Hi Folks,
Here's our look at the Passing Matchups for this week.
PLEASE NOTE: This does NOT replace the Cheatsheet ranking. The Cheatsheet rankings
are the final say on where we see a player for that week. The Matchup Breakdowns
are simply one more tool in the box when it comes to helping choose your lineup.
Also note, just because a player has a "bad" matchup, it does NOT mean
he's not a starter in your league. If Peyton Manning is playing the toughest pass
defense in the league, that just means he's got a tough matchup that week. He's
also your starter unless you're loaded at QB. In the same way, if the worst QB
on your roster has a "great" matchup that week, it doesn't necessarily
mean he's your starter. It means we think he'll fare better than normal that week.
Bottom line is that the cheatsheets are the final say.
Let's jump to it.
Joe
Seattle's Passing Attack vs. The Arizona Defense (Great
Matchup)
Matt Hasselbeck couldn't get the job done in the Edward Jones Dome last week,
tossing a respectable 21/37 for 246 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception in the close
loss. He's been in neutral for the past few weeks, managing 64/106 for 792 yards,
4 TDs and 4 interceptions in 3 games (14th fantasy QB in that span). As usual,
Darrell Jackson (29 targets for 19/277/3) and Koren Robinson (28 targets for
15/201/0) are his plan A and B, with TE Itula Mili accounting for 12 passes
(7/74/1). Jackson is the 4th best fantasy WR in FP per game during that 3 week
span - he's been red-hot, at least.
Arizona limited Jake Delhomme to 20/32 for 236 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception
last week, in the wake of their 19/28 for 252 yards, 4 TD and 0 interception
bombing by Jeff Garcia two weeks ago. The Cardinals are 30th in the league allowing
an average of 229.8 passing yards per game, and next-to-last in TDs allowed
this season, with 26. They are next-to-last in sacking, with 18, and have only
10 interceptions all season. Can you say "bottom of the barrel"?
S Justin Lucas (ankle) is out for the Cardinals. The Seahawks enjoy good health
on their squad.
The forecast for Seahawks' Stadium calls for a high of 49F and a low of 38F
with a 10% chance for precipitation. A nice, cool day is on tap up in the Pacific
Northwest.
The last time these teams met, in week 2, Matt Hasselbeck hit for 8/19 for
175 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions. He should do at least as well (if not
better) against this pathetic Cardinals team in week 16.
Tampa Bay's Passing Attack vs. The Atlanta Defense (Great
Matchup)
Brad Johnson had a pedestrian outing vs. the Texans last week - 17/28 for 237
yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions - and he has been pretty unexciting over the
last 3 games (58/100 for 606 yards, 2 TD' s and 2 interceptions - 28th in FP
per game among fantasy QB's). During that 3 week span, Charles Lee (23 targets),
Keenan McCardell (29 targets) and Michael Pittman (23 targets) have absorbed
the vast majority of Johnson's attention - nobody else on the team has seen
10 or more passes.
26/31 for 299 yards, 5 TDs and 0 interceptions was what the Colt's high-octane
offense torched the Falcons for, one week after they experienced a mirage of
respectability against Jake Delhomme (13/25 for 153 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions).
Part of the problem was the loss of CB Juran Bolden to a lower back/spinal column
injury - part of the problem was a horrible performance by the offense that
left the D in tough situations all day long. Most weeks, the Falcons are closer
to last weeks' performance statistically speaking - they are dead last in the
NFL allowing an average of 235.1 passing yards per game, and have surrendered
23 TDs in 2003 (3rd-most in the NFL to date).
Bolden is listed as questionable to play this week. Tampa comes into this game
relatively healthy, although TE Ken Dilger is fighting a hip injury (probable).
The forecast for Raymond James Stadium calls for a high of 66F and a low of
45F with a 10% chance for precipitation. It should be a great day to play football.
Johnson is an efficient (if unexciting) passer most weeks, while Atlanta is
truly awful most weeks. Advantage, Tampa Bay.
Carolina's Passing Attack vs. The Detroit Defense (Good
Matchup)
20/32 for 236 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception was Jake Delhomme's total after
the game vs. Arizona - not Earth-shattering numbers, but rather a respectable
sum (for the Panthers, anyway). Delhomme is pretty much a what-you-see-is-what-you-get
quarterback -- ~200 yards, 1-2 TDs and 1-2 interceptions week in, and week out.
Over the past 3 weeks, he has tossed 51/86 for 605 yards, 4 TDs and 3 interceptions.
Steve Smith (35 targets) and Muhsin Muhammad (19 targets) are the fantasy-worthy
players among the receivers - no one else has seen more than 7 balls in the
last 3 weeks. Smith has converted 21/245/1 during that span, while Muhammad
has 10/143/1.
Detroit allowed 25/32 for 372 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions to the Chiefs
last week, and 17/25 for 244 yards, 2 TD' s and 1 interception to the Chargers
two weeks ago - the numbers speak for themselves. This injury riddled unit has
struggled all year long, ranking 27th in the NFL giving away 226.1 passing yards
per contest, and has surrendered 23 passing scores to date. Not too good, are
they?
CB's Dre' Bly (leg) and Otis Smith (leg) are probable to play for Detroit -
Carolina lists no new injuries of note.
The forecast for Ericsson Stadium calls for a high of 52F and a low of 25F
with a 10% chance for precipitation. It should be a pleasant day to play tackle
football in the Piedmont on Sunday.
A mediocre passing attack welcomes a bottom-tier defense to Ericsson Stadium
this week: advantage, Carolina.
Dallas' Passing Attack vs. The New York Giants' "Defense"
(Good Matchup)
"The Cowboys receivers were non-factors again Sunday but not for lack
of trying. Despite the rainy and cold conditions, the Cowboys threw more down
the field than they had in previous weeks. They just did not pay dividends,
as in recent weeks. Wide receiver Joey Galloway did not catch a pass. Again.
Terry Glenn and Antonio Bryant had two catches each, but their yardage did not
equal that of fullback Richie Anderson. Anderson was the Cowboys' leading receiver,
again, with five catches for 51 yards. "We took shots early," Glenn
said. "He wanted to come out and show the passing game and get the corners
off and safeties back and try to run the ball. And that's what their safeties
did." (Star-Telegram article 12/15/03, by Jennifer Floyd Engel and Clarence
E. Hill Jr.)
Two weeks ago, none of the top 3 wide receivers caught a pass from Carter.
To say that the Cowboys are struggling in this phase of the game is to understate
the case. Carter has 49/88 for 489 yards, 4 TDs and 5 interceptions in the last
3 games to his credit. That just isn't going to win many fantasy championships,
folks. Back in week 2, Carter tossed 25/40 for 321 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception
against the Giants. That was before the carnage in their secondary took place.
