCardell is back in
action and ranks among the top 30 with 15
catches for 209 yds and 1 TD in his last three
games. Look for that production to climb.
Tight Ends
Ken Dilger (TB) - Ranks among the top
10 fantasy TEs in the last 4 weeks. He's caught
10 passes for 98 yds and 2 TDs in his last three
games. I continue to rely on two factors which
make Dilger an attractive waiver wire TE. #1 -
Brian Griese is a TE friendly QB. #2 - The Bucs
utilize their TEs frequently in the red zone.
Chalk it up to Jon Gruden, the West Coast
offense or whatever you want, but both of these
factors have Dilger on the rise.
Jerramy Stevens (Sea) - Stevens has
been reasonably productive two weeks in a row.
His value is on the rise, but be cautious
because he's like a volatile stock and he could
easily come tumbling down. Still, as far as TEs
go we'll take 3 catches for 34 yards and you
can't complain about that if he's available
still in your league (or if his previous owner
dumped him on the news that Holmgren would be
benching him in week 9).
Boo Williams (NO) - Boo could pull the
same thing he did last year and have a fast
finish. He was highly regarded as a starter
caliber TE entering the season then disappeared
ala Brandon Lloyd. Like Lloyd he is playing good
now.
Erron Kinney (Ten) - Back from injury,
Kinney is a good bet to produce decent numbers
the rest of the way despite the Titans likely
playing all three of their TEs - Shad Meier
and rookie Ben Troupe are also in the
mix.
Aaron Shea (Cle) - Shea is quietly
putting together a nice season on the heels of
Kellen Winslow missing almost the entire year.
Over the last four weeks, Shea has 9 catches for
72 yards and 1 TD. Nothing fancy, nothing
special, but he's a good backup who can jump up
with a good game every few weeks.. which is
about all you can ask for if you're fishing for
a TE at this point in the season.
Stephen Alexander (D) - With the Lions WR corps banged up with
injuries Alexander's production is on the rise, even if it's scant. He's got 12
catches for 120 yds in the last 4 weeks but no TDs. Ironically, Alexander is the
one who is usually hurt. For now, Alexander could be good for around 3 to 5
targets a game until Hakim, Streets and Williams all get back to 100%.
Who is hot?
This week
Dallas Clark made the big splash this
week. He's on a tear since returning from injury
scoring in 4 of the last 5 games. Heck, at this
point just wearing a Colts uniform is worthy of
fantasy consideration if we're talking about WRs
or TEs. Over the last two weeks Dallas Clark and
Marcus Pollard have a combined 5 TDs
(Pollard caught 2 last week). Jermaine
Wiggins continues to be one of the hottest
TEs in the league catching 6 passes for 94 yds
and 1 TD. He's clearly developed a nice rapport
with Culpepper and is a frequent target as an
underneath check-off and frequent 3rd down
target. Also among this week's top fantasy TEs
are Ken Dilger and Bubba Franks -
on the strength of his 4th TD catch of the
season and 3rd in the last 5 games. Two of this
week's anomalies you can probably discard are
Christian Fauria and Tony Stewart.
Each one caught a TD in what amounted to their
only catch of the day.
Over the last 4 weeks (fantasy pts per
start)
Jason Witten is your #1 fantasy TE over the
last four weeks though he's played only 3 games
in that time. He's caught 23 passes for 293 yds
and 2 TDs - only Gonzo has more pts in the last
4 weeks and he played 4 games. Dallas Clark
and Jermaine Wiggins are both in the top
8 while Doug Jolley is flirting with a
top 10 ranking with 9 catches for 135 yds and 2
TDs in his last three games. Clark's teammate
and partner in crime Marcus Pollard has
been equally active catching 10 passes for 119
yds and 3 TDs in the last four games placing him
within the top 12 fantasy TEs. Ken Dilger
also ranks among the top 12.
Kickers
Who is hot?
Rather than run-down the same cast of
kickers, let's take a look at who is hot as this
might be the best way to determine who you might
want to pluck off the waiver wire and ride like
a jockey down the stretch. John Kasay was
hurt in this week's game so the Panthers might
be one opportunity for a kicker to step in and
produce some points if Kasay isn't able to play
next week. Elsewhere, Olindo Mare will
probably resume his kicking duties as the
Dolphins cut Matt Bryant and Bill Gramatica
during their bye week.
This week
Adam Vinatieri booted 5 FGs to set
the pace for the 2nd straight week amongst NFL kickers. Josh Brown booted
4 FGs while Jeff Wilkins knocked 3 through the uprights and there's your
top 3 kickers of the week.
