Using Strength of Schedule - The Backup Quarterback
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Posted 8/22 by Clayton Gray - Exclusive to Footballguys.com
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Using Strength of Schedule - The Backup Quarterback
Many of you use an early draft pick on a top QB (let's call them 'Stellar QBs')
such as one of the following:
- Daunte Culpepper
- Donovan McNabb
- Peyton Manning
- Rich Gannon
- Aaron Brooks
- Brett Favre
- Steve McNair
- Trent Green
- Kurt Warner
- Jeff Garcia
When you have a Stellar QB, you should generally expect to start him every
week (except during his bye week) and likely will not spend another draft pick
on this position until the 10th round or later. QBs that will generally be available
in round ten or later includes the following:
- David Carr
- Drew Brees
- Jay Fiedler
- Jeff Blake
- Joey Harrington
- Jon Kitna
- Kelly Holcomb
- Kordell Stewart
- Mark Brunell
- Patrick Ramsey
The problem is what QB to select for use during your Stellar QB's bye week.
The table below show the five or six QBs with the most favorable opponent for
each Stellar QB.
- A brief explanation of the table:
- Schedule values were found here.
- The possible backups are ranked in order starting with the easiest SOS
For example, in week six, Kordell Stewart's opponent is expected
to allow 23.2 fantasy points to QBs, David Carr's opponent is expected
to allow 20.5 fantasy points to QBs, and so on.
If you are able to secure a what you consider to be a Stellar QB, this table
will help you target quality backups. If you grab a couple of them in your draft,
you should be secure for the season.
Stellar
QB |
Bye Week
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Daunte Culpepper |
Six
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Possible
Backup QBs |
Wk 6 SOS
|
Kordell Stewart |
23.2
|
David Carr |
20.5
|
Jay Fiedler |
19.4
|
Kelly Holcomb |
18.2
|
Mark Brunell |
16.1
|
Stellar
QB |
Bye Week
|
Donovan McNabb |
Three
|
Possible
Backup QBs |
Wk 6 SOS
|
Joey Harrington |
22.5
|
David Carr |
21.7
|
Jay Fiedler |
19.2
|
Kelly Holcomb |
18.8
|
Jeff Blake |
18.7
|
Patrick Ramsey |
18.5
|
Stellar
QB |
Bye Week
|
Peyton Manning |
Seven
|
Possible
Backup QBs |
Wk 6 SOS
|
Kelly Holcomb |
21.0
|
Patrick Ramsey |
19.2
|
Jay Fiedler |
17.4
|
Kordell Stewart |
17.1
|
Joey Harrington |
16.6
|
Stellar
QB |
Bye Week
|
Rich Gannon |
Eight
|
Possible
Backup QBs |
Wk 6 SOS
|
Kordell Stewart |
21.9
|
Jay Fiedler |
21.0
|
Mark Brunell |
20.5
|
Joey Harrington |
19.8
|
Jeff Blake |
18.8
|
Stellar
QB |
Bye Week
|
Aaron Brooks |
Ten
|
Possible
Backup QBs |
Wk 6 SOS
|
Drew Brees |
22.5
|
Kordell Stewart |
21.9
|
Kelly Holcomb |
21.7
|
Jay Fiedler |
20.5
|
Joey Harrington |
19.8
|
David Carr |
19.6
|
Stellar
QB |
Bye Week
|
Brett Favre |
Eight
|
Possible
Backup QBs |
Wk 6 SOS
|
Kordell Stewart |
21.9
|
Jay Fiedler |
21.0
|
Mark Brunell |
20.5
|
Joey Harrington |
19.8
|
Jeff Blake |
18.8
|
Stellar
QB |
Bye Week
|
Steve McNair |
Nine
|
Possible
Backup QBs |
Wk 6 SOS
|
Kordell Stewart |
21.0
|
Drew Brees |
19.8
|
Jeff Blake |
19.6
|
Jon Kitna |
18.7
|
Joey Harrington |
18.2
|
Stellar
QB |
Bye Week
|
Trent Green |
Nine
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Possible
Backup QBs |
Wk 6 SOS
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Kordell Stewart |
21.0
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Drew Brees |
19.8
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Jeff Blake |
19.6
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Jon Kitna |
18.7
|
Joey Harrington |
18.2
|
Stellar
QB |
Bye Week
|
Kurt Warner |
Five
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Possible
Backup QBs |
Wk 6 SOS
|
Mark Brunell |
21.0
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Drew Brees |
19.4
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Jon Kitna |
19.2
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Joey Harrington |
18.8
|
Jay Fiedler |
18.5
|
Kordell Stewart |
18.2
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Stellar
QB |
Bye Week
|
Jeff Garcia |
Ten
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Possible
Backup QBs |
Wk 6 SOS
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Drew Brees |
22.5
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Kordell Stewart |
21.9
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Kelly Holcomb |
21.7
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Jay Fiedler |
20.5
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Joey Harrington |
19.8
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David Carr |
19.6
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