Week 16

 

2002 Forecaster record to date:132 wins against 91 losses and 1 tie.

 

This feature is the sole opinion of Chris Smith and it may not correspond to the rankings / projections of the Footballguys.com website.

 


 

 

Saturday Games, December 21st

 

Miami Dolphins 9-5 at Minnesota Vikings 4-10

 

Game Forecast

 

Ricky Williams has become the stud running back he was supposed to be when the Saints gave up an entire draft to draft him back in 1999.He has steadily improved every season as a professional but truly looks like a different running back this season.He has had some magical games this season and has a great shot at becoming the top rusher this season with Priest Holmes hurting.Imagine how much this season would have been worth with the incentive-based contract he had in place for his rookie season.He could have made a fortune.

 

The Dolphins passing attack was as effective last week against the Raiders as it has been all season.For the first time in weeks, the Dolphins attacked an opposing defense down the field, allowing the very talented Chris Chambers to make some big plays for the team.His 138 receiving yards was a personal high and it showcased how good he can be down the road.Jay Fiedler doesn�t look the part of a great quarterback with his wobbly throws that you can almost hear quacking at times through the screen, but he is very effective when the team needs him to be.The Vikings are better at stopping the run than they are at defending the pass so Fiedler could have a very nice game this weekend.

 

The Vikings defeated the playoff bound Saints last week led by a sensational performance by Daunte Culpepper who looked like the superstar of old with his performance.It certainly gave the Vikings something to build on for next season but they�ll likely find it difficult to move the ball up and down the field on the confident and surging Miami Dolphins.With Jason Taylor providing a Derrick Thomas-like pass rush from the outside, opposing quarterbacks are having a very tough time getting anything accomplished against this defense.Culpepper will likely find it very challenging to pass against the solid secondary of the Dolphins and the Vikings best chance for success may be to feed the Ball to Michael Bennett at least 20 times on the ground.Bennett has improved to the point where he can be considered a true threat now.

 

Must Starts: Ricky Williams, Chris Chambers, Randy Moss, Daunte Culpepper, Michael Bennett

Possible Starts: Jay Fiedler, Randy McMichael, Byron Chamberlain, James McKnight

Only in a Pinch: D�Wayne Bates, Cris Carter, Travis Minor

Fantasy related Injuries � Moe Williams � questionable; Kelly Campbell - questionable

Final Thoughts:The Vikings will likely give the Dolphins all they can handle in this game.The Dolphins could have a small letdown after the huge win against the Raiders but it is too important of a game for them to come out completely flat.Ricky Williams will get his 100 yards, Jay Fiedler will have a solid game and the Dolphins will get a huge victory in their quest for home-field advantage throughout the playoffs.

Predicted Score: Dolphins 23 at Vikings 21


 

San Francisco 49ers 9-5 at Arizona Cardinals 5-9

 

Game Forecast

 

The 49ers are in an interesting position.They have already clinched their division but are already out of the hunt for home-field advantage throughout the post-season after the heart-breaking overtime loss to the Packers last weekend.With no reason to win either of the last two football games, the 49ers will almost certainly rest the injured Terrell Owens this week and maybe even next week as well.His nagging heel and groin injuries could use some time to heal and it would be a smart move to sit him to the chagrin of Championship-hunting fantasy owners everywhere.Jeff Garcia suffered an ankle sprain and the 49ers would be smart to sit him this weekend to help it recover.He can certainly play this week and definitely would if there was something on the line but there is no incentive to playing Garcia this week and perhaps aggravating the injury to the point he is lost for the post-season.If I were in charge of the 49ers, I would rest most of my starters this weekend, give them a week to get over the normal bumps and bruises that afflict most players at this point in the season and then insert them back into the starting lineup in week seventeen so they will be sharp during the playoffs.It is very risky to start 49er players this week for that reason.It sounds like Garcia will be in the starting lineup this week though which is an unnecessary risk in my mind.

