Team Rankings
Rk
Team
Rk
Team
Rk
Team
Rk
Team
1
Tampa Bay
9
San Francisco
17
Tennessee
25
Carolina
2
Green Bay
10
Pittsburgh
18
Cleveland
26
Arizona
3
Denver
11
San Diego
19
NY Jets
27
Chicago
4
Oakland
12
New England
20
Jacksonville
28
Dallas
5
Atlanta
13
Indianapolis
21
Baltimore
29
Seattle
6
New Orleans
14
St. Louis
22
Buffalo
30
Detroit
7
Philadelphia
15
NY Giants
23
Washington
31
Cincinnati
8
Miami
16
Kansas City
24
Minnesota
32
Houston
Offense Rankings
Rk
Team
Rk
Team
Rk
Team
Rk
Team
1
New Orleans
9
St. Louis
17
Cleveland
25
Arizona
2
Kansas City
10
New England
18
Miami
26
Washington
3
Green Bay
11
San Francisco
19
Tampa Bay
27
Detroit
4
Oakland
12
Philadelphia
20
Jacksonville
28
Seattle
5
Denver
13
Indianapolis
21
Baltimore
29
Chicago
6
Minnesota
14
Tennessee
22
Cincinnati
30
Carolina
7
Pittsburgh
15
San Diego
23
NY Jets
31
Houston
8
Atlanta
16
Buffalo
24
NY Giants
32
Dallas
Defense Rankings
Rk
Team
Rk
Team
Rk
Team
Rk
Team
1
Tampa Bay
9
Dallas
17
Indianapolis
25
Houston
2
Miami
10
New England
18
San Diego
26
Seattle
3
NY Giants
11
San Francisco
19
Chicago
27
Buffalo
4
Carolina
12
NY Jets
20
Green Bay
28
Arizona
5
Atlanta
13
Pittsburgh
21
Washington
29
New Orleans
6
Oakland
14
St. Louis
22
Jacksonville
30
Cincinnati
7
Denver
15
Baltimore
23
Tennessee
31
Detroit
8
Philadelphia
16
Cleveland
24
Kansas City
32
Minnesota

Atlanta Falcons (-4) at Carolina Panthers

Sure Starters
Possible Starters
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
9
QB
Michael Vick
Atl
30
RB
Warrick Dunn
Atl
17
RB
Lamar Smith
Car
36
RB
TJ Duckett
Atl
19
WR
Muhsin Muhammad
Car
18
TE
Alge Crumpler
Atl
5
TE
Wesley Walls
Car
   
8
PK
Jay Feely
Atl
   

Atlanta hasn't lost since week five. At the moment, they are playing as well as any team in the league. Vick is one of the most exciting play-makers in the game. On the other end of the spectrum, we find the Carolina Panthers. After blazing to a 3-0 record, they have limped to a 3-7 mark. The return of Rodney Peete has not produced great results either (although he did have more than 46 passing yards against the Bucs). The Panthers defense will keep this fairly close, but Carolina will see their 8th straight loss.

The pick: Atlanta 21-14.

San Diego Chargers (+3) at Miami Dolphins

Sure Starters
Possible Starters
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
4
RB
LaDainian Tomlinson
SD
18
QB
Ray Lucas
Mia
7
RB
Ricky Williams
Mia
33
WR
Chris Chambers
Mia
22
WR
Curtis Conway
SD
17
TE
Stephen Alexander
SD
10
TE
Randy McMichael
Mia
   
12
Def
Miami Dolphins
Mia
   

The Chargers just might have saved their season last week with a victory over the 49ers. Of course, they got a little help from Jose Cortez, but a win is a win. They still have a murderers row coming up (Denver, Oakland, Buffalo, and Kansas City) so the playoffs are far from a sure bet. Ray Lucas' version of the Miami offense finally produced last week against the Ravens. This contest could be a bit of a snorefest as both teams will likely feature their running game. The better defense will get the win.

The pick: Miami 21-17.

