Bottom line, the cheatsheets are the final word.

Let's jump to it.

Joe

Baltimore's Jamal Lewis vs. The Cleveland Defense (Great Matchup)

Baltimore was stunned by the bottom-feeding Raiders last week - on any given Sunday, you've got to play your best football in the NFL, and the Ravens failed to do that last week. The loss drops them into a tie with Cincinnati for the AFC North title, so this is a must-win game for the Ravens. Jamal Lewis did his part, though, with 24/125/0 rushing (31/149/0 as a team), but the Ravens just couldn't punch the ball into the end-zone last week. He has racked up 73/383/4 rushing in the last 3 games, so Lewis is still a fantasy star (5th in FP per game during that span). Last time around the block with Cleveland, Lewis had a MONSTER game, with 30/295/2 rushing - it was a record-breaking performance.

Cleveland has played some close games with the NFL's elite teams in recent weeks (they lost both games, but not by much) - Denver put up 40/165/2 against them last week, while St. Louis managed 31/118/0 two weeks ago - clearly, the Browns have been vulnerable in this phase of the game lately. The team is in the bottom half of the NFL this season, allowing an average of 123 rushing yards per game, but have given up only 9 rushing scores to date. Gerard Warren was a top IDP DL last week, with 4 solo tackles and 2 sacks to his credit (5th among fantasy DL).

Baltimore lists G Edwin Mulitalo (groin), FB Alan Ricard (ankle) and backup RB Chester Taylor (leg) as questionable. DE Kenard Lang is probable to play (knee).

The forecast for Browns Stadium calls for a high of 33°F and a low of 25°F with a 30% chance for precipitation. This time of year, precipitation means sleet or snow, and the wind could kick up causing visibility problems - footing and ball handling will be issues if the snow comes down hard around game time.

Lewis absolutely dominated the Browns last time around, and they haven't improved in this phase much since then. With the playoffs on the line, look for Lewis to shine. Advantage, Baltimore.

Green Bay's Ahman Green vs. The Oakland Defense (Great Matchup)

Ahman Green has joined the ranks of mere mortals again after his torrid mid-season run, racking up a respectable but unspectacular 62/212/2 rushing with 7/28/0 receiving in his last 3 games (15th in FP per game among fantasy RB's). In the shoot-out with San Diego last week, Green put up 19/75/1 rushing and 1/1/0 receiving. Two weeks ago, against Chicago, he had 30/80/1 rushing and 2/17/0 receiving - he's still getting a lot of opportunities, but hasn't really exploded as he did earlier this season. Green Bay is 3rd in the NFL this season, averaging 4.9 yards per carry and has amassed 436/2140 rushing as a team - they are a force to be reckoned with, but Green's share of the scoring pie has been less in recent weeks.

Oakland got pasted by Jerome Bettis and company two weeks ago (40/133/2), and stepped aside for the Ravens last week (31/149/0) - they just can't stop anybody in this phase of the game, ranking dead last in the NFL allowing an average of 149.4 rushing yards per contest, with 18 rushing scores surrendered to date. That's a very bad rush D, folks.

Backup OL Marcus Spriggs (hamstring, questionable) has missed a few games for the Packers. Oakland's defensive front is a patchwork, and from those players still active in 2003 lists DL Sean Gilbert (groin) as doubtful this week, while LB Napoleon Harris (illness) is probable.

The forecast for Network Associates Coliseum calls for a high of 59°F and a low of 47°F with a 40% chance for precipitation. If the rain comes down hard at game time, the field could get sloppy and ball handling will be more of an issue than usual.

The Raiders are one of the worst run defenses in football, and Ahman Green and company comprise one of the top attacks. A big edge flows to the visitors in this one.

Minnesota's Michael Bennett/Onterrio Smith/Moe Williams vs. The Kansas City Defense (Great Matchup)

Michael Bennett sat out last week's game with a sprained right ankle, and Onterrio Smith pulled his left hamstring late in the game after a strong outing (27/148/0 rushing with 2/10/0 receiving). Coach Mike Tice is saying that Bennett will start but he's unsure how much he'll be able to do. If Bennett and Smith are limited, Moe Williams (knee) is more than capable to work as the featured guy (162/699/4 rushing and 61/611/3 receiving in 2003). Keep an eye on the injury report. Another concern is starting T Matt Rosenthal, who was knocked out of the game last week with a concussion. All these guys were listed as probable on the initial injure report on Wednesday - watch their status as the week goes on.

Kansas City has been horrible in this phase of the game lately, allowing 100+ yards rushing to Detroit's Shawn Bryson last week (30/137/1 to Detroit as a team) - Bryson's first 100+ yard game all season, for Pete's sake! Two weeks ago Clinton Portis humiliated them for 22/218/5 - the Chiefs aren't stopping anyone right now. They are 29th in the NFL allowing an average of 145.5 rushing yards per game, and have coughed up 15 rushing scores to date.

Minnesota's injury woes are detailed above - Kansas City is desperately missing MLB Mike Maslowski (knee, questionable) along with reserve LB Monty Beisel (groin, out) and reserve DL Eric Downing (hamstring, questionable). LB Scott Fujita had a minor forearm contusion in the game last week (probable), and Fellow LB's Quinton Caver (back) and Fred Jones (knee) are both probable to play as well. Both teams may be without key players in this game on Saturday.

This game is to be played in the Metrodome, so weather won't be a factor in this matchup.

Kansas City is very soft in this phase of the game - even if the Vikings end up being thin at RB this week, whoever runs the ball for them will have ample opportunity to make good things happen.

St. Louis' Marshall Faulk vs. The Cincinnati Defense (Great Matchup)

The Marshall Plan worked well enough against the Seahawks last week - 28/85/1 rushing and 3/13/0 receiving wasn't the stuff of a fantasy owner's dream, but neither was it a fantasy owner's nightmare. More importantly (for Faulk owners) was the fact that the ball was put into Faulk's hands 31 times despite a relatively poor return on the touches for coach Martz. Over the past 3 games, Faulk is the 4th ranked fantasy RB with 69/295/4 rushing and 11/91/0 receiving. He is definitely among the fantasy elite once again.

Cincinnati hasn't been very tough to run on in 2003 - they are the 24th ranked rush D in the NFL, averaging 129.4 yards allowed per game (15 scores surrendered to date). 27/171/3 was what Kevan Barlow and friends racked up against the Bengals last week - two weeks ago, Baltimore spanked the Bengals for 43/225/3 - they are bleeding yards and points in buckets, lately. Brian Simmons was the 5th ranked IDP LB last week, with 6 solo tackles, 3 assists, and 2 fumble recoveries.

Both teams come into this game in relatively good health. Injuries aren't a major issue in this matchup.

This game is to be played in the Edward Jones Dome - weather is not an issue in this
matchup.

Marshall Faulk is one of the top backs in the NFL when he's on top of his game - which he seems to be right now - while the Bengals have been ultra-soft in this phase of the game lately, and were never very good at run D in the first place. Advantage, Rams.