The Cardinals almost went into St. Louis and knocked off the Rams last week despite all the injuries that have plagued this team.Running back Marcel Shipp is beginning to emerge as a legitimate threat from the backfield and has a great chance at becoming the featured running back next season.Ever since he took over for an injured Thomas Jones, Shipp has displayed great power and quick moves and has given the Cardinals a decent running attack for the first time in many seasons.He has accumulated 649 total yards in the last five contests to go with a respectable 4 touchdowns.On a team with so many injuries, his performance over the final stretch this season has been very encouraging and will allow the Cardinals to look elsewhere in the draft for help to other positions.It will be very interesting to see what the Cardinals decide to do with Jake Plummer in the off-season.His contract is immense for next season and it is unlikely the Cardinals will wish to keep him around unless he reconstructs his salary.He is an erratic quarterback but has shown enough flashes over the last five years that he would get some interest from quarterback-hungry teams around the league.

Must Starts: Marcel Shipp

Possible Starts: Jeff Garcia, Tai Streets, Jake Plummer, J.J. Stokes, Kevan Barlow, Garrison Hearst, Jason McAddley, Eric Johnson

Only in a Pinch: Cedric Wilson, Nathon Poole

Fantasy related Injuries � Terrell Owens-questionable; Frank Sanders- out

Final Thoughts:I am not sure even how to predict this game.One team has nothing to play for while the other cannot improve its position in the post-season and is likely to rest many players.I doubt very much we will see Terrell Owens play in this game.Even players like Jeff Garcia, Garrison Hearst and Kevan Barlow may rest before this game is over.Look for a Cardinal upset in this one.

Predicted Score: 49ers 13 at Cardinals 17


 

Philadelphia Eagles 11-3 at Dallas Cowboys 5-9

 

Game Forecast

 

The Eagles have won five games in a row and haven�t missed a beat since Donovan McNabb went down with injury.They will likely have him back for the playoffs and getting a first round bye would be huge for this team as would home-field advantage throughout the playoffs.The Eagles will be very conservative in this game because their defense should be able to dominate the Cowboys into submission.Look for at least 30 carries from the Eagles in this one.A.J. Feeley has been very effective at the helm over the last three weeks.He is averaging around 200 passing yards per game and most importantly has thrown only 2 interceptions.He has done just enough to help the team win each game.Duce Staley is up and down like a yo-yo each week.He runs for 32 yards one week, gets 100 yards the next week and then is back down to 62 yards.He is not a franchise running back but is solid enough to take pressure away from the young quarterback.

 

The Cowboys will need to retool the offense during the off-season.With a defense that could be an elite unit for the 2003 season, the Cowboys are only a quarterback and young running back away from being a Championship contending team as early as next season.How they draft this season will go a long way towards their chance for success in the future.The Cowboys could really use a talented running back like Chris Brown (1744 rushing yards and 18 touchdowns in eleven games) or Willis McGahee-if he comes out this season (2036 total yards and 27 touchdowns) to give the offense some flair.Antonio Bryant will be better in year two and Joey Galloway is finally looking like the talented player he was back in the Seattle days.Chad Hutchinson is not getting any better but he has lots of potential with a great arm and good size.Don�t be surprised to see them go after a quarterback like Jake Plummer in the off-season though.

Must Starts: Duce Staley, Todd Pinkston

Possible Starts: A.J. Feeley, Chad Lewis, James Thrash, Dorsey Levens, Joey Galloway

Only in a Pinch: Chad Hutchinson, Troy Hambrick, Emmitt Smith, Antonio Bryant, Antonio Freeman

Fantasy related Injuries � Donovan McNabb-out; Brian Westbrook-questionable

Final Thoughts:The Eagles have demolished the Cowboys in Dallas each of the last two seasons by a combined score of 77 to 17.It won�t be that bad this week but the Eagles are on a roll and should beat the Cowboys in an important game for their playoff positioning.Look for a terrific performance from the Eagles defense.

Predicted Score: Eagles 23 at Cowboys 10


Sunday Games, December 22nd

 

Houston Texans 4-10 at Washington Redskins 5-9

 

Game Forecast

 

Zzzzzzzzzzzz.Zzzzzzzzzzzz.

 

If you are considering starting any of the fantasy players from either of these teams and you are in the playoffs of your fantasy league, I am very surprised.Both of these football teams have serious issues on the offensive side of the ball and both will likely have their problems scoring many points in this one.The only player I consider a Must Start and that is very marginal is Rod Gardner who could get 80+ yards and a touchdown.In addition both defenses can get the job done on the field and should dictate the play in this Snooze-fest.

