|
Monday,
June 30th / 2002
WR Troy Brown, New
England Patriots
Height: 5-10
Weight: 193
Born: July 2, 1971, Barnwell, SC
College: Marshall
Career
Statistics:
|
RECEIVING |
RUSHING |
| YEAR |
TEAM |
G |
GS |
REC |
YDS |
AVG |
LNG |
TD |
ATT |
YDS |
AVG |
LNG |
TD |
| 1993 |
NE |
12 |
0 |
2 |
22 |
11.0 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.0 |
0 |
0 |
| 1994 |
NE |
9 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.0 |
0 |
0 |
| 1995 |
NE |
16 |
0 |
14 |
159 |
11.4 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.0 |
0 |
0 |
| 1996 |
NE |
16 |
0 |
21 |
222 |
10.6 |
38 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.0 |
0 |
0 |
| 1997 |
NE |
16 |
6 |
41 |
607 |
14.8 |
67 |
6 |
1 |
-18 |
-18.0 |
-18 |
0 |
| 1998 |
NE |
10 |
0 |
23 |
346 |
15.0 |
52 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0.0 |
0 |
0 |
| 1999 |
NE |
13 |
1 |
36 |
471 |
13.1 |
37 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0.0 |
0 |
0 |
| 2000 |
NE |
16 |
15 |
83 |
944 |
11.4 |
44 |
4 |
6 |
46 |
7.7 |
35 |
0 |
| 2001 |
NE |
16 |
12 |
101 |
1199 |
11.9 |
60 |
5 |
11 |
91 |
8.3 |
31 |
0 |
| Total |
115 |
34 |
321 |
3970 |
12.4 |
67 |
17 |
18 |
119 |
6.6 |
35 |
0 |
Chris Smith’s Thoughts:
Troy Brown is a very solid NFL
receiver. After doing very little during his first seven
NFL seasons, he has become the Patriots first option in the
passing attack. The past two seasons have seen him catch
184 passes for 2143 yards and 9 touchdowns. While those
are solid numbers, they are not that exciting in terms of
fantasy value. He only averages 11.6 yards every time he
catches a pass and his touchdown to reception ratio of 1
touchdown every 20.4 receptions doesn't excite anyone.
The Patriots shocked the football
community in 2001 by upsetting all comers on their way to a
surprise Super Bowl win. The entire team played about as
well as they could and their is bound to be a Super Bowl letdown
much like what the Ravens went through last season. At the
helm for the Patriots is Tom Brady, who is probably not as good
as his numbers last year would indicate. The Patriots had
a fifth place schedule last year and teams began to catch on to
Brady as the season wound to a close. He is a solid
quarterback but he won't put up huge passing numbers and that
will not help Troy Brown have a stronger season than he did a
year ago.
Brown is now 32 years old.
He is getting to the point where his production could begin to
falter due to his age. I simply do not see him catching
enough touchdowns or breaking enough tackles to be a top twenty
fantasy receiver. If you are in a league that rewards
points per each reception, his value jumps up but otherwise
expect Brown to be a solid # 3 option for a fantasy football
team and not much more. I would not draft him until at
least round nine of a fantasy draft.
90 receptions for 1070 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns good for
131 fantasy points.
5 of the posts from the
P.O.D. Thread in the forum:
(make sure you click on the link that takes
you to the thread. There are many fantastic thoughts that
I wasn't able to fit into this article).
Woodrow
Footballguy
Member # 1058
|
posted June 28, 2002
03:43 PM 
P.O.D. - Friday, June 28th: WR Troy
Brown, Patriots
Troy Brown is the feel good story of
2001. Journeyman WR continues to persevere, and in his
9th season, takes over the reigns as the number one
receiver by default, catches passes from a backup QB who
wasn't good enough to start full time in college...AND
WINS THE SUPER BOWL AND HAS A CAREER YEAR.
Truly remarkable...but Troy screams of
high risk and is on the top of my AVOID list this
season.