Carolina's Stephen Davis/DeShaun Foster vs. The Detroit Defense (Good Matchup)

The word out of Charlotte early in the week was that Stephen Davis' knee and ankle injuries are very painful (and hampering him), and that the coaching staff is seriously considering resting him during the final games of the season to get him ready for the playoffs. This is a situation that Davis owners will want to watch carefully during the week as game-time approaches.

According to the Gaston Gazette's Steve Reed (on 12/16/03) "With the Carolina Panthers all but resigned to being no higher than a No. 3 seed in the NFC playoffs, head coach John Fox admitted Monday he may hold a few players out of this Sunday's game against the Detroit Lions. Among them could be star running back Stephen Davis, who re-injured his ankle and tweaked his knee during a 20-17 win over the Arizona Cardinals.

Davis carried the ball just 13 times for 48 yards in the victory and was relieved often by DeShaun Foster, who ran four times for 16 yards and caught a 31-yard touchdown pass.

Also among those hurt Sunday were center Jeff Mitchell, who left the game in the second half with a groin injury; cornerback Terry Cousin, who re-injured his strained calf; safety Deon Grant (shoulder) and linebacker Will Witherspoon (wrist). In addition, defensive end Mike Rucker (knee), linebacker Dan Morgan (head) and cornerback Reggie Howard (ankle) did not play on Sunday and remain questionable for this week.

"There will probably a few players on our team that we'll look at and evaluate and see what is in the best interest of them and us as we approach these last few games," Fox said. "…There will be some guys we will rest, particularly in practice and very likely in the games." Foster has put up 75/310/0 (a 4.1 ypc average) rushing this season, and has 17/149/1 receiving as well. The offensive line has been stout at run-blocking this season: the team averages 4.1 yards per attempt, so Foster is right on pace with his numbers.

Detroit was sliced, diced, smothered and chunked by Priest Holmes and company last week (28/149/3), and they were trampled by LaDainian Tomlinson and friends two weeks ago (35/131/0). Tomlinson also racked up 9/148/2 receiving, and Holmes added 5/42/0 receiving last week - not only is Detroit vulnerable to the running game, they are vulnerable to dual-threat backs like Tomlinson, Holmes… and Foster (not to overstate the case - Foster isn't a superstar yet - but the comparison is valid).

Carolina's starting C Jeff Mitchell injured his groin last week and may not play on Sunday (questionable). Detroit's unit is in relatively good health at this point of the season, although backup LB James Davis continues to have trouble with his shoulder (probable).

The forecast for Ericsson Stadium calls for a high of 52°F and a low of 25°F with a 10% chance for precipitation. It should be a pleasant day to play tackle football in the Piedmont on Sunday.

Foster has yet to break out in a regular season game - he may have a good opportunity to do so against the soft Detroit team that visits the Panthers' house this week. Advantage, Carolina.

Chicago's Anthony Thomas vs. The Washington Defense (Good Matchup)

Chicago's Anthony Thomas rumbled for 19/79/1 against the Vikings last week - helping his team to a 13-10 upset victory. Other than that game, he hasn't been productive in recent weeks while battling through injury/illness to return to the field last week. Chicago is tied for 20th in the NFL gaining an average of 3.9 yards per carry this season, so he hasn't had a lot of room to work with, running behind his patchwork OL (they have had a lot of players go down due to injuries as a unit this season).

Washington was trampled by the Cowboys last week to the tune of 45/222/2, and allowed 26/120/1 to the Giants' duo two weeks ago - they haven't controlled the line of scrimmage very well in 2003. The team averages 138.8 rushing yards allowed per game (27th in the NFL) and has coughed up 18 rushing scores to date. It's pretty easy to rack up yards and scores against the Redskins if you are an opposing running back. LB Jeremiah Trotter was an IDP star last week, with 11 solo tackles, 1 assist and 1 sack against Dallas (2nd-best IDP LB last week).

Chicago's starting G Chris Villarial (side, probable) and starting T Mike Gandy (shoulder, questionable) both missed last week's game. Washington's defensive front is in relatively good shape, listing LB's LaVar Arrington (knee) and Jeremiah Trotter (knee) along with DE Bruce Smith (knee) as probable.

The forecast for Soldier Field calls for a high of 35°F and a low of 19°F with a 20% chance for precipitation. Including the wind chill, the temperature will feel a good bit colder than the thermometer reads come game time.

Washington doesn't scare anyone in this phase of the game, and Chicago keeps finding ways to rush the ball even with a thin and banged-up OL. Advantage, Chicago.

Cincinnati's Rudi Johnson/Corey Dillon vs. The St. Louis Defense (Good Matchup)

When Rudi Johnson does well, the Bengals win: "It was the fourth 100-yard game of the season for Johnson, who now has 875 yards rushing for the season. The Bengals are 4-0 in those games. He also became the first running back in franchise history to gain 150 or more yards three times in a season." (Cincinnati Post article by Kevin Goheen, 12/15/03). With success like Johnson had in the second half Sunday (with runs of 49, 47, and 16 yards among his 14 second-half attempts), the Bengals have to be seriously considering keeping him in the starting lineup. Dillon has been OK in his time on the field, but Johnson just seems to have the "spark" that ignites the Bengals. Stay tuned as the team moves toward their game Sunday to see if Johnson is named the starter. Coach Marvin Lewis has shown a tendency in the past to go with Corey Dillon if Dillon is healthy. 35/213/2 rushing and 4/16/0 receiving is what Johnson has amassed in the last 3 weeks (24th among all fantasy RB's during that span). Dillon has managed 30/117/0 and 1/3/0 rushing and receiving in the same period.

27/135/1 was the total on the ground last week for the Seahawks. Two weeks ago, the Rams allowed 24/162/1 to the Cleveland backups - St. Louis isn't shutting people down in this phase of the game. That's been true most of the year - the Rams are 22nd in the NFL allowing an average of 126.4 rushing yards per game, and have coughed up 9 rushing scores to date. 9 scores in 14 games isn't a huge pile, but they've been vulnerable lately.

Cincinnati's Levi Jones somehow played through the pain of his knee surgery last week, and is probable to play this week. G Eric Steinbach is questionable (thigh) Rams' LB Robert Thomas is unlikely to play this week due to his groin injury.

This game is to be played in the Edward Jones Dome - weather is not an issue in this matchup.

Cincinnati has proven that they can run the ball with authority this season, and the Rams are a lower-tier rush D. Advantage, Cincinnati. The trouble is determining which running back will carry the load.

Dallas' Troy Hambrick vs. The New York Giants' Defense (Good Matchup)

Troy Hambrick blew up on the Redskins last week, with 33/189/0 rushing to his credit (Carter and Erik Bickerstaff vultured the teams' two rushing scores, though). He hasn't been a consistent fantasy producer over the last 3 weeks, though, with 53/266/0 rushing and 3/11/0 receiving to his credit (71% of his rushing yards came in last week's game, though). Last time around, in week 2, Hambrick struggled to gain yards against the Giants, with 23/60/0 to his credit.

