Each week I try to do something a little bit different with this column. A month ago most of us all had Kurt Warner atop our QB projections list. Now that he is out for 8-10 weeks, his value is significantly less. In other words, he has lost equity. If you drafted Kurt in the first round like many owners did, you know that his value is at all-time low this week.
So how do we calculate equity? This in itself is extremely tricky because real equity is based on when you drafted each player compared to what their worth is now. Since every fantasy draft is different, I had to define a starting point to calculate equity.
Using myfantasyleague.com and looking at drafts completed after August 25th where a player was taken at least 50 times, I ranked each of the QBs, RBs, WRs and TEs based on average draft position. Then using values from our Top 200 Forward I assigned values to each of the positions relative ranking based on the values used now. In other words, Kurt Warner was the number ranked QB then so he had a value of 1500. Donovan McNabb is now considered the number 1 QB so he has a value of 1500 now. Comparing then and now numbers, I was able to calculate equity by subtracting Then Values from Now Values. Positive Equity is good while negative equity is bad.
Players unranked in either list were set to 1.
I shall call this Average Equity. If you were able to draft these players later than the average draft, you have created more equity than is calculated. If you drafted these players earlier than the average draft, then you have less equity in the players.
Week 4 Average Equity
Rank |
Player |
Team |
Pos |
Preseason MFL Rank |
Value Then |
Current Rank |
Value Now |
Equity |
1 |
Tom Brady |
NEP |
QB |
15 |
525 |
3 |
1340 |
815 |
2 |
Donald Driver |
GBP |
WR |
57 |
130 |
13 |
945 |
815 |
3 |
Jamel White |
CLE |
RB |
48 |
51 |
23 |
770 |
719 |
4 |
Lamar Smith |
CAR |
RB |
36 |
345 |
19 |
890 |
545 |
5 |
Charlie Garner |
OAK |
RB |
27 |
630 |
14 |
1105 |
475 |
6 |
Drew Bledsoe |
BUF |
QB |
11 |
755 |
5 |
1190 |
435 |
7 |
Randy McMichael |
MIA |
TE |
18 |
34 |
5 |
445 |
411 |
8 |
Marty Booker |
CHI |
WR |
22 |
730 |
8 |
1120 |
390 |
9 |
Peerless Price |
BUF |
WR |
31 |
525 |
14 |
910 |
385 |
10 |
Jamie Martin |
STL |
QB |
unranked |
1 |
18 |
375 |
374 |
11 |
Trent Dilfer |
SEA |
QB |
25 |
154 |
15 |
525 |
371 |
12 |
