Week 11

 

2002 Forecaster record to date:84 wins against 59 losses and 1 tie.

 

This feature is the sole opinion of Chris Smith and it may not correspond to the rankings / projections of the Footballguys.com website.

 


 

 

Pittsburgh Steelers 5-3-1 at Tennessee Titans 5-4

 

Game Forecast

The Steelers passing attack is getting stronger every game and this week goes up against a Titans squad that is prone to giving up a lot of yardage via the air.Tommy Maddox has gone from being a nice story to being a possible MVP candidate with his outstanding play so far since taking over for an ineffective Kordell Stewart.Side note to Stewart:�You sucked Mr. Stewart!You have no right to sulk and pout because Maddox is playing so well.Take your benching like a man and help the team win with your spirit�.Maddox has put up an impressive 1578 yards passing in only seven games so far.Hines Ward and Plaxico Burress have become as prolific as Eric Moulds and Peerless Price and the Steelers, once written off as dead; now look like solid AFC contenders.The Steelers pass defense has been better over the last month and the run defense is still very solid.Amos Zereoue who many wrote off as not being a full-time 20+ carry per game running back has carried the ball an average of 26 times per game the last three contests and looked very strong doing so.He is quick, powerful and durable and he is the best option the Steelers have at running back.Zereoue should be the main man on campus by the start of 2003 and will likely be so this weekend as well with Bettis appearing likely to miss another game this week.

 

The Titans appeared lost, hopeless and doomed to a poor record a few weeks ago but have reeled off four solid wins in a row and are now back atop the division along with the Colts.The Titans haven�t passed the ball nor rushed the ball with tremendous results during that stretch but have done just enough to win football games.Eddie George is over 4 yards per carry during that stretch which is a huge improvement but he hasn�t had much luck finding the end zone.Steve McNair has been accurate with his passes and has 6 touchdowns during the last three football games.It should be noted though that the team has only had to beat the likes of the Texans, Bengals, Jaguars and Colts during that span.This will be a big time test for the Titans against former divisional rivals who are playing near the top of their game.

Must Starts: Tommy Maddox, Plaxico Burress, Hines Ward, Steve McNair, Derrick Mason

Possible Starts: Eddie George, Amos Zereoue

Only in a Pinch: Kevin Dyson, Mark Bruener, Erron Kinney, Frank Wycheck

Fantasy related Injuries � Frank Wycheck (concussion) � questionable / Jerome Bettis (knee) � questionable / Erron Kinney (Shoulder) - questionable

Final Thoughts:Both teams have turned their seasons around but the Steelers passing attack led by Tommy Maddox will be the difference in this game as they torch the Titans secondary for at least 300 yards and 3 touchdowns on the day.

Predicted Score: Steelers 27 at Titans 21


Dallas Cowboys 3-6 at Indianapolis Colts 5-4

 

Game Forecast

 

The Colts are on a roller coaster ride that has to be making head coach Tony Dungy a little sick after the first nine games.First the Colts start off strong, only to fall apart and look like pretenders instead of contenders with three ugly losses in a row.However when the writing appears to be on the wall and darkness is descending on the football team, a bright light named Peyton Manning lifts the team up and leads them to an improbable victory against a strong Eagles team in Philly.Manning has had some problems at times this season but still has put up solid numbers and now has 2443 passing yards and 17 touchdowns on the year and the Colts are back in the drivers seat in the weak AFC South division.Marvin Harrison has regained his place as the top receiver in the game and is up to 972 yards on the season.He is one of the best receivers of all time and could make a dent in the amazing records of Jerry Rice if he can be blessed with durability over the long haul.He and Manning certainly have a wonderful rapport.James Mungro has made as strong of a contribution for the Colts rushing attack as Dominic Rhodes did a season ago.Unheralded and unknown before three weeks ago, Mungro has come in and given the Colts a dependable ground attack, something that Edgerrin James was having difficulty achieving.Mungro has a solid 174 yards rushing and 53 yards receiving after the first two football games he played in along with a pair of touchdowns.He was just what the Colts needed to regain their football in a slippery playoff race.

 

Speaking of slippery, the Cowboys are slipping down an icy slope that has no end in sight.They have lost three games in a row, cannot score more than 13 points per game and are wasting a strong defensive effort every week.The quarterback situation is a nightmare at this time although Chad Hutchinson is not making any huge mistakes on the football field.What he needs is playing time and the team will likely give him as much time as they can.With the rushing record broken, it will be interesting to see just what Emmitt Smith has left to accomplish on the football field.Will he still have the motivation to go out every week and get 20+ carries or is the writing now on the wall for the once great back.The Cowboys defense has been dominant of late, allowing only 2 touchdowns the last three football games.