Here are my problems with drafting him
this year:
**** He's a possession receiver --
Last year, thanks to Terry Glenn being a nutjob, Troy
was the "go to" receiver but that was good for
a paltry 11.9 yards per catch. I don't see a veteran
heading into his 10th season materially improving on
that average.
**** His breakout season was in year 9
-- Credit Bill Belicheck for not being afraid to rely on
Brown, but there are few cases in NFL history where a
player has his first 1,000 yard season after he's 30 and
follows that up with similar production
**** Belicheck wants to emphasize the
tight end. The tight end position only contributed 19
catches last season, but Belicheck made that a priority
in the offseason. He drafted highly touted Daniel Graham
and signed Christian Fauria and Cam Cleeland; both
capable receivers.
**** Donald Hayes was brought in to
contribute, as well.
**** Brown caught 33% of New England's
passes, one of the highest percentages in the NFL. With
the receiving options increasing, I don't see Brown
getting a higher percentage, do you?
**** New England plays ball control
offense. The Pats ranked 24th in the NFL in passing
attempts and I can't see that increasing materially
given Belicheck's style.
**** New England faces a Super Bowl
champ schedule this season, PLUS, people will be gunning
for them above and beyond that. Also, the Bills and
Dolphins both look markedly improved heading into this
season.
I'm not expecting Troy to fade off
into the sunset, but I find it hard to imagine him
surpassing 1,000 yards again. Given his modest YPC,
coupled with the likelihood that he'll be targeted a bit
less this season; I see last years stats as a "best
case scenario".
2002 Projections:
80 catches
915 yards
11.4 yards per catch
5 TDs
122 Fantasy Points (26th overall)
Injury risk 2/10
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stevec
Footballguy
Member # 2788
|
posted June 28, 2002
04:21 PM
Troy Brown - WR/KR Patriots
Troy had what is his career year to
date in 2001, after having a breakout season in 2000 -
his first as a starter. The Patriots have brought in al
ot of receivng targets during the off-season, and it's
likely Brown's share of the receiving pie will drop.
Brown gives extra value in league which are willing to
reward points for WR's doing other than just catching a
pass. He gets a handful of rushing attempts a year, but
he is also the primary PR for the Pats. If you league
rewards return yardage and/or return TD's, this should
not be forgotten. Although Kevin Faulk did the bulk of
the kickoff returns for the Pats in 2001, Brown handled
most of the punt return chores, and I don't see that
changing in 2002 - if they are willing to let their #1
WR return kicks in a season they win the Super Bowl,
that says a lot.
While I expect to slip some from last
year's production, I think he's a reasonable #2 WR, who
is worth extra if you can get his return stats.
Projections:
80 catches for 950 yards & 5 TD's.
50 yards rushing, no TD's.
500 combined return yards & 1 TD.
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elshagon
Footballguy
Member # 1246
|
posted June 28, 2002
11:30 PM
I don't see why Troy Brown won't be the
"go to" guy again this year. He's proved
himself to be a tough possession receiver and will make
a good mid/late round selection which should round out a
fantasy team. Every year I see Troy Brown go later in my
drafts than he should (the same for Derrick Mason-I
always lump these two close together).
87-1075-6
--------------------
"Failing to prepare is preparing
to fail"
|
Link to the thread: Click
Here
Footballguy Projections:
|
Player
Name
|
Team
|
Rec. |
Rec. Yards
|
TD
|
Fant.
Pts.
|
|
Troy
Brown
|
NE
|
85 |
1071
|
7
|
156.0
|
Chris
Smith's Projections:
|
Player
Name
|
Team
|
Rec. |
Rec. Yards
|
TD
|
Fant.
Pts.
|
|
Troy
Brown
|
NE
|
90 |
1070 |
4 |
131 |
P.O.D.
average projections
|
Player
Name
|
Team
|
Rec. |
Rec. Yards
|
TD
|
Fant.
Pts.
|
|
Troy
Brown
|
NE
|
89 |
1099 |
6 |
145.9 |
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