Travis Henry |
BUF |
RB |
22 |
805 |
13 |
1145 |
340 |
13 |
Moe Williams |
MIN |
RB |
unranked |
1 |
37 |
315 |
314 |
14 |
Donovan McNabb |
PHI |
QB |
5 |
1190 |
1 |
1500 |
310 |
15 |
Ladainian Tomlinson |
SDC |
RB |
9 |
1310 |
4 |
1610 |
300 |
16 |
David Patten |
NEP |
WR |
72 |
40 |
41 |
335 |
295 |
17 |
Steve Smith |
CAR |
WR |
unranked |
1 |
45 |
275 |
274 |
18 |
Amani Toomer |
NYG |
WR |
27 |
605 |
16 |
875 |
270 |
19 |
Priest Holmes |
KCC |
RB |
5 |
1540 |
1 |
1800 |
260 |
20 |
Curtis Conway |
SDC |
WR |
30 |
545 |
19 |
805 |
260 |
21 |
Eddie Kennison |
KC |
WR |
unranked |
1 |
46 |
260 |
259 |
22 |
Corey Bradford |
HOU |
WR |
61 |
95 |
40 |
350 |
255 |
23 |
Brian Finneran |
ATL |
WR |
56 |
140 |
38 |
385 |
245 |
24 |
Deuce McAllister |
NOS |
RB |
12 |
1185 |
7 |
1420 |
235 |
25 |
Todd Heap |
BAL |
TE |
11 |
100 |
6 |
335 |
235 |
26 |
Aaron Brooks |
NOS |
QB |
7 |
1040 |
4 |
1265 |
225 |
27 |
Kerry Collins |
NYG |
QB |
21 |
255 |
16 |
475 |
220 |
28 |
Hines Ward |
PIT |
WR |
34 |
465 |
24 |
680 |
215 |
29 |
Jimmy Smith |
JAC |
WR |
12 |
1000 |
5 |
1210 |
210 |
30 |
Tim Couch |
CLE |
QB |
17 |
425 |
13 |
635 |
210 |
31 |
Fred Taylor |
JAC |
RB |
14 |
1105 |
9 |
1310 |
205 |
32 |
Jeremy Shockey |
NYG |
TE |
4 |
545 |
2 |
745 |
200 |
33 |
Troy Brown |
NEP |
WR |
19 |
805 |
12 |
1000 |
195 |
34 |
Eric Moulds |
BUF |
WR |
10 |
1060 |
4 |
1250 |
190 |
35 |
Warrick Dunn |
ATL |
RB |
29 |
560 |
24 |
735 |
175 |
36 |
Az-zahir Hakim |
DET |
WR |
51 |
190 |
39 |
365 |
175 |
37 |
Jonathan Wells |
HOU |
RB |
42 |
170 |
36 |
345 |
175 |
38 |
Chad Pennington |
NYJ |
QB |
unranked |
1 |
24 |
174 |
173 |
39 |
Tiki Barber |
NYG |
RB |
23 |
770 |
18 |
940 |
170 |
40 |
Jim Miller |
CHI |
QB |
29 |
94 |
21 |
255 |
161 |
41 |
Clinton Portis |
DEN |
RB |
25 |
700 |
20 |
855 |
155 |
42 |
Donte' Stallworth |
NOS |
WR |
45 |
275 |
36 |
425 |
150 |
43 |
Patrick Johnson |
JAC |
WR |
unranked |
1 |
55 |
150 |
149 |
44 |
Rich Gannon |
OAK |
QB |
8 |
970 |
6 |
1115 |
145 |
45 |
Brian Westbrook |
PHI |
RB |
unranked |
1 |
43 |
145 |
144 |
46 |
Joey Harrington |
DET |
QB |
30 |
84 |
22 |
225 |
141 |
47 |
Ricky Williams |
MIA |
RB |
4 |
1610 |
2 |
1750 |
140 |
48 |
Brandon Stokely |
BAL |
WR |
unranked |
1 |
56 |
140 |
139 |
49 |
Eric Johnson |
SFO |
TE |
10 |
130 |
7 |
260 |
130 |
50 |
Alge Crumpler |
ATL |
TE |
17 |
40 |
9 |
170 |
130 |
51 |
Deion Branch |