The cupboard is bare in the Giants' secondary. The starting CB's are long gone
(on IR), CB Ralph Brown tired to play through a shoulder injury, but ended up
on IR this week, and the remaining players are too young and too inexperienced
to play effectively at the NFL level. Starting LCB Ike Charlton has been with
3 teams in his 4 year NFL career, and RCB Frank Walker is a rookie who was selected
in the 6th round (#207). The Giants just re-signed CB Ray Green (whom they had
previously released back in October). Look at what Joe Horn and Aaron Brooks
did to this team last week: 26/35 for 296 yards, 5 TDs and 0 interceptions.
Two weeks ago NFL neophyte Tim Hasselbeck managed 13/19 for 154 yards, 2 TDs
and 0 interceptions against the Giants - he threw for 59 yards and 4 picks in
his next game. There just really isn't anything more to say - the Giants are
in complete disarray in this phase of the game.
Even worse, one of the few remaining CB's, Kato Serwanga, is questionable due
to a knee/hip injury. Terry Glenn is listed as probable to play through his
injured leg.
The forecast for Texas Stadium calls for a high of 57F and a low of 38F with
a 20% chance for precipitation. It should be a great day to play a football
game.
In this matchup, where both the offense and the defense merit scare-quotes
around their title, we would normally call it a neutral matchup. However, the
injury problems of the Giants are so severe that we give the nod to Dallas,
on the weight of home-field advantage and Carter's previous good luck against
the Giants.
Green Bay's Passing Game vs. The Oakland Defense (Good Matchup)
Brett Favre threw for 23/33 for 278 yards, 4 TDs and 1 interception last week
against the Chargers - guess his thumb feels OK, huh? Donald Driver was his
first choice last week (11 targets for 8/112/1) while Javon Walker (2/26/0),
Robert Ferguson (2/56/2) and William Henderson (4/37/0) all got 4 looks. Favre's
68/103 for 784 yards, 7 TDs and 5 interceptions over the past 3 games puts him
at 10th among all fantasy QB's in FP per game.
Oakland allowed 12/27 for 193 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception to the Ravens
last week, and gave away 19/28 for 266 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception to Tommy
Maddox and company two weeks ago. They are the 19th ranked secondary in the
land, allowing an average of 209.1 passing yards per game, with 16 passing scores
surrendered to date.
Favre (thumb) and Walker (knee) are probable to play this week. Raider's CB
Carey Scott is probable to play despite his illness.
The forecast for Network Associates Coliseum calls for a high of 59F and a
low of 47F with a 40% chance for precipitation. If the rain comes down hard
at game time, the field could get sloppy and ball handling will be more of an
issue than usual.
Favre and the Packers need this one for the playoffs - the Raiders are playing
spoiler. The Coliseum is always a tough house to visit, but Favre and his receivers
are all on the same page right now and we think they have enough juice to do
well against the mediocre Raiders.
Indianapolis' Passing Attack vs. The Denver Defense (Good
Matchup)
Peyton Manning chewed the Falcons up and spit them out last week (25/30 for
295 yards, 5 TD's and 0 interceptions) - you could say that he comes into this
game red-hot. Manning has hit 76/112 for 796 yards, 9 TD's and 1 interception
in his last 3 games (3rd best fantasy QB during that span). 24/329/3 has been
Marvin Harrison's share of the pie during those 3 weeks (3rd best fantasy WR)
while Marcus Pollard has received 9/90/1 (8th TE). Reggie Wayne and Brandon
Stokley have shared Harrison's left-overs (9/105/2 to Stokley and 12/106/2 to
Wayne). There are a lot of fantasy points to spread around in this scoring machine.
Denver allowed 8/18 for 181 yards, 2 TD's and 1 interception to Tim Couch last
week, and coughed up 34/47 for 397 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions to Trent
Green two weeks ago - they haven't been invincible in this phase of the game,
but they did win both games. They are currently ranked 7th in the NFL allowing
an average of 184.9 passing yards per contest, with 16 passing scores surrendered
to date.
TE Dallas Clark remains out with his fractured leg/ankle injury. WR Troy Walters
is probable to play despite a broken nose. CB Scott Turner (knee) is probable
to play for the Broncos.
This game is being played in the RCA Dome - weather won't be a factor.
Nobody is hotter than Peyton Manning and the Colts at the moment - in their
own house, we have to give the Colts the nod.
Kansas City's Passing Attack vs. The Minnesota Defense (Good
Matchup)
Trent Green is playing very focused, efficient football in recent weeks, with
71/102 for 893 yards, 6 TDs and 2 interceptions in the past 3 games (including
a 20/25 for 341 yards, 3 TD and 0 interception performance against Detroit's
battered secondary last week). Tony Gonzalez (22 targets), Johnnie Morton (20),
Priest Holmes (19) and Dante Hall (18) have seen the most balls during that
span of time. However, among the wide receivers Eddie Kennison has racked up
the most fantasy points during that span (13 targets for 8/151/1). Gonzalez
is tops among fantasy TE's during the past 3 weeks with 16/194/4 to his credit.
Minnesota went easy on first-time starter Rex Grossman last week (inexplicably)
- he ended up the day with a "W" in the win-loss column while tossing
13/30 for 157 yards, 0 TDs and (most significantly) 0 interceptions - not what
we expected form the ball-hawking Viking secondary (1st in the NFL with 25 interceptions
this season). Two weeks ago Matt Hasselbeck was frustrated to post 17/34 for
218 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions. The Vikings sport the 25th ranked secondary
in terms of yards allowed per game this season (221.3 yards on average) and
have given away 15 passing scores to date.
CB Eric Kelly sprained his right MCL last week (not listed). Kansas City may
go without backup WR Marc Boerigter (ankle, doubtful)
This game is to be played in the Metrodome, so weather won't be a factor in
this matchup.
Green is on top of his game lately, while the Vikings have been inconsistent
in recent weeks. At the Metrodome, we think that the Chiefs bring enough weapons
to silence the home crowd - advantage, Kansas City.
Minnesota's Passing Attack vs. The Kansas City Defense (Good
Matchup)
24/34 for 222 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception were Daunte Culpepper's totals
in the aerial phase of the game last week (4/16/0 rushing). He has hit 78/114
for 826 yards, 5 TDs and 2 interceptions in the past 3 games (13/93/0 rushing),
so he is on quite a tear lately (8th in FP per game among fantasy QB's during
that span). Randy Moss is his overwhelming favorite, as usual, with 27/386/4
during the past 3 games, making Moss the top fantasy WR in the land. Both players
should be in your lineup this week, if you are lucky (or wise) enough to have
them on your team.
