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Email Update 6/25/02 Volume 3 Issue # 11
Hello folks. Lots to discuss today so let's get to it:
IN THIS ISSUE
1. Projections
2. Expert Rankings
3. Defensive Adds/Subtracts
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Footballguys.com releases new projections
Projections for QB, RB, WR, TE, DL, DB and LB have been added/updated
on the site. Offensive summary views exist for each NFL team. These
help to validate that we have not just made up a bunch of numbers.
Our numbers add up. This is no small point. Many websites give you
projections, but what good are a set of numbers that don't add up?
If the SF QB throws for 30 TDs, how can the players only catch 23
TDs? The answer is that they can not. Unless you have not done your
projections correctly. We not only pride ourselves in our
projections, we show them off (via this team view) to see exactly
what we see.
PK and Team defense projections will be added in a few days. Then
all of this info will be the backbone of our VBD Excel App (due out
Saturday).
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Expert Rankings posted at Footballguys.com
Using 11 Footballguys and another 30 knowledgeable opinions from our
message board, we have created the ultimate average rankings.
These lists are important as they give a very accurate depiction of
where players are likely to be drafted.
The Experts (Joe Bryant, David Dodds, Bob Harris, Clayton Gray, Scott
Luebke, David Shick, Chris Smith, Mark Wimer, Chris Annunziata, Andy
Hicks, Tony Holm) ranked the following:
- Top 30 QBs
- Top 35 RBs
- Top 40 WRs
- Top 25 TEs
- Top 25 PKs
- Top 25 Defenses
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And now something a little different. Clayton Gray has assembled
this excellent list of defensive adds/subtracts.
Arizona Cardinals
Defensive Players Added
DE-Thomas Burke-1 yr (resigned)
LB-Michael Young (resigned)
CB-Coby Rhinehart-1 yr (resigned)
CB-Duane Starks (former Raven) - Starks is easily the best corner in
Arizona, but how much action will he see? It's hard for an IDP to
score fantasy points when the ball is going away from you.
FS-Kwamie Lassiter-1 yr (resigned)
S-Justin Lucas (resigned)
Defensive Players Lost
DE-Jabari Issa (signed by Texans)
CB-Tommy Knight (signed by Patriots)
CB-Corey Chavous (signed by Vikings)
Atlanta Falcons
Defensive Players Added
DT-Ed Jasper (resigned)
DT-Ron Moore-1 yr (resigned)
DT-Maa Tanuvasa (former Charger)
LB-Chris Draft-1 yr (resigned)
LB-John Holecek (former Charger)
LB-John Thierry (former Packer)
CB-Fred Weary (former Saint)
FS-Keion Carpenter (former Bill)
S-Corey Hall-1 yr (resigned)
S-Keith Lyle (former Redskin) - Lyle is slated to replace Ronnie
Bradford as the starting free safety.
Defensive Players Lost
DE-Chuck Wiley (signed by Vikings)
LB-Henri Crockett (signed by Vikings)
LB-Anthony Jordan (released)
FS-Ronnie Bradford (signed by Vikings)
Baltimore Ravens
Defensive Players Added
LB-Shannon Taylor-1 yr (resigned)
CB-James Trapp (resigned)
Defensive Players Lost
DE-Rob Burnett (signed by Dolphins)
DT-Sam Adams (released)
DT-Lional Dalton (signed by Broncos)
DT-Tony Siragusa (retired)
DT-Larry Webster (signed by Jets)
LB-Brad Jackson (signed by Panthers)
LB-Jamie Sharper (signed by Texans)
CB-Duane Starks (signed by Cardinals)
SS-Corey Harris (signed by Lions)
S-Rod Woodson (signed by Raiders)
Buffalo Bills
Defensive Players Added
LB-London Fletcher (former Ram) - Very much an impact player.
LB-Fred Jones-1 yr (resigned)
LB-Eddie Robinson (former Titan)
CB-Chris Watson (resigned)
S-Billy Jenkins (former Packer) - Showed promise in St Louis.
Looking for a fresh start. May surprise.