The Giants D gave up 29/132/0 to the Saints' backs last week, and two weeks ago Washington ground out 48/150/0 against this team. As their winter of despair drags on, the Giants currently rank 18th in the NFL allowing an average of 121 yards per game on the ground, with 12 rushing TD's surrendered to date. They aren't very good, and the heart seems to have gone out of this team at this late date, as they wait for Fassel to exit stage left and the ensuing shake-up to begin.

Neither team has significant new injuries on their units, although G Andre Gurode does have the flu (probable).

The forecast for Texas Stadium calls for a high of 57°F and a low of 38°F with a 20% chance for precipitation. It should be a great day to play a football game.

Hambrick flashed his talent again last week, while the Giants are scuttling for week 17 with their tails between their legs. At home, we say the advantage goes to Dallas.

Denver's Clinton Portis?/Mike Anderson vs. The Indianapolis Defense (Good Matchup)

The word out of Denver at mid-week is that Clinton Portis is off his crutches and not noticeably limping - and that he remains questionable to play on Sunday night vs. Indianapolis. It's very likely that he will be a game-time decision (and with Saturday games being played, most leagues will set their rosters by Saturday morning at the latest). We'll keep our eyes open and our ears to the ground about this situation, but it's looking like a tangled skein at the moment (very hard to unravel). Mike Anderson has 51/201/2 rushing and 11/49/2 receiving this season, and was once-upon-a-time the starter in Denver (his best season was 2000 - 297/1500/15 rushing and 23/169/0 receiving). Of course, Portis fantasy owners are crossing their fingers that he will return to the field this week (his 94/527/9 rushing with 4/49/0 receiving the last 3 games propelled a lot of teams into the fantasy playoffs during the stretch run).

Indianapolis spanked the Falcons last week, but gave up 26/125/1 to all Falcon's rushers (a troublesome 4.8 yards per carry allowed). Eddie George and the Titans gained 19/93/1 two weeks ago (4.9 yards per carry) - the Colts are winning, but they are actually soft against the oppositions' backs right now. This season, they are in the middle of the NFL pack, averaging 118.1 rushing yards allowed per game, with 14 rushing scores surrendered to date - they have been right around that number in recent games.

Aside from Portis' knee and ankle, the Broncos list the usual suspects: G Dan Neil (ankle, questionable), T Ephraim Salaam (knee, probable) and RB Rueben Droughns (ankle, probable). Indianapolis lists LB Jim Nelson (collarbone, doubtful).

This game is being played in the RCA Dome - weather won't be a factor.

The Broncos run the ball well no matter who lines up in the backfield, while the Colts are only average at run defense. Advantage, Denver.

Detroit's Shawn Bryson/Artose Pinner/Olandis Gary vs. The Carolina Defense (Good Matchup)

Detroit had a pleasant surprise last week - a 100+ yard game from Shawn Bryson (18/105/1 rushing with 1/7/0 receiving). Rookie Artose Pinner also got his feet wet (9/26/0) while Olandis Gary was a non-factor. It's been quite a while since the Lions had a 100 yard rusher (this was the first such incident of 2003), and the team averages a mere 3.6 ypc this season - they usually aren't very good.

Carolina has been absolutely trampled during the last two games, surrendering 37/224/2 to the Falcons two weeks ago - then following up by giving away 40/170/2 to the Cardinals in their narrow victory last week. The bad performances have hammered their season average into the middle of the NFL pack (13th) - the Panthers have allowed 113.7 rushing yards per game this season, with 10 rushing scores surrendered to date. They have been playing much worse than those numbers indicate in the last few weeks - the team really misses MLB Dan Morgan (among others).

The list of Panthers who are injured along the defensive front (players that the coaching staff may hold out of the game, regardless of their readiness to start this week) are Morgan (concussion, probable), DE Mike Rucker (knee, questionable) and DT Brentson Buckner (knee, questionable). Detroit's unit is in relatively good health at this point of the season.

The forecast for Ericsson Stadium calls for a high of 52°F and a low of 25°F with a 10% chance for precipitation. It should be a pleasant day to play tackle football in the Piedmont on Sunday.

Carolina has been giving up a bunch of yards (and points) in this phase lately, and a lot of their defensive starters may be held out of the game. A slight edge should flow to the Lions' unit in this one, due to all the injuries and given recent history.

Jacksonville's Fred Taylor vs. The New Orleans Defense (Good Matchup)

The cold conditions in Gillette Stadium didn't suit Fred Taylor very well last week (16/57/0 rushing with 4/32/0 receiving) - he had a hard time finding much room against the excellent Patriots' defense. He has posted 68/339/1 rushing and 7/44/0 receiving in the last 3 games, so it was an abnormally poor performance for him in the rushing department, for sure. Jacksonville as a team has rushed for 408/1673 yards this season, a healthy 4.1 average - Taylor is used to more success than he saw last week.

New Orleans absolutely crushed the Giants last week, but allowed a healthy 26/111/0 (a 4.3 ypc average) to the vanquished club. Two weeks ago, Tampa had 29/107/0 - the Saints aren't getting dominated in this phase, but they haven't truly shut anyone down recently, either. They have been better than usual, though - the team ranks 26th in the NFL allowing an average of 136.6 rushing yards per game, with 11 scores allowed to date.

New Orleans has been doing without DE Willie Whitehead (knee, questionable) and reserve LB Cie Grant (calf, questionable) in recent weeks. Jacksonville's unit enjoys relatively good health, although backup RB Chris Fuamatu Ma'afala has missed time recently due to a sore knee, despite being listed as probable for a couple of weeks now.

The forecast for ALLTEL Stadium calls for a high of 67°F and a low of 43°F with a 10% chance for precipitation. Nice weather for a ball game, don't you agree?

Jacksonville has done a good job of rushing the ball most weeks, and New Orleans is usually at least somewhat generous. Advantage, Jacksonville.

New England's Antowain Smith/Kevin Faulk vs. The New York Jets' Defense (Good Matchup)

New England is in the drivers' seat in the AFC, and control their own destiny as far as home-field advantage throughout the playoffs is concerned. Win out, and the road to the Super Bowl goes through Gillette Stadium (in the AFC). Lately, in cold conditions with treacherous footing, the Patriots have been relying on bruiser Antowain Smith to carry the ball - he has 44/99/1 rushing and 2/9/0 receiving in the past 2 games. Kevin Faulk has been the change of pace back, with 31/96/0 rushing and 9/60/0 receiving in the past 3 games. New England's cold-weather tactics have resulted in "W's" in the real NFL, but haven't generated much in the way of FP for fantasy owners in the last few weeks. This one looks like another cold-and-foul weather game, by the way, if the forecast holds up. Both Faulk (17/79/0) and Smith (13/55/0) had good luck against the Jets last time around, back in week 3.

The Jets have been way up and way down in this phase recently, getting blasted by Travis Henry and company two weeks ago (41/203/1), but keeping Pittsburgh below 100 yards rushing last week (24/94/0). Most weeks, teams enjoy good outings against the Jets - they average 148.6 rushing yards allowed per game this season (only Oakland is worse), and have given away 16 rushing scores to date.

