With three weeks in the books, it's getting easier to gauge things for this year.
After four weeks, it's almost time to throw last year's stats out the window-but
before we do that, let's take a look at some early season surprises.
Only three running backs have totaled 400 yards so far this season. Jamal Lewis,
whose 496 rushing yards is more than anyone else has rushing and receiving combined.
Priest Holmes, who led the NFL in total yards the past two years, already has
over 450 yards and seven scores! Ricky Williams, last year's rushing leader,
ranks here due in large part to his league-leading 105 touches through three
weeks. Now, the tricky question: Who's number four?
Moe Williams, running and catching to the tune of 129 yards per/game. Williams
likely won't end the season as a top ten fantasy RB (he's currently ranked seventh),
but will he give you enough each week to be a viable starter? Right now he is
a must start in just about all leagues. Before the season started, most assumed
either Michael Bennett or Onterrio Smith would be the starter for Minnesota
down the stretch. However, with over 200 rushing yards the past two weeks, Williams
has won the starting job for the foreseeable future. How foreseeable? Williams
has feasted on the flimsy defenses of the NFC Norris-the schedule gets more
difficult, with games against San Francisco, the Giants and Denver in the next
month.
Is Moe the long-term answer at tailback for the Vikes? Even he knows that isn't
the case: "I'm comfortable with what I do. When Michael gets back, he's
the guy. I can't bust 80-yard runs like Michael. And when Onterrio is ready,
he'll get his time. I'll go back to doing what I do. Being versatile has fed
my family for the past eight years. I can't complain." However, if you
were lucky enough to draft him and shrewd enough to start him the past two weeks,
you've already gotten your money's worth from Moe Williams.
Two weeks ago we discussed how Marc Bulger would perform in Kurt Warner's absence.
Well now another Rams MVP has gone down, and Lamar Gordon will take Marshall
Faulk's place at RB for at least the next month. Faulk hadn't played particularly
well so far, and was actually the second best Faulk in the RB rankings (Marshall
is currently twenty-fifth, New England's Kevin ranking twenty-third). Can Gordon
actually be more effective for the Rams than Faulk? In limited action, Gordon
has played well. Subbing in for the two games Faulk missed a year ago, Gordon
played well. He totaled nearly one hundred yards and a score against Chicago,
and then combined for over one hundred the following week versus the Redskins.
Here's what Martz said about Gordon: "I feel very good about him. I feel
outstanding about him, after watching him out there. I thought he played exceptionally
well. He did some things that take a certain level of awareness where he just
made a play that wasn't there. I'm very, very comfortable with him at halfback."
The Rams lack the quality depth they had during their reign, and are in need
of a true fullback. However, I still think a RB can succeed in this offense,
and I'd say Lamar Gordon is a must start in all leagues. With games against
Arizona, Atlanta and Green Bay, I believe Gordon will be a very valuable player
over the next month.
Did you know that Edgerrin James is second in the league in touches? James
is a shell of his former self, and he no longer resembles the best player in
the league. However, if he keeps touching the ball twenty-five times a game,
he'll have little problem finishing in the top ten when the season is over.
Tiki Barber is tied for third in the NFL in touches, and fourth in carries.
Despite not reaching the end zone so far this season, Barber is currently ranked
eleventh. The TDs will come, and it looks like barring an injury, Barber's going
to challenge for a top five spot.
What to make of Charlie Garner and the Raiders? Usually a RB can produce on
a bad or a good team equally well, especially one that catches the ball as well
as Garner. However, he had just seven yards on Monday Night. Are the Raiders
done? Gannon is one of just three starting quarterbacks (Brunell and Culpepper)
that has yet to throw an interception, but his yards per attempt are a full
two yards below last year's pace. Many feel that the Raiders offense was deciphered
by Jon Gruden and Tampa Bay in the Super Bowl, and that they are not simply
"slumping." Conventional wisdom says that age is also a factor, as
Rice, Gannon, Brown and Garner are all among the oldest at their positions.
Super Bowl hangover? It's afflicted many teams before, as it's a crushing emotional
blow to get so close and not attain the prize. However, do you remember Oakland
lost four straight last year, averaging just sixteen points per game? This,
despite playing two games against teams ranked in the thirties in passing yards
allowed. The difference? Gannon threw for over three hundred yards in three
of those games, and Garner totaled 387 yards. Will a healthy Jerry Porter revive
the Raiders? At this point, I'd have a hard time advocating Gannon as a full
time starter. Right now the entire Raiders offense is out of sync, and I'm not
sure even a favorable upcoming schedule is enough to salvage their short-term
prospects. Garner is a lousy bet to reach last year's lofty status, but he should
still get a lot of catches and be a solid RB2. As for the receivers, right now
none of them seem to hold a whole lot of value. It's starting to look like the
Raiders will be this year's Rams, who if you remember never got over their Super
Bowl last two Januarys ago.
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