Defensive Players Lost
LB-Sam Cowart (signed by Jets)
LB-Jay Foreman (signed by Texans)
CB-Ken Irvin (signed by Saints)
FS-Ken Carpenter (signed by Falcons)
S-Raion Hill (released)
Carolina Panthers
Defensive Players Added
DE-Fernando Smith-1 yr - At one time, Smith was a quality pass-rusher
after a 9.5 sack season in 1996. However, he totaled 8 sacks in the
following four seasons and was out of football all together last
year. It's doubtful he'll regain his 1996 form.
DT-Shane Burton (former Jet)
LB-Brian Allen (claimed from Texans)
LB-Mark Fields (former Ram) - Fields will be the starting WLB.
LB-Brad Jackson (former Raven)
LB-Kory Minor-1 yr (resigned)
LB-Hannibal Navies (resigned)
CB-Terry Cousin (former Dolphin)
CB-DeRon Jenkins (former Titan) - Cousin and Jenkins will start in
place of Doug Evans and Jimmy Hitchcock who were both released this
past offseason.
SS-Damien Richardson (resigned)
Defensive Players Lost
DE-Jason Peter (released)
DT-Larry Chester (signed by Dolphins)
DT-Cedric Killings (signed by Vikings)
LB-Dean Wells (released)
CB-Doug Evans (signed by Seahawks)
CB-Jimmy Hitchcock (released)
Chicago Bears
Defensive Players Added
DE-Keith McKenzie-2 yrs (former Brown)
DL-Jason Wiltz (former Jet)
LB-Mike Caldwell (former Eagle)
LB-Warrick Holdman (resigned) - Second fiddle to Brian Urlacher.
CB-RW McQuarters (resigned) - Chicago's top corner.
DB-Floyd Young (resigned)
S-Damon Moore-2 yrs (former Eagle) - Moore tore his ACL in the NFC
Championship game against the Rams. The Eagles said he won't be
ready to play this year and didn't offer him a contract. Moore said
he's on schedule to return. If he's correct, he will be a quality
backup for the Bears and has some potential in the future.
Defensive Players Lost
DE-Carl Powell (signed by Redskins)
LB-Greg Jones (signed by Texans)
CB-Walt Harris (signed by Colts)
S-Tony Parrish (signed by 49ers)
Cincinnati Bengals
Defensive Players Added
DE-Eric Ogbogu (former Jet)
DE-Reinard Wilson (resigned)
DL-Pernell Davis-2 yrs (NFL Europe)
CB-Artrell Hawkins (resigned)
S-JoJaun Armour (resigned)
S-Cory Hall (resigned)
Defensive Players Lost
SS-Chris Carter (signed by Texans)
S-Darryl Williams (released)
Cleveland Browns
Defensive Players Added
DE-Kenard Lang (former Redskin) - Improves Cleveland's defensive line.
DT-Mark Smith (resigned)
DT-Marcus Spriggs
LB-Anthony Denman (resigned)
LB-Earl Holmes (former Steeler) - Joins Jamir Miller and Dwayne Rudd
to form an excellent trio of LBs.
CB-Daylon McCutcheon (resigned)
CB-Emmanuel McDaniel (former Giant)
S-Robert Griffith (former Viking) - Big upgrade for the Browns
secondary.
DB-Chris Akins (resigned)
Defensive Players Lost
DE-Keith McKenzie (signed by Bears)
DE-Greg Spires (signed by Buccaneers)
Dallas Cowboys
Defensive Players Added
DT-La'Roi Glover (former Saint) - Glover is one of the top pass
rushing DTs in the league. He instantly upgrades the Dallas defense.
DT-Michael Myers (resigned) - Is anyone that grew up in the '80s not
scared of this name?
DT-Brandon Noble (resigned)
LB-Kevin Hardy (former Jaguar) - Hardy has more name recognition than
he's worth fantasy wise. He'll start, but he probably won't be any
better than the 3rd Dallas line backer.
LB-Dat Nguyen (resigned) - Well healthy, Nguyen is a quality MLB.