 

Must Starts: Peyton Manning, Marvin Harrison, Marcus Pollard

Possible Starts: Joey Galloway, Emmitt Smith, James Mungro, Reggie Wayne

Only in a Pinch: Antonio Bryant, Tony McGee, Troy Hambrick, Qadry Ismail, Chad Hutchinson

Fantasy related Injuries � Qadry Ismail (knee) - questionable

Final Thoughts:The Colts will likely find it tough to move the ball on a Cowboys defense that is amongst the best in the NFL.However being at home and playing against a miserable offensive unit should be enough for the Colts to move into sole possession of first place after this weekend.Look for another strong outing from Peyton Manning.

Predicted Score: Cowboys 14 at Colts 20


Buffalo Bills 5-4 at Kansas City Chiefs 4-5

 

Game Forecast

 

Welcome to the 2002 version of �Shoot the Lights Out!� featuring two explosive offenses that should have little problem moving up and down the field on one another.In a tie for first place in the AFC Eastern division, led by the sizzling gunslinger, Drew Bledsoe, the graceful duo of Eric Moulds and Peerless Price and the dependable legs of Travis Henry, are the Buffalo Bills who already have two more wins than they did a season ago.The team is in a dogfight in the too-close-to-call AFC East and every game is huge for the team.The Chiefs give up a ton of passing yardage every week and that could mean great things for the fantastic passing attack of the Bills.�� In addition, the Chiefs also have their difficulties in stopping the run.If they try and stop the run, Bledsoe will torch them and if they try and slow down the pass, Henry will be golden this week.The Chiefs defense has been a little better over the last few weeks but they still don�t have the talent to stop the Bills.

 

Trent Green is having a solid season, Tony Gonzalez is still the best tight end in the game and Priest Holmes is simply the best fantasy player in the NFL today.16 touchdowns already after only nine games is simply incredible.Buffalo has been playing better defense as of late but will likely have some problems trying to slow down the amazing talents of Holmes.The Bills defense plays with enthusiasm and desire but it will be hard to go into Kansas City and slow down a powerful offensive unit.

Must Starts: Trent Green, Priest Holmes, Tony Gonzalez, Drew Bledsoe, Peerless Price, Eric Moulds, Travis Henry

Possible Starts: Jay Riemersma, Eddie Kennison,

Only in a Pinch: Marc Boerigter, Josh Reed, Johnnie Morton

Fantasy related Injuries � Jay Riemersma (back) - questionable

Final Thoughts:The Chiefs are a tough team to knock off at home and will be upset following a hard-fought loss in San Francisco last weekend.Look for them to come out hard and take it to the Bills.

Predicted Score: Bills 24 at Chiefs 31


Baltimore Ravens 4-5 at Miami Dolphins 5-4

 

Game Forecast

 

The Dolphins continue to miss Jay Fiedler a great deal who is still out for another couple of weeks with a broken thumb.Ray Lucas has had chances to step up and get the job done but hasn�t been able to do so.The Dolphins were robbed of a touchdown pass last week against the Jets when instant replay didn�t allow the Chris Chambers touchdown to count but still were in a good position to march down the field to get at least a game-tying field goal.However, Lucas was dreadful at the end of the game and took a foolish sack to seal their fate.Ricky Williams has been limited the last few weeks because teams simply are not respecting the passing attack and are willing to cheat up to stop the run.Until Lucas or his replacement can find a way to get the ball downfield accurately, it will continue to be a tough stretch of games for Mr. Williams.Paging Mr. Marino� paging Mr. Marino� Please call Mr. Wannstadt at your earliest convenience.Even an out of shape, out of practice Marino would have to be better than watching Lucas struggle every week.A once promising season has begun to erode and the Dolphins defense is getting frustrated with the lack of success at the offensive end.

 

The Ravens are doing better than I anticipated this season and having Jeff Blake under the helm has helped strengthen the production from the wide receiver position.Travis Taylor was missing in action the first several games of the season but has recovered to catch 18 passes over the last three weeks including 2 for touchdowns.Jamal Lewis has slowed down a little over the past few games but still is putting up solid numbers and gives the Ravens a solid threat in the backfield.The Ravens rush defense is giving up a lot of yardage without Ray Lewis manhandling the opposition and that will need to be addressed because everybody knows the Dolphins will be attempting to run the ball this Sunday.