K.C. has been unimpressive in this phase of the game all year, ranking 20th
in the NFL allowing an average of 211.4 passing yards per game (16 passing scores
surrendered to date). Two weeks ago, Jake Plummer put up 20/29 for 238 yards,
1 TD and 0 interceptions against them, while last week Joey Harrington managed
20/36 for 197 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception. Clearly, the Chief's pass D is
a pretty mediocre bunch.
S Greg Wesley (questionable) and CB Dexter McCleon (probable) suffered quad
contusions in the game last week, and backup DB Clint Finley missed the game
(back, questionable). Minnesota's unit is in good health coming into the game.
This game is to be played in the Metrodome, so weather won't be a factor in
this matchup.
Culpepper has a lot of weapons at his disposal, and a dominant WR in Moss.
Kansas City has trouble with even the most pedestrian units (witness Detroit,
above) - advantage, Minnesota.
New Orleans' Passing Attack vs. The Jacksonville Defense
(Good Matchup)
Aaron Brooks and Joe Horn exploded against the limping Giants for 26/35 for
296 yards, 5 TDs and 0 interceptions and 9/133/4, respectively. It was an old-fashioned
shellacking that represented the Giants' worse loss in decades. The great day
vaulted Brooks to 4th among all fantasy QB's in FP per game over the past 3
games (60/95 for 655 yards, 7 TDs and 0 interceptions, with 10/26/2 rushing
in addition), and Horn is 2nd among WR with 20/261/4 during the same span. Neither
guy has been consistently great during that span, though - the Giants are really
decimated in the secondary. It was a great game on the Saints' part, none-the-less.
Jacksonville allowed 22/34 for 228 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions to Tom
Brady last week, but crushed newbie Dave Ragone two weeks ago (11/23 for 71
yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception). The Jaguars field an average secondary, allowing
198.9 passing yards per contest with 19 passing TDs surrendered to date.
WR Donte Stallworth continues to struggle with his ankle injury (probable).
TE Walter Rasby has a sore finger (probable), and TE Zach Hilton is questionable
(knee). Jacksonville can't get reserve DB Jason Craft (knee, questionable) out
on the field lately.
The forecast for ALLTEL Stadium calls for a high of 67F and a low of 43F with
a 10% chance for precipitation. Nice weather for a ball game, don't you agree?
The hot-and-cold Saints come into this game pretty hot, while the Jaguars have
been inconsistent in recent weeks and are not generally a top-performing unit.
Advantage, New Orleans.
Philadelphia's Passing Attack vs. The San Francisco Defense
(Good Matchup)
Donovan McNabb cooled off a little last week, with 15/27 for 236 yards, 0 TDs
and 1 interception against the Dolphins (but he hit a lot of key, long passes
that just didn't quite make it to the end-zone). TE L.J. Smith (7 targets for
3/16/0), RB Brian Westbrook (6 targets for 3/45/1) and WR James Thrash (5 targets
for 2/48/0) were McNabb's favorites last week - WR Todd Pinkston caught a couple
of long bombs, too (2/79/0 to lead the team). Over the past 3 weeks, McNabb
has racked up 52/88 for 666 yards, 4 TDs and 2 interceptions, with 11/41/1 rushing
to his credit.
Jon Kitna managed to toss 18/25 for 189 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions against
the Niners last week. Two weeks ago, the Cardinals posted 19/40 for 179 yards,
2 TDs and 1 interception during the 50-14 blowout. The 49'ers rank 14th in the
league in terms of passing yards allowed (194.9 per game on average), but are
pretty generous with the TDs (22 allowed to date). San Francisco does get good
pressure on the opposing passer (36 sacks to date, tied for 4th in the NFL),
and Philly gives up quite a few (38, 3rd most in the NFL) so this could be a
problem for McNabb and company.
TE L.J. Smith is probably going to miss this game, due to groin and back injuries
(doubtful). The Niners list CB Jason Webster (Chest, doubtful), S Zack Bronson
(neck, questionable) and CB Ahmed Plummer (back, probable) on the initial injury
report.
The forecast for Lincoln Financial Field calls for a high of 45F and a low
of 28F with a 10% chance for precipitation. A cold but clear day is on tap for
this matchup.
The Eagles are hitting their stride in this phase of the game, and San Francisco
tends to be generous with the TDs - advantage, Philadelphia.
Pittsburgh's Passing Attack vs. The San Diego Defense (Good
Matchup)
Tommy Maddox disappointed last week, tossing 16/38 for 137 yards, 0 TDs and
0 interceptions against the Jets. He's been pretty blah during the last 3 weeks,
actually, with 63/108 for 716 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions - that's nothing
to write home about in fantasy circles (23rd among all fantasy QB's in FP per
game). Hines Ward remains in the top ten among fantasy WR's, though, due to
catching 22/284 yards and 1TD during that 3 week span. Plaxico Burress is #26
on the strength of 13/172/1.
San Diego got shelled by Brett Favre last week (23/33 for 278 yards, 4 TDs
and 1 interception), and they were gentle with Joey Harrington and his skeleton
crew of receivers two weeks ago (26/47 for 208 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions).
This bunch is dead last in the NFL allowing a whopping 33 passing scores this
season - 7 more than 31st place Arizona - and rank 29th in average passing yards
allowed per game (229.6). Oh yeah, they're bad.
Hines Ward is probable to play through his sore knee. At least the Chargers
have their health (if not their pride) - no member of their secondary is listed
this week.
The forecast for Heinz Field calls for a high of 34F and a low of 26F with
a 30% chance for precipitation. If the snow comes down hard at game time, it
could be swirling about in high winds - footing and ball-handling could easily
become issues in this game.
Anytime you play the generous Chargers in 2003, you are looking, at the minimum,
a good
matchup. Advantage, Pittsburgh.
St. Louis' Passing Attack vs. The Cincinnati Defense (Good
Matchup)
20/32 for 236 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception was the book on Marc Bulger last
week. This week, #2 target Isaac Bruce may miss the game (ankle, questionable),
so Torry Holt may need to carry even more of the load than usual. Bulger has
been steady but not excellent in the past 3 games, with 57/88 for 681 yards,
4 TDs and 3 interceptions (13th in FP per game among fantasy QB's). Torry Holt
has twice as many targets (30) as the next-most-thrown-to player (Faulk, with
15). Isaac Bruce has seen 14 balls come his way in the past 3 weeks. Bruce has
the lead in FP, though, with 8/123/3 to Holts'18/233/1 in those 3 games.