Buffalo Bills (+3) at New York Jets

Sure Starters
Possible Starters
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
8
QB
Chad Pennington
NYJ
 
10
QB
Drew Bledsoe
Buf
       
5
RB
Travis Henry
Buf
       
10
RB
Curtis Martin
NYJ
       
6
WR
Eric Moulds
Buf
       
11
WR
Laveranues Coles
NYJ
       
14
WR
Peerless Price
Buf
       
11
TE
Anthony Becht
NYJ
       
11
PK
Mike Hollis
Buf
       

The Buffalo offense played the first half of the season like men possessed as they averaged a whopping 30 points per game. However, over the last two games, they've scored a total of 23. With the state of their defense, 11.5 points per game won't come close to getting the win. Meanwhile, the Jets are starting to light up scoreboards with an extremely efficient offense. Even better, after a 1-4 start, the Jets are currently sitting at .500. Expect lots of action in this contest as the AFC East standings are a bit tight (one game separates all four teams).

The pick: Jets 27-20.

Tennessee Titans (-2.5) at Baltimore Ravens

Sure Starters
Possible Starters
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
8
RB
Jamal Lewis
Bal
13
QB
Jeff Blake
Bal
9
RB
Eddie George
Ten
14
QB
Steve McNair (Q)
Ten
20
WR
Travis Taylor
Bal
   
23
WR
Derrick Mason
Ten
   
2
TE
Todd Heap
Bal
   
11
Def
Baltimore Ravens
Bal
   

Last week, I wrote that Tennessee wasn't talented enough to win five straight. That was obviously wrong as they have done exactly that. Are they talented enough to win six straight? I'm starting to believe, but they couldn't do this against quality competition. Lucky for them, their opponent's offense just isn't getting it done. Baltimore shows flashes of excellence but usually flames out quickly. Simply put, the Ravens lack enough talent to win consistently. What's amazing is they're only 1.5 games out of first in the AFC North. Expects lots of running in this one.

The pick: Tennessee 23-20.

Cincinnati Bengals (+10.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers

Sure Starters
Possible Starters
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
5
QB
Kordell Stewart
Pit
26
RB
Jerome Bettis
Pit
11
RB
Corey Dillon
Cin
       
5
WR
Hines Ward
Pit
       
21
WR
Plaxico Burress
Pit
       
24
WR
Chad Johnson
Cin
       
5
Def
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pit
       

Oh my, the Bengals. The offense is getting better, but the team is still bad. Pittsburgh is a good team, but they'll be without Tommy Maddox for what looks like a couple of weeks. They also haven't won since week nine. That will change this week as the Bengals will offer little resistance. Even Stewart will shine in this game.

The pick: Pittsburgh 31-20.

Kansas City Chiefs (-4) at Seattle Seahawks

Sure Starters
Possible Starters
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
1
RB
Priest Holmes
KC
31
WR
Eddie Kennison
KC
13
RB
Shaun Alexander
Sea
32
WR
Koren Robinson
Sea
3
TE
Tony Gonzalez
KC
   
1
PK
Morten Andersen
KC
   

Kansas City hasn't had an easy week all season. All five of their losses have been by a touchdown or less. Conversely, Seattle has been an easy week for a few teams. They've been blown out (double digit loss) five times already this year. Their three wins came against poor teams (Minnesota, Dallas, and Arizona). The Chiefs are definitely not a poor team. If you are a Holmes owner, enjoy this one as Seattle is horrible against the run. Holmes should post excellent numbers.

The pick: Kansas City 26-10.

Cleveland Browns (+6.5) at New Orleans Saints

Sure Starters
Possible Starters
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
2
QB
Aaron Brooks
NO
29
RB
Deuce McAllister (Q)
NO
12
QB
Tim Couch
Cle
26
WR
Quincy Morgan
Cle
24
RB
William Green
Cle
27
WR
Donte Stallworth
NO
4
WR
Joe Horn
NO
   
5
PK
John Carney
NO
   

Cleveland is trying to find a little consistency lately (3-1 over the last four weeks). As evidence, Green almost rushed for 100 yards last week (against the Bengals, but still). Granted, having a RB "almost" get 100 yards shouldn't be noteworthy, but this is the Cleveland ground game we're talking about. New Orleans has been one of the surprisingly successful teams this season, but they've struggled a bit lately in dropping two of their last three. The Saints will most likely be without their stud back (McAllister) this week so look for Brooks and Horn to carry the offensive load (with help from Carney).

The pick: New Orleans 30-28.

