The Greenberg Solution
|
Posted 8/26 by John W Davis III - Exclusive to Footballguys.com
|
It's week 13, and you can smell the playoffs! If you win your matchup and Joe
wins his, you're in the post-season baby! You handily beat your opponent by
31 points, and guess what? Joe gets slaughtered. I turns out that Joe stopped
submitting lineups in week seven! Now the only playoff action you'll get is
squirting Gatorade into your buddy's mouth, as he screams at the television
week one of your fantasy playoffs.
Commissioners over the years have tried various different ways to keep managers
interested throughout the course of a season. Weekly payouts, fines, and public
humiliation are some of the most popular. Most of them work, to some degree,
but some owners just don't want to spend the time scouring the waiver wire or
on the phone talking trades late in the season if they're out of the playoff
hunt.
Most keeper leagues, and some redraft league, will reward the worst team from
last year with the first pick in this years draft. It seems logical, but it's
actually rewarding poor performance! Why should a team who neglected their team
for the duration of the year get the first pick? They didn't work their tail
off to just miss the playoffs, you did! They just sat there with the same line
up from week to week racking up the losses. What do they think this is, the
NBA?
Mike Greenberg, of ESPN Radio, was fielding debate about the Cleveland Cavaliers
miraculous disaster of a season and their first pick overall when he proposed,
the perfect solution to a NBA team tanking a season, and what I would later
come to realize, the solution to lazy fantasy football owners.
Greenberg's proposal was to award the BEST team who misses the playoffs with
the first pick (or appropriate amount of lottery balls), award the second best
team who misses the playoffs the second pick, all the way to the worst team
that did not make the playoffs. Then, fill the rest of your draft order with
your playoff teams.
The finals champion picks last and the finals loser would draft second to last.
I will use the 14 team keeper league I participate in to illustrate The
Greenberg Solution, as I refer to it, as it relates to fantasy football.
Here is a breakdown of how the DBD League regular season ended last year.
Rk
|
Team |
W-L-T
|
Win %
|
PtsFor
|
1*
|
Paper Champions |
13-0-0
|
1.000
|
2037
|
2*
|
Bad News Bears |
10-3-0
|
0.769
|
1759
|
3*
|
Priest, Duce, & Sumbums |
8-5-0
|
0.615
|
1723
|
4*
|
honkifyaluvjubblies |
8-5-0
|
0.615
|
1683
|
5*
|
Dug Selig |
7-6-0
|
0.538
|
1678
|
6*
|
Stiff Upper Lip |
6-7-0
|
0.462
|
1555
|
7*
|
The Adam Bomb |
6-7-0
|
0.462
|
1509
|
8*
|
Clarke's |
5-8-0
|
0.385
|
1635
|
9
|
pdiddy |
5-8-0
|
0.385
|
1622
|
10
|
The Union |
5-8-0
|
0.385
|
1555
|
11
|
crooklyn fantasy inc |
5-8-0
|
0.385
|
1540
|
12
|
Salt Peanuts |
5-8-0
|
0.385
|
1509
|
13
|
R Kelly's Brother |
4-9-0
|
0.308
|
1521
|
14
|
Ventura Blue Aces |
4-9-0
|
0.308
|
1383
|
* denotes playoff team
In the DBD League the top 8 teams make the playoffs. (I know, I know, 8 teams,
but I am not the commissioner so my vote only counts once.) Both Ventura Blue
Aces and I (Stiff Upper Lip) started the season 1-5. In week six I made the
decision that I was not going to miss the playoffs. So, by selling my soul (and
Marvin Harrison) I was able to make it. Coincidentally, this was the same week
that Ventura had decided he was going to get the first pick in the 2003 draft.
Salt Peanuts and R Kelly's Brother had adequate records to start the year at
3-2 and 3-3, respectively, but the rigors of a 13 week season proved too much
for them, as they soon lost interest.
Crooklyn Fantasy Inc began a dismal 1-8, but remained focused and won the rest
of his games falling short of the playoffs by 95.8 points.
We use the NFL tie breaking procedures used in their selection meeting found
here to determine
the draft order of non-Super Bowl playoff teams. Since everyone pretty much
has the same strength of schedule we use regular season records, season point
totals, and head to head record rather than strength of schedule.
Here is the 2003 draft order:
Pick
|
Team |
W-L-T
|
1
|
Ventura Blue Aces |
4-9-0
|
2
|
R Kelly's Brother |
4-9-0
|
3
|
Salt Peanuts |
5-8-0
|
4
|
crooklyn fantasy inc |
5-8-0
|
5
|
The Union |
5-8-0
|
6
|
pdiddy |
5-8-0
|
7*
|
The Adam Bomb |
6-7-0
|
8*
|
honkifyaluvjubblies |
8-5-0
|
9*
|
Priest, Duce, & Sumbums |
8-5-0
|
10*
|
Paper Champions |
13-0-0
|
11*
|
Clarke's |
5-8-0
|
12*
|
Stiff Upper Lip |
6-7-0
|
13*
|
Dug Selig |
7-6-0
|
14*
|
Bad News Bears |
10-3-0
|
* denotes playoff team
As you can see those who put in less and less effort as the season progressed
were rewarded in 2003's draft order. Some people in our society do get rewarded
for lack of effort, (I happen to work with a few), but it is generally frowned
upon. Action should be taken to rectify this problem. Especially where it counts
the
fantasy world!
Here is how our draft would be this year if we applied The Greenberg Solution:
Pick
|
Team |
W-L-T
|
1
|
pdiddy |
5-8-0
|
2
|
The Union |
5-8-0
|
3
|
crooklyn fantasy inc |
5-8-0
|
4
|
Salt Peanuts |
5-8-0
|
5
|
R Kelly's Brother |
4-9-0
|
6
|
Ventura Blue Aces |
4-9-0
|
7*
|
The Adam Bomb |
6-7-0
|
8*
|
honkifyaluvjubblies |
8-5-0
|
9*
|
Priest, Duce, & Sumbums |
8-5-0
|
10*
|
Paper Champions |
13-0-0
|
11*
|
Clarke's |
5-8-0
|
12*
|
Stiff Upper Lip |
6-7-0
|
13*
|
Dug Selig |
7-6-0
|
14*
|
Bad News Bears |
10-3-0
|
* denotes playoff team
With The Greenberg Solution, you will notice the playoff teams remain in the
same order. In addition, the non-playoff teams still hold the first six overall
picks, but the owners who stuck it out for the full season are given a preference
over the teams who gave up half way through the season.
Of course, commissioners need install The Greenberg Solution a full season
prior to the implementation of it. For example, a league would agree to use
The Greenberg Solution prior to the 2003 draft, and subsequently use it for
2004. If not owners like Venture would be crying foul.
There is no way of telling how these teams would have finished if we
had agreed on The Greenberg Solution prior to the 2002 season, but I
can say the season would have been a lot more competitive.
The way I see it, there are two ways to prevent disinterested owners from robbing
you of a playoff spot; 1) go undefeated, 2) find a way to keep Joe interested
until week 13.
|