Cincinnati allowed Jeff Garcia to explode for 26/33 for 344 yards, 2 TDs and
0 interceptions last week - two weeks ago, they limited Anthony Wright to 8/19
for 145 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions. The Bengals play uninspired pass D
most weeks, averaging 218.5 passing yards allowed per game this season (24th
in the NFL) and they have given away the sizable total of 21 passing scores
to date (11 TDs allowed is the best mark in the league right now, 33 allowed
is the worst).Terrell Roberts was a top IDP DB last week, with 9 solo tackles,
3 assists 1 sack and 1 forced fumble to his credit (3rd in the NFL).
Aside from Bruce's woes, the Bengals list CB Artrell Hawkins (thigh) as questionable.
This game is to be played in the Edward Jones Dome - weather is not an issue
in this matchup.
The Rams have explosive potential, but are using a balanced attack in recent
weeks, limiting Bulger's "boom" potential. The Bengals aren't a top
pass D, though, and the Rams have a lot of talent to throw at them. Advantage,
St. Louis.
Tennessee's Passing Attack vs. The Houston Defense (Good
Matchup)
The pressure for Steve McNair to start has never been higher - backup Billy
Volek, who notched a "W" in his first NFL start, has been lost for
the season and post-season to a ruptured spleen. McNair had thrown 43/73 for
507 yards, 4 TDs and 2 interceptions with 4/19/1 rushing in the two games prior
to his day off last week. The Titans have agreed to terms of a deal with Neil
O'Donnell. The current backup is Jason Gesser, a rookie free-agent signee out
of Washington State. Back in week 6, McNair nuked the Texans for 18/27 for 421
yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions and Derrick Mason snagged 6/177/3.
Houston's defense has had a rough time in the past couple of games - with a
rookie QB under center they have faced 38:34 (vs. Tampa) of playing time last
week and 35:46 (vs. Jacksonville) of playing time two weeks ago. Brad Johnson
cashed the time in for 17/28 for 237 yards, 0 TD' s and 0 interceptions, while
Byron Leftwich racked up 18/29 for 194 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions - the
Texans' secondary has weathered the tough times fairly well, indeed. The Texans
are the 31st ranked secondary in the NFL with an average of 230.9 passing yards
surrendered per game, and have given away 19 passing scores this year. Given
their circumstances, the unit has played better than those numbers indicate
in recent weeks.
McNair is officially listed as questionable, as are WR's Eddie Berlin (concussion),
Darrell Hill (knee), Jake Schifino (toe/leg), and TE Shad Meier (concussion).
Houston says that their current roster is in good shape, health-wise.
The forecast for Reliant Stadium calls for a high of 66F and a low of 44F with
a 10% chance for precipitation. Sounds like a great day to play football.
McNair makes this matchup a good one for Tennessee, if he can play. Anyone
else likely to be under center will have either little experience (Gesser) or
a lot of rust (O'Donnell). We'd call it a tough matchup in those circumstances.
Arizona's Passing Attack vs. The Seattle Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Josh McCown had a mediocre game against the Panthers last week, with 14/25
for 172 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception (with 7/47/1 rushing in addition). No
news here - Anquan Boldin was the focus of the effort, with 14 targets - Freddie
Jones was second with 4. 7/73/0 and 2/35/0 was what the two managed to produce
in their chances. There just aren't many fantasy points to spread around among
the Cardinals at this point in the season, folks. McCown actually played these
guys earlier this year, in relief of then-starter Jeff Blake, and hit 18/32
for 150 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions. There were no TDs thrown by Arizona
in week 2.
Seattle's defense allowed 20/32 for 236 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception to
Marc Bulger last week, on the heels of a dreadful performance against Minnesota
(21/33 for 274 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions) two weeks ago. They just aren't
finding ways to limit the opposition in this phase. 21 scores have been given
away by the unit to date, and the Seahawks rank 21st in the NFL allowing an
average of 216.4 passing yards per game.
S Reggie Tongue (hamstring) and CB Willie Williams (foot) are both questionable
for the Seahawks. Arizona is relatively healthy at this point of the season.
The forecast for Seahawks' Stadium calls for a high of 49F and a low of 38F
with a 10% chance for precipitation. A nice, cool day is on tap up in the Pacific
Northwest.
McCown is going through the learning process, while the Seahawks are simply
mediocre. This looks like an even matchup between unexciting units to us.
Cincinnati's Passing Attack vs. The St. Louis Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Jon Kitna came back from the Baltimore loss and played well against the 49'ers,
with 18/29 for 185 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions in the narrow victory. Chad
Johnson saw 9 balls come his way (6/91/1), while Peter Warrick got 6 chances
(5/58/1) - nobody else saw more than 2 balls last week. Over the past 3 weeks,
Kitna has been up and down, totaling 59/88 for 674 yards, 6 TDs and 2 interceptions
(11th in FP per game among fantasy signal callers during that span). It was
good to see Johnson get back in the saddle last week (Johnson owners no doubt
agree).
Matt Hasselbeck did not prosper against the Rams' D last week (21/37 for 246
yards, 1 TD and 1 interception), and the Browns' duo struggled against this
secondary two weeks ago (16/26 for 178 yards, 2 TD' s and 2 interceptions).
The Rams are currently the 11th ranked secondary in the NFL, surrendering 189.6
passing yards per game - but they are relatively easy to score on, with 19 passing
scores allowed to date. They lead the league in sacks, with 38, and have 20
interceptions this season, though, so the Rams bring pressure and create turnovers
on a regular basis. Adam Archuleta was the 4th best IDP DB last week, with 8
solo tackles, 1 assist, 1 sack and 2 passes defensed.
Peter Warrick is probable to play through his sore knee. CB's Jerametrius Butler
(knee) and Travis Fisher (knee) are probable for the Rams.
This game is to be played in the Edward Jones Dome - weather is not an issue
in this matchup.
Kitna and the Bengals need this one to stay atop the AFC North, while the Rams
need it to maintain playoff seeding. Expect a hard-fought game between two of
the better squads in the NFL - it looks pretty even to us.
Denver's Passing Attack vs. The Indianapolis Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Jake Plummer completed 22/36 for 269 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception last week
in the close win over Cleveland. Shannon Sharpe (11 targets for 8/97/0) and
Rod Smith (8 for 4/41/0) are the apple of Plummer's eye - Ashley Lelie is a
distant 3rd (6 for 4/71/0). Since Clinton Portis went on his 9 TD scoring rampage
over the last 3 weeks, (94/527/9), Plummer has needed to throw only sparingly,
and it shows in his stats - 53/85 for 612 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions -
but that may change this week if Portis can't make it onto the field Sunday
night.