Must Starts: Ricky Williams, Jamal Lewis

Possible Starts: Randy McMichael, Chris Chambers, Travis Taylor, Todd Heap

Only in a Pinch: Jeff Blake, Ray Lucas (only if truly desperate), James McKnight, Dedrick Ward, Ron Johnson

Fantasy related Injuries � Brandon Stokley (foot) � out / Chris Redman (back) � out / Todd Heap (knee) � questionable / Cris Carter (kidney) - out

Final Thoughts:I have my rose-colored glasses on again.The Dolphins are due to break out of this slump and will do so at home this weekend.The Ravens are not strong against the run anymore and Williams is due to break out with some solid runs.If Lucas can simply play mistake-free football, the team will have a chance.

Predicted Score: Ravens 14 at Dolphins 17


Green Bay Packers 8-1 at Minnesota Vikings 2-7

 

Game Forecast

 

The benching of Daunte Culpepper last week will be short-lived as he is back in the starting lineup this weekend.He has been terrible the past few weeks and looks like a shell of his former self who has been unstoppable since he became the starting quarterback a few seasons back.Todd Bouman came into the game last week in the fourth quarter and preceded to hit Randy Moss with two long gains something Culpepper was unable to do all game long and basically all season long.Randy Moss owners will continue to be frustrated unless Culpepper either can get out of his funk or Bouman gets the chance to showcase his skills.On a positive note for the team, Michael Bennett has looked like a legitimate running back the last few weeks and not a sprinter stuck in a football uniform.He is averaging 130 yards rushing per game over that span and now has giant of a man, Bryant McKinnie inserted into the starting lineup to help him even more.Bennett always had the athletic ability and now looks like he has learned how to use that talent to become a solid runner in the National Football League.

 

At this point in the season, the Packers are the best team in football and not solely because of their record.The offense is clicking, the defense is dominating and the special teams have been special.Everything is coming up roses in Green Bay and Brett Favre is on his way to improving on his one championship won so far during his illustrious career.The Packers are passing the ball, running the ball and scoring with ease and yes, Bubba Franks is alive and well and finally playing at a level so many owners thought he could when he went relatively early in fantasy drafts.Ahman Green has a slight concussion but should be able to play this week.If he cannot go, Najeh Davenport has proven to be an effective running back when giving the chance.The Mad Crapper has become a dependable backup and last week the ineffectiveness of the Vikings defense made Ron �Fat Man� Dayne look both fast and talented.

Must Starts: Brett Favre, Ahman Green, Donald Driver, Bubba Franks, Randy Moss, Michael Bennett

Possible Starts: Daunte Culpepper, Jim Kleinsasser, Terry Glenn

Only in a Pinch: Chris Walsh, D�Wayne Bates

Fantasy related Injuries � none except for maybe Daunte Culpepper�s ego!

Final Thoughts:In this zany world of the NFL, the 8-1 Packers are due to suffer a surprise defeat.The Vikings have beaten them in Minnesota three of the last four meetings including a surprise 35 to 13 drubbing last year.I just don�t have the guts to pick the Vikings to knock off the red hot Packers though.

Predicted Score: Packers 27 at Vikings 21


 

Washington Redskins 4-5 at New York Giants 5-4

 

Game Forecast

 

Herman Moore is back in the NFL as a member of the New York Giants.With both Ike Hilliard and Ron Dixon out of action, the Giants were in desperate need of a receiver and found a golden oldie in Mr. Moore.I am not sure if he has anything left in the gas tank but he was once one of the top receivers in the game and it will be interesting to see how he does.From 1994 to 1997, he was one of the top receivers in the game and he is only 33 years of age. He likely will not play this weekend but it should be interesting to watch him in week twelve.Kerry Collins has put up 2344 yards passing which is an average of 260 yards per contest.However he has only 8 touchdowns during that span to go against 9 interceptions.The Giants are brilliant in between the twenty-yard lines but have a hard time of it scoring once they hit the red-zone.Tiki Barber is having an outstanding season with over 1100 combines yards and 5 touchdowns.He is on the way to his best season as a professional athlete.The Giants defense is great against the pass and has perhaps the best cornerback trio in the entire league.