CB-Duane Hawthorne (resigned)
CB-Bryant Westbrook (former Lion)
Defensive Players Lost
FS-George Teague (released)
S-Izell Reese (signed by Broncos)
Denver Broncos
Defensive Players Added
DL-Lional Dalton (former Raven)
LB-Terry Killens (former 49er)
LB-Donnie Spragan (resigned)
S-Darius Clark (resigned)
S-Izell Reese (former Cowboy)
Defensive Players Lost
DT-Leon Lett (released)
LB-Bill Romanowski (signed by Raiders)
Detroit Lions
Defensive Players Added
DE-Jared DeVries (resigned)
DE-James Hall (resigned)
DE-Anthony Herron-1 yr (resigned)
DT-Travis Kirschke (resigned)
DT-Kelvin Pritchett (resigned)
LB-Jeff Gooch (resigned)
LB-Clint Kriewaldt (resigned)
LB-Brian Williams-1 yr (resigned)
SS-Corey Harris (former Raven) - Harris will start at SS for Detroit.
S-Lamar Campbell (resigned)
S-Bracey Walker (former Chief)
FS-Brian Walker (former Dolphin)
Walker will start at FS for the Lions.
Defensive Players Lost
DE-Tracy Scroggins (released)
LB-Allen Aldridge (signed by Texans)
LB-Stephen Boyd (retired)
LB-Khari Samuel (signed by Texans)
CB-Bryant Westbrook (signed by Cowboys)
FS-Kurt Schulz (released)
S-Tommy Bennett (released)
S-Ron Rice (released)
Green Bay Packers
Defensive Players Added
DE-Joe Johnson (former Saint) - Johnson is a great addition to the
Packers defense. He'll start and could dominate.
DT-Rod Walker (resigned)
LB-Rob Holmberg (resigned)
LB-Hardy Nickerson (former Jaguar) - Nickerson got caught in the
salary cap squeeze in Jacksonville. He'll start at MLB and score
many fantasy points.
CB-Mike McKenzie (extended contract)
Defensive Players Lost
DE-John Thierry (signed by Falcons)
DT-Santana Dotson (signed by Redskins)
LB-Bernardo Harris (released)
S-Billy Jenkins (signed by Bills)
DB-Allen Rossum (signed by Falcons)
Houston Texans
Defensive Players Added
DE-Uhuru Hamiter
DT-Jerry DeLoach (former Redskin)
LB-Allen Aldridge (former Lion)
LB-Jay Foreman (former Bill)
LB-Greg Jones (former Bear)
LB-Jeff Posey (former Jaguar)
LB-Khari Samuel (former Lion)
LB-Jamie Sharper (former Raven) - It still amazes me that Sharper was
available in the expansion draft. I understand the reasons, but it
is still amazing.
LB-Kailee Wong (former Viking)
CB-Jacoby Shepherd (former Ram)
CB-Jason Simmons (former Steeler)
S-Hakim Akbar (former Patriot)
S-Matt Stevens (former Patriot)
DB-Chris Carter (former Bengal)
Defensive Players Lost
LB-Brian Allen (signed by Panthers)
LB-Robert Jones (released)
Indianapolis Colts
Defensive Players Added
DT-James Cannida (former Buccaneer)
DT-Chukie Nwokorie-1 yr (resigned)
LB-Greg Favors (former Titan)
LB-Donnel Thompson-1 yr (resigned)
LB-Sam Sword-1 yr (resigned) - Reminds me of a skit on either SNL or
MAD TV where they are playing Celebrity Jeopardy. The category is S-
Words, and Burt Reynolds asks for "Swords for 100 please Alex".
Where else but FootballGuys can you get commentary like this?
CB-Walt Harris (former Bear)
Defensive Players Lost
DT-Christian Peter (released)
DT-Mike Wells (released)
LB-Ryan Phillips (signed by Patriots)
CB-Jeff Burris (signed by Bengals)
S-Chad Cota (released)
Jacksonville Jaguars
Defensive Players Added
DE-Marco Coleman (former Redskin) - After being released by
Washington, Coleman drew interest from several teams. He will line
up opposite Tony Brackens, and the two will form an impressive duo.