Starting LB Sam Cowart (knee, probable) is the latest Jet defender to succumb to injury (several others are on IR now). New England's unit is in good health at this point, although C Damien Woody has the flu (questionable).

The forecast for the Meadowlands calls for a high of 43°F and a low of 31°F with a 30% chance for precipitation. As this is a Saturday night game, the temperature will be on the low end of that scale, and it may be slick and windy down on the field.

The Jets are unimpressive run defenders, while New England sports a modest attack (especially from the fantasy perspective) when Antowain Smith is the headliner. We think that this looks like a good but not great matchup in the Jets' house.

Philadelphia's Brian Westbrook/Correll Buckhalter/Duce Staley vs. The San Francisco Defense (Good Matchup)

The familiar jumble of backs continues to pound the ball for the Eagles during the stretch run into the NFL playoffs: last week, the breakdown was as follows: Westbrook had 8/59/1 rushing and 3/45/1 receiving; Staley rushed for 6/58/0; McNabb had 8/14/1 rushing and Buckhalter carried 6/9/1 - how's that for an even distribution? Westbrook remains the best fantasy bet from week to week, thanks to his production in the passing game and his penchant to rip off long runs.

San Francisco demolished the Cardinals two weeks ago (22/66/0 rushing as a team), but then got demolished by Rudi Johnson and friends last week (37/225/2). The 49'ers are usually somewhere in between those extremes, averaging 106.1 rushing yards allowed per game (12th in the NFL) with 10 rushing scores surrendered to date. They've been very inconsistent recently, as you can see.

DT Bryant Young tweaked his shoulder last week (probable), while Philadelphia is listing T Jon Runyan (illness, questionable), T Tra Thomas (back, probable), and G John Welbourne (quadriceps, probable).

The forecast for Lincoln Financial Field calls for a high of 45°F and a low of 28°F with a 10% chance for precipitation. A cold but clear day is on tap for this matchup.

The Eagles have one of the best stables in the NFL, and average 4.9 yards per carry as a team. The 49'ers don't do well against top-shelf attacks, one of which Philadelphia definitely sports. Advantage, Eagles.

San Diego's LaDainian Tomlinson vs. The Pittsburgh Defense (Good Matchup)

If LaDainian Tomlinson doesn't beat you one way, he'll get you another - the guy has 64/245/1 rushing and 25/309/4 receiving in his last 3 games, and has led his team in receiving for 2 weeks - he has caught balls for 144 and 148 yards (and 2 TD's in each game) in those outings. The guy is awesome. He's a fantasy point machine, and he should definitely be in your lineup during championship week.

Pittsburgh has been soft in this phase recently, giving up 36/175/0 to the Jets last week and 23/122/1 to the Raiders two weeks ago. They are playing much worse than their 106.9 rushing yards allowed per game average would indicate (10th in the NFL), and they have given up 11 rushing scores to date.

San Diego's line continues to be a mess: starting C Jason Bell (ankle) and starting T Damion McIntosh (ankle), along with reserve OL Kris Dielman (hamstring), missed the game last week. Starting T Solomon Page injured his ankle in last week's game, so the OL could be dangerously thin at game time this week - all are questionable at mid-week. T Courtney Van Buren is out with a knee injury. Pittsburgh's defensive team is in good health for this stage of the season - LB Kendrell Bell (groin) and LB James Farrior (knee) are both probable to play.

The forecast for Heinz Field calls for a high of 34°F and a low of 26°F with a 30% chance for precipitation. If the snow comes down hard at game time, it could be swirling about in high winds - footing and ball-handling could easily become issues in this game.

Tomlinson gets the job done, despite playing behind a patchwork line - Pittsburgh is fading fast and very soft in this phase lately. Advantage, San Diego.

San Francisco's Kevan Barlow vs. The Philadelphia Defense (Good Matchup)

Kevan Barlow has been impressive as the 49'ers featured back, with 47/287/3 rushing and 11/105/0 receiving in the absence of Garrison Hearst. "Kevan Barlow will remain in the starting lineup as the 49ers continue to assess whether the third-year pro is the franchise's running back for next season and beyond, Coach Dennis Erickson said Monday." (Mercury News article by Laurence Miedema, 12/16/03) Two costly fumbles and a blown block on a blitz pickup are some of Barlow's most recent gaffes - but the team feels his real test will come against the Eagles' defense. Anyway, his fantasy owners are thrilled with Barlow's numbers (18/85/2 rushing with 6/66/0 receiving last week) and he should have another good week, because:

The Eagles have allowed 100+ rushing yards in 9 straight games. They coughed up 29/177/3 to the Dolphins last week, and allowed 34/150/0 to the Cowboys two weeks ago. The team allows an average of 127.8 rushing yards per game (23rd in the NFL) and has given away 11 rushing scores to date. They just aren't a solid unit in this phase of the game.

Starting G Eric Heitmann injured his knee last week, but is probable to play in this game. C Jeremy Newberry is also probable (ankle/groin). The Eagles are (finally) enjoying decent health - LB's Carlos Emmons (hand), Ike Reese (quadriceps), and Nate Wayne (ankle) along with DE Jerome McDougle (shoulder) are probable to play.

The forecast for Lincoln Financial Field calls for a high of 45°F and a low of 28°F with a 10% chance for precipitation. A cold but clear day is on tap for this matchup.

Barlow produces top-caliber fantasy numbers when he gets the chance, and Philadelphia leaves a lot of opportunities open for the other teams' backs. Advantage, San Francisco.

Seattle's Shaun Alexander vs. The Arizona Defense (Good Matchup)

Shaun Alexander has pounded the ball in recent weeks, racking up 66/309/3 rushing and 5/26/0 receiving in the last 3 games (7th in FP per game among fantasy RB's). 25/126/1 rushing and 2/8/0 receiving were his totals last week against the Rams - the guy has been steadily productive in most games this season. As a team, the Seahawks slapped down 30/130/2 rushing against the Cardinals back in week 2 (13/51/1 for Alexander, with 11/67/0 for Maurice Morris).

Arizona managed to contain the Panthers last week (18/67/0 as a team), just one week after their shellacking by Kevan Barlow and company (36/232/3) - this unit has swung from one extreme to the other, obviously. Usually, the Cards are somewhere in between those numbers, averaging 114.6 rushing yards allowed per game this season (14th in the NFL) with 14 rushing scores surrendered to date.

Seahawk's reserve OL Jerry Wunsch has missed time recently (ankle, doubtful). Starting DT Marcus Bell missed last week's game with the flu, but is expected back this week by the Cardinals. DT Wendell Bryant is also sick (probable).

The forecast for Seahawks' Stadium calls for a high of 49°F and a low of 38°F with a 10% chance for precipitation. A nice, cool day is on tap up in the Pacific Northwest.

Arizona is inconsistent in this phase of the game, while Seattle is consistently above-average. Advantage, Seattle.