Must Starts: Rod Gardner

Possible Starts: Corey Bradford, Ladell Betts, Patrick Ramsey

Only in a Pinch: David Carr, Jonathon Wells, James Allen, Derrius Thompson

Fantasy related Injuries � Stephen Davis � OUT; Danny Wuerffel - doubtful

Final Thoughts:The Redskins are at home and that should be the difference in a low scoring, boring football game.Even die-hard Redskin and Texan fans may hope for the movie Heidi to interrupt this football game before it is over.Head coach Steve Spurrier will have his work cut out during this upcoming off-season if he isn�t locked away in an institution by this point.The Washington Gators experiment certainly didn�t go well in year one.

Predicted Score: Texans 10 at Redskins 16


Chicago Bears 4-10 at Carolina Panthers 5-9

 

Game Forecast

 

Snooze-fest # 2 takes place in Carolina between two football teams with marginal fantasy potential at best.The Bears need a new game plan, a new quarterback, some linemen that can block and a running back that can make defenders miss.That will be a lot to ask of this team over one off-season.Don�t look for much fantasy success in this game for the Bears.Also, I would like to make a retraction from last week.Anthony Thomas is out for the season and will not have any fantasy impact in this one (not that many other Bears on offense will have an impact.Jim Miller is also out for the year, which gives Chris Chandler the nod at quarterback.At least Chandler can throw the ball more than five yards down the field.You are one lucky owner if you got this deep into your playoffs with any of these Bear disappointments on your team.

 

The Panthers are also playing out the string and you can never really tell how a team will look over the final two weeks with nothing to play for but pride.Rodney Peete has been pretty solid the past few weeks and will provide the team with strong leadership down the stretch.Dee Brown doesn�t look like the next great running back in the NFL but he is getting a lot of carries and has scored a couple of touchdowns.Muhsin Muhammad and Steve Smith are a solid duo at receiver and can get the job done

Must Starts: Muhsin Muhammad

Possible Starts: Rodney Peete, Steve Smith, Dee Brown, Marty Booker, Chris Chandler

Only in a Pinch: Adrian Peterson, Leon Johnson, Dez White

Fantasy related Injuries � Anthony Thomas-out; Jim Miller-out; Wesley Walls-questionable

Final Thoughts:Don�t expect much of anything in this game from the Bears and DO NOT START Anthony Thomas!The Panthers passing attack should be decent and will lead them to a victory.

Predicted Score: Bears 10 at Panthers 21


Tennessee Titans 9-5 at Jacksonville Jaguars 6-8

 

Game Forecast

 

The Titans are flying high having won eight of the last nine football games.The defense is growing stronger by the week, Steve McNair continues to get the job done in spite of all his injuries (Is there a part of his body that isn�t hurt?) and the Titans running attack has been effective enough to take the pressure off of the passing game.Eddie George is still averaging just over three yards per carry but Robert Holcombe is getting better as a second option from the backfield.He looked awesome against the Patriots and averaged 8.5 yards per carry.

 

The Jaguars have had a chaotic season that has been filled with many highs and lows.Fred Taylor and Stacey Mack have been a good one-two punch all year but the combination has driven fantasy owners crazy with Mack stealing the touchdowns in too many football games.The Jaguars feature a solid defensive unit that could give the Titans fits in this game.If Mark Brunell can get the ball to Jimmy Smith at least seven times in this game, the Jaguars will have an excellent opportunity to win.

Must Starts: none

Possible Starts: Steve McNair, Eddie George, Derrick Mason, Mark Brunell, Jimmy Smith, Fred Taylor

Only in a Pinch: Robert Holcombe, Stacey Mack, Pete Mitchell, Kyle Brady, Frank Wycheck?

Fantasy related Injuries � Steve McNair � questionable (but he would probably play in a body cast); Frank Wycheck - questionable

Final Thoughts:The last four meetings between these two teams in Jacksonville have been decided by a total of 14 points with the Jaguars winning the past two.It is usually a low scoring affair and these teams have a terrific rivalry going.The Titans are playing very good football but the Jaguars are going to be coming after them hard to play the role of spoiler.I think the Titans will prevail but it will be a nail-biter going down to the final moments.