DT-Paul Spicer-1 yr (resigned)
CB-Ike Charlton (trade from Seattle)
Defensive Players Lost
DE-Renaldo Wynn (signed by Redskins)
DT-Seth Payne (signed by Texans)
DT-Gary Walker (signed by Texans)
LB-Kevin Hardy (signed by Cowboys)
LB-Hardy Nickerson (signed by Packers)
LB-Jeff Posey (signed by Texans)
CB-Aaron Beasley (signed by Jets)
Kansas City Chiefs
Defensive Players Added
DT-Derrick Ransom (resigned)
LB-Glenn Cadrez (resigned)
LB-Mike Maslowski (resigned)
LB-Marvcus Patton (resigned) - With Donnie Edwards gone, Patton's
tackle numbers should increase.
CB-Brandon Godsey (NFL Europe)
Defensive Players Lost
DE-Tyrone Williams (released)
LB-Donnie Edwards (signed by Chargers)
S-Bracey Walker (signed by Lions)
Miami Dolphins
Defensive Players Added
DE-Rob Burnett-2 yrs (former Raven) - Burnett has recorded double
digit sack totals twice in his career. However, don't look for those
lofty numbers here as Miami signed him to fill the role of a backup.
DE-Adewale Ogunleye (resigned)
DT-Tim Bowens (resigned)
DT-Larry Chester (former Panther)
LB-Scott Galyon (resigned) - I always want to type "Gaylon" for his
last name.
FS-Brock Marion (resigned)
S-Scott McGarrahan (resigned)
S-Shawn Wooden (resigned)
Defensive Players Lost
DE-Lorenzo Bromell (signed by Vikings)
DE-Kenny Mixon (signed by Vikings)
DT-Damian Gregory (released)
CB-Terry Cousin (signed by Panthers)
S-Brian Walker (signed by Lions)
Minnesota Vikings
Defensive Players Added
DE-Lorenzo Bromell (former Dolphin)
DE-Lance Johnstone (resigned)
DE-Kenny Mixon (former Dolphin)
DE-Chuck Wiley (former Falcon)
DT-Darius Holland (former Brown) - Isn't it great to be able to
say "former Brown" again?
DT-Cedric Killings (former Panther)
LB-Henry Crockett (former Falcon) - Crockett should be the top
scoring LB in Minnesota this season.
CB-Corey Chavous (former Cardinal)
CB-Kenny Wright (resigned)
S-Ronnie Bradford (former Falcon)
Defensive Players Lost
DE-Michael Boireau (released)
DE-John Burrough (signed by Rams)
DE-Stalin Colinet (released)
LB-Ed McDaniel (released)
LB-Kailee Wong (signed by Texans)
LB-Fearon Wright (signed by Texans)
CB-Dale Carter (signed by Saints)
S-Orlando Thomas (released)
S-Robert Griffith (signed by Browns)
S-Don Morgan (released)
New England Patriots
Defensive Players Added
DE-Rick Lyle (former Jet)
DE-Willie McGinest (resigned)
DT-Steve Martin (former Jet) - He's a wild and crazy guy!
LB-Kole Ayi (resigned)
LB-Marty Moore
Moore excels on special teams.
LB-Roman Phifer (resigned) - The 12th year veteran Phifer is slated
to start alongside Tedy Bruschi and Mike Vrabel.
LB-Ratcliff Thomas
LB-Ryan Phillips (former Colt)
LB-Ted Johnson (resigned)
LB-Tedy Bruschi (resigned)
CB-Tom Knight (former Cardinal)
DB-Daryl Porter (former Titan)
S-Chris Hayes (former Jet)
Defensive Players Lost
DT-Brandon Mitchell (signed by Seahawks)
LB-Bryan Cox (signed by Saints)
LB-Andy Katzenmoyer (released)
LB-Marty Moore (released)
CB-Terrance Shaw (signed by Raiders)
S-Hakim Akbar (signed by Texans)
S-Matt Stevens (signed by Texans)
New Orleans Saints
Defensive Players Added
DE-Willie Whitehead (resigned)
DT-Martin Chase (resigned) - Wouldn't Chase Martin be more
appropriate?
DT-Grady Jackson (former Raider) - A very big run-stopping DT.