NE |
WR |
unranked |
1 |
57 |
130 |
129 |
52 |
Jerry Rice |
OAK |
WR |
23 |
705 |
18 |
830 |
125 |
53 |
James Thrash |
PHI |
WR |
25 |
655 |
20 |
780 |
125 |
54 |
Darrell Jackson |
SEA |
WR |
15 |
910 |
11 |
1030 |
120 |
55 |
Kevin Dyson |
TEN |
WR |
36 |
425 |
30 |
545 |
120 |
56 |
De'shaun Foster |
CAR |
RB |
34 |
405 |
30 |
525 |
120 |
57 |
Stacey Mack |
JAC |
RB |
38 |
285 |
34 |
405 |
120 |
58 |
Willie Jackson |
ATL |
WR |
50 |
200 |
42 |
320 |
120 |
59 |
Todd Pinkston |
PHI |
WR |
unranked |
1 |
58 |
120 |
119 |
60 |
Michael Vick |
ATL |
QB |
14 |
580 |
12 |
695 |
115 |
61 |
Quincy Morgan |
CLE |
WR |
70 |
50 |
54 |
160 |
110 |
62 |
Kevin Lockett |
WAS |
WR |
unranked |
1 |
59 |
110 |
109 |
63 |
James Stewart |
DET |
RB |
30 |
525 |
27 |
630 |
105 |
64 |
Kevan Barlow |
SFO |
RB |
32 |
465 |
29 |
560 |
95 |
65 |
Jay Fiedler |
MIA |
QB |
19 |
330 |
17 |
425 |
95 |
66 |
Najeh Davenport |
GB |
RB |
unranked |
1 |
45 |
95 |
94 |
67 |
Rodney Peete |
CAR |
QB |
unranked |
1 |
29 |
94 |
93 |
68 |
Javon Walker |
GBP |
WR |
64 |
80 |
53 |
170 |
90 |
69 |
Peyton Manning |
IND |
QB |
3 |
1340 |
2 |
1420 |
80 |
70 |
Stephen Davis |
WAS |
RB |
13 |
1145 |
11 |
1225 |
80 |
71 |
Jamal Lewis |
BAL |
RB |
19 |
890 |
17 |
970 |
80 |
72 |
Amos Zereoue |
PIT |
RB |
43 |
145 |
40 |
225 |
80 |
73 |
Marcel Shipp |
ARI |
RB |
unranked |
1 |
46 |
75 |
74 |
74 |
Josh Reed |
BUF |
WR |
unranked |
1 |
65 |
75 |
74 |
75 |
Chris Redman |
Bal |
QB |
unranked |
1 |
31 |
74 |
73 |
76 |
Marvin Harrison |
IND |
WR |
3 |
1410 |
2 |
1480 |
70 |
77 |
Mikhael Ricks |
DET |
TE |
unranked |
1 |
13 |
70 |
69 |
78 |
Andre' Davis |
CLE |
WR |
unranked |
1 |
66 |
70 |
69 |
79 |
Patrick Ramsey |
Was |
QB |
unranked |
1 |
32 |
66 |
65 |
80 |
Edgerrin James |
IND |
RB |
6 |
1480 |
5 |
1540 |
60 |
81 |
Terrell Owens |
SFO |
WR |
2 |
1480 |
1 |
1540 |
60 |
82 |
Richard Huntley |
DET |
RB |
unranked |
1 |
47 |
61 |
60 |
83 |
Ike Hilliard |
NYG |
WR |
46 |
260 |
43 |
305 |
45 |
84 |
Jerome Pathon |
NOS |
WR |
53 |
170 |
49 |
215 |
45 |
85 |
Robert Edwards |
MIA |
RB |
unranked |
1 |
50 |
42 |
41 |
86 |
Anthony Thomas |
CHI |
RB |
11 |
1225 |
10 |
1265 |
40 |
87 |
Joe Horn |
NOS |
WR |
7 |
1150 |
6 |
1180 |
30 |
88 |
Rickey Dudley |
TB |
TE |
unranked |
1 |
19 |
29 |
28 |
89 |
Shawn Bryson |
BUF |
RB |
unranked |
1 |
52 |
27 |
26 |
90 |
Troy Hambrick |
DAL |