Predicted Score: Titans 16 at Jaguars 14


Detroit Lions 3-11 at Atlanta Falcons 8-5-1

 

Game Forecast

 

Look for an offensive explosion from the hungry Falcons in this one.Losers of two games in a row, the Falcons are going to come out aggressive, frustrated and ready to lay a beating on the Lions.Michael Vick is going to be fighting his sore thumb the rest of the season but that probably means he will run for 200 yards.Warrick Dunn will have a solid game, Trevor Gaylor and Brian Finneran will both be solid and Vick will get his numbers despite the ailments.

 

The Lions are starting Mike McMahon the rest of the season and it is probably a good thing considering the problems Joey Harrington had down the stretch with marginal NFL talent surrounding him.It is hard enough being a rookie at the pivot position without having to do it all on your own.McMahon is capable of doing some things on the field although he reminds me more of Charlie Batch than a potential star in this league.Still he does have a little more experience and will likely be able to get the ball to his receiving core a little more than Harrington was able to.James Stewart couldn�t play last week and was knocked out of the previous two games with stingers.The Lions will almost certainly draft a receiver and a running back in the first two rounds of the draft next year.It will be interesting to see whom they go after.I would guess it will be a player like Charles Rogers at receiver and then perhaps a Larry Johnson at running back.

Must Starts: Michael Vick, Trevor Gaylor, Warrick Dunn, Alge Crumpler

Possible Starts: Mike McMahon, Bill Schroeder, Brian Finneran

Only in a Pinch: T.J. Duckett ?, Germaine Crowell

Fantasy related Injuries � Joey Harrington � out; James Stewart � questionable; T.J. Duckett - questionable

Final Thoughts:The Falcons should destroy the Lions in this game.Too much on the line for the Falcons to lose three games in a row.I think the Falcons will win by 20 points.I would stay completely away from the Lions running back situation.There is way too many question marks to consider any of them at this critical junction in the fantasy season.

Predicted Score: Lions 13 at Falcons 33


New Orleans Saints 8-5 at Cincinnati Bengals 1-13

 

Game Forecast

 

Is it just me or are the Saints the most erratic team in the NFL this season?They lose the games they should win, prevail in the games they should lose and cause Handicappers to drink themselves into a stupor every week.Losing at home to the Vikings was inexcusable to a team pushing for a playoff position and the Saints need to find their �A� game if they are to do some damage in the post-season.Aaron Brooks has had a very successful season but he has to take some of the blame for the inconsistency of the team.He has had some awful games (see Cleveland) and some great games (see Atlanta) but needs to get the offense clicking through all four quarters.Deuce McAllister has had a marvelous season and has shown both mental and physical toughness by playing through injury.He was held in check last week but did have a long touchdown run called back that would have made his numbers look much stronger.He should shred the sad-sack Bengals defense for a lot of yards no matter how much he is banged up.

 

The Bengals offense has not been the problem last year in a complete turnaround from the 2001 season in which the defense kept them in games but the offense couldn�t score.The defense has been horrible all season and would likely have a problem slowing down the LSU Tigers let alone the New Orleans Saints. Jon Kitna has shown flashes but it doesn�t sound like the Bengals are that keen on keeping him around.Perhaps they will go after a quarterback like Jake Plummer and try to upgrade the position.The team has talent on offense led by Corey Dillon, Chad Johnson and a young offensive line but need to find a signal-caller that can help turn this team into a contender.The Bengals should be able to score against a poor Saints defense.

Must Starts: Aaron Brooks, Joe Horn, Deuce McAllister, Chad Johnson, Corey Dillon

Possible Starts: Jon Kitna, Donte Stallworth, TJ Houshmandzadeh

Only in a Pinch: Jake Reed, Matt Schobel, Peter Warrick?

Fantasy related Injuries � Jerome Pathon � questionable; Peter Warrick - questionable

Final Thoughts:The Bengals only need one more loss to tie their all-time futility record.Strike up the bands and organize the parade because I think they�ll get it.