Tampa Bay's Thomas Jones/Michael Pittman vs. The Atlanta Defense (Good Matchup)

Thomas Jones took the lead against the Texans last week, with 34/134/1 rushing (1/17/0 receiving). He has become the #1 back in Tampa's stable, with Michael Pittman doing change-of-pace and passing-situation duty (1/3/0 rushing with 5/33/0 receiving last week). Thomas Jones has racked up 61/234/2 rushing and 5/52/0 receiving in the last 3 weeks (#16 among all fantasy RB's in FP per game during that span). Michael Pittman has 17/76/0 rushing and 10/68/0 receiving in the same period (#47 in FP per game). Back in week 3, the Falcons allowed 37/132/2 rushing to the Buccaneers - but Mike Alstott was the guy who scored the TD's, and Michael Pittman was the featured rusher at that point in time (20/82/0, vs. 1/-1/0 for Jones) - the recent past doesn't tell us much about this matchup.

Atlanta has yo-yoed in this phase of the game in recent weeks, surprising the Panthers two weeks ago by holding Stephen Davis to 24/81/1 (33/90/1 as a team), but laying down for the Colts last week (31/178/0). The Colts game was much closer to the typical Atlanta performance in 2003 - they average 146.9 rushing yards allowed per game, and have coughed up 20 rushing scores this season (worst in the NFL). Most weeks, this unit has a very hard time stopping the opposition. Chris Draft was a bright spot for his IDP owners last week, with 7 solo tackles, 5 assists and 1 fumble recovery (6th among fantasy LB's last week). Patrick Kerney was 4th among IDP DL with 5 solo tackles, 1 assist, 1 sack and 1 fumble recovery.

Atlanta's DE Brady Smith hyper-extended his left elbow in the game last week (doubtful), while starting DT Ed Jasper (knee/ankle, doubtful) missed the game last week. LB Twan Russell is questionable with a calf injury. Tampa Bay's starting T Kenyatta Walker missed the game last week with an infected elbow (probable), while backup RB Darian Barnes is out (ankle).

The forecast for Raymond James Stadium calls for a high of 66°F and a low of 45°F with a 10% chance for precipitation. It should be a great day to play football.

Thomas Jones is actually running the ball very well in recent weeks, while the Falcons are coming into this game off a monumental collapse (and they didn't do well against the Buccaneers last time, for what it's worth) - advantage, Tampa.

Buffalo's Travis Henry vs. The Miami Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Travis Henry has been playing very strong football in recent weeks, with 77/370/2 rushing and 4/25/0 receiving during the last 3 games. Last week, against the Titans, he ground out 19/88/0 rushing and 2/13/0 receiving - topping 100 yards combined against the Titans is no small accomplishment. Drew Bledsoe seemed to rediscover his passing game last week, which should help Henry out by forcing the opposition to respect a credible threat in the passing phase. Last time these two teams met, Henry had a horrible game, with 5/7/0 rushing on the day.

Miami was trampled by the Eagle's stable of backs last week (28/140/3), and coughed up 34/78/0 on a miserable day in New England two weeks ago. This season, the Dolphins rank as the 4th best rush D in the NFL, averaging 91.8 rushing yards allowed per game (with 10 rushing scores given up to date) - Philadelphia had a much easier time running the ball than those numbers would suggest, though. Brian Westbrook ripped off a 28 yard romp on the Dolphins, and Duce Staley had a long of 22 (Buckhalter's best run was 7 yards).

T Mike Williams is questionable with a knee injury. DT Tim Bowens (calf, questionable), LB Junior Seau (shoulder, probable) and DE Jason Taylor (ankle, probable) round out Miami's initial injury report.

The forecast for Ralph Wilson Stadium calls for a high of 30°F and a low of 20°F with a 30% chance for precipitation. Snow, sleet, and swirling winds makes Buffalo's home stadium a tough place to play games in December - slick footing and ball-handling miscues are likely to be factors in this game.

Henry has been strong in recent weeks (but his production slipped against the Titans), while the Dolphins are usually stout in this phase (but tripped against the Eagles) - in poor weather, we call this one a neutral matchup.

Indianapolis' Edgerrin James vs. The Denver Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Edgerrin James mauled the Falcons last week, with 20/126/0 rushing (2/6/0 receiving), a 6.3 yards per carry average. Two weeks ago, he stuffed 27/95/2 down the Titan's throat (the Titans lead the league in rush D, by the way) - James is really running well heading into the playoffs. 72/309/2 rushing with 12/69/0 receiving puts him at #9 among all fantasy RB's in FP per game over the past 3 weeks.

Denver hasn't been particularly tough to run on lately, allowing 26/102/0 to the Cleveland back-ups last week, and 19/63/3 to the Chiefs two weeks ago. This season, the Broncos are 5th in the NFL, allowing an average of 92.6 rushing yards per game, with 8 scores allowed to date - they are usually pretty stout in this phase of the game.

Indianapolis says Adam Meadows is doubtful to play through his right knee injury, while RB Dominic Rhodes is probable (knee/shoulder). DE Reggie Hayward has a sore shoulder (probable).

This game is being played in the RCA Dome - weather won't be a factor.

Both teams are fighting for the playoffs - Indianapolis to secure a first-week bye, and Denver needs a win to stay in the hunt. Intensity should be high - at home, the Colts should have some chances to make things happen, but Denver won't make it easy.

Kansas City's Priest Holmes vs. The Minnesota Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Priest Holmes has put his sights on the NFL single-season TD record (25) - he has 22 to his credit with 2 games left to play this season. For those of you who may be worried about Vermeil "resting" Holmes, consider the following: "Given his preferences, Vermeil would love to do what his 1999 St. Louis Rams did in their finale after securing the home-field advantage for the playoffs. They rested Kurt Warner, Marshall Faulk, Orlando Pace and others knowing there were bigger games ahead. "That was great," Vermeil said. "I think that's the way to go (into the playoffs)."

But it doesn't look like Kansas City will have that luxury. "I think we'll be battling up through the final minutes of our 16th game to determine where we'll play," Vermeil said. That's why Kansas City's game Saturday in Minneapolis will have the intensity of a road playoff game, Vermeil predicted Monday. The 12-2 Chiefs need to win to retain their current No. 2 seed, which earns them a first-round bye and an outside shot at home-field advantage throughout AFC post-season play. Any loss in the final two games against Minnesota or Chicago exposes them to a No. 3 seed (behind New England and Indianapolis) and a possible first-round home game against, gulp, Denver, currently the sixth seed." (Topeka Capital-Journal article by Rick Dean, 12/16/03).

Holmes may see some bench time late in games if the Chiefs are blowing out the opposition, but he's definitely going to get enough touches (and, hopefully, TD's) to merit a starting slot on your roster - all he has done over the last three weeks is rack up 61/300/7 rushing and 16/99/0 receiving (3rd in FP per game among all RB's). We can't see any situation, short of another serious injury, that would induce us to sit Holmes during the fantasy playoffs.