 

The yo-yo season of the Redskins continues to go up and down with the team looking great one week and horrible the next.The revolving door at quarterback has been stuck the last couple of weeks but Shane Matthews must be getting a little worried after the teams drubbing last weekend.He has thrown 9 touchdowns against only 5 interceptions but has completed barely over 50 % of his passes.�� Stephen Davis is still questionable this week and it now sounds like it will be a game-time decision.Look elsewhere if you have another option you can plug into your lineup.Jacquez Green was released this week, which should make it easier to start a player like Rod Gardner or even a Derrius Thompson if you are in a pinch.��� Gardner is finally playing great football again after being benched a few weeks back.He has 195 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns during his last three games.

 

 

Must Starts: Tiki Barber, Jeremy Shockey

Possible Starts: Kerry Collins, Amani Toomer, Rod Gardner

Only in a Pinch: Shane Matthews, Ron Dayne, Darnerian McCants

Fantasy related Injuries � Stephen Davis (knee) � questionable / Ron Dixon (knee) - questionable

Final Thoughts:The Giants will be right in the thick of a playoff race if they can beat the Redskins this weekend.Tiki Barber and the Giants secondary will lead them to victory.

Predicted Score: Redskins 13 at Giants 17


Arizona Cardinals 4-5 at Philadelphia Eagles 6-3

 

Game Forecast

 

The Eagles were embarrassed at home last weekend.That is all you need to know about this football game.If you have Eagle players, start them and if you are saddled with Cardinals players bench them if you can.The Eagles are not going to play two stinkers in a row on their home field.Donovan McNabb, Duce Staley and a couple of the receivers will all have outstanding games.

Must Starts: Donovan McNabb, Duce Staley

Possible Starts: Antonio Freeman, Todd Pinkston, James Thrash � one of these three will have huge weeks; Chad Lewis

Only in a Pinch: Jake Plummer, Frank Sanders, Thomas Jones, Marcel Shipp, Jason McAddley, Dorsey Levens, Brian Westbrook

Fantasy related Injuries � David Boston (knee) � out

Final Thoughts:Here is a funny stat.The Cardinals have won in Philadelphia three of the last four seasons.However the Eagles will be a mad, determined football team this weekend and I would not be surprised to see them win by 30+ points.Should be an easy victory for the team.

Predicted Score: Cardinals 7 at Eagles 42


New Orleans Saints 7-2 at Atlanta Falcons 5-3-1

 

Game Forecast

 

This has all the makings of an outstanding football game.Both teams have played better than anticipated this season and are right in the midst of the playoff hunt.The Falcons flew into New Orleans back on the 27th of October and handed the Saints a loss in front of the home crowd.That the Saints haven�t forgot the loss and they will come out focused to erase that bitter memory.Aaron Brooks hasn�t been as terrific as he was to start the season and is completing only 50 % of his passes in the last two football games.He will need to be at the top of his game to help the Saints achieve a road victory against the Falcons who are undefeated in their last five contests.Deuce McAllister continues to erase the memory of Ricky Williams in New Orleans.He has put up 907 yards rushing in his nine games and has scored an impressive 11 touchdowns.He is definitely the main man for the Saints offense.Donte Stallworth is back healthy and gives the offense a huge boost from his receiver position.Stallworth, Joe Horn and Jerome Pathon give the Saints lots of talent and explosiveness from the receiver position and it is unlikely the Falcons will be able to slow down all three players for the game.The Saints biggest problem is on defense where they are having difficulties stopping both the run and the pass.They need to slow down Michael Vick if they want to maintain separation on the fast-charging Falcons.

 

What can you say about the Falcons?They are fast, talented and becoming a legitimate force in the NFC.The comeback in Pittsburgh was impressive although the secondary was exposed in a serious way.If they can tighten up the pass defense, this team has a shot at the post-season.Michael Vick continues to rack up fantasy points although must of it seems to come via his rushing skills.The passing attack in Atlanta is deliberately conservative to allow Vick to grow on the field without losing his confidence and it is working very well for the team.Warrick Dunn has been super with T.J. Duckett out of action for a few weeks and has given the team a solid running attack.The Falcons do not have a star at receiver but the duo of Brian Finneran and Shawn Jefferson has been getting the job done.Alge Crumpler has been relatively quiet the past few weeks but is a big-time talent at tight end and can have a big week at any time.