Predicted Score: Saints 37 at Bengals 27


Buffalo Bills 7-7 at Green Bay Packers 11-3

 

Game Forecast

 

The Bills drove a big stake into the Chargers post-season aspirations last week by defeating them in overtime up in Buffalo.The Bills have little chance in reality to make the post-season this year but I am sure they would love to have a winning record on the season.However going into Green Bay and upsetting the Packers in December is next to impossible.With home field advantage still up for grabs, the Packers should be all business on the field.Travis Henry is turning out to be not only a good NFL running back but a great one.With giant offensive tackle, Mike Williams getting stronger every week, Henry has become one of the top fantasy options in the game today.He is quick enough to find the hole and strong enough to run over a defender.He will certainly be a top ten running back in the draft next season and may slip into many folks top five.The Bills passing game has fallen apart after destroying the Dolphins two weeks ago and Drew Bledsoe needs to get back on track. He has been terrible over the last two weeks although high winds had a lot to do with that last weekend.

 

The Packers are in the hunt for home-field advantage throughout the playoffs.As everyone knows, it is almost impossible to win in Green Bay once December rolls around and the Packers have a great shot at the Super Bowl if they can win their last two games and stay home throughout the post-season.Ahman Green is healthier than he has been in weeks and he will likely get 25 carries in this game.I wouldn�t be surprised to see him end up with near 200 yards in total offense.Brett Favre has been very poor over the last five weeks with more interceptions than touchdowns and he is due to break out with a big game.He should have some success against the Bills.

Must Starts: Brett Favre, Ahman Green, Bubba Franks, Eric Moulds, Peerless Price, Travis Henry, Drew Bledsoe, Donald Driver

Possible Starts: Terry Glenn

Only in a Pinch: Josh Reed, Jay Riemersma, Larry Centers, Javon Walker

Fantasy related Injuries � none

Final Thoughts:The Bills are a good football team but they won�t be able to knock off the Packers in Green Bay.Look for a lot of offense this Sunday from both sides but the Packers will prevail.

Predicted Score: Bills 20 at Packers 28


New York Giants 8-6 at Indianapolis Colts 9-5

 

Game Forecast

 

The Giants are still in the hunt for the playoffs despite playing some real stinkers this season.Tiki Barber has been dynamite for the team all season and the defense has won more than a few games for the team that can move the ball up and down the field but has a serious problems getting it into the end zone at times.Who was that guy piling up the yardage like a big man can gobble up hamburgers?Ron Dayne had 63 rushing yards and 0 touchdowns over the past four games until last week when he had 80 rushing yards and 2 scores.Was it an anomaly or has Dayne finally emerged as a legitimate fantasy-scoring machine? Has he shot up the running back ranks as if a bullet exploding from the chamber?Will he be a dark horse sleeper pick for the 2003 season?No!

 

The Colts were reeling against the Browns, down 16 to 0 at halftime and were possibly seeing their once promising season slip away.That damn Peyton Manning always slips up in the big games and he was awful in the first half.You could almost hear the Manning detractors getting ready with their ammunition against him.However, Manning and boys came out ready to take care of business in the second half and he led them all the way back to victory in a huge game for the franchise.Marvin Harrison is the best receiver in the NFL today.That�s right!Move over Randy Moss and step aside Terrell Owens because Harrison is the one that just broke the record for most receptions in one season with two full games left to play.He will likely end up with over 140 receptions on the season.That my friends, is downright scary!I took some flack last week for saying the offense looked better with James Mungro in at tailback. While I meant the entire offensive flow seemed crisper with Edgerrin James on the sidelines, Mungro was the difference maker against the Browns with 75 rushing yards and 2 scores.He is becoming more and more of a factor for the team with James having his problems.

 

Must Starts: Peyton Manning, Marvin Harrison, Marcus Pollard, Tiki Barber, Jeremy Shockey, Ron Dayne (just kidding � don�t send me hate mail)

Possible Starts: Kerry Collins, Amani Toomer, Edgerrin James; James Mungro

Only in a Pinch: Reggie Wayne, Ron Dayne (for real � back to his 20-30 yard games)

Fantasy related Injuries �Ron Dixon-out

Final Thoughts:The Colts are at home, need a win and have Peyton Manning throwing to Marvin Harrison.The Giants are back on track again but have been inconsistent all season.