LB-Bryan Cox (former Patriot) - For some reason, I think Cox could be
a key signing. He won't make much impact on the field, but he's the
type of player that will not let those around him quit. With Cox
around, the Saints are much less likely to repeat last year's season-
ending nose dive.
CB-Dale Carter (former Viking) - Carter used to be very, very good,
but now he simply plays at a lower level.
CB-Ken Irvin (former Bill)
CB-Jerry Wilson (resigned)
Defensive Players Lost
DE-Joe Johnson (signed by Packers)
DT-La'Roi Glover (signed by Cowboys)
LB-Keith Mitchell (released)
CB-Steve Israel (released)
New York Giants
Defensive Players Added
S-Shaun Williams (resigned)
Defensive Players Lost
LB-Jessie Armstead (signed by Redskins)
LB-Jack Golden (released)
CB-Emmanuel McDaniel (signed by Browns)
CB-Dave Thomas (released)
S-Sam Garnes (signed by Jets)
New York Jets
Defensive Players Added
DL-Larry Webster (former Raven)
LB-Sam Cowart (former Bill) - Awesome when healthy, but he just
doesn't stay healthy.
LB-Marvin Jones (resigned)
Most consistent fantasy LB for Jets.
LB-Kelvin Moses (resigned)
LB-Tony Scott (resigned)
CB-Donnie Abraham (former Buccaneer)
CB-Aaron Beasley (former Jaguar) - Abraham and Beasley should easily
step in for the departed Aaron Glenn and Marcus Coleman.
S-Nick Ferguson (resigned)
S-Sam Garnes (former Giant)
Defensive Players Lost
DE-Rick Lyle (signed by Patriots)
DE-Eric Ogbogu (signed by Bengals)
DT-Shane Burton (signed by Panthers)
DT-Steve Martin (signed by Patriots)
LB-James Farrior (signed by Steelers)
CB-Marcus Coleman (signed by Texans)
CB-Aaron Glenn (signed by Texans)
CB-Tony Scott (released)
S-Victor Green (released)
FS-Chris Hayes (signed by Patriots)
Oakland Raiders
Defensive Players Added
DT-John Parrella (former Charger)
DL-Mike Mohring (former Charger)
LB-Gerald Dixon (former Charger)
LB-Mike Jones (former Steeler)
LB-Bill Romanowski (former Bronco)
S-Rod Woodson-6 yrs (former Raven) - It's a lock that Woodson won't
finish out that 6 year deal as he is quite near the end of an
excellent career. However, he still has the potential to put
together a quality season.
DB-Johnnie Harris (resigned)
Defensive Players Lost
DT-Grady Jackson (signed by Saints)
LB-Elijah Alexander (released)
LB-William Thomas (retired)
CB-Eric Allen (retired)
S-Marquez Pope (released)
Philadelphia Eagles
Defensive Players Added
LB-Shawn Barber (former Redskin)
Will start on the outside.
S-Blaine Bishop (former Titan) - Bishop missed most of the 2001
season and is still hobbled. If healthy, he's a very good safety and
can probably be had for next to nothing. If not healthy, he's a
waste of roster space as the rookie Michael Lewis could surpass him.
S-Rashard Cook-1 yr (resigned)
Defensive Players Lost
DE-Uhuru Hamiter (signed by Texans)
LB-Mike Caldwell (signed by Bears)
LB-Jeremiah Trotter (signed by Redskins)
SS-Damon Moore (signed by Bears)
Pittsburgh Steelers
Defensive Players Added
DE-Kimo von Oelhoffen-4 yr (extension)
LB-James Farrior (former Jet) - On a team loaded with quality fantasy
LBs, Farrior should be the best of the lot.
LB-John Fiala (resigned)
LB-Jason Gildon (resigned)
LB-Joey Porter-1 yr (resigned)
CB-DeShea Townsend (resigned)
Defensive Players Lost
LB-Earl Holmes (signed by Browns)
LB-Mike Jones (signed by Raiders)
CB-Jason Simmons (signed by Texans)
San Diego Chargers
Defensive Players Added
DE-Antonio Dingle (resigned)
DT-Jason Fisk (former Titan)
LB-Donnie Edwards (former Chief) - Edwards is the best LB in San
Diego. He will easily be a better fantasy pick than long-time
Charger Junior Seau.