Minnesota's defense played pretty well in the close loss to Chicago last week, limiting the Bears to 23/87/1 rushing - two weeks ago, they embarrassed the Seahawks (16/56/1). Those are some unusually stout performances for a unit that has surrendered 19 rushing scores to date, with a season average of 122.1 rushing yards allowed per game (19th in the NFL). Alexander and Thomas aren't weakling-type backs, either.

LB Chris Claiborne has struggled to play through an Achilles' injury most of the season (questionable). Kansas City's OL enjoys very good health for this stage of the season - T Marcus Spears (foot) and G Brian Walters (shoulder) are probable to play, as is Priest Holmes (foot).

This game is to be played in the Metrodome, so weather won't be a factor in this matchup.

Minnesota has been tough in this phase lately, but they haven't been so stout during the majority of the season. Kansas City has one of the top units in the NFL, and is back on a mission - we think that Holmes will make a run at 100+ yards on the ground against the Vikings, even in their own house.

New Orleans' Deuce McAllister vs. The Jacksonville Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Talk about your plain, old-fashioned whuppin' - that's what the Saints did to the Giants last week. Deuce McAllister did his part - 15/80/0 rushing and 8/65/0 receiving - although Joe Horn got the lion's share of the TD's (4). McAllister's fantasy value has dropped some in the past 3 weeks. 67/314/0 rushing and 15/115/0 receiving is not chopped liver, but the dearth of scoring has dropped McAllister out of the top 10 among fantasy RB's - he is 14th in FP per game during that period of time. He is still the engine that makes the Saints go, though, make no mistake about that.

Jacksonville held the Patriots to 32/84/1 last week, and crushed Houston two weeks ago (23/70/0) - they have been dominant in this phase of the game lately (and all season). The team is 2nd in the NFL this season, allowing a mere 84.2 rushing yards per game on average (11 scores surrendered to date. DL John Henderson was the top IDP DL last week, with 8 solo tackles, 2 assists, and 1 sack, while Mike Peterson was the 4th best LB last week (8 solo tackles, 6 assists, and a sack).

New Orleans' starting G LeCharles Bentley has a bum knee (out), and missed the game last week. T Spencer Folau is also out (knee). G Kendyl Jacox (knee) and RB's Fred McAfee (ankle) and Terrelle Smith (jaw) are questionable to play. Jacksonville just placed LB Deon Humphrey on IR.

The forecast for ALLTEL Stadium calls for a high of 67°F and a low of 43°F with a 10% chance for precipitation. Nice weather for a ball game, don't you agree?

McAllister is a fine back - Jacksonville is a top defense, playing in their house. This looks like a duel between two top units - we call it even.

Tennessee's Eddie George vs. The Houston Defense (Neutral Matchup)

23/67/0 rushing and 1/19/0 receiving was what Eddie George mustered against the Bills last week - it was just barely enough to help his team squeak past the Bills 28-26. This season, those sort of numbers are the norm for George, who occasionally flashes his old game-breaking talent but has been merely mediocre almost every week in 2003. 52/191/0 rushing and 3/30/0 receiving over the past 3 weeks puts George at #37 on the fantasy RB list (FP per game), and didn't help his owners out in the stretch run to the fantasy playoffs. Unless you are forced to start him, we'd look elsewhere during fantasy championship week. George really struggled against the Texans last time out of the blocks (week 6) with 19/60/0 rushing and 1/22/0 receiving - not the numbers that will take you to the promised land in fantasy playoff games.

Houston's defense has had a rough time in the past couple of games - with a rookie QB under center they have faced 38:34 (vs. Tampa) seconds of playing time last week and 35:46 seconds (vs. Jacksonville) of playing time two weeks ago. Fred Taylor and company ripped them for 40/208/2, while Thomas Jones and the Bucs tallied 42/161/1 last week. Ouch. Even if Carr is back this week, he'll be rusty (with an iffy throwing shoulder) - the D is probably in for another long day. Jamie Sharper was the top IDP LB last week, with 12 solo tackles, 5 assists and a forced fumble.

Tennessee's unit is in good health at this point in the season, while Houston has no new injuries of note.

The forecast for Reliant Stadium calls for a high of 66°F and a low of 44°F with a 10% chance for precipitation. Sounds like a great day to play football.

Two struggling units lock horns in this game, with neither holding a clear-cut advantage.

Washington's Rock Cartwright/Chad Morton vs. The Chicago Defense (Neutral Matchup)

At mid-week, it looks like Trung Canidate and Ladell Betts will remain on the sidelines due to their injuries, meaning that the Redskins will have to once again rely on Rock Cartwright (21/94/0 rushing last week) and Chad Morton (3/11/0) to grind out the rushing yardage this week. Cartwright's 4.5 ypc average last week was very respectable, and it is likely that he will see the majority of work again this week. His season numbers are pretty decent - 82/327/3 rushing and 11/108/0 receiving - but he needs to avoid fumbles (2 lost this season) if he is to stay out of coach Spurrier's dog-house.

Chicago has been up and down in this phase of the game in recent weeks, allowing 38/178/0 to the Vikings last week, but clamping down on Ahman Green and company two weeks ago (38/97/1). This season, they are in the bottom half of the league against the rush, averaging 123.9 rushing yards allowed per game (21st), with 10 rushing scores surrendered to date. Alex Brown was the 3rd best IDP DL last week, with 6 solo tackles and 2 sacks to his credit.

Washington is waiter for starting T Chris Samuels (leg, questionable) to get back on the field, and watched as T Brandon Winey injured his right knee last week (questionable). Samuels says he wants to get back on the field this week, but it remains to be seen if his injury will co-operate with his wishes. RB Chad Morton is probable (ankle). Chicago has no new injuries, but DT Keith Traylor still has a sore knee (questionable).

The forecast for Soldier Field calls for a high of 35°F and a low of 19°F with a 20% chance for precipitation. Including the wind chill, the temperature will feel a good bit colder than the thermometer reads come game time.

Cartwright and company can mount a credible running attack, while the Bears are average-to-sub-par from week to week. This looks like an even matchup in the Bear's home stadium.

Arizona's Marcel Shipp/Emmitt Smith vs. The Seattle Defense (Tough Matchup)

Arizona bounced back from their San Francisco humiliation to put a scare into the Panthers last week - Marcel Shipp helped out with 23/89/0 rushing and Emmitt Smith pitched in with 9/23/1 (Josh McCown scored, too, with 7/47/1). Even with the half-decent game, Shipp remains way down the fantasy RB board (#42), with 50/153/0 rushing and 3/14/0 receiving during the last 3 weeks. The first time these teams hooked up, back in week 2, Seattle blasted Arizona 38-0, and the Cards managed 24/93/0 rushing as a team (Emmitt Smith was the featured back then - he had 14/54/0 rushing in the game).

Seattle laid down for the Vikings two weeks ago (43/193/0), but stiffened against Marshall Faulk and friends last week (30/86/1). The team is smack in the middle of the NFL this season, averaging 115.8 rushing yards allowed per game (16th), but are fairly stingy in the red-zone, with 9 scores given away to date. They have bounced around that season average in recent weeks, obviously.