Must Starts: Aaron Brooks, Deuce McAllister, Joe Horn, Michael Vick, Alge Crumpler

Possible Starts: Donte Stallworth, Brian Finneran, Shawn Jefferson, Warrick Dunn

Only in a Pinch: Jerome Pathon, Trevor Gaylor, T.J. Duckett

Fantasy related Injuries � T.J. Duckett (ankle) - questionable

Final Thoughts:The Saints will be out for revenge and should even the season series with a huge game in Atlanta.Look for a huge game from Deuce McAllister and a solid start from Aaron Brooks in leading the Saints to the win.

Predicted Score: Saints 28 at Falcons 20


Cleveland Browns 4-5 at Cincinnati Bengals 1-8

 

Game Forecast

 

The Bengals are well on their way to another high draft pick in the NFL Draft although they are playing a little better as of late.Jon Kitna (yes that is right, Jon Kitna) has thrown for 8 touchdowns in his last three games.That my friends, is very hard to believe.Corey Dillon has been averaging over 100 yards per game during that stretch and continues to put up numbers on a very poor Bengals team, year after year.Chad Johnson has become the go-to receiver the team coveted while Peter Warrick has become dependable as a solid # 2 option for the offense. Rookie tight end, Matt Schobel has become a dependable target and has scored a touchdown. Even the Bengals defense has improved over the last few contests and looks more like the unit many envisioned it could be coming into this season.

 

The Browns on the other hand are a tough team to figure out.They look solid one week and horrible the next and this is a must win football game if they truly have playoff inspirations this season.Tim Couch has been solid over his last two starts but has been up and down all season long.The Browns will need him to be at the top of his game if they wish to win this week because Jamel White is out with injury leaving disappointing rookie back, William Green to carry the load for the team�s rushing attack.�� It appears that Quincy Morgan and Dennis Northcutt have become the best receiving options for the team with Kevin Johnson putting up the third best numbers of the trio.It is a solid group of receivers who are getting better every week.

Must Starts: Tim Couch, Quincy Morgan, Chad Johnson, Corey Dillon

Possible Starts: Kevin Johnson, Dennis Northcutt, Jon Kitna, Peter Warrick

Only in a Pinch: Matt Schobel, William Green, Michael Westbrook

Fantasy related Injuries � Jamel White (shoulder) � out

Final Thoughts:Expect a barnburner in this affair.Both defenses are having trouble stopping the passing game while both offenses are having little problem moving the ball in the air.Expect a lot of points scored and some good fantasy output.The Browns will squeak out a win to keep their slim playoff hopes alive.

Predicted Score: Browns 28 at Bengals 27


Carolina Panthers 3-6 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7-2

 

Game Forecast

 

The Panthers have come crashing back down to earth in a huge way after a wonderful start to the season.They are a better team with Rodney Peete back in the lineup but do not have enough talent to keep it close in Tampa Bay.The Panthers will have little to no offensive success against the strong Buccaneers defense.

 

Brad Johnson had the game of his life two weeks ago against the Vikings but come on� it was the Vikings.He will likely have a lot less success this week against a very strong defensive unit against the pass.The Buccaneers can beat the Panthers with defense alone so expect a very conservative approach by the team as they pound the ball at the defense and use a short passing attack.

Must Starts: Keyshawn Johnson

Possible Starts: Brad Johnson, Michael Pittman, Mike Alstott, Keenan McCardell, Lamar Smith

Only in a Pinch: Rodney Peete, Muhsin Muhammad, Wesley Walls, Steve Smith

Fantasy related Injuries � none

Final Thoughts:The Panthers are overmatched in almost every facet of the game.The Buccaneers will win huge.

Predicted Score: Panthers 10 at Buccaneers 24


 

San Francisco 49ers 7-2 at San Diego Chargers 6-3

 

Game Forecast

 

The 49ers are playing exceptional football this year and are getting stronger as the year goes on.Jeff Garcia is completing almost 69% of his passes over the last three games and has tossed 6 touchdowns against only 1 interception.With the Chargers great at stopping the run but below average against the pass, look for Garcia and company to attempt a lot of throws this weekend.I wouldn�t be surprised at all to see him throw 40+ times.Both Garrison Hearst and Kevan Barlow are good running backs but they will find it difficult to run the ball against a strong run defense.

 

The key to the Chargers success in this game is to establish the run early and often.The 49ers are a team that can be humbled with a power running game and that should play nicely into the Chargers hands.If the Chargers can give the ball to Ladainian Tomlinson 30+ times during the game, they should be able to knock off the talented Niners.The key to the Chargers will be to get the lead on Sunday and then to play keep away from Garcia and the 49ers offense.

