Playing the Waiver Wire
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Posted 8/26 by Cathy Fazio - Exclusive to Footballguys.com
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Starting the fantasy football season out with talent on your team can be a
significant step towards that coveted championship. And one way to do that is
to have a great draft. The closer it gets to September (and the start of the
regular season) many fantasy football leagues have already completed their drafts.
And while having a great draft is the first stepping stone to netting that championship,
it probably won't be enough to bring home that trophy. So what is a key to a
successful fantasy football season now that your draft is over? What is one
of the things that you can do to improve your team? How can you work to make
your team stand head and shoulders above the others in your league? Well there
are a number of them, making good trades and knowing who to start and bench
are just a few. But one of my favorites is the waiver wire. Successfully working
the waiver wire throughout the season can be a vital element in increasing the
depth and worth of your team. And it can help you turn your team from a good
solid team into a league winning championship team.
Now, repeat after me - The waiver wire is my friend. The waiver wire is my
friend. I cannot emphasize this enough. There are always each season, players
that have not been drafted but go on to be solid fantasy talent. And conversely
there are players that are valued in the draft, but end up falling very short
of expectations. Fantasy studs will suffer season ending injuries and their
backups will go on to great things. And I see it every year, having even been
there myself, there are owners who grow impatient with the players on their
team and drop them for someone else. You can significantly increase your team's
value by watching the waiver wire and free agent lists closely.
Well, that is all well and good and every seasoned fantasy football player
would probably agree with me. Here's where the tension lies though. How do you
know how to play the waiver wire. Just picking up players coming off of what
may have been their best game all season is not a good waiver wire strategy
and will only lead to a roster spot on your team with a revolving door. What
should you be watching for? Are there patterns out there and situations that
you can exploit by playing the waiver wire? I believe that there are. And if
you watch out for some of these, you can look back at your season and see that
you effectively used the waiver wire to your advantage.
Touchdown Sharks
Watch for those touchdown sharks, the running backs that get put in for goal-line
carries. If your league awards 6 points per touchdown, the addition of a touchdown
shark can help your team and give you an additional running back to consider
for use when your starters have bye weeks. Moe Williams and Stacey Mack are
great examples of this from last year. This upcoming year, play close attention
to the running back situations in Tampa Bay or Minneapolis, or Philadelphia,
or Atlanta for just a few. I know that the words Running Back by Committee are
enough to strike fear in the hearts of any veteran fantasy football player.
But follow those situations closely and seek to identify the running back who
is getting the touchdown carries. If that player is a free agent or on your
waiver wire, pick him up. He could be a very valuable addition to your team
especially during those weeks when your starters are on a bye.
Injury Backups
Watch for the replacements for players who have gone down to injury. Now sometimes
they may be a great disappointment. The Indianapolis Colts' Ricky Williams is
a great example of that from last year when he stepped into to replace Edgerrin
James. But if you have the room on your roster, you may end up with a great
deal. For as many busts, there are the others who have a great upside. Last
year Marc Bulger was a great replacement for Kurt Warner, and fantasy owners
who picked him up off of the waiver wire were greatly rewarded. Chad Pennington
turned into a solid fantasy backup QB when he took over for Vinny Testaverde.
Make it a point to be knowledgeable of the backups to the fantasy studs this
year. What happens if Jeff Garcia and his back do not return to form? Watch
to see if Tim Rattay gets playing time. What about Marshall Faulk? Is his knee
going to hold up the whole year? Be smart and know when to act and pick up his
backup if he is available.
Wide receivers moving into a #2 spot from the #3 spot
There will be wide receivers that over the course of the year begin to move
up the depth charts of their teams. Maybe the #2 wide receiver is just not clicking
with the quarterback and the quarterback begins to develop chemistry with his
#3 wide receiver. Invariably that #3 receiver might move his way into the #2
spot. A great example of this from last year is Tai Streets who ended up doing
quite well and helped out those owners who were smart enough to pick him up.
Rookies who begin the season slowly
Who is going to be this year's Clinton Portis or Jeremy Shockey? Both of those
players started out last year very slowly and it took a while for them to develop
and mature as players. Watching the rookies on your waiver wire can have tremendous
upside. An impatient owner may just drop a rookie who is not living up to his
expectations. Be ready to take advantage of his impatience. Is Onterrio Smith
going to explode on the scene or will it take him a number of weeks to develop
and mature? What about Charles Rogers in Detroit? Will he start to click with
Joey Harrington? Watching these situations closely and then acting on them can
provide your team with strength especially near the end of the season heading
into your playoffs.
Offenses that give up points to whatever defense they are playing
Keep an eye out for offenses that are struggling with their offensive line
and give up sacks and interceptions to the defenses playing them. Last year,
the Houston Texans were a great example of this. No matter what defense was
playing them, it was a great matchup on the defensive side. David Carr was sacked
innumerable times, and while that was bad for David Carr it was great for fantasy
owners who took advantage of the information. If your league gives points for
sacks, and you don't have an elite defense on your team, this kind of information
can be invaluable.
Players consistently improving in their position
The key here is consistent improvement. In order to effectively use the waiver
wire you want to avoid players who have one great game and then go back to fantasy
football snooze land and do nothing for the rest of the year. You want to be
on the watch for those guys who are consistently improving and increasing their
numbers week by week. Chad Johnson is a great example of this from last year.
Watch these potential additions for a couple of weeks to see if it they are
just a one-week wonder or if they actually have some staying power that can
add depth to your team. And if someone else in your league grabs them before
you are convinced that they are a valuable asset, don't fret. There will be
more players throughout the season who will consistently improve and can help
your team.
Players in positional battles
Watch for players who are battling the starter in their position. It could
be at the beginning of the season they are not the starter, but as the weeks
go on they gradually move into the starting position. Marcel Shipp was a great
example of this last year. And really he has the potential of being in the same
position this year. Will T.J. Duckett supplant Warrick Dunn this year? What
will happen in Philadelphia now that Staley has returned? These are all important
positional battles to keep abreast of, and they probably won't be decided by
the beginning of the season.
In conclusion, effectively playing the waiver wire can be the difference between
an average fantasy football season and a stellar one. So watch out for some
of these situations while you are playing the waiver wire and it can provide
significant depth and strength to your team.
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