Starting LB Anthony Simmons (chin/neck, questionable) missed the game last week, and LB Orlando Huff suffered a high ankle sprain in the game (questionable). Starting C Pete Kendall missed the game last week for the Cardinals, and probably will again this week (shoulder, doubtful).

The forecast for Seahawks' Stadium calls for a high of 49°F and a low of 38°F with a 10% chance for precipitation. A nice, cool day is on tap up in the Pacific Northwest.

Arizona is in the spoiler role, but Seattle is tough at home and has handled this club easily in the past. Advantage, Seattle.

Houston's Domanick Davis vs. The Tennessee Defense (Tough Matchup)

Domanick Davis has been on a down-swing lately, with trouble at the QB position limiting what defenses had to worry about in the passing phase, the opposition has concentrated on shutting down the running game. He has posted 40/157/2 and 4/29/0 in his past two games (but missed one of the Dave Ragone contests due to injury) - the team hasn't had much success in this phase at all. Tennessee did have trouble containing Davis in the two teams' first game, allowing 7/59/0 rushing and 7/70/0 receiving to the young back (back when Stacey Mack was still in the mix).

Tennessee has stumbled a bit recently, allowing 27/95/2 to Edgerrin James two weeks ago, and 19/88/0 to Travis Henry last week - substantially more than their season average of 79.5 rushing yards per game allowed (1st in the NFL), although they remain tough to score on (9 rushing scores allowed in 14 games). Keith Bulluck had a fine game for his IDP owners last week, with 8 solo tackles, 1 assist, 1 sack, 1 forced fumble and 1 fumble recovery - he was the 3rd best fantasy LB in the land last week.

Reserve LB Jordan Kramer (ankle, questionable) and starting LB Rocky Calmus (broken leg, out) missed the game last week. LB Rocky Boiman (knee) is also questionable to play. Houston says G Zach Wiegert (elbow) is probable to play.

The forecast for Reliant Stadium calls for a high of 66°F and a low of 44°F with a 10% chance for precipitation. Sounds like a great day to play football.

Davis and the Texans are struggling right now, while the Titans remain one of the best rush D's in the land (although they have missed a step in the past couple of games) - the Texans have the short end of the stick in this matchup. Advantage, Tennessee.

Miami's Ricky Williams vs. The Buffalo Defense (Tough Matchup)

Despite 177 yards rushing as a team (18/107/1 for Ricky Williams), the Dolphins dropped the game last week vs. Philadelphia. With the loss, their post-season dreams evaporated - and now the Dolphins have to travel to arctic Ralph Wilson Stadium to face division-rival Buffalo. In their last cold-and-foul weather game, at Gillette Stadium, Ricky Williams managed 25/68/0 rushing and 1/5/0 receiving - forewarned is forearmed, Williams owners. In his last 3 games, Williams has collected 74/279/1 rushing and 7/47/0 receiving (18th among fantasy RB's in FP per game during that span). - not exactly the kind of numbers that win playoff games. In the last game between these teams, back in week 3, Williams managed 42/153/1 rushing and 3/-4/0 receiving - but that was September; this is December.

Buffalo has been tough in this phase of the game all year long, with an average of 95.9 rushing yards allowed per game (7th in the NFL) and 11 rushing scores surrendered to date. Last week, the Titans managed 32/86/1 against the Bills, while two weeks ago the Jets had 26/88/0 to their credit. That's a consistently solid rush D, folks. Pat Williams was the 2nd-best IDP DL last week, with 7 solo tackles, 4 assists and 1 fumble recovery.

Miami says FB Rob Konrad (concussion) is out. Ricky Williams is probable to play through his sore shoulder.

The forecast for Ralph Wilson Stadium calls for a high of 30°F and a low of 20°F with a 30% chance for precipitation. Snow, sleet, and swirling winds makes Buffalo's home stadium a tough place to play games in December - slick footing and ball-handling miscues are likely to be factors in this game.

Williams and the Dolphins are fading, while the Bills remain a consistently solid unit - and the weather conditions should favor the Bills. Advantage, Buffalo.

New York Giants' Tiki Barber/Dorsey Levens vs. The Dallas Defense (Tough Matchup)

The Giants crumbled last week, and ended up cringing off the field in the wake of a 45-7 disaster on national TV vs. the Saints. All told, they put up 111 yards rushing, but no player managed more than 37 yards individually. Jesse Palmer did hit Tiki Barber for 5/33/0 in the passing phase, but it wasn't enough to elevate Barbers' performance up to respectability, fantasy-wise. The Giants look like beaten men, and Barber is currently mired in a RBBC with Levens (even Delvin Joyce got in the act last week, with 4/21/0). Things are very ugly for Fassell's crew right now. Last time the Giants lost to the Cowboys, back in week 2, Barber managed a mere 15/41/0 rushing and 2/7/0 receiving, so recent history doesn't bode well for his chances on Sunday.

Dallas gave up 265/106/0 to the Redskins last week, and 23/175/1 to the Eagles two weeks ago - they haven't been dominant in this phase of the game recently. Both games were well above their season average of 93.8 rushing yards allowed per game (6th in the NFL), although they are still very tough to score on (7 rushing scores allowed this season, second-least in the NFL).

New York's starting T Luke Petitgout missed last week's game due to his bad back (doubtful), while Dallas had reserve LB Scott Shanle (leg, not listed) on the sidelines last week. DT Leonardo Carson (triceps) is out this week.

The forecast for Texas Stadium calls for a high of 57°F and a low of 38°F with a 20% chance for precipitation. It should be a great day to play a football game.

The Giants are circling the bowl, while the Cowboys need this game for a shot at the playoffs. In the Cowboys' stadium, we give the nod to the home team.

New York Jets' Curtis Martin vs. The New England Defense (Tough Matchup)

Lately, Curtis Martin has achieved respectability among fantasy RB's, with 79/325/1 rushing and 9/77/0 receiving in his past 3 games (10th in FP among RB's during that span). He hasn't been a TD machine, but at least he is producing decent chunks of yardage. Last week, in a low-scoring affair, Martin put up 30/174/0 rushing and 4/54/0 receiving - he led the team in both categories - for his finest outing of 2003 (as far as yardage gained is concerned). Martin struggled to move the ball against the Patriots last time around (week 3), with 15/53/0 rushing and 4/34/0 receiving. LaMont Jordan has been a non-factor since injuring his hand a few weeks back - this looks like Martin's team for the rest of 2003, in our opinion.

New England has been very strong against the run in recent games, smothering Ricky Williams two weeks ago (25/68/0), and doing the same against the Jaguars last week (20/72/0). They are currently 3rd in the NFL averaging 88.8 rushing yards allowed per game (with 8 TD's given away to date). It is difficult to rack up yards against these guys, and they are very stingy around the goal-line.