Oakland Raiders (-8.5) at Arizona Cardinals

Sure Starters
Possible Starters
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
3
QB
Rich Gannon
Oak
29
WR
Tim Brown
Oak
12
RB
Charlie Garner
Oak
       
23
RB
Marcel Shipp
Ari
       
8
WR
Jerry Rice
Oak
       
12
TE
Freddie Jones
Ari
       
9
PK
Sebastian Janikowski
Oak
       
9
Def
Oakland Raiders
Oak
       

Did I miss something? Did these Raiders really lose four straight game a few weeks ago? The last two weeks they have certainly righted their ship. Speaking of righting a ship, Arizona has hit a floating mine and all but abandoned their boat. After starting off with a 4-2 record, the Cardinals have dropped four straight. They aren't even losing close games any more (all four defeats were by 10+ points). They simply are not a good football team right now. The Raiders are a good team and will beat them senseless.

The pick: Oakland 33-14.

Detroit Lions (+5.5) at Chicago Bears

Sure Starters
Possible Starters
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
16
RB
Anthony Thomas
Chi
16
QB
Chris Chandler
Chi
22
RB
James Stewart
Det
       
13
WR
Marty Booker
Chi
       
6
TE
Mikhael Ricks
Det
       
8
TE
John Davis (Q)
Chi
       

The Lions just aren't producing much on offense. To make up for this shortcoming, they aren't stopping much on defense. That said, they own a win over these Bears (week seven). Not that beating Chicago is anything to brag about as the Bears have dropped eight consecutive. The most amazing thought here is that these teams are fighting with the Vikings for second place in the NFC North. What a strong division this is.

The pick: Chicago 26-19.

New York Giants (-6.5) at Houston Texans

Sure Starters
Possible Starters
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
6
RB
Tiki Barber
NYG
33
RB
Jonathan Wells
Hou
16
WR
Amani Toomer
NYG
35
WR
Corey Bradford
Hou
1
TE
Jeremy Shockey
NYG
   
9
TE
Billy Miller
Hou
   
6
Def
New York Giants
NYG
   

The Giants have quietly put together a little three-game win streak. The reason? The offense has picked up noticeably since Jim Fassel took over play-calling duties. Their upcoming schedule could easily push the Giants into the playoffs (especially with Donovan McNabb being out for 6-8 weeks). Houston, meanwhile, is looking like an expansion team. Barber and Shockey could help carry your team this week. The Giants defense is also a great play.

The pick: Giants 21-13.

Green Bay Packers (+3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sure Starters
Possible Starters
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
3
RB
Ahman Green
GB
17
QB
Brett Favre
GB
9
WR
Donald Driver
GB
28
RB
Michael Pittman
TB
18
WR
Keyshawn Johnson
TB
31
RB
Mike Alstott
TB
4
TE
Bubba Franks
GB
   
2
PK
Martin Gramatica
TB
   
3
PK
Ryan Longwell
GB
   
2
Def
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
TB
   
4
Def
Green Bay Packers
GB
   

The Packers missed a chance at eight straight wins last week in Minnesota. In the four games prior, this team was looking like they were the class of the league. A setback on the road (in a dome) is nothing to fret over though. Tampa Bay has picked up it's offense lately to go with what is easily the best defense in the NFL. This defense will be trying to keep Favre winless in Raymond James Stadium. This game smacks of a defensive struggle that is sprinkled with a handful of big plays. Whichever team gets the last of these game-changing plays will get the win and own the best record in the league.

The pick: Tampa Bay 23-21.

St. Louis Rams (-4.5) at Washington Redskins

Sure Starters
Possible Starters
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
7
QB
Kurt Warner
StL
25
WR
Rod Gardner
Was
14
RB
Marshall Faulk (Q)
StL
13
TE
Ernie Conwell
StL
20
RB
Stephen Davis
Was
   
12
WR
Isaac Bruce
StL
   
17
WR
Torry Holt
StL
   
3
Def
St. Louis Rams
StL
   

You know you had a rough start win your 5th straight win just gets you back to .500. That's where the Rams finally sit. The jury is still out on this team as they aren't exactly pour on the points. The jury has returned a verdict of "try again next year" on the Redskins offense. Over the last three weeks, Washington is average a shade under 13 points per game. That's not the Fun-and-Gun Steve Spurrier envisioned. It probably won't get too fun this week either with Danny Wuerffel behind center so the Rams look like a great play. Of course the big news here is Faulk being a game-time decision. It's hard to imagine him sitting out two in a row. The almost-as-big news is the return of Warner. He'll be a bit rusty, but you have to like his potential.

