WR Keyshawn Johnson (TB)

Highest Ranking: #4 by Clayton Gray
In the 2001, the Oakland Raiders had a pair of top 10 fantasy WRs (Tim Brown and Jerry Rice). Now granted, Rice is the best WR in NFL history while Brown has been great for many years. Still, a Jon Gruden offense will produce highly ranked fantasy WRs. You say the Buccaneers don't have a quality QB? I submit Rich Gannon was not a hot fantasy item before signing with Oakland. Brad Johnson has been productive in the past (top 5 QB in 1999) and will do just fine. You say Keyshawn Johnson isn't good enough to put up top 5 WR stats? I submit the only reason Johnson is not highly thought of is because of his motor mouth. Last I checked, most leagues do not deduct points for media outbursts. Right now, Keyshawn Johnson is as good a WR as anyone not named Randy Moss.

Let's look at Johnson's 2001 stat line:
106 catches for 1,266 yards and 1 TD

Good enough for 28th place on last year's WR list. Of course it was the low TD total that held the ranking down. When you consider Tim Brown (the #1 WR on Gruden's last team) has averaged almost 9 TDs per year over the last 3 seasons, you figure Johnson's TD number will increase. Actually, when you realize guys like Albert Connell, Ron Dugans, and Larry Parker each caught more TDs last year than Johnson, you figure that number will increase. Imagine for a moment that Johnson caught 6 TDs last season, and you'll see his ranking as the #14 WR.

I realize #14 is still a long way from my #4 ranking, but I sense a real breakthrough season for the Tampa Bay offense. Sure that's been said before, but this time there is change at the top. Gone is Dungy's conservative thinking. Here is Gruden's aggressive personality.

Lowest Rankings: #17 by Dave Shick
The Tampa Bay passing offense has been anemic for years, and I don't believe Gruden as a new head coach will be able to repair it with his "angry" look from the sidelines. Its going to take a few years for Gruden to surround himself with the players he wants, and when he does, it will be his RB corps that will be doing most of the damage.

Keyshawn has tremendous size and great hands, but lacks the ability to get down field and make plays. He's a prototype possession WR that makes plays over the middle to move the sticks. He has failed to prove himself as a redzone specialist. Another strike against Keyshawn is the slew of QBs delivering the ball to him. The Johnson boys have not proven they can get the job done.

Go back to your past fantasy drafts and see where Keyshawn was drafted during his Tampa Bay years and compare his draft position with where he was ranked at the end of the year. You'll consistently see that he was drafted too high. He's a major talent, but in the wrong system. I don't see any of the changes in Tampa benefiting him that much. You have to ask yourself which one was the fluke. His 106 receptions for 1266 yards (both careers highs), or the 1 TD and 11.9 yards per catch (both career lows). Who knows? Fact is that he finished 28th last season in fantasy points from a WR. Do yourself a favor and let someone else make Keyshawn their #1 WR.