Must Starts: - Jeff Garcia, Terrell Owens, Ladainian Tomlinson, Curtis Conway

Possible Starts: Garrison Hearst, Kevan Barlow, Tai Streets, Stephen Alexander, Drew Brees

Only in a Pinch: J.J. Stokes, Tim Dwight

Fantasy related Injuries � Eric Johnson (back) - questionable

Final Thoughts:This game could go either way.Both teams have talent but the 49ers passing attack should be able to shred the Chargers secondary who have been exposed as of late. The Chargers will need a heavy dose of Tomlinson to just keep this one close.Flip a coin in this game.I did and it came up tails.49ers win.

Predicted Score: 49ers 21 at Chargers 17


Denver Broncos 6-3 at Seattle Seahawks 3-6

 

Game Forecast

 

The Broncos were humbled, humiliated and destroyed on Monday Night Football by the hated Raiders and that will leave a vile taste in their mouths for weeks to come.The team is not as bad as they appeared to be against the Raiders and they will come out hard against long-time rivals, the Seattle Seahawks and look to bury them early.Clinton Portis is developing into a solid running back and has a burst that not many players are blessed with.He is a tough guy to get down due to his acceleration and quickness through the hole.He has 3 touchdowns in his last two games and is becoming a legitimate threat for the team.Brian Griese hasn�t been on the top of his game lately but has completed a lot of passes and should rebound nicely this week.

 

The Seahawks destroyed the Cardinals last week and will be out to prove that is wasn�t a fluke this week.They will find themselves overmatched on both sides of the ball though against a determined Broncos team.Don�t expect much from either the passing or rushing attacks this week against a defensive unit that will be focused to erase that stinker they play in front of a national T.V. audience on Monday Night.

Must Starts: Brian Griese, Clinton Portis, Rod Smith, Ed McCaffrey

Possible Starts: Shaun Alexander, Koren Robinson, Dwayne Carswell

Only in a Pinch: Matt Hasselbeck, Mike Anderson, Ashley Lelie, Bobby Engram

Fantasy related Injuries � Shannon Sharpe (elbow) � questionable / Darrell Jackson (concussion) - doubtful

Final Thoughts:The Hawks will be destroyed this weekend against a hungry Broncos team eager to put last week behind them.Look for a lopsided victory for Denver as they jump up to 7-3 on the season.

Predicted Score: Broncos 31 at Seahawks 13


Jacksonville Jaguars 4-5 at Houston Texans 2-7

 

Game Forecast

 

This is a meaningless game in Houston between two teams that will not see the post-season.Look for Fred Taylor to rack up huge yardage against a game, but overmatched Texans defense.Jimmy Smith should also have some success against this team.On the Houston side of the ball, the only player I would consider starting is Corey Bradford although it is possible that Jonathon Wells could surprise with a decent outing.

Must Starts: Fred Taylor, Jimmy Smith, Billy Miller

Possible Starts: Mark Brunell, Corey Bradford, Stacey Mack, Bobby Shaw

Only in a Pinch: Kyle Brady, Jonathon Wells, David Carr, James Allen, Jajuan Dawson, Jabar Gaffney

Fantasy related Injuries � Pat Johnson (abdomen) � out

Final Thoughts:Jaguars should have enough in the tank to knock off the Titans.Winning this game does get them at 5-5 and keeps their very slim playoff hopes alive.

Predicted Score: Jaguars 20 at Texans 14


New York Jets 4-5 at Detroit Lions 3-6

 

Game Forecast

 

The Jets are surging up the standings in a big way.They are now only one game out of first in the competitive AFC East.Chad Pennington has been a nice surprise to the team but it has been the play of the defense that has resulted in a surprise turnaround.The defense was easily one of the worst units in the NFL over the first five weeks of the season but has turned it around and is playing exceptional football.The beleaguered run defense has become the strength of the unit and is only giving up 71 yards per game over the last few despite going up against Ricky Williams and Ladainian Tomlinson.

 

The Lions have been better than anticipated but still have a few holes that need to be filled.Rookie quarterback Joey Harrington is not playing as well as he was earlier but he is also not blessed with great offensive talent around him.He is going to be solid one day but will continue to go through these kinds of growing pains until the team gets a strong receiver to play with him.The Lions run defense is playing pretty good football and that will help them to keep the game close.