Indianapolis allowed 22/38 for 235 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions to the
Titans two weeks ago, but crushed the hapless Falcons last week (9/25 for 66
yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception). They are usually a stout pass D, averaging
176.1 passing yards allowed per game (3rd in the NFL), but have given up 17
passing scores to date.
TE Patrick Hape (leg) is probable for the Broncos. S's Idrees Bashir (shoulder)
and Cory Bird (shoulder) along with CB Nick Harper (back) are questionable to
play. CB Walt Harris (knee) is probable to go.
This game is being played in the RCA Dome - weather won't be a factor.
Denver has an efficient passing game - the Colts are a top-shelf secondary.
This looks like an even matchup to us.
Detroit's Passing Attack vs. The Carolina Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Joey Harrington hit for 20/36 for 197 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception last week
- Az Zahir Hakim is managing to hack it in the featured role (the Lions don't
have anyone else to play, really), with 6/72/1 out of 10 targets. Bill Schroeder
saw 7 passes come his way last week (3/23/0). If you have to start Hakim due
to injury problems this week, swallow hard and plug him in - but if you're in
the fantasy playoffs we assume you're better stocked with talent than that.
Carolina has held their last two opponents to modest numbers in this phase
of the game (to be fair, they have given away so much on the ground lately that
the last two teams didn't need to throw a whole bunch, though) - Josh McCown
managed 14/25 for 172 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception last week, while Michael
Vick, in his first start of 2003, hit for 16/33 for 179 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception
two weeks ago. The Panthers sport the 18th ranked pass D in the land, allowing
an average of 203.7 passing yards per game, with 17 passing scores allowed to
date - they are usually a pretty mediocre bunch.
Reserve WR/KR Eddie Drummond missed last week's game with an injured knee (questionable).
Carolina lists CB Reggie Howard (ankle, probable), S Deon Grant (shoulder, probable)
and CB Terry Cousin (leg, questionable).
The forecast for Ericsson Stadium calls for a high of 52F and a low of 25F
with a 10% chance for precipitation. It should be a pleasant day to play tackle
football in the Piedmont on Sunday.
Detroit has a low-powered skeleton crew to throw at the mediocre Panthers.
We see it as a fairly even matchup.
Houston's Passing Attack vs. The Tennessee Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Houston needs David Carr back under center this week - Dave Ragone had a baptism
by fire in his first two NFL starts (20/40 for 135 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception
in 2 games). Needless to say, if Ragone is back under center this week, fantasy
points will be very scarce down in Houston. Even if Carr is back, he will need
to shake the rust off, and he's a mediocre fantasy start most weeks even at
the top of his game. We'd look elsewhere for your fantasy starters given the
situation in Houston this week. Carr did enjoy one of his best outings of the
season against the Titans, back in week 6, throwing 25/42 for 371 yards, 2 TDs
and 3 interceptions - he was healthy then, though.
Tennessee allowed Drew Bledsoe to gather his addled wits last week, and he
got back into the swing of things with 17/30 for 168 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions.
Two weeks ago, Peyton Manning hit for 22/34 for 228 yards, 0 TD' s and 0 interceptions
against the Titans. The Titans rank near the bottom of the NFL in pass D this
season, allowing an average of 227.6 passing yards per game (28th in the NFL)
- they have surrendered 18 scores, as well.
Reserve DB Andre Woolfolk (ankle) continues to be sidelined, while backup DB
Scott McGarrahan injured his knee last week (not listed). S Lance Shulters has
a sore hip (questionable). Carr is probable on the initial injury report.
The forecast for Reliant Stadium calls for a high of 66F and a low of 44F with
a 10% chance for precipitation. Sounds like a great day to play football.
Houston is really struggling in this phase, while the Titans are not too hot
themselves. We call it an even matchup - but don't expect explosive numbers
from the Texans in any case.
Jacksonville's Passing Attack vs. The New Orleans Defense
(Neutral Matchup)
Byron Leftwich tossed 21/40 for 288 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions against
the tough Patriots' secondary last week. He has tossed 59/103 for 706 yards,
4 TDs and 2 interceptions over the past 3 weeks (16th in FP per game during
that span), hitting Jimmy Smith for 15/267/2 (8th best fantasy WR). Other than
Smith, there isn't a quality fantasy starter on the teams' aerial unit, in our
opinion.
New Orleans limited Brad Johnson to 20/34 for 213 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception
in their game two weeks ago, and held newbie Jesse Palmer to 15/26 for 140 yards,
1 TD and 0 interceptions last week - they haven't shut anybody down, but they
have played respectably. The Saints are the 8th ranked secondary in the NFL
allowing an average of 185.4 passing yards per contest this season, with 18
scores surrendered to date.
Both teams come into this game in relatively good health - TE George Wrighster
has a sore hammy (probable).
The forecast for ALLTEL Stadium calls for a high of 67F and a low of 43F with
a 10% chance for precipitation. Nice weather for a ball game, don't you agree?
Jacksonville sports an average attack at this point of the season, while the
Saints play fairly tough pass D - this looks like a pretty even matchup to us.
Oakland's Passing Game vs. The Green Bay Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Rick Mirer tossed 16/35 for 186 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions against the
Ravens last week. He has been pretty blah for several weeks, with 39/90 for
407 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions in 3 games (34th in FP per game among all
QB's during that span). Needless to say, his receivers haven't been winning
any fantasy point-scoring contests with that kind of minimal production from
the QB.
Green Bay was rocked for 28/48 for 363 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception in Drew
Brees' first start in many moons last week - two weeks ago, the great Kordell
Stewart managed to throw 17/40 for 256 yards, 1 TD and 3 interceptions in his
inimitable "chuck-and-duck" style. Green Bay has definitely been up
and down in this phase lately. They are the 26th ranked secondary in the NFL,
allowing an average of 221.7 passing yards per game, and have given away 18
scores to date. Darren Sharper was the 6th best IDP DB last week, with 8 solo
tackles, 1 assist, 1 interception and 1 pass defensed to his credit.
CB Mike McKenzie is nursing a sore toe (probable). The Raiders' unit is in
good health.
The forecast for Network Associates Coliseum calls for a high of 59F and a
low of 47F with a 40% chance for precipitation. If the rain comes down hard
at game time, the field could get sloppy and ball handling will be more of an
issue than usual.
Oakland is very wanting in this department, while the Packers aren't too great,
either. This looks like a fairly even matchup to us.
Baltimore's Passing Attack vs. The Cleveland Defense (Tough
Matchup)
Anthony Wright hit 12/27 for 193 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception last week against
the Raiders, but it wasn't enough to pull out a "W" for his team.