Over the last 4 weeks (fantasy pts per
start)
Adam Vinatieri is tearing it up over the
last month and we're not even counting his
impromptu TD pass on the fake field goal last
week. That withstanding, Vinatieri is 13 for 13
in FG attempts with 9 PATs making him the #1
kicker over the last four weeks. Right on his
heels are Shayne Graham (10-10 FGs with 8
PATs), Ryan Longwell (6-6 with 11 PATs),
Todd Peterson (6-7 FGs with 7 PATs) and
Josh Brown (8-8 with 10 PATs). The one
who is perhaps the biggest up-n-comer on the
scene is Josh Scobee who is in the top 10
the last four weeks with 7 FGs in 8 attempts.
Defense / Special Teams
Who is hot?
Lions and Bears are special?
Using the same approach for kickers, let's
take a look at the hot defense and special teams
units around the league. There are two teams who
really jumped out this week when it comes to
special teams play - Detroit and
Chicago. Must be a Great Lakes thing.
Eddie Drummond returned two punts for TDs to
force the Lions/Jags game into OT while R.W.
McQuarters matched Drummond's feat. The only
problem was his 2nd return was called back on a
penalty. I hate it when that happens. You gotta
hand it to the Lions though.. even when they
suck - and they've sucked badly over the years -
their return men are always among the most
dangerous in the league thinking back to Mel
Gray, Desmond Howard and even Reggie Swinton
last season.
This week
This week's hottest D/ST unit was
unquestionably the Indianapolis Colts who scored 2 TDs, had 5 sacks and
forced 4 turnovers against the Texans. Have to say I didn't see this one coming.
Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis are playing well right now giving
the Texans a solid pair of speed rushers at each DE spot. Now, if they can
sustain this or put something together then they might have something. Don't
hold your breath. The next two weeks are against two of the league's worst
offensive teams, however, so they might be worth a look as a short-term gamble
with some potential to sustain moving forward.
The Arizona Cardinals also had 6 sacks
this week - 4 of them to Bertrand Berry, who is
quickly becoming their best free agent signing
in years. The Cardinals didn't force any
turnovers though and remain a bubble team in
terms of their fantasy potential moving forward.
They do play the Panthers and the Lions on the
road in the next three weeks, so maybe they'll
have a couple other chances to produce solid
results.
Back to the Monsters of the Midway.. Well,
let's not get carried away.. The Chicago
Bears scored 2 TDs without their offense on
the field this week. Michael Haynes
intercepted a screen pass and took it to the
house, and McQuarters was a demon on punt
returns as mentioned above. Meanwhile, in
overtime, Adewale Ogunleye gave the Bears
some just rewards for trading Marty Booker by
recovering a fumble caused by Alex Brown sacking
Billy Volek in the end zone which resulted in a
game-winning safety. Of the many ways to win a
game, that has to be one of the better ones I've
seen.
Other defensive efforts worth noting include
Cincinnati's 5 sacks against the helpless
Redskins offensive line. Nothing new here. The
Titans sacked Craig Krenzel 5 times. Carolina
intercepted 4 Tim Rattay passes on the day while
sacking him 4 times as well. It's been a down
season for the Panthers defense so that was nice
to see for a change.
Top 25 Waiver
Wire Pickups
In loose order of relevance depending, of
course, on your team's needs, the size of your
league and most importantly... who is available.
Your mileage may vary.
RB Derrick Blaylock (KC)
QB David Garrard (Jac)
RB T.J. Duckett (Atl)
RB Tyrone Wheatley (Oak)
QB Quincy Carter (NYJ)
QB Patrick Ramsey (Was)
WR Eddie Kennison (KC)
QB Billy Volek (Ten)
TE Ken Dilger (TB)
WR Clarence Moore (Bal)
WR Travis Taylor (Bal)
TE Jerramy Stevens (Sea)
TE Boo Williams (NO)
RB Nick Goings (Car)
RB Tony Fisher (GB)
RB LaBrandon Toefield (Jac)
WR Jerome Pathon (NO
WR Bobby Wade (Chi)
WR Deion Branch (NE)
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS D/ST
WR T.J. Houshmandzadeh (Cin)
RB Willie Parker (Pit)
RB Maurice Hicks (Car)
ARIZONA CARDINALS D/ST
CINCINNATI BENGALS D/ST
Good luck down the stretch to everyone. Feel
free to PM me in the FBG forum or email me if I
can help answer questions or provide any
assistance.
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