Predicted Score: Giants 14 at Colts 21


San Diego Chargers 8-6 at Kansas City Chiefs 7-7

 

Game Forecast

 

The Chargers were once 7-3 and looked like a lock to make the post-season.However after losing three of the past four games and needing overtime to win the one game they did win, this team is reeling and in very real danger of missing the post-season.Going into Kansas City and knocking off the Chiefs is never easy and the Chargers have lost the last five in Kansas City. The Chiefs are not eliminated from post-season play yet but the loss last weekend certainly did not help their cause.Whoever loses this game will definitely not make the playoffs so it is a huge game for both teams (No, duh!)I wouldn�t be surprised to see Ladainian Tomlinson carry the ball 40+ times in this game.The Chargers know they need to rely on his running talents to carry them to victory and the passing game has been awful over the last month.Drew Brees hasn�t thrown a touchdown pass in what seems forever and teams have stopped respecting the Chargers quarterback.

 

The Chiefs will be without Priest Holmes this weekend at the most inopportune time for both the Chiefs and fantasy owners who have the mighty Holmes as their cornerstone.

 

Clipped from ESPN.com article.To read entire page, click here

"I would say there's a good chance it's over,'' coach Dick Vermeil said Wednesday night after talking with doctors.

Holmes is definitely out for Sunday's game against San Diego, Vermeil said. As for the regular-season finale at Oakland a week from Saturday, Vermeil said, "I think it's doubtful.''

Vermeil will not automatically place Holmes on the injured reserve list because specialists in Kansas City, New York and Florida have all agreed there is a possibility Holmes could come back this season.

"The doctor said in two days, you might feel like, 'Hey, I want to run,''' Vermeil said. "It's up to Priest. It may be six days. It may be three weeks.''

 

However the Chiefs have a dynamite offensive line and a solid, if untested backup in Mike Cloud who was drafted a couple of years back to be their new starting running back.He can get the job done and the Chargers run defense has been awful over the second half of the season (150 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns per game given up over the last four contests).Dante Hall had a career week against the Broncos last week and is an explosive player.However he isn�t ready to do that on a week-to-week basis yet and he�ll likely have a quiet week this time.I expect Tony Gonzalez to light it up for the team in a huge game.

Must Starts: Mike Cloud, Tony Gonzalez, Ladainian Tomlinson

Possible Starts: Curtis Conway?, Trent Green, Eddie Kennison

Only in a Pinch: Drew Brees, Tim Dwight, Dante� Hall

Fantasy related Injuries � Priest Holmes-out; Curtis Conway-questionable, Marc Boerigter, Dante� Hall and Johnnie Morton are all questionable

Final Thoughts:The Chargers never have much success in Kansas City and have lost five consecutive games there as outlined above.This is a huge game for both teams and the Chiefs have been the better team over the last month.Look for very nice numbers from Mike Cloud as the Chiefs try to keep the fragile playoff dream alive.

Predicted Score: Chargers 14 at Chiefs 24


St. Louis Rams 6-8 at Seattle Seahawks 5-9

 

Game Forecast

 

The Rams did not look very good last week against a banged-up, talent-challenged football team otherwise known as the Cardinals.The Rams almost let the Cardinals escape with victory in what would have been the ultimate slap in the face to this once proud franchise.With Marshall Faulk hurting and really unable to do the things that make him so special, it is possible that Mike Martz will allow Trung Canidate to play all game and see what he can do against the horrible run defense of the Hawks.However, Martz seems to almost ignore the run when Faulk cannot go at 100 % as if this gives him an opportunity to go with the type of ball he loves to coach.If he truly is a good coach though, he will run the ball at least 30 times against a defense that truly looks incapable of slowing down anybody�s running game.Marc Bulger looked a little rusty in his first game back but still threw for over 300 passing yards and 2 scores on the day.He will certainly give Kurt Warner one hell of a quarterback battle in next year�s camp.