Todd Heap (6/93/1) and Travis Taylor (3/62/0) saw the vast majority of Wrights'
passes last week (9 and 10 targets respectively), while usual favorite Marcus
Robinson had only 1 ball come his way (0 receptions). Wright has cooled considerably
in recent games, with 34/71 for 515 yards, 4 TDs and 4 interceptions in his
last 3 outings (13/27/0 rushing). The first time these teams met back in week
2, it was all about Jamal Lewis - the top Ravens receiver had 2/27/0 (Travis
Taylor).
Denver's Jake Plummer managed 22/36 for 269 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception
against the Browns' secondary last week. Two weeks ago, Marc Bulger totaled
22/36 for 223 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception in his effort. Cleveland has been
tough to score on all season (12 passing scores allowed to date) and ranks 9th
in average yards allowed per game (186.2). As you can see, they have been doing
worse in the yardage department in recent weeks.
CB's Anthony Henry (knee) and Daylon McCutcheon (ankle) are questionable for
the Browns. The Ravens' unit is in good health.
The forecast for Browns Stadium calls for a high of 33F and a low of 25F with
a 30% chance for precipitation. This time of year, precipitation means sleet
or snow, and the wind could kick up causing visibility problems - footing and
ball handling will be issues if the snow comes down hard around game time.
Wright has been merely adequate in recent weeks, while the Browns continue
to play pretty stout pass D despite being eliminated from the playoff race.
Advantage, Cleveland.
San Francisco's Passing Attack vs. The Philadelphia Defense
(Neutral Matchup)
Jeff Garcia has shut up his critics and sparked the 49'ers for two straight
weeks: he is the 2nd ranked fantasy QB in FP per game over the past 3 weeks,
with 59/90 for 708 yards, 6 TDs and 4 interceptions, and has rushed for 9/83/3
in that span. Not too shabby, eh? Last week, he hit for 26/33 for 344 yards,
2 TDs and 0 interceptions in the shootout with Cincinnati. Terrell Owens was
the 6th most valuable fantasy WR over the last 3 games, with 18/242/3 to his
credit in that span. The 49'ers stars are shining again.
Philadelphia crushed Quincy Carter two weeks ago (15/24 for 93 yards, 1 TD
and 2 interceptions), and frustrated Jay Fiedler last week (21/40 for 240 yards,
0 TDs and 2 interceptions) - they are a much better team now that Bobby Taylor
and Brian Dawkins are playing effectively. Dawkins had 5 solo tackles, 2 assists,
½ a sack, 1 interception and 2 passes defensed to his credit last week
- and he's not 100% yet. Scary, huh?
Owens (groin) and Tai Streets (quadriceps) are probable to play this week.
CB Troy Vincent is doubtful for the Eagles (hip), while S Dawkins (foot) and
S Michael Lewis (neck) are probable to play.
The forecast for Lincoln Financial Field calls for a high of 45F and a low
of 28F with a 10% chance for precipitation. A cold but clear day is on tap for
this matchup.
Two top units clash in this game - neither is in the position to dominate the
other, in our opinion.
Chicago's Passing Attack vs. The Washington Defense (Tough
Matchup)
Rex Grossman did a very credible job for a rookie in his first NFL start last
week, putting up 13/30 for 157 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions. Unfortunately,
those aren't the kind of numbers to set fantasy owners' hearts beating faster,
but it was a decent start. Marty Booker, David Terrell and Desmond Clark all
caught 3 balls in the game, but none of them topped 50 yards receiving. It was
an auspicious start to Grossman's young career, none-the-less.
Washington held Quincy Carter to 10/24 for 108 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions
last week (but lost the game), and frustrated the Giants by allowing only 12/25
for 145 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception two weeks ago. The Redskins' secondary
is finally playing up to its fearsome reputation - of course, Quincy Carter
and Jesse Palmer are hardly top-shelf NFL quarterbacks, so take those good outings
for what they are worth. To date, the Redskins are the 13th ranked pass D in
the NFL, allowing an average of 193.4 passing yards per game, with 16 passing
TDs given away.
Backup QB Chris Chandler is questionable due to his shoulder injury, as is
Desmond Clark (toe). Washington lists S David Terrell (knee, doubtful), S Matt
Bowen (knee, probable) and S Andre Lott (ankle, probable) on their injury report.
The forecast for Soldier Field calls for a high of 35F and a low of 19F with
a 20% chance for precipitation. Including the wind chill, the temperature will
feel a good bit colder than the thermometer reads come game time.
Grossman is a rookie heading into his second-ever start - don't expect a big
performance out of him against the surging Redskins' secondary.
Cleveland's Passing Attack vs. The Baltimore Defense (Tough
Matchup)
Tim Couch is back at it in Cleveland, with 8/18 for 181 yards, 2 TDs and 0
interceptions in the Denver game last week. Dennis Northcutt (6 targets for
3/115/0), Quincy Morgan (4 targets for 1/12/0) and Jamel White (5 targets for
0 receptions) were Couch's favorites last week. Andre Davis cashed in his 2
chances for 1/35/1. Couch has indicated his willingness to restructure his contract
to stay with the Browns, but there has been no movement on that front, yet.
Couch is playing not just for his team, but to build his value in free agency
if the Browns don't retain his services - he's got plenty of motivation not
to lay down and die. Back in week 2, Kelly Holcomb was the guy under center,
so recent history doesn't tell us much about this one - Dennis Northcutt was
the top WR that day, with 5/62/0.
Baltimore was pretty stout against Rick Mirer last week, limiting him to 16/35
for 186 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions. Two weeks ago, Jon Kitna hit 23/31
for 214 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions. This hard-nosed secondary has been
tough all season, limiting the opposition to 179.6 passing yards per game on
average (18 TDs allowed to date). They are second in the league with 37 sacks,
and have generated 20 interceptions so far - this is a well-rounded pass D,
folks.
Both teams enjoy good health on their current starting units - injuries aren't
a major factor in this matchup.
The forecast for Browns Stadium calls for a high of 33F and a low of 25F with
a 30% chance for precipitation. This time of year, precipitation means sleet
or snow, and the wind could kick up causing visibility problems - footing and
ball handling will be issues if the snow comes down hard around game time.
Baltimore plays the pass tough, and Cleveland is only average in this phase
of the game. Advantage, Ravens.
New England's Passing Attack vs. The New York Jets' Defense
(Tough Matchup)
New England is in the drivers' seat in the AFC, and they control their own
destiny as far as home-field advantage throughout the playoffs is concerned.
Win out, and the road to the Super Bowl goes through Gillette Stadium (in the
AFC). Conditions at Gillette Stadium have not been too conducive for huge passing
numbers in recent weeks - Tom Brady has 64/100 for 627 yards, 4 TDs and 2 interceptions
in the last 3 games (22/34 for 228 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions in the game
last week). David Givens and Daniel Graham (7 targets each), Troy Brown and
Kevin Faulk (6 targets each) were Brady's top 4 choices last week during Brown's
return to the lineup (Deion Branch injured his hand early in the game and was
sidelined). Graham (5/69/1) and Brown (4/43/1) accounted for the TDs last week.