Both units enjoy relatively good health for this stage of the season - injuries aren't a huge factor in the matchup - LB Ted Johnson does have a sore neck (probable).

The forecast for the Meadowlands calls for a high of 43°F and a low of 31°F with a 30% chance for precipitation. As this is a Saturday night game, the temperature will be on the low end of that scale, and it may be slick and windy down on the field.

The Patriots are very tough - even though Curtis Martin has a head of steam built up coming into the game, we think he'll have a hard time with the playoff-bound Patriots.

Oakland's Tyrone Wheatley/Charlie Garner vs. The Green Bay Defense (Tough Matchup)

Oakland found a little room here and there against the Ravens, and ended up with 31/79/1 rushing last week (13/39/0 for Wheatley and 7/28/0 for Garner - Zack Crockett plunged in the TD 5/4/1). It wasn't a dominant performance, but they did manage to win the game, much to everyone's surprise (and the Bengals' delight). Fantasy-wise, though, there isn't much "oomph" to be found in the Rick Mirer era - Wheatley has 34/189/1 rushing and 3/19/0 receiving in the past 3 games (30th among all fantasy RB's in FP per game during that period), while Garner has garnered 22/99/0 and 8/61/0 in his touches during that span.

Green Bay is not a patsy in this phase of the game, currently ranking 9th in the NFL allowing 105.9 rushing yards per game on average, with 9 scores surrendered to date. LaDainian Tomlinson and friends managed 27/88/0 rushing against the Packers, while Chicago had 20/44/0 two weeks ago. They are really clamping down on opposing backs, lately.

Green Bay's unit is listing only DT Gilbert Brown (knee, probable) while the Raiders list C Barret Robbins (knee, out).

The forecast for Network Associates Coliseum calls for a high of 59°F and a low of 47°F with a 40% chance for precipitation. If the rain comes down hard at game time, the field could get sloppy and ball handling will be more of an issue than usual.

A top ten rush D squares off against a sputtering rushing attack in this game - advantage, Green Bay.

Pittsburgh's Jerome Bettis vs. The San Diego Defense (Tough Matchup)

Pittsburgh has been up and down in this phase of the game lately, struggling against the Jets last week (16/68/0 for Bettis, 24/94/0 as a team), but trampling the Raiders two weeks ago (40/133/2 as a team, with 27/106/1 for Bettis). Part of the problem last week was Bettis' knee injury (bruised bone), which sidelined him for part of the game and kept him away from a crucial goal-line situation. Bettis is in the top 20 among fantasy RB's in FP per game over the last three weeks (63/236/2 rushing with 7/31/0 receiving, 17th-ranked), but monitor the situation with his knee closely as kick-off approaches.

San Diego has been very game in recent weeks, challenging the Packers and defeating the Lions - the Pack managed only 27/83/1 rushing against the Chargers, and Detroit shuffled to a mere 18/68/0 two weeks ago. Those are much better performances than you would expect from a unit ranking 25th in the NFL allowing an average of 135.4 rushing yards per game (with 11 scores surrendered to date).

T Marvel Smith continues to miss games due to his injured neck. San Diego's defensive front is in good health.

The forecast for Heinz Field calls for a high of 34°F and a low of 26°F with a 30% chance for precipitation. If the snow comes down hard at game time, it could be swirling about in high winds - footing and ball-handling could easily become issues in this game.

With Bettis limping and the Chargers surging, this looks like a tough matchup for the Steelers, even with home-field advantage.

Atlanta's T.J. Duckett/Michael Vick vs. The Tampa Bay Defense (Bad Matchup)

T.J. Duckett was the lone bright spot (fantasy-wise) in an otherwise dismal performance by the Falcons last week, rushing for 18/74/1 (1/6/0 receiving) on a day that the team got blown out by a margin of 38-7. Michael Vick was second on the team in rushing last week, with 4/30/0 - a long way from his 14/141/1 rushing performance two weeks ago. Since Vick's return from his injury, he hasn't been very good in the passing phase of the game, and that is limiting the opportunities that the team's rushers have to make plays. These two teams hooked up back in week 3 - Vick was on the sidelines by then, though, and Warrick Dunn was the featured back at that point, so the recent past doesn't inform us about much. One thing to realize, though, is that the Falcons only managed 19/29/1 rushing against the Buccaneers last time around - they were pretty pathetic all around, basically.

In the face of an anemic passing attack, the Buccaneers put the clamps on Houston's Domanick Davis last week (16/56/0 rushing with 2/2/0 receiving). Two weeks ago, they smothered Deuce McAllister and company in New Orleans (24/90/0). Those performances helped the team to their first back-to-back wins of the 2003 season. Tampa is now tied for 10th in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game, at 106.9 per contest, and have only given away 6 rushing scores to date (tied for best in the league). They have been playing even tougher in recent weeks, as detailed above.

Atlanta's FB George Layne suffered a knee injury last week (IR), and starting G Roberto Garza may have an ACL injury (IR). T's Kevin Shaffer (foot) and Todd Weiner (ankle) are probable to play. Tampa Bay's DL Ellis Wyms sprained his left knee (IR), and DT Warren Sapp was unable to play last week (left foot, probable).

The forecast for Raymond James Stadium calls for a high of 66°F and a low of 45°F with a 10% chance for precipitation. It should be a great day to play football.

Atlanta just isn't very good right now, and they had big trouble moving the ball on the Buccaneers last time around - meanwhile, the Buccaneer's defensive front is back on top of their game in this phase. Advantage, Tampa.

Cleveland's Jamel White/Lee Suggs vs. The Baltimore Defense (Bad Matchup)

Now that the Browns are down to Jamel White and Lee Suggs, they are enjoying limited success in the rushing phase of the game (20/55/0 for White last week, 5/30/0 for Suggs). The team has been sub-par in yards per carry most weeks (as a team they average 3.8 yards per carry in 2003) - this is not one of the top attacks in the NFL at this point, folks. With the RBBC flavor the Browns took on last week, we'd look elsewhere for your starter in the fantasy finals. Last time out, in week 2, Baltimore held Cleveland to 20/60/0 rushing (Jamel White had 1/0/0 rushing and 1/8/0 receiving in the game).

Baltimore's defense has been stout in the last two weeks, holding the Bengals to 21/100/0 rushing two weeks ago and choking Oakland (31/79/1) last week. They are the league's 8th ranked rushing defense in 2003, allowing an average of 100.1 yards per game - and they are tied for the league lead in points allowed, with a mere 6 rushing scores given up to date.

Both teams come into this game in relatively good health, although backup LB Adalius Thomas (broken elbow) remains sidelined for the Ravens, and Ray Lewis has a sore shoulder (questionable).

The forecast for Browns Stadium calls for a high of 33°F and a low of 25°F with a 30% chance for precipitation. This time of year, precipitation means sleet or snow, and the wind could kick up causing visibility problems - footing and ball handling will be issues if the snow comes down hard around game time.

The Browns are fielding backup-level talent, and the Ravens have a bruising rush D that ranks in the top echelons of the NFL. Advantage, Ravens.