RB |
45 |
95 |
44 |
120 |
25 |
91 |
Itula Mili |
SEA |
TE |
unranked |
1 |
20 |
25 |
24 |
92 |
Qadry Ismail |
IND |
WR |
29 |
565 |
28 |
585 |
20 |
93 |
Tim Dwight |
SDC |
WR |
71 |
45 |
67 |
65 |
20 |
94 |
Lamar Gordon |
STL |
RB |
unranked |
1 |
53 |
20 |
19 |
95 |
Anthony Becht |
NYJ |
TE |
19 |
29 |
16 |
47 |
18 |
96 |
Schlesinger Cory |
DET |
RB |
unranked |
1 |
55 |
11 |
10 |
97 |
Tony Gonzalez |
KCC |
TE |
1 |
985 |
1 |
985 |
0 |
98 |
Kevin Johnson |
CLE |
WR |
17 |
845 |
17 |
845 |
0 |
99 |
Steve McNair |
TEN |
QB |
10 |
820 |
10 |
820 |
0 |
100 |
Joey Galloway |
DAL |
WR |
33 |
485 |
33 |
485 |
0 |
101 |
Mark Brunell |
JAC |
QB |
20 |
290 |
20 |
290 |
0 |
102 |
Quincy Carter |
DAL |
QB |
28 |
104 |
28 |
104 |
0 |
103 |
Oronde Gadsden |
MIA |
WR |
62 |
90 |
63 |
85 |
-5 |
104 |
Kyle Brady |
JAC |
TE |
20 |
25 |
22 |
18 |
-7 |
105 |
Tony Richardson |
KCC |
RB |
50 |
42 |
51 |
34 |
-8 |
106 |
Chris Fuamatu-Ma'afala |
PIT |
RB |
55 |
11 |
58 |
1 |
-10 |
107 |
Stephen Alexander |
SDC |
TE |
21 |
21 |
25 |
9 |
-12 |
108 |
Travis Minor |
MIA |
RB |
54 |
15 |
58 |
1 |
-14 |
109 |
Lamont Jordan |
NYJ |
RB |
47 |
61 |
49 |
42 |
-19 |
110 |
Ricky Watters |
FA |
RB |
53 |
20 |
58 |
1 |
-19 |
111 |
Keenan McCardell |
TBB |
WR |
28 |
585 |
29 |
565 |
-20 |
112 |
Dez White |
CHI |
WR |
58 |
120 |
60 |
100 |
-20 |
113 |
Reggie Wayne |
IND |
WR |
66 |
70 |
70 |
50 |
-20 |
114 |
Wesley Walls |
CAR |
TE |
12 |
80 |
15 |
54 |
-26 |
115 |
Lamar Gordon |
STL |
RB |
52 |
27 |
58 |
1 |
-26 |
116 |
Jay Riemersma |
BUF |
TE |
14 |
62 |
18 |
34 |
-28 |
117 |
Rod Smith |
DEN |
WR |
6 |
1180 |
7 |
1150 |
-30 |
118 |
David Sloan |
NOS |
TE |
13 |
70 |
17 |
40 |
-30 |
119 |
Ken Dilger |
TBB |
TE |
16 |
47 |
23 |
15 |
-32 |
120 |
Ernie Conwell |
STL |
TE |
15 |
54 |
21 |
21 |
-33 |
121 |
Jamal Anderson |
FA |
RB |
51 |
34 |
58 |
1 |
-33 |
122 |
Larry Centers |
BUF |
RB |
49 |
42 |
56 |
8 |
-34 |
123 |
Chad Lewis |
PHI |
TE |
9 |
170 |
10 |
130 |
-40 |
124 |
Brad Johnson |
TBB |
QB |
18 |
375 |
19 |
330 |
-45 |
125 |
Bill Schroeder |
DET |
WR |
41 |
335 |
44 |
290 |
-45 |
126 |
Antwaan Randle El |
PIT |
WR |
47 |
245 |
50 |
200 |
-45 |
127 |
Drew Brees |
SDC |
QB |
23 |
200 |
25 |
154 |
-46 |
128 |
Michael Pittman |
TBB |
RB |
20 |
855 |
22 |
805 |
-50 |
129 |
Rod Gardner |
WAS |
WR |
24 |
680 |
26 |
630 |
-50 |
130 |
David Carr |
HOU |
QB |