Back in week 3, the Jets stymied Brady to the tune of 15/25 for 181 yards, 0
TDs and 0 interceptions.
The Jets' pass D has been stout in recent games - they smothered Tommy Maddox
and company last week (16/38 for 137 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions) and submerged
the sinking-fast Drew Bledsoe (9/15 for 72 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception) two
weeks ago. They have been near the top of the league all season, allowing a
mere 183.6 passing yards per game on average (6th in the NFL) and have surrendered
the fewest scoring passes to date (11). It is not easy to pass your way to victory
against the Jets.
Deion Branch is listed as probable on the initial injury report. Reserve TE
Sean McDermott is now on IR (shoulder). The Jets come into the game in relatively
good health, with no new injuries to report.
The forecast for the Meadowlands calls for a high of 43F and a low of 31F with
a 30% chance for precipitation. As this is a Saturday night game, the temperature
will be on the low end of that scale, and it may be slick and windy down on
the field - passing accurately could be a challenge in those conditions.
Playing the Jets is always tough, and Brady struggled against them the first
time around - plus the weather looks iffy. We call it a tough matchup for the
Patriots' unit.
New York Jets' Passing Attack vs. The New England Defense
(Tough Matchup)
The Jets won a low-scoring affair last week (6-0), and Chad Pennington's numbers
were unimpressive from the fantasy standpoint (15/25 for 144 yards, 0 TDs and
0 interceptions). Pennington has been really quiet in recent weeks, with 48/77
for 530 yards, 2 TDs and 3 interceptions to his credit in the last 3 games.
Santana Moss (26 targets) and Curtis Conway (16) have been plan A and B during
that span of time (Moss has put up 13/181/0, while Conway has snagged 9/131/1
-- #39 and #40 on the WR board in FP per game). There isn't much to get excited
about on the Jets' unit lately.
New England hasn't been generous in this phase at all recently, allowing only
13/31 for 111 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions to Jay Fiedler two weeks ago.
Byron Leftwich had slightly better luck last week, with 21/40 for 288 yards,
1 TD and 2 interceptions last week - but you couldn't say that he tore the Patriots
apart, not by any stretch of the imagination. The Patriots are one of the stingiest
pass D's around when it comes to scoring allowed (tied for 1st with 11 TDs surrendered
to date), and are in the middle of the NFL in yardage allowed (203.3 per game,
17th in the league). They have the second-most interceptions in the league to
date, with 22. This is a rock-solid squad, folks.
Both teams enjoy relatively good health at this point in the season - New England's
S Chris Akins (leg, questionable) is the lone person on the initial injury report.
The forecast for the Meadowlands calls for a high of 43F and a low of 31F with
a 30% chance for precipitation. As this is a Saturday night game, the temperature
will be on the low end of that scale, and it may be slick and windy down on
the field - passing accurately could be a challenge in those conditions.
The Jets are flying low in recent weeks, and the Patriots don't give away much
in this phase of the game - this looks like a hard road for the home team to
travel.
San Diego's Passing Attack vs. The Pittsburgh Defense (Tough
Matchup)
Drew Brees' time on the bench seems to have benefited him - he was darn good
in his return to the starting lineup, with 28/48 for 363 yards, 2 TDs and 1
interception last week. His solid game didn't result in a "W", but
it was perhaps his best performance of the year. LaDainian Tomlinson (16 targets
for 11/144/2), David Boston (13 targets for 4/29/0) and TE Antonio Gates (11
targets for 5/117/0) were his primary outlets last week.
Rick Mirer had a rough time against the Steelers two weeks ago (10/25 for 68
yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions), while Chad Pennington managed 15/25 for 144
yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions in a 6-0 game last week. The Steelers were
giving up scores at a healthy clip earlier this season (19), but have gotten
stubborn in recent weeks, as you can see. They currently rank 12th in the NFL
allowing an average of 190.2 passing yards per game - but they've been significantly
better than that in recent weeks.
TE's Stephen Alexander (groin) and Justin Peelle (concussion) are questionable
to play this weekend, while WR David Boston is probable (neck). Pittsburgh's
secondary is in good health at this point.
The forecast for Heinz Field calls for a high of 34F and a low of 26F with
a 30% chance for precipitation. If the snow comes down hard at game time, it
could be swirling about in high winds - footing and ball-handling could easily
become issues in this game.
Brees got off on the right foot last week - now we'll see if he can keep it
up against a top-performing defense.
Washington's Passing Attack vs. The Chicago Defense (Tough
Matchup)
Tim Hasselbeck had a really bad game against Dallas last week, with 6/26 for
56 yards, 0 TDs and 4 interceptions - nothing seemed to go right in this phase
of the game last week for Washington. With such a lack of completions, none
of his receivers managed to notch more than 30 yards - it was simply a bad week
to have a Redskin on your roster. Young, inexperienced quarterbacks are subject
to this sort of collapse when they begin to play at the NFL level.
Chicago has been very good at pass defense in recent weeks, holding Daunte
Culpepper and company to 24/34 for 222 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception last week.
Two weeks ago, Brett Favre managed 22/33 for 210 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception
in his outing against the Bears. Anytime you hold those two guys to just one
TD pass and barely more than 200 yards of passing, you've done a solid job.
Currently, Chicago is the 10th ranked secondary in the land, with 188.9 passing
yards per game allowed, on average. They have surrendered 16 passing scores
to date. Charles Tillman was the 2nd best fantasy DB last week, with 9 solo
tackles, 1 assist, 1 interception and 3 passes defensed to his credit.
Chicago lists S Mike Green (groin, questionable), while Washington says that
WR Taylor Jacobs is questionable (foot); TE Zeron Flemister (neck) and WR's
Laveranues Coles (toe) and Rod Gardner (knee) are probable.
The forecast for Soldier Field calls for a high of 35F and a low of 19F with
a 20% chance for precipitation. Including the wind chill, the temperature will
feel a good bit colder than the thermometer reads come game time.
Hasselbeck will try to bounce back from his horrible game - but the stout Bears'
secondary won't make it easy for him. This looks like a tough matchup for the
youngster.