LB-Donny Green -1 yr - Can you imagine being only the 2nd best Don on
your team? Green better hope they don't sign Don Davis or Donald
Hayes or Donald Driver or Donnie Abraham.
LB-Deon Humphrey (resigned)
LB-Orlando Ruff (resigned)
S-Jason Perry (resigned)
Defensive Players Lost
DE-Maa Tanuvasa (signed by Falcons)
DT-John Parrella (signed by Raiders)
DL-Mike Mohring (signed by Raiders)
LB-Gerald Dixon (signed by Raiders
LB-John Holecek (signed by Falcons)
LB-Sam Rogers (released)
San Francisco 49ers
Defensive Players Added
DT-Jim Flanigan-2 yrs (former Packer)
DL-Sean Moran (former Ram)
FS-Zack Bronson (resigned)
SS-Tony Parrish (former Bear) - One of the best fantasy DBs around.
He'll be a stud again this season.
Defensive Players Lost
LB-Terry Killens (signed by Broncos)
SS-Lance Schulters (signed by Titans)
Seattle Seahawks
Defensive Players Added
DT-Antonio Cochran (resigned)
DT-Brandon Mitchell (former Patriot)
LB-Tim Terry (resigned)
CB-Doug Evans (former Panther)
CB-Pau Miranda (resigned)
FS-Maurice Kelly (resigned)
Defensive Players Lost
DE-Michael Sinclair (released)
CB-Ike Charlton (traded to Jaguars)
St Louis Rams
Defensive Players Added
DE-John Burrough (former Viking)
DE-Leonard Little (resigned)
DT-Jeff Zgonina (resigned)
LB-Jamie Duncan (former Buccaneer) - New MLB replaces London
Fletcher. He could be a steal, but then again he could be surpassed
by Tommy Polley.
Defensive Players Lost
DL-Sean Moran (signed by 49ers)
LB-Brian Allen (signed by Panthers)
LB-Mark Fields (signed by Panthers)
LB-London Fletcher (signed by Bills)
CB-Jacoby Shepherd (signed by Texans)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Defensive Players Added
DE-Greg Spires (former Brown)
LB-Jack Golden (former Giant)
CB-Brian Kelly (resigned)
S-Dexter Jackson (resigned)
Defensive Players Lost
DE-Steve White (signed by Jets)
DT-James Cannida (signed by Colts)
LB-Jamie Duncan (signed by Rams)
LB-Jeff Gooch (signed by Lions)
CB-Donnie Abraham (signed by Jets)
S-Eric Vance (released)
Tennessee Titans
Defensive Players Added
DT-Joe Salave'a-1 yr (resigned)
DT-John Thornton (resigned)
CB-Dainon Sidney (resigned)
SS-Lance Schulters (former 49er) - Great player fills a huge void for
Tennessee. Schulters should be an excellent fantasy DB.
Defensive Players Lost
DT-Jason Fisk (signed by Chargers)
LB-Greg Favors (signed by Colts)
LB-Eddie Robinson (signed by Bills)
CB-Michael Booker (released)
CB-DeRon Jenkins (signed by Panthers)
S-Blaine Bishop (signed by Eagles)
S-Daryl Porter (signed by Patriots)
Washington Redskins
Defensive Players Added
DE-Carl Powell (former Bear)
DE-Renaldo Wynn (former Jaguar)
DT-Santana Dotson-1 yr (former Packer) - Although he'll start for
Washington, Dotson will not be much of a factor fantasy-wise.
LB-Jeremiah Trotter (former Eagle)
LB-Jessie Armstead (former Giant) - Will start, but his production
will not match his name recognition.
LB-Eddie Mason (resigned)
DB-Kato Serwanga (resigned)
Defensive Players Lost
DE-Marco Coleman (signed by Jaguars)
DE-Kenard Lang (signed by Browns)
DT-Jerry DeLoach (signed by Texans)
LB-Shawn Barber (signed by Eagles)
LB-Robert Jones (released)
CB-Donovan Greer (released)
S-Keith Lyle (signed by Falcons)
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Thanks guys. That will do it for today,
David Dodds
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