 

The Seahawks may be seeing the end of the Mike Holmgren era but you can certainly see the pieces beginning to fall into place on offense.Shaun Alexander has been a disappointment at time this season but will be better next year with the offensive line healthy once again.Koren Robinson looks ready to become an elite NFL receiver and already has over 1000 yards this season.Darrell Jackson is a fantastic second receiver and Jerramy Stevens is becoming a big target in the red-zone.Now if the Seahawks can find four new defensive linemen that can actually plug holes and stop the run instead of getting blown off the ball constantly, this team could do some real damage.I expect the Seahawks offense to continue playing super football in what should be a very high scoring, entertaining football game between two teams going nowhere but to the golf course.

Must Starts: Matt Hasselbeck, Shaun Alexander, Koren Robinson, Marc Bulger, Torry Holt, Isaac Bruce

Possible Starts: Trung Canidate, Marshall Faulk? Jerramy Stevens, Ernie Conwell

Only in a Pinch: Lamar Gordan, Bobby Engram? Darrell Jackson?

Fantasy related Injuries � Marshall Faulk-probable (but won�t be 100%); Darrell Jackson-questionable; Bobby Engram-questionable

Final Thoughts:Expect lots of scoring in this game with the Seahawks going another step towards saving Mike Holmgren�s job with another victory.

Predicted Score: Rams 27 at Seahawks 34


Cleveland Browns 7-7 at Baltimore Ravens 7-7

 

Game Forecast

 

You have to feel bad for the Browns.They looked out of the hunt for the playoffs a few weeks back at 5-5.Since then they have been on an emotional roller coaster that saw them beat teams like the Saints and Jaguars in exciting finishes and lose heartbreakers to the Panthers and the latest setback against the Colts despite being up by a score of 16 to 0 at the half.�� Now all but eliminated from post-season play, the Browns may have a problem getting up for this football contest.The Browns are known as the Cardiac Kids but were at the wrong end of a comeback last week when the Colts drove a big nail into the Browns coffin.The Browns will be able to pass on the Ravens and will put up some points.William Green has been running hard and should be the featured back from the start of the 2003 season.

 

The Ravens have to be pleased with the 7-7 record during a rebuilding season.They have some pieces in place for a good showing next year if they can add a couple of good defenders.Travis Taylor continues to shine over the second half of the season and Jamal Lewis has been fantastic, as has Todd Heap who will be considered one of the top few tight ends next season.I remember taking a lot of slack for my # 14 ranking of Taylor during the pre-season but I think that prediction has turned out pretty well.

 

http://www.footballguys.com/wrrank.cfm

Must Starts: Tim Couch, Quincy Morgan, Travis Taylor, Jamal Lewis, Todd Heap, William Green

Possible Starts: Kevin Johnson, William Green, Jeff Blake

Only in a Pinch: Jamel White, Dennis Northcutt?

Fantasy related Injuries � Dennis Northcutt-questionable; Chris Redman-questionable

Final Thoughts:The Browns will continue the up and down play by knocking off the Ravens in Baltimore.The Browns are 5-2 on the road this year.William Green will continue his strong second half surge by racking up at least 80 yards rushing.

Predicted Score: Browns 21 at Ravens 20


Denver Broncos 8-6 at Oakland Raiders 9-5

 

Game Forecast

 

Huge game with massive playoff implications will take place in Oakland this week.The Dolphins took the Raiders to school last week in a game that wasn�t as close as the score indicated.The Raiders were out hustled, out hit and out coached and are now in a must-win position if they want to win the division.Rich Gannon looked ordinary against the strong Dolphins secondary and ferocious pass rush and he will be out to put that mediocre effort behind him against a team he absolutely torched in their first meeting this year in which he could do no wrong.We will see if the Broncos learned from that first meeting because if they didn�t, Gannon and company will move the ball with ease on them once again.

 

Clinton Portis has been the best fantasy running back over the last three weeks and carried many a fantasy owner to victory last week including myself in one league and my opponent in another.He is a threat to score from anywhere on the field and is a must start every week.It is a tough match up though for him this week against a Raiders team that is excellent against the run.Brian Griese has completed over 70 % of his passes since his return from injury and he will need to be that sharp if the Broncos are to have some success in Oakland.Rookie receiver Ashley Lelie continues to get better as the year goes on and is a solid third option for the team.