The pick: St. Louis 24-17.

Jacksonville Jaguars (-3) at Dallas Cowboys

Sure Starters
Possible Starters
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
7
WR
Jimmy Smith
Jac
25
RB
Fred Taylor
Jac
       
32
RB
Emmitt Smith
Dal
       
30
WR
Joey Galloway
Dal

Just when the Jaguars appeared to be completely lifeless, they have ticked off a couple of wins and evened their record at 5-5. Still, this is not a good team. They are better than Dallas right now though (which isn't saying too much). The Cowboys have scored more than 20 points exactly once this season. That's atrocious. This will be a brutal game to sit through. I'm getting sleepy just thinking about it.

The pick: Jacksonville 14-10.

Indianapolis Colts (+6.5) at Denver Broncos

Sure Starters
Possible Starters
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
4
QB
Peyton Manning
Ind
15
QB
Steve Beuerlein
Den
2
RB
Clinton Portis
Den
36
WR
Ed McCaffrey
Den
21
RB
Edgerrin James (Q)
Ind
14
TE
Dwayne Carswell
Den
1
WR
Marvin Harrison
Ind
   
15
WR
Rod Smith
Den
   
7
TE
Marcus Pollard
SF
   
4
PK
Jason Elam
Den
   
10
PK
Mike Vanderjagt
Ind
   
7
Def
Denver Broncos
Den
   
8
Def
Indianapolis Colts
Ind
   

Hello Colts' passing attack. The Manning to Harrison connection is definitely alive and well as Indianapolis has bumped their record to 6-4. The only problem keeping this offense from returning to it's old explosive self is the lack of a consistent ground game. James simply isn't playing as he did before his injury. Denver's offense has been able to crank out some quality production this season. Apart from the Manning/Harrison combo, the big play here is Portis as the Colts run defense is soft at best.

The pick: Denver 24-21.

Minnesota Vikings (+7.5) at New England Patriots

Sure Starters
Possible Starters
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
1
QB
Tom Brady
NE
35
RB
Moe Williams
Min
11
QB
Daunte Culpepper
Min
28
WR
David Patten
NE
15
RB
Michael Bennett
Min
15
TE
Christian Fauria
NE
19
RB
Antowain Smith
NE
16
TE
Byron Chamberlain
Min
3
WR
Troy Brown
NE
   
10
WR
Randy Moss
Min
   
7
PK
Adam Vinatieri
NE
   

The Vikings surprised the Packers last week but my not win another game until week 17 as they will face the likes of Atlanta, Green Bay, New Orleans, and Miami before closing with the Lions. New England dropped their "tuck rule" rematch with Oakland last week and fell to 5-5. Look for the Patriots to get back on the winning side here as Brady will pass almost at will.

The pick: New England 31-24.

Philadelphia Eagles (+7) at San Francisco 49ers

Sure Starters
Possible Starters
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
Rk
Pos
Player
Team
6
QB
Jeff Garcia
SF
27
RB
Garrison Hearst
SF
18
RB
Duce Staley
Phi
34
RB
Kevan Barlow
SF
2
WR
Terrell Owens
SF
34
WR
James Thrash
Phi
6
PK
David Akers
Phi
   
12
PK
Jeff Chandler
SF
   
1
Def
San Francisco 49ers
SF
   
10
Def
Philadelphia Eagles
Phi
   

The Eagles have been near the top of these rankings for most of the season and would continue to be highly rated if not for the loss of Donovan McNabb for the next several weeks. Koy Detmer simply doesn't possess nearly the same ability as McNabb. Very few do. He is an extraordinarily talented individual. The 49ers have to a little disappointed with their recent play (even though they are 7-3). They are getting beat in 4th quarters and haven't been able to deliver the proverbial knockout blows to their opponents.

With Donovan McNabb, this would be an extremely close contest that the Eagles would probably be able to take. Without McNabb, the defense will keep things close, but Philadelphia just doesn't have enough to overcome the 49ers.

The pick: San Francisco 21-17.

Results
Straight up
ATS
Week Ten
11-5
5-10
Season
96-63-1
73-85-1