Must Starts: Laveranues Coles, Curtis Martin

Possible Starts: Chad Pennington, Anthony Becht, Joey Harrington, James Stewart, A.Z. Hakim, Mikhael Ricks, Wayne Chrebet

Only in a Pinch: Santana Moss, Bill Schroeder, Germane Crowell

Fantasy related Injuries � none

Final Thoughts:The Jets are playing solid football right now and will find a way to squeak out a victory and even their record at .500

Predicted Score: Jets 17 at Lions 13


New England Patriots 5-4 at Oakland Raiders 5-4

 

Game Forecast

 

Huge game with massive playoff implications this week and a rematch of the historic Snow Bowl of last year�s playoffs.The Raiders remember who knocked them out of the playoffs last year and will be out to avenge that loss.However it will not be easy with Tom Brady and the boys back on track after a poor month of October.Brady has thrown 8 touchdowns in the last three contests against only 1 interception and looks ready to lead the team back to the playoffs.However this is a tough game for the Patriots to win.The Raiders were outstanding in Denver last week and the passing attack could do no wrong.Rich Gannon had one of the best games I have ever seen a quarterback have and Jerry Rice continues to drink deeply from the eternal Fountain of Youth.He is on pace for a staggering 5120 passing yards.After a slow start to his career that took several seasons to get going, Gannon is beginning to receive Hall of Fame mention and deservedly so.Both the Raiders and Patriots pass defenses give up similar numbers over the last several games and both units should find success against the defenses.Look for big numbers once again from both Gannon and Brady.

Must Starts: Rich Gannon, Charlie Garner, Jerry Rice, Jerry Porter, Tom Brady, Troy Brown, David Patten

Possible Starts: Tim Brown, Christian Fauria, Antowain Smith, Kevin Faulk

Only in a Pinch: Doug Jolley, Deion Branch

Fantasy related Injuries � Roland Williams (toe) - questionable

Final Thoughts:This is really another toss-up game but I will pick the Raiders at home with Gannon playing so well.Expect lots of passing and a good amount of scoring.Kevin Faulk has become a great option to use at running back if you are in a pinch.He has been putting up nice numbers and has 190 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns over the last three contests.

Predicted Score: Patriots 21 at Oakland 24


Monday Night Football

 

Chicago Bears 2-7 at St. Louis Rams 4-5

 

Game Forecast

 

Four weeks ago, almost everyone had written off the Rams for the year and the words �Has-been� and �Their time is past� could be heard all over the globe.With Warner down and the team off to a 0-5 start, it appeared the entire season was over and the Rams could only look ahead to next year.Then an unknown rookie quarterback named Marc Bulger appeared on the scene and the Rams haven�t looked back.As good as Bulger was last week in leading the team back to victory (and he was outstanding), the main reason the Rams began winning football games was because Marshall Faulk began touching the football with a lot more regularity.Marshall Faulk is so talented he can lift the team up on his shoulders and run them to victory and that is exactly what he did in a couple of those games.He is questionable to play this weekend but he certainly wants to give it a try.Isaac Bruce had one of the strangest games a receiver can have in the NFL.He had two very costly turnovers that looked like they could cost the Rams a win but then rebounded with 2 late touchdowns to help the team win.He ended up having a monster game and had one of the nicest receptions you�ll ever see when he flew down the sideline and tipped the ball to himself over a defender. It was beautiful.

 

The Bears dream season of a year ago is a distant memory.They had a huge lead against the Patriots only to blow it and there is nothing left for the team to do but prepare for next season.The passing game isn�t clicking, the running game isn�t working and the only offensive player who is consistent every week is Marty Booker.Anthony Thomas is running hard but does not have the blocking he needs to be a strong player.The entire Bears team is in disarray and they will have a difficult time on Monday Night Football against a red-hot Rams team.The Rams defense is playing superb football right now and it will be very difficult for the Bears offensive unit to get another going.

Must Starts: Marc Bulger, Torry Holt, Isaac Bruce, Marty Booker, Ernie Conwell

Possible Starts: Marshall Faulk (?), Jim Miller, Anthony Thomas, Ricky Proehl, Marcus Robinson

Only in a Pinch: Dez White, John Davis, Lamar Gordan

Fantasy related Injuries � Marshall Faulk (foot) - questionable

Final Thoughts:The Rams are playing too well for the Bears to have a chance in this game.Rams win big!

Predicted Score: Bears 20 at Rams 38