Must Starts: Clinton Portis, Rich Gannon, Jerry Rice, Shannon Sharpe

Possible Starts: Brian Griese, Rod Smith, Ed McCaffrey, Jerry Porter, Doug Jolley, Charlie Garner

Only in a Pinch: Tyrone Wheatley, Tim Brown, Ashley Lelie, Mike Anderson

Fantasy related Injuries � none

Final Thoughts:The Broncos have done very well in Oakland since the Mike Shanahan era began.They have won three of the last four games of the series in the Raiders home stadium.This is going to be an all-out war and it could go either way depending on turnovers and big plays.The Raiders won the first meeting 34 to 10 up in Denver but the Broncos have won 7 of the last 9 meetings.I think the Broncos will get their revenge and keep their dominance in Oakland alive.

Predicted Score: Broncos 24 at Raiders 21


New York Jets 7-7 at New England Patriots 8-6

 

Game Forecast

 

Both teams are reeling after looking pretty good going into last week.The Jets lost to the Chicago Bears who were playing for nothing but pride while the Titans dismantled the Patriots. Tom Brady who looked so incredible to start the year is now having serious problems moving the ball down the field.His confidence is down, he is yelling at his receivers, at the referees and having a horrible time getting going.The running game is mediocre at best and this team is in danger of missing the playoffs.To top it all off, the Patriots have lost six games in a row against teams with winning records (thank god for them the Jets are 7-7).

 

The Jets lost a critical game against the Bears that probably eliminated them from the playoffs.However all is not lost yet and they go up against a team they have owned over the last four seasons.Chad Pennington continues to play well and he�ll have to be at his best if the Jets are to win this game.I expect them to pound the ball with Curtis Martin at least 25 times trying to take advantage of a Patriots team that hasn�t been able to stop the run this season.Laveranues Coles has been excellent and he will also need a good game if the Jets are to win.

Must Starts: Curtis Martin, Laveranues Coles

Possible Starts: Chad Pennington, Tom Brady, Troy Brown, David Patten, Antowain Smith, Anthony Becht

Only in a Pinch: Kevin Faulk, Wayne Chrebet, Daniel Graham?

Fantasy related Injuries � Deion Branch-questionable

Final Thoughts:The Jets have beaten the Patriots in New England each of the past four seasons.Not a good omen for the Patriots and the Jets would like nothing better than to both play spoiler and keep their own marginal playoff hopes alive.Jets will upset the Patriots.

Predicted Score: Jets 17 at Patriots 14


 

Monday Night Football

 

Pittsburgh Steelers 8-5-1 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers 11-3

 

Game Forecast

 

This will be a critical game for both teams on Monday Night Football.The Buccaneers are still playing for home-field advantage throughout the playoffs while the Steelers are trying to wrap up the division with a win.It is almost impossible to pass on the Buccaneers team, which means the Steelers will have to win on the ground featuring both Jerome Bettis and Amos Zereoue.They will be hard pressed to score more than 13 points against this outstanding defensive unit.Tommy Maddox could look like a deer caught in the headlights against the terrifying pass rush of the Buccaneers.

 

The Buccaneers would love to be at home throughout the playoffs and that means they should be able to keep their focus and determination at a high level.Brad Johnson has been super for the team over the second half of the season and the running game has picked it up with both Mike Alstott and Michael Pittman being more productive over the last few games.The Buccaneers will likely try to beat the Steelers by playing conservative football.They don�t need to score a ton of points to win every week.

Must Starts: none

Possible Starts: Jerome Bettis, Plaxico Burress, Keyshawn Johnson, Keenan McCardell, Brad Johnson?

Only in a Pinch: Tommy Maddox, Joe Jurevicius, Mike Alstott, Michael Pittman, Amos Zereoue? Antwaan Randle-El

Fantasy related Injuries � Amos Zereoue-questionable; Brad Johnson-questionable

Final Thoughts:This has defensive battle written all over it.I am curious to see if the Buccaneers defenders can effectively shut down the huge, talented Plaxico Burress of the Steelers.I think he matches up well against this defense and he may be the key to a possible Steelers upset.I do think the Buccaneers are too talented to lose a big game at home though on Monday Night Football.Brad Johnson is hurting with a bad back and may not be able to play this weekend.If he cannot play, the Steelers likelihood of success this Monday night will go way up.

Predicted Score: Steelers 13 at Buccaneers 17