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Goose Chase

With three weeks in the books, it's getting easier to gauge things for this year. After four weeks, it's almost time to throw last year's stats out the window-but before we do that, let's take a look at some early season surprises.

Only three running backs have totaled 400 yards so far this season. Jamal Lewis, whose 496 rushing yards is more than anyone else has rushing and receiving combined. Priest Holmes, who led the NFL in total yards the past two years, already has over 450 yards and seven scores! Ricky Williams, last year's rushing leader, ranks here due in large part to his league-leading 105 touches through three weeks. Now, the tricky question: Who's number four?

Moe Williams, running and catching to the tune of 129 yards per/game. Williams likely won't end the season as a top ten fantasy RB (he's currently ranked seventh), but will he give you enough each week to be a viable starter? Right now he is a must start in just about all leagues. Before the season started, most assumed either Michael Bennett or Onterrio Smith would be the starter for Minnesota down the stretch. However, with over 200 rushing yards the past two weeks, Williams has won the starting job for the foreseeable future. How foreseeable? Williams has feasted on the flimsy defenses of the NFC Norris-the schedule gets more difficult, with games against San Francisco, the Giants and Denver in the next month.

Is Moe the long-term answer at tailback for the Vikes? Even he knows that isn't the case: "I'm comfortable with what I do. When Michael gets back, he's the guy. I can't bust 80-yard runs like Michael. And when Onterrio is ready, he'll get his time. I'll go back to doing what I do. Being versatile has fed my family for the past eight years. I can't complain." However, if you were lucky enough to draft him and shrewd enough to start him the past two weeks, you've already gotten your money's worth from Moe Williams.

Two weeks ago we discussed how Marc Bulger would perform in Kurt Warner's absence. Well now another Rams MVP has gone down, and Lamar Gordon will take Marshall Faulk's place at RB for at least the next month. Faulk hadn't played particularly well so far, and was actually the second best Faulk in the RB rankings (Marshall is currently twenty-fifth, New England's Kevin ranking twenty-third). Can Gordon actually be more effective for the Rams than Faulk? In limited action, Gordon has played well. Subbing in for the two games Faulk missed a year ago, Gordon played well. He totaled nearly one hundred yards and a score against Chicago, and then combined for over one hundred the following week versus the Redskins. Here's what Martz said about Gordon: "I feel very good about him. I feel outstanding about him, after watching him out there. I thought he played exceptionally well. He did some things that take a certain level of awareness where he just made a play that wasn't there. I'm very, very comfortable with him at halfback." The Rams lack the quality depth they had during their reign, and are in need of a true fullback. However, I still think a RB can succeed in this offense, and I'd say Lamar Gordon is a must start in all leagues. With games against Arizona, Atlanta and Green Bay, I believe Gordon will be a very valuable player over the next month.

Did you know that Edgerrin James is second in the league in touches? James is a shell of his former self, and he no longer resembles the best player in the league. However, if he keeps touching the ball twenty-five times a game, he'll have little problem finishing in the top ten when the season is over.

Tiki Barber is tied for third in the NFL in touches, and fourth in carries. Despite not reaching the end zone so far this season, Barber is currently ranked eleventh. The TDs will come, and it looks like barring an injury, Barber's going to challenge for a top five spot.

What to make of Charlie Garner and the Raiders? Usually a RB can produce on a bad or a good team equally well, especially one that catches the ball as well as Garner. However, he had just seven yards on Monday Night. Are the Raiders done? Gannon is one of just three starting quarterbacks (Brunell and Culpepper) that has yet to throw an interception, but his yards per attempt are a full two yards below last year's pace. Many feel that the Raiders offense was deciphered by Jon Gruden and Tampa Bay in the Super Bowl, and that they are not simply "slumping." Conventional wisdom says that age is also a factor, as Rice, Gannon, Brown and Garner are all among the oldest at their positions. Super Bowl hangover? It's afflicted many teams before, as it's a crushing emotional blow to get so close and not attain the prize. However, do you remember Oakland lost four straight last year, averaging just sixteen points per game? This, despite playing two games against teams ranked in the thirties in passing yards allowed. The difference? Gannon threw for over three hundred yards in three of those games, and Garner totaled 387 yards. Will a healthy Jerry Porter revive the Raiders? At this point, I'd have a hard time advocating Gannon as a full time starter. Right now the entire Raiders offense is out of sync, and I'm not sure even a favorable upcoming schedule is enough to salvage their short-term prospects. Garner is a lousy bet to reach last year's lofty status, but he should still get a lot of catches and be a solid RB2. As for the receivers, right now none of them seem to hold a whole lot of value. It's starting to look like the Raiders will be this year's Rams, who if you remember never got over their Super Bowl last two Januarys ago.

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