Atlanta's Passing Attack vs. The Tampa Bay Defense (Bad
Matchup)
6/19 for 47 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception (Michael Vick's numbers last week)
+ 3/6 for 19 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions (Doug Johnson's tally) = a big
loss to Indianapolis. Peerless Price had the most balls come his way (8 targets
for 1/17/0), Brian Finneran was next (7 for 3/38/0) and Alge Crumpler rounded
out the top 3 (5 for 2/2/0). As you can see, it was a horrible outing all the
way around. Vick has been shaky since his return, with 30/63 for 286 yards,
0 TDs and 2 interceptions in parts of 3 games. He does have 21/187/1 rushing,
but it isn't enough to compensate for the horrible passing numbers. The last
time these teams clashed (week 3), Johnson and Kittner combined for 18/31 for
127 yards, 0 TDs and 4 interceptions - the Falcons had a hard time with Tampa
early in the season.
Tampa Bay choked rookie Dave Ragone last week, keeping him to 9/17 for 64 yards,
0 TDs and 0 interceptions last week. Two weeks ago, Aaron Brooks had a little
more success, with 20/30 for 238 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions. They are second
in the league allowing an average of 168.5 passing yards per game, and have
allowed the second-least passing TDs in the NFL this season (12). They are also
tied for 4th in the NFL with 36 sacks.
Atlanta's FB George Layne (who had 2 passes come his way last week) is now
on IR due to a knee injury, as is starting G Roberto Garza (knee, IR). Tampa
lost DL Ellis Wyms to IR this week, too (knee). Warren Sapp is listed as probable
to play (left foot).
The forecast for Raymond James Stadium calls for a high of 66F and a low of
45F with a 10% chance for precipitation. It should be a great day to play football.
Tampa is as tough as ever in this phase, and Vick is still trying to get back
into game shape. A big edge flows to the home team in this matchup.
Buffalo's Passing Attack vs. The Miami Defense (Bad Matchup)
After two horrible games, Drew Bledsoe finally managed to make something happen
with his throwing arm last week (17/30 for 168 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions).
He didn't "explode" by any stretch of the imagination, but at least
there were some TDs to spread around amongst the Bill's receivers. Eric Moulds
saw 8 balls come his way, and Bobby Shaw was second with 6 targets, and TE Mark
Campbell had 5 targets - Moulds managed to haul in 3/48/0, Shaw had 4/57/1 and
Campbell snagged 4/28/1. Back in week 3, Bledsoe really struggled against the
Dolphins, with 10/25 for 98 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions.
Miami allowed 16/28 for 261 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception to the Eagles last
week - two weeks ago, in dreadful conditions, Tom Brady hit 16/31 for 163 yards,
0 TDs and 0 interceptions against the Dolphins' secondary. The Dolphins remain
one of the toughest teams to score on through the air (11 TDs allowed, tie for
1st in the NFL).
Both teams come into this one somewhat banged up - TE Dave Moore is questionable
with a leg injury. Miami says S Brock Marion is probable despite an eye injury.
The forecast for Ralph Wilson Stadium calls for a high of 30F and a low of
20F with a 30% chance for precipitation. Snow, sleet, and swirling winds makes
Buffalo's home stadium a tough place to play games in December - slick footing
and ball-handling miscues are likely to be factors in this game.
Bledsoe has been fair-to-bad in recent weeks, and had a terrible game against
the Dolphins last time the teams met. Miami has remained a top pass D since
that point - advantage, Dolphins.
Miami's Passing Attack vs. The Buffalo Defense (Bad Matchup)
Jay Fiedler looked off-target and out of synch against Philadelphia last week,
scraping together 21/40 for 240 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions on the day
- his receivers really had to work for those 21 receptions, as he was consistently
high or behind them with the ball. Fiedler hasn't been impressive for quite
a while, managing only 50/91 for 590 yards, 3 TDs and 4 interceptions in his
past 3 games. Chris Chambers has seen the vast majority of Fiedler's passes
(33), with TE Randy McMichael playing second fiddle (17). 14/214/3 puts Chambers
at #7 among all fantasy WR's in FP per game during that 3 week span, while McMichael's
9/119/0 places him 14th among all TE's. Back in week 3, Fiedler tossed 16/28
for 154 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions against the Bills (Chambers caught 5/51/1,
but McMichael led the team with 4/57/0)
Buffalo is always hard to move the ball on through the air, averaging 177.1
passing yards allowed per game (4th in the NFL) with 13 passing scores surrendered
to date. Last week, Billy Volek hit 26/41 for 295 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions,
though - he had a great game. Two weeks ago Chad Pennington was able to put
up 15/29 for 155 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception, numbers more typical for QB's
facing the Bills. Lawyer Milloy was a top IDP DB last week, with 12 solo tackles
and 2 assists to his credit (5th among fantasy DB's).
Fiedler's knee has him listed as probable on the injury report. WR James McKnight
is questionable with a knee injury, while Chris Chambers is probable (ribs).
FS Izell Reese injured his calf last week (out).
The forecast for Ralph Wilson Stadium calls for a high of 30F and a low of
20F with a 30% chance for precipitation. Snow, sleet, and swirling winds makes
Buffalo's home stadium a tough place to play games in December - slick footing
and ball-handling miscues are likely to be factors in this game.
The Dolphins are not a hot team right now, and the weather looks chancy this
week - and Buffalo is a top pass D. Advantage, Bills.
New York Giant's Passing Attack vs. The Dallas Defense (Bad
Matchup)
Jesse Palmer did his best last week: 15/26 for 140 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions
is pretty respectable for a QB's first NFL start - many bigger "names"
have had worse first games. Tiki Barber (8 targets for 5/33/0), Amani Toomer
(5 targets for 2/20/0) and Vishante Shiancoe (4 targets for 3/19/1) were his
favorites last week - David Tyree led the team with 1/39/0.
The Cowboys took newbie Tim Hasselbeck to school last week, and he took his
lumps - 6/26 for 56 yards, 0 TDs and 4 interceptions was his byline at the end
of the day. Donovan McNabb took the Cowboys to school two weeks ago, though,
with 18/34 for 240 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions. Usually, Dallas is the
team handing out the lumps, ranking first in the NFL allowing 159.9 passing
yards per game (with 17 passing scores allowed to date). Terence Newman was
an IDP madman last week, with 3 solo tackles, 2 assists, 3 interceptions and
3 passes defensed (#1 fantasy DB last week).
Starter Kerry Collins (ankle), WR Ike Hilliard (knee), starting TE Jeremy Shockey
(knee) and backup TE Marcellus Rivers (knee) are all doubtful to play. Dallas
is ready to go, with no new injuries of note.
The forecast for Texas Stadium calls for a high of 57F and a low of 38F with
a 20% chance for precipitation. It should be a great day to play a football
game.
Dallas is tough most weeks, and the Giants just don't have the personnel to
get the job done right now. Advantage, Dallas.
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