26 |
134 |
30 |
84 |
-50 |
131 |
Bobby Shaw |
JAC |
WR |
67 |
65 |
77 |
15 |
-50 |
132 |
Ashley Lelie |
DEN |
WR |
69 |
55 |
unranked |
1 |
-54 |
133 |
Trent Green |
KCC |
QB |
13 |
635 |
14 |
580 |
-55 |
134 |
Darnay Scott |
DAL |
WR |
68 |
60 |
unranked |
1 |
-59 |
135 |
Muhsin Muhammad |
CAR |
WR |
32 |
505 |
35 |
445 |
-60 |
136 |
James Allen |
HOU |
RB |
39 |
255 |
41 |
195 |
-60 |
137 |
Mike Anderson |
DEN |
RB |
46 |
75 |
54 |
15 |
-60 |
138 |
Gus Frerotte |
CIN |
QB |
32 |
66 |
48 |
1 |
-65 |
139 |
Chris Weinke |
CAR |
QB |
31 |
74 |
45 |
6 |
-68 |
140 |
Thomas Jones |
ARI |
RB |
26 |
665 |
28 |
595 |
-70 |
141 |
Derrius Thompson |
WAS |
WR |
65 |
75 |
unranked |
1 |
-74 |
142 |
Eddie George |
TEN |
RB |
10 |
1265 |
12 |
1185 |
-80 |
143 |
Jabar Gaffney |
HOU |
WR |
63 |
85 |
unranked |
1 |
-84 |
144 |
Olandis Gary |
DEN |
RB |
35 |
375 |
38 |
285 |
-90 |
145 |
Koren Robinson |
SEA |
WR |
42 |
320 |
48 |
230 |
-90 |
146 |
Wayne Chrebet |
NYJ |
WR |
52 |
180 |
62 |
90 |
-90 |
147 |
Antonio Bryant |
DAL |
WR |
60 |
100 |
unranked |
1 |
-99 |
148 |
Marcus Pollard |
IND |
TE |
2 |
745 |
3 |
645 |
-100 |
149 |
Bubba Franks |
GBP |
TE |
3 |
645 |
4 |
545 |
-100 |
150 |
David Terrell |
CHI |
WR |
54 |
160 |
68 |
60 |
-100 |
151 |
Michael Westbrook |
CIN |
WR |
55 |
150 |
71 |
45 |
-105 |
152 |
Robert Ferguson |
GBP |
WR |
59 |
110 |
unranked |
1 |
-109 |
153 |
Danny Wuerffel |
WAS |
QB |
27 |
119 |
48 |
1 |
-118 |
154 |
Dorsey Levens |
PHI |
RB |
44 |
120 |
58 |
1 |
-119 |
155 |
Marshall Faulk |
STL |
RB |
1 |
1800 |
3 |
1680 |
-120 |
156 |
Torry Holt |
STL |
WR |
5 |
1210 |
9 |
1090 |
-120 |
157 |
Tim Brown |
OAK |
WR |
11 |
1030 |
15 |
910 |
-120 |
158 |
T.J. Duckett |
ATL |
RB |
31 |
495 |
35 |
375 |
-120 |
159 |
Frank Wycheck |
TEN |
TE |
8 |
220 |
11 |
100 |
-120 |
160 |
D'wayne Bates |
MIN |
WR |
49 |
215 |
61 |
95 |
-120 |
161 |
Shane Matthews |
WAS |
QB |
24 |
174 |
34 |
53 |
-121 |
162 |
Brian Griese |
DEN |
QB |
9 |
880 |
11 |
755 |
-125 |
163 |
Chris Chambers |
MIA |
WR |
18 |
830 |
23 |
705 |
-125 |
164 |
Laveranues Coles |
NYJ |
WR |
26 |
630 |
32 |
505 |
-125 |
165 |
J.J. Stokes |
SFO |
WR |
43 |
305 |
52 |
180 |
-125 |
166 |
Randy Moss |
MIN |
WR |
1 |
1540 |
3 |
1410 |
-130 |
167 |
Tyrone Wheatley |
OAK |
RB |
41 |
195 |
48 |
51 |
-144 |
168 |
Emmitt Smith |
DAL |
RB |
28 |
595 |
33 |
435 |
-160 |
169 |
Duce Staley |
PHI |
RB |
21 |
840 |
26 |
665 |
-175 |
170 |
Derrick Alexander |
MIN |
WR |
39 |
365 |
51 |
190 |
-175 |
171 |
Plaxico Burress |
PIT |
WR |
14 |
910 |
22 |
730 |
-180 |
172 |
David Boston |
ARI |
WR |
4 |
1250 |
10 |
1060 |
-190 |
173 |
Freddie Jones |
ARI |
TE |
7 |
260 |
14 |
62 |
-198 |
174 |
Antonio Freeman |
PHI |
WR |
35 |
445 |
47 |
245 |
-200 |
175 |
Santana Moss |
NYJ |
WR |
48 |
230 |
76 |
20 |
-210 |
176 |
Ron Dayne |
NYG |
RB |
40 |
225 |
57 |
5 |
-220 |
177 |
Vinny Testaverde |
NYJ |
QB |
22 |
225 |
46 |
4 |
-221 |
178 |
Daunte Culpepper |
MIN |
QB |
4 |
1265 |
7 |
1040 |
-225 |
179 |
Antowain Smith |
NEP |
RB |
15 |
1065 |
21 |
840 |
-225 |
180 |
Shannon Sharpe |
DEN |
TE |
5 |
445 |
8 |
220 |
-225 |
181 |
Ed McCaffrey |
DEN |
WR |
21 |
755 |
31 |
525 |
-230 |
182 |
Brett Favre |
GBP |
QB |
6 |
1115 |
9 |
880 |
-235 |
183 |
Byron Chamberlain |
MIN |
TE |
6 |
335 |
12 |
80 |
-255 |
184 |
Mike Alstott |
TBB |
RB |
33 |
435 |
42 |
170 |
-265 |
185 |
Ahman Green |
GBP |
RB |
2 |
1750 |
6 |
1480 |
-270 |
186 |
Garrison Hearst |
SFO |
RB |
17 |
970 |
25 |
700 |
-270 |
187 |
Jake Plummer |
ARI |
QB |
16 |
475 |
23 |
200 |
-275 |
188 |
Jacquez Green |
WAS |
WR |
44 |
290 |
unranked |
1 |
-289 |
189 |
Derrick Mason |
TEN |
WR |
13 |
945 |
25 |
655 |
-290 |
190 |
Corey Dillon |
CIN |
RB |
8 |
1360 |
15 |
1065 |
-295 |
191 |
Peter Warrick |
CIN |
WR |
40 |
350 |
69 |
55 |
-295 |
192 |
Travis Taylor |
BAL |
WR |
38 |
385 |
64 |
80 |
-305 |
193 |
Trung Canidate |
STL |
RB |
37 |
315 |
58 |
1 |
-314 |
194 |
Johnnie Morton |
KCC |
WR |
20 |
780 |
34 |
465 |
-315 |
195 |
Shaun Alexander |
SEA |
RB |
3 |
1680 |
8 |
1360 |
-320 |
196 |
Isaac Bruce |
STL |
WR |
9 |
1090 |
21 |
755 |
-335 |
197 |
Marcus Robinson |
CHI |
WR |
37 |
405 |
72 |
40 |
-365 |
198 |
Curtis Martin |
NYJ |
RB |
7 |
1420 |
16 |
1025 |
-395 |
199 |
Jeff Garcia |
SFO |
QB |
2 |
1420 |
8 |
970 |
-450 |
200 |
Terry Glenn |
GBP |
WR |
16 |
875 |
37 |
405 |
-470 |
201 |
Michael Bennett |
MIN |
RB |
18 |
940 |
32 |
465 |
-475 |
202 |
William Green |
CLE |
RB |
24 |
735 |
39 |
255 |
-480 |
203 |
Keyshawn Johnson |
TBB |
WR |
8 |
1120 |
27 |
606 |
-514 |
204 |
Jerome Bettis |
PIT |
RB |
16 |
1025 |
31 |
495 |
-530 |
205 |
Kordell Stewart |
PIT |
QB |
12 |
695 |
27 |
119 |
-576 |
206 |
Kurt Warner |
STL |
QB |
1 |
1500 |
26 |
134 |
-1366 |
|